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Hello and welcome to the Dynasty Do
Podcast. I'm your host, Corey Evans.

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Thanks for listening to this week's show. The topic is sophomore bust or

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trust. It's a simple idea,
five softmores. Can we trust them in

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fantasy or will they be busts like
they were as rookies or potentially fading into

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their second season in the NFL.
A quick shout out to Ben, Paul,

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Cyril, Luise, Tony and Chris
for joining Patreon this past week.

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Or support is very much appreciated.
If you also want access to one bonus

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episode per week, as well as
unlimited direct message ability to me for questions,

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trades, or even strategy, then
click on the link in my showal

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title. Joined Patreon, head to
the website Patreon dot com, or the

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mobile app on your phone. It's
a minimum of five dollars per month,

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which equates to a lot of bang
for your buck compared to other industry prices

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for paid content. Also, if
you want to get on my calendar for

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a thirty minute or one hour a
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me a message on Instagram or Twitter
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an email Dynasty pod at gmail dot
com. We can cover anything you want,

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thing those thirty minutes or one hour, thirty minutes thirty dollars, one

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hour, fifty dollars. Lastly,
for a housekeeping notes, I announced it

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last week. It was my Patreon
member Dynasty startup League. I got an

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overwhelming amount of responses already in submissions
for to league, so I will continue

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to allow entries through the rest of
June, and then I will reveal the

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eleven other players that will be in
the league. It's going to be very

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difficult to choose because a lot of
people are your stood over on Patreon,

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a ton more than I was expecting. So thank you all so much for

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the interest and passion for joining my
new league. Remember, you have to

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be a Patreon member to be eligible, so I'm going to allow the entire

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month of June to play out,
so don't be afraid to continue submitting your

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case or reasoning to become a member. And I'm going to choose early July

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who I think is a best fit
based on who appears most devoted dedicated to

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being an active member high engagement level. I don't want this leading consists of

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members that could potentially have turnover year
every year, so there's going to be

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a lot of people excluded that I
would love to include in the league.

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Yet there's only eleven spots, which
actually leads me to believe that this could

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become an annual thing where I create
a brand new startup league each and every

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offseason, exclusively on Patreon. All
right, let's get to the content,

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though, sophomore bust or trust up. First, I have Sky Moore,

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who I think is a trust twenty
three in September, second rounder fifty four

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overall. Last year out of Western
Michigan, he only had a twenty two

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for two to fifty log eleven point
four yards protetch with thirty three targets in

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sixteen games played last season, three
carries twenty four yards, fourteen returns for

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eighty six yards, and three kickoff
returns for fifty yards. However, Andy

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Reid decided to bench or remove Skymore
from heart return status later on the season

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due to a few fumbles and mental
mistakes. Hopefully that could mean more of

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an offensive path to value in touches
in twenty twenty three. Moore's ADP and

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rookie drafts last year was on the
late first, early second round borderline depending

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on your league size, and if
it was super flex or one quarterback after

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disappointing first season, Sky shouldn't cost
you much more than a midsecond right now,

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and I'd be knocking on every owner's
door in any league to see who

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you can acquire him at that price
point. Even with huge Smith Schuster out

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Kansas City, the Chiefs sport a
crowded receiver room with Darius Tony mvs.

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Skuy Moore himself, Justin Watson,
Justin Ross. It's also not out of

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the question at the Times recording that
Deandrew Hopkins ends up joining forces with Patrick

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Mahomes as a free agent, edition
not necessarily seeming that way, with either

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Buffalo Tennessee their jets of perhaps New
England seeming like more popular suitors for Hopkins

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services. That's up in the air. I'll talk about it once it's finalized.

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As a prospect. Sky Moore was
a replacement level player in school from

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twenty nineteen twenty twenty before emerging in
twenty twenty one with a twelve ninety two

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ten receiving effort for thirteen point six
yards pertectch. That level of production coupled

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with Skies I've let a profile four
point four one forty yard dash, thirty

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four and a half ks vertical ten
foot five in broad jump made him exciting

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rookie wide receiver to target, particularly
because he's linked to Mahomes in Dynasty.

