Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Dude podcast. I'm your host, Corey
Evans. Thanks for listening to this week's show. For those new to my
program, or as a quick reminder, my end season content schedule is as
follows, Tuesday free show releases and Wednesday paid over on Patreon is published.
So I started that off this week, hence why my episode did not drop
on Monday. Instead, you're seen it now on Tuesday. Finally, the
regular season is upon us, and to prepare for it, I have an
episode titled Down to the Wire. Position battles, five different teams, five
separate, tough and up for debate. Position battles that may or may not
have an answer come week one. Just want to break those down in detail
for you before I do so, quick shout out to both David and Scott
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get right to it. Down to the wire. Position battles first is the
LA Chargers wide receiver three. It's Quinton Johnston verse Joshua Palmer to fit in
alongside Keenan Allen and Mike Williams. So. QJ is a twenty one year
old rookie out of TCU twenty first overall pick six four two fifteen forty and
a half inch vertical eleven ft two month broad jump stand out authletic traits and
yard after catchability, specifically run after the catch. That's where Johnston stands out
drops different story. That's an issue we saw that first ten of the preseason,
not to mention route running also need an improvement because TCU did not implement
or utilize a full rout tree for most of its wide receivers, let alone
QJ. Yet he's a big playwaying to happen with annual yarper catch averages of
twenty two point one, eighteen and a half and seventeen point eight with TCU.
Then we have Joshua Palmer, who turns twenty four later on this month
and between his third NFL season as a former third rounder out of Tennessee.
Let's look back at his twenty twenty one and twenty twenty two receiving logs.
Twenty twenty one is a rookie thirty three fifty three four on forty nine targets
not bad. Twenty twenty two many breakout seventy two, seven sixty nine and
three one hundred and seven targets. He's been a solid, if not above
average third wide out for the Chargers alongside Keenan Allen and Mike Williams. Palmer
has even stepped up as a starter when Keenan and Mike have been sidelined due
to injury. Palmer himself is six one two ten, so not quite as
large as Quentin Johnston. That being said, Palmer is a reliable chains mover
with possession traits plus field instruction ability, but for some reason, the Chargers
have not featured Palmer much downfield. He's averaged ten point seven yards pertetch and
both those rookie and Software campaigns. However, his career got pertect average in
School of Tennessee was fifteen point three on ninety nine total receptions. It's a
matter of usage, and because the Chargers have one of the best field stretchers
or big play threats in football named Mike Williams, it's Josh Palmer as well
as Keenan Allen doing a lot between the twenties across the middle of the field
and towards the sideline. Quentin Johnston profiles more as a Mike Williams type of
player. So how this entire wide rec room pans out will be very interesting.
The Athletic reported this past week that Palmer is actually expected to operate as
a Chargers wobership is three to begin twenty twenty three. The assumption is that
Johnston will begin in a rotational role and eventually use Sir Palmer as a franchise
cornerstone. With Allen and William's aging, I personally think it's going to be
a very fluent situation with a lot of rotating pieces, and that's because of
the presence of new offensive coordinator Kellen Moore. Not to mention Justin Herbert how
we can operate the offense, because we want as much exposure to the charge
of offense as possible, and the cheaper alternative is Joshua Palmer right now compared
to q J basically a third perhaps a fourth for Palmer compared to a first
with Johnston who's been locked in in that range for all of our rookie draft
summer. What is also worth noting is that OC Kellen Moore has been pretty
vocal about mixing and matching all charger wideouts inside outside in order to maximize their
usage and create defensive mismatches all over the field. Next up is the New
York Jets wide receiver three. You have Garrett Wilson locked in as wide receiver
one, Adam Lazard wide receiver two, and turned to the conversation Randall Cobb
versus McCole Hardman. Cobb is now thirty three, has not appeared in a
full NFL season since twenty fifteen. Their ability continues to be an issue for
Randall on the wrong side of thirty. That's what happens to any position player,
let alone a wide out in that age range. Following Aaron Rodgers to
the Jets is promising for cobbs twenty twenty three fantasy out look in deeper leagues
as a flex or even at times desperation wide receiver three option, hoping he
finds the end zone something like that. At this point, we now know
that cobbs fantasy ceiling is capped, even more so with the emergence of Garrett
Wilson, along with the rapport that both Rodgers and Lazard have one another.
