WEBVTT

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Ninety five miles an hour, riding
too his head. He hopping down first

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with the lumpbonius face, and on
the very next pitch he up and stole

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second phase with gretest be he wasn't
born, he had yes uniform. Well

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well, well, welcome to episode
twelve of Prospect B Sides. I am

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Nate Handy and the rookie Matt is
joining me once again. Back again.

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Tonight is Thursday, the last night
of the AFL regular season, and I

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see your guy, Cale Durban hit
his third home run of the AFL and

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your picture there, goolfoil is.
He went three and two thirds, struck

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out six, walked to and gave
up one run. Pretty solid. And

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if I'm not mistaken, Cable Durbin
is just a couple steals off of the

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all time AFL record. I was
not aware of that. Yeah, he's

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three shy, so he probably won't
get it. But yeah, pretty good

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little showing for mister Durban. Yeah, look at you, Look at your

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guys showing up. Do you want
to maybe just give a little summary if

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there's someone new listening of what it
is we're doing. Sure? This,

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as Nate coined it, what a
couple of years ago when you started this

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is the B Sides. We're looking
for those prospects that might go underappreciated by

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the wider public lists that you see
your top hundreds, your top two hundreds,

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your top five hundreds. These guys
might not appear on those lists.

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But Nate and now the rookie me, we've dug into them and think that

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maybe they belong a little bit higher
on some of these lists. And for

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those of you playing in d for
dynasty leagues or really digging in the mud,

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as Nate likes to say, these
might be your kind of guys that

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fill out the back end of your
roster and then turn into something useful down

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the line, whether that's a big
leaguer or a throw in in a trade

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to get that guy that you really
need to put you over the top.

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We're trying to help you out,
one muddy B Sider at a time.

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Just one little bit of housekeeping.
Last week we did the Al West and

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I had failed to mention a few
of the pitchers that I had selected last

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season. But I forgot to mention
Ryan Pasteau, a pitcher in the Angel

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system from LSU. I believe drafted
what was that. I think maybe the

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twenty twenty two draft, fourth,
fifth, sixth, seventh round something like

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that. But he had kind of
caught my eye another one of these sort

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of some of all parts, more
polished, I think, decent to good

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stuff. He was injured last year. He had Tommy John surgery, but

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another arm that is not going to
be highly owned that I don't know.

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I'm anxious to kind of see come
back this season and see what he's looking

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like after the surgery. Happens a
lot with those injured guys where maybe they

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were a fourth or fifth rounder and
so someone you wanted to follow, but

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then injury and then it takes another
year to build up any innings, so

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nobody's interested. I feel like a
lot of those guys have been ones that

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have been interesting to me. Doing
this exercise this year is like, hey,

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maybe they missed part of the last
year and a half and now they're

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coming back and showing something. So
I do like to flag those guys for

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sure. Yeah, And I think
sort of throughout the little B side history,

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injury is a part of a lot
of it. Guys that missed time,

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didn't play. They can slip through
the cracks, so the Dodgers B

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side history. I don't think we've
really had much success. Matt. I

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wanted to mention my pitchers selection last
season was Luis Valdez, a young left

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d that I watched a total of
two innings of last season and was actually

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kind of dumb enough to go on
a Baseball America fantasy Well. I don't

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know what they called it extravaganza and
talked about him, but he's a young

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pitcher. He was traded to the
Rangers. I forget what the whole trade

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was, but he is an arm
that I want to pay attention to this

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year as well. He did not
start off nearly as well as I had

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hoped. I kind of saw young
lefty who threw fairly hard and had really

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good command of secondaries. Again,
this was two innings, but pairing that

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with some of his rookie numbers from
that season, I think he had walked

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three batters in like forty three innings
or something like that. Young teenage left

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in the Dodgers system. This could
get interest in good command stuff, and

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like I said, didn't start off
the greatest, but was traded to the

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Rangers, who I happened to know
liked him as a low cost, high

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reward type of arm. So maybe
I wasn't too off of my rocker.

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There was some people who do this
for a living who had some interest in

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him as well. And then what
I had selected Ermine Rosario in our picture

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draft a few episodes ago, so
I won't get into any more arms here.

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So Matt, you got a Dodger's
arm that you want to kind of

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put a stamp on this year.
Wow, we're really starting out hot.

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You know, your Dodger's arm is
no longer in the system and has scuffled

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a little bit since you picked him. And as we were saying before starting

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the pod that Dodgers' arms in particular
were pretty tough. It seems like when

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their arms performed, they really perform
well, and they get that fantasy industry

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excitement behind them, and the ownership
rate shoot way up. I don't know

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whether it's something in common with the
meritors hype machine, but the Dodgers,

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especially with arms, once they start
performing, it seems like everybody jumps on

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board. The guys that I thought
might make my lists coming when we first

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started talking about this that were a
little bit underappreciated, guys like Kyle Hurt.

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I really liked what he did this
year, and he was definitely at

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the very back of a bunch of
prospect lists even at mid season this year,

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but I had liked what I had
seen. He finished the year so

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strong that I think he's gonna be
a top one hundred guy in places,

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and he's now pretty firmly in above
our ownership thresholds. I think when I

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pulled it, it was like at
six percent already, which is way too

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high for US B siders. Emmitt
Shean, Maddox Bruns like these are guys

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that they, you know, maybe
didn't have as much hype this time last

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year, but really did figure things
out and obviously their ownership shot up.

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Even a guy like Justin Robleski,
who is again someone that fits the mold

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of the kind of pitchers that I
like. You know, he's lefty,

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he gets ground balls, doesn't walk. A lot of guys like kind of

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that command projection kind of picture.
He was way too owned for this exercise

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as well, and I think,
and I think a couple of places have

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him ranked in top three hundreds or
so, so you know, those kinds

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of guys, once they start doing
well, the Dodgers system, people start

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to take notice, and indeed I
agree with that because I think a lot

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of those guys are going to get
a shot next year with how thin the

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Dodger's rotation has become. So definitely
good hunting grounds for those impact arms.

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But trying to go a layer deeper, it was either guys with really short

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track records or guys that after watching
a little bit, it's like, oh,

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yeah, it's really earned that bad
walk rate, or yeah, it

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doesn't seem like this is going to
play at the next level. So I

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struggled a little bit for this.
Guys that I tried to look at.

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You know, Joel Ibarra is one
who I had seen a couple of years

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ago. I think Eric long and
hanging at Fangrafts had written about how this

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is a converted shirt stop and really
power arm and maybe if there's something there.

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Well, he still is incredibly raw, even two years into the pitching

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experiment and it's reliever only, and
he walked eighteen percent of batters, Like

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I'm just out. I don't really
care how good the stuff is. If

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you're that high, it's like,
it's not my kind of guy. So

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I did go with the guy who
shares some similarities with that in that he's

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a reliever only and has some command
issues. But I went with Brydon Fisher.

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He's a twenty two year old,
was drafted all the way back in

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twenty eighteen out of high school.
Almost immediately dealt with injuries, you know,

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short stint in his draft year,
and then he had Tommy John in

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twenty nineteen, lost all of twenty
twenty to the pandemic, and then since

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he's been back, they mostly have
just had him in the bullpen. They

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give him a couple of starts here
and there, but he seems to be

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a bullpen only arm. He's up
to Double A this year and finishing up

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in Double A. He started at
high this year. Ran Fisher ran a

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two seven to seven ERA across sixty
five innings. He did get one start,

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but it was an open rather than
like any sort of length. He

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did throw a couple innings here and
there. But Molessly, who was used

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in short stints, he struck out
a lot of batters like that was the

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thing that across all the levels that
he's pitched so far, he has stuff.

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It's a good fastball, gets some
whiffs on but an absolute hammer of

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a curveball, really kind of a
fun curveball. It's firm and it has

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that really sharp bite. Got a
lot of swings and misses and a lot

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of ground balls with that pitch,
and also throws a cutter slider kind of

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thing. I didn't think that one
was as good as the curveball. But

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the stuff plays like. He doesn't
get hit very hard and gets his whiffs

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thirty three percent strike out rate this
year, but he walked thirteen and a

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half percent, and at times it
looks pretty wild. He'll let that fastball

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go up and away and really loose
commanded that the curveball, it has a

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ton of movement, and if he's
not locating that hitters really just if they

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can spit on that pitch, they
sit on the fastball because I don't think

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the slider is as much of a
weapon, And when that happens, he

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gets hit a little bit harder and
also walks more guys. So it's not

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a super exciting arm, but I've
seen enough of him this year that this

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could be a medium leverage arm for
the Dodgers pretty soon. The stuff looks

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like it'll play, especially if he
tightens up the walk rate just a bit.

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This might be he has a chance
to be at the back end in

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the higher leverage innings, but as
of right now, i'd say, you

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know, fifty to fifty for him
to make the bigs. And if he

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does, at least initially, I'm
guessing it's going to be in a lower

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leverage kind of a couple innings here, a couple innings there, mop up

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kind of role. But yeah,
Brandon Fisher, there's something interesting here,

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but it's not the most exciting guy
that I've seen. Right on, not

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an arm that I think I'm familiar
with, So right on, thank you,

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that's you selected number one. Number
one one briefly mentioned Austin gott here.

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Again he's he's my Dodgers pick.
There's a couple of other Dodgers that

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were interesting. I wanted to talk
myself into Ryan Ward at triple A kind

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of utility guy left field, right
field for space corner guy. Not super

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excited about him, but there's some
power speed blend there and the kra wasn't

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terrible, but you know, ultimately
he didn't rise to that to the lofty

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levels of Gotier. Again, it's
one of these just like really well rounded

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hitters that the Dodgers seemed to have
a few of in the Jorbet Vivas Miguel

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Vargas kind of mode where a lot
of line drives a lot of doubles,

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doesn't strike out very much, has
a good eye. You know, he

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walked basically as much as he struck
out last year and made it up to

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double a. Actually walked more than
then he struck out. You know,

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He's got a really really strong plate
approach and is pretty quick, and I

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think can play the infield like he's
going to play somewhere in the infield,

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maybe even left field if they wanted
to try him out there. But yeah,

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Austin Gotier I think is really good. And Gothier got a present ninety

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seven WRC plus projection from Steamer,
which is pretty impressive for somebody who's unheralded

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and I think validated my B side
number one selection. Like it's basically saying

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he's a league average hitter right now. That's pretty good for someone that was

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one or two percent owned YEA at
the end of the year. So Austin

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Goffier, I've remain pretty excited about
him. I think he is actually a

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big league regular in the making,
and that is gold for us mutters.

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There were two pretty young bats that
I'm just more curious about. I don't

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know if you saw any of these
guys, but they have a young infielder,

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Juel Perez, who started the season
in a ball wouldn't say he was

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particularly great. He's a young eighteen
year old, and then they sent him

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back down to the complex. He
really turned it on the last couple months

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there or whatever, slug like over
six hundred over like his last thirty five

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games, so I'm interested in just
watching him again. Then they got a

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young catcher, Jesu's Ali's, who
I think had a decent little season at

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a ball nineteen year old. Got
to keep my eye on him, but

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they weren't really I didn't really feel
great about making them B side selections.

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Maybe this is kind of being cheap
or cheating a little bit mad. I

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didn't really want to do this,
but I'm just going to double up on

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my Dodger bat selection from last season
and go with Junior Garcia last year what

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he was twenty years old. I
believe this is a very powerful bat who

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I think kind of had the reputation
of chasing too much, not a good

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approach and all that kind of stuff, But that wasn't really what I was

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seeing on the video. And then
he had he just absolutely dominated the end

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of his a ball run last season, his last two hundred and sixty one

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played appearances there, he went like
three point fifty three, four to twenty

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three, slug six twelve, hit
twelve home runs, and playing for Rancho,

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you don't you know, you don't
get their broadcasts, but some of

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the some of the home runs that
you did see were just urminator as sort

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of distance and ridiculousness. And then
he got moved up to Hi A at

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the end of twenty twenty two.
I think he struggled a little bit,

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and then this season he was back
at High A, but he didn't play

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for very very long. He only
got in what one hundred and seventy five

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played appearances, I think maybe even
less. I don't know if some of

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that was some rehab. Didn't really
do anything spectacular. He had two to

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eighty, slugged three thirty now excuse
me on base three thirty, slugged four

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sixteen, hit five home runs,
So nothing super spectacular, but I'm just

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gonna kind of maybe take twenty twenty
three is just kind of a throw it

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away year and see what Garcia looks
like this year. I know Clegg had

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gotten into some of his you know, data, and there was lots of

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hard hit and lots of evs and
things of that nature, and I think

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he had gotten a little interested in
him coming into this year. But you

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know, of course lots of ifs. Garcia just feels like a guy who

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could potentially have like a thirty home
run minor league season if it all goes

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well, and that would surely boost
his zero percent roster percentage right now.

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So I don't know who's the dadgers, and I just couldn't really find anybody

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that was a little bit more enticing
them Garcia, So I'm just going to

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stick with him. Have you watched
him at all, Matt, I have

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watched a fair amount of him.
I was on him coming into this year

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and had him in a couple of
leagues, partly, I think on your

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recommendation as well as Clegg saying some
of the underlying data was pretty good.

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The kid hits the ball really hard, which I like, seemed to have

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a pretty good plate approach, which
I think took a little bit of a

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step back this year. It seemed
in both categories. I did end up

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thinking both leagues that I had him, I dropped him because the power just

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wasn't showing up. I hope that
it was all related to whatever injuries he

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had this year. And what were
the injuries? Do you have any idea?

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I don't know. I thought one
of them was a back or something.

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I had asked a couple of people
who might be in the know,

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and nobody seemed to know what the
issue was. So I just know he

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missed a bunch of time and it
wasn't very good when he came back to

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which I was kind of bummed about. Didn't hit a homer after he came

225
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back from his injury. And I
don't know. I again was pretty excited

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about him coming into this year.
So I think seeing writing this off as

227
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a lost injury year might prove prescient
and he could really turn it on.

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But yeah, tough year for junior. Yeah, still quite young, he

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did have like he still managed the
one O three w RC plus in a

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short time. The Midwest League is
not necessarily the most homer friendly of leagues,

231
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especially early in the year, but
I don't know. Yeah, I

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think he was around early in the
season, so yes, we'll see the

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year. Yeah, through early May
he was in the Northwest League and yeah,

234
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yeah, not an easy place to
hit early in the season or pitch.

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So yeah, the pretty boy dadgers
not muddy enough for us. Matt.

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Look, I think that Junior Garcia
might be a more interesting hitter than

237
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Yesuaya Paula. And that is a
hot take because JDP is in some top

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fifties and people love to talk about
his sweet swing and advanced approach. And

239
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I will admit he does have an
advance approach. He knows the strike zone

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pretty well, and he doesn't whiff
a lot. It's it's a pretty like

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he makes a lot of contact.
But I don't know if I'm not a

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really big Twitter x guy. But
apparently there's a big storm over the GM

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00:17:40.799 --> 00:17:45.480
meetings because Brian Cashman is talking about
they're going to play more small ball and

244
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bunting, and somebody else was talking
about contact is king and oh, I

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think Jerry Depoto actually he mentioned this
that they want guys that make more contact

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00:17:53.319 --> 00:17:57.799
and don't strike out as much.
And some of the smart people on Twitter,

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like Mike Petrie, Hello he,
I guess tweeted out about like how

248
00:18:03.319 --> 00:18:07.640
Yeah, the teams that draft and
prioritize contact over everything else, they also

249
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hit the fewest homers and they aren't
very good offenses. That's the Nationals and

250
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the Guardians, Like they're the two
highest contact organizations, and they were twenty

251
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nine and thirty in home runs hit
this year. I think just way to

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Paula is that kind of hitter his
For all his you know, six'

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three athletic looking, big strung kid, I think he swings very soft for

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someone that should be impacting the ball. And part of it I talked about

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the way his swing works. I
think he is prioritizing that contact way too

256
00:18:37.599 --> 00:18:41.039
much and he should be whipping more
and hitting the ball a lot harder.

257
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And part of that is that I
don't think his hands work through the ball

258
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very well. He's very good at
hitting at the ball, and so he

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makes a lot of contact. But
I think when he does make contact,

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there's a lot of side spin.
It's very much singles here. He might

261
00:18:57.720 --> 00:19:02.480
find a gap and hit a double, but he hit like one home run

262
00:19:02.799 --> 00:19:07.039
in the Cow League. And Rancho
is a really great place to hit,

263
00:19:07.200 --> 00:19:11.000
especially for lefties. Like, I'm
just not sold that this is an impact

264
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bat. And you know, BA
shared that he had pretty good exit velo

265
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data and you expect it to grow
maybe a little bit over the next year

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or two. But I'm just not
seeing a good hitter. I'm just not

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seeing like someone who is comped to
Jordan Alvarez or whatever some of the crazy

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comps were coming into this year,
and so I think the hype on him

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is like wildly out of proportion to
what his actual skills are going to be.

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I feel like I'm just on an
island about this, and it just

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gets me going every time because I
like, people are so excited about him.

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I have him in the league,
and I am cannot wait to trade

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him this offseason or next year because
I just don't see it. I don't

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see like I don't think he's going
to make the big leags. Like that's

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my take right now. So that's
a hot take for me. And you

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00:20:03.240 --> 00:20:07.599
did bait me into talking about him, even though I promised myself coming in

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that I was just going to talk
about the guys that I actually was excited

278
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about. But the Dodger shark it
felt right, we're gonna get into some

279
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like pretty boy bashing, right,
and then yeah, I think I think

280
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that's going to be part of our
show. So it's a good warm up.

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00:20:25.240 --> 00:20:30.200
JDP. Matt is not a fan
and no, but I think by

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association neither am I. So let's
do the Diamondbacks, Matt, let's get

283
00:20:36.319 --> 00:20:41.519
into it. I'm curious. Jorge
Barossa was my selection for a few years

284
00:20:41.519 --> 00:20:45.680
now or for a few years in
the past. Few seasons in the past,

285
00:20:45.960 --> 00:20:48.240
he's been on the forty man for
a minute, he's up to like

286
00:20:48.319 --> 00:20:51.920
seven percent. And I don't know
if you've watched much of him, but

287
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man, what a little mighty mouse
of a guy. Love him. This

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00:20:56.680 --> 00:21:00.279
is one of my favorite b sides
of yours ever. And I oh,

289
00:21:00.480 --> 00:21:03.680
I think in like every league that
I could. I'm a big fan of

290
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the skills. Yeah, this is
my kind of guy. Nice is what

291
00:21:07.720 --> 00:21:12.359
list five to five and he's probably
that oh yeah, switch hitter, he's

292
00:21:12.480 --> 00:21:15.960
uh, he's better. He's better
as a lefty, I think, but

293
00:21:17.079 --> 00:21:21.119
that, but not much worse as
a righty. Do home runs. This

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00:21:21.200 --> 00:21:26.079
last season, right handed dude eighty
walks to eighty two strikeouts on the season.

