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Hardwoodknocks listeners? I am Dampa Valley
coming at you without by fantabulousts yet traitorous

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00:00:52,759 --> 00:00:56,920
co host Adam Frammo, who as
of this moment officially no longer works with

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00:00:56,960 --> 00:01:00,039
me at Bleacher Report. As you
can tell, I harbor no ill feelings

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whatsoever towards him leaving today, though
we're gonna be talking some NBA draft with

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hardwood Knox's favorite draft guru, Adam
Spinella. He is the Dickinson College assistant

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men's basketball coach. He also contributes
to Celtics Blog, and he does most

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of his work at the Box end. One follow them on Twitter at the

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box and one that's spelled out O
n E underscore the box and one underscore.

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He also has a YouTube channel with
many followers where he's publishing draft content

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scouting reports all the freaking time.
YouTube dot com co search Adam Spinella,

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SPI n E LA. He will
come right up subscribe watch those videos.

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He's gonna be taking us through some
NBA draft consequences. Now, I guess

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the way to put it. I
know basically zero about the draft. I

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mentioned that at the top, I
have a good feel for two of the

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players, most one of which is
only because of him. So he takes

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someone who is dumb ignorant to this
draft class. For the most part,

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aside from knowing the names and the
top prospects, through what to expect,

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we go through the top five guys, we look at how the draft could

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unfold. After that, we look
at some of his sleepers. After that,

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we go into trying to figure out
what's wrong with the Boston Celtics with

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obviously because that's our brand on this
podcast, providing a concrete conclusion as to

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what for them to do. But
as we recorded this, they're currently in

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play in territory in the Eastern Conference, even though they're working off pretty impressive

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but also very topsy turvy victory over
the New York Knicks. This was a

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blast, as always, follow Adam
on Twitter at Spinella fourteen. That's at

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spi n e l l A one
four. Before we get started, though

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the usual housekeeping notes or please,
as you might hear them, download and

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subscribe to this podcast wherever you consume
your podcast podcasts, that would be spectacular.

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We appreciate it, and whether you
use iTunes, please head over there

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search hardware Knox. Throw us that
five star rating writer review. Those help

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us out a ton. We love
seeing those numbers go up too, so

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continue to build up the ego of
Adam and myself. Follow us on Twitter

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00:03:07,719 --> 00:03:13,680
at Hardwood Knox, follow the Sports
Math Network on Twitter as well at the

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Underscore Sports Underscore Math, and finally
follow us on YouTube YouTube dot com search

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Hardwin Knox. Subscribe. Throw those
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reduce that algorithm to get more views
aside from the subscribers that we do have.

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That is it, though, I
now, without further delay, am

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ready to take you through the NBA
Draft and whatever the hell is ailling the

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Boston Celtics with Adam Spinella Spins.
Welcome back to the Hardwe Knox podcast.

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I just before I yelled Spins,
I was talking like I was going to

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do my intro with you on here, but I always prerecord my intros when

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I have guests that they don't have
to listen to this fiel. So you

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got to listen to me in real
time, bring up all the info I

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wanted, and I'm not going to
use it with you because I'm going to

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pre record it afterwards. Once you
don't, we're talking about how are you

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doing. I'm doing great, Dan, Thanks so much for having me back

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on the pod. It's always great
to be here, and I know today

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talking a little bit about the NBA
Draft, it's an exciting time because you

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know, college season is done and
it finally feels like there's a little bit

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of a bow on what's been a
really strange college season and pre draft process

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for these guys, so we can
finally talk about them a little bit in

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terms of the sample size being complete, and I'm excited for that. Yes,

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And as a preface for listeners,
this is like Spins doing he does

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most of the heavy lifting all the
time, He's doing all of it this

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time. I told him beforehand the
two prospects. I know really anything about

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Arcade Cunningham because people only talk about
They talk about him NonStop. And then

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I read an in depth piece he
wrote on Jared Butler, So I feel

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comfortable with saying that Jared Butler is
going to be one of the greatest players

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of all time, and that's just
an opinion. I feel informed enough to

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give. One of the things I
didn't want to hit on before we get

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to players, is this pre draft
process now. I assume it's going to

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get closer to normal than it was
last season, where I had talked with

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a couple of people sort of involved
with the process that it was just difficult

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with the logistics of not having those
the same number, the same breath,

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the same ability to have those in
person workouts. And I'm assuming one that

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those will be closer to normal this
year, but also too, how much

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do you sort of even read in
to those. You know, like,

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what type of impression can a prospect
actually leave in those type of a settings.

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It's a great question. I've always
been one to believe that a pre

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draft workout typically can only hurt you
in your evaluation of a prospect. It

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might be able to confirm what you
thought of somebody that you weren't able to

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see on the film. College coaches
are concerned with one thing first and foremost,

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and that's winning games. So they
have to be able to make every

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single puzzle piece on their roster fit
together. Sometimes and we've seen this.

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I'll use the Kentucky and John Calipari
example, where he has so many lead

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guards and really good scores that somebody
has to play a little bit more of

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a niche role and doesn't get to
showcase every single skill that they have,

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which is where Tyler Hero falls to
fourteen or Emmanuel Quickly in the bottom end

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of the first round of the New
York Knicks. Like those guys, when

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you get them in a workout setting, might be able to show a little

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bit more pop than they did on
film. And you know what you were

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able to see watching games of theirs, But other than those circumstances. To

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me, I think all it serves
to do in the pre draft workout is

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get somebody really overhyped about something that
is a small data point on a really,

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really a wide spectrum of things.
It's just one other data point to

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add to the whole picture. And
you know, there are some prospects out

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there this year who had a little
bit of an underwhelming season in comparison to

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where the expectations were for them coming
out of high school or what they thought

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they would be in college this past
year. I think the predraft workout is

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important for those guys because you're looking
at the flashes of potential and saying,

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is this real where we write about
this guy a year ago and he just

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didn't perform well in his circumstance,
or is he really that far away from

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becoming who we thought he would be
a year ago. So it's a really

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convoluted way of saying it's a little
bit overrated the pre draft workout process,

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But there are enough players out there
that that will matter for that it's going

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to be a good thing to have
it back. Is there an element of

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that to the March Madness Tournament itself? Where I would struggle to get even

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knowing nothing about them. I would
struggle to read good or bad in the

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performances from kid coming to him or
jail and subs based on how they perform

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in such a tiny sample. I
know it's higher stakes, which matters,

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but isn't that body of work that
precedes the March Madness tournament more important?

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And maybe it's more so for less
defined prospects where they don't have a specific

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range that they can do more to
make or break their case during that tiny

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sample that ultimately is March Madness.
To me, marsh Madness is the ultimate,

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you know, late riser type of
paradise. You can only help your

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stock during that time if you're somebody
that's outside the kind of top thirty five

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or forty. A few years ago, that was Malachi Richardson at Syracuse.

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Now people knew who he was and
thought he was an okay prospect, but

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he just exploded and Syracuse went to
the final four, and then all of

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a sudden he was a first round
pick. A couple of years later.

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He's probably not a guy that you're
looking at and saying a smart pick taking

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him early, But you know,
Johnny Jusang of UCLA is right now having

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a similar type of rise. Maybe
I'm a little bit too. I don't

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know if practical is the right word
for this stuff, but I'm one hundred

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percent with you that the overall sample
of work that you have through twenty five

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thirty thirty five games is much more
indicative of who you are as a prospect

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than what you do for a two
weekend sample in March. One fact about

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a Kai Richardson, Adam the other
Adam who hosts the podcast with me,

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we have a text thread with one
of our other friends that's called Malakai Richardson.

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I don't remember why. Something must
have happened with him that we were

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talking about, but it's been that
way for like two years at this point.

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So his legacy lives on after his
performance with Syracuse. Let's so let's

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start with Kay Cunningham here. The
I think the most maybe it's a cliche

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at this point or the best way
to put it. The most popular comparison

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is I've seen for him has been
what if Ben Simmons could shoot? And

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that does two things for me.
Immediately, It's going to pique your attention,

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and two, I'm like all right, are we setting him up for

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failure? And so what are is
he? And again my ignorant showing three

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year, is he just the number
one pick? No matter who has it,

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He's just done enough. There's a
he's a cut above the let's say

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the other three or four Canadas,
it might be there. And just too

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what are your overall impressions insights into
his game? So I'll set the table

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a little bit for you, Dan, with with this class right now,

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there are five names who probably would
in any other year belong in contention for

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the top overall pick, a pretty
clear top tier in this draft, and

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most guys that you would look at
any of the last two or three years

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and say this guy should go number
one. Kid Cunningham is a half step

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better right now than anybody else in
that area. You know, you mentioned

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the Ben Simmons type of comparison.
To me, Simmons is a little bit

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more of a live body athlete.
He really pops in terms of his dunking

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ability, how he plays in space, and just his fluidity overall. Kate

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Cunningham's a little bit more grounded and
scaled than that. I think the comparison

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for me would be like a hybrid
of Luca don Chich and Grant Hill.

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So someone who's gonna be better in
one on one situations than Ben Simmons,

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right, A little bit better,
yeah, because he's a he's a really

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polished scorer. The knock on Cunningham
coming into his college season was that he

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wasn't a great enough shooter. People
were really wondering to see, you know,

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is he going to be able to
hit shots when teams go under screen

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means or play off with him in
isolation situations? And because Oklahoma State,

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the team that he played on this
year, didn't have a lot of great

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talent or great shooters outside of him, how would he react to the floor

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just collapsing on him? And he
winded up shooting forty percent from three this

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year, So he blew expectations out
of the water in that regard. And

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again the amount of polish that he
has on his game. When you're not

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a live body athlete like a Ben
Simmons, but you're able to be a

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fantastic passer, you're an absolutely unbelievable
isolation scorer and playmaker to be able to

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do that as a not Lebron James
like superstar athlete, shows the amount of

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skill that he has for somebody his
age. To me, if anybody who

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wouldn't have him at number one is
simply overthinking it at this point, because

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he carried a pretty poor Oklahoma State
roster to the NCAA Tournament and really finished

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the season on a strong note.
So he's that guy where you're drafting him

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where last year it was, Yes, it felt like there's a consensus top

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three, but you weren't sure if
any of them were franchise altering and at

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least looks like LaMelo Ball is that
guy right now. Anthony Edwards might be

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trending in that direction, but with
Kay cutting him, it's zooming in on

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him. He is that franchise,
that fortune's turning type of talent very much

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so. And you know, I
think Luca don Chich was somebody that a

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lot of people looked at as the
most skilled player in his draft in a

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lot of ways, but wasn't this
wire to wire beginning of the season to

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the end of the season consensus top
guy. He's ended up being that,

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And that's where that's where Kaid separates
himself. He didn't have this late surge

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to get there. He was the
clubhouse leader, you know, coming into

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the season, and he only played
better than expectations were were set for him.

