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dot org. Hello and welcome to
the Texas Tribune trip Cast for July seventh,

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twenty twenty three. I'm Alexa Udha, a reporter for the Trib filling

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in for Matthew, who has on
some well deserved time off this week.

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Today we're talking about the heat,
not just about how hot it's been in

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Texas lately and the deadly implications of
that, but what this means for our

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state in the long term, as
climate change shifts the entire range of Texas

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heat upwards. Joining me this week
as Aaron Douglas, the Tribunes climate reporter

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whose beat covers the impacts of climate
change, including extreme heat, drought,

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and hurricanes. High erin Hello,
So we are chatting at the end of

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the week during which we saw the
hottest day on Earth since at least nineteen

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seventy nine, and potentially in much
farther than that. You know, it

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was a pretty awful and oppressive June. The heat way we were stuck in,

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which seems like it's finally eased,
ushered, and essentially a public health

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crisis. And all of this comes
the summer after heat related debts in Texas

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reached a two decade high last year
during what up to then had been the

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state's second hottest summer on record.
Can you walk us through what was going

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on and why this heat, you
know, even in a state like Texas

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felt so unrelenting. Sure. Yeah, So this summer is not expected to

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be abnormally hot because we are transitioning
right now into an El Nino. Last

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summer, we were in a La
Ninia pattern, which is essentially like a

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big weather pattern caused by the oceans. But basically what it means for Texas

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is that La Nina tends to bring
us drier weather and that tends to exacerbate

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heat. And so last year when
we had that record hot summer, we

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were in a La Ninia pattern,
and so we thought heading into this summer

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that it would be a little better, but then we had this big heat

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dome event happened. And essentially a
heat dome is a weather pattern, and

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so what we had was, you
know, more than three weeks of one

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hundred degree temperature stretching across the state, you know, shattering record. It's

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prompting all these excessive heat warnings.
And heat waves are very dangerous because they

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were so big, and they last
for so long, and they affect a

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huge area as we saw, like
thousands of miles, and they most often

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occur in the summer when we have
very weak circulation in the atmosphere and not

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a lot of energy, and so
weather patterns just kind to tend to kind

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of just sit on top of you. And so you know, one reason

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you might hear it called a heat
dome is because the air is essentially shaped

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like an inverted stadium, and the
warm air gets trapped above an area with

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a lot of pressure forming and that
pushes the air downward. So the air

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is sinking, sinking, compressing,
and as that air is pushing downward,

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it warms up. Is like a
thermodynamic relationship, right, And so because

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there's so much pressure pushing downward.
It's also squeezing out any chance for clouds

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to form to kind of break up
this weathered pattern, and so they tend

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to stick around for a long time
as we saw. And the other issue

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with heat domes is that usually we
get a break from the heat in Texas

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when the sun goes down at night. But in this type of weather system,

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the air keeps compressing at night.
It doesn't stop when the sun goes

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down, and so it continues to
create more and more heat even in the

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nighttime. So that's basically what happened
the last couple of weeks. Yeah,

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I'm not sure I had ever even
heard the term heat dome before this,

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and that inverted stadium is actually a
really easy visual to really understand that.

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You know, there was a line
in one of your recent stories that it's

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probably just sort of basic knowledge to
people like you who sort of think about

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this all day as part of your
job. But I found it really astounding

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and really saddening that heat is already
the most dangerous type of weather, typically

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killing more people annually than hurricanes,
tornadoes, or flooding. As we think

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about the events of the last few
weeks and this heat dome and the impact

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of these sort of weather events on
on folks and the sort of deadly implications

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of that. Should we be thinking
about it as a new normal? Is

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it something that's going that we're going
to be seeing more regularly. Is it

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still a bit of an outlier?
How? How should we think about this

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knowing that he is already so dangerous
to people. Yeah, he is extremely

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dangerous, And I think people take
it for granted because it's kind of a

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silent killer in a way. And
even trying to cover this extreme event,

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you know, you hear some anecdotes
of folks being reported who are who are

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dying in the heat, but it's
hard to get it like an overall sense

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of the damage because there's not like
a big flooding event where you can see

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all like literally sealed infrastructure damage,
you know. Um, But in terms

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of like whether it's a new normal. I actually saw a quote from climate

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scientist Michael Mann, who's who's a
very famous climate scientist, and he was

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quoted in the Asociated Press about a
week or two ago where he said along

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these lines that quote, if we
continue to warm the planet, we don't

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settle into some new state, it's
an ever moving baseline of worse and worse.

