WEBVTT

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Nine and five miles an hour riding
to his head. He hopped down first

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with the lump bonius face, and
on the very next pitch he up and

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stole second face with gretest speed.
He wasn't born. He had the yes,

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uniforn well. Welcome back Episode ten
of Prospect B Sides Podcast. I

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guess, I guess technically it's a
podcast, Matt, but so far it's

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just been you and I on a
video conference call because none of them have

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come out yet. But we are
a week later from the last episode.

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I'm excited because we're gonna talk pictures. We're gonna we're gonna get into our

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B side pictures draft. You guys
know that I love pictures because they're superior

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in every way, shape and form. Hitters. They're more successful, they're

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mostly better looking daggers. This is
this is hurtful to the former college hitter

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and me. You know, as
we were talking about prepping for this,

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I was like, yeah, you
know, all pictures are the worst.

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They're not even athletes like we have
them in this game because we have to

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and that's the only reason. So
all of that you can disregard and and

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Nate tells me He's going to wipe
the floor because I'm wipe the floor with

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me in this draft because he appreciates
pictures. And I'm just like, I

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don't think so. I think I
could hit off all these hitters actually actual,

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but I am nate. I don't
know if I said that. And

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this is the rookie, Matt the
rookie here again. He had me back

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after last week. Must have been
because we had such good feedback from from

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last time. All the we had
all the listens and all of the B

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side pitching. Last season was the
first time I like sort of picked some

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names and put them out there.
By no means was it the first time

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first season I did pitching B side, put some stuff out there, and

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it was a little tricky. I
wasn't really sure sort of what roster percentage

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is would be the right range to
look at. But what I discovered we

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picked thirty thirty arms last year.
I'd say we had some success stories.

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Three four, five had a lot
of guys injured. We'll talk more in

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depth about some of those guys in
future episodes. But what I found was

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that even as far as roster percentage
goes, even a success you go from

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like zero one percent to like four
is that where I think like Julian Aguar

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was at and Kyder Montero probably the
two best B side selections from last year.

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Both great picks, by the way, just chiming in here as a

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former fan and now co host with
Nate, those were both really good picks,

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and I like both those guys.
Yeah. Yeah, it was interesting

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though, because you know, like
I've said this before, they were If

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I would have done a draft with
you last year this time, those two

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guys probably wouldn't have been on my
list my draft listing. Why is that

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Montero's just seemed like a guy with
like a decent fastball and an unharnessed slider

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that they looked good. You know, that was based my generic why I

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picked them. Agure was kind of
the same story. Fastball, slider looked

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good. Maybe if you can put
some other things together, maybe it'd be

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good. I didn't like anybody else
in the orgle that much. It wasn't

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like some super wicked smart call on
my party like that. A lot of

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the guys that I probably liked the
most, most of them got hurt and

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didn't really play too much or got
traded but I do want to say something

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about B side pitching B side stuff. Last week I spoke about that team

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a little bit where I was like
seventy five percent production off of free waiver

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wire pickups. Right, large majority
of that was was trading pitchers. Really.

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Now, of course we've talked about
very league specific kind of stuff,

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but especially in a thirty points league, two thirds to seventy five percent or

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more of the league was kind of
the same mindset that, hey, we'll

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figure out pitching. Hey, I
don't want to invest in the volatile pitcher

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and all that. I believe that
leaves a great opportunity to do some B

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siding there over the last two seasons. I just looked at two of my

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thirty teen points leagues over the last
two seasons. These are all pitchers that

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I picked up for nothing and ended
up trading for some Ain't saying I made

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great trades. Ain't sandy these guys
are great or bad or anything like that.

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But basically this was me walking into
a casino and getting a free tray

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of chips, so to speak.
Kinder Graham's Roansy Contreris, Mike Burrows,

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Luis Pelacio's Cole Reagan's, Kyle Bradish, Jury Perez, Randy Vasquez, Hayden,

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Wesnesky, Bailey, Falterdx Fulton,
Porter Hodge, DJ Hurris, Sean

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Burke, Justin Jarvis, A J. Smith, Shauver, Jared Jones,

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Christian Mana Kaider, Montero, David
Festa, Marcorea, Ben Brown, Bailey,

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Ober, Luis, Luis Devers,
and Matt Brash. That's a fire

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list there, that's just all free
stuff. And both of those leagues,

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you know, you can never have
enough pitching, right But no one,

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no one, no One's minor league
rosters are full of pitchers. They're definitely

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looking. That's why I'm trying.
And it's it's easier sether than down,

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but I'm trying. In those leagues, I'm trying to keep I don't know,

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they're like thirty to thirty five niner
spots and I'm trying to go through

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third seventy five percent pitchers if I
can. But AnyWho, there is value

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in B side pitching, I think, and you know, former college hitter

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here again, I hate all college
pitchers. I hate all pictures everywhere,

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but they are necessary evil And Nate
makes a great point in your points leagues,

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and even in your rotos and your
cats leagues, a good free or

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cheaply acquired pitching roster can really free
you up. So if you get even

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a little bit of an edge from
your pitchers, even in a league that

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sort of devalues pitching, as you
know, a real league probably should,

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it's still worth your time to dive
into these hidden gems that might be stuck

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in the in the mud. So
that being said, I don't know.

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There's maybe a few guys that I'll
talk about tonight, maybe a couple that

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I probably that I roster right now. But for the most part, this

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sort of level, this sort of
depth to me, even in the in

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those deep leagues, it's more right
now at this juncture, watch list kind

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of stuff. I don't know if
I'm going to draft any of these guys

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in my upcoming draft in those leagues, maybe a few, just some guys

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keep an eye on pitching can change
so quickly, in my opinion, for

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some guys, a little tweak here
or there can make all the difference in

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the world. I was just listening
to a radio show. They were talking

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to Paul Seawall, and the Mariners
picked him up and they got him to

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throw his fastball up in his zone
and that went from potentially his pro baseball

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career being over to being a closer
in the playoffs right now. So yeah,

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I don't know Matt anything, anything
else you want to add before we

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get into the draft. As a
as a Mariners fan, go Paul Seawald

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and go d Backs tomorrow in their
Game seven. We've had some fun CS's

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this go around, and you know, I think that if we do our

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job well here in this draft,
we might find some guys that end up

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on on these kinds of rosters.
Because in my deep leagues, I generally

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take the sort of call it conventional
wisdom approach of like, you got to

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spend for your hitters, So I
definitely pay up for the performing hitters in

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the minors, in and in the
majors, and then I try and find

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off the wire these guys that might
accruse some value. And so mat league

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guys that I've traded are like your
Bryce Elders, your JP Francis who nobody

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wanted, got super late in drafts
or picked up for free off the wire,

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and then turn them into other things
and then see them have success,

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and you know JP France pits few
innings here in the game seven for the

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Houston Astros. So some of these
guys if we if we do it right,

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they might be on a CS or
a World Series team next year.

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You had brought this up a few
days ago to me, but you can,

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like potentially, I don't know if
it's quite this level of lack of

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popularity, but I drafted in a
in a first year player slash unowned prospect

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draft Justin Steele in the first round
and got a lot of grief for that,

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and not in no way, shape
or form that I think it would

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this season would turn out like it
did for him. That's an unowned,

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unrostered potential, sly young winner,
which love that. I think we're going

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to talk about him again. Very
different feeling than B side hitters anything.

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I think that's right. No,
I I think you're right. Pitching as

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wild it is. And I think
you mentioned this too when we were talking

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leading up to this, that Dynasty
players are definitely getting better. It's harder

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to find these guys that truly are
unowned or really really low down prospect lists.

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It's hard to fake hitting, like
it's really really hard to fly under

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the radar for very long and even
when even when they are not performing,

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say someone like Roman Anthony at low
A this year. You look ato the

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service numbers and traditionally people be like, who's that guy. He's not a

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prospect. But the smart Dynasty owners
were like, no, this is real.

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He is very, very good,
and he's exploded. You know,

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he's top twenty prospector basically everywhere.
That happens so rarely now for hitters,

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but I'm so on board with either
that happens all the time for pitchers.

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They are a tweak away, or
they add two miles an hour on their

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fastball because they went to drive line, or they add a new pitch and

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tack it on to the rest of
what they've got, and all of a

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sudden, you've now got a guy
like somebody who nobody thought was anything,

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and he's now performing in the major
leagues. And I think that's that's why

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it is really fun trying to identify
who might be those guys in the minors

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like that nobody's really interested in but
they're a tweak away, or maybe they've

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already made the tweak and people just
haven't caught up yet, or health away

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we were talking before. I feel
like they're both craft, but the craft

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of pitching just feels very different to
me than the craft of hitting. I

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don't know if it's because you're starting
the action or whatever it might be,

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but there seems like so many,
so many more avenues to being a successful

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pitcher than perhaps there are to being
a successful hitter. Do you think that's

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fair to say? I do,
and I think that that's something that we

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in college we definitely intuited this.
We would face a picture that we'd call

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Johnny right hander who he was just
like eighty eight to ninety two from the

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right side. It was going to
be a straight fastball, a slider,

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and a show me change. And
we saw that so many times that every

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time we got we are facing,
and that's the guy on the scouting report,

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we'd be like, hell, yes, this is exactly who we want

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to be facing. And then we
get a scouting report and it's like it's

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a lefty, it's three quarters,
it's eighty three to eighty five, and

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we're like, oh, this guy's
going to be so easy. Look at

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that velo. He's not gonna get
it by anybody. And then he chopped

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us. You know those guys because
they look weird, they're funky, they've

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got movement and deception, and it's
because they don't look like anything else.

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You know. There's a famous study
that was done a couple of years ago.

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I think, I think on Fangrafts. They looked at why are left

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handers like Clayton Kershaw, you know, one of the greatest left handers of

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all time, but stuff wise,
he's worse than Justin Berlander or worse than

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Max Sures are like throws slower,
his pitches move less, all of that,

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and so they're asking, like,
in the population of pitchers, why

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is it that even the very good
left handers always have worse stuff than the

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very good right handers, but they
perform at the same level, like their

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numbers are the same or better.
Eventual summary was it's because they look different.

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There are fewer lefties in the population, so coming up, hitters don't

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see left handers, and so left
handers can quote get away with the same

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kind of a fastball or the same
movement on a slider, but because it's

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coming from a different place, the
hitters they don't have that in their mental

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library of what pitches look like and
therefore it works better. And I think

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that that's true across all pitchers.
If you look different than Johnny right hander

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or Johnny left hander, you're going
to be more successful. And I think

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that this is still something that we're
understanding about pitch shapes better. But you

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look at an organization like the Giants, who all of their relievers threw from

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different armslots this year. All of
their starters are kind of weird, like

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they're all they're all throw from different
places. And I think they do that

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on purpose because that effect is magnified
even within a pitching staff or within a

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bullpen, and there's there's something to
that, like that being different not just

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from all the other pitchers in the
populace, but also the pictures on the

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staff that you're in, that that
helps your stuff play way up above what

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it otherwise should. Amen, Matt, I just had like I had a

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very profound sense of deja voo.
Just now, Sorry I got I got

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lost in my de Is that a
good thing? Yeah? Yeah, yeah,

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I mean it again. I think
it might just be my b siding

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soulmate, Matt, but I don't
want to dnx things just yet. I

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love it I love it, Nate, and and you definitely have the edge

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here and in pitching, both in
in your willingness to sit through all those

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dumb pictures throwing their stupid pitches,
but also you've been doing the song or

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so I think I have the first
pick in this in this too, because

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you're doing the rookie and I'm way
worse at this than you. God,

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I know who you're taking, I
know who this is. Do it.

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I was gonna take who you think
I'm gonna take, But because I know

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you're a good guy, you're not
gonna take him with your first pick,

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I don't think. But now I'm
nervously going to take my guy. So

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I'm going to go a different direction
with my first pick, and we'll definitely

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get to my guy next. But
I'm taking Kaiwai Tang with my first pick.

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Yeah, okay, all right,
this is I think this is a

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guy who is greater than the sum
of his parts. Stack cast. He's

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a Giants pitcher, starting pitcher.
He's made it up to Triple A,

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had a decent showing in Triple A. His numbers were not good there,

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and that's one reason why nobody's on
him. But they were pretty good at

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his levels. At the levels below
that stack cast, we got some stack

203
00:14:39.600 --> 00:14:41.440
caass numbers because he did pitch in
the PCL and so that was nice to

204
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dive into. Says he has a
full six pitch mix, and when it

205
00:14:46.600 --> 00:14:48.720
says six pitches, like he literally
does throw six pitches. There were a

206
00:14:48.759 --> 00:14:54.440
couple of outings where every single one
of his pitch types were at ten percent

207
00:14:54.559 --> 00:14:58.639
or above, and like four of
them were at fifteen percent or above.

208
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So that's like he's a guy out
there throwing the kitchen sink, you know,

209
00:15:03.519 --> 00:15:07.519
four seam, two seam, cutter, slider, changeup, and curveball.

210
00:15:07.759 --> 00:15:09.919
He's kind of a bigger guy,
you know, six' four,

211
00:15:11.279 --> 00:15:13.720
Like he looks maybe like two eighty, Like he's big. He's a big

212
00:15:13.799 --> 00:15:18.879
dude. Not the best on man
athlete, and he I think has some

213
00:15:18.960 --> 00:15:22.840
control problems because of that, Like
he doesn't command the ball as well as

214
00:15:22.879 --> 00:15:26.559
I normally like to see in these
B side guys. But he does a

215
00:15:26.600 --> 00:15:31.159
few things that I really like.
He was getting strikeouts a lot of them,

216
00:15:31.440 --> 00:15:35.559
like, way more than anybody I
think would have expected given his total

217
00:15:35.639 --> 00:15:41.279
lack of profile. Nobody talks about
this guy. His ownership is one percent.

218
00:15:41.320 --> 00:15:45.960
When I pulled this on fan tracks, it's I think because he doesn't

219
00:15:45.960 --> 00:15:50.279
throw hard. He is throws in
the tops out at like ninety three I

220
00:15:50.320 --> 00:15:54.279
think on the four seam, but
it's mostly like eighty nine to ninety two.

221
00:15:54.679 --> 00:15:56.879
And he's a righty and so you're
like, ah, that's not very

222
00:15:56.919 --> 00:16:02.960
good. But he punched out almost
thirteen per nine in Double A this year.

223
00:16:03.080 --> 00:16:06.600
He's twenty four, so you know, like that's age appropriate. Yeah,

224
00:16:06.639 --> 00:16:10.320
and he walked three point eight,
which is higher than I like even

225
00:16:10.519 --> 00:16:14.480
like that's but if you're punching out
almost thirteen per nine, like that's still

226
00:16:14.480 --> 00:16:18.679
a pretty good fit coming out of
that gets a decent amount of ground balls.

227
00:16:18.720 --> 00:16:21.919
Not great. At Double A it
was just forty percent, but when

228
00:16:21.919 --> 00:16:25.120
he was up in Triple A it
was at forty four, So like hovering

229
00:16:25.200 --> 00:16:27.279
right around average. But I also
don't think he gives up a ton of

230
00:16:27.360 --> 00:16:32.600
loud contact. Like I watched a
couple of his starts in Triple A when

231
00:16:32.679 --> 00:16:36.519
he gave up a bunch of runs
and they were funny. It was a

232
00:16:36.519 --> 00:16:40.600
lot of soft contact that found a
hole or a flare because a couple guys

233
00:16:40.600 --> 00:16:42.639
were on because he walked one,
hit one and thrown a wild pitch.

234
00:16:42.720 --> 00:16:48.080
Like his starts are roller coasters,
but he's got this slider and cutter and

235
00:16:48.159 --> 00:16:53.399
curveball that I kind of think he
should just pitch off. And I even

236
00:16:53.480 --> 00:16:56.399
wonder if, like dropping the four
seam all together is the way to go

237
00:16:56.480 --> 00:17:02.879
for him. But he seems like
a man step forward away from being a

238
00:17:03.039 --> 00:17:08.200
really useful fourth or fifth starter in
maybe the best part to pitch in in

239
00:17:08.480 --> 00:17:14.599
San Francisco, and he's already at
Triple A. They've got an aging rotation

240
00:17:14.839 --> 00:17:17.279
by and large there. I mean, you know, you've got Logan Webb

241
00:17:17.359 --> 00:17:21.839
and Kyle Harrison and then after that
it's a bunch of older guys that they

242
00:17:21.920 --> 00:17:25.880
might have around for another year.
And Manayah and Cobb, I think that

243
00:17:26.039 --> 00:17:29.160
they're not going to keep signing a
bunch of those guys, And depending on

244
00:17:29.200 --> 00:17:32.319
what way the big league club decides
to go, you know, they're kind

245
00:17:32.319 --> 00:17:36.559
of straddling competitiveness. And we'll see
whether they make a splash with Otani this

246
00:17:36.599 --> 00:17:38.759
offseason, like some have rumored.
I kind of think there might be a

247
00:17:38.799 --> 00:17:42.240
spot for this guy. I think
he could succeed, you know, if

248
00:17:42.319 --> 00:17:45.559
he's not given up a ton of
homers, and he's got a decent defense

249
00:17:45.640 --> 00:17:49.720
behind him. Because that defense for
the Triple A Giants I don't think was

250
00:17:49.839 --> 00:17:52.480
very good this year. Watched the
decent amount of them. He might be

251
00:17:52.880 --> 00:17:56.960
a guy and he might come up, and so again, going for some

252
00:17:56.000 --> 00:18:00.279
of this is sort of gaming our
game. Like if he comes up is

253
00:18:00.279 --> 00:18:03.480
a starter and gets some run,
I think that one percent is going to

254
00:18:03.519 --> 00:18:08.480
turn into fifteen pretty quickly. Now
he might be a relief guy there.

