WEBVTT 1 00:00:00.360 --> 00:00:07.519 Ninety five miles an hour riding to his head. You hop it down first 2 00:00:07.679 --> 00:00:13.640 with the lump bonius face, and on the very next pitch he up and 3 00:00:13.800 --> 00:00:26.199 stole second face with gretest beeed he wasn't born. He had the di Yes 4 00:00:27.399 --> 00:00:32.600 uniform. All right, Happy New Year, everyone. Welcome to episode seventeen 5 00:00:32.719 --> 00:00:36.439 of the Prospect B Sides Podcast. I am Nate Handy, joining me as 6 00:00:36.479 --> 00:00:42.000 always is rook Vin Rokster. How are you's right? I am excellent. 7 00:00:42.280 --> 00:00:46.039 Happy New Year to you, twenty twenty four. May all of your dynasty 8 00:00:46.119 --> 00:00:49.640 dreams come true. Well, one of those dreams is kicking your ass in 9 00:00:49.679 --> 00:00:53.240 the league, So let's hope that happens. We'll see, I'm making moves 10 00:00:53.280 --> 00:00:57.359 and you're sitting there just saying you're not getting offered enough for Freddy Freeman. 11 00:00:57.520 --> 00:01:02.159 But I'm not here making moves for aces. I'm marinate man. You gotta 12 00:01:02.240 --> 00:01:06.799 let things bake, you know. I just make as many trades as possible. 13 00:01:06.799 --> 00:01:08.640 I'm out here like Jerry Depoto, a j preller. You got a 14 00:01:08.640 --> 00:01:12.120 trade, you get a trade, you get a trade. Well, we're 15 00:01:12.120 --> 00:01:17.120 gonna start off the new year with some first year players. We're gonna get 16 00:01:17.159 --> 00:01:23.439 into first year player. That's first year player drafts. Matt. I hear 17 00:01:23.480 --> 00:01:26.599 you've got a soapbox to get on. Well, I mean, I'm gonna 18 00:01:26.640 --> 00:01:30.920 try not to, but I guess I have so many little berks. But 19 00:01:32.560 --> 00:01:37.680 first year player drafts, guys, dynasty players, this is your time to 20 00:01:37.959 --> 00:01:44.439 like really express yourself, have fun, get your guys. This idea of 21 00:01:45.159 --> 00:01:49.400 chalk and value in a first year player draft, Matt, it really just 22 00:01:49.480 --> 00:01:52.439 kind of drives me crazy. Well, you got you got to tip the 23 00:01:52.519 --> 00:01:56.760 top of a draft right where there's probably I don't know, five to ten 24 00:01:56.840 --> 00:02:01.480 first year players that are probably the more logical responsible bets. But then I 25 00:02:01.480 --> 00:02:06.439 don't know, after that, go get your guys your every draft, I've 26 00:02:06.439 --> 00:02:08.639 been doing this for a little while. Every single draft there are guys that 27 00:02:08.840 --> 00:02:14.960 are complete busts at the top, studs throughout studs at the end. Even 28 00:02:15.080 --> 00:02:19.479 even a thirty team, one hundred and fifty two hundred player draft, and 29 00:02:19.560 --> 00:02:23.240 you can still get Ty Francis and Edward Julians at the end of the draft. 30 00:02:23.680 --> 00:02:27.080 I just want folks to loosen up a little bit. Here. So 31 00:02:27.120 --> 00:02:30.319 many, so many first year player draft boards and ranks, and I'm not 32 00:02:30.479 --> 00:02:36.039 and I'm not knocking anyone who does this, but they all look so similar, 33 00:02:36.319 --> 00:02:39.840 and I'm just always very suspicious of a league when everything is going as 34 00:02:39.879 --> 00:02:46.240 consensus. I mean, where does consensus come from in first year player drafts, 35 00:02:46.240 --> 00:02:49.039 Matt, how does it come to be? And we have I think 36 00:02:49.039 --> 00:02:54.520 it's like it's like anything in when you've got public analysts, right, you 37 00:02:54.560 --> 00:03:00.199 see what other people say, and there's a little bit of the natural tendency 38 00:03:00.520 --> 00:03:06.639 not to want to separate yourself from the herd or the hive mind. And 39 00:03:07.120 --> 00:03:12.000 I do think that it coalesces. And then there's also just only so much 40 00:03:12.039 --> 00:03:15.639 space that everyone can devote to this, and so it's pretty easy to look 41 00:03:15.639 --> 00:03:20.280 at and say, well, this person was picked in the first round, 42 00:03:21.039 --> 00:03:27.719 this person public guru says x y Z, And I think that for a 43 00:03:27.759 --> 00:03:30.560 lot of people were looking at some of the same things. And you know, 44 00:03:30.599 --> 00:03:35.120 I said this yesterday when I wrote that little article for Cleig that it 45 00:03:35.280 --> 00:03:39.400 was ranking prospects is super hard. Even when you have quite a bit of 46 00:03:39.520 --> 00:03:45.199 data from minor league, right different from many minor league seasons, there just 47 00:03:45.280 --> 00:03:49.159 isn't as much information for these guys, and so I think some of the 48 00:03:49.240 --> 00:03:54.000 like clumping tends to happen maybe a little bit more because there's more uncertainty, 49 00:03:54.560 --> 00:03:58.759 right, No, I agree, I feel like there's a lot of false 50 00:03:58.840 --> 00:04:01.719 confidence in all of this. Like so, and then again, I'm not 51 00:04:01.919 --> 00:04:05.080 I'm not knocking anyone. This is this is hard stuff. There's so much 52 00:04:05.159 --> 00:04:10.400 unknown, there's so much more gauntlet for these players to have to get through. 53 00:04:10.599 --> 00:04:15.439 But like, no one in the dynasty world really there's a few are 54 00:04:15.479 --> 00:04:21.720 like following amateurs year long, very focused, strictly, strictly looking at amateurs, 55 00:04:21.800 --> 00:04:25.759 right and yet, so then we have a draft in the summertime, 56 00:04:26.120 --> 00:04:30.000 and then first year player draft ranks come out a month or two after that, 57 00:04:30.360 --> 00:04:34.480 and then that like kind of sets it, and then it's still without 58 00:04:34.720 --> 00:04:40.079 there's so much more still to be learned till you know, whenever most drafts 59 00:04:40.120 --> 00:04:45.399 are January February. Got players that start hitting pro ball, we can start 60 00:04:45.439 --> 00:04:49.040 watching them against other pros. You know, there's think of like Evan Carter's 61 00:04:49.439 --> 00:04:54.279 of the world, who no one really saw coming in the second round. 62 00:04:54.360 --> 00:04:57.879 We can still learn about these guys we didn't know about them before. I 63 00:04:57.959 --> 00:05:01.519 feel like it just kind of perpetuates itself, and well and on the other 64 00:05:01.600 --> 00:05:06.000 side of things too. It's like you maybe did pay attention to a conference 65 00:05:06.160 --> 00:05:11.879 or a school, or you saw a lot of a guy in college, 66 00:05:11.879 --> 00:05:15.199 and these guys are the best of the best, but then they hit pro 67 00:05:15.319 --> 00:05:18.920 ball and they struggle or they aren't as good as they seemed. That for 68 00:05:19.040 --> 00:05:24.680 me was a big wake up way back when I was playing, where we 69 00:05:24.720 --> 00:05:28.839 would sit there across the diamond from some elite prospects and be like, this 70 00:05:28.920 --> 00:05:32.720 guy is great, this guy kind of sucks, this guy's overrated, and 71 00:05:32.759 --> 00:05:36.360 then see them get drafted in various places and then a lot of them really 72 00:05:36.399 --> 00:05:42.079 struggled. I mean, I remember Ike Davis was I think had the best 73 00:05:42.120 --> 00:05:46.399 batting practice that I had ever seen in college. He played at Arizona State 74 00:05:46.439 --> 00:05:49.399 and we played against him, and this guy went just line drive over the 75 00:05:49.399 --> 00:05:54.000 shortsteps, head line drive over the second base, line drive over the second 76 00:05:54.040 --> 00:05:59.240 baseman's head in its first swings in batting practice, then line drive off the 77 00:05:59.759 --> 00:06:02.399 opposite field wall, line drive off the center field wall, line drive off 78 00:06:02.399 --> 00:06:06.160 the right field wall for his second round of batting practice, and then his 79 00:06:06.279 --> 00:06:11.240 third round of batting practice, opposite field home run, center field home run, 80 00:06:11.600 --> 00:06:15.879 pulled right field home run. It was some insane shit. And like 81 00:06:15.079 --> 00:06:18.480 I played on the same field as him many times, and I was like, 82 00:06:18.639 --> 00:06:21.199 I can't do that. That guy's incredible. And he went in the 83 00:06:21.199 --> 00:06:25.759 first round and had an okay career but ended up playing out after a couple 84 00:06:25.800 --> 00:06:28.000 of years, and I was like, that's the best hitter I've ever seen, 85 00:06:28.399 --> 00:06:30.759 you know, Yeah, And so like even those kinds of things, 86 00:06:32.120 --> 00:06:36.800 you can follow somebody pretty closely in the amateur side of things, but until 87 00:06:36.800 --> 00:06:43.319 they're facing really great pitchers day and day out, you know, Iron Sharpen's 88 00:06:43.360 --> 00:06:46.040 iron, right, and you don't really know until you see him on the 89 00:06:46.079 --> 00:06:48.319 highest stage. So I think there's some of that too. And I think 90 00:06:48.319 --> 00:06:50.959 we'll talk a little bit about this with some of the guys that we've both 91 00:06:51.040 --> 00:06:59.040 flagged where we really liked something about their either prep or undergrad careers. But 92 00:06:59.399 --> 00:07:01.519 there's more information to be had as soon as you see him in pro ball. 93 00:07:01.800 --> 00:07:05.360 You know, this idea of like getting the most value out of your 94 00:07:05.439 --> 00:07:11.120 pick in the first year player draft, Like this isn't NFBC. This isn't 95 00:07:11.160 --> 00:07:16.120 like super scientific NFBC redraft stuff. There's more of a science to it. 96 00:07:16.240 --> 00:07:20.120 There's more numbers that can be applied to it. This stuff. Like so 97 00:07:20.199 --> 00:07:26.639 many times earlier in playing Dynasty, I'd feel like, well, this guy 98 00:07:26.720 --> 00:07:30.759 was the first rounder. I've got to can't I can't drop him to hear, 99 00:07:30.360 --> 00:07:32.759 I've got to pick him if he comes to here. I say, 100 00:07:32.800 --> 00:07:36.160 screw all that. You do not have to pick a player just because they 101 00:07:36.160 --> 00:07:40.680 were drafted high or given a lot of money. We have seen plenty of 102 00:07:40.800 --> 00:07:46.120 dudes just absolutely suck and never be anything. Yeah, And I think that's 103 00:07:46.160 --> 00:07:48.680 something that's something that I've learned, even just in the last year or so 104 00:07:48.920 --> 00:07:54.759 talking with you, Nate and listening to you, because being in on your 105 00:07:54.800 --> 00:07:58.839 guys and having a reason for it and like you know, do your own 106 00:07:59.000 --> 00:08:03.600 research, or you really like watching somebody play, like put your flag down 107 00:08:03.639 --> 00:08:07.399 and actually buy in. I mean, I'm guilty of this a lot. 108 00:08:07.480 --> 00:08:09.879 Like I do try and run the numbers. I do try and make sure 109 00:08:09.920 --> 00:08:15.439 that I'm advancing something about my team with every trade that I make, even 110 00:08:15.439 --> 00:08:18.000 if some like I lose, but it works for me because I made a 111 00:08:18.120 --> 00:08:22.240 roster move that helped out my team in the long run, or I had 112 00:08:22.240 --> 00:08:24.160 a roster crunch and I needed to get something out of it. I'm always 113 00:08:24.160 --> 00:08:28.839 trying to read paper clip with trades. I rarely am trying to do a 114 00:08:28.879 --> 00:08:35.039 trade that helps somebody else more than me, and that sometimes for historically, 115 00:08:35.120 --> 00:08:39.879 I would hw too closely to prospect rankings and say like, well, this 116 00:08:39.919 --> 00:08:41.759 guy's ranked really highly, Like yeah, i'll take him back. One that 117 00:08:41.799 --> 00:08:48.720 I remember from last year was Dowdy was Toronto second baseman. He was in 118 00:08:48.919 --> 00:08:52.320 college performer and all of this, Like he was like a second round pick 119 00:08:52.399 --> 00:08:56.559 or something and had a lot of helium and was like back in top one 120 00:08:56.639 --> 00:09:00.639 hundreds for a couple of people, and so I like accept did him as 121 00:09:00.720 --> 00:09:03.000 one of the main pieces back in a small trade that I did, And 122 00:09:03.320 --> 00:09:07.840 after I watched him, i'd already made the trade. I watched him, 123 00:09:07.840 --> 00:09:09.440 I dug into it. I was like, this guy's terrible, Like he's 124 00:09:09.480 --> 00:09:13.639 never going to make the major leagues. I'm way out. But I fell 125 00:09:13.679 --> 00:09:18.480 for it because he was a back end top one hundred guy for some people. 126 00:09:18.600 --> 00:09:20.919 And that was because he got paid a decent amount of money and was 127 00:09:22.320 --> 00:09:26.279 a relatively high traffick. And I think I'm much more likely now to make 128 00:09:26.320 --> 00:09:33.240 a trade that might look to an industry person or some talking head or some 129 00:09:33.559 --> 00:09:35.720 loudmouth, and our discord like, hey, you got taken for a ride 130 00:09:35.799 --> 00:09:39.000 on this trade, Like what are you doing? Because I'm like, honestly, 131 00:09:39.080 --> 00:09:41.960 I disagree. I think this guy is going to be really good. 132 00:09:43.039 --> 00:09:46.519 And I've made a couple of those trades in our league. You've refrained from 133 00:09:46.600 --> 00:09:48.600 calling me an idiot, Nate, but you know, I think some of 134 00:09:48.639 --> 00:09:52.759 the people in the league were chomping at the bit when some of my trades 135 00:09:52.759 --> 00:09:56.720 went through. They're like, you traded what for? What? So I'm 136 00:09:56.759 --> 00:10:01.720 more willing to look like an idiot now because I find my guides that I 137 00:10:01.840 --> 00:10:05.879 like and and I think to your point, seeing that in f ypds, 138 00:10:05.000 --> 00:10:09.919 like have your own lists, you know, if you've got especially in these 139 00:10:11.000 --> 00:10:15.200 this is when this is when you get to do this when there's not what's 140 00:10:15.240 --> 00:10:18.519 what's the repercussions? What what if you what if you didn't take Austin Martin 141 00:10:18.559 --> 00:10:22.200 in the top five or top two like everyone said you had to, like 142 00:10:24.120 --> 00:10:28.519 especially in leagues where you can pick up prospects during the season, like in 143 00:10:28.639 --> 00:10:31.279 my opinion, you don't have anything to lose. Your guys, is the 144 00:10:31.320 --> 00:10:35.600 guy that you wanted to go for ends up sucking cool. Now I got 145 00:10:35.600 --> 00:10:39.440 a spot that I can fill with some Christian Scott or whoever. Right, 146 00:10:39.840 --> 00:10:43.840 I mean, you don't have anything to lose. Man, Like I missed 147 00:10:43.879 --> 00:10:46.960 out on a stud. You're you're gonna miss out on a stud. It's 148 00:10:48.000 --> 00:10:52.120 gonna happen. Someone's gonna pop that you weren't on. Somebody that you pick 149 00:10:52.279 --> 00:10:56.440 is gonna suck like. It's just that's going to happen. You're not batting 150 00:10:56.480 --> 00:11:00.799 a thousand here, So I don't know, I just I a little too 151 00:11:01.240 --> 00:11:05.480 unreasonably so, just annoyed when people talk about chalk in first year player drafts, 152 00:11:05.519 --> 00:11:11.080 there is no chalk, no, you know, like this is like 153 00:11:11.320 --> 00:11:16.159 the dude the White Sox took Gonzalez, Jacob Gonzalez off my board fifteen old 154 00:11:16.200 --> 00:11:20.879 well pick not taking him like under no circumstance. I don't care if I'm 155 00:11:20.879 --> 00:11:24.399 in the fifth round of my thirty teamer. I'm just not and I'm not 156 00:11:24.399 --> 00:11:28.519 going to lose sleep over it, even if he turns into some stud which 157 00:11:28.519 --> 00:11:33.519 I would never bet on. Just have more fun with it. It's nice 158 00:11:33.799 --> 00:11:37.240 much. I think I think that's I think that is a great perspective on 159 00:11:37.320 --> 00:11:41.000 this of like have some fun with it. This is a chance to reach 160 00:11:41.080 --> 00:11:43.879 for somebody, you know that that might be great. And also like if 161 00:11:43.879 --> 00:11:48.919 you do some homework and you end up finding yourself way higher on somebody, 162 00:11:50.000 --> 00:11:54.200 like it's a great way to trade back. I did this in one of 163 00:11:54.240 --> 00:11:58.720 my deep dynasty leagues last year, where I had already traded away a couple 164 00:11:58.759 --> 00:12:01.960 of my earlier picks. And the way that that league does it, even 165 00:12:03.240 --> 00:12:07.279 the first round of that draft is like thirty picks deep already, so it's 166 00:12:07.320 --> 00:12:11.519 like if you have the first pick in the FYPD, it's actually like the 167 00:12:11.559 --> 00:12:16.240 thirty first pick of the draft. H and so it's already super deep. 168 00:12:16.679 --> 00:12:20.879 My guys that I was looking at, I was like, nobody cares about 169 00:12:20.919 --> 00:12:24.320 these guys. So I was just trading back and trading back and trading back, 170 00:12:24.519 --> 00:12:28.120 and ended up getting a few guys that I turned into other pieces like 171 00:12:28.120 --> 00:12:30.960 that I was able to trade away later in the year, and then a 172 00:12:31.000 --> 00:12:33.600 couple that never panned out. But like that happens. You know, that's 173 00:12:33.679 --> 00:12:37.879 just that's just the name of the game for sure. And you know, 174 00:12:37.919 --> 00:12:41.919 I wanted to ask you too. So these players that we're going to talk 175 00:12:41.919 --> 00:12:45.399 about they were drafted in what July now, right beginning of July. Then 176 00:12:45.399 --> 00:12:48.840 they get you know, they get up to like one hundred and fifty played 177 00:12:48.879 --> 00:12:52.039 appearances in pro ball, some of them. Right, what's your what's your 178 00:12:52.080 --> 00:12:54.960 take on this? Two players in particular, I think are a good example. 