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So I have no hesitation in saying
he's a clear cut number one in

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my book? Is there a clear
cut number two in your book? And

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I'm assuming when you're talking about that, I know the top four. I'm

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not even sure if he's referring to
with the top five, but like I

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know, Evan Mobley, Jalen Suggs, and Jalen Green will be involved with

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the in the number two consideration,
I agree, and I don't have a

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clear cut winner out of those three. They're all very different types of players

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and prospects. Mobley probably the most
unique because he's a big you know,

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he's seven feet tall seven four wingspan. But of the three, he's the

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least likely to impact the game in
a dominating way offensively. That's just not

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who he is. And typically when
you're looking at top overall picks or top

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two or three guys, it's rare
to see someone who isn't an offensive alpha

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try to get that that spot.
You know, Mobley is, from my

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vantage point, the most polished defender
that we've seen as a big man come

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00:13:48,919 --> 00:13:52,720
through the pre draft process since maybe
Anthony Davis. Oh wow, you know

199
00:13:52,840 --> 00:13:58,200
this very different type of player again, Davis super athletic. I think Mobley

200
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is a little bit more length and
angles understanding. But the modern NBA big

201
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has to do so many different things
right now. You have to be a

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great rim protector, a great pick
and roll defender, able to switch a

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little bit onto guards at times,
and offensively be able to either stretch the

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floor to three or be a solid
playmaker in that middle third of the court.

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That's a lot of times where offenses
are run through these days, and

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delay actions and things like that.
So Mobley checks every single one of those

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boxes where the amount of skill,
the amount of polish that he has sets

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him apart from not just any other
big in this class, but even a

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Sugs are agreed like Mobiley is so
much more of a finished product right now

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that it's hard to pass that up. And I'm very much in the camp

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I'm not even trying to single out. I remain very high on DeAndre Ayton,

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I think higher than suns Twitter at
this point. I think I've actually

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been more impressed with what I've seen
from James Wiseman because of how much I

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throw out watching a rookie season than
I thought I was going to be.

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I'm just so reticent to use a
top three pick on a big man who

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isn't Zion Williamson. Who isn't you
know? You mentioned Anthony Davis at this

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point, given how the NBA as
trended. So what you're saying, though,

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is is that Mobile checks enough of
those boxes where I think, even

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with James Wiseman, and this might
have been a symptom of how everyone viewed

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the draft class last year, there
was the question of does he check enough

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of those boxes to be taken so
high? But with Mobley, that's just

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not an issue being a big man, even against a relative to the context

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of today's NBA and how it's played
and how building blocks kew. He's someone

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that's worth gambling on. There he
is, and he could be like if

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you're asking me, we're on that
right now. And I reserve all judgment

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to change this between now and July. I have Mobley fourth set, by

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the way, I just had it
in November and now it's July. But

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anyway, please carry on. Yeah, I you know I have Suggs and

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Green slightly above him right now for
a lot of those same reasons. It's

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not to deny the impact that a
guy that mobile can have on the basketball

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court, but more so that the
tantalizing upside offensively of guys like sugg and

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Green is something that Mobile is just
not going to be able to replicate offensively.

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He's a really good third maybe fourth
piece, facilitates can knock down some

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open shots. But you know,
I think most teams that are in that

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top tier, top three or four
picks, are looking for somebody that's going

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to be an offensive game changer.
That's where I give Suggs and Green kind

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of the benefit of the doubt.
Right now. Is Jalen Suggs. I'm

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immediately drawn toward just because I've seen
more of him by virtue of I paid

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attention to the you know, to
the end of the tournament, and I

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have not watched a ton of G
League. What have you seen from from

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Jalen Suggs or what? He's a
winner? Yeah, okay, he he's

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you have to be at this point, and he came there. He was

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a really really high class football player. He's a great quarterback in high school

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and could have gone to any number
of Division one schools and been the starting

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quarterback as a freshman there. But
basketball was was his his path and his

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choice. You know a lot of
times that it factor, that thing you

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don't really know how to describe,
but you know it when you see it.

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That's what Jalen Suggs has. That's
where you know it's no surprise that

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he's the one that hits the half
court shot to win the game for fregn

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Zaga over UCLA because the big moment
just seems to find a guy like him

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and that IT factor. I'm not
trying to compare him to a Michael Jordan,

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a Kobe Bryant, but he's got
that swag that or just the big

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moment finds him. And I don't
really know how to evaluate that or put

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it in any different type of traits
or terms other than just that it factor.

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He has a little bit of ways
to go with his shooting consistency.

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He's a terrific on ball defender.
He's got decent size at six four,

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incredibly underrated pick and roll playmaker,
and very very good in the open floor.

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So he just makes positive plays happen
when he's out there. I think

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there's a lot of room for him
to be a three level square as he

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continues to refine his jump shot and
his pull up range from three. But

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at this point he's an elite finisher, a really really good on ball defender,

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and the probably the top competitor in
this class. I feel like with

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shooting, it's too often dismissed where
it's like, well, if he becomes

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a more consistent shooter, he'll be
so good. And shooting is such a

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huge part of today's NBA that I
feel like we can't just frame it as

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you know, once Ben Simmons has
and this is a cliche itself, and

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once Ben Simmons has more range,
he's going to be an MVP candidate.

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It just doesn't work like that.
Did he sort of show enough? Because

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even looking at his numbers really quickly, seventy six percent from the foulone or

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whatever, that's probably encouraging. Almost
thirty four percent from three, so that's

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not bad. Forty two percent on
two point jump shots. When you're watching

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him, do you see someone who's
gonna end up being an above average off

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the dribble shooter at the NBA level. I think he will be. At

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this point, he's more streaky than
pure, like he'll have some games where

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he's oz three oz four O five
from three and then a couple more where

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he's four or six, four or
seven. You know, you've got to

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bring it every night at the NBA
level. And with Sugs, you know,

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there's nothing glaring in terms of his
form, his technique, his shot

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selection is great. There's no one
issue that you would pinpoint and say,

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if he only fixed this, he'll
be there. I think he's going to

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get to that point. And you
know, maybe this is a little bit

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of my background having worked in high
school before, but guys who are multi

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sport athletes at that level, once
they finally dedicate themselves to their craft,

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they tend to continue to grow in
ways that the guys who've been just playing

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basketball for the last four or five
six years don't necessarily have that upside.

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I'm willing to bet on a guy
like Suggs as a result of that.

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With jarn green lyon him is I
feel like what's been labeled as his biggest

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00:19:52,559 --> 00:19:56,119
weakness again across from what I've seen
just on Twitter and reading, is that

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his propensity for taking difficult shots and
how lilliant is on them. Could that

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also be construed as a strength though, because he's hitting them in a G

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league where he's gone up against NBA
first round picks and maybe more athletic wings.

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Well, I'm not saying that talent
is necessarily better by far and away

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than college, but to see him
hit those shots in the G League against

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you know, maybe certain better defenders, does that actually help him it better?

295
00:20:25,559 --> 00:20:27,599
You know, I kind of agree
with you, like the talent is

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is a little bit better that he
faced in the G league bubble. It's

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glorified college All Star games every single
night against grown as men who've been working

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00:20:36,240 --> 00:20:40,960
on their bodies for many more years. That guys can't just physically or athletically

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overpower, you know, Green is
and I say this with all due respect

300
00:20:45,240 --> 00:20:48,160
to Kaid Cunningham, Jalen Green is
the highest ceiling prospect in this draft class

301
00:20:48,240 --> 00:20:53,920
because of that ISO scoring ability,
that that you know, incredible tough shot

302
00:20:55,000 --> 00:21:00,200
making that he's already demonstrated. He's
a solid competent on ball defender and not

303
00:21:00,279 --> 00:21:03,400
a terrible help defender either. So
there's a ton of upside to believe in

304
00:21:03,440 --> 00:21:08,640
there with Green. But you know, whether you view that shot making as

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00:21:08,680 --> 00:21:15,559
a strength or a potential minus like
Jalen Green has the ability to win you

306
00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:18,079
a game just based on how he
scores it. He can keep you in

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00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:22,720
games, he can he can shoot
you and kind of completely take over.

308
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He can also shoot you out of
a game, you know. And and

309
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that's where I think the surroundings are
going to be really important for him.

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As opposed to a guy like Cunningham
or Suggs who really elevate anyone that's around

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00:21:36,559 --> 00:21:40,960
him, Mobley who's more of a
complimentary piece on offense and just anchors everything

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00:21:41,039 --> 00:21:45,359
on d the Green is the one
guy on this list who not just the

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players that he's with, but the
environment, the level of coaching and how

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00:21:48,720 --> 00:21:52,839
hard those guys will be on him
with shot selection and refining his game is

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00:21:52,880 --> 00:21:56,160
really important. You know, you
are the one who brought up his one

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00:21:56,200 --> 00:21:59,359
on one creation. If you ask
me, the best trait that he has

317
00:21:59,440 --> 00:22:03,599
is is finished ability at the rim. He is not just an athletic above

318
00:22:03,640 --> 00:22:07,039
the rim type of finisher, but
he adjusts and contorts his bodies through traffic

319
00:22:07,119 --> 00:22:11,039
and through you know, rim protectors
and guys that are trying to challenge shots

320
00:22:11,240 --> 00:22:15,599
and still makes them at a really
really high clip, Like his level of

321
00:22:15,599 --> 00:22:19,400
body control is insane. But if
he views himself as more of a perimeter

322
00:22:19,519 --> 00:22:23,000
scorer and a guy who just relies
on his jump shot every single time,

323
00:22:23,519 --> 00:22:27,519
to me, he's mitigating his best
trade. So it's going to be more

324
00:22:27,559 --> 00:22:33,839
so about the environment and the realization
that he has of being a well rounded

325
00:22:33,880 --> 00:22:38,640
and a polished score off ball at
the rim from three than it is just

326
00:22:38,799 --> 00:22:45,240
relying on this really tantalizing three point
ability and self creation to say he has

327
00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:48,279
a chance to be a generational type
of score, So let's take a risk

328
00:22:48,319 --> 00:22:52,119
on him, Like it really does
depend on where he ends up. And

329
00:22:52,400 --> 00:22:53,720
so I guess that is that it's
looking at. You know, he didn't

330
00:22:53,720 --> 00:22:56,720
get to the free throw line at
Ton, and he was playing a bunch

331
00:22:56,880 --> 00:23:00,400
in Imagy League. That's there is
that tendency then for his game to just

332
00:23:00,440 --> 00:23:03,160
bail out, stall out whatever,
but before he gets to the rim.

333
00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:07,119
Unfortunately, so right now, and
again we're talking about you know, nineteen

334
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year olds. I don't think I
knew anything about how to play basketball when

335
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I was nineteen, and unfortunately for
me, my career ended when I was

336
00:23:15,599 --> 00:23:18,759
eighteen. So that should tell you
something. But look, I'm thirty two

337
00:23:18,799 --> 00:23:22,359
and still know nothing about basketball.
So there you go. He has again

338
00:23:22,400 --> 00:23:27,319
the highest ceiling in this draft class
with his combination of athleticism and shot making,

339
00:23:27,359 --> 00:23:30,799
and he can be a really good
on ball defender. But it is

340
00:23:30,839 --> 00:23:34,880
a little bit of pick your poison
where you can he elevate your team.