255
00:18:08.599 --> 00:18:12.200
Like I said, the command at
Triple A was poor, and the command

256
00:18:14.160 --> 00:18:15.839
at the end of last year was
poor as well. But I think he's

257
00:18:15.960 --> 00:18:22.359
an adjustment away, like he's tinkerer. He's got six pitches seven sometimes,

258
00:18:22.359 --> 00:18:26.359
I think, and he'll change how
he attacks hitters, like some starts he

259
00:18:26.480 --> 00:18:30.160
just uses three. Some starts he's
using all six. And that tells me

260
00:18:30.359 --> 00:18:33.559
a little bit to the point you
were talking about earlier, that he's a

261
00:18:33.559 --> 00:18:37.720
craftsman. He's trying to perfect this
craft and if he can rain in his

262
00:18:37.759 --> 00:18:41.720
command just a little bit and hone
in on these pitches that I do think

263
00:18:41.759 --> 00:18:47.079
play way up, like his cutter
and his slider I think are both actual

264
00:18:47.079 --> 00:18:49.519
plus pitches. His curveball could be, but he almost never seems to know

265
00:18:49.559 --> 00:18:52.920
where it's going, and then his
two seems okay. I think those are

266
00:18:52.960 --> 00:18:56.480
his four pitches, and if he
can hone those in and throw some strikes

267
00:18:56.519 --> 00:19:00.960
with them, this might be an
actual fourth fifth starter, kind of along

268
00:19:02.000 --> 00:19:04.599
the lines of like like a Bryce
Elder, like that kind of guy.

269
00:19:04.839 --> 00:19:10.480
You know, Bryce has better commands, but similar range of stuff and similar

270
00:19:10.519 --> 00:19:12.960
sort of large repertoire that he uses
to keep people off balance. And I

271
00:19:12.960 --> 00:19:17.440
think that that might be the kind
of guy that Kaiwaitang could be. So

272
00:19:17.440 --> 00:19:22.119
that's my first pick right on.
Very interesting. I won't lie when you

273
00:19:22.559 --> 00:19:26.039
made that pick. It took me
a minute to get that picture in my

274
00:19:26.160 --> 00:19:30.319
mind. Do you happen to be
a listener of Dynasty Sports Life? Two

275
00:19:30.400 --> 00:19:33.160
years ago or so, there was
somebody on a podcast talking about him,

276
00:19:33.759 --> 00:19:38.559
who me I was, ah,
I love it. I think he had

277
00:19:38.680 --> 00:19:42.400
knuck onto the back of like some
top one hundred pitching list that I did

278
00:19:42.599 --> 00:19:47.400
back then. What I remember,
And I won't lie, I haven't.

279
00:19:47.880 --> 00:19:51.079
I don't think I've watched him at
all the last two seasons. So at

280
00:19:51.079 --> 00:19:55.000
this point, he was still pretty
sure maybe it was Higa but I think

281
00:19:55.000 --> 00:19:57.599
he was still giant San Jose,
right, Yeah, it might have been

282
00:19:57.640 --> 00:20:03.559
high. And remember like just he
could spin it, he could spin it,

283
00:20:03.640 --> 00:20:07.279
and and I it's hard, it's
so hard to tell, especially with

284
00:20:07.440 --> 00:20:12.279
our vantage points that we get on
video, Like, but I suspected that

285
00:20:12.480 --> 00:20:18.079
even back then he was playing with
some of his spin adding subtracting someone his

286
00:20:18.160 --> 00:20:22.519
slider. Well, and that's how
statcast approaches his slider, Like, I

287
00:20:22.880 --> 00:20:26.480
think, you know, it did
look like they were calling separate pitches when

288
00:20:26.759 --> 00:20:30.519
they were when when he was out
there, But like his slider, his

289
00:20:30.559 --> 00:20:34.599
cutter, and his curveball really are
on a spectrum. And I do think

290
00:20:34.599 --> 00:20:40.759
that he manipulates that that and at
times pretty well. So that's I think

291
00:20:40.799 --> 00:20:45.119
I think your intuition from years ago
was right on. Well, that's and

292
00:20:45.160 --> 00:20:48.000
it's tricky, you know, especially
down on the lowers when you watch sometimes

293
00:20:48.039 --> 00:20:52.559
it's just inconsistent some you know,
sometimes sometimes we're just inconsistent. But some

294
00:20:52.799 --> 00:20:55.880
every once in a while you get
a guy who you're like, I think

295
00:20:55.920 --> 00:20:59.880
there's some purpose behind this. I've
written about this before and chat about this,

296
00:21:00.119 --> 00:21:03.000
and this might be kind of silly, but this is this is legit

297
00:21:03.480 --> 00:21:07.640
something that I look for on a
daily basis in minor league baseball, and

298
00:21:07.759 --> 00:21:11.920
that's that's what do I call it
FQI or some fqoh, And that's go

299
00:21:12.039 --> 00:21:18.599
six innings, give up three earned
runs or less, two walks or less,

300
00:21:18.200 --> 00:21:22.119
strikeout more than six and then you
know, don't have like a super

301
00:21:22.119 --> 00:21:30.000
crazy whip for the game or whatever. And on August thirtieth against Albuquerque,

302
00:21:30.200 --> 00:21:34.039
he went six, struck out seven, gave up four hits. I don't

303
00:21:34.079 --> 00:21:38.640
know if that's probably not his most
recent start, but some triple a success

304
00:21:38.720 --> 00:21:42.799
there for your guy. Yeah,
and it wasn't the easiest go round,

305
00:21:42.880 --> 00:21:47.880
Like we were talking about at the
outset, the PCL is a nightmare,

306
00:21:48.319 --> 00:21:52.000
and he does some things that make
that even worse, Like he threw ten

307
00:21:52.039 --> 00:21:56.559
wild pitches this year and I saw
probably five of them. They were they

308
00:21:56.599 --> 00:22:00.759
were not close. And he walks
a lot of guys. He hits a

309
00:22:00.759 --> 00:22:04.119
lot of batters like he doesn't have
the best command, and that is unusual

310
00:22:04.160 --> 00:22:07.039
for the kind of guy that I'm
going to go for in a draft like

311
00:22:07.079 --> 00:22:12.200
this. But his proximity and the
fact that he does have some plus stuff

312
00:22:12.279 --> 00:22:15.079
in there, like the slider and
the curveball, I think those are plus

313
00:22:15.119 --> 00:22:21.039
because he really does spin it.
I think that that combination might might return

314
00:22:21.240 --> 00:22:23.400
some value, and I like that. I think that's a good call to

315
00:22:23.480 --> 00:22:29.000
sort of game our game, because
I mean, any starter who gets a

316
00:22:29.039 --> 00:22:32.319
chance to start in the BIGS is
going to get a jump in in percentage.

317
00:22:32.839 --> 00:22:34.200
We'll see down the road, how
many years down the road if it

318
00:22:34.279 --> 00:22:41.079
sticks. But yeah, indeed,
all right, sang okay. I got

319
00:22:41.119 --> 00:22:44.000
nervous for a second there when I
thought you were going to take my guy,

320
00:22:44.160 --> 00:22:47.400
especially given what we were talking about. I want to hop into a

321
00:22:47.440 --> 00:22:52.000
time machine just real quick and go
back to the dark ages. Especially now

322
00:22:52.160 --> 00:22:55.799
what the Rangers are up eleven to
three in the bottom of the eighth.

323
00:22:55.799 --> 00:22:57.599
It looks like they're going to the
World Series. So I don't go back

324
00:22:57.640 --> 00:23:04.200
to twenty twenty draft and give the
Rangers some legit B siding props, because

325
00:23:04.200 --> 00:23:08.480
they were real life b siding,
especially on the prep end. Obviously,

326
00:23:08.480 --> 00:23:12.640
Evan Carter right took him in the
second round. People were scratching their heads,

327
00:23:12.680 --> 00:23:15.880
who's this guy? All that stuff? Right? Perfect Game had him

328
00:23:17.079 --> 00:23:22.279
unranked slash five hundred, tied with
like five hundred other guys at five hundred

329
00:23:22.480 --> 00:23:26.960
Thomas S. Gasey was not ranked
to Roby was ranked seventy seventh by Perfect

330
00:23:27.000 --> 00:23:32.160
Game. They took him in the
third round. Stealan McLain was four hundred

331
00:23:32.200 --> 00:23:36.279
and eleventh. They took him in
the fourth round. And then these guys

332
00:23:36.440 --> 00:23:41.720
crushed some prep undrafted free agents that
year. They signed Aiden Curry, Josh

333
00:23:41.799 --> 00:23:49.039
Steven and then my pick here,
DJ McCarty. Good one cardy is he'll

334
00:23:49.079 --> 00:23:53.799
be twenty one to start this season
from one of the minor league towns in

335
00:23:53.839 --> 00:23:59.200
California. I don't remember which one. He got in seventy four single A

336
00:24:00.240 --> 00:24:03.599
innings this past season. He's listed
at six to two and one hundred and

337
00:24:03.599 --> 00:24:08.599
forty five pounds, which is not
correct at all. If he's six to

338
00:24:08.599 --> 00:24:12.640
two, i'd probably say he's two
hundred pounds or close to mid September Fan

339
00:24:12.720 --> 00:24:18.119
tracks raster percentage was zero. Matt. We were talking about a different look,

340
00:24:18.200 --> 00:24:22.920
right getting a different look from a
pitcher, and I feel like McCarty

341
00:24:22.000 --> 00:24:25.519
drips with that. So he's right
handed pitcher. I don't know if I

342
00:24:25.599 --> 00:24:30.440
said that he's got a slider that
I think he plays with a little bit.

343
00:24:30.759 --> 00:24:33.759
We'll throw it a little bit firmer, a little bit softer, take

344
00:24:33.799 --> 00:24:37.000
a little more on and off,
but it is it's a freak pitch and

345
00:24:37.039 --> 00:24:41.640
I don't necessarily mean it in this
context like freak good, but it's just

346
00:24:41.680 --> 00:24:48.960
a freak outlier pitch. Bye bye
by the good juicy under the hood metrics

347
00:24:48.000 --> 00:24:52.359
too. I spoke with an amateur
scout with the Rangers about McCarty a little

348
00:24:52.359 --> 00:24:56.559
bit the other day, and he's
he's different, and he's got a different

349
00:24:57.240 --> 00:25:02.519
release He's got a kind of a
a different sort of like old school motion.

350
00:25:03.279 --> 00:25:06.240
I love this. This is arbitrary, it means nothing, but I

351
00:25:06.799 --> 00:25:10.559
love guys who bring the glove over
their head and their wind up. He

352
00:25:10.599 --> 00:25:14.920
does the like super extended and you
know, you hear like Tom House talk

353
00:25:14.960 --> 00:25:18.759
about how it's unnecessary and all that
stuff, but there is some functionality to

354
00:25:18.839 --> 00:25:22.680
it. If you're a guy who's
setting your grip behind your head, that

355
00:25:22.720 --> 00:25:26.119
could be some function to it.
But he like kind of reaches reaches real

356
00:25:26.200 --> 00:25:30.359
far back, and he's just he
has a different sort of release point.

357
00:25:30.559 --> 00:25:33.720
It's not even like great extension or
anything like that, but it's a different

358
00:25:33.759 --> 00:25:38.680
look. And he's got this slider
that I'm watching on at bat right now,

359
00:25:40.599 --> 00:25:44.559
first pitch, this thing is starting
at the right hand hitter's hip and

360
00:25:44.799 --> 00:25:48.440
ends up six seven inches off the
plate outside velocity wise, on the slider,

361
00:25:48.519 --> 00:25:52.920
I think you can go from high
seventies to mid eighties. I believe

362
00:25:52.599 --> 00:25:56.960
you know. I like guys with
three different speeds fast, medium, slow.

363
00:25:56.160 --> 00:26:00.559
I think Cardi's medium speed is a
big question mark to me. And

364
00:26:00.599 --> 00:26:06.359
he's got a sinker he throws throws
a couple of different varietals of fastball,

365
00:26:06.440 --> 00:26:11.200
but the sinker as well is a
very different pitch. You're not going to

366
00:26:11.279 --> 00:26:14.960
find a lot of pitches like that. Now on video, I can tell

367
00:26:14.960 --> 00:26:19.279
that it has has some good late
late movement and there's some inconsistency with his

368
00:26:19.319 --> 00:26:25.160
movement. He pitched at Augusta early
in the year. That's the best view

369
00:26:25.160 --> 00:26:29.279
you're going to get of his stuff. But it is speaking speaking to the

370
00:26:29.319 --> 00:26:33.160
amateur scout. With them, it
is different, and that's and kudos to

371
00:26:33.200 --> 00:26:37.880
the Rangers because I think I think
they're onto something. They're on the very

372
00:26:37.960 --> 00:26:41.319
much what you were talking about,
Matt, and they they're finding some pitchers

373
00:26:41.319 --> 00:26:47.359
that have some very different and unique
traits and they're valuing them and going after

374
00:26:47.440 --> 00:26:51.119
them and trying to mold. But
actually, what I like about McCarty and

375
00:26:51.160 --> 00:26:56.640
the most, he's a freaking robot. His motion. I mean he looks

376
00:26:56.680 --> 00:26:59.559
like a robot, dude. I
mean, look, it's like kind of

377
00:26:59.599 --> 00:27:04.640
awkward looking, but all that stuff, but it's so repeated and he's so

378
00:27:04.960 --> 00:27:08.640
calm and just gets the ball,
does the same thing every time, boom

379
00:27:08.680 --> 00:27:12.759
and and and you can see that
in the execution he's got. He's got

380
00:27:12.759 --> 00:27:18.240
some pitches with some wild movement and
he spots some extremely well, especially for

381
00:27:18.759 --> 00:27:22.319
you know, a guy who's just
getting into full season ball. I'm looking

382
00:27:22.319 --> 00:27:26.920
for that middle. I'm looking for
guys with the plus execution and some plus

383
00:27:26.960 --> 00:27:30.279
weapons. And when you can get
those two to marry, then you really

384
00:27:30.319 --> 00:27:33.960
got something. And out of all
the fifteen hundred arms I started with this

385
00:27:33.119 --> 00:27:37.079
process, mc cargy's my first choice. Now, I love it. I

386
00:27:37.119 --> 00:27:41.839
love it. That's a good pick. If you look at his season numbers

387
00:27:41.880 --> 00:27:47.119
and speaking with the scout, Yeah, you know, like all these guys,

388
00:27:47.400 --> 00:27:49.720
Oh, he's probably a reliever.
Yeah, well they're all probably relievers

389
00:27:49.759 --> 00:27:53.319
unless they're like really good. Yeah, and I get it. There's there's

390
00:27:53.359 --> 00:27:57.000
maybe not a medium speed, there's
maybe this kind of like outlier pitch that

391
00:27:57.160 --> 00:28:00.759
you know, maybe it plays well
and gives guys trouble for an inning there

392
00:28:00.839 --> 00:28:06.519
two, and that's fine. That's
especially this level. I'm okay with a

393
00:28:06.519 --> 00:28:10.279
little bit of question about that.
But I don't think there's a question that

394
00:28:10.640 --> 00:28:12.880
they're going to give him a go
at trying to start and that it goes.

395
00:28:12.960 --> 00:28:17.400
If you look at his game logs, that might seem a bit contradictory

396
00:28:17.400 --> 00:28:22.039
because he started off start more going
to seventy close to eighty pitches and then

397
00:28:22.039 --> 00:28:26.000
they kind of like tapered them off
a little bit. But it's like last

398
00:28:26.000 --> 00:28:29.920
fifteen games, fifteen appearance, no
excuse me. His last four games,

399
00:28:30.000 --> 00:28:33.759
his last fifteen innings one point two
ERA, point six WIP, thirteen point

400
00:28:33.759 --> 00:28:38.519
two k per nine, one point
two walk, strike percentage of sixty five

401
00:28:38.559 --> 00:28:42.119
percent, gave up one home run. He didn't give up very many home

402
00:28:42.200 --> 00:28:47.720
runs all year. You know,
all the surface levels he put up some

403
00:28:47.839 --> 00:28:53.400
gaudy looking surface level stats three eer
well that stuff K for nine over ten,

404
00:28:53.599 --> 00:28:56.079
walks were a little bit higher,
But I mean, for a guy

405
00:28:56.519 --> 00:29:02.079
with as much movement as he gets, I'm pretty impressed with his walk rate.

406
00:29:02.160 --> 00:29:06.640
To be honest, I liked all
the looks that I saw of him,

407
00:29:06.720 --> 00:29:10.279
and I don't know, I don't
know how much more gushy I can

408
00:29:10.359 --> 00:29:14.440
get on DJ McCarty here. I
think the other thing that it seems like

409
00:29:14.480 --> 00:29:18.039
his stuff does well is he keeps
it on the ground there. He's not

410
00:29:18.079 --> 00:29:22.759
giving up a ton of fly balls. He's that two seamer or the fastball

411
00:29:22.839 --> 00:29:26.240
really does seem like it's got some
good run. And that slider, you

412
00:29:26.240 --> 00:29:30.759
know, a lot of times like
a slider, if it's getting hit,

413
00:29:30.839 --> 00:29:33.519
it's getting hit in the air and
hard, and his does not seem to

414
00:29:34.000 --> 00:29:38.240
be that kind of slider. So
yeah, and on my list too,

415
00:29:38.319 --> 00:29:41.880
and I thought I thought he was
impressive as well nice And you know,

416
00:29:41.960 --> 00:29:45.240
of course all these guys will have
to see how some of this stuff plays,

417
00:29:45.240 --> 00:29:48.559
and he's got some different stuff.
But I like my chances here.

