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What is krack alac in fellow Thermo
nuclear a effort, I am Damn Valley

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coming at you with part two of
this week's mail back. Before we get

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started, the user reminders. If
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out a ton. And if you've
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Also tell people about us, friends, family members, acquaintance is coworkers,

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whoever appreciate everyone who's ever done that. If you've ever recommended us to someone

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up on it, please feel free to

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let me know. Those are always
good stories to share. Let's begin,

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though, with the Julius Randall injury
shams or the Knicks Basically, they announced

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that Julius Randall sprain left ankle that
he suffered in that loss in that win

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excuse me against Miami on Wednesday night. He's going to be reevaluated in two

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weeks. That puts him his reevaluation
date at two days before the playoffs start,

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and the Nicks should still avoid the
plan. So they're going to They

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would take a pretty massive collapse on
their part to wind up in the play

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in tournament, so they shouldn't have
to worry about getting through the plane without

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him. These reevaluation periods, though, we're weird because he's going to be

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revaluated in two weeks, Does that
mean he's just going to be ready to

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play? Would he be playing right
now if it were the playoffs rather than

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just the final five games of the
regular season. All fair questions. I've

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seen speculation that some people think this
is like a Grade two sprain, where

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the normal absence is like bet two
and four weeks, and four weeks would

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be on the high end. You'd
be looking at a first round series,

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probably against Cleveland at this point,
where you have to go without Julius Randall.

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It's going to be tough, but
I do think ultimately this winds up

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being a blessing in disguise for Julius
Randall specifically, is if the ankle injury

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is not too too serious. I
know his goal was to play in all

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eighty two games this year, make
call MBA whatever, just to get some

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rest, just in advance of the
playoffs. At that time off, I

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think would be huge for him.
You don't necessarily get too much time off

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if you're coming back from an injury
where you're not allowed to train. There

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could be some rust for him to
work through. But the Knicks, they

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go a lot of one on one. They target a lot of mismatches on

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offense. A fresh version of Julius
Randall heading into a first round series against

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what is No matter who you wind
up facing, it's could to probably be

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a pretty hilacious defense if it's Cleveland
specifically, though, that's far from the

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worst thing in the world. I
also think this is an opportunity for self

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discovery on New York's part. We
saw them get not quirky, but experiment

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a little bit down the stretch that
Miami he game. You had Josh hart

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and Asia Hartenstein closing within it was
RJ. Barrett Manuel Quickly and John Brunson.

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That's a lineup I think we would
expect to see more. This is

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also going to give the Knicks an
opportunity to give Obie Toppin more minutes.

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I know that we saw this year
when Obie Toppin was out and I don't

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think Josh Hart wasn't on the team, and I think Mitchell Robbins was injured.

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At that point we saw some Jarret
Wissins and Jerich will Sims and Hartenstein

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played together. I don't think the
Knicks will go that route again with the

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dual bigs, just because they have
the different level of players who are available

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and outlook Josh Hart's and the Faulty
has played some four and so I would

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expect to see a lot of Josh
Hart RJ Barrett front courts at this point.

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The bigger concern it's not necessarily feeling
those minutes. It's one or first

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and foremost, it's the scoring and
even the playmaking from Julius Randall. I

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think you look at two things here. The nixt half court offense is going

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to get in fury a lot worse. Their offense is in the twenty eight

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percent file when Randall's off the court
this season. It is however they are.

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They've won those minutes because they've had
on the back of a stronger defensive

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performance. The other thing is is
that Jalen Brunson and he have logged.

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Jalen Brunson has not logged too many
minutes without Julius Randall. But the Knicks

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offense is still pretty good because I
mean, Jalen Brunson has been one of

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the best one on one scores in
basketball this year five hundred and fifty possessions

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without Julius Randall Brunson has played.
The knicks offensive ratings during that stretch is

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one twenty three point five that ranks
in the ninety ninth ninety seventh percentile.

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Excuse me, so you know that
you can still at least generate efficient offense.

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I think what it takes if we're
looking at a playoff setting, you

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want to have the ability to push
the pace. And if you go and

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you look at some of that data, the Knicks are going to run more

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when Julius Randall's off the court,
after they get a rebound, after they

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forced a turnover. I think that
you need to maybe emphasize that even more

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if you have Josh Harden Manuel Quickly
in the game at the same time,

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even with Jalen Brunson, rather than
trying to slow things down target mismatches.

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I do think this is an opportunity
for RJ. Barrett to stand out.

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But even with the leap that Manuel
Quickly has made, it becomes tough to

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run the Knick's offense in the vein
that it normally runs. I don't you

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don't want any of those guys.
I think going mismatch hunting or going one

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on one is often I think Manuel
Quickly is just the better player at this

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point, and his stop on a
dime floaters and just ability to change directions

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when he's off the dribble, I
mean even having a pull up jumper in

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general makes him probably more valuable in
the situation. But Barrett's size and strength

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and ability to get all the way
to the basket could make him just as

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valuable, if not more so,
in those types of situations. I just

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don't think you want to find yourself
leaning on them as much. You can

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certainly lean on Jail and Runs and
more to that because he's been so efficient

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in those situations. But I think
you want to look at trying to push

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the pace, especially off of defensive
rebounds, and that helps with I mentioned

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quickly if during the minutes that top
And is going to play. But I

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do think that it will be a
valuable opportunity to sort of see, Okay,

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well can we get by playing smaller
for longer stretches with the Heart and

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Barrett front court. Let's say next
to a big whether it's Hartenstein or Mitchell

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Robinson, you also get to see
what can Obi Toppin do for you?

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Is he going to be nailing those
corner threes at a higher clip or can

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you maybe use him as a screen
or more because Julius Randall is so important

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that Knicks offense as a screen,
or especially when John Brunson has the ball,

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who comes and steps in and fills
that role. Yes, the big

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Heartenstein Mitchell Robinson will do more of
that, but can you get away with

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that? Can Josh Hart do more
of that? R J. Barrett do

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more of that? Or like I
said, topping since he plays essentially the

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same position. And so I think
this winds up being valuable just the Knicks

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having to test some different lineup combinations. It doesn't mean that they're going to

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change their entire ethos once Julie's Randall
comes back and just as they enter the

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playoffs. But I think it's good
to just have that information of your of

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your own team, where you know, you look at it and you say,

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Okay, Julius Randall's gonna play forty
minutes a night in the playoffs.

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What can we do during these other
eight minutes that maybe we hadn't tried before

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during the regular season. We tried
it towards the talent and it started to

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work. That's valuable information, and
it can be instructive and inform just how

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you're going to go about matching up
with teams and we'll say the Cavaliers hypothetically

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in the first round. It's a
bummer overall, though, because the evaluation

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period doesn't guarantee that he's going to
be back in time for the start of

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the first round. The way that
the Knicks are run and the way that

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Julius Randall just is as a player, I might bet on him. Unless

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they are unless this is more serious
than is being reported, I might bet

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on it a little bit. I
would bet is what I'm saying, that

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he'll be back in time for the
playoffs, again though we don't have all

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necessarily the information just yet, and
the fact that he's missing two weeks at

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all, knowing how the Knicks are
run, knowing how badly Julius Randall wanted

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to play in all eighty two games, knowing how badly he wanted to make

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All MBA, I don't think this
impact is All MBA case. By the

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way, I'm not even sure if
he would have ended up making it team.

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But relative to some of these other
guys, especially at the forwards and

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how many minutes they've played Durant lebron
Kauai, I don't think Julius Randall's in

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jeopardy of losing any All MBA grounds. He's certainly not going to tumble,

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you know, five spots down the
ladder because of this absence if he if

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he was on your All NBA team, I don't think this absence changes that

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if he wasn't on your All NBA
team. Of course, this certainly isn't

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going to change that one of your
All NBA teams, I should say,

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and so, but when I do
frame this is a blessing in disguise,

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I think ultimately it's just the Knicks
being able to dig a little bit deeper

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and find out more about their roster
independent of Julius Randall, which is,

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you know, that's something you need
to know and even you can apply it

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to when Julius Randall is playing,
just to look at these different you know,

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maybe are they more inclined if the
RJ. Barrett Josh hartfront court works

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out really well, or then krying
to maybe even try play that with Julius

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Randall at the five more like they
could try closing like that, or they

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you know, going up against certain
matchups, I will say if you're looking

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at Cleveland specifically that smaller front court, like, let's see Julius Randall is

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available, but even you're just trying
to look at surviving minutes when maybe he's

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not on the floor. I guess
it's one thing if you're going up against

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Mobli or Alan, neither of them
are just like super girthy or brawny or

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huge. But if you're gonna go
up against clean team that's playing those two

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based at the same time and you
don't have Julius Randall, and then you're

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left playing smaller with Robinson and then
you know Heart and RJ. Barrett,

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let's say as your four years three
respectively, that could be that could be

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super tough. But I do think
overall that this is going to be a

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good stretch for the Knicks to really
test some things out. Maybe get it's

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Deuce McBride probably gets more run as
well, and so you can test out

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smaller units that way, and it'll
give you a better feel for things that

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you can do defensively in those situations, which is an aspect of the game

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where the Knicks have run hot and
cold there and they've they've lagged at points.