341
00:23:34,920 --> 00:23:38,400
He can with his scoring ability,
but he can also shoot you out of

342
00:23:38,400 --> 00:23:44,480
it. And depends on what the
franchise it's picking second or third or fourth

343
00:23:44,559 --> 00:23:48,039
is really looking for. But to
me those are the clear top four and

344
00:23:48,039 --> 00:23:52,240
then Jonathan Comingo would be number five. That kind of has an outside shot

345
00:23:52,319 --> 00:23:56,519
of leaping one of those other three
guys to get into the top four.

346
00:23:56,640 --> 00:24:00,319
So what are can you give me
this? Well, actually, my last

347
00:24:00,400 --> 00:24:04,440
question on Jalen Green was does he
have another level as a table setter or

348
00:24:04,559 --> 00:24:07,759
is this someone who is going to
fall? You know, maybe you see

349
00:24:07,839 --> 00:24:11,160
him as time goes on. Make
the Jalen Brown type playmaking leap or the

350
00:24:11,319 --> 00:24:15,799
Klyi Leonard where if you have him
run enough pick and rolls independent of other

351
00:24:15,839 --> 00:24:18,119
point guards, the assist numbers will
rack up. But he's not necessarily and

352
00:24:18,160 --> 00:24:22,160
I'm not really ready to say this
about Tatum, and I didn't mention him,

353
00:24:22,200 --> 00:24:22,960
so I shouldn't have even brought his
name to this. I think he

354
00:24:23,000 --> 00:24:26,839
still has that extra year there.
But is he someone who could maybe follow

355
00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:30,599
a different trajectory or is he still
going to be very much in the He's

356
00:24:30,640 --> 00:24:33,200
just primarily a score and he's going
to do some things by virtue of having

357
00:24:33,240 --> 00:24:36,000
the ball in his hands, but
he's not going to necessarily pass guys open

358
00:24:36,079 --> 00:24:40,000
or elevate guys with his passing.
I think that's more so what it is

359
00:24:40,039 --> 00:24:41,400
with him, at least from what
I've seen right now. You know,

360
00:24:41,640 --> 00:24:47,519
the G League Ignite schedule was not
very robust. I mean, we're still

361
00:24:47,559 --> 00:24:51,359
talking about guys who played fifteen games
like that's what we're basing a lot of

362
00:24:51,359 --> 00:24:56,519
this on. I think of him
a little bit more in the Carmelo Anthony

363
00:24:56,559 --> 00:25:00,160
Gilbert Arena's role, where just because
they have the ball in their hands so

364
00:25:00,279 --> 00:25:04,160
much and he's that talented, he's
going to get three or four assists the

365
00:25:04,200 --> 00:25:10,119
game, but that doesn't necessarily mean
that he's making exquisite reads or making life

366
00:25:10,119 --> 00:25:11,920
easier for his other guys. You
know, point guard is as much a

367
00:25:11,920 --> 00:25:17,720
mentality as it is a position.
And that's where as a table setter,

368
00:25:17,799 --> 00:25:22,200
as a creator, if you're always
thinking shot first, it's just really hard

369
00:25:22,240 --> 00:25:26,160
to do that. And you know, guys like Kawhi or Jalen Brown or

370
00:25:26,240 --> 00:25:30,160
Jason Tatum have made small improvements too, I think play within the framework of

371
00:25:30,200 --> 00:25:33,519
their team and learn to create,
but they're not always thinking, here's how

372
00:25:33,559 --> 00:25:38,720
I can put someone else in a
position to succeed. What is the skinny

373
00:25:38,839 --> 00:25:48,200
on Jonathan Cominga. Cominga is completely
raw upside with a six foot eight height,

374
00:25:48,319 --> 00:25:52,240
six to eleven wingspan, like his
ability to score one on one in

375
00:25:52,240 --> 00:26:00,319
the mid range reminds some people of
Kawhi Leonard. He's another really really strong

376
00:26:00,400 --> 00:26:04,319
competitor. You have the fortune of
knowing a few contacts that have been around

377
00:26:04,400 --> 00:26:08,039
him over the last few years in
high school and all say the same thing.

378
00:26:08,759 --> 00:26:14,440
Really quick learner, really hard worker, and wants to win. And

379
00:26:14,559 --> 00:26:18,279
those three traits when you look at
just the amount of upside that he has

380
00:26:18,839 --> 00:26:22,359
athletically speaking, how good of a
one on one scorer he can be,

381
00:26:22,920 --> 00:26:26,079
you know, they lead me to
believe that he's going to find a way

382
00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:30,359
to be successful. He is the
youngest guy in the lottery or lottery prospect

383
00:26:30,400 --> 00:26:34,440
and probably the youngest guy kind of
overall getting first round looks right now.

384
00:26:36,599 --> 00:26:41,400
There's so much bloom left on the
rose for him. I think the Kawhi

385
00:26:41,519 --> 00:26:47,599
Leonard comparisons are a little bit strong, you know, they're they're based upon

386
00:26:48,559 --> 00:26:52,240
the similar trajectory that Kawai had in
terms of turning himself into a really good

387
00:26:52,240 --> 00:26:56,839
shooter in the league. Kaminga is
not very consistent from three right now,

388
00:26:56,319 --> 00:27:03,359
and the worry with taking him above
Immobilia Greens or a sugs is what does

389
00:27:03,400 --> 00:27:07,759
he really do off ball? Like? I think he's an underrated passer and

390
00:27:07,799 --> 00:27:11,720
playmaker. I think he's a functional
shooter, but he's not a high volume,

391
00:27:12,000 --> 00:27:15,240
high percentage type of guy where you
know, if you take him in

392
00:27:15,240 --> 00:27:19,160
this top five and he never ends
up being a high quality shot creator for

393
00:27:19,240 --> 00:27:22,960
himself because teams just go under screens
or leave him with a little bit of

394
00:27:23,000 --> 00:27:27,160
room on the perimeter, he essentially
becomes Jeremy Grant, which isn't a terrible

395
00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:32,240
thing, but you know, are
you taking that over somebody that any other

396
00:27:32,319 --> 00:27:37,200
year would be in the conversation for
the top overall pick that ends up being

397
00:27:37,240 --> 00:27:40,440
a little bit of a stretch,
so a ton of upside there. Really

398
00:27:40,519 --> 00:27:42,720
really good kid. But the shooting
is a swing skill for him, no

399
00:27:42,759 --> 00:27:48,519
doubt. So if he is there, if he were to be taken with

400
00:27:48,519 --> 00:27:51,440
one of the first four picks,
which would mean that he usurped, we'll

401
00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:53,599
say, obviously not Kay Cunningham,
one of the other three. Would that

402
00:27:53,640 --> 00:27:57,599
be based on a team fit decision
or if you were right now because we're

403
00:27:57,640 --> 00:28:00,920
not going to we don't know the
draft order. Basically, is there anyone

404
00:28:00,960 --> 00:28:06,839
that you could talk or can you
talk to yourself into kaminga over any one

405
00:28:06,880 --> 00:28:11,279
of those other three prospects after a
Kake Cummingham Right now, to me,

406
00:28:12,160 --> 00:28:18,799
the only way that COMINGA vaults into
the top four is if Cunningham and Mobley

407
00:28:18,119 --> 00:28:22,839
go one two and the team that's
on the clock at three or four does

408
00:28:22,920 --> 00:28:27,400
not have a need for a lead
guard and thinks that the presence of a

409
00:28:27,480 --> 00:28:33,759
Sugs or a Jalen Green would take
away from what they currently have on their

410
00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:37,440
roster at that position. You know, trying to think of teams off the

411
00:28:37,440 --> 00:28:42,160
top of my head that might fall
into that category. You know, perhaps

412
00:28:42,160 --> 00:28:47,119
that might be Minnesota, Yeah,
yeah, Cleveland a little bit and saying

413
00:28:47,279 --> 00:28:52,920
like, you know, if we
put Jalen Green and Anthony Edwards together,

414
00:28:52,160 --> 00:28:59,119
is that going to be a pretty
toxic concoction of to score first guys?

415
00:29:00,359 --> 00:29:03,240
Or you know, Cleveland saying we
really want to believe in in Garland and

416
00:29:03,359 --> 00:29:08,279
Sexton as the back court of the
future and keep investing in them, cominga

417
00:29:08,400 --> 00:29:12,039
might vault somebody else there. So
that would be the only real case for

418
00:29:12,079 --> 00:29:17,559
me. But again, we've all
seen some strange stuff happened through the pre

419
00:29:17,680 --> 00:29:21,680
draft process where you know, who
knows what agent is going to watch a

420
00:29:21,720 --> 00:29:26,640
private workout for dark Omilichich and all
of a sudden vault him up the board.

421
00:29:26,720 --> 00:29:29,240
So you know, stranger things have
happened. But to me right now,

422
00:29:29,279 --> 00:29:32,519
he's he's a pretty firmly locked in
at number five kind of guy,

423
00:29:33,279 --> 00:29:36,559
is there? I think, and
I say that it feels like this is

424
00:29:36,640 --> 00:29:38,240
unique. Maybe it's not unique,
but when you look at teams that could

425
00:29:38,279 --> 00:29:42,720
find themselves just in the top four
or five this year where it's you know,

426
00:29:42,839 --> 00:29:45,720
just Toronto, keep like, are
they tanking? It doesn't seem like

427
00:29:45,799 --> 00:29:49,200
they are, or they naturally tanking. You have Minnesota, even if they

428
00:29:49,240 --> 00:29:52,279
keep their pick, they want to
be good they invested. You know,

429
00:29:52,279 --> 00:29:55,559
they have the Angel Russell, they
have Kat you get you have two max

430
00:29:55,599 --> 00:29:59,039
salaries there, Anthony Edwards too.
Or if they don't have their pick,

431
00:29:59,119 --> 00:30:02,039
the Warriors could be right there in
the top five. Warriors could be in

432
00:30:02,079 --> 00:30:06,880
the top five with their own pick. Of these players, Let's say,

433
00:30:06,880 --> 00:30:11,200
of the non Kate Cunninghams, which
one can help out most of a team

434
00:30:11,240 --> 00:30:18,599
that's going to have immediate postseason aspirations
next season, It's either Sugs or Mobley.

435
00:30:18,200 --> 00:30:23,759
Mobley. You know, I'm gonna
go with Sugs. And the only

436
00:30:23,799 --> 00:30:27,759
reason for that is, you know, you mentioned rookie season's kind of being

437
00:30:27,759 --> 00:30:32,880
a wash a little bit a lot
of times with big men in particular.

438
00:30:33,680 --> 00:30:37,119
I remember listening to an interview with
DeAndre Ayton on the wojpod where he talked

439
00:30:37,119 --> 00:30:41,160
about how much he really grew in
the middle of year two because he learned

440
00:30:41,200 --> 00:30:45,000
what it takes to communicate bringing on
a nightly basis and how much is dependent

441
00:30:45,200 --> 00:30:49,799
on you as the anchor of the
defense. So if I'm looking for an

442
00:30:49,839 --> 00:30:56,240
immediate impact guy outside of Kate,
it's probably Sugs. You know, he

443
00:30:56,279 --> 00:31:00,359
does need to get the shooting consistency
down where when he's more streaky and pure,

444
00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:04,480
and he's a couple great nights and
a couple where he's absent from three.