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A consistent year one role did not
come to fruition for sky More. He

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didn ounce pass five receptions or sixty
three yards receiving in one contest. The

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most targets he saw in a game
stood at six long story short sky was

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not a focal point for the Chiefs, despite second round draft capital to his

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name. I trust investing him more
at costs now, since he offers the

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Chiefs versatility to stretched the field or
become a possession wide out, ala jus

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much use to sell. In twenty
twenty two, Skymore five ten about ninety

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five for a body frame. Sure, there's bus potential, but Moore's high

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ceiling still exists, it remains,
and it's possibly you can acquire him for

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cheaper than new rookie wide out Rashid
Rice, who faces the same perhaps rokey

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wall that's Sky ran into last season, But in twenty twenty three, it's

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becoming more and more evident that it
takes times outside of a few outliers at

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any position quarterback, running back,
while receiver, or tight end for year

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one prospects to make that immediate impact
when in actuality, it takes an off

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season or two to grasp a playbook
or that transition from college to the pros.

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Up next is Jalen Tilbert. While
he was a bust twenty four years

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old third round pick eighty eight overall
last season out of South Alabama to the

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Dallas Cowboys, registered two catches for
twelve yards on three targets in eight games

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played. Talk about a lacklus third
rookie campaign Ceedee Lamb to the top the

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Dallas Wobcier depth chart, followed by
Brandon Cooks, Michael Gallup. There's been

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buzz circulating about Tolbert from OTAs.
I don't question his talent or athletic ability

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six one five, four point four
nine wheels. It's more of a blocked

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path to volume that brings up the
bust label for him in my mind.

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As a sophomore, it's somewhat concerning
that Tilbert was not able to use surf

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wide receivers like Noah Brown or even
Michael Gallup, who was recovering from a

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twenty cel twenty two after being a
third round draft pick. There was speculation

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this time last year that Tilbert could
assert himself as wide receiver two for the

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Cowboys before long opposite Ceedee Lamb.
After all, Jalen's twenty twenty one college

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resume stood out in eighty fourteen seventy
four eight receiving log averaging eighteen yars pertect

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in the process eighteen yards pertect shows
big playability left and right. It did

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not transition year one in the pros
level competition was a slight cause for hesitation

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or pause from South Alabama, but
on tape, Jalen Tilbert looked apart at

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this stage. I'd say Tilbert's worth
a flyer for a third, whether it

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be twenty twenty three, twenty twenty
four also faces though target competition from Tony

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Pollard let alone, the Cowboys trio
of tight ends and Jake Ferguson, Luke

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Schoolmaker or Peyton Hendershots. Therefore,
I see more bust than trust and Tilbert's

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immediate outlook as a sophomore. He
doesn't currently have a path to playing time

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outside of a duck truck promotion or
injury ahead of him among Dallas's wide receiver

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group. Sure, he's a nice
end of bench dash who could become an

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effetual the darter based on his pedigree
and what he accomplished at the college level,

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But in terms of expecting a year
or two role to be impact from

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a fantasy lens, I don't see
it right now for Jalen Tilbert. Up

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next is Desmond Ritter, who I
see as a trust twenty four in August

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third rounder, seventy four overall,
vast two juts Cincinnati. He was a

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career sixty two point one percent passer
in school. In the actual NFL last

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season, he had seven hundred and
eight yards passing, two touchdowns, no

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interceptions, completed, sixty three and
a half percent of his passes, six

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point two yards per attempt, sixteen
rushes to sixty four yards. I was

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all in four games, played small
sample size. His weekly yards passing were

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ninety seven to eighteen sixty nine to
twenty four. Solid but surely and improved

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and increased week over week. Played
it simple. I think we should trust

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Ritter, or at least give him
benefit of doubt chance to prove himself his

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worth because the Falcons are doing so
in real life with much more at stake

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than us As a real franchise.
Atlanta had all offseason long to sign impact

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free agent at quarterback or address the
position during the draft itself, but neither

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occurred unless you want to count bringing
in Taylor Heineki, which I think he's

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more of a high end backup or
journeyman than a set of forget it ascid

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in fantasy, let alone quality starting
quarterback in the NFL. During Ridders four

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game sample size in twenty twenty two, we never saw Atlanta let him unleash

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or air the ball outdown field.
It was more of a dink and dunk

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game manager experiment, a Ben don't
break strategy, if you will. If

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that continues into twenty twenty three,
Ben Desmond could end up being a bust

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with a top tier talent supporting staff
around him. Running back be John Robinson,

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wide receiver Drake London, Titan Kyle
Pitts. Ridder has a foundation to

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succeed in place as a passer.
What we can't forget is the Russian ability

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at six three two o seven with
four point five two speed who recorded annual

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yard rushing totals in school of five
seventy two, six fifty five, ninety