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And I think that really captures the
problem here, which is like,

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it's not as though we are headed
towards a certain new climate if we continue

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to put fossil fuels into the atmosphere, and until we stop putting fossil fuels

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into the atmosphere and creating heat trapping
gases in the globe, then we continue

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the progression of more and more bad. And so that's why it's not like

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an either or it is with every
reduction that we get in not putting as

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much greenhouse gases into the atmosphere is
a good thing. And then because it

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reduces it mitigates the impact of climate
change. And with heat waves in particular,

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you know, there's a lot of
severe weather events where we may not

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have the science to say exactly how
climate change is messing with severe weather events,

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or we may know a little bit, but not all the waves or

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all the mechanisms. Heat is interesting
because it's very clear, there's been a

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lot of studies on it, and
you know, climate change is clearly amplifying

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the effects of heat waves, and
they're stretching for longer periods of time,

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they're reaching higher temperatures than they would
otherwise if climate change was not happening,

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and they're occurring more often than they
would otherwise if climate change was not occurring.

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Well, and when you when you
think about sort of the gradual way

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in which this occurs. The there
was recent reporting that y'all did showing really

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how over the last ten years,
you know, taking a step back,

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right, not thinking just of how
hot it is today or how hot it's

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been this summer, taking a step
back and realizing that over the last ten

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years that I think that the figure
was there were more than sixteen hundred days

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when a heat record was matched or
broken one of the twenty two weather stations

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across Texas. And then even taking
a farther step back, there was a

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figure that showed that the number of
record high temperatures measured across the state had

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increased five hundred and ten percent essentially
in the last one hundred years. So,

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I mean, help us understand how
climate change makes things like extreme heat

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worse, Like, what is the
actual science behind the extreme heat variations that

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we're seeing and feeling. Yeah,
So if you think about the main mechanism

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of climate change is heat being trapped
by an increased amount of carbon dioxide and

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other heat trapping gases in the atmosphere. So if that's trapping more heat energy,

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then that's pushing the average temperature that
we're seeing upwards, and that makes

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extreme heat higher than we would have
otherwise. And so it's essentially as you

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said earlier, like shifting the whole
baseline to the right, I guess a

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little bit. And so you know, the problem is particularly pronounced in areas

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in very dry areas like the Southwest
due to a lack of soil moisture.

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And there are some areas of the
US where you know, if you have

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a lot of humidity, soil moisture
vegetation, then that kind of produces a

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cooling effect. But you know,
what we saw in the data was areas

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where we had a lack of moisture
had a really pronounced effect, like seeing

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a lot more extreme heat days and
a lot more increase in average temperature.

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I did want to say too,
like you know that figure of in the

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last decade there were more than you
know, sixteen hundred days of record hot

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days. So we compared it to
our data team did some fancy analysis.

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They figured out that an average decade
in Texas starting from the very beginning,

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as as far back as we have
records from like eighteen ninety five, in

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average decade in Texas, we would
expect to see around five hundred and sixty

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record hot days a year, and
so that's a huge difference. Like in

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the last decade we saw sixteen hundred
verses, what an quote unquote normal decade

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would be would be five hundred and
sixty. Yeah, that that is quite

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a quite good jump. Um.
You know, as part of this analysis,

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you also found that, you know, obviously every county in Texas has

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seen an average increase in temperatures over
this sort of last decade that you were

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using as a measurement, but that
there are areas of the state that have

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seen sort of more pronounced jumps in
these record breaking temperatures. It was West

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Texas, the Panhandle and the Goal. Why why why is this not thought

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equally? I know you mentioned things
like vegetation and and sort of the ability

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to the soil retention or rather humidity
or moisture retention in the soil, But

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what what is going on that these
areas of this eight are feeling it so

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much more significantly than other areas.
Yeah, So, like we mentioned,

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one of the main factors is places
with low soil moisture, they're really seeing

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that excess solar radiation. There's no
cooling effect for them to help them out.

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You know, you can kind of
think about it like as sweating.

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You know, if there's an if
there's excess solar radiation happening because of climate

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change and because more of the heat
is getting trapped in the atmosphere and reflecting

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back down to Earth. You know, we sweat to cool our bodies down.