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They've been a better defensive team in
some of the lineups with Julius Randall

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off the court, and so maybe
you can stand to be more aggressive there,

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force more turnovers, get out in
transition. So I'm interest see what

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it looks like. I wouldn't be
too worried if I'm anna expand right now,

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Like I said, Julie, Trando
getting the rest, far from the

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worst thing in the world, just
something to monitor because who knows whether he

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comes back. I think ultimately,
even if they don't have him, this

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feels like a team that can survive, not be better without Julius Rando,

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but a team that is deep enough
to survive. And the players that I

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think I'm watching the most might be
watching Tom Thibodau the most, just to

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see what he does in this instance, and I know the natural inclination would

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be to watch what we top in
the most. We assume he's going to

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get more run, and even a
really close eye probably on RJ. Barrett,

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just to see if his offensive role
changes at all, or if he's

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able to take advantage of an opportunity
where the Knicks half court offense needs more

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on ball creation from him. And
I think you could throw Manual Quickly in

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there too. Those are just two
players that I'm sort of locked in on

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and overall stylistically, yeah, I
want to see how Tom Thibota's gonna run

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his rotations. I want to see
if the Knicks are going to focus on

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pushing the ball more, which is
not necessarily there their modus operande, especially

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if when they have their best players
in the court without Julie's rando, they're

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a little bit faster. I think
they ultimately be fine, though, here's

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hoping he gets This team has been
fun, so here's hoping he just gets

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gets well. So you're not wishing
for anyone to be injured. This was

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just very very ill timed. Before
we dig into part two of the mailbag

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we have, I'm going to add
one more question someone was I had one

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straggler that I didn't cover, and
it comes from uh Peto in discord between

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those teams that actually have a chance
of drafting him, which one would take

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the smallest leap forward if they got
Victor wemban Yama on the roster. That's

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a you know, that's a fascinating
question, and I think, so you

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can you can go take this one
of two ways, and it's is there

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just a team you don't believe in
and so you think Victor Weibanyama comes in

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and it's not just that they don't
have a lot of talent, but you

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don't trust them to develop Victor wemban
Yama. Or is it just you think

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it's a team that's so far away
from competing, maybe not even trying.

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You're not going to see this material
impact in in how they're playing. And

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so I think the two teams that
stay out here want Houston Springs to mind,

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they have like a lot of mishmashy
talent, and I guess they could

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end add James Harden over the summer
or at least talent over the summer with

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all their cap space. That's why
I'm reticent to pick them. But you

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have Alprin Shangoon and then Jabari Smith
Junior with Jalen Green and Kevin Porter Jr.

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You throw Victor Weiben Yama into the
mix, just feels like it gets

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weird in terms of an offensive hierarchy
and then how you're going to look to

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defend and who's getting a line share
of the minutes, specifically on your front

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line. Another team thought that,
I think we just wouldn't see the difference

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because I don't think they're on the
timeline to really try and leave a dent

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in how they're playing. Might be
the Spurs. I trust the hell out

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of Devin Bassell and Jeremy Swan.
I think is going to be a stud.

202
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He might be on my All Rookie
first team. By the way,

203
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for anyone who who cares. Kelvin
Johnson good too. We'll see if they

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bring back Trey Jones next season.
He's going to be a free agent.

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They shure there's talent on this roster, it's just they're so early into the

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rebuild that if you got three three
one Binyama, how much he's gonna need

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a learning curve. He's so long, spind leaf, fin railpin. It's

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gonna take him, I would imagine
time to get acclimated to the NBA,

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and so you can't just assume that
he's going to be a megastar upon arriving.

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I thought about Charlotte a little bit
too. But if they're gonna have

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a mellow and you bring back PJ. Washington and like they're not a team

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at least if they're going to still
be controlled by Michael Jordan, that's since

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really gonna look to tear things down
and start anew. If you have Hayward

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and Rosier, there's sort of enough
veteran talent on the roster to where,

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okay, if you have one Binyama, he kind of makes a huge difference.

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Or does it not make a huge
difference, because maybe they'll bring him

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along more slowly since they have veterans
in front of him, and that might

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be the other way to look at
this where it's like in my head,

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I'm I'm just saying, oh,
if he lands with the Pacers, to

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imagine how good they're gonna be with
Miles Turner and Wemby and Haliburton and Benned

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mcmathron the Pacers have. You know, they've played Ben McMath in a bunch,

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but they haven't really like super unleashed
him just yet. What are they

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gonna do with victimber Yama in that
situation? And it could be ditto for

224
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the Orlando Magic. They have Pala
men Caro and Franz Wagner and Wendell Carter

225
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Junior upfront to monitor and if he
still believe and healthy Jonathan Isaac, should

226
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he ever be able to stay healthy
and available, does it get crowded and

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you see his minutes that they're so
low, then his impact but comes negligible.

228
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And so there's a ton of different
ways to look at this question.

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I ultimately think I'm not gonna pick
Houston just because I think they're gonna have

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00:14:30,080 --> 00:14:31,399
cap space and do stuff with it, and even if you don't believe in

231
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the roster, they'll probably just been
enough talent assembled there. I'm gonna go

232
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with San Antonio just because they're still
so far away that Yes, the fully

233
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actualized version of Victor Weimiyama makes a
huge difference and push them on the right

234
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track. It's just gonna take you
while to get that fully actualized version of

235
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Victor Weman Yam And so if you
get him, you're still going to be

236
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at a disadvantage when you look at
the point of attack creation. It's okay,

237
00:14:54,440 --> 00:14:58,080
you're gonna lean on him and so
in and Devin Vessel and if you

238
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bring Tray Jones back and Kelton Johnson. Those are not necessarily the perfect players

239
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to do that. So the Spurs
are my pick. I recognize that could

240
00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:09,519
be wrong. It might be it
might be safer to go the opposite route

241
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though that I was lining up for. So it's a great question, Pete,

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but I think you could go though, Okay, Charlotte isn't going to

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play him as much, or maybe
Indiana wouldn't play him as much even I

244
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mean, Utah would play him a
ton if they win him, if they

245
00:15:22,200 --> 00:15:24,840
got him. Oklahoma City would play
him a ton if they wind up in

246
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the lottery and get him. So
I'm sticking with the Spurs just because of

247
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how far away they are. And
I didn't mention the Pistons here, which

248
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is the team with the worst record
in the NBA at this point. And

249
00:15:33,799 --> 00:15:37,679
has technicly the best well since the
Flatten lottery odds, they have among the

250
00:15:37,679 --> 00:15:41,799
best chances of getting him. With
Kade and Jay and Ivy. I've been

251
00:15:41,960 --> 00:15:46,320
Jalen durn there, James Wiseman too, if you want to throw him as

252
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part of their court, he would
make a huge difference. And so they

253
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have sort of this They're young,
but there's a lot of guys. I

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look at what I just fully believe
in. Kade not healthy at the moment,

255
00:15:54,879 --> 00:15:56,240
we know that, and I know
that he's not the most efficient player

256
00:15:56,559 --> 00:16:00,000
you watch him. I just believe
in him and that he's more polished than

257
00:16:00,039 --> 00:16:03,240
some of his numbers suggest. You
look at just sort of a year two

258
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leap or progress from Jail and Durhan
and Jade and Ivy. I could just

259
00:16:08,200 --> 00:16:12,080
see that being a team that becomes
really good with Victor Wieman Yama. So

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I'm sticking with the Spurs as a
cop out because it feels like they are

261
00:16:15,399 --> 00:16:21,240
so far away and that they're not
going to try to accelerate their process by

262
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bringing in other talent to compliment Victor
Wembanyama. If they get Victor Wembanyama not

263
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right out of the gate at least
that'll close on my intro to the part

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two of the mailbag, which will
begin right fucking now. Let's get to

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this question from kill Hoss, and
it's related to the playoffs. We're coming

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off a season with epic scoring or
epic lack of defense. What do you

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expect from the upcoming playoffs more of
the same from the season or will they

268
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be more similar to pass playoffs?
So what's interesting here, and this is

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just I went back three years.
The average offensive rating in two twenty this

270
00:16:56,759 --> 00:17:00,519
is all outside garbage time from cleanland
glass. The regular season one ten point

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eight. The offensive rating on average
was actually higher in the playoffs. It

272
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went up to one hundred and eleven
point eight. In two twenty two twenty

273
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one, one hundred and twelve point
eight was the average regular season offensive rating.