445
00:31:04,599 --> 00:31:08,599
That is a little bit of a
concern, but I would I would

446
00:31:08,680 --> 00:31:14,240
lean towards him making the biggest immediate
impact in that group when you move beyond

447
00:31:14,240 --> 00:31:17,279
the top five. I guess there's
two layers of this question. Do you

448
00:31:17,319 --> 00:31:19,119
think we see a lot of one? Is there that huge of a drop

449
00:31:19,119 --> 00:31:22,720
off where everyone seems to say this
is a five player draft? And when

450
00:31:22,720 --> 00:31:25,920
people say that, by the way, because they said this past draft class

451
00:31:26,000 --> 00:31:27,599
was a three player draft, I
think they're talking about who do you think

452
00:31:27,599 --> 00:31:30,480
are going to be mega stars?
So that's not necessarily an insult to say

453
00:31:30,519 --> 00:31:33,640
that. We need to phrase that
better. And also, I still might

454
00:31:33,640 --> 00:31:37,359
take Tyris Alibert. And second,
overall, when all this is said and

455
00:31:37,400 --> 00:31:40,319
done, I'm still not over the
Knicks not selecting him, by the way,

456
00:31:40,359 --> 00:31:42,839
I'm also not over the Sun's not
selecting him for some reason anyway.

457
00:31:44,240 --> 00:31:47,559
Is that drop off? Is that
being overstated or is it accurate? And

458
00:31:47,599 --> 00:31:51,079
then because of that drop off,
do you think that that's sort of the

459
00:31:51,079 --> 00:31:52,839
there's always the noise before the draft. I think we've for the most part

460
00:31:52,960 --> 00:31:56,680
learned to see through smoke screens.
But is that sort of the area of

461
00:31:56,680 --> 00:31:57,440
the draft where you look up and
be like, okay, well, then

462
00:31:57,440 --> 00:32:00,839
maybe this is where some movement could
and looking at teams that might trade down.

463
00:32:02,359 --> 00:32:09,359
I think from probably seven to twelve
there's a decent chance of having some

464
00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:14,640
movement. You know that. To
me, the ledge that you get after

465
00:32:14,799 --> 00:32:20,759
five and the major drop off there
isn't a crazy talent drop. It's more

466
00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:24,480
so the like Jonathan Comingo would probably
go first overall a year ago, he

467
00:32:24,519 --> 00:32:30,440
goes over Anthony Edwards. That's where
I think that five person draft conversation really

468
00:32:30,480 --> 00:32:36,599
comes in. I really like,
I have two guys at six and seven

469
00:32:36,599 --> 00:32:38,839
on my board who I really like
and think are a half step better than

470
00:32:38,880 --> 00:32:44,640
anybody else. And then it comes
down to a lot of really unique decisions

471
00:32:44,720 --> 00:32:49,920
where this draft, more so than
any in recent memory, has sophomores and

472
00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:53,599
juniors who have climbed their way into
lottery discussions. I think we've thought about

473
00:32:53,599 --> 00:33:00,519
this as a young man's game in
the top fourteen or fifteen picks and always

474
00:33:00,559 --> 00:33:02,359
being yeah, he was a freshman
last year. If we can get in

475
00:33:02,440 --> 00:33:06,960
on his developmental curve. Early,
we develop him into who he is,

476
00:33:07,079 --> 00:33:09,559
and when he signs his next contract, he's only twenty two or twenty three

477
00:33:09,640 --> 00:33:15,720
years old and we reap the benefits
of him in his athletic prime. That's

478
00:33:15,720 --> 00:33:19,680
going to be a really unique discourse
in this draft class outside of the top

479
00:33:19,720 --> 00:33:22,680
six or seven. Is are you
taking you know, a name like Azire

480
00:33:22,839 --> 00:33:29,480
Williams and Jalen Johnson Greg Brown from
Texas three guys who had really really flawed

481
00:33:30,079 --> 00:33:35,359
freshman years declared for the draft but
have such high, tantalizing upside. Or

482
00:33:35,519 --> 00:33:42,079
do you take a Jared Butler from
Baylor, you know, Corey Kisspert from

483
00:33:42,079 --> 00:33:45,400
Gonzaga, These guys who are upper
classman Franz Wagner from from Michigan, the

484
00:33:45,480 --> 00:33:51,720
guys who had multiple years in college
and aren't necessarily the sexy, really high

485
00:33:51,759 --> 00:33:54,720
upside slam dunk if you hit on
them type of picks, but are really

486
00:33:54,880 --> 00:34:00,279
solid players and pros that you can
can get a lot out of and will

487
00:34:00,319 --> 00:34:04,880
not make you look stupid if you
draft. So that's to me where the

488
00:34:05,000 --> 00:34:07,559
legend the discourse comes in. But
I do have a pretty firm six and

489
00:34:07,639 --> 00:34:12,320
seven on my board right now.
Scotty Barnes from Florida State and Usman and

490
00:34:12,360 --> 00:34:16,480
Garuba from Real Madrid. I like
that you took you answered my next question.

491
00:34:17,079 --> 00:34:23,000
Can you give me the lowdown on
Scotty Barnes. Scotty Barnes is a,

492
00:34:24,199 --> 00:34:28,079
for lack of a better term,
a six foot nine point guard.

493
00:34:28,559 --> 00:34:34,519
He's a lead creator at Florida State. And to understand, you know Barnes

494
00:34:34,599 --> 00:34:37,239
and what he showed this past year, you have to have a little bit

495
00:34:37,239 --> 00:34:42,199
of an understanding of what Leonard Hamilton
does at Florida State. They play twelve

496
00:34:42,239 --> 00:34:45,679
guys every single night and rely on
their depth. So if you look at

497
00:34:45,760 --> 00:34:50,159
Scotty barnes raw numbers, none of
it's going to impress to you. But

498
00:34:50,760 --> 00:34:55,719
because they switch everything on defense,
they rely on length and athleticism. They

499
00:34:55,760 --> 00:35:00,880
were one of the worst shooting teams
in college basketball all this past year,

500
00:35:00,480 --> 00:35:07,360
and that lack of shooting ability really
shrinks the floor for a six foot nine

501
00:35:07,400 --> 00:35:10,440
point guard a little bit. So
barnes stist numbers weren't really great. You

502
00:35:10,440 --> 00:35:14,400
know, as I've watched him more
and I just finished the scattering report on

503
00:35:14,480 --> 00:35:17,239
him earlier this week, Like there
are flashes when you get him in space

504
00:35:17,480 --> 00:35:22,559
in transition, you're able to,
you know, clear outside of the floor

505
00:35:22,599 --> 00:35:25,960
for him, where he looks a
little bit Yannest, like just with his

506
00:35:27,039 --> 00:35:30,000
size and length, his burst,
like he's one of those guys who he

507
00:35:30,119 --> 00:35:34,400
just palms the ball and lays it
up above the rim, and you're thinking

508
00:35:34,400 --> 00:35:37,400
yourself, like, how do you
stop this guy when he gets ahead of

509
00:35:37,440 --> 00:35:40,159
steamed towards basket. He's still got
to learn how to play a decent amount,

510
00:35:40,840 --> 00:35:45,159
and he is not a very good
shooter. He looks really really stiff

511
00:35:45,239 --> 00:35:50,039
off the bounce. He's fairly inconsistent
as a catch and shoot threat. So

512
00:35:50,079 --> 00:35:54,480
there's I don't want to invite the
Yannis comparison, even though I set myself

513
00:35:54,559 --> 00:35:59,519
up for that. I don't want
to invite that because you know, Yannis

514
00:35:59,800 --> 00:36:05,039
is such a good rebounder and an
impactful defender that early in his career he

515
00:36:05,239 --> 00:36:08,119
more than made up for the shooting
flaws and then work himself into a shooter

516
00:36:08,159 --> 00:36:12,519
that propelled him to an MVP level. I don't know if I have the

517
00:36:12,559 --> 00:36:15,320
same faith in Barnes. He struggles
to rebound a little bit outside his area.

518
00:36:15,719 --> 00:36:19,320
He's not as pure of a scorer
and as a little bit more of

519
00:36:19,360 --> 00:36:23,880
a creator, but the upside is
there to reach a really really high level

520
00:36:23,920 --> 00:36:30,119
because he's again a lead guard skills
with a seven two wingspan. He seems

521
00:36:30,159 --> 00:36:34,480
to be in just mock drafts that
I've read and perused, and I didn't

522
00:36:34,480 --> 00:36:37,079
give this much thought, he seemed
to be consensus top seven. And I

523
00:36:37,079 --> 00:36:40,400
guess, as you already mentioned,
that's probably a big part because he's a

524
00:36:40,400 --> 00:36:44,199
freshman, that's probably just what went
into that decision. Well, not the

525
00:36:44,239 --> 00:36:46,679
only thing obviously, but that probably
ensures helps ensure that he's just not slipping

526
00:36:46,719 --> 00:36:51,400
past number seven. I'd agree with
that. Yeah, And who was the

527
00:36:51,400 --> 00:36:54,800
other player you mentioned I already forgot, Yeah, Osman Garuba at Real Madrid.

528
00:36:55,280 --> 00:37:00,480
The closest thing that will find to
a Draymond Green defensively in the pre

529
00:37:00,599 --> 00:37:06,360
draft process. You know, six
foot eight seven two wingspan, but incredibly

530
00:37:06,440 --> 00:37:09,840
impactful defender. Every single game you
can probably cut up two to two and

531
00:37:09,840 --> 00:37:14,360
a half minutes of defensive highlights that
he finds. He can switch, he

532
00:37:14,360 --> 00:37:17,400
can protect the room. He's a
really really good shop blocker that just makes

533
00:37:17,679 --> 00:37:21,880
winning plays and instinctual plays. He's
got a long way to go on offense,

534
00:37:22,280 --> 00:37:25,480
he's flirted with the thirty percent mark
from three on incredibly low volume,

535
00:37:25,920 --> 00:37:30,400
and he shows some ability to be
a really good passer, whether it's out

536
00:37:30,400 --> 00:37:34,039
of the short role in the middle
third of the floor. He makes good

537
00:37:34,039 --> 00:37:37,239
decisions out of post ups when they
run them for him. At Real Madrid,

538
00:37:37,679 --> 00:37:40,599
and again he plays against professional competition. He's not doing this in the

539
00:37:40,599 --> 00:37:46,440
West Coast Conference against Santa Clara and
Loyola, like he is dominating grown men

540
00:37:46,519 --> 00:37:52,400
and professionals. Just the weirdest thing
athletically. You watch him defensively and how

541
00:37:52,400 --> 00:37:58,000
he switches and guards people in space, and just how he's able to time

542
00:37:58,039 --> 00:38:00,920
every single one of his jumps to
meet guys at the him he looks like

543
00:38:00,960 --> 00:38:05,719
a sensational athlete. You look at
him on offense and he's so robotic and

544
00:38:05,800 --> 00:38:07,800
moves almost like the tin man,
where you just want to increase his joints.