295
00:21:26.160 --> 00:21:27.319
This is all in Triple A,
right, I think he played his

296
00:21:27.359 --> 00:21:30.200
whole season in Triple A. Yeah. Yeah, this was kind of fun

297
00:21:30.319 --> 00:21:33.680
play and you get some of that
stack cast stuff. Uh. He had

298
00:21:33.680 --> 00:21:37.799
a max VLO of one oh nine
and an average of eighty seven. I

299
00:21:37.839 --> 00:21:41.799
was not really expecting that, Matt. But that's the little juicier than I

300
00:21:41.839 --> 00:21:45.799
thought you'd get a little bit.
It is still pretty significantly below average,

301
00:21:47.079 --> 00:21:51.960
but definitely more juice than you might
expect from someone who is that small.

302
00:21:52.079 --> 00:21:55.160
He's still quite young, what twenty
two, twenty three years old? Yeah,

303
00:21:55.200 --> 00:21:59.480
a nice season. Two seventy four, three ninety four, four fifty

304
00:21:59.519 --> 00:22:04.000
six. Now outfield and Arizona is
probably a little crowded. I think Brosa

305
00:22:04.359 --> 00:22:07.400
is gonna get He's gonna get a
chance this soon here. Don't you think

306
00:22:07.599 --> 00:22:12.799
I worry about the opportunity, like
you say, with Carol locked in,

307
00:22:14.039 --> 00:22:18.720
right, they're gonna play Carol every
day. Alec Thomas is one of the

308
00:22:18.759 --> 00:22:23.039
best defensive players in all of baseball
and one of the best center fielders in

309
00:22:23.079 --> 00:22:30.880
all of baseball, and they have
had quite a few options in left field.

310
00:22:30.279 --> 00:22:33.279
There are options that they were playing
in left field. I think are

311
00:22:33.359 --> 00:22:37.519
leaving via free agency this year,
so you're not gonna see Guriel out there.

312
00:22:37.519 --> 00:22:41.000
You're not gonna see fam out there. Maybe Barrossa does get some run.

313
00:22:41.279 --> 00:22:45.759
Jake McCarthy is there, Don Fletcher
is there. Both guys are likely

314
00:22:45.799 --> 00:22:49.000
to see some time as well.
But I think we're going to get to

315
00:22:49.039 --> 00:22:53.480
see an opportunity to see if this
profile works for Barissa at the big league

316
00:22:53.519 --> 00:22:57.359
level next year, and I'm pumped
for it. He's no slouge defensively himself.

317
00:22:57.599 --> 00:23:02.359
We're only like a week away from
forty Man's having to be decided,

318
00:23:02.440 --> 00:23:04.640
right. Do you think there's any
chance that they knock him off the forty

319
00:23:04.680 --> 00:23:10.240
and put them out there for great
I don't think so. I think they're

320
00:23:10.279 --> 00:23:12.480
going to keep him on the forty
man. Yeah, because they've got a

321
00:23:12.519 --> 00:23:17.279
little bit of room since they're they're
having a couple of guys leaving free agency

322
00:23:17.279 --> 00:23:19.319
and so, and I also don't
think he's at the top of that list,

323
00:23:19.599 --> 00:23:22.920
is my guess. I think it's
a lot more likely they put something

324
00:23:22.000 --> 00:23:27.759
like Blade Alexander bump him off the
forty man, maybe even Diego Casillo before

325
00:23:29.559 --> 00:23:32.799
they cut Barroso. So I do
think Boris is going to get a look

326
00:23:33.000 --> 00:23:38.440
before decent. Besides success story there
arms, Matt, I didn't have a

327
00:23:38.519 --> 00:23:44.440
large list of arms that really interests
me. This raster percentage in this organization.

328
00:23:44.559 --> 00:23:48.960
Was that the same for you?
I agree, there were a few

329
00:23:48.000 --> 00:23:53.640
that were interesting. I mean,
so I was basically down to Ricardo Yan,

330
00:23:55.039 --> 00:23:59.119
who I really don't love all that
much. I mean, he's got

331
00:23:59.599 --> 00:24:03.079
he's got breaking ball, right,
I don't really have a lot of faith

332
00:24:03.119 --> 00:24:07.319
in the fastball. So I was
just gonna double up on my selection from

333
00:24:07.400 --> 00:24:11.359
last year again and be a little
cheap. But I think, if I'm

334
00:24:11.400 --> 00:24:15.559
not mistaken, that's also the guy
that you want to go with, right

335
00:24:15.839 --> 00:24:18.240
it is. And when I selected
him, I didn't know that that was

336
00:24:18.599 --> 00:24:22.480
your god right, But yeah,
that's no, No, that's that's fine.

337
00:24:22.519 --> 00:24:26.119
I think we should I think we
should just double stamp him for another

338
00:24:26.240 --> 00:24:30.759
go here and let's talk about him. We'll lead us off. He's a

339
00:24:32.200 --> 00:24:37.039
what twenty three year old Venezuelan now, And you know it's interesting sometimes these

340
00:24:37.480 --> 00:24:42.200
not created yet in fantreks guys can
turn into a little bit of something and

341
00:24:42.359 --> 00:24:47.680
or get some attention, like I
think shortly after I had spoke about him

342
00:24:47.720 --> 00:24:52.599
last offseason. I think he did
show up on the back of some top

343
00:24:52.640 --> 00:24:56.440
thirty lists with Diaz. It's the
fastball, right, I think I saw

344
00:24:57.279 --> 00:25:00.759
I want to say, like sixty
five. I was put on the fastball

345
00:25:02.160 --> 00:25:07.119
regularly hits the high nineties. It's
pretty good, it's pretty nasty. And

346
00:25:07.119 --> 00:25:11.559
then he pairs that with two low
eighties breakers. So I don't think he

347
00:25:11.640 --> 00:25:15.720
really has like a medium speed.
And let's see what this year. He

348
00:25:15.920 --> 00:25:21.000
was in High A and then got
bumped up to double A for two or

349
00:25:21.039 --> 00:25:23.519
three regular season starts, and then
they actually had him start twice in the

350
00:25:23.519 --> 00:25:27.559
playoffs. One game he fared pretty
well. I think he gave up like

351
00:25:27.640 --> 00:25:33.279
two runs, went like five or
something like that. Then the second playoff

352
00:25:33.359 --> 00:25:37.559
game he started off really well,
pretty much just blew through the lineup the

353
00:25:37.599 --> 00:25:42.400
first time through, and then got
into some trouble gave up some home runs,

354
00:25:42.559 --> 00:25:48.279
which I think he is susceptible to
doing. Diaz's biggest issue is command.

355
00:25:48.599 --> 00:25:52.559
Right, what was his walk rate
on the season. It wasn't pretty.

356
00:25:52.599 --> 00:25:55.759
I think it was over five.
I think it was over five per

357
00:25:55.880 --> 00:26:02.440
nine. Now, his strikeout rate
was I think fantastic. What over thirteen

358
00:26:02.519 --> 00:26:06.279
per nine, right, I think
he has thrown a change up, but

359
00:26:06.319 --> 00:26:08.279
I don't think I saw any in
my looks this year, Matt. Maybe

360
00:26:08.319 --> 00:26:15.079
maybe you caught some. I did
catch a couple of his change ups,

361
00:26:15.119 --> 00:26:18.400
and you know, you're saying,
how does he do in that middle velocity

362
00:26:18.519 --> 00:26:26.000
range? His sweeper and his change
are pretty similar velocity bands, And then

363
00:26:26.039 --> 00:26:30.000
he's got the curveball, which I
think has a lot more downward plane movement.

364
00:26:30.480 --> 00:26:33.240
Yeah, but I caught that mostly
in the high seventies. So you

365
00:26:33.279 --> 00:26:36.640
know, maybe the sweeper, maybe
the change or that middle range for him,

366
00:26:36.680 --> 00:26:38.000
but yeah, yeah, I think
I think the sweeper too, at

367
00:26:38.039 --> 00:26:41.160
least when I saw it and there
was some vilo, I don't think it

368
00:26:41.200 --> 00:26:45.000
was getting more than like eighty two
on it. Yeah, I saw eighty

369
00:26:45.000 --> 00:26:48.440
to eighty three. Yeah, okay, But you know, he is a

370
00:26:48.759 --> 00:26:52.759
he is an arm that the quality
of the fastball and the breakers, I

371
00:26:52.759 --> 00:26:55.359
mean, he might be able to
get away with it, but not with

372
00:26:55.559 --> 00:26:59.079
his sort of execution. I don't
think the slider command I think can get

373
00:26:59.200 --> 00:27:03.680
quite unprefer fessional at times. And
the fastball, I'd say he probably like

374
00:27:03.000 --> 00:27:07.319
controls it well enough, but I
don't think he really spots it all that

375
00:27:07.400 --> 00:27:08.720
well. You know, the fastball, he tries to play it up in

376
00:27:08.759 --> 00:27:12.160
the zone, leaves it down a
little too far, and that can get

377
00:27:12.240 --> 00:27:15.960
hit hard at times. You kind
of pair that with his size, delivery,

378
00:27:17.400 --> 00:27:22.759
lack of efficiency, Like he was
rarely over sixty percent strikes as a

379
00:27:22.799 --> 00:27:26.559
starter in his outings. This year, he loses effectiveness the second time through.

380
00:27:26.759 --> 00:27:30.160
It's easy to see how he may
be better suited for the bullpen,

381
00:27:30.240 --> 00:27:34.440
but the Dbacks have stayed committed to
some of these arms. You know in

382
00:27:34.519 --> 00:27:40.000
recent history that that sure seemed like
a future bullpen type, but you know,

383
00:27:40.039 --> 00:27:45.960
with debatable results. I think Jamison
and Nelson there were points where I

384
00:27:45.000 --> 00:27:49.480
felt like they were very much seemed
suited for bullpen and starting wasn't really going

385
00:27:49.559 --> 00:27:52.640
to work out. You know,
Jamison's probably now in the bullpen, but

386
00:27:52.720 --> 00:27:56.640
Nelson's still starting. He threw just
over I mean, he threw one hundred

387
00:27:56.680 --> 00:28:00.400
and twelve innings this year if you
include the playoffs. I'm sorry, his

388
00:28:00.799 --> 00:28:06.000
caper nine was at just over twelve, not thirteen. That was it dropped

389
00:28:06.039 --> 00:28:10.000
a little bit at double it,
but it was still over thirty percent strike

390
00:28:10.319 --> 00:28:12.079
strike up percentage on the air,
which is really good. So see Mann,

391
00:28:12.319 --> 00:28:15.440
I can be a bit of a
stuff guy too. I'm not all

392
00:28:15.480 --> 00:28:18.880
command give them my options here.
I wanted to just kind of double down

393
00:28:18.960 --> 00:28:25.119
on Diz because I think even if
this does just end up as a bullpen

394
00:28:25.279 --> 00:28:27.799
arm, I think he could be
quite good at it. But I think

395
00:28:27.839 --> 00:28:30.759
the Diamondbacks are going to stick with
it and see if the if you can

396
00:28:30.799 --> 00:28:34.400
tighten things up. I don't really
think there was much improvement in that throughout

397
00:28:34.440 --> 00:28:37.319
the course of this year, but
I don't know, maybe maybe you've got

398
00:28:37.440 --> 00:28:41.240
got some other observations. Well,
I'll double tap on everything you said.

399
00:28:41.279 --> 00:28:45.160
I think that this is a stuff
over command arm, which is a bit

400
00:28:45.240 --> 00:28:51.480
unusual for us. Some of that
was the rest of the options for either

401
00:28:51.799 --> 00:28:55.240
kind of command only guys. And
I think Yon and to a lesser excent

402
00:28:55.519 --> 00:29:00.599
or to even a greater extent,
Lynn both are command guys that have solid

403
00:29:00.599 --> 00:29:03.359
command, but I don't think their
stuff is going to keep up with We're

404
00:29:03.519 --> 00:29:07.160
kind of dominated up to this point, and they're both getting pretty popular.

405
00:29:07.359 --> 00:29:11.599
Diaz has great stuff. I'm a
fan of the slider. I think it

406
00:29:11.680 --> 00:29:17.000
pairs pretty well with the fastball and
the few changes that I saw it seemed

407
00:29:17.039 --> 00:29:18.599
like he just has no idea really
where it's going, so he doesn't really

408
00:29:18.640 --> 00:29:22.680
trust it that much and ends up
not throwing it a lot. But the

409
00:29:22.839 --> 00:29:26.480
stuff will play. I mean,
this is an arm that would not look

410
00:29:26.559 --> 00:29:30.200
out of place on a big league
bullpen delivery. He falls off to the

411
00:29:30.279 --> 00:29:36.079
left pretty hard. He does sit
a bit out of control in the delivery.

412
00:29:36.359 --> 00:29:38.799
At one of the starts that I
wanted to highlight, he actually outdueled

413
00:29:38.880 --> 00:29:44.839
Jack Lighter after Lighter came back and
looked pretty good during that stretch in double

414
00:29:44.880 --> 00:29:48.920
A. The only damage in that
outing was an opposite field home run from

415
00:29:48.960 --> 00:29:53.160
Wyatt Langford, so he kind of
dominated a pretty good lineup for I think

416
00:29:53.160 --> 00:29:57.240
it was like five and two thirds, and the only knock against him was

417
00:29:57.519 --> 00:30:03.640
why at Langford is ridiculously good baseball
player, Like, yeah, that's that

418
00:30:03.880 --> 00:30:07.680
seems like a decent arm, but
yeah, the command is just what it's

419
00:30:07.680 --> 00:30:10.799
going to hold him back, like
if he can take even a small step

420
00:30:10.839 --> 00:30:15.839
forward. Thirteen percent walk rate is
bad. It's been bad for a pretty

421
00:30:15.839 --> 00:30:19.440
long time. And even when he's
going pretty well, like you see one

422
00:30:19.559 --> 00:30:22.920
or two walks in a start,
and those are the good ones, It's

423
00:30:22.960 --> 00:30:26.319
like, that's tough, but the
stuff is very good, and I'm definitely

424
00:30:26.359 --> 00:30:30.480
interested in following him. I wonder
if he gets a little time with the

425
00:30:30.519 --> 00:30:34.000
major league coaches next spring training whether
that might help. I mean, they

426
00:30:34.039 --> 00:30:40.039
say Brent Strom is pretty good at
getting guys tightening up their command. Although

427
00:30:40.480 --> 00:30:45.039
I mentioned the other week that I
was reading Winning Fixes Everything about the Astros

428
00:30:45.039 --> 00:30:48.200
and obviously stroms with the Astros for
a while there, and they have a

429
00:30:48.240 --> 00:30:52.440
bit towards the end of the book
about how one of the things that they

430
00:30:52.640 --> 00:30:56.640
think Brent Strom was really good at
was having his pictures apply sticky stuff to

431
00:30:56.680 --> 00:31:00.640
their hands, and that that was
like a big part of what the sort

432
00:31:00.680 --> 00:31:03.119
of instant Brent Stram effect was.
And I thought that was an interesting anecdote,

433
00:31:03.160 --> 00:31:07.319
and I wonder, I wonder if
there's still some truth to that they

434
00:31:07.319 --> 00:31:10.799
called it. Was it Strom sticky
bucket would just bring it to their first

435
00:31:10.799 --> 00:31:15.319
bullpen and all of a sudden their
stuff goes up, like talk some bats,

436
00:31:15.640 --> 00:31:19.839
those stinky, those stinky bats.
I'm going to athletes. I think

437
00:31:19.880 --> 00:31:22.720
I'm gonna let you go first,
Matt, because I think you're going to

438
00:31:22.759 --> 00:31:26.039
select a guy that I was going
to talk about a little bit, but

439
00:31:26.160 --> 00:31:29.039
why don't you just go for it? All right? Well, my guy

440
00:31:29.119 --> 00:31:33.920
that I'm going to go for is
Christian Sirdup Curda is a twenty year old

441
00:31:33.920 --> 00:31:36.920
catcher made it up to High A
this year. I got to see him

442
00:31:36.960 --> 00:31:41.160
live a couple of times out in
Hillsboro. Has kind of had a kind

443
00:31:41.200 --> 00:31:45.359
of interesting line this year. Full
full season, four hundred and seventy played

444
00:31:45.359 --> 00:31:48.799
appearances. He had eleven homers two
forty seven average, four h two on

445
00:31:48.960 --> 00:31:53.400
base three ninety seven slut. Pretty
unusual line. He only struck out twenty

446
00:31:53.440 --> 00:31:57.559
percent of the time, again at
an advanced level for his age. All

447
00:31:57.559 --> 00:32:00.839
good for a one twenty six w
RC plus, but if you're doing your

448
00:32:00.880 --> 00:32:05.559
math really quickly there he hit two
forty seven but had a four to ho

449
00:32:05.599 --> 00:32:12.000
two on base percentage. That is
a huge walk grate twenty percent walk grate

450
00:32:12.440 --> 00:32:15.799
nineteen point eight actually, But he
basically walked as much as he struck out,

451
00:32:15.839 --> 00:32:20.640
and he walked a boatload. And
this plays out with watching him.

452
00:32:20.680 --> 00:32:22.480
He has kind of a funky stance. He's a big dude. There's no

453
00:32:22.599 --> 00:32:27.680
speed here whatsoever, but boyd does
he know the strike zone, and boyd

454
00:32:27.799 --> 00:32:30.279
is he geared to take advantage.
I think one of the games that I

455
00:32:30.279 --> 00:32:35.599
saw him live, Winja from the
Giants, was thrown against him, and

456
00:32:35.839 --> 00:32:37.799
I think he walked him three times. His certa doesn't give in, so

457
00:32:37.839 --> 00:32:42.240
if it's in the zone, he's
fouling it off or trying to spoil those

458
00:32:42.279 --> 00:32:45.400
pitches. And if it's out of
the zone, the man doesn't swing really,

459
00:32:45.480 --> 00:32:49.720
lets those wild pitchers give him the
free base. These kinds of skills

460
00:32:50.240 --> 00:32:52.759
tough to do, tough to fake, I guess. So it really seems

461
00:32:52.799 --> 00:32:57.200
to me like, even given that
the command for pictures is a lot worse

462
00:32:57.640 --> 00:33:00.279
in the lower miners, he's at
the level now where like, this is

463
00:33:00.400 --> 00:33:05.759
a real skill that he's showing and
it's one of the most valuable ones.