274
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It went up to one fourteen point
seven in the playoffs. Last year

275
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the average offensive rating was one twelve
point three, and it dropped to one

276
00:17:19,519 --> 00:17:23,079
twelve in the playoffs. And this
is kind of to say that there's never

277
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been I guess, with the exception
of two twenty and two thousand and twenty

278
00:17:26,640 --> 00:17:30,000
one, the past couple of years
doesn't seem like there's been any huge discrepancy

279
00:17:30,079 --> 00:17:34,400
between what we're seeing in the regular
season and the playoffs. But this year's

280
00:17:34,440 --> 00:17:41,480
average offensive rating being one fifteen point
one like that is that is substantially high.

281
00:17:41,519 --> 00:17:44,720
It makes me wonder, Okay,
are we going to see that hold

282
00:17:44,799 --> 00:17:47,920
up once we get to the playoffs? And I think the fact that so

283
00:17:47,960 --> 00:17:53,400
many of the critical playoff teams,
when you look at Sacramento or Memphis,

284
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that they want to play fast and
not really use a lot of clock on

285
00:17:57,599 --> 00:18:02,559
that even if they're operating in the
the half court. Okay, see if

286
00:18:02,559 --> 00:18:04,119
they are going to be a team
that makes the playoffs Golden state of course,

287
00:18:04,119 --> 00:18:08,599
maybe Atlanta. Does that lead me
to believe that, okay, maybe

288
00:18:08,599 --> 00:18:15,599
this offensive uptick will hold. But
I'm also just wondering the most important players

289
00:18:15,599 --> 00:18:18,480
are going to be more available once
we get to the playoffs that may have

290
00:18:18,519 --> 00:18:23,279
been in the regular season, and
so does that inherently drive down this offensive

291
00:18:25,279 --> 00:18:29,519
debtonation explosion that we've seen this year? So, if I had to,

292
00:18:29,799 --> 00:18:32,519
if I would frame it this way, when we get to the playoffs,

293
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but I expect the offensive rating average
offensive rating to drop or increased, I

294
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think I would expect it to drop. I just feel like with teams having

295
00:18:40,880 --> 00:18:45,119
more time to adjust to the same
opponent, not just having more rest,

296
00:18:45,319 --> 00:18:48,319
because games are more spaced out in
the regular season than they've ever been before

297
00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:52,880
for the most part, but you're
gonna have time in between every single game,

298
00:18:52,920 --> 00:18:55,759
and you're gonna be game planning for
the same opponent, and we're not

299
00:18:55,799 --> 00:18:59,359
going to be, in theory dealing
with as many absences. There will be

300
00:18:59,400 --> 00:19:03,799
injuries at you know, Kevin Durant, just as example, returns on Wednesday,

301
00:19:03,839 --> 00:19:07,480
but wouldn't have missed those ten games
with Phoenix if it was the playoffs,

302
00:19:07,480 --> 00:19:10,359
he would have been playing through them. How effective he been that would

303
00:19:10,400 --> 00:19:12,240
have been, That's a fair question
to ask, But I just we're not

304
00:19:12,799 --> 00:19:15,160
again, unless they're serious injuries,
We're going to have more of the star

305
00:19:15,240 --> 00:19:18,640
players on the court for more of
the minutes of the game, and so

306
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you would expect that number to come
down in the defense to get better.

307
00:19:21,680 --> 00:19:25,640
But I do again think even when
looking at how much Milwaukee likes to get

308
00:19:25,680 --> 00:19:29,839
out in transition, Memphis as well, Sacramento, those are things in theory

309
00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:33,720
that teams can take away. But
if you're able to play at your cadence

310
00:19:33,920 --> 00:19:40,680
and get into transition, if you're
a transition reliant team that goes a really

311
00:19:40,720 --> 00:19:42,920
long way towards ensuring that there won't
be an offensive drop off, as does

312
00:19:42,960 --> 00:19:47,799
sort of super tough shot making when
you're looking at Okay, look at what

313
00:19:47,839 --> 00:19:51,880
Donovan Mitchell can do against slow down
defenses, or the same thing against Kawhi

314
00:19:52,000 --> 00:19:53,079
Leonard where he doesn't have to have
them in rotation. They can just hit

315
00:19:53,200 --> 00:19:56,720
ridiculously contested jumpers that Luca donch which
is there too, Steph Curry. I

316
00:19:56,759 --> 00:19:59,960
mean, the list goes on there, and it feels like we have more

317
00:20:00,119 --> 00:20:03,319
those players than ever, and so
I couldn't fury see myself being wrong.

318
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I just don't think I would expect
the offensive eruption to the degree that we've

319
00:20:10,319 --> 00:20:12,000
seen it this year, where it
just feels like, oh, another game,

320
00:20:12,160 --> 00:20:15,559
the over on the combined score cleared
two fifty, No big deal.

321
00:20:17,200 --> 00:20:21,440
I just I can't fathom that becoming
such a normal for the postseason. But

322
00:20:21,440 --> 00:20:23,279
I also didn't go back and say, well, how regular would that have

323
00:20:23,319 --> 00:20:29,960
been for last season. Next question
also comes from Muckle. I'm trying to

324
00:20:30,000 --> 00:20:34,880
catch up on questions that I missed
last time. Who this question is This

325
00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:40,279
question is gonna be tough as the
playoff picture comes into focus, what teams

326
00:20:40,279 --> 00:20:42,359
can be considered winners and losers of
the season. For examples, Kings are

327
00:20:42,720 --> 00:20:48,160
likely a winner regardless of their playoff
outcome, Blazers and Bulls likely to losers.

328
00:20:48,200 --> 00:20:52,319
Some teams will be TVD based on
playoff outcome Seventy six Ers, Nuggets

329
00:20:52,400 --> 00:20:56,880
for examples. So yeah, I
would leave off the teams like the There's

330
00:20:56,880 --> 00:21:02,480
gonna be so much that we have
to determine about even the Clippers, the

331
00:21:02,559 --> 00:21:07,200
Sixers, the Nuggets, as you
mentioned, Yeah, they've been in top

332
00:21:07,200 --> 00:21:10,079
of the West all year, but
if you bow out et lest so those

333
00:21:10,079 --> 00:21:12,400
are TVD. The Kings are a
clear winner here, So that's a good

334
00:21:12,400 --> 00:21:17,400
one, a clear looking at clear
winners. The Bulls are interesting because they've

335
00:21:17,400 --> 00:21:18,440
come on a little bit since the
All Star break, but they're still in

336
00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:22,079
ten. I think Atlanta as a
clear loser here, just to regardless of

337
00:21:22,079 --> 00:21:26,079
where they finish, it's a long
shot that they'll avoid like be able to

338
00:21:26,160 --> 00:21:30,400
get to six and avoid the plan. And that's not after making the Jante

339
00:21:30,519 --> 00:21:36,160
Murray trade. I think the cost
has been hyperbolized when you look at how

340
00:21:36,240 --> 00:21:38,279
much they gave up. It wasn't
this Rudy Gobert, not a Mitchell type,

341
00:21:38,319 --> 00:21:42,039
Paul. But you also don't make
that deal with the intention of being

342
00:21:42,079 --> 00:21:45,880
the eighth best team in the East
End to be the eight best teams.

343
00:21:47,000 --> 00:21:51,599
If you just trade Awake Kevin Herder
to help with your wiggle room under the

344
00:21:51,680 --> 00:21:55,079
tax, that's just a terrible look. So they're definitely a loser. I

345
00:21:55,079 --> 00:21:57,519
think the Raptors are still a loser
of this season because of how good they

346
00:21:57,519 --> 00:22:00,279
were supposed to be and now they
put them in a situation where they're going

347
00:22:00,319 --> 00:22:03,880
to enter an off season where Yaka
Peardle, Fred VanVleet, and Gary Trent

348
00:22:03,960 --> 00:22:11,440
Junior are probably all free agents.
GTJ and FEV have player options, and

349
00:22:11,519 --> 00:22:15,839
Yaka Pearle's just hitting the open market, so you're gonna have to pay all

350
00:22:15,880 --> 00:22:18,359
three of those guys. And then
you have to start thinking about Oganna Nobi's

351
00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:22,599
next contract. He's extension eligible,
Pascal Siaka will be extension eligible. You're

352
00:22:22,680 --> 00:22:26,640
the point where you really precious at
you by the way, it's extension eliable.