545
00:38:08,320 --> 00:38:12,639
Like it's the strangest thing to me, and I can't really figure out

546
00:38:12,679 --> 00:38:15,480
what to do with it, because
you know, if he just moved a

547
00:38:15,480 --> 00:38:19,000
little bit more naturally and you felt
comfortable in saying that he could attack a

548
00:38:19,079 --> 00:38:23,599
poor close out and make a decision
as a true four you would find ways

549
00:38:23,639 --> 00:38:27,400
to say he's going to be a
really, really, really impactful player on

550
00:38:27,440 --> 00:38:30,119
both ends. But I don't know
where his offensive fit and role is right

551
00:38:30,119 --> 00:38:35,519
now. He's a tiny bit undersized
at the five, A tiny bit it's

552
00:38:35,519 --> 00:38:39,199
probably his best role. But I
have enough belief in him making such a

553
00:38:39,239 --> 00:38:45,840
sensational defensive impact that I'll stamp that
one as saying he's going to stay in

554
00:38:45,880 --> 00:38:47,920
the top seven throughout this pre daft
process for me, Like last year,

555
00:38:47,960 --> 00:38:52,679
Devin Vassell was my guy on the
defensive end, Guruba, is that this

556
00:38:52,800 --> 00:38:55,320
year? Do you think you mentioned
the lack of size and then sort of

557
00:38:55,360 --> 00:39:00,519
just the ambiguous offensive skill set.
Do you think that keeps him out of

558
00:39:00,519 --> 00:39:04,400
the lottery or is he someone that
you expect to go inside the lottery.

559
00:39:05,880 --> 00:39:09,199
I hope that NBA team's kind of
smarten up and get him to a lottery

560
00:39:09,199 --> 00:39:14,679
guy, because he tends to be
fairly polarizing in that regard. Like there's

561
00:39:14,719 --> 00:39:20,159
some people that are doing mock drafts
work and in the scouted process that think

562
00:39:20,199 --> 00:39:22,400
of him as a true top seven
or top eight guy. There are others

563
00:39:22,440 --> 00:39:27,559
who have him in the twenty to
thirty five range and just completely don't see

564
00:39:27,800 --> 00:39:30,960
Howay's offensive role is going to translate
at all, and are scared of taking

565
00:39:30,000 --> 00:39:36,840
him, Like, you know,
there's a little bit of I think people

566
00:39:36,880 --> 00:39:40,079
are too afraid of drafting somebody that
doesn't have a reliable jump shot right now.

567
00:39:42,920 --> 00:39:45,480
You know, especially if you're a
big man, you can find other

568
00:39:45,519 --> 00:39:47,519
ways to impact the game where you
don't need a jump shot. And what

569
00:39:47,559 --> 00:39:51,960
I've seen from him in every other
facet of his game is that it's good

570
00:39:52,079 --> 00:39:54,840
enough that he's he's going to figure
it out. I think I might know

571
00:39:54,920 --> 00:39:59,519
the answer to this question. But
is there a or do you have a

572
00:39:59,519 --> 00:40:02,639
sleeping giant in this draft class where
it's doesn't have to be necessarily the same

573
00:40:02,719 --> 00:40:06,320
range, but outside the top ten
where it's like, you know, we're

574
00:40:06,320 --> 00:40:08,400
going to look back like a Tyrese
Haliburton. I'm saying, you know,

575
00:40:08,400 --> 00:40:13,159
I would have taken him second and
probably no lower than third. Is there

576
00:40:13,199 --> 00:40:16,119
that type of player with that potential
here to you in this draft class?

577
00:40:16,920 --> 00:40:20,880
Yeah? I feel like you're teeing
me up from my guy, Jared Butler.

578
00:40:21,519 --> 00:40:24,119
He's officially our guy because mock drafts
had started sending him to the Knicks,

579
00:40:24,119 --> 00:40:30,800
so speaking into existence, there we
go. Butler was a guy last

580
00:40:30,880 --> 00:40:34,920
year who flirted with coming into the
NBA draft, and I had him in

581
00:40:34,920 --> 00:40:38,639
the twenty to twenty five range.
I liked his versatility as kind of that

582
00:40:38,719 --> 00:40:43,320
combo guard that can score a little
bit off the balance. Was an underrated

583
00:40:43,320 --> 00:40:46,360
pick and roll playmaker and a really
good shooter, especially off movement. Like

584
00:40:46,400 --> 00:40:50,880
I thought, a team like Philadelphia
who could play him where he would guard

585
00:40:50,920 --> 00:40:53,760
ones and then have a front court
creator next to him, like Ben Simmons,

586
00:40:54,239 --> 00:40:57,480
was really going to be able to
get the most out of him.

587
00:40:57,559 --> 00:41:00,639
He came back to Baylor this year
and not just proved that he's a winner

588
00:41:00,719 --> 00:41:05,400
by cutting down the nets in the
National Championship game and shooting over forty percent

589
00:41:05,480 --> 00:41:08,400
from three to become a first team
All American, but he greatly improved his

590
00:41:08,519 --> 00:41:14,440
isolation shot making, where now he
is hitting one on one stepbacks, he

591
00:41:14,559 --> 00:41:20,519
is drilling shots whenever anybody gives him
a semblance of space from deep, and

592
00:41:20,599 --> 00:41:24,559
that tantalizing shot making ability has vaulted
him up to kind of borderline top ten

593
00:41:25,159 --> 00:41:29,599
on my board. I still think
there are enough teams out there who have

594
00:41:30,000 --> 00:41:37,079
unique rosters where you know their primary
creator or Handler is a front court guy.

595
00:41:37,159 --> 00:41:42,920
You know, Boston has Tatum and
Brown, now you know Denver with

596
00:41:43,159 --> 00:41:46,239
with Jokis, Like, there's so
many situations where you can now get away

597
00:41:46,280 --> 00:41:51,599
with playing somebody that's not a pure
creator at the point and feel like you're

598
00:41:51,639 --> 00:41:54,960
maximizing who you are as a team. Butler fits any number of those teams

599
00:41:55,079 --> 00:42:00,159
so well that I just have a
really difficult time in saying he's not be

600
00:42:00,199 --> 00:42:02,000
successful no matter where he ends up, because if you play with the ball

601
00:42:02,039 --> 00:42:07,400
in his hands, he's now proving
he can drill shots and isolations. What

602
00:42:07,599 --> 00:42:12,199
is kind of is that What I
guess is have people now caught onto the

603
00:42:12,239 --> 00:42:15,599
fact then that he's hitting those types
of shots because he's still in a lot

604
00:42:15,639 --> 00:42:21,320
of the mocks or big boards definitively
behind the other Baylor guard Mitchell is there,

605
00:42:21,360 --> 00:42:27,760
like it should there be that much
separation between them. I am always

606
00:42:27,760 --> 00:42:31,719
hesitant to put Mitchell that high because
I'm not sure what his offensive role is.

607
00:42:34,000 --> 00:42:37,920
You know, he's probably the best
on ball defender for a guard in

608
00:42:37,920 --> 00:42:40,079
this draft, and maybe the best
I've seen in college basketball in the last

609
00:42:40,079 --> 00:42:45,519
few years. Like he has Patrick
Beverley written all over him. He's a

610
00:42:45,559 --> 00:42:51,440
little bit more elite when it comes
to his change of speeds offensively than Patrick

611
00:42:51,480 --> 00:42:55,000
Beverley was. But I don't think
of Mitchell as a great creator for himself

612
00:42:55,079 --> 00:43:00,320
or for others. His advantage at
Baylor was getting to the rim against guys.

613
00:43:00,360 --> 00:43:02,559
I don't know if that's going to
be the same advantage that he has

614
00:43:02,639 --> 00:43:07,360
in the NBA. So for me, it's pretty clear cut that Butler's ahead

615
00:43:07,360 --> 00:43:09,960
of him. I think, you
know, we talked about Malachi Richardson a

616
00:43:10,000 --> 00:43:14,119
little bit earlier, like Mitchell is
the one who popped a little bit more

617
00:43:14,159 --> 00:43:16,039
through the NCAA tournament because you turn
it on, you watch him play,

618
00:43:16,039 --> 00:43:22,000
and he's just eating other guards alive, how good he is defensively. And

619
00:43:22,519 --> 00:43:24,519
now we're getting a little carried away
and saying he should be top ten,

620
00:43:24,599 --> 00:43:28,239
he should be lottery, all these
things, Like at the end of the

621
00:43:28,320 --> 00:43:31,360
day, his offensive role is kind
of as a glorified Patrick Beverley. That's

622
00:43:31,400 --> 00:43:35,760
not to say that that type of
player can't be taken in the lottery,

623
00:43:36,199 --> 00:43:42,679
but that's also almost the best case
scenario in my book. So I think

624
00:43:42,719 --> 00:43:45,719
Butler's head and shoulders ahead of Mitchell
right now, where does he fall on

625
00:43:45,760 --> 00:43:51,480
your current big board? I have
him at twenty four and you have Butler

626
00:43:51,519 --> 00:43:55,920
at you say ten, Butler's at
eleven right now? Is there that type

627
00:43:55,920 --> 00:44:00,599
of fine margin between the guys,
let's say, outside the top seven where

628
00:44:00,719 --> 00:44:04,480
Butler could act. I think a
lot of spots. I've seen him at

629
00:44:04,519 --> 00:44:08,039
number twenty one. I've seen him
like before. That is is it possible

630
00:44:08,079 --> 00:44:13,159
for him to go inside the lottery
or is there not that type of swing

631
00:44:13,199 --> 00:44:15,960
potential in this draft class outside the
top seven? Well, he's the He's

632
00:44:15,960 --> 00:44:20,159
the guy that I talked about along
with Corey Kisspert. You know, Butler

633
00:44:20,239 --> 00:44:25,840
played three years at Baylor. Typically
you see guys who are multi year college

634
00:44:25,840 --> 00:44:31,199
players steered clear of in the lottery, at least if there's enough tantalizing talent

635
00:44:31,360 --> 00:44:36,280
out there that teams want to draft
younger. I don't know if that's the

636
00:44:36,280 --> 00:44:39,119
case this year, just because there
are so many question marks around those guys

637
00:44:39,159 --> 00:44:45,440
where the top tier freshman at least
coming out of high school did not perform

638
00:44:45,519 --> 00:44:50,679
up to standards kind of across the
board. Zaire Williams at Stanford had a

639
00:44:50,719 --> 00:44:55,000
pretty disappointing season. Jalen Johnson was
really poor at Duke and didn't even end

640
00:44:55,079 --> 00:45:01,159
up finishing the season out there.
Greg Brown at Texas was set historic lows

641
00:45:01,239 --> 00:45:06,679
for assists per forty minutes. Like, there are glaring red flags with a

642
00:45:06,719 --> 00:45:10,039
lot of these guys where you would
think a guy like Butler or Corey Kissbert

643
00:45:10,039 --> 00:45:15,559
Atkinzagam might be able to sneak their
way into the lottery. You know,

644
00:45:15,599 --> 00:45:22,000
I don't think. I don't think
Kissbert does, but I think Butler does.