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two, three fifty five with twenty
eight career rushing touchdowns. It wasn't one

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outlier season at the Tinnati for Ridder
on the ground. It was three four

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seasons of him proving his dual threat
skill set year in year out. If

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Ridder is given more command of the
Falcons offense there's upcoming season underhead coach Arthur

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Smith, or if it's a coordinator
Dave Ragone, then we could see more

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of that versatility on full display and
he'd become a streaming quarterback too, if

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not quarterback one candidate, but we
have to see it from both a passer

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and a rusher those standpoints, because
I don't think there's enough volume to go

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around for him to rely solely.
I'm throwing the football back end quarterback two

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for me, tuper flex with upside
and a quarterback three and one quarterback leagues.

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In summary, I do trust Ridder
based on what the Falcons have done.

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Actions speak louder than words, and
the Falcons actions this offseason were that

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the coaching staff and front office desity
makers trust Ridder for at least twenty twenty

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three and if he proved himself then
they could have found a long term solution

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at the position. Time for a
quick break and then two more sophomore bust

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or trust candidates to discuss. How
about ty Chandler as a bust twenty five

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years old, fifth round pick one
sixty nine overall that season on North Carolina,

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he only had six rushes with twenty
yards three point three yards per carry

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in three games play. Chandler is
gaining some buzz or value steam as of

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late. After Minnesota decided to move
on from Dalvin Cook, the Vikings now

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have on their depth chart at running
back Alexander Madison, Tyk Chandler himself,

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Canadian Wonggwu Towea McBride as replacement options
to shoulder the load left behind by Cook.

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The general consensus is now vaulting up
Madison in RB two territory and assuming

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that Tyke Chandler will become what Madison
was to Dalvin moving forward. While that

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may be true, Madison, as
we remember, was more of a handcuff

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than ever standalone value asset when Cook
was healthy. Based on earlier reports out

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of camp, it does sound like
Minnesota as headed for a true RBBC that

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would be understandably led by Madison,
who has been waiting in the wings behind

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Alvin for oh so many years.
Chandler was a late bloomer in collegeist Bite,

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spending four years of Tennessee. He
then transferred to UNC for twenty twenty

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one, where he then finally caught
the attention of scouts. One eighty two

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thirteen rushing effort for six yards per
clip. That's outstanding. That proceeded to

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have a strong pre draft process and
flash at the Senior Bowl, along with

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the combine with four point three eight
wheels that cut my most during the summer

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months last year. Anytime our running
back has that sort of straight line speed,

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it should warrant us to monitor if
they're used or if there's a chance

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for an increased role at any point
of time. Now, I do expect

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Ty to carve out a roll or
decent amount of volume for the Vikings.

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A a lemma is whether it'll be
fantasy viable or not in terms of actual

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per touch rush receiver volume. I'm
categorizing Chandler's a bust for the sake of

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this episode because the writing is already
on the wall of him rising in price

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for twenty twenty three, perhaps becoming
overvalued. Let's assume, for the sake

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of pure rookie draft capital, that
he creeps into the second round conversation for

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twenty twenty three rookie drafts that value
range. I'd much rather keep a twenty

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three second than gamble on a soon
to be twenty six year old running back

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twenty five years old the sophomore,
because longevity or shelf life alone indicates that

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you're better off of the twenty one
twenty two year old prospect than a short

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term window of Ty Chandler, who
was going to be in Sillery behind Alexander

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Madison. On the flip side of
that conversation, if you can acquire Chandler

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for a third, a fourth,
a fifth, if people aren't as savvy

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in your respective leagues, or even
if tax Chandlers a free agent, scoop

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him up, because that's a completely
different story where you already have room for

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profit. I'm speaking in the terms
of acquiring him now, where everyone realizes

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Cook is no longer Minnesota and Madison
doesn't necessarily have the track are going to

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be proven as an RB one at
the NFL level at Boise state he was

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terrific, but that was a long
time Agoga Pardu his utilization as a pro

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as more of a backup than ever
true starter. And then last but not

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least, Londale Robinson had another bust
candidate twenty two years old and tech around

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selection forty three. Over twenty twenty
two out of Kentucky, he had twenty

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three grabs for two twenty seven and
one touchdown nine point nine as pertech thirty

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one targets in six games played towards
acl Meek eleven, just when he started

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to emerge a bit disappointing the Giants. Why was your depth chart is the

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main reason behind the bust label.
It's packed. You have Wondale Robinson himself,

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Darius Layton, Isaiah Hodgins, Paris
Campbell getting buzz every single day.