That doesn't mean that Cobb will be irrelevant. We just know that he's not
going to be a wide receiver one wide receiver two in fantasy any longer.
He went thirty four four seventeen one on fifty targets of twenty twenty two and
thirteen games played. That could be a realistic benchmark for twenty twenty three,
with perhaps more potential receptions and touchdowns if health cooperates, and then we have
McCole Hardman, who's twenty five, the former second round pick out of Georgia
who did not pan out in Kansas City. Despite the ample draft capital,
there's been literally next to no buzz about mccolla's offseason. Even on Hard Knocks.
He's barely on any episodes or featured extensively. And that's strange because he's
arguably the best deep threat at wide out in the Jets roster. With four
point three three speed target share, it's going to be an issue even in
a rotational role. Hardman could significantly push for career hides across the board by
receiving passes from Aaron Rodgers. This is a matter of efficiency over pure targets.
I'm sure you're wondering or your debate against this case four Hardman will be
well. Patrick Mahomes arguably the stage of his career, better quarterback than Aaron
Rodgers. Hardman couldn't do anything with him all that much. Fair point.
I feel like there's more moving pieces on offense in Kansas City than this current
set up with the Jets, and that could play a role here. Two
dates McColl's best totals collectively as a receiver are fifty nine receptions, six hundred
and nine three yards, receiving, six touchdowns, eight three targets, and
twenty point seven years per catch. I think, if anything, he could
push for more catches, more yards, more targets. Yet the touchdowns and
yards per catch are bit fluky. All in all, this is a tough
debate covers McCole Hardman. I think it's gonna be a committee between those two,
and they're gonna be filling in for one another, spelling each other.
Or if Wilson Lazard every need to take a few snaps off, then Cobb
and Hardman could co exist as completely different wide outs, Cobb being to possession
underneath type wide dot, McCole being that lidlifter down field. This next position
battle is perhaps the most important on this episode. It is Baltimore's wide receiver
one. It's Zave Flowers vers Odell Beckham verse with Shob Bateman. Let's start
with who I think will be bid receiver one. Zay Flowers twenty three next
week. The twenty second overall pick out of Boston College this year, A
bit undersized to profile as a franchise Cabra wide out one five ten a buck
seventy two. Regardless, Za plays larger than said size and comes with game
changing speed four point four two forty. The hype train has left the station
four Flowers. Over the past few weeks, Zay went from being viewed as
a mid to late first in rookie capitol to now on the conversation of being
selected in front of someone like Jordan Addison among rookies in non superflex formats after
the likes of Bjohn Robinson, Jason Jamir Gibbs. There's some Deebo Samuel to
what Flowers does when it comes to versatility. He had fifty seven career Russian
Roboston College and posted a seventy eight ten seventy seven twelve receiving log in twenty
twenty two alone. Even though I'm a big fan of A. Flowers,
I have zero shares of him, just have not been in the range to
select him in rookie drafts or trade for him after the fact, and now
is at the time to try to acquire him either, given his recent bump
in value. That being said, Odell Beckham could still have a role.
He's thirty one of November ob j is a Shelvis former self because of multiplace
heel tears, but he could recapture some old form or value in Baltimore's offense.
He missed all of twenty twenty two, recovering from his latest twenty acl
that occurred at the Rams in their Super Bowl run back in twenty twenty one.