353
00:22:26,680 --> 00:22:29,759
After this season has not had a
great year, you start really reinvesting

354
00:22:29,799 --> 00:22:32,920
in a core that was underwhelming,
and so Atlanta Toronto stand out to me.

355
00:22:33,880 --> 00:22:36,799
The Bulls didn't do anything to short
circuit their long term future. This

356
00:22:36,880 --> 00:22:40,000
seasons of disappointment, especially if you
wanted them to sort of pivot at the

357
00:22:40,039 --> 00:22:44,440
trade deadline. I don't know if
they're I think there's losers, but they're

358
00:22:44,480 --> 00:22:48,240
not. I think the Raptors Lahawks
might be bigger losers relative to expectations.

359
00:22:48,680 --> 00:22:52,200
The Wizards are just losers because they're
gonna they're the Wizards. They're gonna finish

360
00:22:52,240 --> 00:22:56,279
in eleventh or twelfth place and then
pay kp and Kuzma a bunch of money

361
00:22:56,799 --> 00:22:59,640
to just do the same thing all
over again next season. I think the

362
00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:02,440
Hornet are just straight up losers because
they don't have a direction. They are

363
00:23:02,480 --> 00:23:04,079
going to get a very high draft
pick, though, and so you pair

364
00:23:04,119 --> 00:23:08,119
a high draft pick with LaMelo,
Mark Williams PJ. Washington if you pay

365
00:23:08,200 --> 00:23:11,599
him, I just feel like they
need to kind of still strip it down

366
00:23:11,759 --> 00:23:15,240
and like to the studs and be
like, hey, we have LaMelo Mark

367
00:23:15,279 --> 00:23:18,920
Williams the side draft pick, and
that's the route we'll go. So I

368
00:23:18,920 --> 00:23:22,119
think lose losers there. I don't
think our expectations were high enough for them

369
00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:27,920
to be mega losers elsewhere losers in
the West, just concrete losers. I

370
00:23:27,960 --> 00:23:32,240
guess you could say the Timber the
Mavericks are certainly a loser at this point.

371
00:23:32,240 --> 00:23:33,960
They're eleventh, like they wouldn't even
make the play in if the season

372
00:23:34,160 --> 00:23:37,160
ended today, and the Blazers,
as Muchael mentioned, those are two teams

373
00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:41,720
that's tend out to me as losers, and I think that's it. The

374
00:23:41,799 --> 00:23:42,759
Golden State as long as they avoid
the play in, I guess if you

375
00:23:42,799 --> 00:23:45,400
want to call them a loser,
that's fine. They don't have Wiggins right

376
00:23:45,400 --> 00:23:48,279
now and they're still on pace to
avoid the play in. And even with

377
00:23:48,279 --> 00:23:51,440
the Clippers, those are teams where
it's like, oh, let's see what

378
00:23:51,440 --> 00:23:53,119
happens in the playoffs, because they're
gonna play well if they're at full strength,

379
00:23:53,200 --> 00:24:00,319
or if they just put together a
stretch that they're a title contender of

380
00:24:00,319 --> 00:24:03,559
winners. I would say that the
Oklahoma City just putting themselves on the radar

381
00:24:03,640 --> 00:24:06,000
like this, where hey, they're
hovering around five hundred. Even if they

382
00:24:06,039 --> 00:24:08,160
don't make the play in, it's
just been established that, Wow, Jamen

383
00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:12,400
Williams is really good. Jay Golds
Alexander's an MVP candidate. Josh Giddy's really

384
00:24:12,440 --> 00:24:15,680
coming along. This is a team
gonna have Chet Homegren next year, cap

385
00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:19,480
space this year. They will be
forced to be reckoned with immediately. They're

386
00:24:19,519 --> 00:24:25,920
a winner. As Minnesota a loser, I can't. I don't know with

387
00:24:26,000 --> 00:24:30,119
them, they've fallen in between.
There an East winner, I'd probably just

388
00:24:30,160 --> 00:24:32,440
say it has to be the Calves. I mean, you could even argue

389
00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:36,799
the Heat or losers just because they
might finish in play in territory after making

390
00:24:36,799 --> 00:24:40,519
the conference finals last year. That's
a tough look, so we could be

391
00:24:40,559 --> 00:24:42,240
heavy on potential losers. I think
some of it's TBD though when you look

392
00:24:42,240 --> 00:24:47,119
at Atlanta on Toronto, it's okay. There are teams that they're in the

393
00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:48,640
play in like Miami, but they
don't have a path to just being like,

394
00:24:48,680 --> 00:24:52,079
oh, they won two playoff series
and they're in the conference finals.

395
00:24:52,079 --> 00:24:55,160
You could see the Heat doing that. The winner in the East I think

396
00:24:55,279 --> 00:24:59,759
has to be the Cavaliers here.
They're not dealing with any sort of messiness.

397
00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:03,559
I mean, I guess the Bucks
like they're just clear winners because you've

398
00:25:03,559 --> 00:25:07,640
missed Chris Middleton for a good portion
of the season. Drew Holiday missed some

399
00:25:07,680 --> 00:25:11,480
time as well. You didn't trade
for Jay Crowder until right at the trade

400
00:25:11,519 --> 00:25:14,720
deadline, but you still found a
way to get him. You're taking pictures

401
00:25:14,839 --> 00:25:18,400
with your legs crossed as a team, looking absolutely hysterical, and you just

402
00:25:18,440 --> 00:25:22,000
have the best record in the NBA
despite all this. Brook Lopez is a

403
00:25:22,039 --> 00:25:25,880
defensive Player of the Year candidate.
Johannis is the top three MVP candidate.

404
00:25:26,599 --> 00:25:30,240
You've gotten really good seasons overall.
I think from Grayson Allen and Javonne Carter,

405
00:25:32,079 --> 00:25:34,000
Bobby Portis before his injury, he's
back in the line, and now

406
00:25:34,000 --> 00:25:37,240
before Zenry was a six minute a
year candidate. Definitely the biggest winners.

407
00:25:37,240 --> 00:25:41,440
I think that foules with the Calves
though, just to be playing for they're

408
00:25:41,440 --> 00:25:44,440
going to have a home court advantage, playoff spot, and that's in year

409
00:25:44,480 --> 00:25:48,960
one of Donovan Mitchell. You've gotten
this absurd offensive growth from Evan Mobley,

410
00:25:48,240 --> 00:25:52,759
Darius Garland. You know, speaking
of all NBA stuff, I might have

411
00:25:52,799 --> 00:25:55,440
two Cleveland guards on my All NBA
team. So I feel like Darius Garland

412
00:25:55,480 --> 00:25:57,920
season has really flown under the radar. If he was just a little bit

413
00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:02,799
less chaotic, it came to he
has that really nice in between touch,

414
00:26:02,880 --> 00:26:06,960
but he just has these weird takeoff
and angular points around the basket. He

415
00:26:07,039 --> 00:26:10,720
was just a more consistent finisher around
the ram, he'd probably be in an

416
00:26:10,720 --> 00:26:15,640
All NBA lock for me, definitely
Cleveland as a as another big winner of

417
00:26:15,680 --> 00:26:22,960
this season so far with without without
question this question, Oh man, this

418
00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:25,200
one is such a brutal question.
I tried to think of it for as

419
00:26:25,200 --> 00:26:27,319
long as possible, but I know
I'm gonna hate myself with the answer,

420
00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:33,519
Christopher, as you have to erase
one of these players contributions to the league,

421
00:26:33,759 --> 00:26:36,720
MJ, Kobe or Lebron? Who
are you racing from MBA history.

422
00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:41,960
We had a lot of discord responses
to this, and Lebron was the consensus

423
00:26:41,039 --> 00:26:47,880
answer where it's where okay, Like, I don't think he's viewed on the

424
00:26:47,920 --> 00:26:49,640
same iconic level as a Kobe or
an MJ. Part of that, though,

425
00:26:49,720 --> 00:26:53,680
is those two. Kobe's not here
anymore, MJ's not playing anymore.