179 00:12:56.120 --> 00:12:58.759 So you've got Tase Davis, who's drafted in the first round, right, 180 00:13:00.159 --> 00:13:01.519 A lot of buzz, a lot of hype about him, right, 181 00:13:01.559 --> 00:13:05.919 people had him initially very high on their first year player draft ranks, and 182 00:13:05.960 --> 00:13:11.279 he hits the Florida State League and just quite frankly sucks. Right. Then 183 00:13:11.320 --> 00:13:16.039 you got a what Chase Boafran, who I've never seen play because he hasn't 184 00:13:16.080 --> 00:13:22.159 been televised, but put up amazing numbers, right and has gotten some love 185 00:13:22.200 --> 00:13:28.279 from people who have more and sophisticated information than I same league crushes it. 186 00:13:28.320 --> 00:13:31.679 But he was drafted in what like the sixth round or something, I don't 187 00:13:31.679 --> 00:13:35.919 know what it was. Okay, So now today, like, how much 188 00:13:35.919 --> 00:13:39.960 weight do you put into that, Like, would you take Boafron over Chase 189 00:13:39.000 --> 00:13:43.440 Davis? Yeah, that's a tough question. And I think we'll get into 190 00:13:43.440 --> 00:13:46.960 this with some of the guys that we've we've lined up to talk about, 191 00:13:46.039 --> 00:13:52.960 because there are a couple of guys that I'm really interested in that were more 192 00:13:52.039 --> 00:13:58.120 like Chase Davis if they had sort of underwhelming debuts and if you go on 193 00:13:58.159 --> 00:14:03.440 their fangraft, you're like, oh, this guy debuted wasn't very good. 194 00:14:03.200 --> 00:14:07.399 But if you don't do the extra step of like how was he in college 195 00:14:07.440 --> 00:14:11.600 and who did he play and all of that, it looks like a terrible 196 00:14:11.879 --> 00:14:18.120 player who's flopping already. And so I think generally you want to put more 197 00:14:18.159 --> 00:14:22.320 weight on the bigger samples, so like you really should care about their college 198 00:14:22.320 --> 00:14:28.240 career. There's more information that you can glean from that, especially with some 199 00:14:28.279 --> 00:14:31.120 of the reporting that you get from Baseball America and from Chris Clegg, Like 200 00:14:31.279 --> 00:14:35.360 they report some of the things that are a little bit more useful looking at 201 00:14:35.360 --> 00:14:41.519 their ninetieth percentile exit velo stuff, and then you know you can infer a 202 00:14:41.600 --> 00:14:46.480 lot about their competition based on what kind of conference they're in. That said, 203 00:14:46.080 --> 00:14:50.360 I think you want all of the information, and so if you do 204 00:14:50.440 --> 00:14:56.960 see some red flags that pop up in their pro debuts, it's worth paying 205 00:14:56.000 --> 00:15:01.440 attention to that, Like, it's worth seeing that and Chase Davis. He's 206 00:15:01.480 --> 00:15:07.519 one that I think there might be some signal to the bad debut in the 207 00:15:07.559 --> 00:15:11.799 fact that he wasn't very good on the cape and was just downright awful and 208 00:15:11.919 --> 00:15:16.120 pro ball like he might be a guy that he's just not that good with 209 00:15:16.639 --> 00:15:20.320 wood bats, and that some of the things that he was doing maybe were 210 00:15:20.600 --> 00:15:24.919 inflated by some of the things that college programs can do. I know that 211 00:15:24.960 --> 00:15:28.360 this is something that I've heard from one of my buddies who's a college coach, 212 00:15:28.559 --> 00:15:33.519 that there are programs that fully exploit all the things they can, and 213 00:15:33.559 --> 00:15:37.519 sometimes that means that rolling to try and break the BSR, the sort of 214 00:15:37.960 --> 00:15:43.519 limiting the impact that the bats can do. So those sort of unlocked bats 215 00:15:43.799 --> 00:15:48.440 add to the exit velos that are reported and of course the performance that comes 216 00:15:48.480 --> 00:15:50.960 out of that. And then when you can't do that and you're hitting with 217 00:15:50.039 --> 00:15:54.120 wood like some guys, I think it's a big red flag when they don't 218 00:15:54.200 --> 00:15:58.360 hit the ground and perform. And someone whose whole profile depends on hitting for 219 00:15:58.399 --> 00:16:03.600 power like that poke some holes in him, and it certainly made me pause 220 00:16:03.600 --> 00:16:07.600 because I thought he was like a really interesting guy coming into the draft and 221 00:16:08.000 --> 00:16:11.279 seeing just how poor he was like, I think you gotta take that into 222 00:16:11.360 --> 00:16:15.919 account. Yeah, yeah, I don't disagree with anything you said there, 223 00:16:15.000 --> 00:16:19.039 but I do have to say, over the years, I admit that I've 224 00:16:19.080 --> 00:16:25.200 become and I'm just way more like, prove it right this. I understand 225 00:16:25.600 --> 00:16:27.720 you're drafted in a different place, you're paying a different amount of money, 226 00:16:27.799 --> 00:16:32.600 and I think that says a lot in regard to what the organization thinks about 227 00:16:32.639 --> 00:16:34.639 you and what kind of opportunity you're going to have. But for me, 228 00:16:34.720 --> 00:16:38.279 it's like once they hit pro ball like that, that matters a lot more 229 00:16:38.320 --> 00:16:41.960 to me than I think it used to. So I'm much more likely now 230 00:16:42.120 --> 00:16:45.440 today to just say, yeah, Chase Davis, I was, I was 231 00:16:45.519 --> 00:16:49.120 interested in you made a lot of money. Cardinals are very hopeful you have 232 00:16:49.159 --> 00:16:53.039 a lot of skills, But like this, dude, Boafron has been kicking 233 00:16:53.080 --> 00:16:56.639 your ass, and I don't think it's that much of a worse gamble to 234 00:16:57.039 --> 00:17:00.600 take a chance on you. So I don't know that's It's just something that 235 00:17:00.639 --> 00:17:04.160 I've noticed has changed for me to some degree over the years. Yeah, 236 00:17:04.200 --> 00:17:07.279 it's a balance, right, and I think you do have to do it 237 00:17:07.319 --> 00:17:11.440 on a case by case basis. There are some guys to their performance is 238 00:17:11.599 --> 00:17:15.279 just so exceptional that you can't help but be like, wow, I'm a 239 00:17:15.319 --> 00:17:18.759 hater and I can't find anything to hte about this. You know, you 240 00:17:18.799 --> 00:17:23.759 look at just how incredible Why at Langford's debut was. You know, he 241 00:17:23.839 --> 00:17:27.839 had the great college performance. He was sort of statistically like scouting wise, 242 00:17:29.039 --> 00:17:30.400 right up there at the very very tippy top, and then he hit the 243 00:17:30.440 --> 00:17:36.319 ground and just absolutely destroyed the minor leagues. This is like a no doubt 244 00:17:36.480 --> 00:17:41.480 number one prospect for me. Like everyone's so excited about your Jackson holidays and 245 00:17:41.519 --> 00:17:45.000 even your churios. What Why at Langford just did is like, to me 246 00:17:45.119 --> 00:17:48.440 more impressive than what they've done, and is like he kind of earned that 247 00:17:48.559 --> 00:17:52.640 again, like he had a lot to like coming into college, Like the 248 00:17:52.640 --> 00:17:56.440 body of his work before hitting pro ball was really really great. But what 249 00:17:56.559 --> 00:18:00.200 he did once he got to college, and even if some of it is 250 00:18:00.200 --> 00:18:03.039 a bit of a mirage, it's still just like, holy crap, that 251 00:18:03.240 --> 00:18:06.720 was incredible. There are some other guys that are like that too. You 252 00:18:06.720 --> 00:18:08.960 know, obviously you know your boy Colt Emerson, like I know how you 253 00:18:10.000 --> 00:18:14.400 feel about Marini's prospects, and like that just impressed you so much that Cole 254 00:18:14.440 --> 00:18:19.920 Emerson's probably like top top four pick, top three pick for you now not 255 00:18:21.039 --> 00:18:26.759 quite dark. Yeah, so I you want to follow me on Twitter at 256 00:18:26.799 --> 00:18:33.359 Pitching Specs. I shared a Google sheet with about forty four guys that kind 257 00:18:33.359 --> 00:18:37.039 of got my hitters that got my attention in full season ball doing my video 258 00:18:37.119 --> 00:18:41.200 review for this. There's also a tab on there see this, man, 259 00:18:41.240 --> 00:18:45.759 I could never do like first year player draft rankings because I have guys on 260 00:18:45.799 --> 00:18:51.599 there where I don't have guys on there that probably have value but not for 261 00:18:51.680 --> 00:18:53.799 me. But there's also a tab on there where I think I listed about 262 00:18:55.119 --> 00:19:02.119 sixties No. Ninety nine first year player domestic bats and very loosely arranged them 263 00:19:02.400 --> 00:19:06.920 how I might be coming to the draft table with my ideas. We can 264 00:19:07.000 --> 00:19:11.759 talk about this list for at least four hours. I just like, I 265 00:19:11.799 --> 00:19:17.359 love so much about it, and I like it down that it's almost more 266 00:19:17.359 --> 00:19:19.920 exciting the people that you left off the list than the people on the list. 267 00:19:21.000 --> 00:19:25.039 So we're going to be mostly positive today. I think, yeah, 268 00:19:25.079 --> 00:19:27.519 let's do it. Let's start the guys that we like. Yeah, I 269 00:19:27.640 --> 00:19:33.680 still have I still have two hitters from our b side selection organizational thing that 270 00:19:33.720 --> 00:19:37.559 we did that I have not talked about because they were first year player draft 271 00:19:37.599 --> 00:19:41.119 bats. Now, both of these guys, I think on my list there 272 00:19:41.200 --> 00:19:47.440 I've got like around fifty, so I'm not like going to be super aggressive 273 00:19:47.480 --> 00:19:51.759 about them in first year player drafts, but interesting enough to me to be 274 00:19:51.839 --> 00:19:55.279 a B side selection. And you know that range from shoot, I don't 275 00:19:55.319 --> 00:20:00.640 know, freaking twenty to sixty seventy. The rest of the yes, it 276 00:20:00.720 --> 00:20:03.640 was just pretty much the same glob For me. It's more about what kind 277 00:20:03.680 --> 00:20:07.200 of player do you want to do you want to go after, what kind 278 00:20:07.240 --> 00:20:11.160 of opportunity, how much more needs to be you know, developed for them 279 00:20:11.200 --> 00:20:14.799 to be an everyday player sort of thing. And I'm still very much in 280 00:20:14.839 --> 00:20:17.799 the process of learning about a lot of these players and watching a lot of 281 00:20:17.839 --> 00:20:22.160 them still, So it's all it's all very rough draft until I'm on the 282 00:20:22.200 --> 00:20:26.440 clock. But the two bats I wanted to talk about two B side selections 283 00:20:26.519 --> 00:20:32.480 quickly. My Baltimore bat was Matthew Etzel. I like it. I like 284 00:20:32.559 --> 00:20:36.160 it, yeah, And I know he got a little bit of popularity. 285 00:20:36.200 --> 00:20:38.720 I think he got some good pub but he was a tenth round pick out 286 00:20:38.720 --> 00:20:45.599 of Southern myst The Orioles debated him about one hundred and sixty seven K signing 287 00:20:45.640 --> 00:20:49.319 bonus between A and I A. This year he got in one hundred and 288 00:20:49.359 --> 00:20:53.240 twenty four plate appearances. He hit two home runs and stole twenty one bases. 289 00:20:53.960 --> 00:20:56.440 He's a lefty, who I think what? I don't know? What 290 00:20:56.480 --> 00:21:00.680 do they have him listed at? Isn't that super big? Maybe not quite 291 00:21:00.680 --> 00:21:07.160 small enough to join your crew? But getting there? Hey, he's six 292 00:21:07.319 --> 00:21:11.200 two two eleven, strapping young fellow? Is that what they hadnam listening to? 293 00:21:11.759 --> 00:21:15.559 Really, I'm going to take the under. But okay, all right, 294 00:21:15.680 --> 00:21:19.200 I think you're just taking the younger under because he looks awkward. But 295 00:21:19.480 --> 00:21:23.839 he's a good athlete, like he's a he's a strapping young fellow. I 296 00:21:23.880 --> 00:21:27.960 mean it could be that this gift that I'm currently watching, the homeplate umpire 297 00:21:29.200 --> 00:21:33.400 is seven foot four. I mean that could be. So what his walk 298 00:21:33.440 --> 00:21:37.880 percentage was sixteen point nine percent, struck out eighteen and a half percent. 299 00:21:38.000 --> 00:21:41.319 So you like that sort of thing, mat, sure? Do? Uh? 300 00:21:41.319 --> 00:21:47.200 He slashed three twenty three, four fifty five five ten the one eighty 301 00:21:47.200 --> 00:21:52.119 eight ISO That was good enough for one hundred and sixty nine WRC plus in 302 00:21:52.240 --> 00:21:56.640 the bad ball profile. There's I think a lot to like there, pulls 303 00:21:56.640 --> 00:21:59.480 the ball forty six percent of the time, doesn't hit it on the ground 304 00:21:59.480 --> 00:22:03.799 too much. Watching him, I would say he does have no no, 305 00:22:03.160 --> 00:22:07.559 there is something I can't quite articulate it, but there is something a little 306 00:22:07.799 --> 00:22:11.200 slightly awkward about his swing, Matt, do you think so? Definitely? 307 00:22:11.640 --> 00:22:15.200 Oh, yes, my notes, because I articulate what it is well, 308 00:22:15.240 --> 00:22:18.359 I can try. I liked Etsel a lot too when I was evaluating the 309 00:22:18.759 --> 00:22:25.119 Baltimore system, and he kind of reminds me of a guy that I played 310 00:22:25.119 --> 00:22:30.279 with who had sort of similar a similar swing where he makes a lot of 311 00:22:30.319 --> 00:22:33.359 contact and is really fast, and I think has leaned into that in his 312 00:22:33.720 --> 00:22:38.359 career, and so he is sort of staying really short to the ball, 313 00:22:38.440 --> 00:22:41.160 like he had a coach that was like, you need to stay short to 314 00:22:41.240 --> 00:22:45.680 the ball over everything, unlike another guy that we're going to talk about. 315 00:22:45.680 --> 00:22:48.599 Any think he's trying to be as short to every ball as possible, and 316 00:22:48.640 --> 00:22:53.000 that means that his hands are sort of always inside the baseball, which you 317 00:22:53.039 --> 00:22:56.599 hear old school hitting people talk about that is like such a good thing, 318 00:22:56.799 --> 00:23:02.160 but for somebody like and for someone like him, it works, but it 319 00:23:02.200 --> 00:23:06.039 looks kind of awkward, whereas you look at someone who has sort of a 320 00:23:06.640 --> 00:23:12.279 i'd call it like a modern optimized swing like your besios or some other guys 321 00:23:12.279 --> 00:23:17.559 that we talked about like this that really get their arms extended. You know, 322 00:23:17.880 --> 00:23:22.000 this is this is the your Don Alvarez swing of like you're clearing your 323 00:23:22.000 --> 00:23:26.000 elbows and then getting the barrel out so that you can pull the ball in 324 00:23:26.039 --> 00:23:29.559 the air. Etzel. Despite his pull, you know, forty six percent 325 00:23:29.559 --> 00:23:33.079 is solid for a pole. He's hitting a lot of line drives, and 326 00:23:33.119 --> 00:23:34.440 I think a lot of that is like, even when he's pulling it, 327 00:23:34.559 --> 00:23:40.000 he's still keeping his hands inside the ball. And so I'm betting that when 328 00:23:40.039 --> 00:23:42.319 we see his exit blows as he gets up higher, that they're going to 329 00:23:42.359 --> 00:23:48.119 be underwhelming, even though he's a strong athletic guy, because of this kind 330 00:23:48.160 --> 00:23:52.759 of awkward tendency to stay really inside the ball. So that's that's my best 331 00:23:52.799 --> 00:23:56.000 way to describe it. Yeah, that makes that makes sense. Thank you, 332 00:23:56.039 --> 00:23:57.839 Thank you for that. There's something about him too, especially like the 333 00:23:57.839 --> 00:24:02.839 way that he turns on inside pitches that kind of reminds me a little bit 334 00:24:02.880 --> 00:24:06.559 of Brett Wisely too. Well, Yeah, I've liked in the past, 335 00:24:06.599 --> 00:24:08.599 who just hasn't found the major league success yet. Yeah, so excellent, 336 00:24:08.599 --> 00:24:14.559 And I do admit if he wasn't in the Oriole system, I probably would 337 00:24:14.599 --> 00:24:17.680 want to be a little bit more aggressive with him. I just think he's 338 00:24:17.680 --> 00:24:19.920 going to have to be really freaking good the rest of the way. So 339 00:24:19.960 --> 00:24:23.039 I don't know. I don't know if that has played into it for you, 340 00:24:23.160 --> 00:24:27.880 Matt, as far as you might be valuing him these upcoming drafts, 341 00:24:27.880 --> 00:24:32.119 but it has for me a little. Yeah, And you know where, 342 00:24:32.119 --> 00:24:34.240 You've got him ranked as pretty similar to where I had him, which is 343 00:24:34.400 --> 00:24:38.599 way higher than I'd seen him anywhere else. Like, I think that this 344 00:24:38.720 --> 00:24:45.559 kind of profile gets under valued in the Dynasty community, Like this is sort 345 00:24:45.599 --> 00:24:48.720 of a kind of a Brett Gardner starter kit. Like he's speedy, He's 346 00:24:48.799 --> 00:24:52.200 going to be able to play the outfield reasonably well. So seeing him as 347 00:24:52.240 --> 00:24:56.640 a left field or fourth outfielder type who makes a lot of contact, has 348 00:24:56.680 --> 00:25:00.519 some speed, I think there's more power there and it might take a swing 349 00:25:00.559 --> 00:25:03.359 tweak to get to all of it. But I liked him a lot, 350 00:25:03.400 --> 00:25:08.000 and I was a fan, even despite sort of the awkward swing. I 351 00:25:08.000 --> 00:25:11.920 think there's a real player here. Yeah, he's got he's pretty, he's 352 00:25:11.960 --> 00:25:15.519 pretty smooth up there, a smooth line drive stroke. So yeah, so 353 00:25:15.559 --> 00:25:19.079 that's so, that's that's the oriole I went with. And then what was 354 00:25:19.119 --> 00:25:22.839 the other organ Oh and then I needed to talk about my angel. So 355 00:25:22.880 --> 00:25:29.599 there was very little to see of my choice Joe Redfield. There was an 356 00:25:29.680 --> 00:25:33.359 injury, he was playing some series that were not broadcast out there in the 357 00:25:33.359 --> 00:25:37.160 Northwest League. But this was an organization. It really came down to two 358 00:25:37.240 --> 00:25:41.559 first year of players for me. But I decided to go with Redfield more 359 00:25:41.599 --> 00:25:47.079 out of curiosity. He didn't really like blow up the statuet here. Sixty 360 00:25:47.079 --> 00:25:51.599 five played appearances between the complex and Hia hit a home run, he stole 361 00:25:51.640 --> 00:25:55.839 three bags, walked nine percent of the time, struck out seventeen percent of 362 00:25:55.880 --> 00:25:59.079 the time. He slashed two forty six, three thirty eight four h four. 363 00:25:59.480 --> 00:26:04.200 But red Field, Matt, I just I kind of have an infatuation 364 00:26:04.359 --> 00:26:08.359 with this and I don't tend to understand it all that well. But he's 365 00:26:08.400 --> 00:26:15.319 got super wide bass, super wide standard. I don't know, bagwell style 366 00:26:15.480 --> 00:26:22.359 like my guy Canceal does with all those hitters in the Rocky system's and he's 367 00:26:22.400 --> 00:26:26.559 really you know, baseball uniforms are not the most flattering all the time, 368 00:26:26.599 --> 00:26:30.400 but you can like just tell that this guy, he doesn't he doesn't miss 369 00:26:30.440 --> 00:26:34.480 like upper body days. He's strong, and he's got some speed, and 370 00:26:34.519 --> 00:26:40.119 I think he's a true center field prospect who I just want to see if 371 00:26:40.160 --> 00:26:45.240 he can hit hit enough to uh get a major league role, but perhaps 372 00:26:45.240 --> 00:26:48.759 a little bit, perhaps a nice little blend of hit, pop and speed 373 00:26:49.359 --> 00:26:55.359 might get dynasty. Dynasty interesting that you know, this very deep level interesting. 