WEBVTT 1 00:00:00.160 --> 00:00:05.960 We go to Fox News because depending on the moment, Maga loves Fox News 2 00:00:06.960 --> 00:00:10.039 and then we hate Fox News, and it could all be in the same 3 00:00:10.039 --> 00:00:14.640 minute. Yep ye, but it says. As to highly anticipated twenty twenty 4 00:00:14.640 --> 00:00:20.879 four presidential race kicks off Severn, several recent polls indicated the president Joe Biden 5 00:00:20.960 --> 00:00:30.079 has a higher approval rating than former indicted President Donald Trump because he's facing criminal 6 00:00:30.160 --> 00:00:36.000 charges. The polls show that even as Trump has risen in the GOP primary 7 00:00:36.079 --> 00:00:44.719 polls, he still remains unpopular among the broader voting public. Quinnipiac, Quinnipiac 8 00:00:44.840 --> 00:00:51.600 University, who you know, obviously they hate America because they released a national 9 00:00:51.679 --> 00:00:58.679 survey that found Biden. Oh, geez Biden. This is from Fox News, 10 00:00:58.679 --> 00:01:06.200 So don't come after me for Quinnipiac University release a national survey. They 11 00:01:06.319 --> 00:01:12.519 found Biden edging Trump forty nine to forty five and a hypothetical twenty twenty four 12 00:01:12.640 --> 00:01:18.079 match. The poll conducted from March ninth through the thirteenth, with a margin 13 00:01:18.159 --> 00:01:22.319 of air or plus or minus of two point four percentage points. How do 14 00:01:22.400 --> 00:01:25.519 they always get what if you're on the phone, if I call you and 15 00:01:25.560 --> 00:01:29.040 I say John Clark will you vote for Trump or Biden? And you say, 16 00:01:29.879 --> 00:01:34.879 okay, Biden. How is there an error? Yeah, it's a 17 00:01:34.920 --> 00:01:41.079 standard deviation thing. Basically, you want to account for people either potentially switching 18 00:01:41.079 --> 00:01:44.560 them switching their minds. And it all has to do with how many people 19 00:01:44.640 --> 00:01:51.319 you you sampled, how you know obviously which way the sample size skewed originally. 20 00:01:51.640 --> 00:01:53.480 And I'm sure there's a number of other factors that go into that, 21 00:01:53.519 --> 00:01:59.280 but yeah, essentially it's them. Basically, what they're doing is there is 22 00:01:59.280 --> 00:02:01.599 there there. They're hedging their bets, you know, just in case we're 23 00:02:01.640 --> 00:02:06.079 wrong, We're gonna put a standard deviation on it so that we don't end 24 00:02:06.200 --> 00:02:08.879 up having to uh, having to say we were wrong later. But even 25 00:02:08.919 --> 00:02:13.759 with that standard deviation, it still has bid winning. Yeah, try try 26 00:02:13.800 --> 00:02:16.840 to stay awake for this, for this math talk, Matthew Ricks. You 27 00:02:16.879 --> 00:02:19.639 know, you know what I think is, you know what I think it's 28 00:02:19.680 --> 00:02:23.360 hilarious is they're sitting back and they're saying, this is the high highest anticipated 29 00:02:23.400 --> 00:02:29.800 presidential election ever or whatever. And we've got two guys running that have one 30 00:02:29.879 --> 00:02:34.319 foot in the grave, both of them do. They're both so much closer 31 00:02:34.400 --> 00:02:42.680 to death than they are the beginning in their voting. Yeah, if they 32 00:02:42.680 --> 00:02:47.319 were a band, their greatest hits albums coming out soon, Dude, their 33 00:02:47.360 --> 00:02:51.560 greatest hits album has been out for twenty years. Already. We got the 34 00:02:51.599 --> 00:02:55.599 box set, all right, we got the box set. Um Box News 35 00:02:55.759 --> 00:03:01.280 also said that the same poll found to say Trump like de Santis by fourteen 36 00:03:01.400 --> 00:03:05.800 points in a primary. Yes, you know, I thought that would be 37 00:03:05.840 --> 00:03:09.240 closer. My dog is My dog is a Desantist fan, apparently, and 38 00:03:09.520 --> 00:03:15.680 really really upset by that. A recent ABC News poll Fox News says revealed 39 00:03:15.759 --> 00:03:23.680 Biden's approval up nearly ten points over Trump, locking in a whooping for Pap 40 00:03:23.759 --> 00:03:30.280 Pap Biden, as Joe John Clark calls him thirty four percent favorability rating, 41 00:03:30.000 --> 00:03:39.120 and he's beating Trump in the polls. Jeez, you could put Biden next 42 00:03:39.159 --> 00:03:44.439 to like