426
00:26:55,839 --> 00:26:59,960
So the lore has had and the
mystique has had an opportunity opportunity to build

427
00:27:00,079 --> 00:27:03,240
up. But also with Lebron because
he made it to like a jillion straight

428
00:27:03,559 --> 00:27:07,119
NBA finals, Eastern Conference Finals,
you would be changing so much about that

429
00:27:07,200 --> 00:27:11,640
conference by getting rid of him.
I would counter it by saying, Lebron

430
00:27:11,880 --> 00:27:18,720
never seemed to derail what could have
been all time teams like he definitely the

431
00:27:18,839 --> 00:27:21,599
Calves beat the Warriors, but I'm
saying on a consistent basis, he didn't

432
00:27:21,640 --> 00:27:25,519
stop that dynasty from happening. I
would almost be mere curious to see what

433
00:27:25,559 --> 00:27:30,920
happens if from a perspective, not
of a not of a value proposition of

434
00:27:30,960 --> 00:27:33,880
saying, oh, this doesn't matter, but of a curiosity as to what

435
00:27:33,920 --> 00:27:37,480
the league would have looked like if
you got rid of Michael Jordan and so

436
00:27:37,599 --> 00:27:42,119
those two, you know, those
those six championships. What does like what

437
00:27:42,240 --> 00:27:45,759
teams stepped up like? Is it
just the like? What what does that

438
00:27:45,759 --> 00:27:49,079
mean for teams like the Jazz who
lost them in the NBA finals, or

439
00:27:49,079 --> 00:27:52,960
just what does it mean to teams
that ran into them constantly in the playoffs,

440
00:27:52,000 --> 00:27:56,160
the Knicks, the Pistons, the
Calves. It feels like a lot

441
00:27:56,240 --> 00:28:06,839
more franchises would how historical retrospectives retrospectives
that look a lot different at that point,

442
00:28:07,079 --> 00:28:11,480
And so I think I would go
MJ here just from the sheer curiosity

443
00:28:11,519 --> 00:28:15,359
standpoint, not not as a I
don't appreciate what he did for the league

444
00:28:15,480 --> 00:28:18,559
standpoint, but that's a that's almost
a mean question, Christopher. I do

445
00:28:18,640 --> 00:28:22,880
appreciate you asking it, though,
I think it was a good one overall.

446
00:28:22,240 --> 00:28:29,319
Next question from Illuminaco after Jalon Brown
made comments that can be understood as

447
00:28:29,359 --> 00:28:33,240
noncommittal to Boston. Can you see
him in a place like Orlando? Can

448
00:28:33,279 --> 00:28:36,440
he commit to an extension as part
of any trade deal? And what assets

449
00:28:36,480 --> 00:28:41,759
would it take to acquire him?
Hypothetically speaking, I thought these comments were

450
00:28:41,880 --> 00:28:45,200
sort of they were read too much
into what Dalen Brown said. I just

451
00:28:45,759 --> 00:28:48,960
I found them ambiguous. But it's
like, Okay, it makes sense for

452
00:28:49,039 --> 00:28:52,359
him to enter free agency in twenty
twenty four. At this point, people

453
00:28:52,359 --> 00:28:56,680
are wondering why he wouldn't sign an
extension with Boston. There might still be

454
00:28:56,720 --> 00:29:00,000
something there just because of the he
did mention. Okay, I know Jayson

455
00:29:00,039 --> 00:29:03,920
Tatum was working out with Kevin Durant
and all a sudden, Kevin Grant requests

456
00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:07,759
a trade and so that made him
think. But to get into the finances

457
00:29:07,759 --> 00:29:10,839
of this, so let's start with
the extension. Can he commit to an

458
00:29:10,839 --> 00:29:14,039
extension is part of any trade deal. He can technically sign an extension,

459
00:29:14,160 --> 00:29:18,680
but he can't be super max eligible
for anyone but the Celtics, and he

460
00:29:18,720 --> 00:29:23,079
will be supermacs eligible if he makes
an All NBA team this year or next

461
00:29:23,119 --> 00:29:27,920
year, which would allow him to
sign an extension for a starting salary that's

462
00:29:27,920 --> 00:29:33,720
thirty five percent of the salary cap
per extension rules. Right now, he

463
00:29:33,759 --> 00:29:37,960
can only get one hundred and twenty
percent raise off the final year of his

464
00:29:37,039 --> 00:29:41,160
contract. That would allow him to
sign an extension for thirty six point eight

465
00:29:41,200 --> 00:29:45,119
million dollars. His max salary if
he just goes into into free agency twenty

466
00:29:45,279 --> 00:29:48,880
twenty four is over forty two millions. That's a difference. We're talking about

467
00:29:49,279 --> 00:29:52,680
five and a half six million dollars
right there, and those projections could change

468
00:29:53,079 --> 00:29:56,799
if the salary cap changes, so
it just makes financial sense for him to

469
00:29:56,920 --> 00:30:02,519
go into free agents. Now.
There has been talk of extension rules changing

470
00:30:02,559 --> 00:30:04,759
in the CBA where they could allow
players to get one hundred and fifty percent

471
00:30:04,880 --> 00:30:08,920
raises. One hundred and fifty percent
raise would get Jalon Brown to his projected

472
00:30:08,960 --> 00:30:14,079
max right now. What becomes interesting
about his future in Boston is if those

473
00:30:14,160 --> 00:30:17,359
rules go into effect, or if
he makes an All NBA team, becomes

474
00:30:17,359 --> 00:30:19,720
super Max eligible and then doesn't sign
an extension, because that's when it would

475
00:30:19,720 --> 00:30:22,680
make financial sense for him to do. So, that's when I think that

476
00:30:22,720 --> 00:30:27,440
we could start talking about him as
a trade candidate where Boston can't risk losing

477
00:30:27,480 --> 00:30:30,079
him for nothing so they have to
take offers. Or maybe he just asked

478
00:30:30,240 --> 00:30:34,200
for out and does the whole pre
agency amble as a team might go.

479
00:30:34,680 --> 00:30:40,160
There's not a team. I mean, look a Luminajo. Name a team,

480
00:30:40,160 --> 00:30:42,160
and I think Jalon Brown would probably
be a good fit there. Orlando

481
00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:47,200
would be super interesting having him,
Franz Wagner and Paula ban Carroll. If

482
00:30:47,200 --> 00:30:51,960
you can keep that base core together, I don't know that you would have

483
00:30:52,000 --> 00:30:53,240
to. You might have to trade
one of them to get Jalon Brown,

484
00:30:53,240 --> 00:30:59,400
though maybe if frowns Wagner there.
I also love Memphis for him. The

485
00:30:59,559 --> 00:31:00,839
King's would be great. I just
don't know if they have the equity to

486
00:31:00,880 --> 00:31:04,000
get him. You're looking at Key
and Murray and all your future draft equity.

487
00:31:04,039 --> 00:31:08,200
I don't really know if that's enough
there. The Knicks could be a

488
00:31:08,200 --> 00:31:11,559
good candidate just because they have so
many picks, and I think if you're

489
00:31:11,599 --> 00:31:18,359
Boston, because you're still trying to
keep your window open with Jayson Tatum,

490
00:31:18,359 --> 00:31:22,519
I doubt you're gonna regress into a
full on rebuild. If you're moving Jalen

491
00:31:22,559 --> 00:31:26,279
Brown, even though he is your
second best player, you're looking for probably

492
00:31:26,279 --> 00:31:33,160
a return that's on par with what
the Jazz got for I guess for Dodder

493
00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:37,839
Mitchell or Rudy Gobert, but it's
really more of the Donovan Mitchell trade.

494
00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:41,839
I don't think you get as much, but you want picks and then impact

495
00:31:41,880 --> 00:31:44,519
players, and so you want to
get your lowry market in an addition to

496
00:31:44,559 --> 00:31:47,960
how much first round equity you could
get. Could you get that from the

497
00:31:48,000 --> 00:31:51,240
Knicks because they have RJ, Barrett
Emmanuel quickly plus first rounders? Are you

498
00:31:51,279 --> 00:31:53,599
willing to do business with someone in
the same conference slash division? That's something

499
00:31:53,640 --> 00:31:57,480
to ask the Pelicans. They certainly
have the draft equity and even some of

500
00:31:57,519 --> 00:32:02,400
the players where it's you know you're
not trained Brandon Ingram for Jilen Brown.

501
00:32:02,400 --> 00:32:06,559
You probably want to pay those two
together. But you have picks and Sej

502
00:32:06,720 --> 00:32:10,319
McCullum is someone who could help the
Celtics if Portland just decides to get younger

503
00:32:10,440 --> 00:32:14,839
or they want to build something around
Damon. Does Portland think about that?