374 00:26:55.400 --> 00:26:57.599 I'm gonna make a note and watch a little of him. He's not 375 00:26:57.759 --> 00:27:03.920 one that on any of my lists. He's very simple up there. He's 376 00:27:03.960 --> 00:27:06.200 you know, like I said, standing really wide, lifts the foot up 377 00:27:06.200 --> 00:27:10.839 a little bit and then unleash is what I think is a pretty pretty good 378 00:27:10.880 --> 00:27:14.119 looking line drive type of stroke. And like I said, I think he's 379 00:27:14.119 --> 00:27:18.240 pretty strong. Interesting. You know, fourth round pick isn't anything, uh 380 00:27:18.400 --> 00:27:22.279 take too lightly. You know, would they pay him about half a million? 381 00:27:22.480 --> 00:27:25.759 Yeah, I'm pretty solid too for a mid major guy and one who 382 00:27:25.880 --> 00:27:27.960 was you know, fine on the cape, I'd say, you know, 383 00:27:29.519 --> 00:27:32.880 yeah, I'm just, but I just, I'm just I don't get how 384 00:27:32.920 --> 00:27:38.440 people can hit like this, how they can generate so much pop. It's 385 00:27:38.720 --> 00:27:41.960 fascinating to me. I'm watching his gift right now. The one I got 386 00:27:42.039 --> 00:27:47.880 is just from behind home plate taking Hayden winder yard. But there's there's definitely 387 00:27:47.920 --> 00:27:51.160 some video and some side views of him out there. I just haven't cut 388 00:27:51.200 --> 00:27:55.519 him up. Interesting. He said that was a homer. Yeah, nice, 389 00:27:55.920 --> 00:27:59.319 Yeah, that was his one home run on the season. Nice. 390 00:28:00.359 --> 00:28:03.440 All right, nice, Paul. Here, let me let me show you 391 00:28:03.480 --> 00:28:07.079 something. I have a picture of him from the side here. That's how 392 00:28:07.160 --> 00:28:15.400 wide. Oh yeah? Nice? All right, Matt, So those are 393 00:28:15.440 --> 00:28:18.240 the you didn't have any uh first of your player B sides? Did you 394 00:28:18.240 --> 00:28:22.680 you did? I did well? The floor is yours, my friend, 395 00:28:22.960 --> 00:28:26.279 I did well. Just to rehash the couple that I had touched on CJ. 396 00:28:26.480 --> 00:28:32.279 Kafis was, oh yeah, I picked I think seventh in our in 397 00:28:32.319 --> 00:28:38.000 our initial draft, and I again, he's one of these like really interesting 398 00:28:38.359 --> 00:28:42.759 profiles where he's a first baseman, but he's played a little bit of outfield 399 00:28:44.200 --> 00:28:48.480 but has some speed, so it's not clear to me why he couldn't play 400 00:28:48.480 --> 00:28:52.000 a little outfield and pros, and he just had one of the most impressive 401 00:28:52.039 --> 00:29:00.440 debuts of any draftd absolutely crushed stole bases, crushed home runs, a low 402 00:29:00.480 --> 00:29:04.960 babbb and still put up just an incredible triple slash. So Cjkpiss is one 403 00:29:04.960 --> 00:29:08.079 that, like, I was so pumped on. It's like, you look 404 00:29:08.079 --> 00:29:11.599 at him, he walks, he doesn't strike out that much. He lifts 405 00:29:11.640 --> 00:29:18.559 his pulled fly balls and gets homers that way. It's like that is you 406 00:29:18.559 --> 00:29:21.519 know, there's not a lot of projection. This isn't someone you're looking at 407 00:29:21.599 --> 00:29:23.920 and say like, oh, he's going to be XYZ kind of guy. 408 00:29:25.279 --> 00:29:29.680 But I think he's good enough that he's going to hit and become a real 409 00:29:29.960 --> 00:29:33.519 prospect to at least given what he's seen so far. Is there any concern 410 00:29:33.799 --> 00:29:38.240 that to you that he hit line drives at a six point three percent clip, 411 00:29:38.480 --> 00:29:45.599 I think it's pretty small samples. And he hit a lot of flyballs 412 00:29:45.720 --> 00:29:49.000 and pulled them and they got out, you know, so like there's there. 413 00:29:49.039 --> 00:29:55.200 I was looking at somebody else who had a similar really low line drive 414 00:29:55.319 --> 00:29:57.640 rate. Again small sample, but as like, this guy's awesome. He 415 00:29:57.799 --> 00:30:02.240 just didn't hit many lines drives, but it didn't matter because it was like 416 00:30:02.400 --> 00:30:08.319 homers. Did he legit spray the ball evenly Pool Center and APPO thirty everywhere? 417 00:30:10.000 --> 00:30:14.319 Did he That's what I got down here. I think he might have, 418 00:30:14.440 --> 00:30:17.519 but I think when he hit the ball in the air, it was 419 00:30:18.240 --> 00:30:22.480 pulled like that was at least I watched a lot of him because I you 420 00:30:22.519 --> 00:30:26.400 know, saw the line and then was super intrigued because I hadn't heard anybody 421 00:30:26.440 --> 00:30:30.880 talk about him at all at this point back in September, and his like 422 00:30:30.039 --> 00:30:36.960 watching watching this guy just nuke balls. I was like, this is a 423 00:30:36.960 --> 00:30:41.240 real hitter, Like how did he only get seven hundred grand in the third 424 00:30:41.319 --> 00:30:45.559 round from a big program like Miami. And it's also sort of an interesting 425 00:30:45.240 --> 00:30:51.839 guy for Cleveland to go after. He's not doesn't really seem like their type. 426 00:30:51.960 --> 00:30:56.599 Although his his U college numbers were not quite as gaudy as he as 427 00:30:56.599 --> 00:31:00.559 he was in No, you're right, he was like thirty three percent each 428 00:31:00.599 --> 00:31:03.279 way. But I think it was just like the dude when he was pulling 429 00:31:03.279 --> 00:31:08.000 the ball, it was in the air and hit four homers in seventy seven 430 00:31:08.039 --> 00:31:15.240 played appearances. That's ridiculous for a guy like this. Matt we're somewhat becoming 431 00:31:15.640 --> 00:31:21.960 accidentally like a Miami Hurricane podcast too, I know. And the other guy 432 00:31:22.119 --> 00:31:26.480 that I'm going to talk about is my He was my NATS hitter, also 433 00:31:26.599 --> 00:31:33.000 from the Hurricanes. This He was a comp pick or early second rounder I 434 00:31:33.039 --> 00:31:37.680 think this past year, and I feel like he kind of fell in the 435 00:31:37.759 --> 00:31:45.519 draft according to some Yeah, he did, and he ended up not having 436 00:31:45.559 --> 00:31:48.519 a good debut. And I think this is part of why I wanted to 437 00:31:48.599 --> 00:31:52.160 talk about him, because he's a pretty boy, like he was a I 438 00:31:52.160 --> 00:31:56.759 think a top thirty prospect for a couple people coming into the draft because he 439 00:31:57.039 --> 00:32:01.720 basically did nothing but astely rake in college, you know, as a freshman, 440 00:32:02.119 --> 00:32:07.400 went two eighty four, three forty three, five thirty one in the 441 00:32:07.440 --> 00:32:12.920 ACC which is not a poverty conference, Like they're pretty good, and then 442 00:32:13.319 --> 00:32:17.200 stepped it up for a one thousand and sixty one ops in his sophomore year, 443 00:32:17.279 --> 00:32:21.880 and then a one thousand, one hundred and eighty seven OPS in his 444 00:32:22.000 --> 00:32:27.000 junior year, which included twenty homers. Like that's a pretty good hitter, 445 00:32:27.359 --> 00:32:30.920 you know, nineteen percent strikeout rate, ten percent walk rate. So maybe 446 00:32:30.920 --> 00:32:35.599 the approach isn't like as pristine as some, but I was like, this 447 00:32:35.640 --> 00:32:38.039 guy is going to hit for power. He's a really interesting prospect, and 448 00:32:38.160 --> 00:32:42.200 like I think a lot of the knock on him was can he really play 449 00:32:42.279 --> 00:32:45.640 third base in the pros? Like if this is a right handed hitting first 450 00:32:45.640 --> 00:32:50.000 baseman, like then it's less interesting and that might be part of why he 451 00:32:50.119 --> 00:32:55.599 felt. But his debut was interesting in it he hit zero homers. This 452 00:32:55.759 --> 00:33:02.839 guy appearances yeah, and like fifty homers in his college career and then didn't 453 00:33:02.920 --> 00:33:08.000 hit a homer over almost two hundred plate appearances in his debut. He still 454 00:33:08.160 --> 00:33:13.200 hit well, like, struck out at most twenty percent of the time, 455 00:33:13.480 --> 00:33:16.720 was walking ten percent of the time, again very similar to his college career. 456 00:33:17.039 --> 00:33:22.240 Was still hitting for power, like what did he have sixteen doubles, 457 00:33:22.400 --> 00:33:24.440 four triples, you know, showing off a little bit of speed, like 458 00:33:24.559 --> 00:33:30.839 and watching him, it seemed like he, I don't know, was maybe 459 00:33:30.200 --> 00:33:32.640 just hitting the ball on the ground a little too much, or was like 460 00:33:32.680 --> 00:33:37.799 trying to hit line drives too much and wasn't hitting fly balls. But I 461 00:33:37.839 --> 00:33:42.119 thought that power was still there, and so he's one that I thought like 462 00:33:42.319 --> 00:33:47.519 despite pedigree and seemed like visual evaluation was that he was going to be a 463 00:33:47.640 --> 00:33:52.400 real power hitter. He is going to fly under the radar a bit, 464 00:33:52.440 --> 00:33:53.759 So he's one just I wanted to highlight. And then the other thing that 465 00:33:53.759 --> 00:33:58.119 we talked about a bit is like I think the NATS system is poop. 466 00:33:58.200 --> 00:34:00.440 It's really bad. So he was like the only guy that I was like, 467 00:34:00.519 --> 00:34:05.240 Okay, I'm actually interested in him, and I don't think he's quite 468 00:34:05.240 --> 00:34:09.000 getting the love that maybe maybe he deserves, so it'll be interesting to see 469 00:34:09.079 --> 00:34:13.519 him. I'm guessing he's starting next year at Double A. That's where he 470 00:34:13.679 --> 00:34:19.320 ended last year and again had a really solid line, just wasn't hitting for 471 00:34:19.639 --> 00:34:22.360 power. Again, super small sample at Double A, but I think that's 472 00:34:22.360 --> 00:34:24.679 where he starts next year, and I wouldn't be surprised if he turns in 473 00:34:24.719 --> 00:34:31.480 a twenty homer season next year and with decent contact and decent average. So 474 00:34:31.599 --> 00:34:37.199 yeah, I'm interested, and I think we're talking about like kind of a 475 00:34:37.239 --> 00:34:40.159 mid first round talent in the eyes of many heading into the draft, and 476 00:34:40.280 --> 00:34:44.360 like, you know, dude, his name is Yo Handy. I'm into 477 00:34:44.400 --> 00:34:49.400 it, Yo Handy Handy, all right, Morales. Yeah, And then 478 00:34:49.440 --> 00:34:52.199 I guess I had kind of forgotten in the first year player draft, I 479 00:34:52.199 --> 00:34:55.519 did take a couple of I'm sorry, excuse me. In our B side 480 00:34:55.599 --> 00:34:59.239 hitter draft, I did take a couple of ye first year of players, 481 00:35:00.079 --> 00:35:05.519 I think second. My second hitter choice was Trevor Werner, who I saw 482 00:35:05.599 --> 00:35:09.280 he has gotten up to about ten percent ban Track's roster percentage, which is 483 00:35:09.320 --> 00:35:14.320 still I think fairly low. And you know, going off of what we 484 00:35:14.360 --> 00:35:17.800 had talked about earlier, this is a guy that this is hard for me. 485 00:35:17.840 --> 00:35:21.039 I mean, he I know it was a ball, and I know 486 00:35:21.239 --> 00:35:24.760 I didn't notice Matt in that league. There were a lot of college hitters 487 00:35:24.800 --> 00:35:29.599 that came into that league and just scorched the ball, which does make me 488 00:35:29.719 --> 00:35:34.000 question is there maybe a lesser quality of pitching in that league down the stretch 489 00:35:34.079 --> 00:35:37.559 of the season. But I liked Warner enough. I liked the look of 490 00:35:37.639 --> 00:35:40.840 him, I like what he did that I'm having a hard time keeping him 491 00:35:42.079 --> 00:35:45.119 off the top of my domestic bat list here, Like, I don't think 492 00:35:45.159 --> 00:35:50.639 it's crazy to bypass a lot of prettier names, and I don't know, 493 00:35:50.719 --> 00:35:53.480 pop him in the top fifteen. That's the problem. I'm right there with 494 00:35:53.519 --> 00:35:58.800 you, like that. Werner is a guy that I mentioned to you in 495 00:35:58.960 --> 00:36:04.239 this auction that I did this offseason thirty team Super Deep Roasters, Super Late. 496 00:36:04.360 --> 00:36:07.840 Nobody else was interested in him, and I was like, gimme Trevor 497 00:36:07.880 --> 00:36:12.679 Warner, especially in that format where power is really really rewarded. He's a 498 00:36:12.679 --> 00:36:15.960 guy that's going to hit for power. You know. He slugged almost seven 499 00:36:16.199 --> 00:36:21.639 over seven hundred, I guess in his debut in the Complex and a ball 500 00:36:21.679 --> 00:36:25.519 combined. I'm pretty sure it was real. Like he's hitting oppo tanks that 501 00:36:25.559 --> 00:36:30.039 are just laser line drives, so like sure, I feel like a little 502 00:36:30.119 --> 00:36:36.199 soft. I feel like everything he hit was was really hard. Yeah. 503 00:36:36.239 --> 00:36:39.559 I mean he's got that kind of swing, like he is big was he 504 00:36:39.679 --> 00:36:45.119 like six' four kind of lean looking, but you see just he keeps 505 00:36:45.119 --> 00:36:49.199 his arms way away from his body as he's swinging. He's getting all of 506 00:36:49.239 --> 00:36:53.000 that leverage and made enough contact. I mean the strikeout rate was maybe a 507 00:36:53.079 --> 00:36:58.599 touch high, especially at the Complex and that super small sample, but yeah, 508 00:36:58.760 --> 00:37:02.519 like for a seven one hundred slug strikeout thirty percent of the time, 509 00:37:02.559 --> 00:37:05.800 I don't care. He's one you want to see more of, right, 510 00:37:05.880 --> 00:37:07.840 a college guy just at a ball. I think we talked about this with 511 00:37:07.880 --> 00:37:10.360 respect to a couple of other guys that we were like, oh, this 512 00:37:10.440 --> 00:37:15.280 might be a pretty interesting hitter, but why was why weren't they challenged at 513 00:37:15.320 --> 00:37:19.360 a higher level? But yeah, I was going to start at High A 514 00:37:19.519 --> 00:37:22.519 next year and I'm super into it too. I was also a good hitter. 515 00:37:22.880 --> 00:37:27.519 I was also noticing, as I think it's three years later, but 516 00:37:27.559 --> 00:37:31.239 I think there is still some I don't know, transition or maybe a shift 517 00:37:31.239 --> 00:37:36.519 in thinking about this that maybe hasn't totally taken place. But like a lot 518 00:37:36.519 --> 00:37:39.599 of these college guys that were in a ball, there was still pretty much 519 00:37:39.880 --> 00:37:45.320 league average age, and I kind of feel like maybe that wasn't the case 520 00:37:45.480 --> 00:37:49.519 in this league, but I kind of feel like a ball is pretty equivalent 521 00:37:49.679 --> 00:37:55.840 to your better college conference pitching. I was just something that much. I 522 00:37:55.880 --> 00:38:00.679 was reading something about this recently, and I think that there is some truth 523 00:38:00.760 --> 00:38:07.119 to that. It's variable though, right like looking at the weekend starters for 524 00:38:07.559 --> 00:38:10.840 sure, like in the SEC or your Friday night guys on a given you 525 00:38:10.920 --> 00:38:14.719 in the ACC or in the pack, like, there are gonna be some 526 00:38:14.960 --> 00:38:19.360 dudes that are like those are double A pitchers easily. Right now, you 527 00:38:19.360 --> 00:38:22.360 could argue that some oftimes it's those are guys who belong in the major leagues, 528 00:38:22.519 --> 00:38:27.400 so that depends. But then you also face a lot of guys that 529 00:38:27.440 --> 00:38:30.800 are like this guy's gonna go on to be an accountant and is not a 530 00:38:30.800 --> 00:38:35.920 pro prospect at all, especially in midweek or a Sunday game, so that 531 00:38:36.599 --> 00:38:39.360 it's just pretty variable. So like we always used to say, you're super 532 00:38:39.400 --> 00:38:44.920 elite college pitchers that come into pro ball and get their tits with oh for 533 00:38:45.000 --> 00:38:47.679 sure, Yeah, yeah, yeah. I think it's kind of fairly appropriate 534 00:38:47.719 --> 00:38:52.440 competition for these guys in their draft year to come into a ball I don't 535 00:38:52.440 --> 00:38:55.800 think they're bulling too often. I mean, you know, there's plenty plenty 536 00:38:55.800 --> 00:38:59.880 of guys who can't do that. Chase Davis, like we talked about, 537 00:39:00.039 --> 00:39:02.599 you know, yeah, definitely, definitely, And this is no doubt a 538 00:39:02.679 --> 00:39:07.679 hot streak, right, Like, he's not a four hundred babeb guy and 539 00:39:07.199 --> 00:39:12.800 he babeb to what like four thirty on the season this year, Like that's 540 00:39:12.880 --> 00:39:15.760 not that's not him. And I mean this is if this is really him 541 00:39:15.880 --> 00:39:19.880 when he showed I mean we just this is the greatest b side of all 542 00:39:19.960 --> 00:39:24.239 time, right yeah, right, And he's he's not a thirty percent home 543 00:39:24.320 --> 00:39:29.599 run to fly ball guy. But I think what this is saying is like 544 00:39:29.679 --> 00:39:35.119 you look at this really great debut and you look at his solid college pedigree, 545 00:39:35.159 --> 00:39:37.280 and you're like, I'm going to round up a little bit on this 546 00:39:37.480 --> 00:39:42.280 bat, and so for your leagues, that really reward power. I'm way 547 00:39:42.320 --> 00:39:45.519 more interested in Werner than I am. I think some of the other guys 548 00:39:45.519 --> 00:39:47.519 will we'll talk a little bit about, but think there's real reasons why, 549 00:39:47.800 --> 00:39:52.000 especially if you know your format well, you should rocket someone like Werner way 550 00:39:52.079 --> 00:39:57.519 up your board and wherever your cutoff is where you're just like, Okay, 551 00:39:57.679 --> 00:40:00.760 now this is really opened up. That's why I'm sick of him. That's 552 00:40:00.800 --> 00:40:04.800 where I'm going to take a stab at him. And then where you slot 553 00:40:04.880 --> 00:40:09.519 him in in this Oh I don't where I think I got him like twelve 554 00:40:10.239 --> 00:40:15.280 twelve, Yeah, there you go. Yeah, but that's not like do 555 00:40:15.400 --> 00:40:22.440 I Yeah, I mean, like I said, this is it's a blob 556 00:40:23.159 --> 00:40:29.039 however you want. But ever said, it's definitely above Werner for me, 557 00:40:29.320 --> 00:40:32.440 just for the for the record, but Werner I'm very excited about. Okay, 558 00:40:32.800 --> 00:40:37.639 do we want to talk about Emerson? Here's here's my here's my thing 559 00:40:37.639 --> 00:40:40.840 with Emerson. We're not hating them, the pretty boys and this, okay, 560 00:40:42.199 --> 00:40:45.760 all right, all right, guys that we like. I was just 561 00:40:45.840 --> 00:40:49.639 I was just giving you our time, because that's a take. Also in 562 00:40:49.840 --> 00:40:54.639 our B side hit or draft, I took Ethan O'Donnell, who's a left 563 00:40:54.639 --> 00:41:00.079 handed hitter from Virginia who I still want to see more. I know he 564 00:41:00.119 --> 00:41:04.039 didn't fare too well against lefties, and that might be kind of a thing, 565 00:41:04.079 --> 00:41:07.000 but I think he's a true center field prospect for them. I just 566 00:41:07.119 --> 00:41:09.719 really liked the look. There wasn't a lot to see, but I just 567 00:41:09.800 --> 00:41:13.880 really liked pretty much every at bat that I saw from him. I just 568 00:41:13.880 --> 00:41:16.519 thought he was very much in control, and I liked his stroke. I 569 00:41:16.559 --> 00:41:23.119 got him sitting probably I don't know, like thirty seven somewhere in there on 570 00:41:23.119 --> 00:41:29.199 the hitter list for yeah, like I don't know, Chase Davis, I 571 00:41:29.239 --> 00:41:31.760 don't know. I'd maybe take a swing on O'Donnell over Chase Davis. That 572 00:41:31.800 --> 00:41:35.719 depends on a lot. And you convinced me. You convinced me on o'donnald. 