418
00:29:48.599 --> 00:29:52.039
If it goes well, it could
it could get gaudy fairly quick. I

419
00:29:52.039 --> 00:29:56.319
think, now there's some downside.
And he throws, sorry, he throws

420
00:29:56.319 --> 00:29:59.119
a fast fastball. You know,
it's funny. I talked with his scout

421
00:30:00.680 --> 00:30:03.640
for a good minute and we never
once brought up fastball velocity. And I'm

422
00:30:03.640 --> 00:30:07.640
not even totally sure what it is. I'm going to guess ninety two to

423
00:30:07.720 --> 00:30:11.240
ninety four. I don't know.
But the way that just from the video,

424
00:30:11.400 --> 00:30:14.599
the way that it looks, the
way that it plays, I don't

425
00:30:14.599 --> 00:30:18.960
think it has to be really hard
to be effective. Obviously, if it

426
00:30:18.039 --> 00:30:22.200
is really hard, even better,
right. I don't like that he has

427
00:30:22.240 --> 00:30:23.920
no change up. He didn't throw
one change up all year, So,

428
00:30:25.000 --> 00:30:27.519
like I said, maybe he does
just end up as this kind of like

429
00:30:27.599 --> 00:30:33.119
weirdo reliever. But for my B
side, draft DJ McCarty. Now we're

430
00:30:33.160 --> 00:30:37.079
going up to hi A, you
know, because if there's one ding on

431
00:30:37.160 --> 00:30:42.839
a picture like McCarty, it's that
he was good, not great at a

432
00:30:42.880 --> 00:30:48.160
lower level. And as things as
you rise, like you see this trend

433
00:30:48.200 --> 00:30:52.640
when you look over guy's numbers and
you run any analysis of it, is

434
00:30:52.799 --> 00:30:56.400
your strikeouts go down, your walks
go up, your ground balls go down.

435
00:30:57.200 --> 00:31:00.799
As the hitters get better, right, like the hitters start dominating the

436
00:31:00.799 --> 00:31:04.400
pitchers, you know, because pitching
is it's hard. I feel for those

437
00:31:04.400 --> 00:31:11.319
poor bastards on the mound. But
this guy that I'm picking next, Nate

438
00:31:11.400 --> 00:31:17.920
knows my deep abiding love for Red
Van Scooter read Van Scooter, and he

439
00:31:17.960 --> 00:31:21.359
spells his name funny, but I'm
pretty sure it's Van Scooter. That's how

440
00:31:21.400 --> 00:31:22.799
you say it. When I first
read his name, I was like,

441
00:31:22.880 --> 00:31:26.000
Van Scooter, van Scotter like,
but no, I think it's read van

442
00:31:26.039 --> 00:31:30.559
Scooter. He is with the Mariners, one of my favorite teams, and

443
00:31:30.880 --> 00:31:37.200
this year he spent the full year
at at High for them. He was

444
00:31:37.720 --> 00:31:44.519
a twenty twenty two draft pick,
fifth rounder out of college. He's just

445
00:31:44.599 --> 00:31:48.119
one of these guys that I have
a lot of respect for from when I

446
00:31:48.119 --> 00:31:52.200
played. These were the guys,
especially early in my career. I'd play

447
00:31:52.240 --> 00:31:56.799
against lefties and occasional rightings, and
this was the kind of guy that I

448
00:31:56.839 --> 00:32:00.000
had to face. I was telling
Nate at the as we're getting set up,

449
00:32:00.079 --> 00:32:05.599
like having a different look and having
to deal with a pitcher that actually

450
00:32:05.640 --> 00:32:08.119
knew how to pitch, that had
three or four pitches, could command them

451
00:32:08.119 --> 00:32:13.880
to both sides of the plate.
It made these really good hitters look terrible

452
00:32:14.039 --> 00:32:17.960
because it was so different to me. I don't think any pitcher in the

453
00:32:19.000 --> 00:32:23.359
minor leagues was more like that than
Read Van Scooter. You know, compare

454
00:32:23.440 --> 00:32:29.960
him to someone like a mayor who
at a mazer rather who has really good

455
00:32:30.000 --> 00:32:35.759
command? Right, this guy might
have the best command in the minors given

456
00:32:35.799 --> 00:32:38.680
the stuff. He walked two point
two per nine, struck out nine point

457
00:32:38.799 --> 00:32:43.400
eight six and I give him that
eighty six and ran a two point nine

458
00:32:43.400 --> 00:32:45.920
to four FIP. And yeah,
he's a college arm, he's advanced,

459
00:32:45.920 --> 00:32:52.640
he's a lefty with some deception.
But he dominated hi A. And there

460
00:32:52.640 --> 00:32:55.559
are some pitchers parks in that league, you know, Everett, his home

461
00:32:55.599 --> 00:33:00.400
park was not an easy place to
pitch. Spokane not an easy place to

462
00:33:00.440 --> 00:33:05.240
pitch. Even the parks that play
a little more neutral in that in that

463
00:33:05.359 --> 00:33:12.119
league, like Hillsborough and Eugene still
not easy. It's not like this was

464
00:33:12.160 --> 00:33:15.599
a It's not like this was the
Sally League where half the parks are really

465
00:33:15.640 --> 00:33:20.039
really good to pitch in and then
you've got Ashville or whatever. You know,

466
00:33:20.119 --> 00:33:23.039
this is like this is the big
boy. It's it's tough there.

467
00:33:23.079 --> 00:33:27.960
And there were some good players around
that league throughout the year. And he

468
00:33:28.079 --> 00:33:30.880
threw one hundred and forty three and
a third innings, So I love that.

469
00:33:31.240 --> 00:33:35.559
Like, again, you want to
talk about predictors for future success.

470
00:33:35.720 --> 00:33:38.440
If you throw a lot of innings. A. That means the organization believes

471
00:33:38.440 --> 00:33:42.960
in you as a starter. B. You've got a floor to build on

472
00:33:43.039 --> 00:33:45.480
the next year. You know the
fact that he's at high A already,

473
00:33:45.759 --> 00:33:50.680
He's going to start next year at
double A for sure, and he might

474
00:33:50.799 --> 00:33:54.079
pitch there the whole year. And
I gotta be honest, like, if

475
00:33:54.119 --> 00:33:59.359
this, if they're if the Mariners
deal with injuries and they're starting rotation next

476
00:33:59.440 --> 00:34:02.359
year, the Evan Scooter might be
their pick, Like he might be the

477
00:34:02.359 --> 00:34:07.319
guy who was pitching for the Mariners
next year. You look at the guys

478
00:34:07.319 --> 00:34:10.039
that they've given a lot of innings
to over the past years, like Marco

479
00:34:10.079 --> 00:34:15.199
Gonzalez, they share a lot of
the same traits, lefties with good command,

480
00:34:15.760 --> 00:34:17.880
not plus stuff. For Van Scooter, you know, he's kind of

481
00:34:17.880 --> 00:34:22.599
a three quarter slot, maybe even
a touch lower from the left side.

482
00:34:22.719 --> 00:34:24.840
His fastball doesn't look like it has
a ton of run, but certainly some

483
00:34:25.000 --> 00:34:29.760
movement, and he manipulates it around
the zone enough that he'll get whiffs up

484
00:34:29.840 --> 00:34:32.440
in the zone. He'll get strikes
taken on the inside part of the plate

485
00:34:32.519 --> 00:34:37.199
because it froze a right handed hitter. But his money pitch is his slider.

486
00:34:37.440 --> 00:34:39.679
And he manipulates the spin on this
a bit. I think like it

487
00:34:39.760 --> 00:34:44.320
might bleed into his curveball a little
bit, certainly in the broadcast, as

488
00:34:44.400 --> 00:34:47.719
Nate knows for this, particularly in
the Northwest League, it's tough. They

489
00:34:47.760 --> 00:34:52.480
don't have velocity, and a lot
of the angles are pretty tough. So

490
00:34:52.559 --> 00:34:53.760
there were times when I'm like,
Ah, is that a slider or is

491
00:34:53.760 --> 00:34:57.760
that his curveball? So they can
bleed into each other a little bit.

492
00:34:58.119 --> 00:35:02.039
But both are good, Both get
it strike swings and misses, tons of

493
00:35:02.039 --> 00:35:06.039
ground balls from both of them.
I think he ran, yeah, fifty

494
00:35:06.119 --> 00:35:09.400
seven point five percent ground ball rate. That's not the highest in the minor

495
00:35:09.480 --> 00:35:13.480
leagues, but for anyone over one
hundred and twenty innings, I think it

496
00:35:13.559 --> 00:35:16.519
was in the top five. And
he didn't walk anybody, and he still

497
00:35:16.559 --> 00:35:22.880
was getting people to wh like this
to me is a dream kind of pitcher.

498
00:35:22.960 --> 00:35:25.400
Like in all the ways that I
was hedging with Tang like he's at

499
00:35:25.400 --> 00:35:30.519
a higher level. There's more to
work on here. I'm a full believer

500
00:35:30.679 --> 00:35:34.679
that Van Scooter could pitch in the
major leagues next year. He might not

501
00:35:34.760 --> 00:35:37.719
be great, but he's got more
in common with a guy like justin Steel

502
00:35:38.079 --> 00:35:43.119
than you think. And again,
like I brought him up to some of

503
00:35:43.519 --> 00:35:46.519
my contacts in the game, and
the Mariners really like him. A couple

504
00:35:46.519 --> 00:35:50.800
of my friends that work for the
Mariners are like, they gave him Pitcher

505
00:35:50.800 --> 00:35:53.679
of the Year for their organization,
and this is an organization that has some

506
00:35:53.840 --> 00:36:00.480
pretty good guys, the guys that
I think there's more helium on. But

507
00:36:00.679 --> 00:36:05.000
for me, Van Scooter is maybe
my single favorite pitcher that I saw this

508
00:36:05.119 --> 00:36:08.400
year in the minor leagues, and
I think he's one that you PLoP him

509
00:36:08.400 --> 00:36:13.000
down in the big leagues and he's
gonna pound the zone, he's gonna hit

510
00:36:13.039 --> 00:36:15.280
the edges, he's going to get
weak ground balls, and he's just a

511
00:36:15.320 --> 00:36:21.119
competitor too, Like the guy pitched
them to the title. I'm pretty sure

512
00:36:21.119 --> 00:36:24.760
Everett won the Northwest League title this
year, and I think he pitched their

513
00:36:24.800 --> 00:36:30.119
first game there and did great.
Like he's he is just like you were

514
00:36:30.159 --> 00:36:34.800
gushing over McCarty, like Van Scooter
is my guy, Like he is someone

515
00:36:34.840 --> 00:36:37.199
that popped on a couple of leader
boards early in the year. I was

516
00:36:37.239 --> 00:36:39.199
like, who is this guy.
I've literally never heard of him, and

517
00:36:39.239 --> 00:36:45.039
he is chopping everybody and yeah,
so I'm taking with my pick too,

518
00:36:45.039 --> 00:36:47.800
but really he's number one in my
heart. He's also got a great mustache

519
00:36:47.840 --> 00:36:51.960
too, so he brings a little
bit of flair. He's a really good

520
00:36:52.440 --> 00:36:59.719
pitcher. Like sometimes this gets a
little lost in my opinion in the Dynasty

521
00:36:59.760 --> 00:37:06.119
world. Like he he knows how
to optimize what he's working with. How

522
00:37:06.119 --> 00:37:08.480
many f QoS do you think Van
Scuter had this year. I'm gonna guess

523
00:37:08.519 --> 00:37:14.719
ten eight and that's close, yeah, very close. And that's uh,

524
00:37:15.079 --> 00:37:19.000
folks, don't get close to that. Yeah, I'm telling you. Like

525
00:37:19.079 --> 00:37:22.000
this guy, it was just metronomic
the way that he did it. Just

526
00:37:22.119 --> 00:37:24.239
every time out. You knew that
he was going to be in the mix.

527
00:37:24.360 --> 00:37:28.039
And like when he gets pulled in
the middle of an inning, he's

528
00:37:28.079 --> 00:37:30.559
pissed. He's like, I've got
this, Like nobody's gonna get to me.

529
00:37:30.880 --> 00:37:35.679
He didn't have blow ups this year, like because he didn't walk anybody,

530
00:37:35.760 --> 00:37:38.960
and when he did or he hit
a batter like double play next next

531
00:37:38.960 --> 00:37:43.039
play, you know, and he
had a good infield behind him. Coley

532
00:37:43.039 --> 00:37:45.840
Young plays pretty good shortstop and they're
they're AFO could run it down a little

533
00:37:45.840 --> 00:37:49.880
bit. So you know, he
had some defensive help too, But man,

534
00:37:50.320 --> 00:37:53.280
I'm on it like this guy,
I think he's gonna chop in double

535
00:37:53.320 --> 00:37:58.679
A next year because that's that's a
pretty good pitchers league down there at Arkansas.

536
00:37:58.920 --> 00:38:00.559
Whether they bring him up to the
PCL like that, Mariners kind of

537
00:38:00.599 --> 00:38:05.360
generally don't do that, or especially
with their top guys like Wu Miller.

538
00:38:05.960 --> 00:38:08.679
I guess Miller pitched a little bit
in the PCL this year before he came

539
00:38:08.760 --> 00:38:12.440
up. But Wu was double A
only, Kirby was w double A.

540
00:38:12.559 --> 00:38:15.719
Only Gilbert was double A only.
Yeah, so you know they've got a

541
00:38:15.760 --> 00:38:19.239
ton of pitchers. So again,
most likely he's gonna spend the whole year

542
00:38:19.320 --> 00:38:22.719
in double A and maybe maybe the
hitters are going to catch up to him

543
00:38:22.719 --> 00:38:27.039
and he's gonna see some stuff regress. I'm betting that he runs almost the

544
00:38:27.079 --> 00:38:30.360
same line next year, Like it's
gonna be nine, it's gonna be like

545
00:38:30.440 --> 00:38:32.840
just under nine k per nine.
He's not gonna walk anybody. It's gonna

546
00:38:32.840 --> 00:38:37.599
be two five walks per nine.
It's gonna be fifty four percent ground balls,

547
00:38:37.639 --> 00:38:39.719
like it's gonna be this line,
but just the next level up,

548
00:38:40.039 --> 00:38:45.360
and that double A line translates pretty
freaking well to the to the big So

549
00:38:45.559 --> 00:38:49.639
yeah, now, guys like this, at least for me, the biggest

550
00:38:49.719 --> 00:38:52.639
question is always all right, well, how is your stuff going to play

551
00:38:52.639 --> 00:38:57.119
in the zone, you know as
you move up? And I think,

552
00:38:57.280 --> 00:39:01.079
uh, it's just because we're you
know, under the fantasy context. Here,

553
00:39:01.719 --> 00:39:06.280
a lot of the pictures that I
really like a lot that I want

554
00:39:06.320 --> 00:39:09.559
to marry, so to speak,
guys that are aggressive in the zone right

555
00:39:10.000 --> 00:39:15.719
and not always necessarily have this big
overpowering stuff. Point being, there are

556
00:39:15.760 --> 00:39:22.079
also guys that I don't like right
out of the gates in fantasy because chances

557
00:39:22.119 --> 00:39:24.199
are they're gonna get their tits with
for a while until they learn how to

558
00:39:24.559 --> 00:39:29.400
pitch aggressively like that against the best
hitters in the world. So it'll be

559
00:39:29.400 --> 00:39:34.159
interesting to see with him as he
moves up here totally, and I think

560
00:39:34.199 --> 00:39:37.239
that like, this is a guy
that you look at his fastball and you're

561
00:39:37.280 --> 00:39:39.800
gonna see some velocity readings when he's
up at double A that next year,

562
00:39:39.920 --> 00:39:44.480
and it's not going to jump off
the page. I think the scouts that

563
00:39:44.519 --> 00:39:46.760
I talked to, they said that
he was like topping out at ninety one

564
00:39:46.880 --> 00:39:51.360
ninety two maybe, but it was
mostly like up eighties to low nineties.

565
00:39:51.519 --> 00:39:55.079
I think the way he's got sort
of a flat approach angle with his arm,

566
00:39:55.119 --> 00:39:59.400
because it's sort of that three quarter
he might throw a two seam and

567
00:39:59.480 --> 00:40:04.840
a force. I think I've seen
both out of him, and he I

568
00:40:05.239 --> 00:40:07.639
was encouraged by the kinds of guys
that he was getting to with too.

569
00:40:07.719 --> 00:40:12.440
It wasn't like he was feasting on
bad hitters. He was really taking advantage

570
00:40:12.480 --> 00:40:15.440
of guys that had really good years
in the Northwest League, and he made

571
00:40:15.519 --> 00:40:17.719
him look silly. Love it.
And You're lucky that I'm a nice guy

572
00:40:17.719 --> 00:40:21.280
because you passed on him on the
first pick, I would I should have

573
00:40:21.320 --> 00:40:25.800
jumped on that, but you could
articulate any But yeah, all right,

574
00:40:27.119 --> 00:40:30.400
so my second pick, I want
to stretch. This is not a homer

575
00:40:30.480 --> 00:40:35.639
pick. I was a fan of
Tyler Schweitzer. I mean, not that

576
00:40:35.679 --> 00:40:39.800
I'm a huge follower of college baseball
or amateurs these days, but Schweitzer was

577
00:40:39.840 --> 00:40:45.239
a guy that got my attention in
college. It just so happened that the

578
00:40:45.280 --> 00:40:50.519
White Sox drafted him. It just
so happens that I wasn't really thrilled about

579
00:40:50.519 --> 00:40:53.800
that, But now I think,
But now I think I might be a

580
00:40:53.840 --> 00:41:00.440
little bit. It might be oddly
a weird fit Tyler Schweitzer at not super

581
00:41:00.480 --> 00:41:05.400
big six foot, I think,
you know, and like sort of a

582
00:41:06.280 --> 00:41:09.760
skinny athletic six foot. I don't
know what they what do they have them

583
00:41:09.800 --> 00:41:16.480
listed at? There we go.
This is a type that dynasty players,

584
00:41:16.639 --> 00:41:22.199
I think can let slip through the
cracks sometimes to folks like us. Last

585
00:41:22.239 --> 00:41:25.840
I checked was zero percent rostered.
He'll be twenty three next season. He

586
00:41:27.000 --> 00:41:30.800
was a fifth round choice, like
I said, out of ball State twenty

587
00:41:30.880 --> 00:41:36.519
twenty two draft. He got in
sixty eight A ball innings and forty high

588
00:41:36.599 --> 00:41:39.400
A innings this last season, you
know, his amateur career. It was

589
00:41:39.400 --> 00:41:43.039
really like kind of his last season
that he came on and he was he

590
00:41:43.159 --> 00:41:46.679
was billed as the command guy,
like you said prior, some of all

591
00:41:46.719 --> 00:41:51.199
its parts, right, some of
all his parts sort of guy. But

592
00:41:51.280 --> 00:41:55.639
he went on the developmental list three
times this season. And I know there's

593
00:41:55.960 --> 00:42:00.840
we've had some chatter in the dugout
and I don't This checks out to me

594
00:42:00.719 --> 00:42:05.039
in several different ways, But I
think the White Sox like the tinker with

595
00:42:05.119 --> 00:42:08.199
guys. But you know, to
go on the developmental list. Schweitzer has

596
00:42:08.239 --> 00:42:13.159
to agree to it, and he
did, and I think he came back,

597
00:42:13.239 --> 00:42:15.280
at least this last time, with
a little bit more teeth on the

598
00:42:15.280 --> 00:42:22.800
fastball, perhaps even the whole arsenal. His fastball is probably fits ninety two

599
00:42:22.920 --> 00:42:27.119
ninety three, but there you can
get up there three four more clicks from

600
00:42:27.119 --> 00:42:30.280
time to time. I don't know
if that was really going on at ball

601
00:42:30.400 --> 00:42:34.280
State. So one hundred and seven
innings this year, which is nice,

602
00:42:34.559 --> 00:42:37.480
you know. I think the way, especially that system too. I think

603
00:42:37.519 --> 00:42:42.400
Schweitzer is going to get a chance
to be a starter, perhaps relatively soon,

604
00:42:42.480 --> 00:42:45.199
perhaps before he's even ready, perhaps
out of desperation. They had like

605
00:42:45.280 --> 00:42:49.480
a eer just under four, you
know, surface number stuff, not too

606
00:42:49.519 --> 00:42:52.000
crazy, ten k for nine walks
for a little bit higher. But mind

607
00:42:52.039 --> 00:42:55.000
you, all three times when he
came back there was I think this is

608
00:42:55.039 --> 00:42:59.239
a guy working with a little bit
different tools than he came in with.