504
00:32:15,160 --> 00:32:16,440
And can you get also draft equity
out of that? And so it's the

505
00:32:16,480 --> 00:32:21,519
thing you want A not a that'd
be a weird trade because Damian lords a

506
00:32:21,599 --> 00:32:24,599
better player than Jaylen Brown, but
he's more expensive and older. My point

507
00:32:24,599 --> 00:32:29,880
would be, you want an impact
player right now who doesn't who's probably worse

508
00:32:29,920 --> 00:32:31,599
than Jaylen Brown. It'd be angry, but he helps you now in addition

509
00:32:31,599 --> 00:32:36,160
to draft equity that you can then
flip or try and groom and develop later

510
00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:37,920
on. And so I think that's
what you're looking for. Teams that could

511
00:32:37,920 --> 00:32:44,640
satisfy that the best. I would
say New Orleans, the Knicks, the

512
00:32:44,680 --> 00:32:49,599
Grizzlies, Orlando could technically do it. I just don't know if if they

513
00:32:49,599 --> 00:32:52,200
would want to, but Orlando could
certainly be in that mix. I love

514
00:32:52,279 --> 00:32:57,000
to see him in Okay, see
if you had to keep Shay Homegrin,

515
00:32:57,480 --> 00:32:59,519
do you get to keep John Williams
is part of that deal. I think

516
00:32:59,559 --> 00:33:01,519
thunder Ends will romanticize this and say
we don't want Jayleen, We're gonna we

517
00:33:01,519 --> 00:33:06,079
don't want Jayon Brown. We want
to keep Joyn Williams put SGA Chad home

518
00:33:06,119 --> 00:33:08,680
Grand Jayon Brown. Wow, that's
another team that could satisfy it. There's

519
00:33:08,720 --> 00:33:14,079
so many teams that I think are
like perfect fits for Jaalen Brown. I

520
00:33:14,079 --> 00:33:17,039
don't know what roster he would actually
be a bad fit for at this point.

521
00:33:17,680 --> 00:33:20,759
There are teams that would be interested
in them that clearly don't have the

522
00:33:20,799 --> 00:33:24,559
assets. Could Brooklyn get involved with
the additional first round equity they have while

523
00:33:24,559 --> 00:33:28,480
not getting rid of Mchael Bridges,
I don't know. I don't think their

524
00:33:28,519 --> 00:33:31,559
team that could be competitive. Atlanta
has been mentioned, but you're building stuff

525
00:33:31,599 --> 00:33:36,519
around You're limited and somewhat limited in
your draft equity because of the picks you

526
00:33:36,519 --> 00:33:39,119
out of San Antonio. So you
but you have draft equity and DeAndre Hunter

527
00:33:39,480 --> 00:33:43,480
and you could go and yet congove
want there's other there's other moves you can

528
00:33:43,519 --> 00:33:46,160
make. I just don't think they
would have the most attractive package for Jayon

529
00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:51,839
Brown. The Pacers don't really satisfy
the unless Boston loves Ben Nick Math and

530
00:33:51,839 --> 00:33:53,759
they don't have the current player juice. But they just throw their entire draft

531
00:33:54,599 --> 00:33:59,359
picks dash at Boston and we're able
to get Jayon Brown Jayon Brown, Miles

532
00:33:59,400 --> 00:34:01,880
Turner, and Tyr's Haliburton. Oh
man, that would be something that I

533
00:34:01,920 --> 00:34:06,119
would love to see there. Any
other teams didn't really say Memphis in the

534
00:34:06,160 --> 00:34:07,320
West. I'd like to see him
on Sacramento. I just don't see that

535
00:34:07,360 --> 00:34:09,840
they have. I don't really want
to see him leave Boston, but a

536
00:34:10,000 --> 00:34:13,840
Sacramento not sure if they have the
Jews. Memphis I already said they would

537
00:34:13,840 --> 00:34:16,519
definitely have the asset juice the Pelicans
and the Thunder for sure. The Mavericks

538
00:34:16,559 --> 00:34:21,199
don't have the asset juice to get
him, but they certainly could use him.

539
00:34:21,239 --> 00:34:25,199
Him in Utah would be excellent.
Now you would, I think if

540
00:34:25,199 --> 00:34:30,800
you're trading for Jaylen Brown, you're
gonna angle to keep Kessler and Marketing in

541
00:34:30,039 --> 00:34:36,960
and then you're willing to trade anyone
that's like other than those three. But

542
00:34:37,239 --> 00:34:40,159
you would have other than Marketing in
Kessler. Excuse me, but you would

543
00:34:40,199 --> 00:34:44,440
have enough draft equity because you own
so much of Cleveland and Minnesota's draft that

544
00:34:44,480 --> 00:34:46,719
maybe you entice the Celtics into making
more of a future driven trade and they're

545
00:34:46,760 --> 00:34:50,920
really only getting back. Oh we're
you know, we're only getting back Colin

546
00:34:51,000 --> 00:34:54,559
Sexton as the player context and that
BAGI is the players centerpieces in this deal.

547
00:34:54,559 --> 00:34:59,159
But that's okay because we got eight
draft picks. I'm just I'm hyperbolizing

548
00:34:59,199 --> 00:35:00,559
there, but will be about to
go. I just don't know that they

549
00:35:00,599 --> 00:35:04,960
have the immediate player juice to get
a deal done. And I think that

550
00:35:04,960 --> 00:35:07,800
will be the challenge if you're looking
to trade with Boston should it ever get

551
00:35:07,880 --> 00:35:12,079
to that point on the Jail and
Brown front, is they're not just going

552
00:35:12,119 --> 00:35:16,119
to want draft equally either. They're
going to want at least one immediately impactful

553
00:35:16,320 --> 00:35:22,280
player, and that windows down the
trade field where it's even is Golden State

554
00:35:22,679 --> 00:35:24,639
sawn more enticing if they're willing to
put distant first on the table in addition

555
00:35:24,679 --> 00:35:30,360
to an addition to Jordan Pool.
Does that get Boston thinking if it's not

556
00:35:30,480 --> 00:35:32,800
Jordan Pool, would they do you
throw Andrew Wiggins on the table In that

557
00:35:32,840 --> 00:35:37,519
scenario, some people might argue that's
the lateral move. I think Jaylon Brown

558
00:35:37,639 --> 00:35:40,960
is substantially better then Andrew Wiggins.
So yeah, those are those would all

559
00:35:42,000 --> 00:35:44,480
be teams that would keep an eye
on the Clippers, the Lakers, They're

560
00:35:44,480 --> 00:35:45,920
not going to be able to get
involved. Milwaukee would be incredibly fun,

561
00:35:46,000 --> 00:35:50,639
but they're not even gonna have the
assets to get involved there. San Antonio

562
00:35:50,679 --> 00:35:55,039
just feels too early on and again
san Antonio even Houston, like if they

563
00:35:55,079 --> 00:35:59,679
were willing to put Jabari Smith Junior
on the table or this year's pick.

564
00:35:59,719 --> 00:36:01,320
I guess maybe they could get involved, but they just don't have enough proven

565
00:36:01,360 --> 00:36:07,440
talent to satisfy that part of the
requirement for Boston addition to the draft equity.

566
00:36:08,719 --> 00:36:13,719
This question is we have two more
questions. This went way longer than

567
00:36:13,719 --> 00:36:16,360
I wanted it to, but let's
pump this out. Austin sent me this

568
00:36:16,440 --> 00:36:21,639
a while ago, and I promised
him that I would do some research on

569
00:36:21,679 --> 00:36:27,480
it. But he asked about the
NBA's revenue sharing what Warden reported that twenty

570
00:36:27,559 --> 00:36:31,239
NBA teams received payment in the league's
revenue sharing plan for last year. Last

571
00:36:31,239 --> 00:36:35,639
season, the Pacers got the largest
share at forty two point two million.

572
00:36:35,920 --> 00:36:38,480
He wanted to know, do the
Pacers have the worst ticket sales? Just

573
00:36:38,719 --> 00:36:43,840
cheaper tickets? Shit TV deal?
And I want to say, I don't

574
00:36:43,880 --> 00:36:45,599
know how to phrase this, that
I shouldn't say. I did my own

575
00:36:45,679 --> 00:36:52,320
research because I researched when other people
had written about the topic, but essentially

576
00:36:52,079 --> 00:36:57,880
Austin what Austin says, it boils
down to just everything. So teams are

577
00:36:58,480 --> 00:37:01,119
this plan. It came into effect
I think around two eleven or twelve,

578
00:37:01,360 --> 00:37:06,199
like in the during like after the
lockout, I believe, and I think

579
00:37:06,239 --> 00:37:10,480
this is still the nucleus of the
plan. All teams contribute an annually fixed

580
00:37:10,559 --> 00:37:15,800
percentage, which is and it's roughly
fifty percent of their total total annual revenue.