464
00:33:06.119 --> 00:33:08.319
I wish he hit the ball a
little bit harder. I think there's room

465
00:33:08.359 --> 00:33:13.920
to unlock that with his swing.
Again, his setup is a little bit

466
00:33:14.160 --> 00:33:16.960
awkward. He kind of has like
a big crouch and then like his left

467
00:33:17.039 --> 00:33:21.960
leg is almost straight out in front
of him and his hands are kind of

468
00:33:22.079 --> 00:33:24.880
high, none of which I would
teach if I was trying to get him

469
00:33:24.880 --> 00:33:28.880
to unlock a little bit more power. But he seems like a strong guy

470
00:33:29.319 --> 00:33:32.200
and with the underlying plate skills.
I was excited about him, and I'm

471
00:33:32.240 --> 00:33:37.039
excited to see where he goes next
year. Did you get a chance to

472
00:33:37.079 --> 00:33:40.920
watch Surta much? Yeah, I've
watched a little bit. I wasn't binge

473
00:33:40.920 --> 00:33:47.759
watching him. He's one of like
three Ish techer prospects in their system that

474
00:33:47.960 --> 00:33:52.319
has kind of gotten my interest,
called my attention a little bit. One

475
00:33:52.319 --> 00:33:54.960
thing about Surta. I saw him, well, he only had one stolen

476
00:33:55.039 --> 00:34:00.799
base on the season, but I've
seen him stretch a couple of singles into

477
00:34:00.839 --> 00:34:02.480
doubles and I was like, hey, you can kind of run a little

478
00:34:02.519 --> 00:34:07.759
bit. I think he did steal
five last year, so it's not like

479
00:34:07.839 --> 00:34:10.199
a total zero. But he's a
big dude, and I don't think speed

480
00:34:10.320 --> 00:34:13.400
is ever going to be a part
of his game. Oh no, no,

481
00:34:13.440 --> 00:34:15.440
not at all, but a little
bit more athletic. You might think

482
00:34:15.760 --> 00:34:21.159
he was an undrafted an undrafted free
agent of the Rays. Look at the

483
00:34:21.239 --> 00:34:25.599
Rays trading undrafted free agents part of
the Parolta trade. I think, oh,

484
00:34:25.679 --> 00:34:29.639
yeah, you know, just catching
at bats and stuff, Matt,

485
00:34:29.679 --> 00:34:31.719
You know that I don't like guys
who are up there to take walks man

486
00:34:32.079 --> 00:34:35.480
especially. I know, I know, this isn't your kind of guy,

487
00:34:35.480 --> 00:34:38.079
but that's why I had to highlight
him a bit, because he's got those

488
00:34:38.159 --> 00:34:43.760
sort of like old professional hitter skills
and if someone can unlock a little bit

489
00:34:43.800 --> 00:34:46.719
more power out of him, this
is a pretty interesting guy. Now,

490
00:34:47.000 --> 00:34:51.719
he's strictly a catcher, right,
I don't think he plays anywhere else.

491
00:34:51.920 --> 00:34:55.119
Did you catch any JJ Dirazio?
Yes, I did watch a little of

492
00:34:55.199 --> 00:34:59.480
him. He's a catcher that seems
to be just kind of like one step

493
00:34:59.480 --> 00:35:01.760
in front of in their system.
Mm hmm. Yeah, it was probably

494
00:35:01.760 --> 00:35:06.840
gonna have to get past him.
But Manu di Erazzio, So when I

495
00:35:06.920 --> 00:35:09.599
did you know? I Binge watched
down near all like Dylan Rays starts and

496
00:35:09.639 --> 00:35:14.440
wrote a little bit about him.
Dirazzio is catching him pretty much every one

497
00:35:14.480 --> 00:35:19.199
of those starts, and man,
he impressed me behind the dish defensively calling

498
00:35:19.239 --> 00:35:22.760
them the game. I'm pretty sure
he was like calling his own games offensively.

499
00:35:22.840 --> 00:35:25.199
What he hit like two seventy six, three thirty one, only slugg

500
00:35:25.280 --> 00:35:29.480
three thirty three. I don't think
he's like a total slouch at the plate,

501
00:35:29.639 --> 00:35:31.639
so, you know, more of
a real life prospect, if you

502
00:35:31.679 --> 00:35:35.719
will. But he's kind of interesting
to me. I think he's hitting some

503
00:35:35.880 --> 00:35:37.480
top thirties too, so sorta is
gonna have to get get in front of

504
00:35:37.559 --> 00:35:40.559
him. I think I think he's
going to that's my take. I think

505
00:35:42.679 --> 00:35:45.679
I also thought Serta was a pretty
good receiver. I didn't see a ton

506
00:35:45.760 --> 00:35:49.280
of him throwing guys out, so
I'm not sure how he did there,

507
00:35:49.280 --> 00:35:52.320
but I thought he was a pretty
good receiver in my live looks, and

508
00:35:52.000 --> 00:35:54.599
I am a big believer in that
approach. The other guy that I wanted

509
00:35:54.599 --> 00:35:59.239
to highlight real quick before I tossed
it over to you is Caleb Roberts.

510
00:35:59.440 --> 00:36:01.480
He's a twenty three year old that
made it to Double A this year.

511
00:36:01.679 --> 00:36:06.519
Roberts had a really good year two
seventy eight, three eighty two, five

512
00:36:06.639 --> 00:36:09.280
twenty three, seventeen homers, eleven
steals, good for a one thirty five

513
00:36:09.400 --> 00:36:14.039
WRC plus. When I watched him, I thought, left handed hitter,

514
00:36:14.280 --> 00:36:19.360
really good hands, a little bit
too much with to him average speed that

515
00:36:19.440 --> 00:36:22.840
he uses, and he's also in
that sort of utility mold that he plays

516
00:36:22.840 --> 00:36:25.679
a little bit everywhere. Like I
think he caught a couple of games this

517
00:36:25.760 --> 00:36:30.719
year and plays left first base like
they move him around a bit, and

518
00:36:30.800 --> 00:36:34.880
I wonder Diamondbacks bt that with our
show, Like I think that they liked

519
00:36:34.920 --> 00:36:37.800
that kind of guy that can move
around a bit, and so he was

520
00:36:37.840 --> 00:36:40.639
one that I thought was interesting.
The strikeouts for me were just a little

521
00:36:40.760 --> 00:36:45.400
high given the other skills, so
I ended up with my guy Serta instead,

522
00:36:45.440 --> 00:36:47.760
But I did like Roberts, and
I think he's someone that I'm going

523
00:36:47.800 --> 00:36:52.519
to keep an eye on next year. That second that I was actually gonna

524
00:36:52.519 --> 00:36:54.639
go with Roberts until I did a
little bit more homework this week and change

525
00:36:54.679 --> 00:36:58.239
my mind. I'm not one hundred
percent on this, but I think he

526
00:36:58.440 --> 00:37:01.760
was drafted as a catcher, but
I don't know if he's really that great

527
00:37:01.800 --> 00:37:06.800
at it. So for me,
it's a very bat heavy profile. I

528
00:37:06.800 --> 00:37:10.119
think part of him playing around was
they're not really sure where play him maybe,

529
00:37:10.159 --> 00:37:15.159
but you know, defenses were We're
just getting glimpses of stuff really,

530
00:37:15.400 --> 00:37:19.199
So I mean, I will say
he caught thirty games this year, like

531
00:37:19.239 --> 00:37:23.480
that's nothing. Yeah, you know, he moved around ate at first forty

532
00:37:23.519 --> 00:37:30.519
two and left punch and center last
year like around but and I know he

533
00:37:30.559 --> 00:37:34.679
I think he's had a pretty decent
AFL too, if I'm not mistaken.

534
00:37:34.920 --> 00:37:37.159
Yeah, I think he's a decent
athlete too. Like that's you know,

535
00:37:37.360 --> 00:37:40.760
part of the reason they're moving him
around, I think is that he doesn't

536
00:37:40.800 --> 00:37:45.119
look bad at least in my looks
at those other spots. He's run a

537
00:37:45.159 --> 00:37:49.679
little bit higher babeps and I think
that drove a little bit of his line

538
00:37:49.760 --> 00:37:52.639
this year. But an interesting guy
to follow. I kind of got into

539
00:37:52.880 --> 00:37:55.679
a few other bats in their system. There's this not created yet in fan

540
00:37:55.800 --> 00:38:01.920
tracks. Guy Gen Walters, two
year old Cuban who actually made like a

541
00:38:01.960 --> 00:38:06.239
little cameo and spent most of the
season in high end. I made a

542
00:38:06.239 --> 00:38:08.639
little cameo in Triple A at the
end. He was just like kind of

543
00:38:08.639 --> 00:38:14.000
a little too much of like a
slappy hitter for me. Nephew Castillo,

544
00:38:14.360 --> 00:38:16.440
I've kind of been a little bit
interested in the last couple of years,

545
00:38:16.519 --> 00:38:21.719
kind of a power speed hopeful.
Maybe he did hit seventeen home runs stole

546
00:38:21.800 --> 00:38:25.679
nineteen bags this season in Double A, but he does strike out far too

547
00:38:25.760 --> 00:38:30.960
much to have too much hope.
I think what thirty two point seven percent

548
00:38:30.000 --> 00:38:32.960
on the season. Tim Tawa I
don't know if you watched him at all.

549
00:38:34.400 --> 00:38:37.199
He was a two thousand, Yeah, eleventh round pick out of Stanford.

550
00:38:37.639 --> 00:38:40.719
I don't know, maybe a shot
as a sort of utility type.

551
00:38:40.880 --> 00:38:44.920
I didn't really light the world on
fire too. I mean, he slid

552
00:38:44.960 --> 00:38:49.000
four sixty one hits line drives like
twenty five percent of the time. But

553
00:38:49.440 --> 00:38:52.000
I don't know. I thought there
was a little something to him too,

554
00:38:52.320 --> 00:38:55.840
not quite enough to really be my
be my guys here, So who's your

555
00:38:55.880 --> 00:39:01.119
guy? Who's your guy? For
the Yeah twenty one, they drafted Gavin

556
00:39:01.159 --> 00:39:06.239
Conticello in the eighth round. Stoneman
Douglas High School, right, a friend

557
00:39:06.239 --> 00:39:09.159
of mine who follows preps quite a
bit, who has very much impressed me

558
00:39:09.239 --> 00:39:13.719
with in our leagues, with the
young bats that he likes to go with,

559
00:39:13.960 --> 00:39:15.480
just kind of had mentioned him to
me at that time, So I

560
00:39:15.679 --> 00:39:19.159
just kind of been paying attention to
him a little bit here and there.

561
00:39:19.320 --> 00:39:22.320
I turned him on the second half
of this last season, and I couldn't

562
00:39:22.320 --> 00:39:27.079
help but think every time he hit
a ballpool side in the air it was

563
00:39:27.079 --> 00:39:30.639
a home run. I got into
a wormhole. Matt and I went through

564
00:39:30.920 --> 00:39:35.639
thirty some game feeds to pool or
try to get an idea and get some

565
00:39:36.239 --> 00:39:38.360
data that I don't know where else
to find. I was kind of right.

566
00:39:38.440 --> 00:39:43.000
I mean, I discovered that he
fifty seven percent of the pool balls

567
00:39:43.000 --> 00:39:46.000
he got into the air during this
his last like thirty five game stretch that

568
00:39:46.039 --> 00:39:52.119
I'm referring to left the yard.
Not that that is like some super high

569
00:39:52.119 --> 00:39:55.440
percentage. You'll find guys in the
majors who who do that plus some.

570
00:39:55.920 --> 00:40:00.480
But I do think that he had
a developmental breakout in terms of tapping into

571
00:40:00.519 --> 00:40:06.280
his natural power stroke in mechanics.
Kind Soul wasn't a nothing, perfect game

572
00:40:06.320 --> 00:40:08.199
sort of guy. He was just
kind of watered for his power potential as

573
00:40:08.199 --> 00:40:13.159
an amateur. But over this stretch
he hit two eighty three eighty nine on

574
00:40:13.239 --> 00:40:16.840
base and slugged five point fifty three
with nine home runs nine stolen bases.

575
00:40:16.920 --> 00:40:21.519
This is only one hundred and fifty
seven played appearances, so small sample,

576
00:40:21.599 --> 00:40:23.559
but it also included a two week
promotion to High A at the end of

577
00:40:23.599 --> 00:40:28.639
the season, and prior to this
his three hundred and nine played appearances before

578
00:40:28.679 --> 00:40:31.199
he was slashing one ninety two,
two seventy two, three point fifty one

579
00:40:31.239 --> 00:40:35.480
with eight home runs, so he
hit seventeen home runs on the season in

580
00:40:35.519 --> 00:40:38.360
four hundred and sixty six played appearances. Per Fangrafts, he had a twelve

581
00:40:38.440 --> 00:40:43.079
point nine home run to fly ball
right on the season. But over that

582
00:40:43.239 --> 00:40:46.400
mentioned stretch, and this is where
did my crazy man work. It jumped

583
00:40:46.440 --> 00:40:50.880
to thirty four point six percent home
run to fly ball. Right now,

584
00:40:50.920 --> 00:40:54.159
just to put that into a little
bit of context, six major leaguers did

585
00:40:54.159 --> 00:40:57.840
that or better this season. Do
you want to take a stab on who

586
00:40:57.840 --> 00:41:00.880
any of those might be? Matt
and it's just on all fly balls are

587
00:41:00.920 --> 00:41:07.480
just pulled. All I'm gonna say
someone like Yandy Diaz, Matt Olsen was

588
00:41:07.519 --> 00:41:12.800
thirty four point six, DJ Stewart
thirty five point seven, Logan o'happi thirty

589
00:41:12.800 --> 00:41:16.599
five point nine, Aaron Judged thirty
six point seven, Nelson Velaskaz thirty seven,

590
00:41:16.679 --> 00:41:22.840
and Otani with thirty eight. During
this time, the walk rate the

591
00:41:22.880 --> 00:41:27.199
walk grate run from eight percent to
thirteen percent, while his K rate stayed

592
00:41:27.280 --> 00:41:31.119
roughly the same U K what twenty
one percent on the season. Now,

593
00:41:31.599 --> 00:41:35.320
I didn't figure out what his home
run the fly ball rate was prior to

594
00:41:35.360 --> 00:41:38.519
this stretch, but given it was
thirteen percent on the season, I imagine

595
00:41:38.559 --> 00:41:45.119
it wasn't very good and that something
of note had changed. Now he does

596
00:41:45.239 --> 00:41:49.800
tend to i think, pop up
the ball a little bit and fuel pop

597
00:41:49.880 --> 00:41:52.519
ups, but that's typically when he's
trying to let the ball travel and go

598
00:41:52.639 --> 00:41:57.920
deep. Like there were twelve in
my dig and they were all they're like

599
00:41:57.960 --> 00:42:01.280
the third baseman. But in part, this Appo stuff is a little bit

600
00:42:01.400 --> 00:42:07.039
of a wrinkle in Constell's profile.
I think there seems to be an effort

601
00:42:07.480 --> 00:42:12.119
some coaching perhaps to hit Appo gap. Of course he's on the opposite side,

602
00:42:12.119 --> 00:42:16.119
but there's a he's a lefty.
There's similarities to another guy that I've

603
00:42:16.119 --> 00:42:21.360
watched quite a bit, and aj
Vukovic when he was at these levels,

604
00:42:22.000 --> 00:42:25.039
and Vukovich was also kind of a
prep sort of lotted for his power that

605
00:42:25.119 --> 00:42:29.880
I think they tried to help turn
into more of a you know, line

606
00:42:29.920 --> 00:42:34.280
drive Apo getting that into his game. That so does have some success going

607
00:42:34.280 --> 00:42:37.519
the other way. I've seen him
lay some doubles and all that stuff,

608
00:42:37.559 --> 00:42:39.800
but there's just a lot of mis
hits when he lets the ball travel on

609
00:42:39.920 --> 00:42:44.719
him. Only one of his seventeen
home runs on the season went opposite field,

610
00:42:45.000 --> 00:42:46.960
and it wasn't the truest struck ball. I don't think there was a

611
00:42:46.960 --> 00:42:50.760
lot of intent going that way,
and you know it wasn't. It was

612
00:42:50.760 --> 00:42:52.760
probably like a bit of a side
spinner, like we talk about. So

613
00:42:53.000 --> 00:42:59.159
this sort of flipped this sort of
one eighty in production also coincided with me

614
00:42:59.320 --> 00:43:02.239
just thinking that, so it looked
a little different at the plate later in

615
00:43:02.320 --> 00:43:07.159
the season. People talk about like
swing changes and all that sort of stuff,

616
00:43:07.159 --> 00:43:12.440
and I don't know, at least
when I have seen hitters actually make

617
00:43:12.519 --> 00:43:15.119
like a change, it's it's not
like, oh, all of a sudden

618
00:43:15.559 --> 00:43:20.679
Saturday, he started standing this way
and swinging this way or whatever. It's

619
00:43:20.719 --> 00:43:25.440
more of a gradual progression. So
I turned on some of Conticilo from April

620
00:43:27.000 --> 00:43:30.079
and I shared that. I shared
that video with you, the little side

621
00:43:30.119 --> 00:43:34.119
by side, and I think you
can confirm there's there's definitely some differences there,

622
00:43:34.199 --> 00:43:37.519
right. Absolutely, he was a
lot more crouch early in the season,

623
00:43:38.079 --> 00:43:44.760
and his bat behind his head was
a lot more parallel to the ground,

624
00:43:44.800 --> 00:43:49.280
a little more level. At least
in the gift that you shared,

625
00:43:49.920 --> 00:43:53.880
it looked like that was a little
more of the like line drive. I'm

626
00:43:53.880 --> 00:43:58.039
trying to go up the middle,
big part of the field, sort of

627
00:43:58.679 --> 00:44:04.960
classic hitter coaching. Whereas towards the
end of the year, he himself is

628
00:44:05.039 --> 00:44:09.039
more upright, his bat is more
upright, pointing more towards the sky,

629
00:44:09.280 --> 00:44:15.559
and his hands really get extended out
in front of him a lot more,

630
00:44:15.800 --> 00:44:19.480
and he catches the ball way out
in front of the plate and hit a

631
00:44:19.480 --> 00:44:22.360
homer on that pitch. I think
is what you shared. So again,

632
00:44:22.559 --> 00:44:25.320
it looks very different. I mean, I'm a hack at this. So

633
00:44:25.679 --> 00:44:30.280
I phoned some friends too, and
I won't paraphrase everything that they said,

634
00:44:30.679 --> 00:44:37.639
but what I've gathered is that he
is now transferring energy much more efficiently.