645
00:45:23,039 --> 00:45:28,639
Is there sort of wrapping up the
draft talk, which prospects in your

646
00:45:28,760 --> 00:45:35,239
estimation are just not receiving enough attention
right now that you're highest on those are

647
00:45:35,280 --> 00:45:37,360
And I'll fore warn you and everybody
these are probably gonna be then all of

648
00:45:37,400 --> 00:45:40,440
a sudden, I'm just gonna monopolize
them as cannibalize them as my guys after

649
00:45:40,480 --> 00:45:44,719
this podcast, because that's what happened
last year. You started talking about Devin

650
00:45:44,840 --> 00:45:46,800
Vassel and I was just like,
that's him. That's the guy I'm gonna

651
00:45:46,800 --> 00:45:52,599
become obsessed with before the draft.
I'll throw out a couple names and just

652
00:45:52,639 --> 00:45:55,760
glance over each of them really really
quickly. First, Jeremiah Robinson Earl from

653
00:45:55,840 --> 00:46:02,159
Villanova six foot nine with really good
defensive ability. I think of a career

654
00:46:02,239 --> 00:46:06,920
Jared Dudley type of guy. Where
you know, if you if someone came

655
00:46:06,920 --> 00:46:09,599
to you today when you're drafting a
team and said, you could have a

656
00:46:10,199 --> 00:46:14,679
guy that has the career of a
Jared Dudley, where would you take him?

657
00:46:14,800 --> 00:46:17,440
I mean, what would your thought
be to that dare where? Like,

658
00:46:17,559 --> 00:46:21,360
what team or what spot in the
draft? What spot in the draft

659
00:46:21,400 --> 00:46:23,000
would you take a guy when you
said, I know his career is going

660
00:46:23,079 --> 00:46:30,400
to be that of a Jared Dudley, Like right outside maybe just inside the

661
00:46:30,440 --> 00:46:34,400
lottery feels like a good spot.
And I have Jeremiah Robinson Earl at the

662
00:46:34,440 --> 00:46:38,239
fifteen spot because I believe he's too
solid in so many ways defensively, he

663
00:46:38,760 --> 00:46:45,079
is a capable shooter, pretty good
pass or really fundamentally sound. I've always

664
00:46:45,119 --> 00:46:49,559
said I love Villanova guys and think
that it's role player university. So if

665
00:46:49,960 --> 00:46:52,400
that's you know, if that's what
you're you're looking for outside the lottery and

666
00:46:52,400 --> 00:46:54,760
you get to the point where you
say, we just need a good role

667
00:46:54,800 --> 00:46:59,239
player, we don't want to strike
out on this pick. I think Robinson

668
00:46:59,280 --> 00:47:04,239
Earl has to have first round discussions. Another name I'm really high on is

669
00:47:04,320 --> 00:47:07,960
Ron Harper Junior from Rutgers. He's
all over pre draft boards. I think

670
00:47:07,960 --> 00:47:12,360
I'm probably the highest on him.
I have him having a first round grade.

671
00:47:12,639 --> 00:47:15,360
But he's like a six foot six
athlete who could probably guard two through

672
00:47:15,400 --> 00:47:19,840
four at the next level. He
doesn't play like his dad. He's a

673
00:47:19,920 --> 00:47:23,800
human bowling ball, Like he's physically
so strong that he can just barrel and

674
00:47:23,880 --> 00:47:29,199
run guys over. Speaking of human
bowling balls, my guy is ray Kuon

675
00:47:29,320 --> 00:47:32,199
Gray, another Florida state prospect.
I don't know if you've seen him,

676
00:47:32,199 --> 00:47:38,679
but imagine if you gave Zion Williams
in a flat tire. That's ray Kuon

677
00:47:38,760 --> 00:47:44,599
Gray a little bit. He is
a really strong, thick six foot eight,

678
00:47:45,559 --> 00:47:50,679
but he has no burst to him
where just the type of body and

679
00:47:50,800 --> 00:47:53,719
frame and physicality that he plays with
is really really hard to stop. But

680
00:47:53,800 --> 00:47:57,960
he doesn't have the athletic upsider pop. I think that he's going to be

681
00:47:58,000 --> 00:48:00,840
someone that sneaks up on people through
this pre draft process. And then the

682
00:48:00,920 --> 00:48:06,360
last one that I'll leave you with
here is Trey Murphy from Virginia. Talk

683
00:48:06,400 --> 00:48:08,639
about role player you with Villanova.
I mean, when was the last time

684
00:48:08,800 --> 00:48:14,000
of Virginia player came into the NBA
and disappointed. You know, Malcolm Brogd

685
00:48:14,039 --> 00:48:19,320
and Joe Harris, all these guys
outperform their expectations. And Murphy, because

686
00:48:19,320 --> 00:48:22,400
he plays in the slowdown offense,
doesn't have the pure numbers that pop,

687
00:48:22,800 --> 00:48:25,920
but he can be an elite shooter
at the next level. He's six foot

688
00:48:27,079 --> 00:48:30,880
nine, really really good defender.
You know, those solid three and D

689
00:48:31,000 --> 00:48:36,199
type prospects are never going to go
out of style, and so many NBA

690
00:48:36,239 --> 00:48:39,199
teams are hurting for quality, impact
wings right now. I would feel comfortable

691
00:48:39,239 --> 00:48:43,960
in saying that Murphy is going to
be a first round guy and sneak into

692
00:48:44,000 --> 00:48:47,639
those conversations. I am very interested. Those are all names that I'm going

693
00:48:47,719 --> 00:48:51,119
to now keep an eye on and
research a little bit more. But I

694
00:48:51,159 --> 00:48:55,039
am very interested just to see the
lottery for this draft. There feels like

695
00:48:55,079 --> 00:49:00,679
there's just more stakes there when you're
looking at the Golden State versus Minnesota commitments.

696
00:49:00,679 --> 00:49:04,079
Even with Golden State or does their
pick Land you have Houston, does

697
00:49:04,079 --> 00:49:06,639
it keep its own pick? You
can okay say swap it? Where does

698
00:49:06,679 --> 00:49:08,719
okay see Land are they gonna have? They could feasibly wind up with two

699
00:49:08,760 --> 00:49:13,679
top five picks technically, so there's
gonna and there's just like I mentioned before,

700
00:49:13,719 --> 00:49:16,599
it seems like there are teams on
more immediate timelines that could find themselves

701
00:49:16,639 --> 00:49:21,800
in that situation. The Pelicans still
at their team that I can't figure out,

702
00:49:21,840 --> 00:49:23,719
like where do they land? What
can they do? So I am

703
00:49:23,800 --> 00:49:27,159
going to be fascinated to see what
the draft order ends up being, which

704
00:49:27,159 --> 00:49:29,679
is probably the next time I'm gonna
bother you. Bother the hell out of

705
00:49:29,719 --> 00:49:32,280
you to try and get some insight
onto prospects and where they might best fit.

706
00:49:32,800 --> 00:49:37,559
You did say that you would help
me equivocate on the Boston Celtics.

707
00:49:37,559 --> 00:49:40,920
Are you ready to shift gears to
what I guess has been Do we call

708
00:49:40,920 --> 00:49:44,199
them one of the most disappointing teams
or are they just one of the more

709
00:49:44,239 --> 00:49:49,280
confusing teams? Or they just both? They're definitely both. I don't think

710
00:49:49,360 --> 00:49:53,239
it's a stretch to say that they
are a major disappointment right now. And

711
00:49:53,280 --> 00:49:58,119
as a lifelong Celtics fan, somebody
who covers the team at Celtics Blog,

712
00:49:58,639 --> 00:50:01,599
it's been frustrating to try to figure
out and diagnose, you know, what

713
00:50:02,360 --> 00:50:07,679
is wrong, what needs to change, and why the team's not living up

714
00:50:07,679 --> 00:50:12,920
to expectations. Yeah, there's to
their credit, they use part most of

715
00:50:12,960 --> 00:50:15,360
the Gordon Hayward trade exception to get
Evan Fournie. I thought that was a

716
00:50:15,400 --> 00:50:17,960
home run deal for them, even
though he wasn't Obviously isn't offer the smoothest

717
00:50:17,960 --> 00:50:22,800
start in Boston. The Tights tax
dump is still sort of weird. But

718
00:50:22,960 --> 00:50:27,119
even after making that move, which
is very clearly the four name moves win

719
00:50:27,239 --> 00:50:29,159
now, but then you go do
something like Tights where it's like, well,

720
00:50:29,199 --> 00:50:31,000
now you're just you're trying to worry
about a repeater tax clock that hasn't

721
00:50:31,000 --> 00:50:35,880
even started yet for you. I
mentioned this to you in our direct message.

722
00:50:35,960 --> 00:50:39,320
They feel like a team that hasn't
committed to a direction when you look

723
00:50:39,360 --> 00:50:43,760
at them on paper, I think
they have a ton of rookie contracts.

724
00:50:43,840 --> 00:50:45,960
Let's not even count Jason Tatums.
They have like six or seven rookie contracts

725
00:50:46,000 --> 00:50:50,639
that aren't Jason Tatum. And how
you I don't know that you can be

726
00:50:50,719 --> 00:50:54,000
a contender like that when you need
a Peyton Pritcher to play these huge minutes.

727
00:50:54,000 --> 00:50:59,000
And I know that you know you
had markets smart injuries earlier, but

728
00:50:59,280 --> 00:51:01,800
even just like moving a rotation big
like Tis to where now you're more dependent

729
00:51:01,960 --> 00:51:06,480
on Robert Williams, who doesn't match
up that great with the burlier fives even

730
00:51:06,519 --> 00:51:08,400
though he's really good, and then
not you need Tristan Thompson just play better

731
00:51:08,800 --> 00:51:13,159
overall. I think he's working his
way back from COVID too. I just

732
00:51:14,280 --> 00:51:16,320
I don't know it's they have time
because Tatum and Brown are so young.

733
00:51:16,519 --> 00:51:22,519
But I don't feel like this half
baked direction suits. How good Jason Tatum

734
00:51:22,559 --> 00:51:25,960
and Jalen Brown not are this season, but how good we knew they were

735
00:51:27,159 --> 00:51:31,000
leading into this season already. I
totally agree with that. You know,

736
00:51:31,079 --> 00:51:37,480
the point I keep coming back to
with the really young roster of role players

737
00:51:37,519 --> 00:51:43,440
that they have is twofold one.
It's really really challenging as a young guy

738
00:51:44,239 --> 00:51:47,320
to figure out what your role is
in the league for the first time,

739
00:51:47,719 --> 00:51:51,679
because everybody is used to be in
the best on their college team, the

740
00:51:51,840 --> 00:51:55,199
elite high school guy. When you
go from you know, like aaron Nie

741
00:51:55,239 --> 00:52:00,119
Smith at Vanderbilt, having every single
set play run for you every single game

742
00:52:00,199 --> 00:52:06,679
that you play, to being a
DNP coaches decision and having to figure out

743
00:52:06,840 --> 00:52:09,119
how to get Tatum and Brown shots
and use your shooting just to space the

744
00:52:09,159 --> 00:52:14,679
floor around them. That's an adjustment. It doesn't matter who you are.