573 00:41:35.760 --> 00:41:37.639 I took a swing on him in that really deep Diynasay leaguehere, I 574 00:41:37.719 --> 00:41:42.320 ran out of money and just was trying to take prospects that nobody else had 575 00:41:42.360 --> 00:41:45.320 ever heard of. And so I grabbed a share of o'donnald On. That 576 00:41:45.360 --> 00:41:49.480 way, maybe maybe he can be the next Virginia guy who's a better pro 577 00:41:49.599 --> 00:41:52.719 than than amateur. That's a real thing, you know. One thing that 578 00:41:53.440 --> 00:41:59.719 I think it's wake right, that that's a place where you should round down 579 00:42:00.119 --> 00:42:05.199 on their pitchers because they do a really great job of optimizing at wake, 580 00:42:05.440 --> 00:42:08.239 and then there is in a lot more projection on the vine. And Virginia 581 00:42:08.320 --> 00:42:13.000 is the opposite for hitters. Like you see a Virginia hitter and they go 582 00:42:13.039 --> 00:42:15.920 into pro ball, like you might round up, because Virginia is a terrible 583 00:42:15.960 --> 00:42:21.840 place to coach for hitters because they just don't tell their hitters how to be 584 00:42:21.880 --> 00:42:25.840 good pros. And then the last bat that I had taken then I got 585 00:42:25.880 --> 00:42:30.360 sitting in about the same range, and that was a guy Charles Macado. 586 00:42:30.679 --> 00:42:34.840 Mac Yeah, I don't know, dude, you think that's fair. I 587 00:42:34.880 --> 00:42:38.679 was just curious where you might slot him or be thinking about him. I 588 00:42:38.920 --> 00:42:44.519 like it. I actually really like slotting him near Geno Groover, which you 589 00:42:44.639 --> 00:42:47.679 have in a really similar range. I think that they have a chance to 590 00:42:47.719 --> 00:42:54.000 be really similar kinds of players. They're both big, physical, strong hitters 591 00:42:54.440 --> 00:43:00.800 who were you know, like Groover wasn't where do you go to school? 592 00:43:00.800 --> 00:43:05.159 Again? Like, uh oh, what's Virginia Tech? Groover? I can't 593 00:43:05.159 --> 00:43:07.320 remember where he went, but I don't think it was like a SEC power 594 00:43:07.519 --> 00:43:13.880 school. And McAdoo was a mid major guy NC State, that's right, 595 00:43:13.920 --> 00:43:19.880 acc Yeah, So I those are like good college performers, but both I 596 00:43:19.920 --> 00:43:25.559 think have some similarities. Mcadow had an insane start to his his pro career. 597 00:43:25.880 --> 00:43:30.239 That's not the guy that he is. And I do think there's some 598 00:43:30.320 --> 00:43:32.360 funk to his swing. I think when we talked about him before, I 599 00:43:32.440 --> 00:43:37.000 comped it a little bit to Marcelo Zuno, like he steps in the bucket 600 00:43:37.039 --> 00:43:42.039 a little bit, his hands maybe stay inside the ball a little bit longer 601 00:43:42.039 --> 00:43:44.519 than you want, so maybe there's like a little bit of side spin even 602 00:43:44.559 --> 00:43:46.679 though it looks like he's smoking the ball. So I think there may be 603 00:43:46.760 --> 00:43:52.159 your crackization. Yeah, Well, one difference, Matt was Macadow hit five 604 00:43:52.199 --> 00:43:55.920 home runs in the Florida State League. Well, Groover hit one in the 605 00:43:55.960 --> 00:44:00.480 Northwest League. Yeah, and I saw a Groover. I've one of the 606 00:44:00.480 --> 00:44:05.320 games that I saw him, he hit a laser off the left center gap, 607 00:44:05.400 --> 00:44:10.320 like really well struck backspun ball, he moved pretty well. I think 608 00:44:10.400 --> 00:44:16.119 that they just have some swing and body similarities that make me feel like, 609 00:44:16.199 --> 00:44:20.800 yeah, they're they're sort of in that bucket together of like there might be 610 00:44:20.880 --> 00:44:24.159 more here. Because Grewer was like a fourth rounder or third rounder or something, 611 00:44:24.239 --> 00:44:28.719 Andover was a second rounder. He was the second rounder, and then 612 00:44:29.000 --> 00:44:32.960 McAdoo was like eighth round. No, so Groover was second round he got 613 00:44:32.960 --> 00:44:39.719 one point eight mil and mcado was thirteenth round and he got one hundred and 614 00:44:39.719 --> 00:44:45.239 thirteen. Yeah, so I mean, like, I think that McAdoo has 615 00:44:45.280 --> 00:44:49.920 a lot of the same tools and skills as Groover, and so they're sort 616 00:44:49.920 --> 00:44:52.639 of similar to me. But again, like McAdoo is going to be cheaper 617 00:44:52.159 --> 00:44:57.039 to draft, so like you miss you like Groover, it's a good fit 618 00:44:57.079 --> 00:45:00.920 for your league, Like, Okay, take McAdoo thirty later or whatever. 619 00:45:00.079 --> 00:45:04.880 So I'm a big fan of mcdew. I really want to see him succeed 620 00:45:05.000 --> 00:45:08.519 and continue to succeed because his debut was so fun and as a guy that 621 00:45:08.599 --> 00:45:14.599 I think has some real skills that it's fun to see those mid major guys 622 00:45:15.039 --> 00:45:19.159 break out. Agreed, all right, And then I had one more that 623 00:45:19.199 --> 00:45:23.119 I wanted to touch on before we dive a little bit deeper. And that's 624 00:45:23.159 --> 00:45:29.039 another guy that you've got ranked pretty highly. But he's another one that popped 625 00:45:29.039 --> 00:45:32.559 for me looking at the Baltimore system, which is just an embarrassment of riches, 626 00:45:32.920 --> 00:45:40.559 but it's a Mac Horvaff And Horrvaf's a guy that you ranked really highly, 627 00:45:40.679 --> 00:45:45.559 and I am right there with you. He was a just missed for 628 00:45:45.679 --> 00:45:49.480 me in our B side hitters draft. I think if we've gone to ten, 629 00:45:49.599 --> 00:45:52.639 he might have been my next pick. I think he was a second 630 00:45:52.679 --> 00:45:59.480 rounder as well out of YEP. And this is the kind of guy that 631 00:46:00.320 --> 00:46:01.840 his approach. Oh, I think this is who I was looking at when 632 00:46:01.880 --> 00:46:05.760 I was talking about someone with a really low line drive rate. You can 633 00:46:05.840 --> 00:46:12.760 double check me on this, but Horvath is the kind of like modern three 634 00:46:12.840 --> 00:46:17.360 true outcomes hitter. Like he walks a crap ton. He does strike out 635 00:46:17.480 --> 00:46:22.480 some of it because he's pretty passive at the plate, but when he swings, 636 00:46:22.559 --> 00:46:27.159 he swings really frickin' hard and he pulls the shit out of the ball. 637 00:46:27.480 --> 00:46:30.760 So I think his fly ball rate was like in the sixties at one 638 00:46:30.800 --> 00:46:35.679 of the levels this year. Let me pull it up because his plate approach 639 00:46:35.760 --> 00:46:40.360 is like an extreme version of what you want to see and he brings patience, 640 00:46:40.760 --> 00:46:45.079 power and speed to this. And I think he's one of these guys 641 00:46:45.119 --> 00:46:52.199 that, like is, has a questionable home on defense. Might not be 642 00:46:52.320 --> 00:46:55.000 like they list him as a second baseman, third baseman, but he might 643 00:46:55.159 --> 00:47:01.400 shift to the outfield outfielder. It's just he's not great on defense, is 644 00:47:01.440 --> 00:47:07.519 what I can gather. But yeah, he pulls the ball sixty percent of 645 00:47:07.559 --> 00:47:10.440 the time in HIA. He didn't hit a line drive, but he hit 646 00:47:10.559 --> 00:47:15.920 seventy percent fly balls, so he was just yanking the ball and putting him 647 00:47:15.960 --> 00:47:20.280 out and it was good for a one to and D four WRC plus. 648 00:47:20.639 --> 00:47:23.840 Again, small samples, but I watched every game that this guy was in 649 00:47:24.039 --> 00:47:29.719 HIA, and he looked so good. At the play he I think was 650 00:47:29.760 --> 00:47:31.960 there with Basaio at the same time, and watching the two of them hit 651 00:47:32.039 --> 00:47:37.880 back to back, it was like, these guys are actual big league hitters, 652 00:47:37.280 --> 00:47:44.079 and everybody else around them looks like college hitters or minor leaguers. And 653 00:47:44.639 --> 00:47:49.400 I was so taken by by this guy. I think mac Krvath like he 654 00:47:49.480 --> 00:47:52.079 had a crazy debut. I'm really excited to see him next year. But 655 00:47:52.280 --> 00:47:55.880 this is the kind of guy that I think in that Emmanuel Rodriguez kind of 656 00:47:55.960 --> 00:48:01.360 vein where he's going to be extra patient, gonna absolutely torch the ball when 657 00:48:01.400 --> 00:48:06.480 he swings, and has enough speed to do damage on the bases that this 658 00:48:06.480 --> 00:48:08.880 this could be one of my steals of the draft. Like I'm I'm as 659 00:48:08.920 --> 00:48:13.920 excited abou him as anybody. I like it. Horvath was I don't know, 660 00:48:13.960 --> 00:48:20.400 a rare dozen two dozen college hitters that I kind of tracked and followed 661 00:48:20.480 --> 00:48:22.679 this last season. I was. I wasn't super pumped he guy drafted by 662 00:48:22.679 --> 00:48:28.880 the Orioles, but it was nice to see his pro debut go pretty well. 663 00:48:28.960 --> 00:48:32.519 I feel like Horbat and like the athleticism of him, But I feel 664 00:48:32.519 --> 00:48:37.400 like Horbath is the incarnate of how I used to hit playing video games. 665 00:48:38.239 --> 00:48:44.960 Yeah yeah, wait for my pitch and then I'm just like airing the joystick 666 00:48:45.119 --> 00:48:50.760 off of the controller, trying to hit that very far. Yeah, and 667 00:48:50.800 --> 00:48:54.559 you know he's second rounder, so like he got that's decent. I wonder 668 00:48:54.599 --> 00:48:59.760 if he was a second rounder largely because he was pretty bad in the Cape 669 00:49:00.159 --> 00:49:05.400 junior summer or his sophomore summer, rather like he barely played. No. 670 00:49:05.519 --> 00:49:12.119 Homer's kind of a bad triple slash. Maybe this is maybe this is a 671 00:49:12.159 --> 00:49:15.760 poor on my part, but in my mind, if a team takes a 672 00:49:15.800 --> 00:49:19.400 player in the second round, they most likely had a first round grade on 673 00:49:19.400 --> 00:49:22.480 that player. Oh, definitely, yes, Yeah, And to your point 674 00:49:22.480 --> 00:49:28.440 though, like this is a tough system to be a player in, and 675 00:49:28.639 --> 00:49:34.960 oh will seem intent on keeping all of their prospects blockage be damned. You 676 00:49:35.000 --> 00:49:37.360 know, if I were GMing that team, like I definitely would have traded 677 00:49:37.400 --> 00:49:42.599 from some of their depth to get some actual pitchers in there. But yeah, 678 00:49:42.599 --> 00:49:46.960 they have so many hitters that are so good, and Horvath is right 679 00:49:47.039 --> 00:49:51.480 up there with him, Like, I don't think it's crazy to prefer him 680 00:49:51.920 --> 00:49:57.440 to someone like Norby right now. Norby's a back end top one hundred guy 681 00:49:57.519 --> 00:50:00.679 for a lot of people, and I I don't think he has the upside 682 00:50:00.960 --> 00:50:06.599 in fantasy that Horvath does. And yeah, so he's someone to be I 683 00:50:06.639 --> 00:50:13.719 think really excited about. Yeah, well we've been talking about college hitters. 684 00:50:13.960 --> 00:50:16.400 If you don't mind, I just want to talk about two prep bads that 685 00:50:16.480 --> 00:50:22.280 I'm shoving up my list please that I am like I want. I want 686 00:50:22.320 --> 00:50:27.639 these two guys in every draft that I'm in. One is probably a bit 687 00:50:27.719 --> 00:50:31.679 of pretty boy territory. But like, I think he's prettier than people think. 688 00:50:31.880 --> 00:50:36.519 And that's uh, Kevin McGonagall. I don't know what for me, 689 00:50:37.039 --> 00:50:42.800 there isn't like everything that I want in a hitter like this. This kid 690 00:50:43.239 --> 00:50:46.599 is kind of exuding and has the look of other than he's not the biggest 691 00:50:46.599 --> 00:50:52.440 guy around, and people for my little man thing that this guy is like 692 00:50:52.760 --> 00:50:58.400 tiny? How tiny is he Isn't he like five seven? He's listed at 693 00:50:58.440 --> 00:51:00.960 five to ten? I know, but it's isn't that like I had seen 694 00:51:01.000 --> 00:51:06.280 some other reports that he was like that the five to ten was with spikes 695 00:51:06.320 --> 00:51:12.239 and his hat on. Well you're gonna play with those, huh. But 696 00:51:12.960 --> 00:51:15.239 I don't know. I don't know how much you've seen that. But as 697 00:51:15.320 --> 00:51:21.280 far as like mechanical stuff that I know about and technique, like McGonagall looks 698 00:51:21.360 --> 00:51:25.440 like perfect to me from the left side, and I love his attitude about 699 00:51:25.519 --> 00:51:30.760 hitting sea strike, hit strike. And yet this is a guy who did 700 00:51:30.800 --> 00:51:35.440 I think he walked as much as he struck out in his fifteen A ball 701 00:51:35.480 --> 00:51:38.199 games this year. He did hit a home run or he did had a 702 00:51:38.280 --> 00:51:43.320 great walk to strike at rate. Okay, did he did he walk more 703 00:51:43.320 --> 00:51:46.639 than he struck out? Way more? Yeah, but he's still but he's 704 00:51:46.679 --> 00:51:51.679 still an aggressive hitter. He likens his game and his swing to Chase Utley. 705 00:51:51.880 --> 00:51:54.960 Chase Utley was one of my all time favorite Fantasy baseball players. I 706 00:51:55.000 --> 00:51:59.960 think the defense is fine. I know, oh, I always forget what 707 00:52:00.079 --> 00:52:01.920 twenty it was. But one of the one of the BA guys is a 708 00:52:01.920 --> 00:52:06.519 big fan. He probably ends up at second base, but I think he 709 00:52:06.559 --> 00:52:08.920 can play shortstop at a high level. And I'm just I'm all in. 710 00:52:09.679 --> 00:52:14.639 So he's smaller, and he might not be Aaron Judge home run wise, 711 00:52:14.639 --> 00:52:17.159 but I think this is the guy. He is unbelievably polished for an eighteen 712 00:52:17.199 --> 00:52:21.679 year old hitter. He's gonna hit. It's not gonna be a wasted pick. 713 00:52:21.880 --> 00:52:23.559 I don't think. I mean, you never know, but I just 714 00:52:23.599 --> 00:52:28.960 feel so. I don't feel I don't think I've ever felt as safe with 715 00:52:29.039 --> 00:52:32.480 a prep hitter as I do trying to be aggressive with McGonagall and I see 716 00:52:32.519 --> 00:52:36.440 folks have him in like the thirties and forties, like, this is a 717 00:52:36.480 --> 00:52:39.840 top ten bat for me this first year player draft season. That's bold and 718 00:52:39.920 --> 00:52:45.400 I like it. I think the knock that I've seen is that his exit 719 00:52:45.440 --> 00:52:51.960 filo's are really low. So well, I just saw I just saw a 720 00:52:52.000 --> 00:52:57.159 tweet wherever he's working out, he posted like one hundred and six points something 721 00:52:57.280 --> 00:53:00.079 exit velocity. He's eighteen years old, and what do you say they're going 722 00:53:00.119 --> 00:53:04.960 to add a few more. I don't know if that's the one thing. 723 00:53:05.039 --> 00:53:07.960 If that's the one knock, I'll take it. I'll take that right now. 724 00:53:08.400 --> 00:53:13.320 Yeah, and listen, I'm with you. Like guys succeed because I 725 00:53:13.320 --> 00:53:15.480 think what I had seen is that his ninety effects it. Vili was like 726 00:53:15.559 --> 00:53:21.440 down at one O two or something. But as we've talked about, there 727 00:53:21.440 --> 00:53:25.199 are guys that do succeed with that profile, especially when they exude these kinds 728 00:53:25.199 --> 00:53:30.079 of traits where they don't strike out, they walk, they hit line drives 729 00:53:30.119 --> 00:53:35.079 and bring value on the bases, like your Stephen Kwan's, your salf Relicks, 730 00:53:35.159 --> 00:53:38.960 your Luis Rises, like those guys, especially depending on your league format, 731 00:53:39.119 --> 00:53:44.480 might be some of the better players in your League. And if McGonagle 732 00:53:44.800 --> 00:53:50.440 can do that and you project even a couple miles per hour and he optimizes 733 00:53:50.480 --> 00:53:53.519 his launch angles and all of that, who cares right, Like, yep, 734 00:53:53.679 --> 00:53:58.679 that's Alex Bregman, That's yep, Stephen Kwan. Like those guys can 735 00:53:58.719 --> 00:54:02.159 be fantasy stars. So he's someone that I'm really interested too. I watched 736 00:54:02.199 --> 00:54:07.440 a good bit of him and think he does have a really nice swing. 