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Plants are essentially doing the same thing. Some of the excess energy basically

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is going into evaporating the water and
that's producing that cooling effect. But there's

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other factors as well, Like a
couple of scientists mentioned to me, just

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increased urbanization of our cities, especially
in places like Texas where we're growing super

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super fast and cities are expanding,
suburbs are expanding, and and there's two

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problems with that. One is that
there's something called the urban heat island effect,

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which you know listeners may know about
that, but essentially concrete buildings,

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a lack of green spaces that is
causing ground level heat to radiate and that

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increases the temperatures and cities because you're
just bouncing back the heat. You're not

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absorbing it or putting it into putting
it into anything. You're just taking it

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all in versus if you had green
spaces or something reflective, then we wouldn't

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have that happening. And then we
also have the second problem, which is

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just that more people are vulnerable to
dangers from the heat because they're living in

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hot cities. So that makes another
another problem other factors. You know,

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weather is just random sometimes and that's
one thing that the state climatologists pointed out.

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You know, there's a lot of
different factors, but you know,

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climate change, soil moisture, and
urban areas, those are some, but

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also weather patterns should happen and so
and so there's just a lot of variation

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and so it's interesting to see.
But I think the main takeaway is that,

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you know, not all places are
going to be affected equally, but

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all places in Texas are warming.
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And so obviously we think about the
way to respond or the things that need

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to change in light of these this
increasing baseline and we think about things like

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a resalient electric grade, which is
something that everyone's often you know, top

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of mind for a lot of folks
given the last few years here, not

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just in extreme weather events when it's
cold, but now in the summer when

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that demand for you know, running
a c is increasing. But you've also

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talked to experts who have offered other
examples, things like dams and infrastructure that

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can also be affected by these sort
of increasing baseline temperatures. What how do

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we adapt to this and is there
a need to sort of separate those changes

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on sort of a macro and micro
level, because there's an extent to which

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I think that an individual person might
not be able to make a big difference

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in some of these bigger infrastructural conversations. I would think, yeah, yeah,

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So on the infrastructure stuff, I
think one of the to really keep

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in mind is that just a few
degrees of difference can really jeopardize electricity and

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other types of infrastructure, like are
what you call what we kind of call

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the built environment is very very vulnerable
to changes in our climate because we kind

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of built up our whole society assuming
that there was a certain range of weather

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and a certain range of temperature that
was going to happen, and now we're

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falling outside of that range more and
more frequently, and so with the grid,

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the grid is as you said,
like very stressed by higher demand when

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we see extreme heat, you know, people crank up their air conditioning at

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the same time, like higher temperatures
are arriving earlier in the season. So

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it's not just that we're falling outside
of the range of the temperatures. It's

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also that different there's different patterns in
when we're seeing the high temperatures, and

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so that kind of makes a smaller
and smaller window for power plants to make

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repairs or like make upgrades when they
typically do that in the spring and fall,

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when they don't expect to see a
lot of high demand. Now we're

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seeing high demand in the spring and
fall because there's very hot temperatures around.

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So that's one problem you mentioned the
dams. You know a lot of dams

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are small, they're privately owned,
they were built decades ago. One issue

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with climate change is just that you
know, extreme rainfall events were less common

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when they were built, and so
it's calling into question the structural integrity of

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dams. It's also just with drought, like on the flip side, having

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prop problems with you know, dams
just not being filled in not being a

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reliable source of water supply for us. Here, I think the point about

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like splitting up the big like macro
level infrastructure and the micro is really important

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because on kind of like the micro
level, higher heat and like earlier heat

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than we're used to is affecting people
on like a human individual level. For

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example, like we heard in Webb
County where some of the heat related deaths

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were being reported a couple of weeks
ago, was that, you know,

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the medical examiner there said, well, they heard that some people were going

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to fix their air conditioning unit,
but they hadn't got around to it yet

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because we usually see this type of
heat in like late July or August,

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and so you know, she was
saying their County was caught off guard,

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like not just the government, but
like individual residents were caught off guard by

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how extreme this heat was and how
early in the season it was. So

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I think that's a really like key
issue is like informing everyday people, you

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know, just on an individual level, that you know you might need to

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do your semi preparations earlier than you
did in the past. You need to

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be more prepared for higher temperatures,
and you've seen in the past, even

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if you live in an already very
very hot area, it's getting more and

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more extreme. Speaking with the macro
level part of this, you know,

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we we we're still in a special
session now, but we ended a regular

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legislative session a few months ago or
weeks ago in which Texas legislators really largely

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ignored, please for for some of
the critical reforms that environmental advocates had been

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asking for. Extreme heat in particular
appears to have been sort of largely cast

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aside, or at least proposals that
could have made a difference or could have

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at least tried to address some of
the extreme heat we're seeing on the effects

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on folks. We know, things
like droughts are worsened by higher temperatures,

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and instead it often seems like Texas
is taking sort of more reactionary steps than

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preventative. You're thinking about in the
case of drifts, for example, spending

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millions of dollars to boost water supplies
instead of having sort of these broader conversations

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about climate change and what the state
needs to do. Obviously, we're in

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a state with Republican leadership, you
know, a party that hasn't always been

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open to having conversations about climate change
or even acknowledging that it's real. Is

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there a political will to sort of
take on those macro level changes and considerations

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that need to happen, And do
we turn to state legislatures for that or

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is the venue on a more federal
level. How do you sort of pass

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through the need to have some sort
of political will to do something about this.