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It appears Stan Shepherd, rookie Jalen
Hi who I like a lot, James.

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And it's a quantity, not quality, level of talent regardless. At

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the end of the day, it's
a ton of miles to feed on an

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offense that already has other weapons utilize
at different positions. Ivy Robinson as a

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bust because of the situation, not
ability it's difficult to imagine him being back

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in time or even at full strength
four week one posts acl tear, which

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puts him on the outside looking in
for a full time roll upon a victual.

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Wordsern doesn't help matters either, and
usually situation doesn't factor into my assessment

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for a player, But this could
be an exception to the rule where I

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just don't see a volume driven path
for Robinson to overcome all of the competition

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alongside a mettwide receiver in New York, not to mention expecting Darren Waller to

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function as perhaps the top receiver for
the Giants, even though it's a tight

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end and we can't forget about,
say, Quon Barkley his dual threadability assuming

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he reaches a new deal and doesn't
hold out for all of twenty twenty three,

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That and of itself limits the ceiling
for all Giants pass catchers and what

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was a short or intermediate passing attack
led by Daniel Jones in twenty twenty two

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with his six point eight press attempt. Londale is not a vertical field structure.

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He's your short area possession underneath comeback
route type of weapon who does a

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lot of damage after the catch,
and he showed glimpses of exciting players rookie

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last year with similar open field traits
too. I think Kadarius Tony in terms

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of that shortier quickness, agility,
and duke ability. A few Robinson's best

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games were three thirty seven, one
touchdown vers Baltimore, six for fifty yards

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at Jacksonville, and then nine for
a hundred yards versus Detroit. Size was

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and still is to make concern for
Wandale five eight one eighty five since the

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college usage was volume driven. In
twenty twenty one, it was a one

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oh four thirteen thirty four seven law
for twelve point eight yards per catch.

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That sort of usage is not going
to translate to the Giants infrastructure because the

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volume's not going to be there.
And I don't think that sort of ceiling

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exists for many NFL players in general, let alone one like the Giants with

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such a jam packed depth chart at
wide receiver. I'm willing to take a

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gamble or risk on Robinson for a
late second, early third, even a

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future third and fourth something along those
lines. But spending more seems to be

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buying at his ceiling, which is
never advisable in dynasty for any player,

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let alone someone coming off of a
torny acl who does not have a locked

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in roll come week one for next
season, that will do it. Hope

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you'll enjoy my sophomore bust or Trust
episode a quick recap. I have Skymore

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as a trust feeling. Tilbert as
a bust, doesn't Ritter as a trust

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tie Chandler bust and talked about him
most recently Wanda Robinson as a bust for

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context. I don't think the busts
are bad players. It's all about assessing

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trademarket and startup value when it comes
to ADP or rankings and at all their

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current price points or valuations. That's
how I view them at this point in

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time, So you can view that
as buy, sell, trust bust.

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It's a matter of where they are
for you in your rankings or perceived value,

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and then a would you start them
or be would they be depth?

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If their depth pieces, then there's
more wiggle room for failure or success.

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But if you're depending on any of
the five players that I discussed as starters,

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you have to be fairly confident that
they're going to become regular contributors for

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their teams as sophomores. Thank you
all for listening. A few cook reminders.

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If you want access to one bonus
show per week and unlimited direct message

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00:16:15,720 --> 00:16:19,679
ability, join Patreon five dollars per
month minimum link in the show notes or

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00:16:19,720 --> 00:16:22,120
just head that their mobile app or
website, and it's the only way of

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00:16:22,159 --> 00:16:26,919
a chance to get into my Patreon
only Dancy startup League. As I mentioned,

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a ton of inquiries submissions already.
It's overwhelming, so it's gonna take

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me time to dissect. But I
still encourage you if you're on the platform

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to put an extry in if interested, and then the chosen participants will be

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announced in July. Don't forget either. If you want that thirty minute or

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00:16:41,759 --> 00:16:45,039
one hour Google meets to break down
and assess your team in great detail pre

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00:16:45,200 --> 00:16:48,639
draft, post draft for a startup
Orgie draft, then hit me up get

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that locked in. As a summer
months grow on here, the schedule will

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get increasingly busier, so don't hesitate
to book a call next again until next

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time. This is the honest checking
out. Talk to you all next week.

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See ya. M h m h, m hm m h