In twenty twenty one Cleveland plus the Rams, Beckham posted a forty four
five thirty seven five receiving log. If he's able to remain on the field
of Baltimore this year, that level of output should be his four in twenty
twenty three. If so, that keeps him on par, if not even
better than Za Flowers With that veteran presence, Za is the future in Baltimore
and it could be an immediate impact. But make no mistake that if Beckham
can just simply remain on the field, then he might have the most to
offer to the Ravens for at least this campaign and then last leave of Shot
Bateman is twenty four November twenty seven. Overall pick out of Minnesota back in
twenty twenty one, has only appeared in nineteen games since becoming a pro due
to a launcher list of injuries. As a rookie in twenty twenty one,
a forty six five fifteen one receiving log on sixty eight targets in twelve games
played twenty twenty two fifteen twenty five two on twenty eight targets and only seven
games played. Bateman has tremendous talent. The issue I had with him as
a prospect was their ability and lack of physicality compared to you other peers in
the twenty twenty one class. I thought at twenty seven overall, it wasn't
a reach, but it wasn't a great fit for a Baltimore had at the
time at wideout when they're clearly a run first team. The X factors for
the Ravens in twenty twenty three are the return Lamar Jackson coupled with the addition
of offensive coordinator Todd Mockin. It's not going to be this massive overhaul where
Baltimore is only a passing team like seventy thirty ratio passed to run. It'll
be more balanced and mock him will bring what worked from Georgia to the NFL.
Now, Makin's not the saving grace to this offense. It's just different
elements compared to Greg Roman, where were so predictable and vanilla. What I
will say is that having three legit wideouts, if healthy and Zay, Beckham
and Bateman, is going to keep defenses on their toes. When you throw
in the Ravens true wide receiver one, he's a tight end, but it's
Mark Andrew's based on target share and overall talent. And then the likes of
JK. Dobbins at running back, Gus Edwards, a sprinkler splash of Keaton,
Mike show Us Hill. You get the idea that this offense is going
to look completely different in twenty twenty three, and whoever ends up as wide
receiver one could legitimately break out before our eyes with fantasy time for a quick
break, and we're back with two more down to the wire position battles for
us to analyze from a Fantasy football lens. That next battle is the New
Orleans Saints RB two. Is it Jamal Williams or Ken Dre Miller. Williams
twenty eight, coming off career year with Detroit in twenty twenty two where he
ran for a two sixty two ten sixty six seventeen line for four point one
years per Cary. Those seventeen rushing touchdowns our career outlier. Don't expect it
to happen again. Jamal did not contribute much as receiver last season, only
twelve catches for seventy three scoreless yards. Those twelve receptions representing a career low.
Williams is actually a more than capable pass catcher. With one hundred and
sixty catches on his NFL resume, he should function as the Saints primary early
down rushier goal line threats during Alvicamaris regain suspension. Then, though, we
have Kendre Miller, exciting prospect, twenty one year old rookie third ground pick
out a TCU ideal build at six feet to twenty possible long term replacement to
both Camary Williams based on their NFL timelines or career arcs so far, a
lack of durability has been Miller's issue. He towards meniscus late in twenty twenty
two. A TCU sustained the nice sprain early on training camp and is now
dealing with some sort of hamstring ailments. Not what you want to see.
That being said, it's unclear what Kendra's week one availability will look like at
this time. If he's able to suit up, then there should be a
sizeable role for him up for grabs in Tan and with Jamal Williams. If
you're not familiar with Ken dre the prospect, he was an absolute force with
TCU registered two thirteen ninety nine seventeen Rushy Loog last season. This is the
best part though posted yearly arbor carry averages in college of seven point two,
seven and a half and six point two. Dude is a big play machine,
home run hitter, very fluid between the tackles and has the speed and
power to bounce it out to the edge. Does he have work to do
as a receiver in a pass protection, of course that could limit his year
one role for the Saints and unless he makes quick improvements, But by most
accounts in terms of Saints beat reporters, when Kener has been working with the
team in practice or in the preseason, he's thriving doing what coaches ask of
him and in line to potentially supplant Williams or Camara in some way, shape
or form, role wise as a rookie. And then, last but not
least, the Arizona quarterback one Is it Clayton Tune or is it Joshua Dobbs.