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Yeah, we didn't see very much
discussion of climate change in the legislature

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this past session, if anything to
the extent timate change is mentioned. And

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she's really like saying things like ESG
and renewable energy are are bad and should

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be stopped in Texas. Sort of
like the dominant narrative for Texas Republicans right

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now. But I would say,
like, as you mentioned, there does

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seem to be some political will to
do things like upgrade our infrastructure such as

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the power grid and water supplies,
and you know, I consider that climate

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policy. You know, even if
they're not saying the words climate change.

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There was also political will to put
some money towards building the Eike Dike and

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the coastal Barrier along Galveston Bay,
and that'll you know, that project is

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intended to help protect the Houston region
from hurricanes, and you know comes as

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a result of Hurricane Ike for it's
it's named after. So I mean,

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I think stuff like that, there
is will to say we're going to protect

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our state from weather, but not
from climate change. And I think the

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question becomes whether Texas is going to
do those types of infrastructure upgrades in a

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way that makes sense if agencies and
leaders implementing the policy and those regulations and

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that money aren't taking climate change into
account, and so that becomes a big

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question. The other question is just
whether things that are more squarely related to

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climate change, like extreme heat,
gets the attention from womakers that it really

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deserves. As it becomes more and
more of an emergency, and I think

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to your point about like what the
proper venue is for it at all venues

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they think are good. But we
do see some action on the local level

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in particular. You know, when
I was calling around doing some reporting on

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this heat dome, you know I
heard from Dallas County, for example,

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where they have a program to ensure
that you can get an affordable or even

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like free air conditioning unit or they'll
help you fix it. And so that's

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a good that's a good local program
that is helping people deal with the effects

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of climate change. There are cooling
centers that local governments like to implement,

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but a lot of people don't use
them or even know that they exist.

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So that's a more challenging policy with
like mixed results. I think there are

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things we could do, Like our
prisons are very dangerous for folks that incarcerated

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people and staff in prisons that don't
have air conditioning, and that makes it

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really unsafe for people there. The
legislature did not put money towards fixing that

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problem this year, which I think
was a big disappointment to advocates in that

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space and also time advocates. So
it's a mixed bag. There's a lot

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of money coming down from the federal
government that is going to try to address

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some of these things, and I
think it kind of remains to be seen

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whether Texas is going to take advantage
of it and apply it in a way

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that makes sense for the state in
the context of climate change. Yeah,

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because I think you have these broader
policy conversations about the effects of extended drought

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on industries like agriculture and the production
of all sorts of goods and foods.

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And there's the financial toll on farmers
and ranters who are behind that work.

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But then it's also about daily lives, right the folks who maybe don't have

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the financial means to actually fix up
their air conditioning system or the ability to

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sort of keep their homes safely cooled
during these sort of weather patterns. Obviously,

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the folks whose jobs it is to
work outside in these environments. And

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you know, to your point about
whether this gets the enough attention or the

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sort of necessary attention by lawmakers,
it seems like we we've often talked about

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these things in the on the legislator, in the legislator sphere, through like

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industry conversations and less so on those
sort of day to day tolls, which

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which I think was particularly tough to
see with you know, Web County in

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particular, where where you quoted the
chief Medical Examiner, doctor kern Stern,

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she said deaths rolled by heat stroke
or rolled accidents, and accidents by definition

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are preventable, and all of these
deaths could have been prevented. But it's

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also that part where not everybody has
the means to it's not sort of an

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equal playing field and being able to
prevent the heat's effect on you. And

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I think we see that a lot
among the folks who maybe aren't as often

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part of conversation at the legislature.
Yeah, for sure, I think that

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the the quote from the medical examiner
is really poignant because again, heat kills

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more people than than other weather events
annually, and with the heat getting worse

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and worse in Texas, I think
that we will see more and more deaths.

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We're trying to get better about tracking
it to um there's that's that's actually

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a big issue which I think that
the state and local governments could take on

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if they wanted to. It's just
to get a little bit better at figuring

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out just how many people are dying
from the heat, because that's something that

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you know, we're not going to
get for a few more weeks in Texas,

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but we won't even get the full
toll. Like when we reported at

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the end of last year that we
saw a two decade high and the number

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of people dying from the heat in
twenty twenty two, it was a way

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under count because he is one of
those conditions that you wouldn't necessarily die.