581
00:37:15,840 --> 00:37:22,599
This includes everything, however, it's
minus certain expenses such as arena operating

582
00:37:22,639 --> 00:37:29,320
costs, the operating costs of cost
to Celtic that are incumbent of selling tickets.

583
00:37:29,599 --> 00:37:32,960
So you get to it's essentially like
write offs that you could figure out

584
00:37:34,320 --> 00:37:38,000
there. What happens is, though, is they all pool fifty percent of

585
00:37:38,920 --> 00:37:44,639
what is their eligible revenue into this
pool, and some of that's going to

586
00:37:44,679 --> 00:37:47,800
be lower for certain teams. The
example this came from the Business Journal.

587
00:37:47,920 --> 00:37:52,079
For example, one high revenue team
could contribute fifty percent of its total revenue

588
00:37:52,400 --> 00:37:57,559
minus certain expenses, for a total
of seventy million dollars going into a pool.

589
00:37:58,000 --> 00:38:02,079
A low revenue team could contribute total
revenue of forty five million after allocating

590
00:38:02,119 --> 00:38:07,840
to both teams the average team payroll
of fifty eight million. The low revenue

591
00:38:07,840 --> 00:38:10,199
team would receive thirteen million dollars in
revenue sharing to make up for the difference

592
00:38:10,239 --> 00:38:15,000
between its pooled revenue from the league's
average payroll. That's really a mouthful,

593
00:38:15,079 --> 00:38:20,000
but what it ostensibly amounts to is
fifty percent of what the Pacers are making

594
00:38:20,559 --> 00:38:23,880
is going to be less than fifty
percent of the basketball revenue from the Lakers.

595
00:38:23,880 --> 00:38:28,199
And the reason it gets there,
I think a lot of it has

596
00:38:28,239 --> 00:38:31,639
to do with you know, I
don't think that arena stuff is gonna impact

597
00:38:31,639 --> 00:38:35,880
it that much. The tickets could
be a lot cheaper that I don't doubt

598
00:38:36,079 --> 00:38:38,280
if you look at the average price
of tickets for games to the Pacers.

599
00:38:38,519 --> 00:38:43,760
Also, I don't believe that the
I know the Pacers don't have a lucrative

600
00:38:44,079 --> 00:38:47,519
local TV deal relative to what the
Lakers would have, but I don't think

601
00:38:47,559 --> 00:38:52,880
that teams have to put their TV
deals into this pool of money and so

602
00:38:52,960 --> 00:38:55,119
this basketball I might be wrong there, but I tried to find this out.

603
00:38:55,400 --> 00:39:01,000
But their total annual revenue that's thrown
into this pool doesn't actually factor in

604
00:39:01,039 --> 00:39:05,920
their TV deal. They could have
cheaper tickets, they are this season as

605
00:39:05,960 --> 00:39:09,039
an example, they are the second
lowest in terms of the percentage of the

606
00:39:09,079 --> 00:39:13,239
arena that's sold out each game.
But it's just like, what's the difference

607
00:39:13,280 --> 00:39:16,920
between having ninety point four percent of
your arena sold out versus ninety seven on

608
00:39:17,000 --> 00:39:22,599
average? And it's the real difference
there. It's not necessarily that percentage.

609
00:39:22,639 --> 00:39:24,360
It's well, how much are you
actually making per tickets? So that would

610
00:39:24,719 --> 00:39:30,760
go into it. And I think
when you're talking about memorabilia, if you

611
00:39:30,800 --> 00:39:37,079
don't have like marquee stars that are
generating national interest as much as the Lakers

612
00:39:37,119 --> 00:39:39,000
with Lebron James from one, or
you just don't have as much exposure on

613
00:39:39,119 --> 00:39:44,320
national TV, it gives you fewer
ways to create revenue. But I would

614
00:39:44,360 --> 00:39:49,960
probably just think that the profit margin
in a market like Indiana is probably just

615
00:39:50,000 --> 00:39:52,239
not going to be as lucrative as
it is in some bigger markets. I

616
00:39:52,280 --> 00:39:54,840
hope that answers your question for the
most part, But digging into it,

617
00:39:54,880 --> 00:40:00,599
the reading was fascinating there it's I
think the answer is also just in the

618
00:40:00,639 --> 00:40:06,159
look at the teams that got the
largest share from the revenue sharing, or

619
00:40:06,159 --> 00:40:08,280
look at the teams that contributed the
most that past season. The Warriors,

620
00:40:08,639 --> 00:40:12,760
followed by the Lakers, the Knicks, the Celtics, and the Bolts like

621
00:40:13,000 --> 00:40:15,880
those are all the flagship markets in
the league when you're looking at that,

622
00:40:15,960 --> 00:40:21,400
and so that definitely has to factor
in all these economical circumstances. And if

623
00:40:21,400 --> 00:40:24,199
I had to guess the biggest one, I don't know what the biggest driving

624
00:40:24,199 --> 00:40:28,760
force would be to the total revenue. I just think cheaper prices overall,

625
00:40:28,840 --> 00:40:34,079
rather than anything to do with attendance
or or the size of your fan base.

626
00:40:34,159 --> 00:40:38,119
I just think the cost of accessibility. It is so much higher in

627
00:40:38,159 --> 00:40:42,719
all these other markets for these other
teams, whereas Indie by extension, they're

628
00:40:42,719 --> 00:40:47,360
just going to be more accessible based
off that market. Our final question here

629
00:40:47,440 --> 00:40:52,960
will come from Leland Hey. Dan
wanted to float an idea if Dallas goes

630
00:40:53,039 --> 00:40:57,519
up in Flames. First, what
do you think of Kyrie with the Orlando

631
00:40:57,599 --> 00:41:00,239
Magic. A lot of things that
are ideal for him, on a roster

632
00:41:00,360 --> 00:41:04,119
that could use him and compliment him
and his weaknesses on the court, and

633
00:41:04,199 --> 00:41:09,440
a state with in a state that's
sees a lot of the things that he

634
00:41:09,519 --> 00:41:14,440
does. Okay, the big issue
is would the Magic actually be interested and

635
00:41:14,519 --> 00:41:16,960
second might never come. Well,
let's tackle this question first. What about

636
00:41:17,000 --> 00:41:21,400
Kyrie and Orlando. I think he
could work, I don't think they want

637
00:41:21,440 --> 00:41:25,360
to. He's still one of those
on ball centric players. I don't know

638
00:41:25,400 --> 00:41:30,679
that they necessarily want that in the
player they're looking for. Between having friends

639
00:41:30,760 --> 00:41:34,400
Wagner, Marquel Folds, Pala men
Caro, even colamp me there, Wendel

640
00:41:34,440 --> 00:41:37,320
Carter Junior running stuff for him,
it feels like they would want a more

641
00:41:37,360 --> 00:41:40,480
egalitarian floor general, and that would
be someone like Fred van Fleet. They

642
00:41:40,480 --> 00:41:45,039
wouldn't get caught up in a chase
for James Harden or Kyrie Irving. It's

643
00:41:45,079 --> 00:41:49,800
why I thought they'd be a good
trade destination for Trey Young if he ever

644
00:41:49,880 --> 00:41:52,800
got on the block. I don't
know if they're looking to play that way

645
00:41:52,000 --> 00:41:55,159
though, so I think in fury, when you look at what the Magic

646
00:41:55,199 --> 00:42:00,280
do best, especially how especially how
good they've been defensively for a good chunk

647
00:42:00,320 --> 00:42:02,320
of this year, Kyrie makes a
lot of sense because of all he brings

648
00:42:02,519 --> 00:42:07,000
to the offense. But I also
don't know that he's someone who would augment

649
00:42:07,079 --> 00:42:10,880
the development of their youngsters, where
you could clearly say that Fred van Fleet

650
00:42:10,920 --> 00:42:14,440
he gives them a boost because of
his spacing, but also because he's not

651
00:42:14,519 --> 00:42:19,280
cannibalizing touches that they could use to
get more experience and diversify not just their

652
00:42:19,280 --> 00:42:22,280
offense but the entire ecosystems offense.
And so if Kyrie's going somewhere, my

653
00:42:22,320 --> 00:42:27,599
guests would be that it's just a
team that needs maybe a contender already in

654
00:42:27,599 --> 00:42:32,119
place and has already committed to this
heliocentric model where where they want multiple stars,

655
00:42:32,119 --> 00:42:37,000
where they're not trying to build something, not necessarily from the ground up,

656
00:42:37,000 --> 00:42:40,599
but they're not trying to build something
or or nurture it over as longer

657
00:42:40,880 --> 00:42:46,760
a term as as an actual rebuilding
team. And that would you know,

658
00:42:46,800 --> 00:42:50,679
that's why the Lakers are going to
come up if there's actually a team,

659
00:42:50,760 --> 00:42:52,199
you know, a team like that's
why Dallas would trade for Kyrie in the

660
00:42:52,199 --> 00:42:57,920
first place, and why Orlando wouldn't
necessarily get involved there. So the fit

661
00:42:58,039 --> 00:43:00,320
in fury what he would bring on
offense be super intriguing. I just don't

662
00:43:00,320 --> 00:43:05,559
think it's something the Magic would look
at so fitwise, I think it's iffy,

663
00:43:05,559 --> 00:43:07,559
but it would make some sense in
terms of interest. I don't know

664
00:43:07,599 --> 00:43:10,800
if Kyrie would be interested in playing
for the Magic or living in Florida.