635
00:44:37.159 --> 00:44:42.119
I think his hands are in a
better position, and he's just quicker and

636
00:44:42.159 --> 00:44:45.000
more efficient. You can see in
the video there's I mean, his body

637
00:44:45.079 --> 00:44:49.599
is stiller, right, and I
think it's just a better transfer of energy.

638
00:44:49.639 --> 00:44:52.840
So we've got this kid who's supposed
to have a lot of this natural

639
00:44:52.880 --> 00:44:57.400
power. It wasn't really shown up
as a pro. All of a sudden,

640
00:44:57.440 --> 00:45:01.079
he is starting to hit home runs
higher rate, and he looks very

641
00:45:01.079 --> 00:45:05.840
different at the plate, right.
I don't think that the one eighty in

642
00:45:05.880 --> 00:45:10.719
production was just a hot streak.
I think there's something developmentally that has changed

643
00:45:10.719 --> 00:45:15.199
here with him. If a guy
can get out in front, pull the

644
00:45:15.239 --> 00:45:17.519
ball and hit home runs at high
rates, it doesn't necessarily mean that he's

645
00:45:17.639 --> 00:45:22.079
a great hitter or a great prospect
or anything like that. A little bit

646
00:45:22.119 --> 00:45:25.840
of context here, per Fangrass,
the only players with a higher home run

647
00:45:27.119 --> 00:45:30.119
the fly ball rate on the season
than thirty four point six percent in full

648
00:45:30.119 --> 00:45:36.400
season ball where you and your Severino, Chandler, Redman and gerar and Canarcion

649
00:45:36.880 --> 00:45:39.760
and all of those guys had much
higher k rates right when we're talking like

650
00:45:39.840 --> 00:45:45.840
thirty to thirty eight percent. Severarino
hit thirty five home runs, Redmond hit

651
00:45:45.880 --> 00:45:50.280
thirty one, in Canarsion hit twenty
six. These guys are two to what

652
00:45:50.400 --> 00:45:53.000
three four years older as well.
I don't know what he wants to do.

653
00:45:53.039 --> 00:45:57.159
I don't know what the Diamondbacks want
to do. But the look at

654
00:45:57.159 --> 00:46:00.159
me here, Matt, I'm going
I'm talking about guys hitting the ball all

655
00:46:00.159 --> 00:46:02.519
out in front and pulling it and
hitting home runs. Love it. You're

656
00:46:02.559 --> 00:46:07.360
learning this is great. What if
he starts doing this more? What if

657
00:46:07.360 --> 00:46:12.599
this sticks? I mean, is
it crazy to say that Goss hits thirty

658
00:46:12.599 --> 00:46:15.079
home runs, I don't think it
is he's got. I think he's much

659
00:46:15.119 --> 00:46:20.920
more just generically speaking, a better
hitter than some of those other guys who

660
00:46:20.920 --> 00:46:23.519
have hit thirty home runs, I
mean, and that would surely get some

661
00:46:23.559 --> 00:46:28.880
more attention, especially if the walk
rate and k rates hover around where he

662
00:46:29.000 --> 00:46:32.559
is. I think donasty owners would
get quite interested. He's currently at zero

663
00:46:32.639 --> 00:46:37.079
percent fan tracks ownership now, And
of course, like I said, this

664
00:46:37.119 --> 00:46:42.440
is some number wanghing and pulled from
a pretty small sample. But there's a

665
00:46:42.519 --> 00:46:45.840
nice looking power stroke here, and
I think some bat skills and I think

666
00:46:45.880 --> 00:46:51.639
his juice may have finally arrived now. He does struggle some versus lefties.

667
00:46:51.880 --> 00:46:54.800
You only hit three home runs versus
so splits may be a thing. But

668
00:46:54.840 --> 00:47:00.760
nonetheless, the twenty twenty one year
old Contcello, it just got me more

669
00:47:00.760 --> 00:47:06.360
excited than Caleb Roberts. So.
I watched a decent amount of Contocello this

670
00:47:06.440 --> 00:47:10.800
year, and I liked Conticello.
I don't know that's how I would say

671
00:47:10.800 --> 00:47:14.960
it. I don't know. I
didn't listen to their broadcast, but I

672
00:47:15.000 --> 00:47:19.719
think I would have said, Conticello, but I think you are onto something

673
00:47:20.000 --> 00:47:24.199
there's a real meaningful swing change here, which is good because his production was

674
00:47:24.239 --> 00:47:30.039
pretty middling before this, you know, repeated complex, repeated a ball and

675
00:47:30.320 --> 00:47:35.199
was okay, sube hundred WRC plus
at both stops in twenty twenty two,

676
00:47:35.480 --> 00:47:38.239
and then for most of this year
at a ball it was just a ninety

677
00:47:38.239 --> 00:47:43.039
five WRC plus, so a little
bit below average. But Conticello popped on

678
00:47:43.159 --> 00:47:45.920
a leaderboard that I like to track
to try and weed out some of the

679
00:47:45.960 --> 00:47:50.960
effects of babbit because, as Nate
knows, and I think many of you

680
00:47:51.039 --> 00:47:53.519
know, babbeb takes a long time
to stabilize, even for folks that have

681
00:47:53.559 --> 00:48:00.280
pretty extreme profiles. So if someone
has a particularly low BABBIT but are still

682
00:48:00.280 --> 00:48:04.320
performing near league average, like,
that's something you might want to pay attention

683
00:48:04.400 --> 00:48:07.440
to. And that was Conticello.
For most of the year he had an

684
00:48:07.559 --> 00:48:10.559
a ball, which was the bulk
of his production one hundred games at a

685
00:48:10.599 --> 00:48:15.159
ball, three hundred and seventy plate
appearances. His BABEB was two forty seven,

686
00:48:15.440 --> 00:48:17.280
very low, you know, for
context, like the lowest in the

687
00:48:17.280 --> 00:48:22.079
big leagues this year I think was
Pete Alonzo at like two five or something,

688
00:48:22.199 --> 00:48:25.639
but too forty something is very very
low, and he still put up

689
00:48:25.880 --> 00:48:30.519
a ninety five WRC plus, so
I was pretty interested in that, especially

690
00:48:30.519 --> 00:48:31.840
as Nate said, it seemed like
the plate skills were pretty good. He

691
00:48:31.880 --> 00:48:36.840
was only striking out twenty two percent
of the time, still had some juice,

692
00:48:36.880 --> 00:48:40.000
you know, almost two hundred points
of ISO, so I was pretty

693
00:48:40.119 --> 00:48:47.079
interested. Now, the plate skills
degraded pretty substantially upon promotion to High A

694
00:48:47.599 --> 00:48:51.480
in the Northwest League, and it
might be because he just had to face

695
00:48:51.559 --> 00:48:54.239
Reevan Scoder all the time, and
Scoter is just so good. I think

696
00:48:54.639 --> 00:48:59.559
it might be that this approach change
he's still getting used to because he was

697
00:48:59.599 --> 00:49:06.599
pulling the ball an absolute crap ton
in Hillsborough sixty eight percent of the time

698
00:49:06.719 --> 00:49:09.199
polled, which is you know,
nobody does that, not even my boy.

699
00:49:09.599 --> 00:49:14.199
He's sacked Paratus so and he popped
it up a lot forty four percent

700
00:49:14.239 --> 00:49:16.079
pop ups. Again, pretty small
sample at the end of the year,

701
00:49:16.440 --> 00:49:22.039
but I had two series, right, yeah, just ten games. I

702
00:49:22.079 --> 00:49:24.400
am pretty interested in him. He
was my third guy on the list when

703
00:49:24.400 --> 00:49:29.079
I was looking through him. I
do think that there is some interest here,

704
00:49:29.199 --> 00:49:32.400
especially because I don't know if you
mentioned he is really skinny So this

705
00:49:32.440 --> 00:49:37.440
is a guy that you want to
talk about power protection. He's twenty turning

706
00:49:37.480 --> 00:49:42.599
twenty one. He's going to put
on some muscle. Coupled with the swing

707
00:49:42.719 --> 00:49:45.440
change and his penchant for pulling the
ball and pulling it in the air.

708
00:49:45.639 --> 00:49:50.480
I could see this guy turning into
a thirty homer bat. So I like

709
00:49:50.559 --> 00:49:53.079
this pick a lot. He seems
like one deful I bet he'll start next

710
00:49:53.119 --> 00:49:58.519
year back in Hillsborough, but they
might aggressively promote him up to double a

711
00:49:58.599 --> 00:50:01.199
pretty soon after that, which is
also a nice place to hit home runs.

712
00:50:01.480 --> 00:50:06.480
The surface numbers just don't seem to
tell a great story to me right

713
00:50:06.519 --> 00:50:09.079
now. Like he hits what forty
one percent on the ground, I think

714
00:50:09.119 --> 00:50:13.519
it was for the season. But
when he pulls it and hits it on

715
00:50:13.559 --> 00:50:16.599
the ground, it's often very hard
turns into singles and doubles. But when

716
00:50:16.599 --> 00:50:21.920
he hits it the absute way on
the ground, it's soft like mishits and

717
00:50:21.960 --> 00:50:24.440
things of that nature. So I
think some of that might be a little

718
00:50:24.440 --> 00:50:28.559
bit misleading, especially, like we
said, if he starts pulling the ball

719
00:50:28.639 --> 00:50:31.679
more could get quite interesting. Well, look very different. His battit ball

720
00:50:31.719 --> 00:50:38.480
profile at a ball is pretty close
to ideal. Like that looks a lot

721
00:50:38.519 --> 00:50:44.519
like the battterball profile of a big
time slugger, and not a ton of

722
00:50:44.519 --> 00:50:47.039
line drives, but not many ground
balls sub forty percent ground ball rate,

723
00:50:47.280 --> 00:50:52.360
more flyballs than ground balls forty five
percent fly balls, a few too many

724
00:50:52.480 --> 00:50:58.039
pop ups at almost just over nineteen
percent, a ton of pulled balls,

725
00:50:58.079 --> 00:51:00.000
Like that's what you want to see
from your cluck, Like that is the

726
00:51:00.119 --> 00:51:04.199
kind of distribution that you want to
see. It get a little hairy in

727
00:51:04.239 --> 00:51:08.000
the ten game sample in Hia,
but that if he can replicate that kind

728
00:51:08.079 --> 00:51:13.000
of production, that kind of batter
ball distribution, he's going to get to

729
00:51:13.079 --> 00:51:15.679
all of his power, whatever it
ends up being. And that's interesting.

730
00:51:17.960 --> 00:51:23.519
Let's start with some more Rockies pictures, Matt, there's a lot of fun

731
00:51:23.559 --> 00:51:30.199
ones. Yeah, we had both
chosen a Rockies pitcher in our pitcher draft.

732
00:51:30.400 --> 00:51:32.639
I went with Jared Candy and you
went with Michael Prosecci. Yes,

733
00:51:32.880 --> 00:51:37.760
Prosecci is my official selection. I
feel pretty confident in him. I'm actually

734
00:51:37.880 --> 00:51:43.000
very excited about him as an arm
both just kind of the conversion from a

735
00:51:43.079 --> 00:51:46.239
reliever in college and what he showed
last year was super impressive. He's got

736
00:51:46.280 --> 00:51:51.400
a tough challenge pitching and Spokane next
year as to a couple of these other

737
00:51:51.679 --> 00:51:55.039
guys, but I'm pretty excited about
him. I think Proseki has a real

738
00:51:55.079 --> 00:52:00.280
shot. The only other guy I
wanted to highlight I mentioned him last week

739
00:52:00.360 --> 00:52:02.719
or a couple weeks ago, I
think was Joe Rock. He's this giant

740
00:52:02.880 --> 00:52:09.360
lefty who kind of pitches like Chris
Sale, just kind of crossbody side armed

741
00:52:09.360 --> 00:52:14.760
to three quarter slinging it. But
the stuff is pretty big. Both the

742
00:52:14.800 --> 00:52:19.960
commands leaves something to be desired.
The production from that from what seems like

743
00:52:20.079 --> 00:52:22.599
really big stuff hasn't quite lived up
to it yet, you know, only

744
00:52:22.880 --> 00:52:29.119
twenty seven and a half strikeout percentage
this past year. I like him as

745
00:52:29.159 --> 00:52:31.239
somebody that he might end up being
a reliever and the stuff might play up

746
00:52:31.239 --> 00:52:35.840
even further. So Joe Rox another
one just to keep your eye on.

747
00:52:36.519 --> 00:52:38.679
Despite him being a Rockies guy,
like I think the stuff might be big

748
00:52:38.760 --> 00:52:43.920
enough that it will play even at
elevation, So Joe Rock, keep an

749
00:52:43.920 --> 00:52:47.960
eye on him. Case Williams was
my selection last year after he I think

750
00:52:49.000 --> 00:52:52.360
he had one or two double A
starts at the end of twenty twenty two

751
00:52:52.360 --> 00:52:57.000
and was very good, but he
was not super good this year in Hartford.

752
00:52:57.320 --> 00:53:01.360
What he had a eer over seven
kateer nines were six point nine to

753
00:53:01.440 --> 00:53:05.960
nine. Don't love to see that. But one thing I will say about

754
00:53:06.280 --> 00:53:10.400
case Williams is I think he's going
to be starting for the Rockies at some

755
00:53:10.559 --> 00:53:15.880
juncture. I think, no matter
how it sort of goes, they've already

756
00:53:15.199 --> 00:53:19.760
determined that he will at least get
a shot to start, So I don't

757
00:53:19.800 --> 00:53:22.760
know, maybe that makes him interesting
to some degree. I think he's got

758
00:53:22.800 --> 00:53:24.800
a decent fastball. I mean,
he's got decent sliders and all the stuff.

759
00:53:24.840 --> 00:53:30.719
He just doesn't execute well. That's
I think the biggest issue with him.

760
00:53:31.559 --> 00:53:37.159
Although he did have a pretty nice
AFL five or six starts. I

761
00:53:37.159 --> 00:53:39.119
think he was like not getting hit
up, although I think he got hit

762
00:53:39.199 --> 00:53:43.119
up today a little bit, but
I take that for what it's worth.

763
00:53:43.199 --> 00:53:46.480
But just from the standpoint that I
think he's only twenty one, twenty two

764
00:53:46.559 --> 00:53:50.880
years old, but I think he
is going I think you will see him

765
00:53:50.880 --> 00:53:54.039
starting for the Rockies at some point. Carson Palmquist, I think if he

766
00:53:54.119 --> 00:53:59.320
was in any other organization would be
rostered more than one percent, right,

767
00:53:59.360 --> 00:54:02.039
he was a third round draft pick
in twenty twenty two. And then,

768
00:54:02.360 --> 00:54:06.800
man, I gotta say pump Quist
is one of the Jeff Ponts. There's

769
00:54:06.840 --> 00:54:12.360
three arms that always make me think
of Jeft Ponce, pump Quest she Han,

770
00:54:13.079 --> 00:54:15.760
Oh why am I zerpe? All
three of those guys. I'd ask

771
00:54:16.000 --> 00:54:20.559
Jeff like, I think a year
before their draft, Hey, who are

772
00:54:20.599 --> 00:54:22.599
some you know, who are some
colleg darms that you might like? And

773
00:54:22.960 --> 00:54:27.760
all three of those guys if someone
was an arm that he had mentioned well

774
00:54:27.800 --> 00:54:31.159
before the draft, and all of
them Jeff a smart guy, Yeah,

775
00:54:31.320 --> 00:54:37.400
yeah, and like we had talked
about last week, or pump Quist,

776
00:54:37.199 --> 00:54:40.280
Gpe, what are Both those guys
are kind of just different looking, right,

777
00:54:40.480 --> 00:54:44.960
give hitters a different look. Jeff
just kind of sided at the time.

778
00:54:45.000 --> 00:54:47.639
But pump Quiest kind of this left
east side armor. Doesn't really throw

779
00:54:49.000 --> 00:54:52.039
super hard, right. I think
his fastball is like low nineties, but

780
00:54:52.079 --> 00:54:55.440
he's got a he's got a good
breaking ball, high seventies breaker. I

781
00:54:55.480 --> 00:55:00.360
think he had four f QoS this
year. You in double A. He

782
00:55:00.440 --> 00:55:05.719
only had what four starts in double
A. So I think he's an interesting

783
00:55:05.800 --> 00:55:08.599
arm in their system. Yet,
I don't know if I really see him

784
00:55:08.679 --> 00:55:15.119
long term as a starting pitcher,
in part because the Rockies starting pitching isn't

785
00:55:15.119 --> 00:55:23.800
that great and guys like Suitor are
very useful to the Rockies. I could

786
00:55:23.840 --> 00:55:28.519
see him sort of settling in that
kind of role. Right someone gets lit

787
00:55:28.599 --> 00:55:30.920
up for an inding or two,
pump Quist comes in. That's a lot

788
00:55:30.920 --> 00:55:35.840
of speculation. I really like Victor
Warrez. I don't know if you've watched

789
00:55:35.880 --> 00:55:39.480
him at all, young Mexican pitcher
who super impressed me as an eighteen year

790
00:55:39.519 --> 00:55:45.920
old in a ball, just from
a just sort of poise and sort of

791
00:55:45.960 --> 00:55:50.199
moxie and know how in confidence on
the mound. You see watch the AFL,

792
00:55:50.559 --> 00:55:53.000
watch guys right out of college in
a ball. They don't even have

793
00:55:53.280 --> 00:55:59.079
the wherewithal the head to control the
running game. Right, Ras walked in

794
00:55:59.280 --> 00:56:01.639
as an eighteen year old and was
picking guys off and just his head was

795
00:56:02.079 --> 00:56:06.280
above the game, so to speak. But then pairing that with what I

796
00:56:06.320 --> 00:56:12.159
thought at the time was just super
impressive execution of a lot of pitches.