a banana, and the banana would have a better favorability rating than 43 00:03:44.719 --> 00:03:47.400 than Biden, wouldn't. He's still beating Trump, but Trump's got an approval 44 00:03:47.479 --> 00:03:55.000 rating of twenty five percent. So Harry, this is the best we can 45 00:03:55.039 --> 00:03:59.879 do, America. This is the best we can do. And wait, 46 00:04:00.039 --> 00:04:03.039 hold on because I know, I know, facts are very tough on you. 47 00:04:03.199 --> 00:04:10.840 Maga people. A twenty five percent approval rating means one out of every 48 00:04:10.879 --> 00:04:15.600 four people approve of him as a human being at this moment. Just because 49 00:04:15.600 --> 00:04:20.959 he's not in office, you can't know. Oh oh yeah, you want 50 00:04:20.959 --> 00:04:24.879 me to break into what demographics? Are you gonna try to mock me? 51 00:04:25.040 --> 00:04:30.720 Now? Oh? Okay, so here. The ABC News Paul uh surveyed 52 00:04:30.000 --> 00:04:35.639 UM twenty seven UH latinos in Omaha, Nebraska, and the vote went, 53 00:04:35.959 --> 00:04:43.199 that's what you did. A survey for the abes. ABC poll was conducted 54 00:04:43.240 --> 00:04:46.680 April seventh to April six to seventh, with a margin of air a plus 55 00:04:46.800 --> 00:04:54.560 or minus of four point four percent. So we're even getting more careless anyways, 56 00:04:54.600 --> 00:04:58.160 Fox News says, in case you did no, Trump announces Candida candidacy 57 00:04:58.240 --> 00:05:03.439 in November of twenty twenty two, but a year's long investigation was indicted by 58 00:05:03.519 --> 00:05:10.079 Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Braggan charges stemming from alleged hush money payments to an adult 59 00:05:10.160 --> 00:05:17.839 film actress, Stormy Daniels, or as magalects to collar Sloody Daniels. After 60 00:05:17.879 --> 00:05:23.240 the former president was arraigned in New York City. The ABC poll revealed that 61 00:05:23.360 --> 00:05:30.040 forty eight percent of Americans think Trump should suspend his presidential campaign. Yeah right, 62 00:05:30.480 --> 00:05:34.199 that's never gonna happen. Forty eight percent see, maga is gonna go 63 00:05:34.240 --> 00:05:41.560 See the majority loves him, the majority wants him to run. I'm gonna 64 00:05:41.600 --> 00:05:46.079 say this. Oh here, Well, the article continues because we got more 65 00:05:46.120 --> 00:05:51.360 polls showing that Up can't win, while Biden leads former president in several recent 66 00:05:51.519 --> 00:05:56.680 polls. Marquette Law School released a survey of the day of Trump's indictment that 67 00:05:56.839 --> 00:06:00.600 found the two potential candidates were neck and neck, both were even thirty eight 68 00:06:00.639 --> 00:06:03.279 percent of the vote, and a hypothetical head to head matchup, about twenty 69 00:06:03.279 --> 00:06:12.920 percent of the respondents said they would support someone else, anybody, anybody. 70 00:06:12.199 --> 00:06:17.680 What's my puppy doing? What's my puppy doing. MPR poll in March found 71 00:06:17.680 --> 00:06:23.319 the sixty one percent of national adults do not want Trump to serve another term, 72 00:06:23.639 --> 00:06:30.079 sixty one percent with any with only thirty eight percent of adults hoping Trump 73 00:06:30.160 --> 00:06:33.519 is elected. So we have a thirty four percent approval rating. We got 74 00:06:33.519 --> 00:06:36.720 thirty from one poll, and we got thirty eight percent that want him to 75 00:06:36.959 --> 00:06:44.920 be elected, So he's probably somewhere between thirty to forty percent, probably closer 76 00:06:44.959 --> 00:06:53.120 to the forty just to be fair, that being Biden will have like sixty 77 00:06:53.160 --> 00:07:00.319 percent and the voting come election. And this is this is before we have 78 00:07:00.920 --> 00:07:05.720 um debates. This is before we have a Georgia indictment. Because Georgia, 79 00:07:05.759 --> 00:07:10.800 he's getting indicted in Georgia. It's there's no if fans or butts about that. 80 00:07:12.720 --> 00:07:15.319 And right, can you imagine what these debates are gonna be like? 81 00:07:15.399 --> 00:07:18.160 Though, you got you got Biden, who's gonna fall asleep hathway through the 82 00:07:18.199 --> 00:07:21.120 way you did in my math talk. And it's not gonna matter what's going 83 00:07:21.199 --> 