737 00:54:07.000 --> 00:54:12.679 He does seem undersize to me, but some of that, like also kind 738 00:54:12.679 --> 00:54:15.840 of doesn't matter if you perform, Like I've taken a bunch of these guys 739 00:54:15.840 --> 00:54:21.639 that look small and are underrated, I think because of their size or physique, 740 00:54:21.679 --> 00:54:25.079 and I think that that pales in comparison to your actual performance. And 741 00:54:25.280 --> 00:54:30.920 sometimes we go back to looking for fabio when we should care about like can 742 00:54:30.960 --> 00:54:36.000 he hit? And I think McGonagall can hit. And I think he was 743 00:54:36.159 --> 00:54:39.920 very much an integral part of the Tigers decision making with their top five pick 744 00:54:39.960 --> 00:54:45.440 there taking Max Clark and then McGonagall in the second round getting the money right 745 00:54:45.480 --> 00:54:47.679 to make that happen. Yeah, but I'm in. I mean, there's 746 00:54:49.079 --> 00:54:52.559 especially first year player draft stuff like I don't know, it seems like every 747 00:54:52.679 --> 00:54:55.599 year, they'll be like three or four hitters. I'm like, just Kylee 748 00:54:55.639 --> 00:55:00.360 jam Prep whatever. I'm like, Okay, I'll commit to this. I 749 00:55:00.360 --> 00:55:04.800 will, I will marry this, this uh this prospecting idea here, and 750 00:55:05.000 --> 00:55:07.599 like, I'm not I'm gonna get those guys if I can. You know, 751 00:55:07.840 --> 00:55:10.440 obviously, if they're the top four guys in the draft, you can't 752 00:55:10.480 --> 00:55:14.679 do that. But uh, yep, I'm gonna get him. And then 753 00:55:14.760 --> 00:55:19.000 the other prep bat that I wanted to mention, and I admit this is 754 00:55:19.159 --> 00:55:23.880 this is a fairly new discovery and affinity for me. And I'm not even 755 00:55:23.920 --> 00:55:30.480 sure what his name is. But the Phillies took DJ or is it ta 756 00:55:30.559 --> 00:55:36.400 Von Walton? I see it listen, is what I've said. Sorry, 757 00:55:36.880 --> 00:55:43.039 it's I see it listen as Shawn and also TJ J A y y. 758 00:55:43.119 --> 00:55:47.920 But DJ Walton Prep from IMG Academy down in Florida, who's young for the 759 00:55:49.000 --> 00:55:53.360 draft. I think the Phillies feel like they got an absolute steal here and 760 00:55:53.440 --> 00:55:59.719 are thrilled that they signed him away from guess what university? Met where Miami 761 00:56:00.119 --> 00:56:04.440 Olo guys. I know, right, you look at this, look at 762 00:56:04.440 --> 00:56:07.000 this happening, But I don't know. I don't know if you've seen him 763 00:56:07.079 --> 00:56:12.480 that, but he is. This was a fun poll. He is a 764 00:56:12.519 --> 00:56:16.320 physical specimen. Like if you you took some of his videos, put like 765 00:56:16.400 --> 00:56:22.840 a Dominican flag and some some palm trees behind him. Weeded those out there 766 00:56:22.840 --> 00:56:25.880 when he was seventeen eighteen years old. I think Dynasty owners would be all 767 00:56:25.880 --> 00:56:30.480 over him right now. Love his right handed swing. Like I said, 768 00:56:30.480 --> 00:56:35.400 a physical specimen. I'd like to pit eighteen year old Walton versus eighteen year 769 00:56:35.440 --> 00:56:42.679 old Dominga's Jayson Dimingez. That kind of solid build, except Walton's much bigger. 770 00:56:43.239 --> 00:56:45.599 You didn't chop up his gifts though, I didn't know, because there's 771 00:56:45.880 --> 00:56:51.400 nothing from full season to see. He only got in like five complex games 772 00:56:51.400 --> 00:56:55.760 this year. But you want to talk all fields, hitter and backspin to 773 00:56:55.840 --> 00:57:01.039 all fields, the right kind of spin, full line drive, he can 774 00:57:01.119 --> 00:57:06.320 run. I gotta imagine. I don't know, a guy's eighteen and is 775 00:57:06.719 --> 00:57:12.480 sort of physically mature as he is. Maybe he slows down, but this 776 00:57:12.679 --> 00:57:16.360 power speed potential here, I think there's if he would have went to school, 777 00:57:16.519 --> 00:57:21.239 I mean, we could easily been talking about a much higher draft pick. 778 00:57:21.920 --> 00:57:28.400 But I've heard nothing but high praise and I'm in, let's go. 779 00:57:28.559 --> 00:57:32.599 As soon as you feel like all your responsible bets are are made or not 780 00:57:32.679 --> 00:57:38.000 available. That's when I'm like, top five prep bat for me in this 781 00:57:38.079 --> 00:57:43.920 Verson that's so bold and I so love it. Why not you take a 782 00:57:43.960 --> 00:57:47.239 shot here? I don't know like Emerson, I think I I think I'd 783 00:57:47.320 --> 00:57:53.440 take a shot on Walton over Emerson, just because I think the athleticism, 784 00:57:53.679 --> 00:57:59.920 the physicality and what he's a grown man. Emerson's like em He's like win 785 00:58:00.320 --> 00:58:07.400 Man. It's like this a little wimp. Oh, I love I love 786 00:58:07.480 --> 00:58:15.760 it. That's so good. Yeah, the guy with well above average MLB 787 00:58:15.039 --> 00:58:22.000 exit velos as an eighteen year old and just scorching in a ball like your 788 00:58:22.039 --> 00:58:27.519 boy man, though he may be struck out thirty five percent of the time 789 00:58:27.639 --> 00:58:32.840 in his five games. I'm just saying, what you slug? What was 790 00:58:32.840 --> 00:58:37.519 this? What was this? WRC plus his babbit was seven hundred, so 791 00:58:37.800 --> 00:58:46.079 like his babbit was seven hundred and he still only hit three eighty five. 792 00:58:46.280 --> 00:58:50.840 Like that doesn't even seem like it should make sense. And you're gonna your 793 00:58:50.840 --> 00:58:54.079 babit is gonna be seven hundred when everything you're hitting is off the wall if 794 00:58:54.119 --> 00:58:58.880 you hit it. Oh, that is just such a wild take. Listen, 795 00:58:59.079 --> 00:59:02.159 Like, I'm not gonna say for the cult Emerson slander that guy is 796 00:59:04.559 --> 00:59:06.840 I got him right next to each other. I got him right next to 797 00:59:06.880 --> 00:59:12.760 each other. Yeah, you have lots of the head Oh my goodness. 798 00:59:13.000 --> 00:59:15.880 Who whoah. Yeah. Yeah, Like I know, I know that we're 799 00:59:16.000 --> 00:59:19.840 we're having some fun here and stuff too. But like, talk to some 800 00:59:19.880 --> 00:59:24.079 Phillies guys about Walton. I'm not just just making stuff up here that that's 801 00:59:24.119 --> 00:59:29.599 but obviously they're biased. They drafted him. I think Walton is very, 802 00:59:30.000 --> 00:59:35.159 very overlooked here just because and here's why too. He didn't doesn't have a 803 00:59:35.159 --> 00:59:38.760 long track record because he had injuries and did not get to participate in a 804 00:59:38.760 --> 00:59:43.519 lot of the showcases. And I think most folks thought it was a for 805 00:59:43.559 --> 00:59:45.320 sure thing that he was going to college. But I don't think they really 806 00:59:45.400 --> 00:59:50.960 messed with him too much. The Phillies did well. I'm definitely interested in 807 00:59:51.000 --> 00:59:57.320 Walton, but I think it is flat out bonkers to not respect what Emerson 808 00:59:57.400 --> 01:00:02.280 did. So at the same level, person outslugged him, struck out half 809 01:00:02.320 --> 01:00:08.360 as much and then went on to a ball and was like the best hitter 810 01:00:08.440 --> 01:00:13.679 in that league for the month that he was there, the three weeks that 811 01:00:13.719 --> 01:00:16.679 he was there. Okay, maybe I'm putting too much into the physical stuff, 812 01:00:16.679 --> 01:00:22.239 but it's like Bo Jackson walks into the room and like, I don't 813 01:00:22.239 --> 01:00:27.199 know who's how tall is Emerson? Two? I think, oh is that 814 01:00:27.239 --> 01:00:30.599 tall? I don't know? And then like Ryan Samberg walk into the room, 815 01:00:30.760 --> 01:00:32.519 like who are going to be more impressed with? Yeah? But I 816 01:00:32.559 --> 01:00:37.519 mean like, are you impressed with Joe Adell? Like are you are you 817 01:00:37.559 --> 01:00:45.039 impressed with? Right? Like Joe Adell looks like an absolute athletic but hard, 818 01:00:45.199 --> 01:00:49.920 but he strikes out all the time. So I'm just saying, like 819 01:00:50.039 --> 01:00:55.079 the tools that Emerson has showed are better than what I'll take, really, 820 01:00:55.119 --> 01:01:00.480 any of the high school guys have showed. I'll take. I'll take Holton's 821 01:01:00.480 --> 01:01:07.719 mechanics and technique and his swinging over Emerson all day. I do not agree 822 01:01:07.760 --> 01:01:10.960 with that, but I think it's at the costs. Like you're gonna be 823 01:01:10.960 --> 01:01:15.039 able to get Walton anywhere with a first round pick, probably a second round 824 01:01:15.039 --> 01:01:19.840 pick, maybe a third round pick, and that's great. Like I'm gonna 825 01:01:19.840 --> 01:01:22.360 get zero shares of Emerson, which is a bummer because I do really like 826 01:01:22.440 --> 01:01:25.480 him. I like Emerson. You can't argue with what he's done. There's 827 01:01:25.480 --> 01:01:30.519 a free there's freaking Walton. We like freaks. What we say laughing at 828 01:01:30.559 --> 01:01:35.599 me about Walton? Dude, I'm excited. I'm excited about Walton. I'm 829 01:01:35.679 --> 01:01:40.719 laughing at you at Emerson, like the guy is legit, and you're like, 830 01:01:42.039 --> 01:01:46.039 poo, I'm not poom. I value him very highly. I just 831 01:01:46.079 --> 01:01:50.800 don't know what's the what's the major league upside? You think, like, 832 01:01:50.880 --> 01:01:53.880 what's what's the what's the staff? Emerson? Yeah, what do you think? 833 01:01:55.519 --> 01:02:00.159 I mean? I know that's we're talking about. The high schooler had 834 01:02:00.159 --> 01:02:04.159 a little taste of pro ball. And I know that's hard proposition. You 835 01:02:04.199 --> 01:02:08.480 know, anyone out there that might think that I'm off my rocker being ridiculous 836 01:02:08.519 --> 01:02:14.719 about this, you got to understand that some of these some of these prep 837 01:02:14.800 --> 01:02:20.360 moves that teams make trying to be smart, trying to take gambles on guys 838 01:02:20.400 --> 01:02:24.239 who these high school kids that may very well just be one year away from 839 01:02:24.280 --> 01:02:30.599 being a much higher sought after draft selection. Right, Socks did that with 840 01:02:30.679 --> 01:02:36.440 walk Ow. That's very much I think was the Phillies mindset here. Of 841 01:02:36.559 --> 01:02:40.159 course I could look like a fool, but I mean Elijah Green was a 842 01:02:40.199 --> 01:02:45.280 top five pick, and if you weren't valuing him highly in first year player 843 01:02:45.360 --> 01:02:49.880 drafts, you were ridiculous. Same same high school. By the way, 844 01:02:50.599 --> 01:03:00.639 Ah yeah, you know Khalil Watson, like so like you missed concern. 845 01:03:00.199 --> 01:03:07.480 It can easily sound as ludacrifs or as wild. In my opinion, here's 846 01:03:07.559 --> 01:03:19.239 my irresponsible comp for Emerson. I think he can be a better version than 847 01:03:19.280 --> 01:03:24.800 Gunner Henderson. Like, I think the exit velos are within spitting distance considering 848 01:03:24.840 --> 01:03:30.199 he's eighteen for another like six months or something, because I think his NINETIETHH 849 01:03:30.320 --> 01:03:35.360 was like at one oh six or something. One of yeah, I think 850 01:03:35.400 --> 01:03:38.679 that's what BA report was like one oh six, So as an eighteen year 851 01:03:38.679 --> 01:03:45.599 old, call it two to three to be conservative off of that. Henderson 852 01:03:45.159 --> 01:03:51.320 was in twenty twenty two in his you know, one hundred plate appearances or 853 01:03:51.360 --> 01:03:58.280 whatever was a one oh seven, So like he's one mile hour per off 854 01:03:59.000 --> 01:04:05.840 on that and at a ball while being two years younger than Henderson was at 855 01:04:05.880 --> 01:04:11.480 the same level, he was had way more walks, way fewer strikeouts, 856 01:04:11.559 --> 01:04:15.639 hit for more power you know, more slug anyway. But so, I 857 01:04:16.000 --> 01:04:25.159 mean I think that there's Emerson is number one overall prospect material three years, 858 01:04:25.239 --> 01:04:28.719 Yeah, in two years, yeah, fair enough. I don't disagree. 859 01:04:29.079 --> 01:04:35.199 I think he's going to go to Everett and mash there like that's a hitter's 860 01:04:35.280 --> 01:04:40.480 park. I think it maybe his inflated Cole Young and Harry Ford's value just 861 01:04:40.519 --> 01:04:43.559 a little bit and be locklier a little bit too. I was thinking about 862 01:04:43.559 --> 01:04:47.039 that as going through Clegg's right up of the Mariness system that Beck had posted 863 01:04:47.079 --> 01:04:53.639 about how Ford's home road splits and Everett were pretty pronounced. So I think 864 01:04:53.679 --> 01:04:58.119 Emerson's going to go there and just demolish the ball and might have that kind 865 01:04:58.119 --> 01:05:00.400 of helium where he's a top ten prospect by the end the next year, 866 01:05:00.400 --> 01:05:04.480 and if he keeps performing at double A, like he could enter whatever that 867 01:05:04.559 --> 01:05:08.679 is twenty twenty six is like the number one overall prospects. I think he 868 01:05:08.719 --> 01:05:12.599 is that kind of upside Okay, yeah, yeah, you know maybe maybe 869 01:05:12.800 --> 01:05:17.280 uh you know, could very well be for me a disconnect between video and 870 01:05:17.599 --> 01:05:23.000 you know, the good data, because video he doesn't. I don't know. 871 01:05:23.280 --> 01:05:26.559 I wouldn't have thunk that he hit the ball as hard as he does. 872 01:05:27.000 --> 01:05:30.800 And I think that's because he has a really efficient, good swam whereas 873 01:05:30.840 --> 01:05:34.239 like some of the guys like you know, my boy JDP host way to 874 01:05:34.320 --> 01:05:41.639 Paula. He swings and makes contact really well. He has a strong contact 875 01:05:41.719 --> 01:05:45.360 skill, but his swing sucks because he isn't getting to the power that he 876 01:05:45.400 --> 01:05:48.719 should be able to because of the direction of his swing. And I think 877 01:05:48.800 --> 01:05:54.159 Emerson, well, you know that's yeah, I think better. I think 878 01:05:54.159 --> 01:05:58.360 that's it's also a testament to man, especially at that at that age, 879 01:05:58.519 --> 01:06:02.760 how quickly some things can change, because I don't know, if you watched 880 01:06:02.800 --> 01:06:11.079 Emerson's National Showcase batting practice twenty twenty two, I was not impressed. Yeah, 881 01:06:11.480 --> 01:06:15.800 not just from mechanical standpoint, balance standpoint stuff like that. Like I 882 01:06:15.840 --> 01:06:19.800 was like, oh, okay, players can improve, and players can be 883 01:06:19.840 --> 01:06:24.639 coached, then players can get better, especially when you're eighteen years old. 884 01:06:25.760 --> 01:06:30.320 Yeah, and you know Emerson's also six months younger than Walton, so yeah, 885 01:06:30.679 --> 01:06:36.360 no factor that in h to level nay age to level level. Well, 886 01:06:36.559 --> 01:06:43.119 Walton would kick Emerson's ass in a fight. I know that probably true. 887 01:06:43.679 --> 01:06:48.079 One of the ones that I wanted to touch on was for Enrique Bradfield 888 01:06:48.119 --> 01:06:54.400 Junior. I think he's one again, another Baltimore guy, maybe round down 889 01:06:54.440 --> 01:06:58.079 a bit, but I think he's one to really push up in your roto 890 01:06:58.159 --> 01:07:01.360 leagues and your categories leagues were steel matter, yeah, because he does so 891 01:07:01.639 --> 01:07:05.920 much. A format dependent guy, yes, definitely, He's not a guy 892 01:07:05.960 --> 01:07:13.000 that I'm taking in my points leagues or power focus leagues because he's off my 893 01:07:13.039 --> 01:07:17.000 board for those leagues. But yeah, but for your categories dynasty leagues, 894 01:07:17.280 --> 01:07:24.199 this is I think he might be Estuary Ruiz, but actually a good hitter 895 01:07:24.480 --> 01:07:28.840 like like as in like he's gonna have really high contact rates. I think 896 01:07:28.880 --> 01:07:32.119 get on base more than Ruiz does, which might lead to even more steals. 897 01:07:32.159 --> 01:07:36.719 Like he's a very good base stealer, and his contact skills seem legit. 898 01:07:36.920 --> 01:07:42.159 So Bradfield's one that I think is worth again knowing your league, knowing 899 01:07:42.199 --> 01:07:47.280 whether that's useful, and valuing him accordingly. I think taking Bradfield ahead of 900 01:07:47.719 --> 01:07:53.760 like Werner Kishol Horvath like in your rotal leagues, like he could be a 901 01:07:53.880 --> 01:07:58.639 true difference maker in those degree I agree for sure. One guy I wanted 902 01:07:58.639 --> 01:08:03.639 to touch on just mentioned Luke keishel Man, the video. I came away 903 01:08:03.639 --> 01:08:08.960 pretty impressed with him. He's one that I think I am valuing much more 904 01:08:09.039 --> 01:08:14.599 than the consensus, especially in the Twin System. I'm rounding up with hitters 905 01:08:14.679 --> 01:08:18.079 in the Twin System. Why is that because I think they maximize I think 906 01:08:18.119 --> 01:08:25.359 they maximize hard contact and home runs well with their hitters. But before I 907 01:08:25.399 --> 01:08:28.119 watched them, I was like, Okay, they took this guy in from 908 01:08:28.159 --> 01:08:30.279 Arizona State, took him in the second round. I kind of felt like, 909 01:08:30.880 --> 01:08:33.960 I don't know, the reputation was like, you know, potential, 910 01:08:34.319 --> 01:08:38.840 nice utility type player or whatever, but I just found him to be more 911 01:08:39.000 --> 01:08:42.680 dangerous hitter or potentially a more dangerous hitter, I know, grading out wise, 912 01:08:42.720 --> 01:08:45.359 he's getting like fifties across the board, and like, I'm I kind 913 01:08:45.359 --> 01:08:47.239 of want to bump that up. Over one hundred and forty played appearances, 914 01:08:47.279 --> 01:08:51.439 he hit in or was he in A and Hi A hit three home runs, 915 01:08:51.680 --> 01:08:56.960 goal eleven bases. He's more athletic than I thought too. Like it's 916 01:08:57.239 --> 01:09:00.159 his frame too. You might not necessarily think it because he's kind of he's 917 01:09:00.239 --> 01:09:03.720 kind of like fin up top, but like thicker in the bottom. But 918 01:09:03.800 --> 01:09:09.880 he slash two eighty eight four, fourteen, four seventy seven, walked fourteen 919 01:09:09.920 --> 01:09:12.720 percent of the time, struck out eighteen percent of the time, good for 920 01:09:12.760 --> 01:09:15.800 a one forty five WRC plus hits. The ball in the air had a 921 01:09:15.880 --> 01:09:19.960 nice clip pulls in. It's an opposite field, just a lot of nice, 922 01:09:20.039 --> 01:09:23.840 good looking strokes, I thought, And like I said with the Twins, 923 01:09:24.000 --> 01:09:29.000 I think well, I think consensus he's he's kind of buried. I 924 01:09:29.039 --> 01:09:33.000 think Clegg has him sixty six. Yeah, there's a there's not going to 925 01:09:33.039 --> 01:09:36.520 be so well, that'd be like forty hitters. There's not forty hitters. 