797
00:56:12.599 --> 00:56:15.920
Doesn't throw real hard. I know
his fastball has gotten like forty grades,

798
00:56:15.960 --> 00:56:20.360
and I think that's selling it a
little bit short. Excuse me, he

799
00:56:20.400 --> 00:56:23.719
was up at Hia this year didn't
have statistically, did not have a great

800
00:56:23.800 --> 00:56:28.320
season. But one thing that I
do like about it is that the k's

801
00:56:28.400 --> 00:56:32.480
actually picked up maybe just a smidge
or stayed about the same, which was

802
00:56:32.519 --> 00:56:37.360
something that was a concern of mine. It did not look as crisp as

803
00:56:37.360 --> 00:56:40.280
his early days in Fresno. But
I also wonder if some of the tools

804
00:56:40.280 --> 00:56:44.920
have been sharpened a little bit.
Maybe that plays into itself. Long story

805
00:56:44.960 --> 00:56:47.000
short, he leaves way too many
pitches over the middle of the plate right

806
00:56:47.039 --> 00:56:51.280
now, and they're not good enough
pitches that he can get away with.

807
00:56:51.280 --> 00:56:54.519
That seemed like he got hit a
bit more like a lot of hits given

808
00:56:54.639 --> 00:57:00.360
the inning he threw. Yeah,
definitely, Well was his babbit against was

809
00:57:00.400 --> 00:57:02.880
what three eighty two? That sounds
very good. Still very young, I

810
00:57:02.960 --> 00:57:07.800
think a guy who could be like
we like the sum of all parts sort

811
00:57:07.840 --> 00:57:09.599
of thing. But going to keep
an eye on him moving up a little

812
00:57:09.599 --> 00:57:13.920
bit of b side hit or history
here with the Rockies, I mean,

813
00:57:13.960 --> 00:57:17.920
we've had Pilvar Drew Romo. By
the way, I don't know if folks

814
00:57:17.960 --> 00:57:23.880
necessarily realize how Romo finished his season
from June eighth to September twenty third,

815
00:57:24.119 --> 00:57:30.840
he slashed three hundred three sixty three
five forty one with ten home runs.

816
00:57:30.039 --> 00:57:34.599
That's over fifty eight games. That's
not too shabby. I want to talk

817
00:57:34.639 --> 00:57:37.159
real, real, briefly about Vladimir
ar Restitutio. If you don't mind,

818
00:57:37.199 --> 00:57:42.079
Matt, go for it. So
he was my my Rockies bat for the

819
00:57:42.159 --> 00:57:45.400
last season. I don't know,
hit double a start off as a twenty

820
00:57:45.440 --> 00:57:50.840
one year old. This year,
hit twoin fifty eight on base percentage of

821
00:57:50.880 --> 00:57:58.400
two seventy seven and slugged four fourteen
with fifteen home runs and seventeen stolen mases.

822
00:57:58.800 --> 00:58:00.280
What do you think is walk right? Maybe you're looking at it.

823
00:58:00.519 --> 00:58:05.119
I'm looking at it. One point. God, I love it. I

824
00:58:05.159 --> 00:58:12.679
love it. My man is not
to walk now. He doesn't strike out

825
00:58:13.039 --> 00:58:17.480
ton eighteen point nine percent, but
yeah, because he's swinging and everything right,

826
00:58:17.559 --> 00:58:21.039
if you don't get to two strikes, you're not going to strike out

827
00:58:21.119 --> 00:58:23.320
very much. He's just a super
interesting watch to me. I think he's

828
00:58:23.360 --> 00:58:30.159
a fascinating a fascinating hitter just because
of his ultra aggressiveness. But I think

829
00:58:30.239 --> 00:58:34.639
the Rockies in particular, and I
think we're gonna talk about Ryan Ritter right

830
00:58:36.239 --> 00:58:42.239
Recito, Ridder, Tovar. I
think Julio Kurere is to some extent now

831
00:58:42.760 --> 00:58:46.639
Montero too. Specifically, the guys
that I mentioned very good defensively. Right

832
00:58:46.800 --> 00:58:51.800
Reso is a pretty good center fielder. The other guys are pretty good infielders.

833
00:58:52.440 --> 00:58:54.840
I think they're gonna put a high
priority on defense, which I think

834
00:58:54.880 --> 00:58:59.760
makes a lot of sense, which
also makes it interesting for some of their

835
00:58:59.800 --> 00:59:04.320
bad that might be getting to the
uppers or knocking on the big big league

836
00:59:04.360 --> 00:59:07.199
door. I don't know if you're
gonna get every day run with the Rockies

837
00:59:07.199 --> 00:59:10.960
if you don't play very good defense. But I digress a little. So

838
00:59:12.079 --> 00:59:15.719
you see these young hitters that they
have that are athletic good defenders. Tovar

839
00:59:15.920 --> 00:59:21.480
wasn't a lotted for his bat,
Restituto wasn't. Qureras wasn't. So in

840
00:59:21.519 --> 00:59:24.400
a sense, I think the Rockets
are just like swing the bat, use

841
00:59:24.440 --> 00:59:29.119
your athleticism, let's go and we'll
figure it out. Well, that's where

842
00:59:29.119 --> 00:59:31.519
I thought you were going with that
list of guys, because they all also

843
00:59:31.639 --> 00:59:35.840
were pretty aggressive. They don't like
taking walks. They don't strike out a

844
00:59:35.880 --> 00:59:38.559
lot, at least of that group, you know, So adding Montero to

845
00:59:38.639 --> 00:59:45.480
that someone like Restituo totally, although
he walks a decent amount this year.

846
00:59:45.800 --> 00:59:50.519
But Romo Tovar even I'm a door
like, they don't walk a lot,

847
00:59:50.519 --> 00:59:52.320
they don't strike out a lot.
They just are up there to hit.

848
00:59:52.519 --> 00:59:57.960
And I think that that's interesting as
as an approach, you know, I

849
00:59:58.000 --> 01:00:00.920
don't know, Like I saw Tovar
when he and rookie ball and I was

850
01:00:00.920 --> 01:00:04.199
like, yeah, maybe if he
becomes like a little slap hitter, you

851
01:00:04.239 --> 01:00:07.480
could be a big leaguer. Right, well, I mean he's not just

852
01:00:07.519 --> 01:00:09.559
a little slap hitter. Now,
I think they're kind of showing that it

853
01:00:09.639 --> 01:00:16.440
is a way to maybe get something
out of a bat that maybe isn't so

854
01:00:16.719 --> 01:00:20.199
you're maybe not supposed to get a
lot out of it. I don't know

855
01:00:20.239 --> 01:00:23.119
if that's a great way to say
it aren't expecting much out of or it's

856
01:00:23.119 --> 01:00:29.159
a way to grow a hitter into
doing some damage. Now you see what.

857
01:00:29.280 --> 01:00:31.559
I don't know if did the Rockies
lead the majors in strikehouse this year?

858
01:00:31.840 --> 01:00:36.679
They may have. You see Tovar, you see Doyle, you see

859
01:00:37.519 --> 01:00:42.920
even Nolan Jones start to get a
little bit more selective this season. So

860
01:00:42.920 --> 01:00:45.559
I don't know. It's just an
interesting thing that I noticed in this system

861
01:00:45.960 --> 01:00:52.440
that I don't think is necessarily a
horrible way to approach hitting when you're young.

862
01:00:52.519 --> 01:00:55.880
Now is rest of too you're gonna
make it with this sort of approach

863
01:00:55.920 --> 01:01:00.320
into the major leagues. I highly
doubt that he had well fifteen home runs

864
01:01:00.360 --> 01:01:04.559
this year, eight home runs starting
in June of last year, and I

865
01:01:04.599 --> 01:01:07.039
think prior to that maybe he had
like, what three or four in his

866
01:01:07.119 --> 01:01:12.519
whole whole pro career. This is
a wiry little guy, don't Just an

867
01:01:12.599 --> 01:01:15.840
interesting approach to hitting going on with
some of these guys, which I think

868
01:01:16.000 --> 01:01:21.639
Ryan Ritter, who is my selection
for this short stop twenty twenty two fourth

869
01:01:21.719 --> 01:01:24.039
round draft pick out of Kentucky.
He's twenty two years old, played at

870
01:01:24.079 --> 01:01:28.480
three levels this year, A High
A, and Double A. He has

871
01:01:28.559 --> 01:01:31.800
rostered at two percent. Now,
did you know that he won the KL

872
01:01:31.920 --> 01:01:36.760
League Player of the Year over?
Know that? Over any of your nuts?

873
01:01:36.840 --> 01:01:38.119
Yeah? Well, they were all
up late in the season, so

874
01:01:38.159 --> 01:01:44.599
that makes sense. Rather only played
sixty five games in the league. That

875
01:01:44.760 --> 01:01:46.559
was kind of crazy. He had
twenty four home runs on the season,

876
01:01:46.599 --> 01:01:51.719
but mind you, seventeen of those
were in the Cal League his first three

877
01:01:51.760 --> 01:01:57.039
months. But this is a plus
defensive guy with another aggressive approach that I

878
01:01:57.079 --> 01:02:01.360
think the Rockies do. Like strikeouts
twenty nine percent. Don't love that.

879
01:02:01.760 --> 01:02:06.920
I didn't like super love. Going
with Ryan Ritter seemed like my best option

880
01:02:07.360 --> 01:02:10.639
walk twelve percent. Well he ended
up he slugged five nineteen. Now,

881
01:02:10.800 --> 01:02:15.440
this is not Ritter is not a
big guy. He's not the type that

882
01:02:15.480 --> 01:02:19.000
you think would be hitting this many
home runs. And mind you too,

883
01:02:19.039 --> 01:02:22.119
he's well, he's from like the
Chicago Land area. He played junior college

884
01:02:22.159 --> 01:02:28.079
ball. What one year at Kentucky
have a northern guy like I think there

885
01:02:28.159 --> 01:02:31.360
is still a little bit of him
growing into being the hitter. But I

886
01:02:31.360 --> 01:02:36.719
think they've got him on this plan. Saw him, saw him rip a

887
01:02:36.800 --> 01:02:39.519
nice RBI double off your guy Wilcolm
in Nzalaz at the end of the year.

888
01:02:39.920 --> 01:02:44.159
Oh, nice off of a tough
pitch too. I don't know,

889
01:02:44.280 --> 01:02:45.480
like I said, I don't,
I don't. I'm not in love with

890
01:02:45.599 --> 01:02:50.960
Ryan ridd I don't want to totally
hitch my wagon here, but I felt

891
01:02:50.960 --> 01:02:53.880
that two percent. The opportunity that
I think might be in front of him

892
01:02:53.920 --> 01:03:00.000
to do some things in the uppers
next season and a kind of a surprising

893
01:03:00.079 --> 01:03:02.239
that with some pot Yeah, I
liked a lot of what I saw from

894
01:03:02.280 --> 01:03:07.199
ritter I agree with you one hundred
percent. He is a very good defender,

895
01:03:07.400 --> 01:03:10.199
and it does seem like that is
an organizational philosophy for them. There

896
01:03:10.199 --> 01:03:15.719
are a lot of good defenders are
those it's a major league level and in

897
01:03:15.760 --> 01:03:19.880
the lower levels. They have five
Gold Glove caliber guys starting for them at

898
01:03:19.920 --> 01:03:22.559
the end of the year in the
majors. Yeah, Now, they did

899
01:03:22.639 --> 01:03:24.840
give a lot of run to Montero, and Montero's a pretty bad defender.

900
01:03:27.000 --> 01:03:30.239
I think he's a good hitter Elahiris
Montero, but I think he's an awful

901
01:03:30.280 --> 01:03:35.360
defender. Awful defender even at first
base. I don't think he's very good.

902
01:03:35.719 --> 01:03:38.800
Yeah. Yeah, I'll also say
like Sterlin Thompson, I think is

903
01:03:38.840 --> 01:03:43.960
a good hitter, but I don't
think he's a very good fielder either,

904
01:03:44.119 --> 01:03:47.079
So he might buck that trend a
little bit for I think, Yeah,

905
01:03:47.199 --> 01:03:51.639
I've got to think that they're going
to trade some of those guys, but

906
01:03:51.679 --> 01:03:55.360
I don't know what. I don't
really do that though, it didn't really

907
01:03:55.440 --> 01:04:00.480
do that. Though it's Colorado.
They're weird you can't. You can't judge

908
01:04:00.519 --> 01:04:03.880
Schmidt by what Bradi did. I
mean, that's true, He's made some

909
01:04:03.920 --> 01:04:09.119
trades. He traded for Nolan Jones, He's traded for some arms. I

910
01:04:09.119 --> 01:04:12.920
think I think they're gonna have the
one deadline deal this year, like four

911
01:04:13.000 --> 01:04:15.800
days before the deadline, which they
hadn't done in like five years before that.

912
01:04:15.960 --> 01:04:19.559
So I think they're I think they're
gonna have the right ideas. Now

913
01:04:19.599 --> 01:04:25.239
we'll see how the execution of it
goes. But my problem with Rider though,

914
01:04:25.760 --> 01:04:29.880
is even though I think he's athletic
and fast, and I think his

915
01:04:30.639 --> 01:04:35.239
speed that helps his defense play up, will continue to help his base running,

916
01:04:35.239 --> 01:04:38.920
both in steels and taking the extra
base. I thought he was a

917
01:04:38.960 --> 01:04:42.639
pretty good base runner in my looks, I think the k's are untenable.

918
01:04:42.800 --> 01:04:45.960
Like that's why he's he bumps down
for me that I don't know. If

919
01:04:45.960 --> 01:04:53.199
you read that article on Baseball America, the stat cast or rankings that Jeff

920
01:04:53.280 --> 01:05:00.639
and Dylan did, I did.
That article put Colorado as an organization last

921
01:05:00.840 --> 01:05:03.039
in chase rate. So like that
gets to your point, if that these

922
01:05:03.039 --> 01:05:05.840
guys are just up there swinging and
if the ball is not in the zone,

923
01:05:05.840 --> 01:05:09.800
they're still swinging at it. I
think Ritter does this. I watched

924
01:05:09.800 --> 01:05:14.480
a good bit of him, and
he was whiffing at pretty non competitive pitches

925
01:05:14.519 --> 01:05:17.360
at times, especially in his you
know, eight games at double A.

926
01:05:17.400 --> 01:05:19.960
I watched a couple of those and
I was like, well, he is

927
01:05:20.079 --> 01:05:24.320
kind of getting overmatched by these.
The strake aut rate went up to thirty

928
01:05:24.360 --> 01:05:28.840
eight percent and slugged two hundred there, Like it was that was what that

929
01:05:28.920 --> 01:05:32.519
kind of approach can happen when you're
maybe a little bit out of your depth

930
01:05:32.679 --> 01:05:36.400
from a competitive standpoint. So I, you know, he's not that bad,

931
01:05:36.519 --> 01:05:40.800
Like it was just just a small
sample, and his first tasted Double

932
01:05:40.840 --> 01:05:45.519
A remarkably similar to his line at
High A as well, where the strikeouts

933
01:05:45.559 --> 01:05:47.800
were thirty four percent, And that
was a pretty decent sample of one hundred

934
01:05:47.840 --> 01:05:51.679
and seventy or almost two hundred and
one played appearances. So I think the

935
01:05:51.679 --> 01:05:55.199
whiffs are going to doom him,
even though he is a good defender,

936
01:05:55.239 --> 01:05:58.639
he is athletic and has a little
bit of pop in there. I think

937
01:05:58.679 --> 01:06:01.519
that the whiffs are going to cause
him to I don't. I don't think

938
01:06:01.519 --> 01:06:04.960
he's going to make the major leagues
like this unless there's a real change.

939
01:06:05.199 --> 01:06:10.159
Only other Rockies bats that I wanted
to bring up real quick, because Braxton

940
01:06:10.239 --> 01:06:13.320
Fulford is a catcher that I think
is very much going to be a major

941
01:06:13.400 --> 01:06:15.880
league option for them relatively soon.
Here. He didn't make it up to

942
01:06:15.920 --> 01:06:18.519
Triple A. He was a six
round pick out of Texas Tech. He

943
01:06:18.679 --> 01:06:24.440
can swing it a little bit,
and I think he's he's decent behind the

944
01:06:24.480 --> 01:06:26.519
plate, a bit of an older
bat. But did I don't know if

945
01:06:26.519 --> 01:06:29.719
you watched any Zach Kakowski he was
a two thousand, Yeah, I did

946
01:06:29.719 --> 01:06:31.679
watch a little. Yeah. I
think he just turned twenty five years old

947
01:06:31.719 --> 01:06:34.639
and he was in High A old. But he got hurt in like July

948
01:06:34.760 --> 01:06:39.039
and the end of his season,
and that may have stopped him from being

949
01:06:39.079 --> 01:06:42.639
my my like sort of official selection
here because I think he was going to

950
01:06:42.679 --> 01:06:45.519
be in Double A by the end
of the year. But I mean,

951
01:06:45.519 --> 01:06:48.760
this guy slugged five sixty two oh
ps a nine to sixty one line drive

952
01:06:48.840 --> 01:06:55.320
rate at twenty seven percent. Yeah. Sole eighteen bags, hit sixteen home

953
01:06:55.400 --> 01:06:58.760
runs. His first base left field
type. If it ever happens, he

954
01:06:58.760 --> 01:07:01.800
could be an interesting bat in Coors
Field. I think he shares some similarities

955
01:07:01.840 --> 01:07:06.199
with the guy that is my actual
Colorado selection in that he's kind of an

956
01:07:06.239 --> 01:07:11.440
older bat, has a pretty well
rounded profile, and I actually liked what

957
01:07:11.480 --> 01:07:15.320
I saw from Kokoska. I thought
he was an interesting guy and it was

958
01:07:15.360 --> 01:07:17.400
a bummer to cut his season short. It'd be I think it'll be interesting

959
01:07:17.400 --> 01:07:20.320
to see what he does at Double
A next year. My guy was Jimmy

960
01:07:20.360 --> 01:07:26.159
Herrond. You didn't mention Jimmy.
He's again a little bit older, twenty

961
01:07:26.199 --> 01:07:30.360
six, made it up to Triple
A this year, and his full season

962
01:07:30.400 --> 01:07:33.320
line was pretty interesting. Two ninety
six, three ninety five, four ninety

963
01:07:33.320 --> 01:07:36.960
eight, so just barely off that
three hundred, four hundred, five hundred.