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Your death certificate wouldn't necessarily say died
from heat stroke. Sometimes it will,

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but sometimes they'll be like heart attack, and like he was a amplifying condition

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of that death. And so actually
figuring out the like total human toll of

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how much the heat is causing in
excess deaths in Texas is a very very

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big question and something that is not
really being analyzed by governments in the state

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right now. So I guess that's
one thing that I would hope is just

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that by you know, local government
seeing the toll that it's taking on their

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communities, they put more emphasis in
trying to figure out exactly how bad the

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problem is. And as that happens, maybe we get more and more momentum

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in places like the legislature, because
if people are dying, you know,

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whether you think it's caused by climate
change or not, I think that there

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ought to be a government response.
Yeah, it's like that, it's almost

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needing to connect all of those pieces
that and starting with the fact that often

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these death certificates won't actually have the
word heat in them, you know.

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And it's also you know, I
grew up speaking of Web County, I

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grew up in Laredo, and like
this was a place where, you know,

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on those late summer days, you'd
be sweating just from the walk from

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your office to your car while you
waited for your ac to really like higgin

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and that was if you had AC
in your car, right, And this

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was a place where the like the
kids who were in banned had to practice

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in the mornings before school instead of
after because the parking lots were just too

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hot for them to actually be able
to practice in the in the evenings.

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And like all of those things I
think are often just like a way of

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a life in areas like Laredo where
you do have you know, hotter temperatures

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in general. But this idea of
people dying by heat stroke was like not

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and these like warnings and the need
to sort of be more preventive preventative about

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this are not sort of things I
remember even hearing about growing up there.

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And I do wonder if as this
problem becomes more widespread, as you see

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temperatures increase across the state and more
and more folks are sadly affected by this,

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often in the worst case scenario,
was even killed by this. It

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is there the possibility that the conversation
or the willingness to have the conversation on

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a policy level changes when more people
feel the impact of this, when it's

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not just like one community that's used
to living in hot temperatures, but when

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you have more communities that are having
to deal with the effects of that,

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and whether that actually does bring some
change to how we even talk about some

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00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:17,960
of these things. Yeah, I
think maybe, but also maybe not,

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00:29:19,599 --> 00:29:26,279
Because Yeah, I spoke to some
researchers about the communication of climate change,

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and IL has a really great program
on climate change communication where they do some

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00:29:30,240 --> 00:29:37,079
studies and surveys of public perceptions of
climate change and extreme weather events, and

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00:29:37,200 --> 00:29:42,680
studies have basically found that Republicans and
Democrats who go through the exact same weather

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00:29:42,720 --> 00:29:49,119
event characterize it differently in terms of
whether it was caused by climate change or

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00:29:49,200 --> 00:29:52,960
not, and go through the exact
same thing, and their political beliefs will

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cause them to interpret that event with
a certain lens. Right. But on

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the other hand, there we are
seeing in some of the surveys that an

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increasing number of Americans believe that climate
change is occurring. Almost three quarters of

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Americans now believe climate change is occurring. And the researcher I spoke with said

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she's seeing emerging evidence that experience with
extreme weather maybe now playing a bigger role

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in people's perceptions of realizing that climate
change is happening than it did in the

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past. And so I think we're
kind of on the early edge of this

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and maybe you know, as we
see sadly more extreme weather events and more

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of the impacts in people's backyards,
then they may start to change their mind.

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00:30:41,680 --> 00:30:45,039
Well, Aaron, thanks for chatting
with me about this this week.

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00:30:45,160 --> 00:30:48,880
That's all the time we have.
Thank you to our sponsors, Raise your

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00:30:48,880 --> 00:30:55,319
Hand, Texas Methodist Healthcare Ministries of
South Texas, Texas BioMed, and the

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00:30:55,359 --> 00:31:00,359
Texas Association of Community Colleges. Thanks
as well to our producer just In and

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00:31:00,440 --> 00:31:03,279
On Behalf of Matthew, who we
hope does not abandon us for the cooler

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00:31:03,319 --> 00:31:08,200
temperatures and scenic views of Colorado.
Thanks for listening. We'll talk to y'all

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00:31:08,200 --> 00:31:21,599
next week here from Colin all Red, Barry Weiss, Douglas Brinkley, Mary

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00:31:21,640 --> 00:31:25,440
Trump, and many others. At
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