926 01:09:36.520 --> 01:09:40.960 I'd rather take a shot on than Luke Keishael. So I watched a good 927 01:09:40.960 --> 01:09:45.119 bit of Kishel too, and I tend to agree. I think he's a 928 01:09:45.159 --> 01:09:51.279 sneakily athletic guy and there might be more speed there than some of the public 929 01:09:51.279 --> 01:09:56.359 grades are giving him credit for. So again, in your categories league, 930 01:09:56.359 --> 01:10:01.039 this might be a fifteen homer thirty steals threat, which is super valuable, 931 01:10:01.159 --> 01:10:05.880 especially considering I think his approach of the plate is one that might lend itself 932 01:10:05.920 --> 01:10:10.399 to a lot more line drives and therefore a bit of a higher babbep as 933 01:10:10.439 --> 01:10:13.960 well. So I think he sprays the ball pretty well. I do think 934 01:10:13.960 --> 01:10:18.279 the power is going to be a little more limited, I'm not I don't 935 01:10:18.319 --> 01:10:23.000 think he's going to be a big homer threat, like fifteen is probably upside, 936 01:10:23.399 --> 01:10:28.079 but thirty steals seems pretty reasonable in the playing time. So I liked 937 01:10:28.159 --> 01:10:30.520 him quite a bit as well. It feels a little bit me like like 938 01:10:30.560 --> 01:10:38.000 a showbal but with like an umbrella and some nice condiments. Yeah. Yeah, 939 01:10:38.079 --> 01:10:42.640 my notes when I reviewed the Twins system, I said that he's being 940 01:10:42.680 --> 01:10:45.560 taken too low in FYPS, and I think that's true. I'm not sure 941 01:10:45.760 --> 01:10:50.800 I with stuff him quite as high as you, just given that it might 942 01:10:50.880 --> 01:10:58.840 be like a sort of limited power impact. And yeah, I'm not sure 943 01:10:59.039 --> 01:11:00.720 where the speed is going to play totally, but I like him quite a 944 01:11:00.760 --> 01:11:03.920 bit. That's fair, that's fair. Yeah, there's a like that's a 945 01:11:03.960 --> 01:11:08.439 big chunk of players that are all pretty much the same sort of value to 946 01:11:08.479 --> 01:11:11.119 me. But yeah, yeah, and for me, he's probably in that 947 01:11:11.279 --> 01:11:16.359 like late twenties range, Like I think that's where I start bucketing, because 948 01:11:16.359 --> 01:11:21.159 I think the top twenty or so again, format dependent, are you talking 949 01:11:21.279 --> 01:11:26.199 just are you talking just top twenty hitters or top hitters. Yeah, yeah, 950 01:11:26.279 --> 01:11:30.199 so so like and I think most of the best picks are hitters in 951 01:11:30.239 --> 01:11:31.760 this draft, Like it's a it's a pretty deep draft, but I think 952 01:11:31.800 --> 01:11:35.479 he's, like, yeah, in that the beginning of that pretty large chunk 953 01:11:35.600 --> 01:11:40.399 of hitters after sort of the top. Who else you want to touch on? 954 01:11:40.880 --> 01:11:43.760 I know we've talked about Jonathan Long before. Yeah, I want to 955 01:11:43.760 --> 01:11:46.399 talk about Jonathan Long. Unfortunately he's a Cub, so this is a little 956 01:11:46.439 --> 01:11:49.399 difficult. But man, I don't know. I don't know if you watched 957 01:11:49.439 --> 01:11:55.520 any of Long, but I did hard to not be impressed at least to 958 01:11:55.640 --> 01:11:59.119 some degree. Yeah, so Long. He was a ninth round pick out 959 01:11:59.119 --> 01:12:01.720 of Long Beach, eight corner infielder. I think he played more third base 960 01:12:01.760 --> 01:12:05.000 than first base. Again, he was in he was in this league here 961 01:12:05.039 --> 01:12:09.399 where a lot of guys kind of walked in after college and hit a lot 962 01:12:09.439 --> 01:12:13.600 of home runs. And it's not a home run atmosphere at least Myrtle Beach 963 01:12:13.680 --> 01:12:16.279 isn't. One hundred and two played appearances. He hit seven home runs, 964 01:12:16.560 --> 01:12:20.960 walked fourteen percent of the time, struck out eighteen percent of the time two 965 01:12:21.000 --> 01:12:27.119 seventy four four h two, five seventy one two ninety eight. ISO won 966 01:12:27.239 --> 01:12:31.479 sixty four WRC plus pulled the ball sixty two percent of the time swinging strike, 967 01:12:31.560 --> 01:12:35.319 right around thirteen percent per Fangrass. I cut up that video that I 968 01:12:35.359 --> 01:12:39.960 shared with you, and you notice who he was taking the yard in that? 969 01:12:41.000 --> 01:12:44.800 Yeah, a couple of our guys. Yeah, yeah, he got. 970 01:12:45.119 --> 01:12:48.680 He got quite a few of our B side pitchers here, Andrew Taylor, 971 01:12:48.760 --> 01:12:51.560 he got. It looked like I think on a breaking ball, Trey 972 01:12:51.680 --> 01:12:57.840 Don Browski, my guy, Felix Aronde, and a couple other relievers that 973 01:12:57.920 --> 01:13:03.079 were televising on here. Who's perhaps a decent pitching prospect for the White Sox 974 01:13:03.159 --> 01:13:05.640 that they drafted this year. But yeah, I don't know, man, 975 01:13:05.680 --> 01:13:12.680 interesting interesting mid round selection by the Cubs here there, and that they had 976 01:13:13.079 --> 01:13:16.640 a couple of those Shoot, what Langford hit ten home runs? Right? 977 01:13:16.800 --> 01:13:21.159 There was another first year player who came in and hit ten home runs, 978 01:13:21.399 --> 01:13:26.479 and that was Brian Colmer. Did you watch any of him too? There 979 01:13:26.560 --> 01:13:30.520 was a lot a lot of games where Comber and Long we're hitting home runs 980 01:13:30.520 --> 01:13:36.479 at the same time. Yep. But he put together interesting introduction. He 981 01:13:36.600 --> 01:13:41.279 was the eighteenth round pick out of Gonzaga. Like I said, he hit 982 01:13:41.319 --> 01:13:45.319 ten home runs and one hundred and forty nine played appearances, struck out twenty 983 01:13:45.319 --> 01:13:48.640 percent of the time. You know, ridiculous, ridiculous line. But he's 984 01:13:48.680 --> 01:13:54.760 a bit different than me. I do see some folks putting some value on 985 01:13:54.800 --> 01:13:58.439 Comber. I don't know if if I'm quite there, though it very much 986 01:13:58.520 --> 01:14:02.600 seemed like maybe not the most athletic guy, maybe not the most athletic swing, 987 01:14:03.039 --> 01:14:05.960 and a lot of his home runs were you know, and a credit 988 01:14:05.960 --> 01:14:11.000 to him, this isn't really a knack, but it makes me question how 989 01:14:11.039 --> 01:14:13.960 the home runs total's look as he moves up. But they were like, 990 01:14:14.199 --> 01:14:19.359 you know, the line drives that eaked over the wall. I so interesting 991 01:14:19.399 --> 01:14:24.319 guy in that one. I'm going to be too aggressive on. Yeah. 992 01:14:24.359 --> 01:14:31.159 I saw him in college shit at Gonzaga, and he was really good for 993 01:14:31.479 --> 01:14:33.840 that league, Like he was one of the best hitters in the West Coast 994 01:14:33.840 --> 01:14:41.039 Conference. But I'm not sure I see a pro like, like a major 995 01:14:41.119 --> 01:14:45.399 leaguer out of him. So I think he's going to be an interesting one 996 01:14:45.439 --> 01:14:47.439 to follow. And he did hit the ground running. So he hit twenty 997 01:14:47.439 --> 01:14:53.119 five homers this year. When you add in his college stats too, which 998 01:14:53.720 --> 01:14:58.920 is a lot, and he hit twenty the year before at junior college. 999 01:14:59.000 --> 01:15:00.960 He was in Arizona, sy guy that he didn't get to play, and 1000 01:15:01.000 --> 01:15:04.800 so he transferred to a junior college and then ended his career at Gonzaga. 1001 01:15:05.000 --> 01:15:11.720 But he was good. He was far and away the Zag's best hitter last 1002 01:15:11.800 --> 01:15:15.159 year. They're more of a pitching school these days, but he was their 1003 01:15:15.359 --> 01:15:19.000 main offensive force. So definitely, definitely one of the best hitters in the 1004 01:15:19.000 --> 01:15:24.279 West Coast Conference. But I think he's probably over his skis so far, 1005 01:15:24.479 --> 01:15:28.520 but we'll see. Ultimate point. Was a much more interested in long than 1006 01:15:28.560 --> 01:15:30.880 I am. Calmer. Yeah, another guy we were chatting about a little 1007 01:15:30.920 --> 01:15:34.800 bit in the dugout today that I probably kind of have in the same little 1008 01:15:34.880 --> 01:15:42.600 clump is Andrew Pinkney. With the Nationals spread across three levels, ah, 1009 01:15:42.640 --> 01:15:45.000 well, actually four. He did play in the complex a little bit, 1010 01:15:45.039 --> 01:15:48.560 but he did get up to double a one hundred and eighty eight played appearances. 1011 01:15:48.640 --> 01:15:54.239 He hit four home runs, still eleven bases, struck out twenty percent 1012 01:15:54.319 --> 01:15:57.920 of the time, walked ten percent of the time, only a one thirty 1013 01:15:58.079 --> 01:16:05.079 six ISO on WRC, plus hit ground balls at a high clip sixty three 1014 01:16:05.079 --> 01:16:11.720 percent. But Pinkney was a little bit on my radar. I pay a 1015 01:16:11.760 --> 01:16:15.439 little bit of attention to Alabama, but I was impressed. I was impressed 1016 01:16:15.439 --> 01:16:19.359 with his ability to hit hip balls over the fence to all fields. And 1017 01:16:19.399 --> 01:16:21.439 I know we were chatting today and the dug out, like I said, 1018 01:16:21.439 --> 01:16:27.760 and I didn't know this, but he he kind of owned beans in college. 1019 01:16:28.560 --> 01:16:30.399 Yeah, he did. I know. There was some talk about, 1020 01:16:30.399 --> 01:16:35.479 you know, maybe he's not the greatest breaking ball hitter at this juncture, 1021 01:16:35.960 --> 01:16:40.520 but a potential interesting power speed combo. I think he was like a fourth 1022 01:16:40.600 --> 01:16:44.319 round pick, so he's not He's not a nothing in a prospect that like 1023 01:16:44.399 --> 01:16:47.760 we've said, or in a in a system like we've said that might not 1024 01:16:47.880 --> 01:16:54.439 be the richest. I think Pinkney might be a nice, laid around gamble 1025 01:16:54.479 --> 01:16:58.239 in some formats and leagues. I tend to agree. I watched a decent 1026 01:16:58.279 --> 01:17:01.560 amount of him as I was diving into Morales. They were on a couple 1027 01:17:01.560 --> 01:17:05.680 of the same teams this year. He was a guy that, even though 1028 01:17:05.720 --> 01:17:11.920 the performance was pretty solid, I came away with wanting to round down because 1029 01:17:11.960 --> 01:17:15.960 it is like kind of goofy swing. It might be I couldn't really put 1030 01:17:16.000 --> 01:17:20.960 my finger on what it was, but it seemed like when he was really 1031 01:17:20.960 --> 01:17:26.920 getting into a ball, it wasn't I don't know, the ball wasn't carrying 1032 01:17:26.960 --> 01:17:30.880 as much as I sort of expected. And again he hit some homers, 1033 01:17:30.920 --> 01:17:33.119 and like I think is A is a pretty good player. It seems like 1034 01:17:33.159 --> 01:17:36.880 he could play the outfield pretty well. But I don't know, there was 1035 01:17:36.920 --> 01:17:41.760 something about his performance that just told me, like, uh, maybe pump 1036 01:17:41.840 --> 01:17:45.439 the brakes just a hair on pick me. Well, we'll see I again 1037 01:17:45.800 --> 01:17:49.960 at you know, post pick fifty. Like that's a reasonable take, especially 1038 01:17:49.960 --> 01:17:53.359 in a categories league. I think he's got some speed, he's got some 1039 01:17:53.399 --> 01:17:56.399 power, he might be a real hitter, but I don't know. He 1040 01:17:56.560 --> 01:18:00.359 was one that I wasn't enamored with. I'd say that I even noticed watching 1041 01:18:00.399 --> 01:18:03.600 him just a little bit of him in college too, And then this season 1042 01:18:03.720 --> 01:18:09.800 is there's like there's kind of some inconsistencies, like kind of in his step 1043 01:18:10.039 --> 01:18:13.840 at the point that I don't like. Sometimes he's like a higher leg kick. 1044 01:18:14.000 --> 01:18:16.720 Sometimes it's not much one. He starts open, and I don't know, 1045 01:18:17.239 --> 01:18:21.680 sometimes I wonder if he doesn't stay the most balanced. But you know, 1046 01:18:21.920 --> 01:18:26.159 It's not the only hitter I've ever seen that does stuff like that. 1047 01:18:27.079 --> 01:18:30.479 Tovar was very much like that. But yeah, I know he was just 1048 01:18:30.560 --> 01:18:38.600 better than I sort of expected when I turned on the video to two colleague 1049 01:18:38.680 --> 01:18:44.359 guys, Bryce Elridge for San Francisco. I know that he's a Jeff Ponce 1050 01:18:44.800 --> 01:18:48.239 favorite. Jeff has talked about him a couple of times at BA that he 1051 01:18:48.479 --> 01:18:55.720 really thinks that Leridge is good, and I agree. His performance was fine 1052 01:18:56.239 --> 01:19:00.319 in his colleague debut. He's, you know, in high school drafty first 1053 01:19:00.319 --> 01:19:03.279 base, outfield. I think he played right field mostly, but he's also 1054 01:19:03.319 --> 01:19:06.239 a pitcher, though I don't think I saw him pitch. I'm not sure 1055 01:19:06.239 --> 01:19:11.079 if he pitched this year in his debut, so maybe a two way guy. 1056 01:19:11.680 --> 01:19:15.600 But as a hitter, I think he's pretty good. He has a 1057 01:19:15.600 --> 01:19:19.039 lot of the mechanical swing markers that I really like to see. And when 1058 01:19:19.039 --> 01:19:24.399 I was doing my cow league deep dive like five months ago at this point 1059 01:19:24.439 --> 01:19:28.439 now, and I was, you know, hating on Jess Way to Paula 1060 01:19:28.800 --> 01:19:32.560 and really like John cel Luis. Elridge was another guy who had a lot 1061 01:19:32.600 --> 01:19:38.840 of the same things that Luis does in that his he clears his back elbow, 1062 01:19:39.399 --> 01:19:43.560 he's a lefty, clears his left elbow away from his hip, and 1063 01:19:43.600 --> 01:19:46.640 then drives through the ball. So even when he was sort of like mishitting 1064 01:19:47.079 --> 01:19:51.359 a line drive, he was still getting that good back spin. And I 1065 01:19:51.439 --> 01:19:55.279 think we're going to see a lot more power from him next year. It 1066 01:19:55.319 --> 01:20:00.000 was a pretty small sample this year, but I saw enough visually that I 1067 01:20:00.000 --> 01:20:02.039 I was like, oh, yeah, I think the Giants might have found 1068 01:20:02.119 --> 01:20:05.560 a pretty darn good hitter there. So I'm pretty excited to see him next 1069 01:20:05.640 --> 01:20:10.319 year. And he's one that I'd be really happy with in anywhere in the 1070 01:20:10.399 --> 01:20:15.000 teens in this draft class, Like whether you're talking about categories, roto points, 1071 01:20:15.039 --> 01:20:17.199 whatever, I think he's just going to be a really really good player, 1072 01:20:17.239 --> 01:20:21.039 and there's the upside potential if he's a good pitcher as well, then 1073 01:20:21.239 --> 01:20:27.039 maybe he's a proto Otani, although that is wishing upon a star for sure. 1074 01:20:27.079 --> 01:20:30.199 But Elridge is one that I was like, Yeah, I like his 1075 01:20:30.279 --> 01:20:33.319 swing a lot. And then the other guy in the calleague that I watched 1076 01:20:33.359 --> 01:20:36.960 a lot of as a Mariners fan was Ty Pete. And I see you've 1077 01:20:38.279 --> 01:20:43.960 bumped Pete down pretty far. You're prefless, and I tend to agree. 1078 01:20:44.000 --> 01:20:47.560 I actually would probably push him even farther down. You've got him in like 1079 01:20:47.640 --> 01:20:54.119 the mid fifties. He's not someone I'm interested in buying. I've seen people 1080 01:20:54.279 --> 01:20:59.319 describe his swing as really pretty. I've seen him described as a really athletic 1081 01:20:59.640 --> 01:21:03.199 defense, and I don't think either of those things is actually true. He 1082 01:21:03.680 --> 01:21:08.119 played a pretty bad third base from what I saw, and again he got 1083 01:21:08.119 --> 01:21:11.239 pushed off short You know, he's drafted quote unquote as to shortstop, but 1084 01:21:11.359 --> 01:21:15.119 Emerson played basically all the innings of shortstop in Modesto when they were there together, 1085 01:21:15.479 --> 01:21:21.359 and Pete wasn't good at third base in my estimation. As a hitter, 1086 01:21:21.800 --> 01:21:27.279 he had one pretty spectacular game where a hit like he hit a Grand 1087 01:21:27.319 --> 01:21:30.479 Slam and another home run in the same game. It might have been two 1088 01:21:30.560 --> 01:21:32.760 Grand Slams, and I'm remembering that, but that seems crazy. But it 1089 01:21:32.840 --> 01:21:35.720 might have been two Grand Slams in the same game, and I think those 1090 01:21:35.800 --> 01:21:39.239 might have been the only two homers he hit in the Calleague. Again, 1091 01:21:39.279 --> 01:21:43.479 he wasn't there a long time. I really didn't like his swing. He 1092 01:21:43.640 --> 01:21:48.159 was really inconsistent with his stride. He sometimes had a leg lift, sometimes 1093 01:21:48.199 --> 01:21:53.000 had like a toe tap. He swung and missed a lot. I for 1094 01:21:53.399 --> 01:21:56.920 somebody as highly touted, you know, he was a camp round pick and 1095 01:21:57.159 --> 01:22:00.680 got a couple of million bucks. I was pretty impressed and unimpressed with some 1096 01:22:00.720 --> 01:22:04.000 of the important tools for him. And he seems a lot more like a 1097 01:22:04.079 --> 01:22:09.760 developmental project than someone like Emerson, who I just like I said before, 1098 01:22:09.800 --> 01:22:12.760 I think is this point, there's not much else he could have done, 1099 01:22:12.880 --> 01:22:16.119 and Pete I'm like left with a lot of questions. So he there's still 1100 01:22:16.680 --> 01:22:20.920 some bones of a pretty interesting prospect here, but he's got a long way 1101 01:22:20.960 --> 01:22:26.000 to go, in my opinion, and I would hunt elsewhere because I think 1102 01:22:26.039 --> 01:22:28.960 he's going to struggle next year. I can't win with you. He's pretty 1103 01:22:29.039 --> 01:22:30.680 much off my board type of guy, but I wanted to put him on 1104 01:22:30.760 --> 01:22:34.640 there because I didn't want to yelled at we're not ranking a Mariner high enough. 