745
00:52:15,960 --> 00:52:19,239
It takes time to learn how to
be your role player there in the NBA,

746
00:52:19,679 --> 00:52:23,440
and the lack of veterans who are
great leaders who have gone through that

747
00:52:23,559 --> 00:52:28,079
process and can show the ropes to
those young guys in the locker room is

748
00:52:28,119 --> 00:52:31,599
what's becoming evident. Because as Brad
Stevens shuffles things around based on injuries,

749
00:52:31,960 --> 00:52:37,400
based on matchups, based on wanting
to give certain guys different chances, there

750
00:52:37,559 --> 00:52:40,079
isn't that one veteran presence in the
locker room to be able to pull them

751
00:52:40,119 --> 00:52:44,039
aside and say, hey, I
went through this, here's how you need

752
00:52:44,079 --> 00:52:49,480
to handle it. So that absence
is pretty clear to me from watching the

753
00:52:49,559 --> 00:52:53,440
team. The other thing is Tatum
and Brown have their hands full and figuring

754
00:52:53,480 --> 00:52:59,920
out how to be the guy finally, and their role can't be to look

755
00:53:00,039 --> 00:53:05,760
out for the younger guys and try
to wear that hat, that advising mentorship

756
00:53:06,800 --> 00:53:10,400
for lack of a better term,
veteran leader. They need to handle the

757
00:53:12,440 --> 00:53:15,239
you know, the challenges that come
with being the top of the scattering report

758
00:53:15,360 --> 00:53:20,840
every single night to deal with Kemba
Walker being in and out of a lineup,

759
00:53:21,199 --> 00:53:23,920
to deal with someone coming to you
and say and hey, we're running

760
00:53:23,960 --> 00:53:29,719
an offense that's built around you getting
touches. Can you always take the right

761
00:53:29,760 --> 00:53:32,360
shot and always know when to create
for somebody else? Because we don't have

762
00:53:32,880 --> 00:53:38,400
outside of YouTube and Kemba a ton
of self creators. That's a hard role

763
00:53:38,480 --> 00:53:43,760
to learn how to fill. And
the difficulty in all of this is that

764
00:53:43,840 --> 00:53:49,199
they haven't done either of these with
much spirit in life, Like, they

765
00:53:49,239 --> 00:53:52,960
don't play with a ton of energy
to make up for what they don't know

766
00:53:52,079 --> 00:53:55,159
or what they're trying to feel their
way through. And when you're not polished

767
00:53:55,199 --> 00:53:59,079
and when you're trying to figure things
out on a fly, energy and effort

768
00:53:59,159 --> 00:54:00,960
is always going to be the tie
breaker. It's why they've struggled a little

769
00:54:00,960 --> 00:54:06,320
bit defensively. It's why they've been
really inconsistent and dropped games early in the

770
00:54:06,360 --> 00:54:09,559
season to Detroit and Washington when they
probably shouldn't have. Those are things where

771
00:54:09,639 --> 00:54:13,559
when you have pros in the locker
room, or you have a team that

772
00:54:14,079 --> 00:54:17,159
knows who its identity is and knows
what to expect every time you walk out

773
00:54:17,199 --> 00:54:21,719
on the court, those things right
themselves, and they just don't have it

774
00:54:21,840 --> 00:54:25,800
right now. Yeah, there's they
feel like a team that not the most

775
00:54:25,840 --> 00:54:30,199
likely team, but where a lead
just really isn't safe where or if they

776
00:54:30,239 --> 00:54:32,360
have a six to eight point lead, it's not something that they're actually going

777
00:54:32,440 --> 00:54:37,639
to build off. And I am
wondering overall how much of their struggles can

778
00:54:37,719 --> 00:54:42,400
be traced back to Kemba in the
sense that he missed his time with the

779
00:54:42,480 --> 00:54:44,760
knee injury, and then when you
look at he's still been in and out

780
00:54:44,760 --> 00:54:46,440
of the lineup. As you already
mentioned, when you look at Kemba Walkers

781
00:54:46,519 --> 00:54:52,000
like games by game, they are
all over the place his performances, and

782
00:54:52,079 --> 00:54:54,679
so there's a level I don't want
to say of comfort, but it's if

783
00:54:54,760 --> 00:54:59,079
Kemba Walker gets right or is more
consistent. Leading into the playoffs, the

784
00:54:59,079 --> 00:55:02,199
Celtics might have the best wildcard potential
where oh, they're a lot better than

785
00:55:02,239 --> 00:55:07,119
we thought during the regular season,
but is that even enough and are they

786
00:55:07,119 --> 00:55:08,280
at the point where they can even
I don't want to say count on it,

787
00:55:08,360 --> 00:55:15,079
but hope that that happens. You
know. Tristan Thompson said something really

788
00:55:15,159 --> 00:55:20,000
interesting the other night where back on
his times in Cleveland, they were less

789
00:55:20,079 --> 00:55:23,599
concerned about winning every single game in
the regular season and more about just getting

790
00:55:23,639 --> 00:55:27,400
to the point where they would all
be healthy for the playoffs and playing at

791
00:55:27,400 --> 00:55:30,880
their peak. It does seem like
that's a little bit of what Danny Age

792
00:55:30,920 --> 00:55:35,800
and Brad Stevens are trying to construct
here in Boston by still limiting KEMBA on

793
00:55:35,960 --> 00:55:38,760
back to backs and making sure that
they give young guys certain opportunities so that

794
00:55:38,760 --> 00:55:44,320
they would round out their rotation and
not over extend everybody else. But and

795
00:55:44,519 --> 00:55:47,280
look at the top of the East
right now, Brooklyn, Philadelphia, Milwaukee

796
00:55:47,360 --> 00:55:52,599
are such a clear cut top three
that if you want to make one of

797
00:55:52,639 --> 00:55:54,559
those surprise runs in the postseason,
you almost have to get up to the

798
00:55:54,599 --> 00:55:59,760
four or five seed. That's the
clearest path to getting out of the first

799
00:55:59,840 --> 00:56:04,239
round right now. And without Daniel
Tye, you know, Philadelphia is going

800
00:56:04,280 --> 00:56:07,320
to be a really tough matchup for
Boston because MBAD is, like you said,

801
00:56:07,440 --> 00:56:09,719
going to be that burly post that
eats Robert Williams alive a little bit.

802
00:56:10,559 --> 00:56:15,960
Brooklyn and Milwaukee have the ability to
spread Philadelphia out in a way that

803
00:56:16,199 --> 00:56:23,000
Boston really doesn't right now, So
you know it's going to be as much

804
00:56:23,039 --> 00:56:29,679
about the draw for Boston as anything
else. And the best way to avoid,

805
00:56:30,679 --> 00:56:34,199
you know, needing it to be
matchup dependent is to take matters into

806
00:56:34,199 --> 00:56:37,159
your own hands and win enough games
to the point where you're high enough see

807
00:56:37,199 --> 00:56:39,239
that you're not going to play the
Sixers in the first round or you know

808
00:56:39,599 --> 00:56:44,960
that you're avoiding that matchup as best
you can. So I think that there's

809
00:56:45,039 --> 00:56:49,840
a little bit of that two sides
of the coin of do you want to

810
00:56:50,039 --> 00:56:52,320
play your best ball in the postseason
then save yourself until then. Absolutely,

811
00:56:53,039 --> 00:56:57,800
but there needs to be a little
bit more urgency to continue to rise up

812
00:56:57,840 --> 00:57:02,039
because they're closer to missing the playoffs
right right now than they are of getting

813
00:57:02,119 --> 00:57:06,320
up to the four seed. Yeah, I know the Eastern Conference standings are

814
00:57:06,360 --> 00:57:08,119
just separated by just a mere matter
of a couple of games. But it's

815
00:57:08,159 --> 00:57:12,360
just not looking at it like,
oh, we didn't expect Boston to be

816
00:57:13,400 --> 00:57:15,559
neck and neck with the Knicks this
year where there's a seventh seed and the

817
00:57:15,599 --> 00:57:20,400
Knicks or the eighth seed that's playing
territory as you already mentioned, is there

818
00:57:21,519 --> 00:57:22,639
One of the things that I come
back to on their offense, which is

819
00:57:22,679 --> 00:57:25,440
I don't think it's not in the
side before they struggled the most. But

820
00:57:25,760 --> 00:57:30,360
do you believe that they have the
skill sets when you're looking at Tatum and

821
00:57:30,400 --> 00:57:35,079
Brown necessary to put consistent pressure on
the rim to draw more free throwers.

822
00:57:35,079 --> 00:57:37,400
They did a good job of that
against the Knicks, a team that kind

823
00:57:37,400 --> 00:57:40,840
of invites attempt that doesn't invite,
but they just allow more attempts at the

824
00:57:40,920 --> 00:57:44,440
rim than a lot of other teams. But is that I feel like this

825
00:57:44,599 --> 00:57:45,960
is a reoccurring theme with the Celtics, where it was a reccurring theme with

826
00:57:46,000 --> 00:57:49,760
Jason Tatum for so long. He's
gotten a little bit better at it.

827
00:57:50,400 --> 00:57:52,280
Is it the playmaking that they're shouldering. Does that take them out of that

828
00:57:52,400 --> 00:57:55,719
mindset a little bit potentially? I'm
just very curious to whether you think that

829
00:57:55,840 --> 00:58:00,320
something that can be remedied from within. And so unless you don't even think

830
00:58:00,360 --> 00:58:02,559
that it's a problem, no,
I don't. I don't know if it's

831
00:58:02,599 --> 00:58:08,199
a problem for Brown. I think
his issue now is he's turned himself into

832
00:58:08,239 --> 00:58:14,280
such a good shooter and been so
consistent with that that sometimes that's a better

833
00:58:14,360 --> 00:58:17,480
decision for him than trying to drive
and continue to have the floor collapse on

834
00:58:17,559 --> 00:58:21,599
him as he tries to attempt something
at the rim. Tatum, I've always

835
00:58:21,639 --> 00:58:23,440
been a little worried by his lack
of attempts at the rim. I think

836
00:58:23,519 --> 00:58:29,840
that that's as indicative of what he
needs to do to take that next step

837
00:58:29,880 --> 00:58:32,679
as it is is playmaking. You
know, to me, he's just he's

838
00:58:32,760 --> 00:58:38,039
missing that pure aggression. And one
thing Daniel Tice did really really well was

839
00:58:38,159 --> 00:58:42,360
that screen and seal move where he
would roll to the front of the basket

840
00:58:42,480 --> 00:58:45,800
and then just completely bury some rim
protector and try to hold him off on

841
00:58:45,880 --> 00:58:50,000
his back, so Tatum could have
a clear path at a layout. And

842
00:58:50,440 --> 00:58:52,159
you know, I don't know if
Thompson's is good at that. Robert Williams

843
00:58:52,320 --> 00:58:57,960
is let's just say, subtlety is
not his strong suit, So I don't

844
00:58:58,000 --> 00:59:00,440
know if he's going to be the
type of guy that the phil that role.

845
00:59:00,480 --> 00:59:05,119
Like, I really do worry about
Tatum being so heavily jump shot dependent

846
00:59:05,960 --> 00:59:10,800
that it makes it less likely help
defenses are going to try to scramble to

847
00:59:10,880 --> 00:59:16,320
the rim, therefore limiting his playmaking
upside. So the biggest way to untap

848
00:59:16,519 --> 00:59:20,920
More and Tatum is to get him
to the rim more, which then forces

849
00:59:21,000 --> 00:59:23,320
defenses to collapse and probably opens up
a few more passing lanes for him.