609
00:42:59.360 --> 00:43:02.639
And he's kind of like a fifties
across the board guy with the full starter's

610
00:43:02.719 --> 00:43:08.199
mix, but like a fifty five
sixty command coming out of college grade.

611
00:43:08.400 --> 00:43:12.280
Then you know, I'm not a
huge like grade guy. I thought it

612
00:43:12.400 --> 00:43:16.280
interesting watching him like man this doesn't
look this doesn't look quite like a super

613
00:43:16.360 --> 00:43:21.000
high command guy. But he's also
I would say, like the level of

614
00:43:21.400 --> 00:43:25.039
difficulty of his sequencing and what he
was working with is higher the most.

615
00:43:25.679 --> 00:43:29.800
But this is very much a guy
that I think can be a major league

616
00:43:29.840 --> 00:43:32.960
starter. He's got all the tools. I want to see the execution get

617
00:43:34.000 --> 00:43:37.280
a little bit better with perhaps his
shinier tools. But you know, a

618
00:43:37.360 --> 00:43:40.199
lefty like you were saying that these
stuff doesn't always have to be the most

619
00:43:40.239 --> 00:43:45.639
eye popping. His splitter good.
He was actually a bit better versus righties,

620
00:43:45.840 --> 00:43:47.239
which is nice to see from lefty. Like I said, he's got

621
00:43:47.239 --> 00:43:51.239
a curveball, slider change. I
think he knows that he used them fairly

622
00:43:51.280 --> 00:43:53.920
well, can locate them fairly well. And you know, one thing that

623
00:43:53.960 --> 00:43:57.639
we don't really talk about a whole
lot, or at least I don't hear

624
00:43:57.679 --> 00:44:00.440
folks talking about when you say,
like a guy's guy. You know,

625
00:44:00.480 --> 00:44:04.599
he's got a really good slider And
this is the great part of video to

626
00:44:04.639 --> 00:44:09.800
me, But like, is the
slider great just like in one spot or

627
00:44:10.079 --> 00:44:14.159
is there a couple of spots?
Can you hit it? Can you execute

628
00:44:14.159 --> 00:44:17.320
it there? Often? So like
you know, within one pitch. I

629
00:44:17.320 --> 00:44:22.400
feel like you've got several different pitches, right, Not everyone has all three

630
00:44:22.480 --> 00:44:25.199
of them in there that if that
makes sense. But when I watch him,

631
00:44:27.159 --> 00:44:30.519
I liked the theory of what he's
trying to execute. Maybe that's the

632
00:44:30.519 --> 00:44:32.159
best way to put it, and
I think he can get You're not worried

633
00:44:32.199 --> 00:44:37.880
about the other pitchers sort of ahead
of him in the pecking order and the

634
00:44:37.519 --> 00:44:42.840
White Sox system. And I think
for me, you answered the question that

635
00:44:42.920 --> 00:44:46.320
I had because I didn't watch any
of his stuff because I saw that walk

636
00:44:46.400 --> 00:44:50.199
number and I was kind of scared
off, you know, given where he

637
00:44:50.360 --> 00:44:52.400
was. But it sounds like he
had stuff to work on, and you

638
00:44:52.400 --> 00:44:59.360
think he can leaplog leapfrog guys like
Mana or Nistrini in that system most definitely.

639
00:44:59.559 --> 00:45:04.760
I mean, am I gonna bet
that he does? Yeah? Well,

640
00:45:04.800 --> 00:45:08.280
I don't know about the streaming I'm
not a fan of. Maybe it's

641
00:45:08.280 --> 00:45:13.440
the best to answer your question.
Do I think that too much talent is

642
00:45:13.480 --> 00:45:15.159
gonna get in the way of his
opportunity? No, I do not.

643
00:45:16.519 --> 00:45:20.639
That's a good way to put it. Yeah, Like I said, I

644
00:45:20.679 --> 00:45:23.239
think there's a lot of tweaking and
stuff going on here, But like his

645
00:45:23.320 --> 00:45:28.079
last seven starts thirty innings, he
had a three e R O a e

646
00:45:28.280 --> 00:45:34.239
R A one point three whip and
the walks were five point four. I

647
00:45:34.280 --> 00:45:38.079
mean his whole five point four per
nine. I mean that's that's two three

648
00:45:38.119 --> 00:45:44.159
more walks per nine than the rest
of his season. Like I said,

649
00:45:44.199 --> 00:45:47.760
I'm and I could be wrong,
but I'm I'm banking some of the high

650
00:45:47.840 --> 00:45:52.599
walk rates on on some changes and
some new things going on with Schweitzer.

651
00:45:53.199 --> 00:45:59.880
Back to me for my third pick, I'm gonna go to a guy in

652
00:46:00.239 --> 00:46:06.760
the newly defeated Houston Astros system.
If you saw they just they just lost.

653
00:46:07.280 --> 00:46:10.800
Whoa, whoa, Okay, Astros. This is I'm super curious because

654
00:46:10.840 --> 00:46:15.280
there are so many b side type
guys in the Astros system. In my

655
00:46:15.360 --> 00:46:19.440
opinion, there are, and a
few of them are on my list.

656
00:46:19.480 --> 00:46:23.280
I watched a lot of Astro's arms
and you know, like I mentioned earlier,

657
00:46:23.320 --> 00:46:30.320
I'm reading Evandrelic's book that winning fixes
everything about the Astros. Fascinating read.

658
00:46:30.440 --> 00:46:35.119
But you definitely like there were a
lot of smart people there who have

659
00:46:35.159 --> 00:46:38.880
gone on to other places too.
Yeah, And one of the things that

660
00:46:39.000 --> 00:46:44.800
I think they're way ahead of the
game on is their minor league development.

661
00:46:44.880 --> 00:46:50.360
I think they really are doing something
right here. Every year the big publications

662
00:46:50.360 --> 00:46:53.440
are like they don't have a system
anymore. They traded them all they have

663
00:46:53.639 --> 00:46:57.440
like two guys and they're not any
good, and then they promote them and

664
00:46:57.599 --> 00:47:00.519
like they're a useful big leaguer.
You know McCormick, Like who was he

665
00:47:00.920 --> 00:47:07.440
And he's like a two win center
fielder that they got for nothing. And

666
00:47:07.760 --> 00:47:09.880
they're the worst. They don't know
what they're doing. They're awful. Yeah,

667
00:47:09.880 --> 00:47:14.519
they're the worst. I mean they
are the worst, Like they cheaters,

668
00:47:14.559 --> 00:47:16.280
and they seem pretty terrible in lots
of other ways. But they are

669
00:47:16.280 --> 00:47:20.639
smart, and I think following some
of the things that they're doing might prove

670
00:47:20.719 --> 00:47:24.199
useful for dynasty owners. So I'm
going to go with right hander Tyler Gilfoyle.

671
00:47:24.440 --> 00:47:30.960
Tyler was college right hander for the
Atlantic Sun Lipscomb. For Lipscomb and

672
00:47:31.039 --> 00:47:35.920
Lipscomb actually popped up on a few
of my B side selections as we're prepping

673
00:47:36.000 --> 00:47:40.920
for some of the team by team
stuff like surprisingly good little program they've got

674
00:47:40.960 --> 00:47:45.800
there. He left in twenty twenty
one after twenty one to go to Kentucky,

675
00:47:45.840 --> 00:47:50.119
So he spent a season in the
SEC, but he was a reliever

676
00:47:50.440 --> 00:47:52.599
the whole time his whole college career
at Kentucky. He sort of is like

677
00:47:52.599 --> 00:47:57.559
a fireman reliever. You know.
He threw fifty some innings over twenty one

678
00:47:57.639 --> 00:48:00.039
games, so like a lot of
those obviously were multi in outings, and

679
00:48:00.079 --> 00:48:05.360
he was good, I would say, like solid number, solid k per

680
00:48:05.440 --> 00:48:07.920
nine, little bit of a walk
problem, you know, pretty good at

681
00:48:08.000 --> 00:48:13.079
Kentucky. I guess he got his
walks down to three per nine, but

682
00:48:13.480 --> 00:48:16.159
six before that four and a half
six, Like he never won that.

683
00:48:16.199 --> 00:48:20.760
You would say, has has good
control. And again he's doing this in

684
00:48:20.800 --> 00:48:24.639
short stints, like he's probably max
efforting it. Eighth rounder in twenty twenty

685
00:48:24.639 --> 00:48:30.639
two. Eighth rounder, So two
hundred and fifty two picks went before this

686
00:48:30.719 --> 00:48:35.159
guy, and he's my third pick
in this this little draft. His current

687
00:48:35.199 --> 00:48:39.000
ownership on fan tracks is one percent. He was at High A this year.

688
00:48:39.400 --> 00:48:45.599
I think Houston have something here,
like they turned this closer into a

689
00:48:45.639 --> 00:48:50.079
starter. And my first look at
him, I was like, who in

690
00:48:50.159 --> 00:48:54.480
the f is this guy? Because
it was you know, like maybe ninety

691
00:48:54.559 --> 00:49:00.280
one to five on the fastball,
so not overpowering. But guy, we're

692
00:49:00.320 --> 00:49:04.800
just getting blown away by it.
So I suspect I don't have confirmation on

693
00:49:04.840 --> 00:49:08.199
this, but I suspect that there
are some good looking traits. He's a

694
00:49:08.239 --> 00:49:12.960
big guy, you know, he's
six' five, I think six'

695
00:49:13.000 --> 00:49:15.760
four. They have n't listed,
but he looks big, kind of looks

696
00:49:15.800 --> 00:49:21.000
like he is overpowering these guys.
I also think I read that in college

697
00:49:21.039 --> 00:49:24.599
he was mostly fastball, curveball,
but I think Houston have changed that breaking

698
00:49:24.599 --> 00:49:30.840
ball into a slider and it's nasty. Dives it down in underneath lefties bats

699
00:49:30.840 --> 00:49:35.320
and they aren't close. He gets
with in and out of the zone to

700
00:49:35.480 --> 00:49:42.079
Righty's. Really was impressed with how
he's working on his change up, like

701
00:49:42.239 --> 00:49:45.400
he actively. There was one start
that I watched where he started an inning

702
00:49:45.960 --> 00:49:50.119
with a change up, left it
over the plate, gave up a hit

703
00:49:50.239 --> 00:49:52.960
through another change up, next pitch, through another change up, missed off

704
00:49:53.000 --> 00:49:55.960
the plate, in through another change
up, three in a row, gave

705
00:49:57.039 --> 00:50:00.760
up a hit. So given up
two hits three pitch, and he'd missed

706
00:50:00.760 --> 00:50:04.559
a phone. So bad execution on
the change up. He kept going back

707
00:50:04.559 --> 00:50:07.440
to it that inning and got a
double play and a strikeout. I think

708
00:50:07.440 --> 00:50:10.119
the strikeout was on the slider,
but he threw a change up from that

709
00:50:10.239 --> 00:50:14.280
bat, and I was like,
that's a guy to go back to our

710
00:50:14.320 --> 00:50:17.000
earlier point, that is working on
how to be a starter. Like these

711
00:50:17.000 --> 00:50:21.719
were right on right changeups that he
didn't need to throw. He's got a

712
00:50:21.719 --> 00:50:25.199
good fastball, okay, command,
it's not great yet, he's got four

713
00:50:25.280 --> 00:50:31.440
pitches and he was throwing his worst
one in important innings because he was working

714
00:50:31.440 --> 00:50:35.360
on it. And I think that
that was a sign. It's a sign

715
00:50:35.440 --> 00:50:39.239
of he's he's a guy who is
still growing into being a starter. So

716
00:50:39.400 --> 00:50:45.320
all those caveats right, the guy
dominated Hi a for the Astros. And

717
00:50:45.440 --> 00:50:51.400
if you know the high Astros play
where and is that a good place to

718
00:50:51.480 --> 00:50:55.719
pitch? I've heard that No,
No, it is one of the very

719
00:50:55.760 --> 00:51:00.559
worst places outside of the PCL to
pitch. And he over thirteen per nine,

720
00:51:00.880 --> 00:51:04.840
walked three point seven per nine,
so a little higher than you'd like,

721
00:51:04.960 --> 00:51:07.360
but not awful. Again, if
you're striking out more than thirteen per

722
00:51:07.440 --> 00:51:12.159
nine, give up less than a
homer per nine eight point three three point

723
00:51:12.159 --> 00:51:16.360
fifty babbep and he's still put up
a four or five Era four, five

724
00:51:16.480 --> 00:51:22.360
seven, But it's FIP three three
six and none of these are park adjusted,

725
00:51:22.599 --> 00:51:25.400
and I'm pretty sure that if you
park adjust those things like this is

726
00:51:25.559 --> 00:51:31.559
a ridiculously good pitching line for where
he was. That was just like his

727
00:51:31.639 --> 00:51:37.599
last few starts. He also dominated
at low A for Houston. He started

728
00:51:38.199 --> 00:51:42.480
not every game. I think they
were piggybacking him early in the season,

729
00:51:42.519 --> 00:51:44.920
but towards the end of the year
he was starting more often than not.

730
00:51:45.840 --> 00:51:50.679
Still through eighty four innings on the
year, so not as much as like

731
00:51:50.719 --> 00:51:53.159
a guy like Van Scooter, but
there's a platform there and I think he's

732
00:51:53.159 --> 00:51:59.559
shown enough to continue success. But
I'm way into it. I think there's

733
00:51:59.719 --> 00:52:02.559
there's still giving him run as a
starter. I think he, like Van

734
00:52:02.599 --> 00:52:07.159
Scooter, is going to end up
in double A next year. And I

735
00:52:07.239 --> 00:52:12.599
am really really impressed with I love
right on right change ups. I think

736
00:52:12.639 --> 00:52:16.760
it's a super underutilized pitch. I
love that he throws them in weird counts

737
00:52:16.960 --> 00:52:21.400
more than a lot of the guys
that I evaluated, But like that we're

738
00:52:21.440 --> 00:52:23.719
flying under the radar. His stuff
seems good, like he runs it up

739
00:52:23.719 --> 00:52:27.519
to ninety five and the fastball is
good, you know, it looks like

740
00:52:27.559 --> 00:52:30.519
it's got that kind of ride that
you want to see. His slider is

741
00:52:30.559 --> 00:52:35.239
a swing and Mitch pitch, and
he's still working on a change up and

742
00:52:35.280 --> 00:52:38.360
his kurb ball that he'll show sometimes. I'm I'm way in. I think

743
00:52:38.400 --> 00:52:43.880
Tyler Gilfoyle is going to be a
guy, and maybe more than even my

744
00:52:43.920 --> 00:52:46.480
first two picks. Like, I
think he's one that the strikeouts might stay

745
00:52:46.519 --> 00:52:51.000
there, like that he as the
levels go up, I think he might

746
00:52:51.079 --> 00:52:54.119
keep punching guys out. And so
it's about canny hone it in on the

747
00:52:54.679 --> 00:52:58.039
walks a little bit, and he's
going to give up some homers. He

748
00:52:58.079 --> 00:53:00.679
hasn't up to this point, but
he's the kind of guy that, like

749
00:53:00.760 --> 00:53:01.960
he's going to pitch at the top
of the zone, He's going to give

750
00:53:02.039 --> 00:53:05.440
up a lot of fly balls.
I think he is going to give up

751
00:53:05.440 --> 00:53:09.159
some homers as he raises, as
he rises in the ranks. But I'm

752
00:53:09.239 --> 00:53:13.199
kind of buying it. I think
that there's a real picture here, and

753
00:53:13.639 --> 00:53:16.239
he's again one percent. Nobody owns
him in any of my leagues, Like,

754
00:53:16.440 --> 00:53:21.679
but he's someone that I'm targeting pretty
early on in in my drafts this

755
00:53:21.719 --> 00:53:24.039
offseason. Yeah, that's a that's
a great call, Matt, for sure.