00:07:26.240 on outside. He's just he's gonna fall asleep. Trump is just gonna spend 84 00:07:26.279 --> 00:07:30.040 his entire time coming up with nicknames, which he is surprisingly good at, 85 00:07:30.120 --> 00:07:33.120 by the way. I have loved every single nickname he's come up with. 86 00:07:34.000 --> 00:07:46.160 Vernda, Santis, men Baby fourteen points down UM. An NPR poll in 87 00:07:46.279 --> 00:07:50.000 March found that the sir that thirty nine percent of Americans have a favorable opinion 88 00:07:50.040 --> 00:07:56.120 of Trump, down three percentage points from November. Um hey, but up 89 00:07:56.160 --> 00:08:03.439 thirty eight percent from summer. So he was at one point last summer that 90 00:08:03.600 --> 00:08:13.040 a margin of air is three point five percent plus or minus Biden as an 91 00:08:13.040 --> 00:08:18.759 approval rating. According to five thirty eight, a forty three percent with a 92 00:08:18.920 --> 00:08:28.199 disapproval of fifty three percent. Fifty three percent of Americans disapprove of Joe Biden, 93 00:08:28.800 --> 00:08:33.159 and yet he still beats Trump and a head to head. Yeah, 94 00:08:33.200 --> 00:08:37.279 and it's not close for the most part. I mean, yeah, fifty 95 00:08:37.320 --> 00:08:43.200 three percent of Americans disapprove of the job that Joe Biden's doing. But you 96 00:08:43.320 --> 00:08:48.759 ask those same fifty three percent would you rather have Trump? And they're all 97 00:08:48.799 --> 00:08:52.200 gonna be like, no, no, would I? Okay, if I 98 00:08:52.279 --> 00:08:54.799 got the phone call and they called me and they said, hello, Matt, 99 00:08:54.879 --> 00:09:00.200 what do you approve of the job that Joe Biden is doing? If 100 00:09:00.240 --> 00:09:03.559 the if I can't answer mid, if I have to answer yes I approve 101 00:09:03.679 --> 00:09:07.039 or no I don't approve, I'm probably gonna go with no, I don't 102 00:09:07.080 --> 00:09:11.639 really approve. If there was a mid one, I would do that mean 103 00:09:11.679 --> 00:09:15.120 he's you know, like whatever, no, no, no harm, no 104 00:09:15.159 --> 00:09:18.039 file but not great. But if they asked me if I was going to 105 00:09:18.159 --> 00:09:22.840 vote for him over Trump, I go, yeah, that's a hard yes, 106 00:09:24.600 --> 00:09:31.360 because unlike we're maga and we've both tried to corner MAGA supporters. And 107 00:09:31.440 --> 00:09:39.039 how bad Joe Biden is. You say he's horrible. Nobody can really give 108 00:09:39.120 --> 00:09:46.360 you besides the talking points whatever. He hasn't been terrible, he hasn't been 109 00:09:46.360 --> 00:09:52.000 great. No, it's it's it's all social issues, like it has nothing 110 00:09:52.039 --> 00:09:56.120 to do for the most part with economic policy, you know what I mean, 111 00:09:56.159 --> 00:10:00.759 Like they've we've quit talking about gas prices and everything like that because you 112 00:10:01.080 --> 00:10:03.759 start talking about the economy as a whole. Everybody wants to talk about how 113 00:10:03.759 --> 00:10:07.240 bad the economy is in the US, and they want to they want to 114 00:10:07.279 --> 00:10:09.639 ignore what's going on in the rest of the world. Right the rest of 115 00:10:09.679 --> 00:10:16.080 the world, their economy tanked too, and in many cases it tanked way 116 00:10:16.120 --> 00:10:18.799 worse than our economy did. So you know, look at some of these 117 00:10:18.799 --> 00:10:22.240 South American countries. They kill to have the inflation that we've got right now. 118 00:10:22.279 --> 00:10:26.639 I mean, we got some South American countries that are like one hundred 119 00:10:26.639 --> 00:10:31.399 and fifty percent two hundred percent inflation. European country has seen it way worse 120 00:10:31.440 --> 00:10:35.240 than us. So yeah, I mean, you look at the economy as 121 00:10:35.279 --> 00:10:37.960 a whole, and has Joe Biden done a great job with it? No, 122 00:10:39.360 --> 00:10:41.840 but clearly he hasn't done the worst job with it either, because look 123 00:10:41.879 --> 00:10:46.039 at the rest of the world, and so you start stepping outside of that. 124 00:10:46.639 --> 00:10:50.399 Okay, we've shot the economy argument down. The only thing they've got 125 00:10:50.480 --> 00:10:54.120 left is social issues. They don't like. They don't like the it's typical 