1105 01:22:36.680 --> 01:22:42.600 He's the He's the one I'm I'm lower on and Farmelo I'm pretty interested 1106 01:22:42.640 --> 01:22:45.239 in. But he didn't debut this year, so he's one that like. 1107 01:22:45.680 --> 01:22:50.119 Again, he seems like maybe it's more of a categories play. I like 1108 01:22:50.199 --> 01:22:56.239 to look at him. Yeah, I watched some of his like prep prospect 1109 01:22:56.560 --> 01:23:00.159 hype videos and thought it looked pretty good. And you know, the Mariners 1110 01:23:00.319 --> 01:23:04.840 are tuning him as like a plus plus center fielder, So if that is 1111 01:23:04.960 --> 01:23:09.920 true, he could be really interesting because even if he doesn't hit a lot, 1112 01:23:09.960 --> 01:23:14.600 like he might move quickly and be a guy that they want to see 1113 01:23:14.640 --> 01:23:17.000 in centerfield, although obviously Julio is going to be there for forever and is 1114 01:23:17.039 --> 01:23:21.199 a plus center fielder for the moment. Like if Formelo is what they say, 1115 01:23:21.319 --> 01:23:26.720 like, maybe you see in four years or so that it's Formelo in 1116 01:23:26.800 --> 01:23:30.479 center and Julio's moved over to right or something. So right on, I've 1117 01:23:30.520 --> 01:23:35.560 got a little clump here of one to four hitters that I knew nothing about 1118 01:23:35.760 --> 01:23:41.479 and talking very deep. Maybe just watch list type of bets. The first 1119 01:23:41.479 --> 01:23:45.560 one is a first baseman that I don't see ranked on any first year player 1120 01:23:45.720 --> 01:23:50.760 or anything like that from Oakland, Will Simpson. So they took him in 1121 01:23:50.800 --> 01:23:56.239 the fifteenth round out of Washington, your neck of the woods, boom. 1122 01:23:57.680 --> 01:24:01.520 You know you don't like those guys. I thought you'd be over sign him 1123 01:24:01.520 --> 01:24:04.520 for one hundred and fifty K. He's a right hand hitter, might be 1124 01:24:04.680 --> 01:24:10.680 a little sometimes looks like there's some effort in it. But he popped six 1125 01:24:10.720 --> 01:24:15.720 home runs in one hundred and fifty played appearances, stole three bases. Did 1126 01:24:15.760 --> 01:24:17.319 see him run a little bit, And he's not like he's not like a 1127 01:24:17.359 --> 01:24:21.119 stiff, big first baseman, you know. I mean, he's good size, 1128 01:24:21.119 --> 01:24:26.199 but there's some athleticism to him. Struck out twenty three percent of the 1129 01:24:26.199 --> 01:24:29.560 time, walks seven percent of the time, slash three nineteen three, sixty 1130 01:24:29.600 --> 01:24:33.239 seven, five forty three two twenty five ISO hit the ball in the air, 1131 01:24:33.439 --> 01:24:38.520 I don't know, one thirty six WRC plus. Seemed like a guy 1132 01:24:38.560 --> 01:24:43.000 who could hit a little bit. And then uh, Quinn McDaniel's a fairly 1133 01:24:43.079 --> 01:24:46.039 high pick with the Giants. I think they took him in the fifth round. 1134 01:24:46.520 --> 01:24:51.840 Now he's he's goofy, fifth round out of Maine. Jeremy peney Land, 1135 01:24:53.159 --> 01:24:56.239 he's a little bit goofy. He's got a really kind of high leg 1136 01:24:56.319 --> 01:25:01.520 lift crouch like really kind of gets into the swing. Not typically what I 1137 01:25:01.680 --> 01:25:05.800 like to see, but he hit the ball hard when I was watching him. 1138 01:25:06.279 --> 01:25:11.199 Six home runs in one hundred and twenty five played appearances. He struck 1139 01:25:11.199 --> 01:25:14.319 out twenty eight percent of the time, but he also walked twenty two percent 1140 01:25:14.359 --> 01:25:16.800 of the time two fifty eight, four twenty four, four ninety five, 1141 01:25:17.520 --> 01:25:21.880 two thirty seven ops, hit the ball in the air over fifty percent of 1142 01:25:21.920 --> 01:25:25.439 the time. I don't know. He's a little interesting, kind of like 1143 01:25:25.520 --> 01:25:29.079 second basement and not real big, but packs of punch. And did you 1144 01:25:29.119 --> 01:25:31.359 watch any of him? I did not, or if I did, I 1145 01:25:31.399 --> 01:25:34.680 didn't note him. Yeah, the Angels too, I was. I was 1146 01:25:34.760 --> 01:25:39.760 kind of on the fence with maybe going with Cole Fontinelli as my sort of 1147 01:25:39.760 --> 01:25:45.760 official B side choice third baseman they drafted in the seventh round out of TCU. 1148 01:25:45.960 --> 01:25:49.840 He's a switch hitter. I haven't quite gotten until I digging into his 1149 01:25:49.880 --> 01:25:53.880 splits yet, so I'm not sure about that. But one hundred and seventy 1150 01:25:53.920 --> 01:25:58.439 four plate appearances, he had four home runs, stole seven bases, struck 1151 01:25:58.439 --> 01:26:01.079 out twenty three percent of the time two sixty one, three thirty three, 1152 01:26:01.159 --> 01:26:05.520 four h five slug all fields. Sort of like line drive hitter, I 1153 01:26:05.560 --> 01:26:10.359 think, but hit it over the fence from the left side. I think 1154 01:26:10.399 --> 01:26:14.279 I liked his his swing from the left side yet Yeah, yeah, his 1155 01:26:14.359 --> 01:26:17.560 left side stroke is pretty nice. But he caught my eye, and again 1156 01:26:17.680 --> 01:26:23.159 in the system that maybe not the richest in bats. And then the Marlins 1157 01:26:23.159 --> 01:26:25.720 had a bat that I kind of came on to just the other day. 1158 01:26:26.000 --> 01:26:30.920 Perhaps a little power speed combo here, Mark Koley. The second they drafted 1159 01:26:31.000 --> 01:26:34.600 him in the seventeenth round out of Rhode Island. He played center field. 1160 01:26:34.920 --> 01:26:40.479 It's a little bit leaner, but I think he's still in what his max 1161 01:26:40.520 --> 01:26:46.720 TV was one hundred and sixth His ninetieth percentile was one hundred and four barrel 1162 01:26:46.760 --> 01:26:51.880 percentage of twenty one percent, end zone contact to eighty two percent, chase 1163 01:26:53.359 --> 01:26:56.680 twenty six percent of the time. Again, not a ton. I think 1164 01:26:56.680 --> 01:27:00.960 there was two series to watch with him. We hit three home stole nine 1165 01:27:00.000 --> 01:27:04.720 bases, struck out almost thirty percent of the time, walk thirteen percent of 1166 01:27:04.760 --> 01:27:08.119 the time. So okay, this will be a thing to watch, But 1167 01:27:08.359 --> 01:27:13.079 I don't know, interesting potential center field prospect again in a system that might 1168 01:27:13.119 --> 01:27:15.600 not be the richest in bats. But those four guys were kind of way 1169 01:27:15.600 --> 01:27:20.680 off my radar, but video got my attention. Those are all super interesting. 1170 01:27:20.800 --> 01:27:25.520 Yeah, I'm just tagged a couple of them in some of my deeper 1171 01:27:25.600 --> 01:27:29.640 leagues to follow and if I get sniped on all my other targets this offseason, 1172 01:27:29.640 --> 01:27:31.560 I'm gonna pop one or two of them. Yeah, you know maybe, 1173 01:27:31.760 --> 01:27:35.279 and ends of your larger league drafts off. One of those guys are 1174 01:27:35.319 --> 01:27:39.960 sitting around want a college bat. They all kind of interest me too. 1175 01:27:41.199 --> 01:27:45.479 One more guy. This was just more of some interesting savant stuff paired with 1176 01:27:45.680 --> 01:27:49.920 a little bit of a video review. I think there was only like one 1177 01:27:50.039 --> 01:27:56.079 series of Kobe Morales played left field and center field with the Yankees down and 1178 01:27:56.159 --> 01:28:00.279 a ball. They drafted him in the eighteenth round out of Washington, so 1179 01:28:00.520 --> 01:28:04.880 I know you want to get into a lot of Huskies here. But a 1180 01:28:05.000 --> 01:28:10.079 big, big left hand. He's pretty tall, He's probably like six or 1181 01:28:10.119 --> 01:28:14.239 five and guessing strong left hander. It's kind of looked to look at his 1182 01:28:14.399 --> 01:28:18.199 stroke. He had a max TV of one hundred and ten, average of 1183 01:28:18.359 --> 01:28:23.960 ninety one, hit line drives at a thirty six percent, clip barrel percentage 1184 01:28:23.960 --> 01:28:27.119 of twenty three percent. He hit one home run. I think I got 1185 01:28:27.119 --> 01:28:30.159 that on video. You know, you strikeouts, you might be a concern. 1186 01:28:30.199 --> 01:28:33.000 He did walk sixteen percent of the time though, too. But just 1187 01:28:33.199 --> 01:28:35.880 a guy that I'm going to keep an eye on all right, all right, 1188 01:28:36.039 --> 01:28:42.680 I'll we can't leave on a husky, so let me talk about just 1189 01:28:42.760 --> 01:28:47.840 a couple more. I saw Jack Hurley in Hillsboro, Virginia Tech college grad, 1190 01:28:48.000 --> 01:28:53.000 pretty good college performer, canna say. I was a little bit underwhelmed 1191 01:28:53.359 --> 01:28:57.520 watching him live. I thought his chase maybe was a bit more. I 1192 01:28:57.600 --> 01:29:00.560 think one of the games I saw against Hidden Wind Jip. I know you've 1193 01:29:00.600 --> 01:29:03.880 watched a fair amount of two and Winje just seemed to have his number that 1194 01:29:04.119 --> 01:29:06.960 day. And then one of the other days that I saw him, he 1195 01:29:08.159 --> 01:29:11.399 was just a non factor. I don't think he had really good at bats, 1196 01:29:11.399 --> 01:29:15.920 and he was hitting behind Groover and Tommy Troy and like those two looked 1197 01:29:15.960 --> 01:29:20.920 like real minor leaguers of note, and Hurley didn't to me. So it 1198 01:29:21.000 --> 01:29:25.520 might have been I just saw him live on a couple of off nights, 1199 01:29:25.560 --> 01:29:28.359 but I don't think he hit the ground running. So he's one that I've 1200 01:29:28.439 --> 01:29:31.000 rounded down a little bit on, even though he did a pretty good performance 1201 01:29:31.039 --> 01:29:35.119 in the ACC. And then I'm intrigued by Aiden Smith. He's one that 1202 01:29:35.239 --> 01:29:41.439 Chris Clegg has talked up a bit. I was just going, oh, 1203 01:29:41.479 --> 01:29:45.159 you were interesting. I Clegg has tucked him up and I think has him 1204 01:29:45.159 --> 01:29:50.840 stuff pretty high in his FYPD lists. I would say the tape is at 1205 01:29:50.960 --> 01:29:56.960 least what I saw, maybe didn't quite excite me as much as it did 1206 01:29:57.159 --> 01:30:01.199 Chris. But Smith is what I'm int sit in following. Good frame. 1207 01:30:01.800 --> 01:30:06.399 His swing looked okay, just the results were not really there in the small 1208 01:30:06.439 --> 01:30:12.520 sample that I saw in Modesto. So he's one that I'm interested in following, 1209 01:30:12.600 --> 01:30:15.439 kind of like Farmelo. I want to see both of them over a 1210 01:30:15.520 --> 01:30:20.720 larger sample next year. If I had to guess, Smith might start back 1211 01:30:20.760 --> 01:30:27.199 in Modesto, and Farmelo they might just start in effett at hi A. 1212 01:30:27.560 --> 01:30:30.720 I don't know why he didn't debut this year. Must have been an injury 1213 01:30:30.760 --> 01:30:32.720 of some kind, but I can't remember hearing that reported. But anyway, 1214 01:30:32.800 --> 01:30:39.520 he's one that I'm intrigued by. There might be a decent player there, 1215 01:30:39.760 --> 01:30:44.640 but it was he didn't jump off the page. I'd say watching him in 1216 01:30:44.720 --> 01:30:46.720 his debut, but you were gonna poop pull him a bit? What didn't 1217 01:30:46.720 --> 01:30:50.199 you like about him? His full season debut is first that bad? He 1218 01:30:50.279 --> 01:30:54.039 hit a home run and you got a side view of it. You know, 1219 01:30:54.239 --> 01:30:56.680 home run, well done, But I don't know if I can really 1220 01:30:56.760 --> 01:31:00.439 articulate it, but there's just like an awkwardness in the swing that was that 1221 01:31:00.560 --> 01:31:03.960 kind of call my attention. And he comes around the bases, he blows 1222 01:31:04.039 --> 01:31:11.439 some kisses to the fans, thes like, come on, man, yeah, 1223 01:31:11.479 --> 01:31:14.159 I don't know, Like like you said, it is for a prep 1224 01:31:14.199 --> 01:31:15.960 guy that you know you hear people talking about. And I don't know, 1225 01:31:16.079 --> 01:31:20.119 I didn't really but he was a fourth round pick out of Texas. I 1226 01:31:20.119 --> 01:31:25.880 guess they gave him a one point two million not like real like physically imposing, 1227 01:31:26.760 --> 01:31:29.720 not that that's a huge deal. But yeah, he's tall. But 1228 01:31:29.800 --> 01:31:33.560 I think the thing about his swing that looks a little awkward is he seems 1229 01:31:33.600 --> 01:31:39.359 like one that pulls his hands across him a bit more. I think we've 1230 01:31:39.520 --> 01:31:42.680 talked about this, but and he finishes kind of low, like if you 1231 01:31:42.720 --> 01:31:46.119 see where his hands finish on the swing, but in this swing, like 1232 01:31:46.199 --> 01:31:53.000 you see, his finish is a lot lower, so his like both his 1233 01:31:53.159 --> 01:31:58.079 hands end up at his left shoulder below And I think that looks a little 1234 01:31:58.079 --> 01:32:00.319 bit awkward. And I also think they are cutting in front of him just 1235 01:32:00.359 --> 01:32:03.720 a little bit. I will say the pitch he hit out there is on 1236 01:32:03.760 --> 01:32:08.960 the outer half and you hit it out to center. So there's some extension 1237 01:32:09.000 --> 01:32:13.399 that's happening there to hit that ball out in that direction. But I think 1238 01:32:13.399 --> 01:32:16.279 it might be like, shoot, who's the guy the latter? Chase Delatter? 1239 01:32:16.680 --> 01:32:21.760 He has a sort of similar abbreviated finish to this, although his is 1240 01:32:21.800 --> 01:32:26.399 a little bit higher, like again he kind of like stops his hands, 1241 01:32:26.439 --> 01:32:30.479 but they're a little bit higher than But I wonder if that's like the visual 1242 01:32:30.920 --> 01:32:33.359 awkwardness that we're seeing here could be right, Uh yeah, I don't know, 1243 01:32:33.479 --> 01:32:35.880 Like, you know, prep guys, I gotta get you got to 1244 01:32:35.920 --> 01:32:41.760 get real excited. And I just wasn't getting real excited with Aiden Smith here. 1245 01:32:41.880 --> 01:32:45.600 And you know, going back to your opening opening diatribe, right, 1246 01:32:45.720 --> 01:32:47.600 like, if you're not excited about a guy, pass on him, let 1247 01:32:47.640 --> 01:32:51.680 somebody else float that risk, Especially for a high school draftee. You know 1248 01:32:51.920 --> 01:32:56.159 it's going to be so long before they're relevant. I wanted to ask you, 1249 01:32:56.319 --> 01:32:59.960 Braden Taylor, No, you know we're talking. Well, he was 1250 01:33:00.119 --> 01:33:02.600 like a mid first round pick, right, He's another one that Jeff Pons 1251 01:33:02.720 --> 01:33:06.199 was pretty pretty on. Really Jeff likes him. Oh no, I'm pretty 1252 01:33:06.199 --> 01:33:10.439 sure. I think I read that in one of the one of the BA 1253 01:33:10.600 --> 01:33:13.640 articles that he was like, this is a guy that I'm planning my flag 1254 01:33:13.680 --> 01:33:15.239 on. I don't know. I was like, maybe one to take him 1255 01:33:15.239 --> 01:33:20.479 off my board completely, Okay, I mean what, he had five home 1256 01:33:20.560 --> 01:33:25.119 runs and one hundred and eight played appearances and he stole eleven bases. That's 1257 01:33:25.479 --> 01:33:28.239 that's pretty nice. Now he's not going to be a shortstop, right, 1258 01:33:28.319 --> 01:33:30.880 He's going to be a third baseman. From what I've gathered, you know, 1259 01:33:30.880 --> 01:33:32.920 he struck out thirty two percent of the time. I don't like that 1260 01:33:33.520 --> 01:33:36.720 hit a lot of line drives, pulled the ball sixty one percent of the 1261 01:33:36.760 --> 01:33:42.920 time. I don't know heavy heavy pool hitters with strikeout concern. Maybe maybe 1262 01:33:42.960 --> 01:33:45.720 I was just overthinking it, but he's a tough one for me. I 1263 01:33:45.800 --> 01:33:49.199 probably won't have any Bradon Taylor shares, but Jeff likes him, so he'll 1264 01:33:49.239 --> 01:33:55.279 probably be good and I'll look like an idiot. I didn't watch any of 1265 01:33:55.720 --> 01:33:59.319 Taylor, so he's one that and I don't know whether there was a ton 1266 01:33:59.439 --> 01:34:01.880 I guess he was at a ball for a decent clip and did pretty well. 1267 01:34:02.720 --> 01:34:06.319 Yeah, he did strike up, but you just don't get a trusting 1268 01:34:06.399 --> 01:34:11.119 feeling, you know, and you know, thirty two percent strikeout right at 1269 01:34:11.199 --> 01:34:15.520 a ball is not great for a college bat, right, Like I know 1270 01:34:16.199 --> 01:34:19.800 mid first round of college that, yeah, you're all about Walton and his 1271 01:34:20.199 --> 01:34:29.199 thirty plus percent strikeout right games five we have like a butt, No, 1272 01:34:29.279 --> 01:34:34.520 this is this is this is twenty two games in a ball for a college 1273 01:34:34.560 --> 01:34:38.920 bat. Again, like we talked about, we're looking at Werner and a 1274 01:34:38.920 --> 01:34:41.800 couple of the other guys at Able, like you want to see him do 1275 01:34:41.960 --> 01:34:45.680 well there. So that strikeout right would give me, would give me pause. 1276 01:34:46.079 --> 01:34:50.560 But any raised prospects too, I hate investing in raised prospects too. 1277 01:34:50.720 --> 01:34:55.600 I'm just I'm coming to that acceptance. Why is that there's just too many 1278 01:34:55.600 --> 01:34:58.560 of them and they don't give a shit about your fantasy team. They're not 1279 01:34:58.720 --> 01:35:03.000 the Royals who are just plug and play somebody. Yeah exactly, No, 1280 01:35:03.159 --> 01:35:06.159 But you know they're like I'm not knocking the way that they do things. 