964
01:07:38.000 --> 01:07:41.840
That is really nice to see.
Good for the whole year, one

965
01:07:41.920 --> 01:07:45.519
seventeen WRC plus, which speaks a
little bit to the offensive environments that he

966
01:07:45.559 --> 01:07:48.320
played in, like those are easier
places to hit, but he put up

967
01:07:48.400 --> 01:07:54.239
nineteen homers and stole thirty three bags, and his vibe kind of reminds me

968
01:07:54.280 --> 01:07:58.920
of another late blooming Major leaguer that
I actually played with, Mark Canna,

969
01:07:59.079 --> 01:08:02.280
you know, kind of similar in
their approaches, like how they approached the

970
01:08:02.320 --> 01:08:06.119
plate, both kind of right handed
hitters, that have a little bit of

971
01:08:06.119 --> 01:08:11.559
an upright stance, but really smooth
hands through the zone, and I feel

972
01:08:11.599 --> 01:08:14.880
like they're decent plate coverage and you
know, not striking out. I think

973
01:08:14.880 --> 01:08:17.760
should think he reduced his strikeout rate
as he went up and increased his walk

974
01:08:17.800 --> 01:08:21.560
rate as he raised as he went
up in levels, which is really hard

975
01:08:21.560 --> 01:08:26.560
to do and might speak a little
bit to Nate that hypothesis you were talking

976
01:08:26.600 --> 01:08:29.960
about that you want him to swing
more freely lower down, and then as

977
01:08:30.000 --> 01:08:33.399
you go up in levels, you
want to kind of tighten your zone and

978
01:08:33.439 --> 01:08:39.079
do damage on the pitches that you
can and spit and leave the pitches that

979
01:08:39.119 --> 01:08:41.600
are not as good. So I
thought Jimmy Heron did a lot of that.

980
01:08:41.760 --> 01:08:44.640
He's not a center fielder for me, so he's a corner guy.

981
01:08:45.039 --> 01:08:46.039
The couple of looks I had him
in the outfield was like, guy,

982
01:08:46.039 --> 01:08:49.359
it's okay, he's got some speed, but he's not Nolan Jones or Brenton

983
01:08:49.399 --> 01:08:54.720
Doyle out there, who are plus
plus outfielders. But I really liked what

984
01:08:54.760 --> 01:08:58.159
I saw from him, and he's
my official B side selection here. Nobody's

985
01:08:58.399 --> 01:09:02.039
talking about this guy at all.
He has been under the radar for his

986
01:09:02.319 --> 01:09:06.479
whole career. I think he transferred
into Duke and then was like, Okay,

987
01:09:06.880 --> 01:09:10.399
I guess maybe he was at Duke, but he was like an older

988
01:09:10.560 --> 01:09:14.560
guy at Duke really anything other than
a little bit of a speedster there,

989
01:09:14.600 --> 01:09:18.079
but kind of an unimpressive college career
and has just bumped around the miners for

990
01:09:18.279 --> 01:09:21.560
you know, since his draft year
in twenty eighteen. But I liked what

991
01:09:21.600 --> 01:09:25.920
I saw, and this is the
most power that he's ever had, So

992
01:09:25.960 --> 01:09:29.640
I wonder if he's unlocked a little
bit of something too, kind of like

993
01:09:29.720 --> 01:09:31.960
Conticello did. So I like him, you know, left field, center

994
01:09:32.000 --> 01:09:35.159
field, maybe a little bit of
right field. But he's yeah, he's

995
01:09:35.239 --> 01:09:39.479
he's pretty good. He's knocking on
the doorstep too. So if there are

996
01:09:39.479 --> 01:09:44.600
injuries or if something opens up for
him, maybe he gets some run in

997
01:09:44.640 --> 01:09:46.680
Colorado next year. So Jimmy Herron, I like him. I dig it.

998
01:09:46.880 --> 01:09:50.439
That wraps up the Rockies, right, nothing of that. Let those

999
01:09:50.479 --> 01:09:57.159
lose that. San Diego Padres,
Matt, I don't know what your thoughts

1000
01:09:57.199 --> 01:10:00.560
are here, but I kind of
watched a decent amount. I don't have

1001
01:10:00.600 --> 01:10:04.760
a lot of hitters here. I
don't know if anyone super wowed me what

1002
01:10:04.880 --> 01:10:09.760
I ended up taking. I ended
up taking that hail Mary Roseman Verdugo.

1003
01:10:10.039 --> 01:10:15.000
You went with Turso Nalis and I
watched some Griffin Dorshen, he's a Wisconsin

1004
01:10:15.079 --> 01:10:19.039
guy. Jared Dale, Ky Murphy, Curvin Chardo watched a little bit of

1005
01:10:19.079 --> 01:10:24.439
him. I watched some Nick Voight. There's this young first basement Romeo,

1006
01:10:24.600 --> 01:10:28.399
Santa Bria. He only had like
a sixteen game a ball run. I

1007
01:10:28.399 --> 01:10:30.880
thought he had a couple of nice
series, saw some nice gap to gap

1008
01:10:31.159 --> 01:10:34.359
hitting. It kind of tore up
the complex. He was a little interested,

1009
01:10:34.399 --> 01:10:36.119
just kind of a guy I want
to watch next year. Some and

1010
01:10:36.119 --> 01:10:40.960
then I didn't know much about Tyler
Robertson. I think he's had a little

1011
01:10:40.960 --> 01:10:44.520
decent AFL too. Did you watch
any of those guys who get into any

1012
01:10:44.560 --> 01:10:47.479
of them? I watched a few
of them, but all kind of had

1013
01:10:47.720 --> 01:10:53.119
something or the other that kind of
turned me off them, So it was

1014
01:10:53.199 --> 01:10:56.880
like short looks for most of them. Marcos Castinon, well, he's a

1015
01:10:56.920 --> 01:11:00.920
twenty four year old. He was
a twelfth round draft pick twenty one out

1016
01:11:00.960 --> 01:11:04.039
of UC Santa Barbara. Hy a
double A this year third base, second

1017
01:11:04.119 --> 01:11:10.079
base, where he slugged four sixty
eight at A eight thirteen ops, struck

1018
01:11:10.119 --> 01:11:14.359
out twenty one percent of the time, walk twenty four percent of the time.

1019
01:11:14.439 --> 01:11:17.359
Yeah. Yeah, you know his
line is is good, and he's

1020
01:11:17.399 --> 01:11:21.119
a little bit older. You know, he's probably like seeing him challenged at

1021
01:11:21.239 --> 01:11:25.279
double A, it was was good
this year. I was glad that he

1022
01:11:25.319 --> 01:11:28.199
got up there held his own for
the most part. I mean, I

1023
01:11:28.199 --> 01:11:31.560
don't think it all fell apart at
double A like it does for some folks.

1024
01:11:31.680 --> 01:11:35.880
And in fact, the fact that
it was largely really similar to his

1025
01:11:36.880 --> 01:11:40.920
run at Hi A this year in
Fort Wayne. I was impressed, Like

1026
01:11:40.960 --> 01:11:44.800
I was like, that's that's good. That whole line, at least at

1027
01:11:45.119 --> 01:11:49.600
double A was league average, so
it's okay. I liked his right handed

1028
01:11:49.680 --> 01:11:55.199
kind of whippy swing. I think
there's it shows some athleticism. It seems

1029
01:11:55.239 --> 01:11:58.960
like he can move the barrel around
the zone and handle pitches up in the

1030
01:11:59.039 --> 01:12:03.079
zone as well as down. I
thought some hit reasonably well on fastballs and

1031
01:12:03.319 --> 01:12:09.680
on off speed, so it's solid
all around. To me that he seems

1032
01:12:09.800 --> 01:12:15.760
like a guy that is a backup
or a second division regular, so like

1033
01:12:15.880 --> 01:12:18.920
maybe he gets some run on a
bad team or he's a backup on a

1034
01:12:18.960 --> 01:12:21.600
decent team. But I liked enough
of what I saw that I wanted to

1035
01:12:21.840 --> 01:12:26.760
talk through it. You know,
the plate skills are okay. You know,

1036
01:12:26.800 --> 01:12:29.960
he's not up there swinging at everything
like he's in the Rocky system or

1037
01:12:29.960 --> 01:12:34.199
something. But he's still has solid
contact skills. You know, twenty one

1038
01:12:34.199 --> 01:12:38.960
percent of the time strikeout rate.
His strikeout rate actually has gone down at

1039
01:12:39.000 --> 01:12:42.680
every level that he's done so far, which is impressive. You know,

1040
01:12:42.840 --> 01:12:45.600
some of that is small sample and
it's likely not to continue as he rises

1041
01:12:45.720 --> 01:12:48.760
up the ranks. But I think
he's a decent little hitter. And it

1042
01:12:48.760 --> 01:12:53.880
seemed like he can play second base
well enough. So if he ends up

1043
01:12:53.920 --> 01:12:59.880
as a second baseman and can hit
something approximating this like, it's decent.

1044
01:13:00.680 --> 01:13:02.760
Again, I'm not super excited about
him. I liked Ornellis as a hitter

1045
01:13:02.880 --> 01:13:06.399
quite a bit more. And if
you'll call Ornellis had some serious flaws to

1046
01:13:06.760 --> 01:13:11.800
hitting profile, as you know,
but noon Is he's he's good. He's

1047
01:13:11.840 --> 01:13:15.039
he's a good hitter. He's one
that's going to make it up to Triple

1048
01:13:15.079 --> 01:13:16.960
A. And I think he's going
to make the major leagues. Whether he

1049
01:13:17.039 --> 01:13:20.399
has any impact there. I'm a
little bit skeptical, but he strikes me

1050
01:13:20.479 --> 01:13:24.159
as you know, some of these
and I think it kind of checks out

1051
01:13:24.199 --> 01:13:27.840
with some of his bad ball profile
and stuff stuff like that too. But

1052
01:13:28.119 --> 01:13:31.359
I feel like he kind of like
maximizes himself, like he gets he gets

1053
01:13:31.399 --> 01:13:35.560
like everything out of himself, Like
Javier Sonoya is kind of like that to

1054
01:13:35.600 --> 01:13:40.920
me with the Marlins. Like no, I like that and I respect that,

1055
01:13:41.119 --> 01:13:44.119
you know, I think like a
lot more pop than Sonoya. But

1056
01:13:44.319 --> 01:13:47.880
yeah, yeah, I agree with
you. He has he doesn't on him

1057
01:13:48.359 --> 01:13:51.640
like Bregman's like that too, right, Yeah, that guy just gets every

1058
01:13:51.720 --> 01:13:56.880
ounce of his ability I think out
of himself. Last year I went with

1059
01:13:57.199 --> 01:14:00.520
Norwilliam Sedanio. I don't know if
you any of him. There wasn't a

1060
01:14:00.560 --> 01:14:04.520
ton this year again, only sixty
two played appearances and I don't know.

1061
01:14:04.600 --> 01:14:09.600
There's an interesting switch hitter. I
think that is talented. But this guy

1062
01:14:09.760 --> 01:14:13.880
just cannot stay on the field.
Man. It's really kind of unfortunate.

1063
01:14:13.920 --> 01:14:15.479
But he's still quite young. I'll
still keep my eye on him. He's

1064
01:14:15.520 --> 01:14:18.039
only like what twenty one, twenty
two years old? But yeah, so

1065
01:14:18.319 --> 01:14:23.760
Padre's arms last year, last year, I went with Garrett Hawkins, who

1066
01:14:24.279 --> 01:14:29.159
I'm anxiously awaiting his return from.
I think Tommy John. He got four

1067
01:14:29.279 --> 01:14:31.920
games starts in at High A this
year. He's kind of a bigger guy

1068
01:14:31.920 --> 01:14:36.720
who I think has a major league
starter arsenal and ability. Matt. We're

1069
01:14:36.720 --> 01:14:43.640
going not yet created in fan tracks
yet territory, but I still see this

1070
01:14:43.800 --> 01:14:48.520
name creeping onto the back of some
top thirties and that's Isaiah Low. Another

1071
01:14:48.600 --> 01:14:54.760
low loud, but I'm pretty sure
it's Low. But he was a twenty

1072
01:14:54.880 --> 01:14:59.600
twenty two to eleventh round out of
North Carolina High School Prep. I believe

1073
01:14:59.600 --> 01:15:03.319
he is twenty years old now.
He got three starts in before some injury

1074
01:15:03.399 --> 01:15:06.439
crept in, and I don't know
what the injury was. I had feared

1075
01:15:06.479 --> 01:15:12.439
that maybe it was quite serious,
but he did make a rehab appearance in

1076
01:15:13.279 --> 01:15:16.960
rookie ball in August, so I
don't think it was like Tommy John or

1077
01:15:17.039 --> 01:15:21.159
something like that, but I was. I was quite impressed in I don't

1078
01:15:21.239 --> 01:15:26.119
even know if all three of the
starts, so we're talking eight innings here

1079
01:15:26.239 --> 01:15:29.520
that I got that I got to
watch from he was nineteen years old at

1080
01:15:29.560 --> 01:15:32.560
the time. In May, one
of which one of which those starts he

1081
01:15:32.720 --> 01:15:38.319
dominated your nuts, Matt. He
went when four, walked, two,

1082
01:15:38.439 --> 01:15:43.000
struck out six. Only Hitty allowed
was a solo home run to Freddy or

1083
01:15:43.199 --> 01:15:48.039
Freday Bautista off a breaking ball he
left hanging over the middle. Cole,

1084
01:15:48.159 --> 01:15:53.319
Young, Gabby, Gonzalez hood all
went over against him. He's listed at

1085
01:15:53.479 --> 01:15:57.119
six one two twenty, which seems
about right. He's got a really strong

1086
01:15:57.279 --> 01:16:01.680
lower half. I believe he throws
two as balls and they touch high nineties,

1087
01:16:02.239 --> 01:16:05.720
and then he's got a slider and
a change up. Fairly low effort

1088
01:16:06.319 --> 01:16:12.600
delivery. I've seen sixties slapped on
the fastball, fifty fives on the slider

1089
01:16:12.720 --> 01:16:16.000
too. He controls the fastball very
well. See him get down three to

1090
01:16:16.039 --> 01:16:19.760
zero, three to one, and
then he just pumps that fastball for generic

1091
01:16:19.840 --> 01:16:23.359
strikes and it's good enough to get
him back. I don't know if he'll

1092
01:16:23.359 --> 01:16:26.239
be able to get away with that
as he moves up. The slider isn't

1093
01:16:26.680 --> 01:16:31.520
nearly as well controlled, but man, it really does flash some nasty He

1094
01:16:31.560 --> 01:16:36.479
can execute it fairly well glove side, I think, and when he does

1095
01:16:36.520 --> 01:16:42.039
it's pretty impossible looking. Struck out
seventeen of the forty nine batters he faced

1096
01:16:42.039 --> 01:16:45.600
this year, that's thirty five percent. There was a combination here of plus

1097
01:16:45.720 --> 01:16:49.960
arsenal. There wasn't anything really alarming
that I thought, man, this guy

1098
01:16:50.239 --> 01:16:55.800
might not be able to control these
plus weapons. That combination was good enough

1099
01:16:55.800 --> 01:16:59.600
for me to go with Isaiah lo
Nice. He's one I told you I

1100
01:17:00.079 --> 01:17:03.319
didn't catch at all, but it
seems like he's got some real skills there.

1101
01:17:03.359 --> 01:17:05.920
So I hope he's healthy and we
get to see a lot more of

1102
01:17:05.960 --> 01:17:10.920
him next year. Yeah. He
uh, he's got he's got some nasty

1103
01:17:12.119 --> 01:17:14.640
you know, you see a teenager
down in a ball with a couple of

1104
01:17:14.720 --> 01:17:17.359
nasty pitches like this, they don't
they don't pitch as well as he did

1105
01:17:17.399 --> 01:17:20.479
in these two outings that I watched, So, you know, talk about

1106
01:17:20.800 --> 01:17:24.439
turning on a guy and getting on
the edge of your seat a little bit

1107
01:17:24.520 --> 01:17:28.199
like that was definitely the case with
with with Low For me. Interesting,

1108
01:17:28.319 --> 01:17:30.039
well, I made a note of
of him in a couple of leagues,

1109
01:17:30.079 --> 01:17:33.640
and I'm gonna hope he comes out
the gate hot next year. Especially the

1110
01:17:33.760 --> 01:17:38.880
territory of prospect that we're kind of
talking about here, it's it's an injury

1111
01:17:38.920 --> 01:17:42.119
stuff comes up it's it's hard to
know. You know, there's not a

1112
01:17:42.119 --> 01:17:45.479
lot out there. I don't know
what it was. I thought that again,

1113
01:17:45.560 --> 01:17:49.359
this was an organization where kind of
the top arms that are well known

1114
01:17:49.600 --> 01:17:55.119
they performed pretty well, and in
guys like Snelling and Erie Rta I think,

1115
01:17:55.239 --> 01:17:59.600
I think are pretty well known and
performed pretty decently this year, and

1116
01:18:00.079 --> 01:18:02.439
kind of looking down the list of
other guys that I looked at that weren't

1117
01:18:02.680 --> 01:18:06.760
really inspiring. I watched a bit
of a frame Contrarast and didn't love it,

1118
01:18:06.840 --> 01:18:11.239
and saw some Henry bias as well, and you know, there might

1119
01:18:11.279 --> 01:18:15.840
be some stuff there, but I
ultimately was turned off by both walked a

1120
01:18:15.840 --> 01:18:20.039
little bit too many and didn't quite
strike out enough and ended up not being

1121
01:18:20.079 --> 01:18:25.279
my kind of guys. So I
went back to the lefty well, and

1122
01:18:25.560 --> 01:18:30.520
I'm taking Austin Crab. Austin Crabb
is a college arm. He started out

1123
01:18:30.560 --> 01:18:34.840
at community college. At community college, I hadn't heard of Kirkwood or something.