756
00:53:24.400 --> 00:53:28.159
I've been ready for this draft for
several weeks now and it's been a

757
00:53:28.159 --> 00:53:30.960
minute since I watched him, and
I'll speak on him a little bit when

758
00:53:30.960 --> 00:53:32.400
we talk about the Astros. I
don't want to blur him together with some

759
00:53:32.440 --> 00:53:36.639
of the other guys. When it
came down for my choice for the Astros,

760
00:53:37.000 --> 00:53:39.920
I mean a lot of orgs,
I'm like, okay, all right,

761
00:53:39.960 --> 00:53:43.199
I guess so, and then you
get to the assrooms, like I

762
00:53:43.239 --> 00:53:47.199
got a dozen guys here that I
like all of them, and it's such

763
00:53:47.360 --> 00:53:51.440
I have like four more still on
my my list here that are from the

764
00:53:51.480 --> 00:53:53.239
ASTROS that I'm like, yeah,
I think this might be a guy you

765
00:53:53.280 --> 00:53:58.840
know, yeah, yeah. It's
it's such a great b siding hunting ground

766
00:53:58.880 --> 00:54:04.199
of both and pitchers that organization.
It's funny, man. You know,

767
00:54:04.239 --> 00:54:07.519
you're in some chat rooms or whatever
and listen to some other podcasts and stuff,

768
00:54:07.519 --> 00:54:13.039
and people will talk about great like
pitching development. Dude, they'll name

769
00:54:13.159 --> 00:54:17.280
like five organizations and maybe they'll mention
the Astros. They just have like a

770
00:54:17.440 --> 00:54:22.199
totally homegrown staff that won a World
series, I mean, other than Verlander

771
00:54:22.360 --> 00:54:29.880
or whatever. But yeah, good
stuff. I like it all right.

772
00:54:30.000 --> 00:54:34.519
Round three. This is a bit
ironic to me because I am that shy.

773
00:54:34.599 --> 00:54:38.360
I do like to throw shade on
Dodgers pitching prospects. De siding with

774
00:54:39.079 --> 00:54:44.679
Dodger pitching prospects. It's difficult because
they're also dang popular. I'm gonna go

775
00:54:44.960 --> 00:54:51.360
with now. They call him German
Rosario on all of the broadcasts, but

776
00:54:51.639 --> 00:54:54.079
the last I checked, Jay's are
silent in Spanish, right, I mean

777
00:54:54.280 --> 00:55:00.800
they're not chilopano y. Yeah,
it should be yeerming rose A. Right

778
00:55:00.039 --> 00:55:04.760
he is. That's how I'd say
it. Yeah, right, Jerman Rosario,

779
00:55:04.880 --> 00:55:08.719
j E R M I N G. Rosario right hand pitcher. This

780
00:55:08.880 --> 00:55:13.519
is the most popular guy that I'm
going to select to talk about tonight.

781
00:55:13.599 --> 00:55:16.679
He's at one percent listed at six
to one, one hundred and seventy five

782
00:55:16.719 --> 00:55:20.440
pounds. I don't know. Maybe
you give him a little bit more,

783
00:55:20.599 --> 00:55:22.840
I don't. I don't know if
he's that tall though, and maybe take

784
00:55:22.880 --> 00:55:27.280
the under. He's not a big
guy, but he was a twenty eighteen

785
00:55:27.320 --> 00:55:30.400
international free agent out of the Dominican
He will be twenty one s already next

786
00:55:30.400 --> 00:55:37.599
season. He got in twenty five
a innings and sixty seven high A innings.

787
00:55:37.039 --> 00:55:40.320
Now he is Rule five eligible this
year. I think he's the only

788
00:55:40.719 --> 00:55:45.760
only arm on my list that is. I don't know if anyone would take

789
00:55:45.840 --> 00:55:47.760
him. I don't think we're quite
there yet. What do I know.

790
00:55:49.239 --> 00:55:52.960
Ninety two innings he got about almost
four innings a game. There was like

791
00:55:53.039 --> 00:55:57.000
some you know, longer relief stuff, which is, you know, pretty

792
00:55:57.000 --> 00:56:00.239
par for course with a lot of
these guys, especially in the Dadge system.

793
00:56:00.400 --> 00:56:05.960
On the season, eleven point one
five k per nine, three point

794
00:56:06.039 --> 00:56:08.480
nine to one walk per nine,
which is higher than you know you'd like

795
00:56:08.559 --> 00:56:14.280
to see. Didn't give up very
many home runs. Strike percentage was like

796
00:56:14.320 --> 00:56:17.519
sixty three percent, two point fifty
four average against. He did have one

797
00:56:17.599 --> 00:56:22.440
hundred and fourteen strikeouts, came in
like sixty two pitches a game. Looking

798
00:56:22.440 --> 00:56:25.320
at his game log, he was
getting a little bit more ramped up at

799
00:56:25.320 --> 00:56:30.920
the end, higher pitch counts.
But they still they probably capped him at

800
00:56:30.920 --> 00:56:32.880
about seventy I would say for the
whole season. But check this out.

801
00:56:32.920 --> 00:56:37.760
His last four appearances eighteen innings,
and one of these was a was a

802
00:56:37.800 --> 00:56:42.719
playoff game too, eighteen innings point
five, ERA point six to one whip

803
00:56:42.840 --> 00:56:45.880
a ten kper nine, a two
walk per nine, strike percentage at sixty

804
00:56:45.880 --> 00:56:50.960
five percent, gave up one home
run his last sixty innings. It was

805
00:56:51.440 --> 00:56:54.360
era was two point eight five a
whip of one point two kper nine at

806
00:56:54.360 --> 00:56:59.360
eleven walks were a little bit higher. Point being is that there was a

807
00:56:59.400 --> 00:57:01.559
progression as the season went on.
I would say the beginning of the year

808
00:57:01.559 --> 00:57:06.239
he looked kind of a fairal fastball
slider type of guy, and then when

809
00:57:06.280 --> 00:57:07.920
we got towards the end of the
season, he very much looked more like

810
00:57:07.920 --> 00:57:13.039
a starter. To me. His
fastball can touch get up to ninety seven.

811
00:57:13.559 --> 00:57:16.719
He throws both four and two seamers. He probably sits around ninety four,

812
00:57:17.599 --> 00:57:22.440
and then you know he's the younger
guy. But I do have questions

813
00:57:22.480 --> 00:57:27.480
about the velocity holding through starts,
as it didn't he throws a change up.

814
00:57:28.320 --> 00:57:30.920
I think, I don't know.
Towards the end, I started digging

815
00:57:31.039 --> 00:57:35.679
the change up, maybe even more
than his slider. So that's nice to

816
00:57:35.760 --> 00:57:39.199
have two secondaries and you're not totally
sure which one's the best. The changeup

817
00:57:39.320 --> 00:57:44.960
was came in probably about high eighties, low nineties. I did see him

818
00:57:45.000 --> 00:57:47.840
get it down to like eighty seven
eighty six a few times, pulling a

819
00:57:47.840 --> 00:57:53.000
good parachute. He's got like a
gyro slider that's eighty three, eighty four,

820
00:57:53.320 --> 00:57:57.320
eighty six, you know, the
mid eighties. And then he does

821
00:57:57.559 --> 00:58:01.000
throw in a softer curveball, the
sort of tan it's lighting north south kind

822
00:58:01.039 --> 00:58:05.880
of attack that's very popular these days. He's got a fastball that gets some

823
00:58:06.000 --> 00:58:08.400
ride and would play does play well
up in the zone now. He does

824
00:58:08.440 --> 00:58:13.639
still have even when he was a
bit more polished and cleaned up at the

825
00:58:13.760 --> 00:58:15.159
end. You know, every once
in a while he just had this very

826
00:58:15.440 --> 00:58:22.559
unprofessional pitch, just something flying egregiously
out of the zone, just over someone's

827
00:58:22.599 --> 00:58:25.639
head or something just you know,
it still has those moments. I do

828
00:58:25.840 --> 00:58:30.719
question him getting away with. You
know, these guys can just throw their

829
00:58:30.800 --> 00:58:35.320
nastier stuff just right down the middle
and get by at these levels. It

830
00:58:35.360 --> 00:58:37.880
did seem like too many offerings that
were just kind of generically down the lane,

831
00:58:37.920 --> 00:58:42.000
so to speak. Like to see
him get a little bit more sophisticated

832
00:58:42.039 --> 00:58:44.960
with that, and as his change
up improved as the season went on,

833
00:58:45.079 --> 00:58:50.480
the lefties, the success versus the
lefties got much better. His season long

834
00:58:50.559 --> 00:58:53.679
splits they hit two eighty against them
versus right as they hit two nineteen.

835
00:58:53.960 --> 00:58:59.800
This is a young guy in a
system that has helped some guys along,

836
00:59:00.119 --> 00:59:05.280
has has got kind of the in
vogue repertoire that I think could work really

837
00:59:05.320 --> 00:59:13.559
well. One percent owned so Jerming
Jerming Rossario was also on my list.

838
00:59:13.800 --> 00:59:17.920
I only watched a little bit of
him and I ended up backing away just

839
00:59:19.039 --> 00:59:22.480
because they kind of played with the
is he going to be a starter kind

840
00:59:22.480 --> 00:59:24.119
of thing? That was really my
only qualm with him. But I agree

841
00:59:24.119 --> 00:59:28.679
with you. I liked the change, and I think there is, uh,

842
00:59:28.960 --> 00:59:31.679
there's something something pretty nice to like
there. And and the Dodgers are

843
00:59:31.719 --> 00:59:35.719
one of those orgs they developed really
well out of anyone else. And I'm

844
00:59:35.719 --> 00:59:39.840
going to draft in total. Probably
has has the in vogue teeth, you

845
00:59:39.920 --> 00:59:44.480
know, it's probably what we talked
about some guys that had different looks.

846
00:59:44.599 --> 00:59:49.519
Right this this might be more in
line with with what is is effective in

847
00:59:49.599 --> 00:59:52.199
the bigs right now. It's interesting
the Dodgers, man, they have these

848
00:59:52.280 --> 00:59:57.400
guys, uh well, what was
it the their their double A team had

849
00:59:57.480 --> 01:00:01.280
like a ridiculous quote starting five at
one point this year, right a ridiculous

850
01:00:01.400 --> 01:00:06.199
rotation. But those guys were only
pitching two three innings at a time.

851
01:00:06.440 --> 01:00:09.639
No one's like really putting in like
starters innings, astros are the same.

852
01:00:10.199 --> 01:00:15.199
The guy guy's pitching three four innings
for those guys, like that's that's their

853
01:00:15.239 --> 01:00:19.360
status status quo. That's which.
And to be fair, he's still threw

854
01:00:19.400 --> 01:00:22.840
almost ninety innings as a twenty one
year old across the best season ball Like

855
01:00:22.920 --> 01:00:25.599
that's pretty good, Like that's yeah, yeah, it's pretty good. I

856
01:00:25.639 --> 01:00:31.400
think he was twenty I think yeah
good. Since he's twenty one now twenty

857
01:00:31.480 --> 01:00:36.119
one, it looks like he turned
twenty one during the year regardless in pitching

858
01:00:36.159 --> 01:00:40.039
the years, he's a newborn nuby
nuby like me. And what how abou

859
01:00:40.199 --> 01:00:45.039
was there a good dadger pitching prospect
that's only one percent roster that I don't

860
01:00:45.079 --> 01:00:47.880
get that is surprising. I mean, he was pretty wild. I think

861
01:00:49.079 --> 01:00:52.079
like twenty one and twenty two he
was pretty wild and bad, Like he

862
01:00:52.239 --> 01:00:55.159
just didn't pitch a ton and when
he did, he was pretty wild.

863
01:00:55.239 --> 01:00:59.559
So I'm guessing that's it. And
there were probably ten names ahead of him

864
01:01:00.079 --> 01:01:02.920
coming into this year at least,
and they traded, some promoted to whatever.

865
01:01:04.079 --> 01:01:07.000
But you know, we were talking
about how things can change so quickly

866
01:01:07.079 --> 01:01:08.880
with pitching and all that stuff.
I do kind of have a rule,

867
01:01:10.039 --> 01:01:14.400
but maybe it's more so with college
guys. And maybe that doesn't make any

868
01:01:14.480 --> 01:01:16.360
sense, but kind of feel like
when you're kind of out of control,

869
01:01:16.599 --> 01:01:21.079
there's only so much control that you're
going to improve. Now. I give

870
01:01:21.119 --> 01:01:22.800
the benefit of the doubt, like
I said, to teenagers and younger guys,

871
01:01:22.880 --> 01:01:25.920
especially when they're getting like pro coaching
and stuff like that. So maybe

872
01:01:27.039 --> 01:01:29.639
I hope that is the case.
I mean, there was I feel like

873
01:01:29.679 --> 01:01:32.480
if you watched a start of his
or an appearance with his in April and

874
01:01:32.519 --> 01:01:38.360
then watch this playoff start or appearance, the change is pretty clear. But

875
01:01:38.400 --> 01:01:43.559
anyh h, now we're getting into
it where I think a lot of these

876
01:01:43.679 --> 01:01:49.599
guys are not interchangeable. They're sort
of of the same level. Yeah,

877
01:01:49.599 --> 01:01:52.880
I'm going to stick with the Houston
organization here. Like there were a few

878
01:01:52.920 --> 01:01:58.039
guys that and I still have a
couple more from Houston in this list that

879
01:01:58.360 --> 01:02:00.239
I was pretty intrigued by. But
I'm gonna go with a guy and he

880
01:02:00.440 --> 01:02:05.440
was one percent owned, wasn't owned
in my league, but we had an

881
01:02:05.519 --> 01:02:08.639
owner dispersal draft for our new owners
that are coming in in this thirty teamer,

882
01:02:08.800 --> 01:02:13.800
and he was the last pick of
the dispersal draft. So I'm sort

883
01:02:13.840 --> 01:02:16.079
of breaking the rule that like all
these guys are also unowned in my league.

884
01:02:16.440 --> 01:02:20.719
So he did just get sniper.
When I pulled this list, he

885
01:02:21.159 --> 01:02:27.000
was still available. We're gonna do
Trey Dombrowski. Dombrowski's gotta be a nate

886
01:02:27.199 --> 01:02:34.679
guy because he's a lush polish but
also the man is an execution wizard.

887
01:02:35.159 --> 01:02:39.559
Yeah, I would be shocked if
his fastball is over ninety, like unlike

888
01:02:40.079 --> 01:02:44.920
Vin Scooter where he was getting whiffs
because it looked like his fastball was getting

889
01:02:44.960 --> 01:02:49.079
on guys. Dombrowski his fastball,
you know, we used to say,

890
01:02:49.760 --> 01:02:52.800
can it break a pane of glass? I don't know, maybe not.

891
01:02:52.199 --> 01:02:57.840
He knows how to pitch. I
have concerns about is the fastball gonna play

892
01:02:58.320 --> 01:03:01.719
as he goes up because he's still
does pitch off the fastball a decent amount,

893
01:03:02.360 --> 01:03:08.280
but he pitches in spots like he'll
get calls on the edges, He'll

894
01:03:08.440 --> 01:03:13.760
run it above the zone and get
pop ups or whiffs up there not a

895
01:03:13.800 --> 01:03:15.960
lot of en zone whiffs you're gonna
see with it, but good enough for

896
01:03:16.159 --> 01:03:21.960
now. If he gets any velocity
on this like look out, because the

897
01:03:22.039 --> 01:03:25.079
rest of his stuff is good.
He mostly pitches off his cutter, bores

898
01:03:25.119 --> 01:03:30.519
it into righty's, gets soft ground
balls, gets whiffs with that pitch,

899
01:03:30.119 --> 01:03:35.840
pitches off the plate to lefties,
but he'll bust it in and get that

900
01:03:36.320 --> 01:03:38.800
hip moving out of the way,
but dives back over the plate with that

901
01:03:38.920 --> 01:03:43.519
little bit of cutting movement. His
change up in his curve are both weapons

902
01:03:43.519 --> 01:03:45.920
as well. You know, I
don't have his pitch percentiles breakdown for the

903
01:03:46.000 --> 01:03:52.079
year, but the starts that I
saw he was using any pitch any count.

904
01:03:52.480 --> 01:03:58.280
He throws strikes. He throws balls
with intention, so when he misses,

905
01:03:58.599 --> 01:04:00.840
it usually looks like he meant to. For reference, Like all the

906
01:04:00.880 --> 01:04:05.159
other guys that I have talked about, they'll have their bouts of wildness.

907
01:04:05.199 --> 01:04:09.559
They'll hit a batter, they'll walk
guys. Even Van Scooter, you know,

908
01:04:09.639 --> 01:04:12.119
the way he pitches like he really
likes going in on righties, and

909
01:04:12.199 --> 01:04:15.360
so he has a few hit batters. One hundred and nineteen innings this year,

910
01:04:15.440 --> 01:04:19.039
Dobrowski hit two batters. He had
eight wild pitches, and I saw

911
01:04:19.079 --> 01:04:23.119
a couple of them and I thought
they were actually pass balls, like they

912
01:04:23.159 --> 01:04:26.800
were balls executed in a good spot
that his catcher just didn't catch. I

913
01:04:26.840 --> 01:04:29.199
don't remember who's catching for him then, but I was like that, actually,

914
01:04:29.559 --> 01:04:30.599
that was a pretty good pitch,
Like you should probably block that.

915
01:04:30.840 --> 01:04:34.719
Two point seven walks per nine,
so right down there with Van Scooter in

916
01:04:34.920 --> 01:04:39.639
terms of like the fewest walks per
per nine in the league. He was

917
01:04:39.679 --> 01:04:43.880
at low A and struck out eleven
over eleven per nine, so again both

918
01:04:43.920 --> 01:04:45.679
a little bit better than that's a
little better than Van Scooter, but a

919
01:04:45.800 --> 01:04:50.599
level lower. Twenty two. He
was a twenty twenty two drafty fourth rounder.

920
01:04:51.400 --> 01:04:56.159
Again, there's a lot in common
here with Van Scooter, but they

921
01:04:56.239 --> 01:05:00.400
do look different. Dombrowski is a
little more over the top. It's a

922
01:05:00.440 --> 01:05:03.199
little more like straightfor seem fastball.
He's not trying to sink that thing and

923
01:05:03.440 --> 01:05:08.719
isn't coming from the side like Van
Scooter is. Is even more of a

924
01:05:09.519 --> 01:05:13.639
like a pitcher's pitcher. He picks
his spots, he picks his pitches.