1281 01:35:06.199 --> 01:35:10.359 I think it's they're awesome in what they do, and they do what they 1282 01:35:10.399 --> 01:35:13.359 have to do and they optimize what they got to work with. But you 1283 01:35:13.399 --> 01:35:15.560 know, like, okay, so we're going to add another infielder to the 1284 01:35:15.600 --> 01:35:21.560 mix here potentially platoon or something. We've talked about their pitching before too. 1285 01:35:21.600 --> 01:35:25.439 I don't I don't really how they develop a lot of their pictures, Like 1286 01:35:25.520 --> 01:35:28.560 I don't know the price that Bradon Taylor is going to be in my draft, 1287 01:35:28.720 --> 01:35:30.560 Like, I might as well just take them off my board, so 1288 01:35:30.560 --> 01:35:32.760 I'm not going to get them. It is interesting that for someone that was 1289 01:35:32.800 --> 01:35:36.840 lauded with such a great plate approach struck out as much as he did in 1290 01:35:36.960 --> 01:35:42.479 a ball And it wasn't like he walked twenty percent of the time either, 1291 01:35:42.840 --> 01:35:45.479 which you know would be impressive. You know, he walked fourteen point six 1292 01:35:45.479 --> 01:35:48.640 percent of the time, which is above average, but I wouldn't say it's 1293 01:35:48.720 --> 01:35:53.840 like super plus. It's a small sample still, like, you know, 1294 01:35:54.039 --> 01:35:58.319 not quite one hundred plate appearances. You know, even k raid and walk 1295 01:35:58.399 --> 01:36:01.720 rate, those are probably still a little noisy at that level. And you 1296 01:36:01.760 --> 01:36:06.479 know, five homers and eleven steals in his JBU was interesting, right, 1297 01:36:06.880 --> 01:36:12.359 Y's not bad. But yeah, okay, you know it's fair to have 1298 01:36:12.399 --> 01:36:15.880 some questions about Taylor. Well probably just not my guy. But oh hey, 1299 01:36:16.039 --> 01:36:19.880 you like the you're talking about the Orioles Riches. Did you happen to 1300 01:36:19.880 --> 01:36:27.840 see any of their twentieth round pick, Jalen Vasquez out of some small school 1301 01:36:28.039 --> 01:36:31.399 somewhere in South Carolina or something like that. But I'm not ringing a bell. 1302 01:36:31.880 --> 01:36:34.920 He's kind of a fun guy to watch, you know. We talked 1303 01:36:34.920 --> 01:36:41.399 about like Javier Sinoya. Yeah, I get like little vibes from Vasquez, 1304 01:36:41.520 --> 01:36:45.039 just like dude is going to maximize everything, and he's athletic and he can 1305 01:36:45.319 --> 01:36:46.640 he can run. I don't he didn't hit a home run. I don't 1306 01:36:46.680 --> 01:36:49.840 know if that'd be part of his game. But it's kind of a fun 1307 01:36:50.000 --> 01:36:54.800 just a fun player, I think, a guy that you just kind of 1308 01:36:54.840 --> 01:36:59.000 want to root for. Nice well in the clothes here, there were a 1309 01:36:59.039 --> 01:37:04.039 couple names that I noticed were conspicuously absent from your from your list, can 1310 01:37:04.039 --> 01:37:10.000 I ask, Okay, Yeah, for sure, I noticed Kyle Teal not 1311 01:37:10.159 --> 01:37:15.000 on your top one hundred. That's true. He's not fourteenth overall pick for 1312 01:37:15.079 --> 01:37:18.760 the Boston Red Sox catcher. It's it's not again, that's not a rank 1313 01:37:18.800 --> 01:37:24.880 sheet. I just there's no way that I'm gonna draft get Teal in any 1314 01:37:24.960 --> 01:37:30.880 draft. There's no way. And is that because of the position risk that 1315 01:37:30.279 --> 01:37:33.640 most catchers have, or what is it? What is it about Teal that 1316 01:37:34.000 --> 01:37:38.159 is turning you off? I mean, I don't have any of his stuff 1317 01:37:38.159 --> 01:37:41.760 pulled up, but I don't think he's as good of a hitter as everyone 1318 01:37:42.159 --> 01:37:45.840 is saying he is. Just generally speaking, people really love him, not 1319 01:37:45.920 --> 01:37:48.920 nearly as much as I'm going to pay for him. And yeah, I 1320 01:37:48.960 --> 01:37:54.479 don't know, maybe that's just really cheap and generic and boring. But I 1321 01:37:54.479 --> 01:37:58.159 don't I don't get it. I don't get all the love for Kyle Teal. 1322 01:37:58.439 --> 01:38:00.119 So this is one that you and I agree on. Like, I 1323 01:38:00.159 --> 01:38:04.880 would probably rank him in a top hundred just if I was doing a rank 1324 01:38:05.560 --> 01:38:10.560 Maga something, he would be in there. But I'm with you. I 1325 01:38:10.600 --> 01:38:16.119 don't think he is a special enough hitter to be worth the price to hold 1326 01:38:16.439 --> 01:38:23.239 a dynasty catcher. You got to be a special hitter that catcher. Yep, 1327 01:38:23.760 --> 01:38:29.119 I agree. Just in general, investing in minor league dynasty catchers is 1328 01:38:29.520 --> 01:38:35.279 I think a path towards madness because they just bus so fast, they get 1329 01:38:35.319 --> 01:38:40.079 hurt. Even if they are good, they'll come up and maybe they won't 1330 01:38:40.079 --> 01:38:44.239 play, or maybe they won't be good while they're learning to catch big league 1331 01:38:44.399 --> 01:38:48.800 pitching as a hitter because that's their main job. And then you're holding this 1332 01:38:48.840 --> 01:38:54.479 guy that gets three hundred and fifty played appearances and is met and you're like, 1333 01:38:54.560 --> 01:38:56.800 oh, I held on to this guy since I drafted him. So 1334 01:38:57.239 --> 01:39:00.119 just as a class of hitters, that's not one that I'm really interested in 1335 01:39:00.439 --> 01:39:04.720 buying generally speaking, even though I think he seems like a pretty decent defender, 1336 01:39:04.800 --> 01:39:08.600 especially in the catch and throw department. He seems special there. But 1337 01:39:08.880 --> 01:39:13.560 he hit the ground running for his debut, but it was in the way 1338 01:39:13.720 --> 01:39:17.079 that you should look at very skeptically. Skeptically, it was a super high 1339 01:39:17.079 --> 01:39:23.560 babbit across all the levels that he hit some power, but not a ton. 1340 01:39:23.920 --> 01:39:27.199 If I remember right, his ISO was below one fifty, and so 1341 01:39:27.279 --> 01:39:30.880 it's not like he's, you know, running some impressive statistical line. It 1342 01:39:31.000 --> 01:39:39.680 was really buoyed by his babbit and that is so fickle. So I he's 1343 01:39:39.760 --> 01:39:43.720 one like he might crater next year and you can acquire him for cheap in 1344 01:39:43.840 --> 01:39:47.520 July when his babbeb comes down to two ninety and he's catching in double A 1345 01:39:47.680 --> 01:39:50.279 or triple A, and he's like, oh, well, the luster is 1346 01:39:50.319 --> 01:39:54.840 off, and you could acquire him then, but he's not one I'm pumping 1347 01:39:54.920 --> 01:39:58.279 up draft boards either. So that was one I wanted to agree with you 1348 01:39:58.399 --> 01:40:00.840 on. Yeah, yeah, it's it's not so much I find him not 1349 01:40:00.880 --> 01:40:04.960 to be a nice prospect or anything like that. It's just just a fantasy 1350 01:40:05.079 --> 01:40:10.119 game thing. I also don't have Namaua on there. That was the other 1351 01:40:10.159 --> 01:40:13.760 one I was gonna ask about. Have you watched him and you're you're just 1352 01:40:14.600 --> 01:40:16.319 or bit and I get it, and I say, and it's just the 1353 01:40:16.359 --> 01:40:19.840 same thing with Teal, like I'm just he's gonna go well. Before I 1354 01:40:19.840 --> 01:40:24.359 think about him, I think he's a very nice prospect. I know he's 1355 01:40:24.399 --> 01:40:29.520 really young. I do, and typically I'm drawn to guys who have seemed 1356 01:40:29.520 --> 01:40:31.800 to have just like really fast hands and really good hands, and I think 1357 01:40:31.840 --> 01:40:36.119 he does have that, uh, just from what I've gathered. And I 1358 01:40:36.119 --> 01:40:41.760 feel like he's kind of stuck in between a short stop that's gonna like hit 1359 01:40:41.840 --> 01:40:45.680 a lot, or a third basement that's not gonna hit enough. It's kind 1360 01:40:45.680 --> 01:40:48.319 of what I'm thinking. And I also I don't trust the Blue Jays. 1361 01:40:48.439 --> 01:40:53.840 I don't. I don't like Blue Jays hitters as a whole, especially ones 1362 01:40:53.880 --> 01:40:57.439 that they draft high. It hasn't gone well and not that you know, 1363 01:40:57.439 --> 01:40:59.600 I don't want to make too much of that. It's about the player, 1364 01:40:59.680 --> 01:41:01.640 but yeah, just where he's going to go, I'm just he's not going 1365 01:41:01.720 --> 01:41:04.239 to be. It's not going to be in my cue at any time. 1366 01:41:04.680 --> 01:41:11.800 I think it's interesting. In fangrafts, they gave him plus to double plus 1367 01:41:12.039 --> 01:41:17.560 raw power, which I was surprised about. They were like they put a 1368 01:41:17.640 --> 01:41:24.439 seventy on his future raw wow, which watching because I watched some of his 1369 01:41:24.600 --> 01:41:27.760 video. I didn't see any of his I don't think any of his complex 1370 01:41:27.800 --> 01:41:30.319 games were broadcast or whatever, but I watched, you know, a decent 1371 01:41:30.319 --> 01:41:33.000 amount of it. And actually, fun side story, I grew up playing 1372 01:41:33.039 --> 01:41:38.000 cricket, so I still occasionally watched cricket. And during the Cricket World Cup 1373 01:41:38.039 --> 01:41:44.800 in India this year, Nimala actually went to India because he's his family's Indian 1374 01:41:44.840 --> 01:41:49.159 and so he went to India and met with one of the Indian national cricket 1375 01:41:49.159 --> 01:41:56.399 team players and like tried to hit off of a bowling machine in the Indian 1376 01:41:56.479 --> 01:42:00.680 national team facility and did okay. You know, like I think I think 1377 01:42:00.239 --> 01:42:04.560 that sort of like cross skill. There's some overlap there, but it's surprisingly 1378 01:42:04.640 --> 01:42:11.239 difficult, and he showed at least some aptitude to hit a cricket ball as 1379 01:42:11.279 --> 01:42:15.119 it was bold off of one of their pitching machines. And then the other 1380 01:42:15.560 --> 01:42:18.680 guy I'm forgetting his name, the Indian cricket player, then hit off a 1381 01:42:18.720 --> 01:42:23.800 baseball machine that they brought for the thing too, and did not do very 1382 01:42:23.840 --> 01:42:28.800 well because they're pretty different. But anyway, it's like, so I see 1383 01:42:28.840 --> 01:42:32.239 some decent hand eye coordination, Like I think he might be a hit overpower 1384 01:42:32.319 --> 01:42:36.479 guy. But I just thought that was so interesting that they projected such impressive 1385 01:42:36.880 --> 01:42:41.279 power off of a guy that at least my like limited looks. I was 1386 01:42:41.319 --> 01:42:43.960 like, oh, he seems more of a hit overpower kind of guy. 1387 01:42:44.560 --> 01:42:49.680 And BA some good vs for a young young player like himself maybe, but 1388 01:42:49.960 --> 01:42:55.640 BA gave him a fifty five power, so I don't know. It's sort 1389 01:42:55.680 --> 01:42:59.479 of a weird guy. Like, I'm interested to see more of him because 1390 01:42:59.760 --> 01:43:02.760 I like you and sort of skeptical, i'd say, of Namala, and 1391 01:43:03.159 --> 01:43:08.119 he's not not what I'm clamoring to get. So I mean, if you'll 1392 01:43:08.159 --> 01:43:11.560 see, we'll see. My years of playing Dynasty, there's never been a 1393 01:43:11.640 --> 01:43:16.159 year where there's some first round or highly saw after prep bat that a year 1394 01:43:16.239 --> 01:43:20.960 later nobody wants anymore. Yeah, So now I'm not saying that's gonna be 1395 01:43:21.079 --> 01:43:24.840 him, but I don't think it. I don't think you're wrong if you 1396 01:43:25.000 --> 01:43:28.920 just try to pick out a few and who those may be and just completely 1397 01:43:28.920 --> 01:43:30.880 avoid them. Also, going back to one of the points you made it 1398 01:43:30.920 --> 01:43:33.800 earlier, is like, if you miss on a guy, you're gonna get 1399 01:43:33.800 --> 01:43:38.159 a chance to acquire him again, right, Like maybe you have to pay 1400 01:43:38.239 --> 01:43:42.560 up to do it. But if you really like somebody next year and you 1401 01:43:42.640 --> 01:43:45.239 missed on him in this draft, like you're gonna be able to get him 1402 01:43:45.600 --> 01:43:50.439 in some way. And that's like I made this point in that article about 1403 01:43:50.640 --> 01:43:56.880 pictures that I wrote and why pay up for quote unquote the market price. 1404 01:43:57.079 --> 01:44:00.880 If a guy's pumped as a mid first round FIP and you're like looking at 1405 01:44:00.920 --> 01:44:04.439 that profile, there's going to be some bumps in the road, you're going 1406 01:44:04.520 --> 01:44:09.520 to be able to get him later on. You if you really believe let 1407 01:44:09.600 --> 01:44:14.199 someone else hold the risk, Let someone else hold and watch them struggle and 1408 01:44:14.239 --> 01:44:16.760 then target them into trade like you're always going to be able to do that 1409 01:44:17.000 --> 01:44:20.720 at least in leagues where people are interested in trading there. I've been in 1410 01:44:20.800 --> 01:44:25.239 leagues before where people don't really want to trade. In one of my leagues, 1411 01:44:25.319 --> 01:44:28.600 like the league just flat out said that nobody's allowed to trade with me 1412 01:44:28.720 --> 01:44:31.000 because I'd won the league like seven years in a row, and they're like, 1413 01:44:31.359 --> 01:44:35.800 just stop, just don't trade with them anymore. So I finished second 1414 01:44:35.920 --> 01:44:39.399 for a couple of years in that league, but I wanted again last year, 1415 01:44:39.479 --> 01:44:44.439 so suck it, my homeble league. But so most leagues, though, 1416 01:44:44.720 --> 01:44:47.640 especially in the dynasty format, you're going to be able to trade. 1417 01:44:47.880 --> 01:44:54.479 You should actively seek out these guys that you coveted or wanted to follow and 1418 01:44:55.760 --> 01:44:59.840 follow up if they do turn out to be something or you still believe in 1419 01:44:59.880 --> 01:45:04.680 that another like just quick dynasty story. In my longest running dynasty league, 1420 01:45:04.800 --> 01:45:10.199 the league is a team based league, so I have the Angels, but 1421 01:45:10.479 --> 01:45:14.399 when we started the league, we went through a draft to pick which team 1422 01:45:14.800 --> 01:45:17.520 was your namesake. When it got down to my pick, I was between 1423 01:45:17.720 --> 01:45:24.560 the Angels and the Red Sox, and at the time, the Red Sox 1424 01:45:24.880 --> 01:45:30.840 had a much more highly rated minor league system and some young players that were 1425 01:45:30.840 --> 01:45:33.800 pretty good, like some present value of like Chris Sale might be an ace. 1426 01:45:34.079 --> 01:45:38.640 Rafael Devers at the time was like a twenty three year old phenom who 1427 01:45:38.720 --> 01:45:43.640 was like already succeeding in the major leagues, and a host of other pretty 1428 01:45:43.640 --> 01:45:46.159 good players around them, and then their minor leagues were really well regarded, 1429 01:45:46.199 --> 01:45:51.560 whereas the Angels had trout Otani, a couple of other like decent major leaguers 1430 01:45:51.600 --> 01:45:56.520 like Rendon before he had all the injuries, and a couple of their pitchers 1431 01:45:56.520 --> 01:46:00.960 were kind of interesting, Sandoval Iglesias. And then in the minor leagues they 1432 01:46:00.000 --> 01:46:03.079 had like Reid debt Merz. I think that was the year he got drafted 1433 01:46:03.159 --> 01:46:06.439 and that was it, and everybody else in their minor leagues was poop. 1434 01:46:06.600 --> 01:46:12.960 And I was like, oh my god. Joe Adell was like their number 1435 01:46:13.039 --> 01:46:15.239 one prospect at the time, and he's awful. He's so bad. But 1436 01:46:15.640 --> 01:46:20.439 in the Red Sox system they had all these highly rated prospects, you know, 1437 01:46:20.560 --> 01:46:24.399 at the time, it was like Bobby Dolbeck, Tristan Cassas. This 1438 01:46:24.479 --> 01:46:28.880 might have been the year they drafted Marcela Mayer to Nick York, like all 1439 01:46:28.920 --> 01:46:33.760 these guys that were quote unquote top one hundred lock prospects. Now looking back, 1440 01:46:34.079 --> 01:46:39.680 one of their prospects panned out from that crop, who was like very 1441 01:46:39.720 --> 01:46:44.880 clearly like a top five prospects of stem one Cassas, and everybody else is 1442 01:46:45.159 --> 01:46:48.319 bad or at least might not even make the major leagues as a regular. 1443 01:46:48.520 --> 01:46:53.399 So all that to say, like the prospect side of things, the error 1444 01:46:53.479 --> 01:46:58.279 bars are huge, and in FYPD, they're the biggest, even at the 1445 01:46:58.319 --> 01:47:00.960 top, you know, to the point earlier, like Elijah Green was a 1446 01:47:01.039 --> 01:47:05.680 can't miss, tooled up five tool guy a year ago. Drew Jones was 1447 01:47:05.760 --> 01:47:11.479 even better, and you couldn't pay me to roster those two at this point, 1448 01:47:11.600 --> 01:47:15.119 right, and like that was the consensus a year ago. Now, 1449 01:47:15.239 --> 01:47:18.880 I think this year is uncommon in that the top of this FYPD is actually 1450 01:47:19.039 --> 01:47:24.000 very very good, even down to like number eight, nine, ten, 1451 01:47:24.199 --> 01:47:28.439 Like I think there's a pretty clear the top two I think are incredible. 1452 01:47:28.560 --> 01:47:31.199 The next chunk till about ten are like very very good. These guys are 1453 01:47:31.199 --> 01:47:33.960 going to be big leaguers. And then the next chunk down to like twenty 1454 01:47:34.039 --> 01:47:40.000 twenty five are exciting, like ones that you'd be happy to land. After 1455 01:47:40.039 --> 01:47:44.720 that though, it's the wild West anything could happen. The airbars are enormous. 1456 01:47:44.720 --> 01:47:47.439 We do not have enough information to actually know. So take the guys 1457 01:47:47.479 --> 01:47:50.680 you like, take the ones that excite you, and if you miss on 1458 01:47:50.720 --> 01:47:54.640 somebody, you miss on somebody, you'll be able to trade for somebody else 1459 01:47:54.720 --> 01:48:00.279 later. Sure there's plenty efficiency. We're gonna be b siding all year trying 1460 01:48:00.279 --> 01:48:03.439 to find all those muddy catfish down at the bottom. They're going to turn 1461 01:48:03.479 --> 01:48:08.319 into something. And the only regret that I ever have in first year player 1462 01:48:08.399 --> 01:48:12.720 drafts is when I'm not aggressive enough on somebody that I wanted and somebody else 1463 01:48:12.800 --> 01:48:16.319 gets. I've never been sad because I missed on a star that I didn't 1464 01:48:16.319 --> 01:48:20.000 get whoever, only been mad when the guy I wanted it turned out good 1465 01:48:20.119 --> 01:48:24.319 and I was just too passive about it. That's it, preach. So 1466 01:48:24.359 --> 01:48:29.359 AnyWho, thanks for joining us, Episode seventeen of the Prospect B Sides podcast. 1467 01:48:29.479 --> 01:48:31.600 You can, like I said earlier, follow me on Twitter if you 1468 01:48:31.760 --> 01:48:36.279 like. At pitching specs. I've got this Google sheet up with videos of 1469 01:48:36.920 --> 01:48:42.800 many of players that we talked about many more. But yeah, we'll let 1470 01:48:42.880 --> 01:48:45.840 Chicago Farmer take us out and next time we will talk first year player. 1471 01:48:45.960 --> 01:48:51.359 Pictures. Pictures gross eel. It be so much fun. There's so much 1472 01:48:51.399 --> 01:49:00.720 more diversity and adventure and different styles and possibilities with pictures. Well, we'll 1473 01:49:00.760 --> 01:49:04.680 talk to you next time. See five miles an hour. Riding to his 1474 01:49:04.840 --> 01:49:12.720 head, he hopped down the first with the lump on his face, and 1475 01:49:12.840 --> 01:49:20.800 on the very next pitch he up and stole second face with gretest speed. 1476 01:49:23.039 --> 01:49:30.640 He wasn't born, but he had dirty yes uniform