Right now, it sounds like Tune has the egg, the Obs has
the experience and previous system familiarity. But Tune is not a colne of Kyler
Murray but brings similar traits to the table. So let's break this down because
it has impact on Marquis Brown, Michael Wilson, Zach Ertz, Trey McBride,
James Connor. You get the picture. Who's going to be starting Tune
or Dabbs in fantasy? Not many outside of DFS or two quarterbacks superflex leagues.
That being said, I do think they both Tune adopts should be rostered
in any of those quarterback premium leagues. But Tune himself, as a twenty
four year old rookie fifth round pick out of Houston, a versatile talent with
plus size at six three two twenty. His notable year numbers in school,
how about a sixty three point eight complete percentage rate, one hundred and four
touchdowns to forty one picks and a four twelve eighty fifteen rushing log in totality.
Tune also ran for a four point six four forty yard dash that's among
the best of any quarterback in this year's class, and it's fully on display
with this film in Houston. Just a good fit for what Arizona is doing
right now, which is basically tanking. More on that to come soon.
Then there's Joshua Dobbs twenty eight, former fourth round pick in twenty seventeen to
Pittsburgh, spent time with Tennessee in twenty twenty two. Is a fill in
for Ryan Tannehill Malik Willis. Dobbs to Arizona was actually quite a surprise.
Even more surprising was Arizona letting go of assumed starter Colt McCoy. That's when
the trade for Dobbs occurred. He's only attempted that being Joshua Dobbs eighty five
career NFL passes and registered fourteen rushes, So even though he has ample experience
at twenty seventeen, it's not as a starter. That's very limited reps for
a pro quarterback. Reports about when Kyler Murray will return are all over the
map. Most team sources have indicated that he will return off of are at
some point in twenty twenty three. The issue is the Cardinals are why they're
regarded as one of the worst teams in football, which means a silent tank
for someone like Caleb Williams or Drake may cannot be ruled out. Keep in
mind that Kyler is under contract with Arizona until twenty twenty nine. The first
potential out is in twenty twenty eight, with zero dollars with dead money.
In other words, for a trade to occur, another NFL team needs to
absorb Murray's contract or get created with an offer. If we want to dive
deeper down the rabbit hole. If we recall back to what the Raiders did
it Derek Carr sitting him down the stretch last season, the same could happen
with Kyler because then money isn't guaranteed based on how long a player plays,
based on incentives. It gets ugly. The NFL is a business. Teams
are doing what's best for the bottom line and of course winning. But at
this point it seems like Kyler is at odds with Arizona's franchise. Not based
on Kyler to the player, it's Arizona the situation. They've hit the reset
button, They've traded so many picks, they're moving away from veterans like a
Coote McCoy and instead focusing on Clayton Tune or Joshua Dobbs to coast for this
season until or when Kyla Murray is back. So keep an eye on Tune
versus Dabbs. The player itself doesn't have much meaning from fantasy, but I
do hope that it's Tune for the sake of the wide receivers running backs in
tight ends in Arizona, so that we can start them and use them and
hopefully have an adequate offense to move the ball downfield. That will do it.
Hope you all enjoyed this week's episode. A quick recap of Down to
the Wire position battles. We have the Chargers wide receiver three and Clayton Johnston
versus Joshua Palmer. The Jets wide receiver three Randall covers McCole Hardman, Baltimore's
wide receiver one Say Flowers, Odell Beckham Overshot Bateman, New Orleans RB two
Jamal Williams versus Kendra Miller, and Arizona quarterback one Clayton Tune versus Joshua Dobbs.
Any follow up questions, you know the spot to be that is Patreon
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you call over on Google Meets. I am available both in and off
season. So don't think that because now actual recordsys games has been playing,
that I'm unavailable for those calls. No, I like to offer that service
to my loyal audience whenever throughout the entire calendar year. We're here. Finally,
week one is upon us. We've waited the entire offseason. I'm super
pumped. I'm sure you're all on the same boat. Good luck to everybody
this season, and I hope that the Dynastu podcast helps you win and either
remains or becomes a staple in your podcast rotation until next time. This is
the Dynasty you're checking out. I will talk to you all next week. See you