1124
01:18:34.840 --> 01:18:40.840
I think, ended up at TCU
for four years. Pandemic extensions and

1125
01:18:40.880 --> 01:18:44.159
all of that good stuff. He
wasn't great, He was a reliever,

1126
01:18:44.439 --> 01:18:46.800
got a couple of starts. None
of his numbers were that good, but

1127
01:18:46.880 --> 01:18:51.119
because he's left handed and he you
know, he clearly worked at it and

1128
01:18:51.399 --> 01:18:57.239
ended up starting sixteen games his final
year of college, his like red shirt

1129
01:18:57.319 --> 01:19:00.439
junior year, whatever that would be. And it wasn't a fantastic line.

1130
01:19:00.439 --> 01:19:04.359
But I think he got scattered enough
in the Big twelve that he got taken

1131
01:19:04.600 --> 01:19:09.079
twelfth round, so didn't get a
ton of money, like pretty deep in

1132
01:19:09.439 --> 01:19:13.960
the draft, so even the Padres
didn't have a ton of faith to take

1133
01:19:14.000 --> 01:19:17.720
him that late in twenty twenty two. But since he's been a pro,

1134
01:19:18.079 --> 01:19:23.600
he's been decent. His twenty twenty
two was very short, like almost throw

1135
01:19:23.600 --> 01:19:27.640
it out, but he was really
good this year across stops at low A

1136
01:19:27.960 --> 01:19:31.800
and high A fifty nine and the
third innings in Fort Wayne in Hi A

1137
01:19:31.960 --> 01:19:38.359
for had a pretty solid overall line
one hundred and some innings overall, but

1138
01:19:38.600 --> 01:19:42.840
ran a twenty six point four percent
strikeout rate nine point one percent walk rate.

1139
01:19:42.880 --> 01:19:45.479
That's a pretty good K minus BB
approach just seems sharper than I would

1140
01:19:45.479 --> 01:19:49.079
have expected from this kind of a
guy. It's a low slot, really

1141
01:19:49.079 --> 01:19:54.800
short armstroke that he repeats really well. He lives around the zone with low

1142
01:19:54.920 --> 01:19:58.840
nineties fastball. I think it's mostly
a two seamer. I didn't see a

1143
01:19:58.920 --> 01:20:02.319
four seam percent from that armslot,
a big sweeping slider in the low eighties

1144
01:20:02.359 --> 01:20:05.039
which I thought was pretty good,
and he had a good change up in

1145
01:20:05.439 --> 01:20:09.800
the low eighties as well that had
good sink. All in all, like

1146
01:20:09.840 --> 01:20:14.399
the combination. This seems like a
classic pitchability lefty, and I wonder with

1147
01:20:14.479 --> 01:20:17.279
kind of a short armstroke and the
way that his pitches look that even he

1148
01:20:17.319 --> 01:20:23.000
looks a bit different from other lefties
helping his stuff play up. I'd imagine

1149
01:20:23.039 --> 01:20:27.520
he starts next year again at high
A would expect him to get some double

1150
01:20:27.520 --> 01:20:30.600
a run next year too. So
Austin Krabb, I, you know,

1151
01:20:30.039 --> 01:20:33.319
he wasn't the most outstanding lefty that
I saw this year. You know,

1152
01:20:33.439 --> 01:20:38.560
not everyone can be Readvan Scooter,
but he had some similarities with him,

1153
01:20:38.720 --> 01:20:42.319
and I did like what I saw. So he's one to keep a follow

1154
01:20:42.359 --> 01:20:45.600
on and actually am pretty interested in
him. I think he's one that he's

1155
01:20:45.640 --> 01:20:48.079
got that good base of innings,
which I really like. It wouldn't be

1156
01:20:48.439 --> 01:20:56.039
totally crazy to see him make the
major leagues next year. Padres are trimming

1157
01:20:56.199 --> 01:21:00.039
budget. They lost more than half
of their innings that their team through this

1158
01:21:00.119 --> 01:21:03.760
year to free agency, and it
doesn't seem like they're going to fill all

1159
01:21:03.800 --> 01:21:08.439
of those externally. While I'm a
big Robbie Snelling fan, I think the

1160
01:21:08.520 --> 01:21:13.119
stuff is incredibly good. I would
be really surprised if they pushed him,

1161
01:21:13.159 --> 01:21:16.199
just given that he's so young there, so maybe maybe they would. And

1162
01:21:16.560 --> 01:21:19.640
I do think he's a much better
prospect than Crob. But I do think

1163
01:21:19.720 --> 01:21:24.000
Crob is another one that they might
give a long look to to eat some

1164
01:21:24.079 --> 01:21:27.680
innings later near. I don't I
don't know if I've if I've watched any

1165
01:21:28.000 --> 01:21:31.520
Crob. I don't think that I
have. I had come across Low pretty

1166
01:21:31.520 --> 01:21:36.159
early in my process here, and
I was like, yep, this is

1167
01:21:36.199 --> 01:21:40.880
what I'm doing. Yeah right,
I'm the only other arm that I thought

1168
01:21:40.920 --> 01:21:43.600
was a little bit. I just
kind of like tabbed, like, hey

1169
01:21:43.720 --> 01:21:47.000
check this guy out. Early next
year was Henry Martinez, who was another

1170
01:21:47.079 --> 01:21:50.000
teenager an a ball. I don't
know if you watched him at all three

1171
01:21:50.119 --> 01:21:55.520
starts in a ball it was only
five innings of archives gave up a home

1172
01:21:55.600 --> 01:21:59.520
run, hit a guy. The
sinking action on the fastball, you could

1173
01:21:59.640 --> 01:22:02.760
you could there's some life there get
off the bus. Type of guys like

1174
01:22:02.840 --> 01:22:06.800
six' four one, ninety strong. I don't know if he throws particularly

1175
01:22:06.880 --> 01:22:10.359
hard. He had a good looking
breaking ball. I thought, you know,

1176
01:22:10.479 --> 01:22:14.399
pretty raw guy. But again,
just just a young teenager, teenage

1177
01:22:14.479 --> 01:22:15.840
arm that I just want to tab
for next year. Yeah, I don't

1178
01:22:15.840 --> 01:22:18.680
know. I don't know him at
all. So that's another trishing one to

1179
01:22:18.680 --> 01:22:20.880
follow. All right, Well,
let's uh, let's move on to the

1180
01:22:20.920 --> 01:22:25.920
Giants. Huh. All right,
it's bringing home pretty successful in the past

1181
01:22:25.960 --> 01:22:30.039
here, Casey Schmidt, I mean
Bress White, Brett Wisely was with the

1182
01:22:30.119 --> 01:22:32.199
Rays, but I mean both those
guys were, they were they were starting

1183
01:22:32.199 --> 01:22:35.760
together in the middle of the infield
for the Giants this year at one point.

1184
01:22:36.319 --> 01:22:41.600
But then last year Victor Barracoto I
think was a pretty good B side

1185
01:22:41.640 --> 01:22:45.159
call and he's still what when I
pulled it in September, he was still

1186
01:22:45.159 --> 01:22:48.520
only at two percent, so I
mean he's still he's still very much a

1187
01:22:48.600 --> 01:22:51.000
B side, right, but he
hit well, how many home runs did

1188
01:22:51.000 --> 01:22:56.039
he hit this year? Twenty seven
across hi A and double A. Indeed

1189
01:22:56.720 --> 01:23:00.560
did a good year. Yeah,
at twenty one years old, forty oh

1190
01:23:00.640 --> 01:23:03.239
ps slugged five to eleven, struck
out twenty two percent of the time.

1191
01:23:03.399 --> 01:23:08.000
He's an interesting left handed, left
handed stroke. I think I know that

1192
01:23:08.079 --> 01:23:11.159
he had gotten gotten picked up in
a few of my leagues, like early

1193
01:23:11.279 --> 01:23:14.119
known when he hit double A he
kind of struggled a little bit, but

1194
01:23:14.159 --> 01:23:17.079
then he took off again. And
you know, Richmond is not is historically.

1195
01:23:17.239 --> 01:23:21.000
I know this from Jeff is historically
like horrible place to hit home runs.

1196
01:23:21.279 --> 01:23:26.319
He's a fun one to follow,
and I like the skills underlying it's

1197
01:23:26.439 --> 01:23:30.119
He's an interesting one. Yeah,
I think he's got a chance. They've

1198
01:23:30.119 --> 01:23:35.039
got a couple of what twenty twenty
two undrafted free agents from some small schools

1199
01:23:35.079 --> 01:23:40.640
that got my attention from Carter Howell, who I know is in the AFL,

1200
01:23:41.039 --> 01:23:44.960
I think having a decent month there. He had two ninety four,

1201
01:23:45.399 --> 01:23:48.479
three sixty nine, slugged four forty
two, struck out nineteen percent of the

1202
01:23:48.520 --> 01:23:53.079
time. What he hit, hit
ten home runs, stole fourteen bags.

1203
01:23:53.399 --> 01:23:58.039
I liked this. Matt Higgins sort
of like left field first base guy from

1204
01:23:58.560 --> 01:24:02.560
Bellermine hit twelve home runs, ten
stolen bases, hit two seventy six with

1205
01:24:02.640 --> 01:24:08.880
a three sixty seven on base and
like almost four forty two slug almost identical

1206
01:24:09.600 --> 01:24:13.680
slash line as Howl there. But
I watched a little bit a little bit

1207
01:24:13.720 --> 01:24:16.479
of those guys, but I still
stuck with Diego of Alaskaz, who I

1208
01:24:16.520 --> 01:24:19.560
took in the draft. But Howl
and Higgins were a couple of guys that

1209
01:24:19.680 --> 01:24:23.239
kind of want to keep an eye
on when they hit the uppers, which

1210
01:24:23.439 --> 01:24:26.920
I think will probably be next year
at some point twenty four and twenty three

1211
01:24:26.960 --> 01:24:29.520
years old. Yeah, I think
I mentioned this when you took him in

1212
01:24:29.560 --> 01:24:31.600
the draft. But I like Diego
of alaskas a lot. I think he's

1213
01:24:31.600 --> 01:24:36.560
a has a chance to put it
all together and be be pretty good again,

1214
01:24:36.720 --> 01:24:40.960
you know. Like one it was
surprised he didn't make it up to

1215
01:24:41.039 --> 01:24:44.079
Hi A, and I want to
see him do it at the higher levels.

1216
01:24:44.079 --> 01:24:46.600
But I liked what I saw from
Velaskaz too. For the guy that

1217
01:24:46.760 --> 01:24:54.640
I'm going with here for our giants, I'm going with Trenton Brooks. Brooks

1218
01:24:55.159 --> 01:24:59.439
is an older guy. He's up
in triple A, so you know,

1219
01:24:59.479 --> 01:25:02.680
he's not in his thirties, but
he's he's which might as well be dead

1220
01:25:03.680 --> 01:25:06.920
obviously if you're in your thirties he
might as well be dead though. He's

1221
01:25:08.039 --> 01:25:11.960
twenty seven, so older than most
of the guys that we talk about.

1222
01:25:11.960 --> 01:25:15.840
But I think that plays into the
fact that he wasn't really a big time

1223
01:25:15.119 --> 01:25:20.920
prospect ever, you know, seventeenth
round pick by the Cleveland Club. He

1224
01:25:21.079 --> 01:25:25.880
was with Oakland for part of last
year, and again I think that might

1225
01:25:25.920 --> 01:25:29.199
have been he might have been a
Rule five guy that Oakland picked up in

1226
01:25:29.279 --> 01:25:32.800
their second round there I can't recall
that. And then he got traded maybe

1227
01:25:32.840 --> 01:25:35.560
to San Francisco. He ended the
year in San Francisco, is all I

1228
01:25:35.600 --> 01:25:39.880
know. So that's why he's on
the San Francisco list. But I really

1229
01:25:40.039 --> 01:25:44.720
liked what he did. I mean, he spent most of the year or

1230
01:25:44.760 --> 01:25:47.880
the whole year in tripa a split
between Oakland and San Francisco. In the

1231
01:25:47.920 --> 01:25:54.039
PCL. This line is just like
really wonderful. He walked fifteen percent of

1232
01:25:54.079 --> 01:25:57.239
the time, he struck out fourteen
percent fourteen point seven percent of the time,

1233
01:25:57.279 --> 01:26:00.359
so he walked more than he struck
out. Twenty two homers swiped seven

1234
01:26:00.399 --> 01:26:02.680
bags. Power metrics So obviously,
because we have some statcast data on him,

1235
01:26:02.760 --> 01:26:06.760
aren't great, like they're below average, But when you look at his

1236
01:26:08.439 --> 01:26:11.680
hitter profile. He's the kind of
guy that gets to all of it.

1237
01:26:11.720 --> 01:26:15.199
And we've talked a little bit about
this with some of the other guys today.

1238
01:26:15.520 --> 01:26:19.199
His ground ball rate was below forty
percent, his flyball rate above forty

1239
01:26:19.239 --> 01:26:23.439
percent. He didn't pop it up
a ton, a little bit more with

1240
01:26:23.600 --> 01:26:28.359
Oakland than he did with San Francisco, but still above twenty percent. Line

1241
01:26:28.439 --> 01:26:31.039
drives pulls the ball a decent amount. I mean, in the last little

1242
01:26:31.039 --> 01:26:34.119
stretch of the year he was using
a bit more all fields, but early

1243
01:26:34.119 --> 01:26:39.279
in the year with Oakland forty three
percent pull, twenty five percent straight away,

1244
01:26:39.359 --> 01:26:44.039
thirty three percent, thirty two percent
OPO. So just a really well

1245
01:26:44.119 --> 01:26:48.560
rounded hitter. He's like five ten, I think, and is not physically

1246
01:26:48.640 --> 01:26:53.520
imposing, but I just the stroke
is so simple, and I think he

1247
01:26:53.520 --> 01:26:57.920
gets to his pull power really well. He reminds me a little bit of

1248
01:26:57.960 --> 01:27:01.680
a guy like Carry Carpenter. Decent
plate skills, but isn't going to jump

1249
01:27:01.680 --> 01:27:08.039
off the page on stat cast.
But the approach and the damage that he

1250
01:27:08.079 --> 01:27:13.159
can do to the pull side in
the air is enough that there's there's some

1251
01:27:13.199 --> 01:27:17.680
real production and a guy in the
Giant system that has some similarity to this

1252
01:27:17.720 --> 01:27:21.399
as a guy like Mike Yustremsky where
he was a little bit of a late

1253
01:27:21.439 --> 01:27:27.039
bloomer and then made it up to
the bigs and had a great rookie season

1254
01:27:27.079 --> 01:27:30.279
as like a twenty eight year old, And I kind of think that Trenton

1255
01:27:30.319 --> 01:27:33.199
Brooks could do something like that.
I'm not saying he's as good, and

1256
01:27:33.520 --> 01:27:36.880
again, my looks on his defense
were pretty limited. I don't know how

1257
01:27:36.920 --> 01:27:40.920
he plays on defense, but I
liked a lot of what I saw as

1258
01:27:40.920 --> 01:27:44.000
a hitter, and he's a guy
that actually was on my short list for

1259
01:27:44.279 --> 01:27:47.319
our draft likes he's one of the
just missed guys. So I feel pretty

1260
01:27:47.359 --> 01:27:50.479
good about him, and Steamer,
for what it's worth, does agree with

1261
01:27:50.520 --> 01:27:54.520
me a bit. I mean,
ninety one WRC plus like it's not earth

1262
01:27:54.600 --> 01:28:00.359
shattering, but for a team that
might not be the full competitive miss spectrum,

1263
01:28:00.840 --> 01:28:03.239
someone should give him a shot to
see if he can turn the plus

1264
01:28:03.279 --> 01:28:10.159
approach and average power into a useful
regular. So Trenton Brooks, I think

1265
01:28:10.239 --> 01:28:12.720
is my pick, and I felt
pretty good about him. Nice. I

1266
01:28:12.760 --> 01:28:15.479
get a little nervous when when you
pick out these little bit older guys that

1267
01:28:15.760 --> 01:28:20.000
I wasn't paying much attention to because
then when I start to I'm like,

1268
01:28:20.119 --> 01:28:27.119
oh, yep, he's kind of
good. I'm sure, it's just a

1269
01:28:27.479 --> 01:28:30.479
really long time Brooks. No.
I mean like he just hasn't been very

1270
01:28:30.520 --> 01:28:33.840
good for a really long time.
And honestly, it's like a Cleveland hitter

1271
01:28:33.920 --> 01:28:38.600
right like doesn't s trek out a
ton doesn't have a ton of impact in

1272
01:28:38.640 --> 01:28:43.800
the bat. Basically for the past
five six years he was drafted in twenty

1273
01:28:43.800 --> 01:28:46.920
sixteen, he's just not been very
good. But now as he's made it

1274
01:28:46.960 --> 01:28:50.720
into the upper levels of the minor, he's definitely impacting the ball more.

1275
01:28:50.920 --> 01:28:56.439
And really the last like two three
years he's he's been good right on.

1276
01:28:56.720 --> 01:28:59.880
All right, let's move on to
the arms. Huh. So last year

1277
01:29:00.039 --> 01:29:02.359
one was with Nick Zwhack and I
think I think we've chatted a little bit

1278
01:29:02.399 --> 01:29:05.600
about him Matt, maybe not on
the pod, but man, I was

1279
01:29:05.840 --> 01:29:10.920
I was excited for Zwak this year. It really was one of my favorite

1280
01:29:10.960 --> 01:29:15.079
pitchers to watch in twenty twenty two, just talking about an execution machine.

1281
01:29:15.600 --> 01:29:18.880
I think there was an outing when
he was still in the Mets system where

1282
01:29:18.880 --> 01:29:23.560
he threw like twenty seven of his
first twenty eight pitches or something like that

1283
01:29:23.600 --> 01:29:28.119
for strikes. I had talked to
Jeff about him on this pod and digging

1284
01:29:28.119 --> 01:29:30.880
around, asking about the stuff,
and he's like, yeah, I think

1285
01:29:30.920 --> 01:29:33.239
the slutter is good and the fastball, you know, it is good enough,

1286
01:29:33.640 --> 01:29:39.840
but just did not have a very
good season, and in a place

1287
01:29:39.880 --> 01:29:43.880
where I think you're supposed to have
the advantage as a pit As a pitcher,

1288
01:29:44.079 --> 01:29:47.199
what eighty one innings an ERA of
six and a half, he still

1289
01:29:47.239 --> 01:29:50.840
struck out, struck out over ten
per nine, And yeah, I'm surprised

1290
01:29:50.840 --> 01:29:56.279
that his walk rate was three point
five six per nine. He's twenty five.