665
00:43:13,320 --> 00:43:15,719
I do not think the Magic would
be interested, though. I think that's

666
00:43:15,719 --> 00:43:20,079
someone they would stay away from.
Leland also asked a second. It might

667
00:43:20,119 --> 00:43:22,760
never come to it, but if
Luca asked for a trade soon, are

668
00:43:22,800 --> 00:43:25,480
the thunder best position to trade for
him? If he doesn't demand a trade

669
00:43:25,519 --> 00:43:30,599
to a particular market with assets like
say your knicks, that's a great question

670
00:43:30,760 --> 00:43:36,400
the team irrespective of market, that
would be best. I can't even fathom

671
00:43:36,480 --> 00:43:38,440
what a Luca don Che's trade package
would look like at this point. Holy

672
00:43:38,480 --> 00:43:43,280
shit, even this is a tough
answer. The thunder by virtue of having

673
00:43:43,320 --> 00:43:49,159
all their draft picks, sure,
but you have to look at how feign

674
00:43:49,199 --> 00:43:52,679
are they going for them. I
guess they do have somewhat palatable matching salary,

675
00:43:52,719 --> 00:43:54,800
but if you're not trading Shay,
and I think the whole point would

676
00:43:54,800 --> 00:43:59,639
be, let's pair of these two
together or what I mean? Lucas considered

677
00:43:59,679 --> 00:44:01,239
just this top five guy, but
I'm not giving a top ten, top

678
00:44:01,239 --> 00:44:04,679
twelve guy right now, and Shay
for Luca. You want to pair those

679
00:44:04,719 --> 00:44:07,639
two together, so you're looking at
you would have to give up lu dort

680
00:44:07,840 --> 00:44:10,519
Chet home Grin probably Josh Giddy.
In this scenario, Jellen Williams, you

681
00:44:10,519 --> 00:44:14,280
would give up most of those guys. If not, I'm not gonna say

682
00:44:14,280 --> 00:44:15,559
all of them. You give up
most of them and then picks they might

683
00:44:15,599 --> 00:44:22,320
be best equipped to get Luca.
I think they or the Pelicans, those

684
00:44:22,360 --> 00:44:24,679
would be the teams. We're just
looking at the assets they can offer in

685
00:44:24,719 --> 00:44:28,960
the value of them, I think
they would be the teams that are best

686
00:44:28,960 --> 00:44:32,719
positioned to trade for Luca. Are
they also the teams that would be most

687
00:44:32,719 --> 00:44:38,199
aggressive for Luca even if he doesn't
have a preferred list of destinations. I

688
00:44:38,280 --> 00:44:42,639
don't know, just because look,
he has after this year, he has

689
00:44:42,679 --> 00:44:45,360
three years left of this contract.
Before that player option he could hit free

690
00:44:45,360 --> 00:44:47,280
agency. So that's a lot of
time to where you don't necessarily have to

691
00:44:47,320 --> 00:44:52,320
care about that. But it would
just be very atypical for teams like the

692
00:44:52,360 --> 00:44:55,320
Pelicans or the Okay See to go
that. I would love to see Luca

693
00:44:55,320 --> 00:45:00,199
on either one of those teams.
I think I'd be more intrigued by I'm

694
00:45:00,199 --> 00:45:01,719
the thunder two fun at this point. I might be more intrigued by seeing

695
00:45:01,800 --> 00:45:06,199
Zion and Luca played together. I
don't know. What that defense looks like.

696
00:45:06,679 --> 00:45:09,800
Either team would work. Memphis could
be a team that has enough it

697
00:45:09,880 --> 00:45:13,199
might actually be willing to go all
in. The Knicks, of course,

698
00:45:13,239 --> 00:45:16,599
as Leland mentioned, or are on
that is it a short list, it'd

699
00:45:16,639 --> 00:45:20,400
be a long list of Luca donch
as trade suitors. But if teams that

700
00:45:20,559 --> 00:45:23,920
could feasibly pay the price tech to
get him, unless he's dictating where he

701
00:45:23,960 --> 00:45:27,840
goes, which in this day and
age, he'll probably have a say in

702
00:45:27,960 --> 00:45:34,639
that those might be the Those might
be the teams when you're trying to balance

703
00:45:34,679 --> 00:45:37,480
do they have the assets and would
they actually be willing to go after him?

704
00:45:37,599 --> 00:45:43,039
Memphis is one the Knicks or another
the Pelicans and the Thunder, And

705
00:45:43,079 --> 00:45:47,760
I just I'd be reticent to even
believe that the Thunder would commit to going

706
00:45:47,800 --> 00:45:51,440
after him. But I guess you
could make a case that Orlando has enough.

707
00:45:51,679 --> 00:45:53,679
A lot of these teams all of
a sudden get on the radars having

708
00:45:53,760 --> 00:45:55,840
enough if they're willing to give you
know, if Orlando's want to give up

709
00:45:55,840 --> 00:46:00,320
Pala Bank Carol for Luca, that
all of a sudden volves them to the

710
00:46:00,360 --> 00:46:01,880
top of the list, not the
top of the list. But then I'll

711
00:46:01,880 --> 00:46:07,639
also vaults them into a different stratosphere
of trade suitor. If whatever team wins

712
00:46:07,679 --> 00:46:10,840
the lottery this year and is willing
to give up the number one pick for

713
00:46:10,880 --> 00:46:15,840
Luca Nanchich, they will Detroit would
they vault to the topic. So if

714
00:46:15,840 --> 00:46:17,239
they're willing to trade kay Gunn again, when they all to the top of

715
00:46:17,360 --> 00:46:21,519
this list and so it's tough to
peg, but I think you want to

716
00:46:21,559 --> 00:46:24,159
look at teams that are probably more
closer to contending for a title without lucas

717
00:46:24,199 --> 00:46:27,880
that when he comes, he pushes
them over the top and it makes more

718
00:46:27,920 --> 00:46:30,000
sense for them to one give up
that much. And too, they have

719
00:46:30,039 --> 00:46:34,400
the best chance of keeping him long
term. Even again, if he doesn't

720
00:46:34,440 --> 00:46:37,599
give a list of preferred suitors,
that will do it. For this mail

721
00:46:37,639 --> 00:46:42,159
bag, I hope you all enjoyed
it. It was a long one and

722
00:46:42,480 --> 00:46:45,079
until next time, please remember to
rate, review, subscribe wherever you get

723
00:46:45,199 --> 00:46:49,039
your podcasts, Remember to check us
out Apple, Spotify, leave ratings and

724
00:46:49,119 --> 00:46:51,960
reviews, subscribe, like, comment
on Twitter. Help the averyth looks back.

725
00:46:52,159 --> 00:46:54,679
If you appreciate shout outs, let
people know about us, word of

726
00:46:54,719 --> 00:46:59,679
mouth recommendations, retweet our promos,
get like I said, quote us or

727
00:47:00,199 --> 00:47:02,599
something you said on the pod or
compliment us or whatever on on Twiteter.

728
00:47:02,960 --> 00:47:06,719
We appreciate it all and until next
time, and there's always if you shout

729
00:47:06,760 --> 00:47:10,119
outs to one, the only,
the indelible, Frank Milakina. And also

730
00:47:10,280 --> 00:47:15,599
I'll leave you with my apologies and
grants. Apologies to Jared Allen