925
01:05:14.039 --> 01:05:16.199
He's the definitely the one calling the
game, not the catcher. Like you

926
01:05:16.280 --> 01:05:20.079
see him the catcher cycling through four
pitches and they're like, nope, nope,

927
01:05:20.199 --> 01:05:24.159
nope, nope, yes that pitch, that location, and then he

928
01:05:24.360 --> 01:05:28.760
just executes. He also is something
that I think is is had been sort

929
01:05:28.800 --> 01:05:32.840
of underappreciated aesthetically. He works really
fast. Now that's less of a concern

930
01:05:32.920 --> 01:05:36.199
now with the pitchclock, but I
loved watching his starts. I was like,

931
01:05:36.360 --> 01:05:41.960
this guy is reminding me of Cliff
Ley coming in cutters, change up,

932
01:05:42.159 --> 01:05:44.719
going right at hitters, Like as
soon as he was ready, he

933
01:05:44.920 --> 01:05:47.079
was going like all these hitters were
trying to slow him down, messing with

934
01:05:47.159 --> 01:05:50.679
the pitchclock, and he just doesn't
care. He's ready to go. Really

935
01:05:50.760 --> 01:05:58.519
taken with both the how he pitches
and the results, and with Houston's penchant

936
01:05:58.639 --> 01:06:02.760
for pitching development. He's a guy
that if there is any velocity uptick,

937
01:06:02.840 --> 01:06:06.480
you know. He he's six'
five two thirty five. They listed him

938
01:06:06.480 --> 01:06:11.039
at but I thought he looked a
little skinnier than that, So maybe there's

939
01:06:11.039 --> 01:06:14.840
a little more power to be unlocked, maybe a tick or two on the

940
01:06:14.920 --> 01:06:16.360
fastball velocity. I'm not going to
bet on it. You know, he's

941
01:06:16.400 --> 01:06:20.119
a college guy and at that point
like, he probably is what he is

942
01:06:20.239 --> 01:06:24.480
as far as far as Vilo goes. Maybe not, though, And if

943
01:06:24.519 --> 01:06:28.559
there's an organization that can unlock it, maybe it's the Astros. But if

944
01:06:28.719 --> 01:06:33.800
there's an uptick, he reminds me
of pre velo increased Joey Cantillo, who

945
01:06:33.880 --> 01:06:39.800
I think was a guy who wasn't
running fastballs up there very hard, but

946
01:06:39.920 --> 01:06:44.119
then he did. I think he
went to tread maybe and got his his

947
01:06:44.280 --> 01:06:47.199
velocity up into the mid to upper
nineties. Now I think he can run

948
01:06:47.320 --> 01:06:50.679
up there ninety eight. He was
a guy that was getting strikeouts with everything

949
01:06:51.360 --> 01:06:56.400
and then got a little more velo
and now looks like he's going to be

950
01:06:56.719 --> 01:07:00.480
a guy in the major leagues,
although his control seemed to desert him last

951
01:07:00.639 --> 01:07:02.559
year and a half or so.
But anyway, if Dombrowski can do something

952
01:07:02.679 --> 01:07:06.679
like that, like maybe Cantillo is
a comp there, I like it.

953
01:07:06.960 --> 01:07:11.320
You said this is a Nate Handy
pick, and I agree. He was

954
01:07:11.440 --> 01:07:15.960
just a little too soft tossing even
for me to put him, just to

955
01:07:15.079 --> 01:07:19.639
put him as my at the top
of my Astros B side, But I

956
01:07:19.760 --> 01:07:25.360
think it's a fantastic B side choice. Though he is he is a pitcher,

957
01:07:26.199 --> 01:07:29.599
he is gonna get guys out.
I just don't know. I could

958
01:07:29.599 --> 01:07:31.599
see him getting all the way up
to triple A, putting up great numbers

959
01:07:31.599 --> 01:07:34.119
in triple A, and then just
not being able to do in the bigs.

960
01:07:34.199 --> 01:07:38.239
Right, he wouldn't be the first
guy like that. Yeah, no,

961
01:07:38.360 --> 01:07:41.719
I think I think you're right.
But I do think for at least

962
01:07:41.800 --> 01:07:44.360
the next couple of levels. You
know, he was at low A this

963
01:07:44.480 --> 01:07:48.599
year, definitely probably start next year
at Ashville, and then as he goes

964
01:07:48.679 --> 01:07:53.079
up into double A, Like,
I think he's gonna keep doing this,

965
01:07:53.559 --> 01:07:56.400
Like even if there's no more Velo, he's still gonna be this kind of

966
01:07:56.440 --> 01:08:00.599
a picture, just because you talk
about the different weapons to get different guys

967
01:08:00.639 --> 01:08:02.400
out, Like, he seems like
a really smart pitcher. I think he's

968
01:08:02.400 --> 01:08:08.400
gonna keep performing. And so maybe
his trajectory looks like a human Lynn from

969
01:08:08.440 --> 01:08:12.239
this year or Ricardo Yan something like
that, where they start to get up

970
01:08:12.239 --> 01:08:16.039
into upper levels and like you just
stat line scouting him and you're like,

971
01:08:16.079 --> 01:08:19.079
Wow, he's still getting strikeouts and
he's not giving up runs, like maybe

972
01:08:19.159 --> 01:08:23.399
he's a guy with the capitol g
uh. And then you see him pitch

973
01:08:23.399 --> 01:08:27.079
and you're like, ooh, that
eighty nine mile an hour straight fastball like

974
01:08:27.159 --> 01:08:31.880
that might not play, But I
think he's not gonna be at one percent

975
01:08:32.000 --> 01:08:34.840
for very long. I think is
my my bet here. I think that's

976
01:08:34.880 --> 01:08:36.880
a good call. All right,
Well round, are we on four?

977
01:08:38.239 --> 01:08:42.640
Yeah? I'm gonna go. Some
folks know this is this guy has super

978
01:08:42.720 --> 01:08:45.800
caught my attention this year, and
I'm gonna go with a CJ. Coulpepper,

979
01:08:45.920 --> 01:08:49.760
right hand pitcher of the Twins.
Buy it down as one percent raster.

980
01:08:50.640 --> 01:08:55.239
He's listed at six three one ninety
three. I kind of want to

981
01:08:55.279 --> 01:08:58.720
take the over twenty two years old
heading In the next year. He was

982
01:08:58.720 --> 01:09:03.119
a thirteenth round in the twenty twenty
two draft out of California Baptist. He

983
01:09:03.199 --> 01:09:09.640
got in forty six single A innings
and forty high A innings in twenty three

984
01:09:10.079 --> 01:09:14.720
so twenty one total games, eighty
six total innings, three five six ERA

985
01:09:15.000 --> 01:09:18.319
one point two whip Kpro nine that
was at nine point three walks for a

986
01:09:18.439 --> 01:09:21.720
three point two. Didn't give up
a lot of home runs through a lot

987
01:09:21.800 --> 01:09:28.119
of strikes, blah blah blah,
right, but tallied a few fqos,

988
01:09:28.680 --> 01:09:32.960
went deep into games, showed some
horsepower, showed velocity and stuff that would

989
01:09:33.000 --> 01:09:39.399
hold for the most part. A
guy who's fastball I think average ninety two

990
01:09:39.399 --> 01:09:42.680
to ninety three, but he can
get it up to ninety seven. And

991
01:09:43.039 --> 01:09:45.800
yeah, he I would say that
he pretty much dominated at least as his

992
01:09:46.159 --> 01:09:49.680
final stretch and a ball, and
then he got roughed up some when he

993
01:09:49.760 --> 01:09:54.119
moved to High A, which kind
of makes a lot of sense to me.

994
01:09:54.279 --> 01:09:57.319
He's the guy who's trying to pitch
aggressively and fill up the zone.

995
01:09:57.880 --> 01:10:00.920
For the most part, he likes
to sneak his his sinker out of his

996
01:10:00.000 --> 01:10:04.039
own. He tries to get chased
there. The numbers at High A total

997
01:10:04.119 --> 01:10:06.680
numbers might not look all that great, but if you look at his game

998
01:10:06.760 --> 01:10:11.479
log you might get a little bit
of a different perception of those. It

999
01:10:11.600 --> 01:10:16.720
was kind of like really good to
dominate a start to kind of get your

1000
01:10:16.800 --> 01:10:23.359
tits lit. Like I had said
prior, That's kind of how it goes

1001
01:10:23.479 --> 01:10:26.720
for a lot of guys that I'm
drawn to when they jump up a level.

1002
01:10:26.920 --> 01:10:30.520
This is a guy who I think
I think his execution ceiling, if

1003
01:10:30.600 --> 01:10:34.119
you will, is fairly high.
One of the things that I like the

1004
01:10:34.199 --> 01:10:39.560
most about him is when he misses
a pitch, this is the location by

1005
01:10:39.600 --> 01:10:43.279
a distance that most pitchers would be
pretty happy about. Like, he can

1006
01:10:43.319 --> 01:10:46.520
get pretty pissed off at himself.
And I like that two seamer, four

1007
01:10:46.560 --> 01:10:53.920
steamer, sinker, whatever, slider, curveball. There might have been a

1008
01:10:54.000 --> 01:10:57.680
few change ups, so if I
were able a few cutters, I'm not

1009
01:10:57.960 --> 01:11:01.119
totally sure about that. But and
he may not have like this big like

1010
01:11:01.640 --> 01:11:08.880
whiff pitch right more some of all
the parts, although I thought his curveball.

1011
01:11:09.359 --> 01:11:11.319
Now, of course, if you
don't throw a pitch a lot,

1012
01:11:11.680 --> 01:11:15.840
you know, some of the whiff
stuff can maybe get a little a little

1013
01:11:15.880 --> 01:11:20.039
bit misleading. But I think the
development of the curveball was fairly nice,

1014
01:11:20.239 --> 01:11:26.239
and he got a lot of whiffs
and k's on that thing as the season

1015
01:11:26.319 --> 01:11:30.039
progressed. But he's a guy who
I think could have a good enough arsenal

1016
01:11:30.960 --> 01:11:38.880
and sort of that high level execution
horsepower guy who go deep that could be

1017
01:11:38.920 --> 01:11:42.800
a legit or at least get a
shot to be an MLB starter. Now,

1018
01:11:42.840 --> 01:11:46.960
I have had somewhat of an infatuation
with twins college arms that they take

1019
01:11:47.039 --> 01:11:50.119
later in drafts and they you know, they show out pretty well and then

1020
01:11:50.279 --> 01:11:55.399
perhaps kind of fade away as they
get up into the uppers, and a

1021
01:11:55.479 --> 01:11:57.960
lot of folks will point and be
like, oh, the Twins can't develop

1022
01:11:58.079 --> 01:12:00.960
pitching. I'm like, well,
that's not really fair. Those guys weren't

1023
01:12:00.319 --> 01:12:04.640
supposed to be, you know,
major league rotation guys, but they did.

1024
01:12:04.960 --> 01:12:09.920
They did well, finding some some
talent in later rounds. But I

1025
01:12:10.439 --> 01:12:13.960
like to look at cole Fever.
He is, He's very much a my

1026
01:12:14.199 --> 01:12:17.640
guy. I think that there's a
mix there and I know how and high

1027
01:12:17.720 --> 01:12:20.960
level execution that that could get it
done well. I like a lot of

1028
01:12:21.000 --> 01:12:28.039
the things you're saying about the the
Twins, and Culpepper definitely popped on one

1029
01:12:28.079 --> 01:12:31.000
of my lists to look at.
I ended up not watching any of his

1030
01:12:31.600 --> 01:12:34.800
any of his start, but you
called it. You got me intrigued about

1031
01:12:35.079 --> 01:12:39.239
what he might be, you know. And and one thing that I like

1032
01:12:40.359 --> 01:12:43.239
that I like about him a lot, and this couldn't I don't know,

1033
01:12:43.279 --> 01:12:47.600
it's tricky. Maybe maybe this feeds
into some maybe like false success at that

1034
01:12:47.760 --> 01:12:53.760
at this level. But when he
gets to a fastball count, guess what

1035
01:12:53.840 --> 01:12:57.479
he doesn't throw. He does not
throw. He does not throw fastballs.

1036
01:12:57.520 --> 01:13:01.479
And fastball counts. So maybe this
is a guy who doesn't have big k

1037
01:13:01.720 --> 01:13:06.520
upside but is getting some getting some
k's now because of that, And maybe

1038
01:13:06.600 --> 01:13:10.239
that doesn't play so well when you
get the better hitters. I don't know,

1039
01:13:10.720 --> 01:13:14.520
but at this level of prospect,
there's a lot of ingredients here that

1040
01:13:14.600 --> 01:13:17.159
I think, like I said,
could be a real could bake into a

1041
01:13:17.680 --> 01:13:23.840
real starter. Well why don't we
stick around with those Twinkies? Ooh,

1042
01:13:24.680 --> 01:13:29.960
now I've got some affinity for the
Twins as an organization. I spent my

1043
01:13:30.279 --> 01:13:33.399
college summers playing in Minnesota in the
Northwoods League. And oh, yeah,

1044
01:13:33.640 --> 01:13:41.000
you ever fall across Sorry I wanna
interrupt you. The Loggers. The Loggers,

1045
01:13:41.039 --> 01:13:44.439
yep, dude, The Laggers started
when I was in college. They

1046
01:13:44.520 --> 01:13:47.800
used to have us. I went
to college lacrosse. They had a special

1047
01:13:48.359 --> 01:13:51.920
or you could get in twelve dollars
to twelve dollars for a ticket, all

1048
01:13:51.960 --> 01:13:56.119
you could drink. It wasn't old
style anymore. Whatever. It was called

1049
01:13:56.199 --> 01:13:59.600
Lacrosse Logger, and then all you
can eat hot talks for twelve bucks.

1050
01:14:00.880 --> 01:14:05.279
That dude, And that that little
area was right by the visiting bullpen.

1051
01:14:05.920 --> 01:14:14.359
Now, yeah, there were some
things that happened. But I went to

1052
01:14:14.479 --> 01:14:17.880
so many Loggers games, dude,
that's that's awesome. Yeah, the Laggers

1053
01:14:17.960 --> 01:14:21.479
were a fun place to play.
Madison was a great place to play.

1054
01:14:23.279 --> 01:14:26.399
I might not have been twenty one
when I went out to that one because

1055
01:14:26.399 --> 01:14:30.359
I think we went there. It's
Wisconsin. The sophomore year they round up

1056
01:14:30.359 --> 01:14:32.560
and down and all around it.
Yeah, yeah, that but that that

1057
01:14:32.680 --> 01:14:36.520
was one of the best places to
play, just because of the atmosphere there,

1058
01:14:36.640 --> 01:14:41.279
and then it was really fun going
out after there. So anyway,

1059
01:14:41.319 --> 01:14:45.600
all that to say, I've got
an affinity for the Wisconsin in Minnesotan's up

1060
01:14:45.640 --> 01:14:50.079
there and my host family that I
lived with for three years there are huge

1061
01:14:50.159 --> 01:14:53.880
Twins fans. You know. I
talked to him a couple of times a

1062
01:14:54.000 --> 01:14:57.720
year and they're they're still huge Twins
fans. All right, So I'm picking

1063
01:14:58.319 --> 01:15:04.399
a Minnesota arm two, but I'm
going with Pearson Ol. Pearson Ol looks

1064
01:15:04.520 --> 01:15:12.279
like a grocery store clerk. He
looks like he just rolled out of college

1065
01:15:12.720 --> 01:15:18.680
and is you know, he's got
his wispy blonde mustache. He's maybe he

1066
01:15:18.760 --> 01:15:25.079
works at a record store. Unassuming
at like six foot and maybe one pint

1067
01:15:25.079 --> 01:15:28.760
eighty like he you see him on
the mound and you're like, does he

1068
01:15:28.920 --> 01:15:32.159
belong there? Is this today's starting
pitcher? Like I don't know is out

1069
01:15:32.199 --> 01:15:38.199
of Grand Canyon University, which gotta
be honest, Like I played in Arizona

1070
01:15:38.239 --> 01:15:41.359
a lot. I did not know
that that was a university. I think

1071
01:15:41.399 --> 01:15:44.560
it's kind of like Ritzy is it? And it's in the whax, so

1072
01:15:44.640 --> 01:15:47.399
it's like it's not nothing, but
like I didn't know anything about it.

1073
01:15:47.680 --> 01:15:51.680
And his numbers were really good in
college, but again it's the whax,

1074
01:15:51.760 --> 01:15:55.960
so it's not like that. It's
not the best college conference. But his

1075
01:15:56.079 --> 01:15:59.840
numbers were good, good enough to
even as a mid major. Gets popped

1076
01:15:59.880 --> 01:16:04.000
in twenty twenty one by the Twins
as a junior in the fourteenth round,

1077
01:16:04.319 --> 01:16:08.760
not a high draft pick, one
hundred thousand dollars signing bonus reportedly, And

1078
01:16:09.000 --> 01:16:15.880
all the man does is pitch with
an effing scalpel, like he doesn't walk

1079
01:16:16.079 --> 01:16:21.079
anybody, And I love that.
I think walks are really dumb and pitchers

1080
01:16:21.119 --> 01:16:28.439
should do it way less. He
led the minor leagues for whatever his mining

1081
01:16:28.800 --> 01:16:32.880
minimum innings were this year, let
me pull that up. I think it

1082
01:16:33.119 --> 01:16:38.960
was three point five percent. Again, that might have been just at double

1083
01:16:39.039 --> 01:16:41.760
A that I did it. But
he through eighty seven innings this year at

1084
01:16:41.800 --> 01:16:44.800
double A. Started the year in
High A and then and then graduated up

1085
01:16:44.800 --> 01:16:47.359
to Double A. He was even
better in High A at Double A one

1086
01:16:47.439 --> 01:16:55.039
point three four walks per nine.
That is so few batters. To put

1087
01:16:55.119 --> 01:17:00.199
that in context, there were three
pitchers in the major leagues that were better

1088
01:17:00.279 --> 01:17:02.239
than that. I bet you can
get one of them at least. Who

1089
01:17:02.279 --> 01:17:06.319
doesn't walk people? Oh, h
merle Kelly doesn't walk a lot of people,

1090
01:17:06.399 --> 01:17:10.479
does he? He walks more than
this, more than that, I

1091
01:17:10.560 --> 01:17:14.680
don't know. I'm not sure.
George Kirby, so he famously led the

1092
01:17:14.960 --> 01:17:17.319
majors in walk grate this year because
he was down at like one point something

1093
01:17:17.359 --> 01:17:21.000
percent, Like he was nuts.
He just has an allergy to walks.