126 00:10:54.159 --> 00:10:58.279 democratic talking points. He's a Democrat. What would you expect him to be 127 00:10:58.320 --> 00:11:01.240 on these social issues? You know what I mean? Like, So, 128 00:11:01.799 --> 00:11:07.120 yeah, I don't none, none of them have given anything of substance in 129 00:11:07.200 --> 00:11:11.440 my opinion that has set back and made me think, yeah, Trump's going 130 00:11:11.480 --> 00:11:15.879 to do a better job. It's just not gonna happen. So I believe 131 00:11:15.919 --> 00:11:18.039 that no matter what, and I think you do as well. Trump's Trump 132 00:11:18.120 --> 00:11:22.960 will be running in November of yes twenty twenty four, for president, either 133 00:11:22.039 --> 00:11:30.000 independent or Republican. I don't know if DeSantis has enough to be Trump. 134 00:11:31.879 --> 00:11:33.000 I don't. I don't think. I thought it was going to be closer 135 00:11:33.039 --> 00:11:39.080 than what it is, but all the polls show DeSantis is not close at 136 00:11:39.120 --> 00:11:43.679 all. Because the Okay, here's the deal, and this is what I 137 00:11:43.759 --> 00:11:46.519 try to explain to MAGA people, and they don't get it. Everybody knows 138 00:11:48.440 --> 00:11:52.559 what they're getting there's nothing new about The only thing knew about Donald Trump is 139 00:11:52.600 --> 00:11:58.200 the indictments. Okay, like that sants nothing nothing else, So you'll already 140 00:11:58.240 --> 00:12:01.559 have your mind made up on him now and there. In fairness to the 141 00:12:01.679 --> 00:12:07.279 Magna crowd, there is about probably thirty five percent of the Republican Party who 142 00:12:07.480 --> 00:12:15.919 loves him de Santez and whoever else gets in has to make up the other 143 00:12:15.960 --> 00:12:20.159 sixty five percent to beat him. So if you have seventeen people running, 144 00:12:20.159 --> 00:12:22.720 which I don't think there'll be seventeen people because I think the Ted Cruises and 145 00:12:22.799 --> 00:12:26.240 all that do not want to go up against Trump. They're afraid of him 146 00:12:26.240 --> 00:12:33.679 for whatever reason. I just don't see how anybody beats him in the primary. 147 00:12:33.720 --> 00:12:37.600 And then we're going to go to a general and Biden's going to win 148 00:12:39.000 --> 00:12:43.879 with sixty percent of the vote. Yeah this time right, It looks like 149 00:12:43.919 --> 00:12:48.240 at this point the only people that are going to run against him are politicians 150 00:12:48.240 --> 00:12:52.919 with nothing left to lose. You've got Asa Hutchinson who's declared, you know, 151 00:12:52.960 --> 00:12:56.600 the former governor of Arkansas. The reason he's not the governor of Arkansas 152 00:12:56.679 --> 00:13:05.039 anymore is because he ran out of terms. So he that is why he's 153 00:13:05.039 --> 00:13:09.639 putting his hat in the political ring for president. And I think that's probably 154 00:13:09.679 --> 00:13:11.080 what's going to happen on the Republican side, is you're either going to have 155 00:13:11.559 --> 00:13:15.759 the List Chaineys of the world throw their hat into the race because they just 156 00:13:15.840 --> 00:13:20.480 despised Trump on a level that is well kind of like my level of of 157 00:13:20.480 --> 00:13:24.720 of of hate for Trump, or you've got people that are at their end 158 00:13:24.759 --> 00:13:28.120 of their political life and they've got nothing better to do, which tells you 159 00:13:28.200 --> 00:13:33.039 that he's probably gonna, you know, nail the primary hands down. And 160 00:13:33.159 --> 00:13:37.360 and I you know, at this point, I'm actually curious to see if 161 00:13:37.399 --> 00:13:41.120 de Santis is even gonna run. I'm surprised that he hasn't declared yet. 162 00:13:41.159 --> 00:13:45.960 He's definitely not giving any indication that he is going to run if if that 163 00:13:46.159 --> 00:13:48.799 is his plan. So at this point, you know, DeSantis is the 164 00:13:48.840 --> 00:13:54.600 one that's closest out of anybody, and he's not that close and it doesn't 165 00:13:54.600 --> 00:13:56.320 even look like he's gonna run, or at least he hasn't declared for it 166 00:13:56.399 --> 00:13:58.360 yet. So yeah, I don't I don't know, I don't know how 167 00:13:58.360 --> 00:14:00.879 all that's gonna go. It's going to be interesting.