1291
01:29:56.359 --> 01:29:59.279
I don't know. I don't know
about my guy Nick zhack here anymore.

1292
01:29:59.399 --> 01:30:01.399
But have you watched him at all? Yeah, we've talked about him

1293
01:30:01.399 --> 01:30:05.600
a little bit, and I think
that starts that I've caught of his He

1294
01:30:06.119 --> 01:30:11.479
was just all over the place,
like it just didn't seem like he was

1295
01:30:12.000 --> 01:30:16.119
in control of his body. I
caught him up against on the other side,

1296
01:30:16.319 --> 01:30:19.079
against some arms that I was interested
earlier in the year, and I

1297
01:30:19.199 --> 01:30:23.680
just like, it didn't look like
even when he was finding the zone,

1298
01:30:23.800 --> 01:30:26.720
it just seemed like it was middle
middle. And then if he was missing

1299
01:30:26.760 --> 01:30:28.800
the zone. He was missing it
by a lot. You know. The

1300
01:30:28.840 --> 01:30:32.279
locker rate wasn't terrible, like all
together, it didn't. It's not an

1301
01:30:32.359 --> 01:30:36.880
awful line, but the couple of
starts that I caught of him, it

1302
01:30:36.960 --> 01:30:41.840
just seemed like something was out of
whack. So I would actually view that

1303
01:30:41.920 --> 01:30:45.720
maybe as a bit of a positive
sign for him, that maybe he was

1304
01:30:45.720 --> 01:30:50.680
trying to work on something mechanically and
it just hadn't clicked yet and it wasn't.

1305
01:30:50.760 --> 01:30:56.640
It's not like he was consistently just
missing. It was more like,

1306
01:30:56.680 --> 01:30:59.520
if he was missing, something was
way off, you know what I mean.

1307
01:31:00.039 --> 01:31:02.119
So if you can iron that out, maybe better times are coming.

1308
01:31:02.279 --> 01:31:06.079
Zack had done some things that I
thought was pretty interesting last year, so

1309
01:31:06.159 --> 01:31:10.680
I liked your pick of Swack.
But yeah, he had a tough year

1310
01:31:10.680 --> 01:31:13.680
this year. I really thought he
was like one of the some of the

1311
01:31:13.720 --> 01:31:16.319
best execution I had watched in all
the miners in twenty twenty two, and

1312
01:31:16.359 --> 01:31:20.399
I watched a lot of pitchers.
But yeah, AnyWho, let's move on

1313
01:31:20.520 --> 01:31:24.760
from Zwak. Here a couple of
a couple of arms that are in the

1314
01:31:24.800 --> 01:31:30.000
AFL. Maybe we're my finalist in
Hayden Winja and Nick Sonicola. I don't

1315
01:31:30.000 --> 01:31:32.840
know. I know you had said
that you that you saw Winja live and

1316
01:31:33.079 --> 01:31:39.359
wasn't very impressed. He's kind of
just like what lanky, big lefty,

1317
01:31:39.520 --> 01:31:43.600
different different sort of angle, potential, different look. But it's just the

1318
01:31:43.640 --> 01:31:46.680
command, right, I mean,
the command just isn't isn't major league quality,

1319
01:31:46.720 --> 01:31:50.479
I don't think. And then his
whole season line was okay, But

1320
01:31:51.039 --> 01:31:54.720
like I said, when I saw
him at hi A this year, he

1321
01:31:55.079 --> 01:31:58.800
I think had three wild pitches in
that game. They might have one or

1322
01:31:58.840 --> 01:32:00.800
two of pass ball, but it
was like he was really really wild.

1323
01:32:01.199 --> 01:32:03.880
I think I said he walked Serta
a couple of times in that game.

1324
01:32:03.960 --> 01:32:09.039
It didn't look it looked like he
was getting squared up a bit too in

1325
01:32:09.119 --> 01:32:13.680
that game, quite a bit of
loud contact. So that's there's a good

1326
01:32:13.720 --> 01:32:16.359
lineup though that he faced. And
he did have a pretty good year overall.

1327
01:32:17.000 --> 01:32:21.159
Not someone I'm riding off entirely,
but just didn't super wow me with

1328
01:32:21.199 --> 01:32:26.800
that look. I decided to go
with Trevor McDonald, who was a twenty

1329
01:32:26.960 --> 01:32:31.479
nineteen eleventh round a Mississippi prep pick
who is now like twenty two years old.

1330
01:32:31.520 --> 01:32:34.520
I think now he had one start
in April this year and then went

1331
01:32:34.560 --> 01:32:38.720
on the shelf until August. He
came back in August and he ended up

1332
01:32:38.720 --> 01:32:44.800
winning the Northwest League Picture of the
Month over your boy vand Scoots there I

1333
01:32:44.800 --> 01:32:46.680
think now Van Scooter won it the
other month. So so it's okay,

1334
01:32:48.079 --> 01:32:56.039
Well that's because McDonald wasn't around man
with that league. There's still only three

1335
01:32:56.479 --> 01:33:00.880
broadcasts of him, and with a
center field angle, so we're still talking

1336
01:33:00.399 --> 01:33:04.600
very limited amount of like looks for
us are decent ones. But he's got

1337
01:33:04.600 --> 01:33:10.039
a fastball. It's like ninety six
curveball slider. I don't know about a

1338
01:33:10.119 --> 01:33:14.479
change up, but the offerings look
look pretty nasty. Now. What I

1339
01:33:14.520 --> 01:33:18.279
don't like about him, though,
is his arm action, and not that

1340
01:33:18.439 --> 01:33:24.520
he not that he doesn't at least
control command his pitch as well, Man

1341
01:33:24.560 --> 01:33:28.119
Matt. His arm action just makes
my arm hurt. Watching him, it's

1342
01:33:28.159 --> 01:33:30.960
like interesting, you know, and
you know, like this stretch for pictures

1343
01:33:31.000 --> 01:33:33.760
and I know no one can see
what I'm doing, but like just keeping

1344
01:33:33.800 --> 01:33:39.760
your forearm and buy upper arm at
a right angle and stretching, you know,

1345
01:33:39.880 --> 01:33:44.239
doing this thing. It's like doing
an internal shoulder rotation is what Nate

1346
01:33:44.359 --> 01:33:46.520
is doing. Thank you, thank
you for that. It's like that's his

1347
01:33:46.640 --> 01:33:50.880
motion. It's like this and then
like this, like it's hmm, it

1348
01:33:51.039 --> 01:33:56.800
just it's just like I said,
it makes me hurt. So it's kind

1349
01:33:56.800 --> 01:34:00.760
of like this short only never extends
back, just keeps his aren't just kind

1350
01:34:00.800 --> 01:34:03.960
of at this right angle like all
the time until he extends and releases.

1351
01:34:04.319 --> 01:34:09.520
Now do you think that that's something
for you that raises a red flag for

1352
01:34:09.600 --> 01:34:15.760
future injury or do you think it's
just the way that he throws and maybe

1353
01:34:15.760 --> 01:34:18.319
adds to deception. What do you
think about it? I don't know beyond

1354
01:34:18.359 --> 01:34:23.399
my paygrad and so to speak.
But I also know that I have kind

1355
01:34:23.399 --> 01:34:27.039
of just to some extent, I
know, I don't like like some sort

1356
01:34:27.079 --> 01:34:30.640
of looking mechanics like mostly like headways. But for the most part, I'm

1357
01:34:30.680 --> 01:34:33.479
just like I don't want to worry
about injuries. Picture injuries. They happen

1358
01:34:33.560 --> 01:34:38.079
to everybody. I want to try, especially like b siding, Like I

1359
01:34:38.119 --> 01:34:42.039
just want to find a guy who's
skilled might be good enough to make it.

1360
01:34:42.119 --> 01:34:45.319
You know. Layman opinion would be
like, yeah, you that's got

1361
01:34:45.319 --> 01:34:47.840
to be. It's kind of not
be good to throw like that, but

1362
01:34:48.039 --> 01:34:51.880
I don't know he's still doing it. Probably probably isn't a good thing.

1363
01:34:51.960 --> 01:34:55.960
But do I care about it as
far as picking him for a B side,

1364
01:34:56.079 --> 01:35:00.239
Eh not really. No, Well, interesting name, He's not something

1365
01:35:00.359 --> 01:35:04.600
I watched at all. And looking
at that line, I'm I'm yeah intrigued

1366
01:35:04.680 --> 01:35:09.000
and now, especially by the motion, I can't wait to see see if

1367
01:35:09.000 --> 01:35:12.399
I see anything. Yeah, like
what so what he had? He pitched

1368
01:35:12.439 --> 01:35:15.680
thirty seven? What thirty seven?
Thirty eight innings? Is that right?

1369
01:35:15.840 --> 01:35:18.960
His er? I think it was
forty seven on the year. Okay,

1370
01:35:19.039 --> 01:35:21.159
Oh, I might have pulled this, Yeah, I might have pulled this,

1371
01:35:21.319 --> 01:35:25.640
like before his season was totally over, but at this point it was

1372
01:35:26.199 --> 01:35:30.359
thirty seven and two thirds innings.
His era was point nine six. He

1373
01:35:30.439 --> 01:35:33.800
had a point eighty five whip,
thirty nine strikeouts. It was his walk

1374
01:35:34.079 --> 01:35:38.159
He walked one point nine to one
per nine. Like it was like you

1375
01:35:38.199 --> 01:35:42.239
said, it was a pretty He
was pretty dominant in his short, little

1376
01:35:42.319 --> 01:35:45.000
high stint. Yeah, and it
checks out again, like I think it's

1377
01:35:45.039 --> 01:35:48.520
I think it's plus stuff and command
at least, I mean, you don't

1378
01:35:48.560 --> 01:35:53.319
get the greatest angles there, but
he was tough to square up and he

1379
01:35:53.439 --> 01:35:56.199
was throwing a lot of strikes.
Nice. Well, I'm gonna I'm gonna

1380
01:35:56.239 --> 01:36:00.880
watch some of some of him.
You know, My guy remains my number

1381
01:36:00.880 --> 01:36:05.279
one pick for our pitcher draft,
Kaiwai Tang, who going back to the

1382
01:36:05.279 --> 01:36:11.479
Steamer projections that dropped earlier this week, he had quite the rosy projection,

1383
01:36:11.720 --> 01:36:15.960
which I felt somewhat validated by with
my first round pick. Tang is a

1384
01:36:15.960 --> 01:36:19.199
guy that's one percent owned as the
end of the year, but projects as

1385
01:36:19.199 --> 01:36:24.720
a four to two er guy four
two year, a four two fifth per

1386
01:36:24.760 --> 01:36:29.880
Steamer this year, which is way
better than I even I thought. They're

1387
01:36:29.920 --> 01:36:32.880
giving him a lot of benefit of
the doubt. On the walk rate,

1388
01:36:32.960 --> 01:36:39.520
you know, his walk rate has
always been really high, like way higher

1389
01:36:39.560 --> 01:36:42.079
than I like. But he's always
struck a lot of guys out. He's

1390
01:36:42.119 --> 01:36:45.720
actually the minor league strikeout leader over
the last three seasons, Like he just

1391
01:36:45.800 --> 01:36:49.039
punches batters out because his slider and
cutter are so good. They project his

1392
01:36:49.119 --> 01:36:54.680
walk rate like like three something,
wasn't it like three point five or something

1393
01:36:54.720 --> 01:36:58.319
like that, which both Nate and
I laughed at, like, I don't

1394
01:36:58.319 --> 01:37:01.319
know if we've watched the same picture. Their steamer because I'd be surprised if

1395
01:37:01.680 --> 01:37:04.359
he has a walk right that good. But if he does, I think

1396
01:37:04.399 --> 01:37:08.800
that's the kind of area that he
can put up because he misses bats,

1397
01:37:08.840 --> 01:37:12.319
gets ground balls, a lot of
weak contact. That's kind of how I

1398
01:37:12.359 --> 01:37:15.520
sold him with my number one overall
pick in our pitcher draft. So I

1399
01:37:15.560 --> 01:37:19.239
was really encouraged by that. San
Francisco, like San Diego, I think

1400
01:37:19.279 --> 01:37:24.640
they're going to have some openings in
their starting rotation. They've had some injuries

1401
01:37:24.640 --> 01:37:29.560
issues, Manaiah's leaving for free agency
testing the waters there, I thought.

1402
01:37:29.600 --> 01:37:31.920
I think they brought back Cob I
think they might have an option there and

1403
01:37:31.960 --> 01:37:34.880
they picked it up. They still
have a bunch of innings that they got

1404
01:37:34.920 --> 01:37:40.439
to fill behind Logan Webb and Kyle
Harrison, and I think Tang might be

1405
01:37:40.479 --> 01:37:44.760
one of those guys. So Tang
I think is interesting and remains my pick

1406
01:37:44.800 --> 01:37:47.800
there. But the other guy that
I wanted to highlight on the pitching side

1407
01:37:47.920 --> 01:37:51.920
is Eric Miller. He's someone I
watched a little bit of in college when

1408
01:37:51.960 --> 01:37:55.960
he was at Stanford. Caught him
live a couple of times when he was

1409
01:37:56.000 --> 01:37:59.439
coming up through the pack. He's
a reliever. Now they've put him to

1410
01:37:59.479 --> 01:38:04.159
the bullpen primarily, and the stuff
I think has played up a fair amount.

1411
01:38:04.439 --> 01:38:08.640
I thought him as more of a
pitchability righty coming out of college.

1412
01:38:09.039 --> 01:38:12.000
You know, he was good in
college, but I wasn't sure he was

1413
01:38:12.039 --> 01:38:15.920
going to make it as a starter
with what he had. But his stuff

1414
01:38:15.920 --> 01:38:19.119
has definitely ticked up as he's been
in the pen. Ran a thirty four

1415
01:38:19.159 --> 01:38:25.039
percent strikeout rate over sixty plus innings
this year. The walk rate is crazy

1416
01:38:25.119 --> 01:38:30.560
high seventeen percent this year, but
it hasn't always been that way. So

1417
01:38:30.880 --> 01:38:34.279
he's one that I think there's better
times coming. Like at Triple A this

1418
01:38:34.359 --> 01:38:39.159
year, he threw fifty some innings
and his walk rate was seven point one

1419
01:38:39.439 --> 01:38:43.359
per nine, Like, that's wildly
high. He still had a really good

1420
01:38:43.720 --> 01:38:47.159
er because he stranded a lot of
runners and had a low Babbitt because his

1421
01:38:47.199 --> 01:38:50.359
stuff is very good, and he
struck out twelve point six per nine.

1422
01:38:50.399 --> 01:38:54.920
So like, the stuff will play. And we were having this conversation in

1423
01:38:54.960 --> 01:39:00.319
the Dynasty dug at Discord this week
Nate about the automatic ball strikes him in

1424
01:39:00.319 --> 01:39:03.880
Triple A and that a lot of
pitchers pointing to that as something that caused

1425
01:39:03.920 --> 01:39:09.399
their walk rates to tick up,
and I wonder if that had something to

1426
01:39:09.439 --> 01:39:11.920
do with it, because a couple
of these guys that we've talked about that

1427
01:39:11.960 --> 01:39:16.000
have made triple A on the pitching
side that they've had sort of uncharacteristically high

1428
01:39:16.000 --> 01:39:19.359
walk rates, and Miller's that kind
of guy. For me. He's had

1429
01:39:19.479 --> 01:39:24.920
high walk rates in the past,
but mostly in really short stints. Anytime

1430
01:39:25.000 --> 01:39:28.439
he's had a longer stint, it
seems like he's kept his walk rate in

1431
01:39:29.000 --> 01:39:32.159
check, especially given that he misses
a lot of bats, so you can

1432
01:39:32.279 --> 01:39:36.479
live with a slightly higher walk rate. I think Miller's a pretty high probability

1433
01:39:36.520 --> 01:39:42.800
big league reliever whether he's He's not
going to supplant Camillo Dovall anytime soon,

1434
01:39:42.920 --> 01:39:45.760
but he's good and I think it's
going to be miss bats at the major

1435
01:39:45.840 --> 01:39:48.960
league level as well, especially if
he can tighten up his command a bit.

1436
01:39:49.039 --> 01:39:53.479
So Eric Miller just wanted to plug
him as another guy that I think

1437
01:39:53.640 --> 01:39:56.760
is going to be in the middle
innings for a big league team soon.

1438
01:39:56.800 --> 01:40:00.560
I think that wraps up our NLS, doesn't it. Next does next week

1439
01:40:00.640 --> 01:40:05.279
or next time we'll get into uh
what let's just do the Ale Central get

1440
01:40:05.279 --> 01:40:11.039
that out of the war. Thanks
for hanging out with us and getting moddy,

1441
01:40:11.199 --> 01:40:14.960
getting dirty. I'm going to uh, I've got to do the final

1442
01:40:15.079 --> 01:40:20.159
tally on the AFL ROTO League.
I believe, I believe, I believe

1443
01:40:20.159 --> 01:40:25.640
I may have won that. Yes, nice, nice, So Dylan White,

1444
01:40:25.640 --> 01:40:27.600
eat your heart out. You ain't
got one of these. You might,

1445
01:40:28.000 --> 01:40:32.600
NBC schmim FBC. You have no
AFL Roto titles on your shelf.

1446
01:40:32.640 --> 01:40:35.439
I don't think. Yeah this is
the big one. This is the one

1447
01:40:35.479 --> 01:40:40.279
you bet on the shelf. Yeah, at least I won some league this

1448
01:40:40.399 --> 01:40:45.880
year. But right on, all
right, so thank you and we'll let

1449
01:40:45.920 --> 01:40:49.920
Chicago Farmer take us out. Be
well later. Rotten too is head.

1450
01:40:51.680 --> 01:40:59.680
You hop it down first with the
lumpbonius face, and the very next pitch

1451
01:41:00.079 --> 01:41:11.119
he up and stole second base with
greatst speed. He wasn't born, he

1452
01:41:11.359 --> 01:41:15.560
had dead Yes, uniform