1094
01:17:21.399 --> 01:17:27.039
Zach Eflin this year again like new
organization. They basically like, throw the

1095
01:17:27.039 --> 01:17:29.279
ball down the middle, stop walking
people, and you're gonna be good.

1096
01:17:29.880 --> 01:17:33.000
It was really good. Zach Ltel
who kind of came out of nowhere right

1097
01:17:33.199 --> 01:17:38.479
and stopped walking people and had I
think his best year of his professional career

1098
01:17:38.760 --> 01:17:43.079
this year. Ye, And you
know Kirby and Eflyn not good comps for

1099
01:17:43.640 --> 01:17:48.000
all because they both have better stuff. Pierson ol He's like, maybe he's

1100
01:17:48.000 --> 01:17:53.079
a righty. He's undersized at six
foot, so it's not great extension here.

1101
01:17:53.319 --> 01:17:56.520
It looks kind of like Johnny right
hander, like the thing we were

1102
01:17:56.560 --> 01:18:00.760
talking about before that isn't great.
He really knows where that pitch is going.

1103
01:18:00.960 --> 01:18:08.479
And so I wonder if even though
his stuff isn't overpowering at all,

1104
01:18:09.359 --> 01:18:13.600
I mean, like again, like
maybe he's hitting ninety, but he is

1105
01:18:13.800 --> 01:18:19.439
painting. He is like around the
zone. He's got a fastball. His

1106
01:18:19.640 --> 01:18:24.520
changeup has a ton of movement,
and he really knows where to place it

1107
01:18:25.000 --> 01:18:27.840
just below the zone, looks just
like his fastball, and then guys are

1108
01:18:28.039 --> 01:18:31.119
ass out tapping it to the second
basement for a ground out. His gyro

1109
01:18:31.319 --> 01:18:35.640
slider has really nice downward action.
So he's got sort of if you think

1110
01:18:35.640 --> 01:18:40.520
about those three pitches, like that
nice triangle where the fastball looks kind of

1111
01:18:40.560 --> 01:18:43.479
straight and like, yeah, I'm
gonna spats that pitch, but actually it's

1112
01:18:43.760 --> 01:18:46.880
the changeup that's heading away from a
lefty, or actually that's the gyro slider

1113
01:18:47.000 --> 01:18:50.520
that is heading down and away from
a righty. So that's sort of tunneling

1114
01:18:50.720 --> 01:18:56.039
change up, change up slider off
of the sort of not a good fastball,

1115
01:18:56.319 --> 01:19:00.239
but I think that it's good enough
when paired with those other pitches to

1116
01:19:00.760 --> 01:19:05.840
keep hitters honest. And then he
also has a slower curve that he'll spot

1117
01:19:06.000 --> 01:19:11.560
wherever flip it in early in account
for strikes bury it and you think it's

1118
01:19:11.640 --> 01:19:14.159
the slider, and so you're swinging
at it, but it's actually already on

1119
01:19:14.239 --> 01:19:18.720
the ground. He really really knows
how to pitch. And this kind of

1120
01:19:18.720 --> 01:19:24.199
guy gets underrated. Again, is
this going to last as he goes up

1121
01:19:24.279 --> 01:19:29.399
levels? Like he was significantly better
at striking guys out and walked even fewer

1122
01:19:29.640 --> 01:19:32.159
at high A, but he made
it to double A, And like double

1123
01:19:32.239 --> 01:19:35.159
a's real baseball, right, Like
that's sort of make or break on the

1124
01:19:35.239 --> 01:19:40.359
hitter side or the pitching side.
Like, no matter where you are double

1125
01:19:40.399 --> 01:19:44.079
A, you're starting to get to
competition that they can hold their own if

1126
01:19:44.119 --> 01:19:45.479
they make it to the majors,
you know, if they've just dropped in

1127
01:19:45.520 --> 01:19:48.680
the majors, Like that's when you
start to see these minor league translations look

1128
01:19:48.880 --> 01:19:54.000
like pretty close to what they're doing. He still refused to walk anybody.

1129
01:19:54.319 --> 01:19:58.079
He punched out only seven and a
half seven point six per nine, so

1130
01:19:58.279 --> 01:20:00.680
he's not going to strike out a
lot of guys. And again, a

1131
01:20:00.720 --> 01:20:02.960
lot of that is because his basketball
just isn't gonna miss bats, and so

1132
01:20:03.079 --> 01:20:09.359
he's got a nibble and get soft
contact. But he is very, very

1133
01:20:09.479 --> 01:20:13.439
good at that. And like we
talked about with some of these lefties in

1134
01:20:13.720 --> 01:20:17.880
Dobrowski or Van Scooter, if he
gets any more velocity because he knows how

1135
01:20:17.920 --> 01:20:21.880
to pitch so well, this is
a guy that with that small tweak like

1136
01:20:23.079 --> 01:20:28.159
maybe he is a big league starter
on the order of latel Like, if

1137
01:20:28.199 --> 01:20:30.600
you don't walk anybody, you don't
have to strike out a lot to be

1138
01:20:30.640 --> 01:20:35.560
a pretty useful starter, even at
the major league level. So he's somebody

1139
01:20:35.720 --> 01:20:42.079
that I'm not confident that he makes
the major leagues, but he's someone who

1140
01:20:42.159 --> 01:20:48.680
I like the underlying pitching skills enough
that he might be a touch of velocity

1141
01:20:48.840 --> 01:20:53.760
or a tweak or two away from
being a zachly Tell kind of guy.

1142
01:20:53.960 --> 01:20:58.239
So again, not super exciting,
but fun to watch. And yeah,

1143
01:20:58.239 --> 01:21:00.800
I was just looking at his game
here. This is pretty wild to me.

1144
01:21:01.119 --> 01:21:06.199
Just to talk about efficiency. He
had eleven starts with over a seventy

1145
01:21:06.239 --> 01:21:12.920
percent strike percentage. That not a
lot of guys do that. Yeah,

1146
01:21:13.520 --> 01:21:17.119
he really strike percentage is it's kind
of a hairy thing to me. I

1147
01:21:17.199 --> 01:21:20.399
think I think it's really important,
but I don't know if it's always like

1148
01:21:20.800 --> 01:21:24.760
I like to look at it from
a game by game basis. You got

1149
01:21:24.800 --> 01:21:28.159
a guy who's throwing a high percentage
of strikes a lot, you know,

1150
01:21:28.279 --> 01:21:31.279
Priori, and then he has a
few you know whatever, fifty nine,

1151
01:21:31.399 --> 01:21:36.520
fifty percent whatever. Let me let
me explain this better. I liked the

1152
01:21:36.720 --> 01:21:43.359
mode of strike percentage over the mean, if that makes sense. But yeah,

1153
01:21:43.399 --> 01:21:45.800
I want a tight standard deviation.
Yeah, I don't know. That

1154
01:21:45.920 --> 01:21:51.720
sounds way smarter. I'll use that. I've peeped on him a little bit

1155
01:21:53.119 --> 01:21:57.039
again. Whatever, I think you
nailed that. Fine, all right,

1156
01:21:57.039 --> 01:22:00.760
I'm gonna get I'm gonna get wild
too here, Matt pick And I know

1157
01:22:00.399 --> 01:22:05.079
as soon as I mentioned the organization, most folks will turn their ears off.

1158
01:22:05.520 --> 01:22:11.039
And I'm getting into my not created
yet on fan track's territory. This

1159
01:22:11.159 --> 01:22:15.039
guy's not created yet. But Jared
Candy of the Rockies spent the whole season

1160
01:22:15.239 --> 01:22:19.680
in the Northwest League do you see
him live? Yeah? Okay, all

1161
01:22:19.720 --> 01:22:23.000
right, I did not. I
didn't see him live. Oh you didn't

1162
01:22:23.000 --> 01:22:26.880
see him live? But okay,
this dude's good man. Twenty four year

1163
01:22:26.920 --> 01:22:30.880
old. He'll be twenty four next
season. Twenty twenty one, seventeenth round

1164
01:22:31.520 --> 01:22:36.399
pick out of Florida Southern one hundred
and five high innings this year. You

1165
01:22:36.479 --> 01:22:40.920
know, for all your folks who
talk about the Rockies can't develop anybody,

1166
01:22:41.319 --> 01:22:45.199
here you go, here's one that
has gone well. He's listed at six

1167
01:22:45.319 --> 01:22:50.000
' two two point fifteen. He's
a strong, strong, bodied, strong

1168
01:22:50.079 --> 01:22:55.840
body guy. I like the size, I like the strength. Nineteen starts

1169
01:22:56.760 --> 01:23:00.479
e are of three two five,
a whip of one point one six nine

1170
01:23:00.520 --> 01:23:03.119
point three to one, k for
nine two point two to walk for nine,

1171
01:23:04.720 --> 01:23:10.199
one hundred and nine strikeouts, two
forty one batting average against on a

1172
01:23:10.239 --> 01:23:14.680
two ninety four babbitt. He was
a horse man. He pitched. His

1173
01:23:14.800 --> 01:23:19.920
pitches per game were at ninety three
fqos on the season, including probably his

1174
01:23:20.560 --> 01:23:27.479
best outing and the best look that
we get was at Vancouver eight twenty two.

1175
01:23:28.239 --> 01:23:30.640
Now he ended the season on the
IL. This might be a little

1176
01:23:30.760 --> 01:23:33.880
risky. I don't know what the
injury was there's not a whole lot out

1177
01:23:33.920 --> 01:23:39.720
there on Jared Candy, and there
wasn't a ton of It wasn't a ton

1178
01:23:39.840 --> 01:23:43.119
to watch in that league, but
but a decent amount. Now, this

1179
01:23:43.239 --> 01:23:45.359
guy, I think he's got a
chance to be a starter in the Biggs.

1180
01:23:45.439 --> 01:23:48.720
Now. I think this was his
first full year of starting. I

1181
01:23:48.800 --> 01:23:56.039
think I think it had been primarily
a reliever in their system. I think,

1182
01:23:56.239 --> 01:23:58.479
I want to say, in college
he was kind of in between.

1183
01:23:58.960 --> 01:24:00.920
Don't quote me on that though,
And you know, maybe this is just

1184
01:24:01.079 --> 01:24:06.479
any eating type of stuff. But
he was effective over his last nine starts

1185
01:24:06.560 --> 01:24:13.399
fifty two innings, two era one
whip, ten k per nine, sixty

1186
01:24:13.439 --> 01:24:19.600
five strikes, five real quality starts. His fastball sits about ninety two ninety

1187
01:24:19.680 --> 01:24:26.319
four, but he he relies on
it. He will throw it in fastball

1188
01:24:26.399 --> 01:24:29.760
counts. I don't know, you
want to say he overuses it, but

1189
01:24:29.840 --> 01:24:32.239
he gets whiffs on it, and
I don't really know why. I can't

1190
01:24:32.279 --> 01:24:35.840
really tell. It doesn't look to
have crazy movement. Again, we don't

1191
01:24:35.960 --> 01:24:41.399
have we don't have great angles and
looks. But he's got the full repertoire

1192
01:24:41.520 --> 01:24:46.039
slider curve change, and he locates
him all really well. I forget Rocky's

1193
01:24:46.359 --> 01:24:50.079
catcher, the guy who seemed to
catch him the most. I can't remember

1194
01:24:50.119 --> 01:24:54.800
his name. Is it Quintaro,
I don't know, whatever. Not a

1195
01:24:54.880 --> 01:24:58.359
very good catcher, it doesn't matter. But he's very demonstrative and what he

1196
01:24:58.520 --> 01:25:02.600
wants Candy to do over the top, over the top kind of like framing.

1197
01:25:02.680 --> 01:25:08.680
So he's actually quite annoying to watch. But Candy, I mean,

1198
01:25:08.760 --> 01:25:13.319
he will, he will. He
does everything he asks, does everything that

1199
01:25:13.439 --> 01:25:16.880
that catcher asks him to do,
almost almost too well. To be honest,

1200
01:25:17.439 --> 01:25:23.560
say what you will. Rockies pitching
prospect. Obviously for fantasy there's a

1201
01:25:23.640 --> 01:25:28.800
big bug big bugaboo at the end. But if we're talking deeper leagues thirty

1202
01:25:29.439 --> 01:25:31.920
where anyone starting can come into play. I mean, if this guy was

1203
01:25:31.960 --> 01:25:35.479
in a different organization, he would
have been I probably would have had him

1204
01:25:35.560 --> 01:25:39.119
up there with like Schweitzer. Well, I think this is a real starter.

1205
01:25:40.479 --> 01:25:43.159
I think he's got a full repertory, commands them all, well,

1206
01:25:43.239 --> 01:25:45.880
can throw them all, and does
throw them all in different accounts. But

1207
01:25:46.039 --> 01:25:49.359
like I said, he relies on
that fastball, and you would think,

1208
01:25:49.920 --> 01:25:54.079
you know, he's he's getting three
four times through the lineup on some of

1209
01:25:54.119 --> 01:25:57.039
these guys, and yeah, it's
high a but how his ninety two to

1210
01:25:57.119 --> 01:26:00.800
ninety four mile per hour fastball plays
as well as it does, I don't

1211
01:26:00.840 --> 01:26:05.640
know. I don't know. But
Jared Candy, Rockies. It is really

1212
01:26:05.880 --> 01:26:12.119
interesting that you say that about Candy
and the Rockies. Candy was on my

1213
01:26:12.239 --> 01:26:16.600
short list and I was looking at
besiders for the Rockies, and after talking

1214
01:26:16.840 --> 01:26:21.840
through him with you, I think
I might have been a little low on

1215
01:26:23.079 --> 01:26:26.960
him. Like I hear what you're
saying, and I think that what he

1216
01:26:27.119 --> 01:26:30.800
did at Spokane primarily this year is
pretty impressive. Like that's not an easy

1217
01:26:30.840 --> 01:26:34.319
place to pitch there, and Aaron
Everett, like I mentioned, both have

1218
01:26:34.760 --> 01:26:40.000
you know, twenty twenty five percent
worse than league average for pitchers. So

1219
01:26:40.119 --> 01:26:44.840
like all the bigger names were getting
their tits lit there and Candy's just humming

1220
01:26:44.840 --> 01:26:48.159
along like freaking look look at it. Look at his inning totals from six

1221
01:26:48.359 --> 01:26:53.079
five seven, seven, six,
six, seven, six point two six,

1222
01:26:53.279 --> 01:26:59.039
six, five point one seven,
like it was it was good man.

1223
01:27:00.239 --> 01:27:04.000
Yeah, And like you said,
like listener, your sole listener at

1224
01:27:04.000 --> 01:27:09.560
home, go look up all the
rest of that Spokane Indians team and their

1225
01:27:09.600 --> 01:27:15.159
pictures were terrible because I think the
park is bad and they are. It's

1226
01:27:15.239 --> 01:27:19.319
a very hard place to pitch.
But I say that as props for that

1227
01:27:19.479 --> 01:27:24.800
pick because I'm I'm kind of intrigued
now too. But I was actually really

1228
01:27:24.960 --> 01:27:30.279
taken by a bunch of Colorado pitchers. I watched we create other guys not

1229
01:27:30.720 --> 01:27:36.880
not named Candy that are all zero
one percent owned from the Rockies that I

1230
01:27:38.079 --> 01:27:43.279
was like, this looks like a
guy and there are some guys that you

1231
01:27:43.359 --> 01:27:46.600
know, like I'll mention, what's
the name Joe. Joe Rock is like

1232
01:27:46.720 --> 01:27:51.159
a Chris Sale lookalike. You know, he's six' eight or something, all

1233
01:27:51.319 --> 01:27:55.560
limbs and it's big stuff and he
doesn't really know where it's going. But

1234
01:27:55.720 --> 01:27:59.159
it's like, man, if that
guy ever throws strikes like he's a real

1235
01:27:59.319 --> 01:28:02.000
dude, like Cores or no like
that, if he ever throws strikes like

1236
01:28:02.079 --> 01:28:06.079
he might, he might. He's
one that I considered Candy. Again,

1237
01:28:06.199 --> 01:28:11.319
maybe I underrated him a bit,
but that's a Christine line at a really

1238
01:28:11.399 --> 01:28:14.800
tough place to pitch for a full
year, like there there might be something

1239
01:28:14.880 --> 01:28:19.640
there and if you think like this
would this would be like so like Rockies

1240
01:28:19.720 --> 01:28:24.800
in the sense like I don't eat. I'm not totally sure if the plan

1241
01:28:25.239 --> 01:28:29.399
was for him to be a starter
this year necessarily, but it kind of

1242
01:28:29.600 --> 01:28:32.840
just happened that way, and like, you know, maybe he's some injuries.

1243
01:28:33.920 --> 01:28:36.720
They had a lot. I mean, they had a ton of injuries

1244
01:28:36.760 --> 01:28:42.880
from guys that they were expecting big
things out of. Whether like like what

1245
01:28:43.079 --> 01:28:45.960
Vargas got hurt for this year?
Who's the guy like Chris McMahon who had

1246
01:28:46.000 --> 01:28:49.520
been interested in previous series, like
he was hurt. Yeah, they had

1247
01:28:49.520 --> 01:28:53.920
a few times, like six guys
to go have Tommy John to get together.

1248
01:28:54.039 --> 01:28:57.319
Yeah, probably at the same time. I saw that hopefully hopefully not

1249
01:28:57.399 --> 01:29:02.319
with the same scalpel. Yeah,
clean it at least in between. But

1250
01:29:02.720 --> 01:29:06.640
you know, like just for symmetry's
sake, I'm gonna stick with the Rockies

1251
01:29:06.720 --> 01:29:13.760
because they don't get enough love again, Like I'm not. I'm well aware

1252
01:29:13.840 --> 01:29:18.079
that Colorado is a terrible place to
pitch B. The Rockies rarely make trades,

1253
01:29:18.239 --> 01:29:23.800
so these guys likely are sticking in
their system. Like it's they really

1254
01:29:23.840 --> 01:29:27.680
don't trade very often. We're pretty
deep down in the B sides here,

1255
01:29:27.840 --> 01:29:30.840
Like, yeah, there's a few
few guys here that are on my list

1256
01:29:31.000 --> 01:29:33.560
that I'm looking at that I could
go one way or another. A lot

1257
01:29:33.640 --> 01:29:36.079
of these guys are kind of all
in the same tier, and we'll likely

1258
01:29:36.159 --> 01:29:40.760
talk about them as we get to
their other orgs when we go team by

1259
01:29:40.840 --> 01:29:45.720
team, But I'm gonna go with
Michael Proseci. Proseci kind of similar in

1260
01:29:45.840 --> 01:29:51.760
some ways to Tyler Gilfoyll I talked
about earlier in that he was a college

1261
01:29:51.840 --> 01:29:57.840
reliever at Louisville the for three years. Pretty tall, lefty, you know,

1262
01:29:57.960 --> 01:30:00.800
six three, two hundred pounds like
pitcher, like he looks like,

1263
01:30:00.960 --> 01:30:06.239
you know, the classic lefty pitcher. But I think he looks totally different

1264
01:30:06.359 --> 01:30:11.920
to how he was in college.
Checked out his numbers and was really interested

1265
01:30:11.960 --> 01:30:15.680
by the season that he put up
this year after being drafted in the sixth

1266
01:30:15.760 --> 01:30:20.760
round in twenty twenty two. He
was a good reliever in college, you

1267
01:30:20.840 --> 01:30:25.840
know, for a good program.
Obviously Louisville really good. He was their

1268
01:30:25.960 --> 01:30:31.239
closer eleven saves in twenty twenty two
three three er Ray wasn't given up hits,

1269
01:30:31.479 --> 01:30:36.239
struck out ten point six per nine, walked a bunch and that was

1270
01:30:36.279 --> 01:30:41.199
sort of his hallmark that he was
a little bit of had some command issues,

1271
01:30:41.520 --> 01:30:44.279
not a lot of length, you
know, thirty seven innings in twenty

1272
01:30:44.359 --> 01:30:46.880
six games, so he's like one
two an inning and a third for most

1273
01:30:46.920 --> 01:30:51.119
of his outings. And then they
gets drafted by the Rockies, who don't

1274
01:30:51.159 --> 01:30:56.840
know what they're doing. There's no
development to speak of, according to everybody

1275
01:30:56.920 --> 01:31:00.479
in the know, right, and
he's a reliever in rookie ball on the

1276
01:31:00.560 --> 01:31:03.079
complex at the end of last year, shows up this year and they're just

1277
01:31:03.159 --> 01:31:06.760
like, you're gonna start. You're
you're now a starter. Started all twenty

1278
01:31:06.800 --> 01:31:11.920
one games this year, twenty one
straight starts, struck out ten point three

1279
01:31:12.039 --> 01:31:15.720
per nine, so matched or exceeded
every strikeout rate that he had in the

1280
01:31:15.920 --> 01:31:21.399
SEC as a reliever, and stopped
walking anybody. You know, not quite

1281
01:31:21.720 --> 01:31:25.920
the command and control artists of some
of my other picks, but three three

1282
01:31:26.119 --> 01:31:30.119
nine after walking five plus per nine
as a reliever. So you're asking him

1283
01:31:30.119 --> 01:31:35.119
to throw more innings against better quality
hitting in general, you know, still

1284
01:31:35.199 --> 01:31:40.439
low a but it's like that's not
an easy place to pitch, and he

1285
01:31:40.640 --> 01:31:45.760
just goes out and posts a really
ridiculous two seven er you know, three

1286
01:31:45.880 --> 01:31:50.239
six fit behind it. Like again, he walked maybe a few too many,

1287
01:31:50.319 --> 01:31:54.239
and wasn't punching a ton of guys
out. But to me, he

1288
01:31:54.399 --> 01:31:57.079
looked like a different guy. So
I went and looked at some of his

1289
01:31:57.680 --> 01:32:00.239
video I could find from him in
college, and he looked like he had

1290
01:32:00.279 --> 01:32:03.239
more of a head whack. It
looked a little more out of control.

1291
01:32:03.760 --> 01:32:10.479
Now he looks smooth, mixing his
pitches really well. The fastball as a

1292
01:32:10.560 --> 01:32:13.640
lefty, like it was up to
ninety five, and the looks that I

1293
01:32:13.680 --> 01:32:16.479
got that had a gun. I
think he was pitching off of this cutter

1294
01:32:16.720 --> 01:32:19.960
slidery thing that I don't think he
used very much in college, or if

1295
01:32:20.000 --> 01:32:24.279
he did, it lacked less,
it had less bite. Maybe it just

1296
01:32:24.359 --> 01:32:27.239
looked like a different pitch to me, like he was getting more movement on

1297
01:32:27.359 --> 01:32:30.000
it, and he was getting more
whiffs. He's throwing it to lefties and

1298
01:32:30.159 --> 01:32:33.640
to righties, and it didn't seem
like either of them had any real sense

1299
01:32:34.039 --> 01:32:38.560
of barreling that pitch up. And
then he has a curveball in a change

1300
01:32:38.600 --> 01:32:42.239
up. So he's got four pitches
and they he was throwing them for strikes.

1301
01:32:42.319 --> 01:32:45.319
He was mixing up counts, which
I love to see, and unlike

1302
01:32:45.399 --> 01:32:48.520
some of the other guys who might
have better performance to date. This is

1303
01:32:48.760 --> 01:32:54.800
a brand new arm maxed out in
college at thirty some innings, and he

1304
01:32:54.960 --> 01:32:59.560
just threw one hundred and nine in
Lowa this year is up to ninety five.

1305
01:33:00.079 --> 01:33:03.439
So the fastball sure looks like that's
gonna play as a lefty and has

1306
01:33:03.600 --> 01:33:10.319
four pitches that all looked relatively well
polished, perhaps even more than some of

1307
01:33:10.359 --> 01:33:14.159
the sort of command and control artists
that I picked before him. He's someone

1308
01:33:14.279 --> 01:33:18.119
who you might see even greater upside
in. Again, all the caveats about

1309
01:33:18.159 --> 01:33:23.880
Colorado, they're real, and it's
probably part of the reason why he's not

1310
01:33:24.239 --> 01:33:30.159
well regarded, whether the credit is
to Michael Proseci himself or the organization or

1311
01:33:30.199 --> 01:33:33.199
some of his coaches. He seems
like a different pitcher than he was in

1312
01:33:33.319 --> 01:33:39.960
college and way way more interesting.
So even if nothing else changes, I

1313
01:33:40.079 --> 01:33:44.880
feel like this is a developmental win
for Colorado and there's something here that you

1314
01:33:44.960 --> 01:33:48.399
know, like Nate with your pick
Candy, like there's a couple of guys

1315
01:33:48.520 --> 01:33:55.439
in Colorado that maybe they do have
something brewing, and well, I'm super

1316
01:33:55.560 --> 01:34:00.880
interested to see how he does it
Spokane next year and maybe beyond made I

1317
01:34:00.000 --> 01:34:04.199
watched a good amount of Prosecu during
the year, and you you made me

1318
01:34:04.279 --> 01:34:09.239
more interested, that's for sure,
not that I wasn't interested already. The

1319
01:34:09.359 --> 01:34:12.960
Rockets are kind of interesting, you
know, b citing at this level because

1320
01:34:13.479 --> 01:34:18.079
they're gonna be starved for starters.
They have guys who can identify talent better.

1321
01:34:18.199 --> 01:34:23.399
Now they're identifying better talent than they
did in the past, and it

1322
01:34:23.479 --> 01:34:29.239
seems like it. I mean,
I mean Candy, Prosecue and like I

1323
01:34:29.279 --> 01:34:32.319
said, Joe rock Like those are
three arms that people aren't talking about a

1324
01:34:32.399 --> 01:34:35.079
lot, I don't think, and
I liked all three of them seeing them.

1325
01:34:35.119 --> 01:34:39.640
And then they've also at the higher
end, like people really like Vargas

1326
01:34:39.800 --> 01:34:43.680
and I think a couple of their
other ones. I'm a little less convinced

1327
01:34:43.720 --> 01:34:46.399
on some of those guys, but
they've had some guys that really showed out.

1328
01:34:46.439 --> 01:34:49.800
Now hopefully they can keep them healthy. Like that's that's another possible red

1329
01:34:49.840 --> 01:34:55.720
flag. You mentioned the six or
seven guys that all at the same time,

1330
01:34:56.039 --> 01:35:00.239
And one thing that does seem to
be true is big innings jumps year

1331
01:35:00.279 --> 01:35:03.359
to year might increase the risk of
that. So again there's perhaps more injury

1332
01:35:03.479 --> 01:35:09.039
risk for a guy like Proseki who
just now started starting an he threw modern

1333
01:35:09.079 --> 01:35:13.760
and ten innings and nine innings any
year like that might be someone that there's

1334
01:35:14.000 --> 01:35:18.520
a slightly heightened injury risk. But
I was about as impressed as as with

1335
01:35:18.720 --> 01:35:23.159
him this year as I was with
anybody. It's just like a few more

1336
01:35:23.479 --> 01:35:28.520
question marks for me. That's why
I picked him sixth I dig so yes,

1337
01:35:28.800 --> 01:35:31.560
sixth round, last pick right for
you. Yep, I'm gonna stick

1338
01:35:31.640 --> 01:35:36.399
with the not yet created in fan
tracks realm. I finished off the hitter

1339
01:35:36.600 --> 01:35:40.680
the hitter draft with a bit of
a hail Mary. Maybe this is a

1340
01:35:40.720 --> 01:35:43.399
bit of a hail Mary. But
I caught a guy at the end of

1341
01:35:43.439 --> 01:35:47.319
the year, very end of the
year in Hya with tricity by the name

1342
01:35:47.359 --> 01:35:54.680
of Hamilton Mendez. I don't know
at all. I don't think so two

1343
01:35:54.800 --> 01:35:58.560
outings. I think a total of
like four innings the glimpse. Yeah,

1344
01:35:58.600 --> 01:36:02.359
okay, so Hamilton Mendez right hand
pitcher angels, not yet creating fan track

1345
01:36:02.520 --> 01:36:05.960
six to one, one hundred and
seventy seven listed. I think he's a

1346
01:36:06.000 --> 01:36:09.640
little bit bigger than that. He's
a nineteen year old. He was a

1347
01:36:09.760 --> 01:36:14.560
twenty twenty one international free agent out
of the Dominican this season. He went

1348
01:36:14.720 --> 01:36:18.359
twenty two innings in the DSL,
twenty six innings a complex ball, and

1349
01:36:18.439 --> 01:36:23.359
then five innings in High A and
you only get to there was only broadcast

1350
01:36:23.439 --> 01:36:28.039
of one of those two appearances.
So this is just this is a snapshot

1351
01:36:28.239 --> 01:36:33.600
video, real deep cut here.
Yeah. Yeah, but Mendez so athletic,

1352
01:36:33.960 --> 01:36:40.800
athletic looking, good sized guy.
He's got a short arm action not

1353
01:36:41.199 --> 01:36:47.199
I don't know, maybe Giolito esque, and he threw he came in,

1354
01:36:47.600 --> 01:36:51.439
he was throwing a ton of change
ups. I don't know. In those

1355
01:36:51.880 --> 01:36:57.880
few outings the change up usage might
have been like sixty six percent, like

1356
01:36:58.039 --> 01:37:01.079
just something silly, right, So
I'm guessing that's probably what they think is

1357
01:37:01.119 --> 01:37:04.520
his best pitch, or what he
thinks is his best pitch. And I

1358
01:37:04.560 --> 01:37:09.680
don't have any v LO on him. But the fastball looks it looks zippy

1359
01:37:10.000 --> 01:37:13.159
the few that he did throw,
and then he could spin it as well.

1360
01:37:13.479 --> 01:37:16.640
So this is very speculative. But
the last guy that I picked that

1361
01:37:16.840 --> 01:37:21.760
was like this end up getting traded
to an organization that was very interested in

1362
01:37:21.920 --> 01:37:27.039
him as a low risk Kyrie Ward
type of thing. And I don't know

1363
01:37:27.079 --> 01:37:29.920
it's interesting to go from the DSL
the high A. Even if you're just

1364
01:37:30.399 --> 01:37:32.760
I don't know, with the position
players you try to maybe that's just like

1365
01:37:32.800 --> 01:37:35.399
a fill in for a few days, but do you really do that with

1366
01:37:35.520 --> 01:37:40.159
pitchers? And I know it's the
Angels and they go fast, and I

1367
01:37:40.279 --> 01:37:43.600
was very intrigued, Well why he
was there? The outing that you get

1368
01:37:43.640 --> 01:37:45.560
to watch. He comes in in
relief and I think he comes in with

1369
01:37:45.680 --> 01:37:49.119
some guys on base, and he
strikes out the next two hitters, and

1370
01:37:49.119 --> 01:37:53.000
then he comes out for the next
inning and then he kind of gets kind

1371
01:37:53.039 --> 01:37:56.560
of gets lit up. The command
is loose, and he leaves like some

1372
01:37:56.760 --> 01:38:00.640
change ups over the middle and what
have you. But Hamilton Mendez, let's

1373
01:38:00.800 --> 01:38:06.239
let's take a little big swing a
perhaps projectable guy who might be moving along

1374
01:38:06.399 --> 01:38:11.000
fast here or I don't know if
the Angels are probably changing things up now.

1375
01:38:11.119 --> 01:38:13.680
So we'll see how that goes.
But we'll see. I mean,

1376
01:38:13.720 --> 01:38:17.039
they're they're pretty aggressive with their promotions, and even if Tommy leaves like they

1377
01:38:17.079 --> 01:38:20.840
still might still might do it because
the organization as a whole is not not

1378
01:38:20.960 --> 01:38:26.720
great. So they're gonna have bullpen
rolls available and we'll see if this fills

1379
01:38:26.760 --> 01:38:30.079
out. So that's an interesting name. Yeah, I never never heard of

1380
01:38:30.119 --> 01:38:31.520
him. You know, we've talked
about when you every once in a while

1381
01:38:31.560 --> 01:38:34.840
you turn on some video and there's
like, Oh, who's this guy?

1382
01:38:35.279 --> 01:38:42.520
That was definitely my reaction to the
Mendez. I'll leave that as my as

1383
01:38:42.680 --> 01:38:46.399
my last pick of the draft.
Mister irrelevant perhaps becomes relevant. Oh,

1384
01:38:46.520 --> 01:38:51.600
let's let's help. Let's hope that's
an interesting one. We have spilunt we

1385
01:38:51.800 --> 01:38:56.479
I mean we were talking. We're
talking about Rockies pitching prospects. I'm like

1386
01:38:56.600 --> 01:39:01.479
a I know fantasy show and I
just spent two hours talking about pictures period

1387
01:39:01.600 --> 01:39:08.079
Like that? Is that just getting
much love to tell the pictures? Like

1388
01:39:08.199 --> 01:39:13.239
my couple of my best buddies from
from college, we're our pictures. So

1389
01:39:14.079 --> 01:39:15.520
still keep in touch with them a
lot. You gotta you have to play

1390
01:39:15.600 --> 01:39:18.520
with them. Huh. All right, So I think that I think that'll

1391
01:39:18.560 --> 01:39:24.359
do it for episode ten of Prospect
b Sides. Next time, I think

1392
01:39:24.399 --> 01:39:30.560
we're going to start getting into organizations
and and what our deep digs have found.

1393
01:39:30.319 --> 01:39:32.479
Last week, I probably did a
bad job of this, but you

1394
01:39:32.560 --> 01:39:38.039
can follow me at Pitching Specs on
Twitter. If you like. I don't

1395
01:39:38.039 --> 01:39:40.479
know, Matt, do you want
to be followed? I don't know what

1396
01:39:40.640 --> 01:39:45.319
you do? No? No,
you can find me on the on the

1397
01:39:45.520 --> 01:39:51.439
Dynasty, Dugout Discord, occasionally the
odd posts here and there on Reddit Matt

1398
01:39:51.640 --> 01:39:57.079
at bat twenty two. But yeah, I'm not a I'm not a promotional

1399
01:39:57.159 --> 01:40:00.880
person. I'm here to support Nate
and beat him in the the silly little

1400
01:40:00.960 --> 01:40:03.920
drafts we do. Yeah, well, I follow Matt on the Prospect besides

1401
01:40:03.960 --> 01:40:08.800
podcast that too, the show.
But thank you, thank you for following

1402
01:40:08.840 --> 01:40:15.359
along. I hope you made it. I don't know. I think let's

1403
01:40:15.399 --> 01:40:17.680
say, let's see, we did
twelve. I'm gonna say at least two

1404
01:40:17.760 --> 01:40:20.600
of these guys if we do well, if we shoot part for the course,

1405
01:40:20.680 --> 01:40:25.560
two of these guys are going to
become much more popular. I think

1406
01:40:25.600 --> 01:40:29.399
you'll probably do better because the type
of guys that you picked, I think

1407
01:40:29.439 --> 01:40:32.079
we'll probably do better well. See, I mean, like all these guys,

1408
01:40:32.239 --> 01:40:35.920
like they have words, there's reasons
why other people aren't on them.

1409
01:40:36.039 --> 01:40:41.239
But they're also the kind of guys
that like one little thing changes and they

1410
01:40:41.319 --> 01:40:45.000
get an opportunity. Who knows,
But thank you, be well and we'll

1411
01:40:45.000 --> 01:40:49.239
talk to you next to mouth.
And now pace Stratten is him. You

1412
01:40:49.359 --> 01:40:57.159
hop down first with the lumpbonius face. And now on the very next pitch

1413
01:40:57.560 --> 01:41:08.199
he up and stow second things with
greatst speed. He wasn't born. He

1414
01:41:08.880 --> 01:41:12.399
had dead. Yes, uniform