850
00:59:24,320 --> 00:59:30,199
Who is the most important non Marcus
Smart, Jalen Brown, Jason Tatum,

851
00:59:30,280 --> 00:59:35,480
Keima Walker player on this team?
And that's where it feels like reliability.

852
00:59:35,639 --> 00:59:37,360
And I don't think Kempa has not
been reliable, but it feels like after

853
00:59:37,400 --> 00:59:40,719
those four guys, you legitimately know
if you're looking at it through the lens

854
00:59:40,760 --> 00:59:44,760
of the rest of the season,
a postseason series, who are you looking

855
00:59:44,800 --> 00:59:46,679
at saying you know we can bank
on his performance? I guess Evan Fournier

856
00:59:46,760 --> 00:59:50,920
is now the reflective answer. But
then even moving beyond him, like who

857
00:59:50,960 --> 00:59:54,079
becomes most important to this team?
I think it has to be Robert Williams.

858
00:59:54,119 --> 01:00:00,920
I mean, you don't trade away
you're starting center without believing in what

859
01:00:00,000 --> 01:00:02,880
he's going to be able to give
you in the postseason. And that's where

860
01:00:04,039 --> 01:00:07,960
I think the one thing the Celtics
lack is a small ball five, Like

861
01:00:07,079 --> 01:00:13,559
they can't really commit to spreading other
teams out by playing somebody at that spot

862
01:00:13,599 --> 01:00:16,760
anymore. Grant Williams maybe, but
he's just been so inconsistent in his own

863
01:00:16,800 --> 01:00:20,840
world right now that it's hard to
bank on him in that spot. Like

864
01:00:20,880 --> 01:00:24,000
they have stretched fives like Luke Cornette, Moe Wagner, but I wouldn't really

865
01:00:24,159 --> 01:00:28,519
want to see either of them playing
heavy minutes in a postseason series right now.

866
01:00:29,679 --> 01:00:32,679
You know they're committed to playing with
Williams or Thompson as that rim,

867
01:00:32,719 --> 01:00:37,159
protecting, shot blocking, screen roll
or catch and finish type of five,

868
01:00:37,639 --> 01:00:39,280
which means that they have to be
really really good in that role, or

869
01:00:39,320 --> 01:00:44,599
at least good enough to the point
where you know when they face a Brooklyn

870
01:00:44,800 --> 01:00:47,039
that can go a little bit smaller
and try to spread them out that Boston

871
01:00:47,079 --> 01:00:52,559
doesn't feel exposed. Do you look
at this, and I'm not trying to

872
01:00:52,639 --> 01:00:55,679
trade away their young players, but
there's obviously Robert Williams, But do you

873
01:00:55,760 --> 01:00:59,920
look at you know, Nay Smith, Romeo Lankford has a three game Samples

874
01:01:00,000 --> 01:01:01,559
Eyes under his belt this season.
Now we should all throw confetti for that.

875
01:01:01,960 --> 01:01:06,280
You have Peyton Pritchard. You mentioned
I really like Graham Williams, but

876
01:01:06,400 --> 01:01:08,760
as you said, he's been super
inconsistent this season. Do they have anyone

877
01:01:08,960 --> 01:01:14,559
on this team that can either pop
for them semi immediately or who could be

878
01:01:15,760 --> 01:01:17,679
a centerpiece might be too strong of
a word, but an actual trade magnet

879
01:01:17,719 --> 01:01:21,199
for them because they are they have
to do something over the offseason. This

880
01:01:21,360 --> 01:01:23,320
is they're not looking at this team. Even if Kemba goes off, they're

881
01:01:23,320 --> 01:01:27,360
not going to make or run to
the NBA Finals. And it feels like

882
01:01:27,480 --> 01:01:30,800
they're it's not even just a player
short. I feels like one point five

883
01:01:30,840 --> 01:01:32,960
player short at this point. And
so you either need someone from within to

884
01:01:34,079 --> 01:01:37,159
really go boom, either for you
on the court or as a trade asset.

885
01:01:38,159 --> 01:01:40,199
Yeah, I'm going to give you
the cop out answer, Dan,

886
01:01:40,360 --> 01:01:44,360
Like, at this point, I
don't care who it is. It just

887
01:01:44,519 --> 01:01:47,519
needs to be like one or two
guys that establish themselves as rotation pieces so

888
01:01:47,639 --> 01:01:52,239
we can get rid of everybody else, because you can't have eight guys on

889
01:01:52,360 --> 01:01:55,639
rookie contracts trying to figure out who
they are on a roster that tries to

890
01:01:55,679 --> 01:02:00,719
compete. There's just no room for
that. So, you know, I'd

891
01:02:00,800 --> 01:02:07,400
love for it to be Nice Smith
because he's the role that he fills is

892
01:02:07,440 --> 01:02:10,519
probably the most important one next to
Tatum and Brown, which is just straight

893
01:02:10,599 --> 01:02:15,599
up catch and shoot success. And
I'd like for it to be Grant Williams

894
01:02:15,760 --> 01:02:19,719
because, as we mentioned, having
that small ball five, which I still

895
01:02:19,760 --> 01:02:22,639
think is his best kind of role
in position, is really important. But

896
01:02:22,800 --> 01:02:25,480
then you have to make the decisions. You've got to get rid of the

897
01:02:25,559 --> 01:02:30,239
Carson Edwards. You've got to get
rid of the semi ojulas, like those

898
01:02:30,280 --> 01:02:36,480
guys can't be getting playoff minutes on
a team. I think Romeo Langford has

899
01:02:36,639 --> 01:02:39,000
upside to him, but if you're
talking about trade targets, that would be

900
01:02:39,079 --> 01:02:43,039
the one for me, where if
you develop him and he shows that he

901
01:02:43,119 --> 01:02:46,400
can do something this year, kind
of cash out a little bit and get

902
01:02:46,440 --> 01:02:50,960
a little bit more of a shooter
or a defined three indeed type of role,

903
01:02:51,039 --> 01:02:53,320
because that's ultimately what you need at
the wing spot next to Tatum and

904
01:02:53,400 --> 01:02:57,000
Brown. Do they have Does he
have the room to do that? I

905
01:02:57,079 --> 01:03:00,559
know his his defense is kind of
tantalizing, but is he Is he that

906
01:03:00,119 --> 01:03:04,840
complimentary offensive player that seems more like
it could be a Pritchard or a Nie

907
01:03:04,920 --> 01:03:07,239
Smith. Keep going back to how
he was in high school. He was

908
01:03:07,280 --> 01:03:13,000
a prolific scorer in high school.
You know, everyone is waiting for it

909
01:03:13,079 --> 01:03:16,599
to click to the point where he
does that in the NBA. He struggled

910
01:03:16,639 --> 01:03:20,840
at Indiana. He had some risk
issues, I believe, and didn't shoot

911
01:03:20,880 --> 01:03:23,800
the ball very well from deep.
Celtics drafted him thirteenth, thinking that that

912
01:03:23,840 --> 01:03:28,920
would fix itself. He hasn't proven
to be an incredibly reliable shooter yet,

913
01:03:30,199 --> 01:03:36,519
but he's certainly also not the generational
type of scorer that people thought he was

914
01:03:36,559 --> 01:03:42,119
when he was in high school.
Spins, this was fantastic. Thank you

915
01:03:42,199 --> 01:03:45,679
so much for coming on. I
have no strong opinions about the Celtics.

916
01:03:45,719 --> 01:03:47,280
I feel like they're in trouble,
but it's also it's tough to They have

917
01:03:47,440 --> 01:03:52,159
two of the most tantalizing building blocks
in the NBA, and just you can

918
01:03:52,199 --> 01:03:54,119
imagine them making a really strong push. I I wouldn't consider them a title

919
01:03:54,159 --> 01:03:58,519
contender, but if they just get
more from Kemba Walker, that's still a

920
01:03:59,079 --> 01:04:02,039
in theory and act big three and
things, can you know, round out

921
01:04:02,079 --> 01:04:05,960
from there. But they're they're so
even their most recent Knicks game maybe one,

922
01:04:06,119 --> 01:04:10,559
but it was just like that had
I know. The cliche is the

923
01:04:10,679 --> 01:04:14,280
basketball is a game of runs,
but that was like a game of runs

924
01:04:14,320 --> 01:04:17,039
and dry spells, and that feels
like the EBB and flow of so many

925
01:04:17,119 --> 01:04:20,719
of their games this season. Yeah, look, there's still the fourth most

926
01:04:20,800 --> 01:04:26,199
talented team in the East, probably
right behind the Big three there of Brooklyn,

927
01:04:26,360 --> 01:04:29,280
Philly, and Milwaukee, and that's
got to count for something. You

928
01:04:29,320 --> 01:04:33,159
know, you can't count behind Miami. I think they're probably a little bit

929
01:04:33,239 --> 01:04:38,760
more top heavy talented. I think
I'd rather have Tatum and Brown than I

930
01:04:38,800 --> 01:04:45,880
would Butler and Oladipo. But it's
very close with those two teams. Very

931
01:04:45,079 --> 01:04:48,440
Miami at least has such a defined
identity and they shoot the ball so well

932
01:04:48,599 --> 01:04:53,079
that I would pick Miami in a
postseason series. But I don't think it's

933
01:04:53,079 --> 01:04:56,800
a stretch to say that Boston is
just as, if not more, individually

934
01:04:56,880 --> 01:05:00,559
talented. Yes, Miami could carve
out floors Bay Seeing in a flash mob.

935
01:05:01,000 --> 01:05:04,079
They are spectacular doing that. Spins, This was so great. Thank

936
01:05:04,119 --> 01:05:06,800
you so much for coming on.
You know I will be bothering you again

937
01:05:08,159 --> 01:05:10,920
down the line, but for now, can you tell our listeners where they

938
01:05:10,960 --> 01:05:14,760
can find your work? Follow your
work? Well, Dan, thanks for

939
01:05:14,840 --> 01:05:18,440
having me. I'm pretty active on
Twitter. Follow me at Spinella fourteen that's

940
01:05:18,599 --> 01:05:25,280
SPI n e l l A one
four writing a lot of NBA draft scouttering

941
01:05:25,360 --> 01:05:30,960
reports and doing YouTube scouts and tons
of in depth breakdowns either on our YouTube

942
01:05:30,079 --> 01:05:33,239
channel and you can find me at
Adam Spinella or on the Box and One

943
01:05:33,320 --> 01:05:38,119
which is the Box in One Duck
weebly dot com. And for more half

944
01:05:38,159 --> 01:05:41,719
to press Celtics Takes, you can
follow me and my colleagues over at Celtics

945
01:05:41,800 --> 01:05:45,360
blog right now. Definitely follow I
mean follows Adam directly as you already mentioned

946
01:05:45,400 --> 01:05:48,880
at Spinella fourteen, but definitely follow
Box and One. He writes so much

947
01:05:48,920 --> 01:05:53,599
great stuff I'm watching. His YouTube
scouting reports are a godsend for me,

948
01:05:53,840 --> 01:05:57,679
especially when I'm doing a draft crash
course or just trying to feign some knowledge

949
01:05:57,920 --> 01:06:00,559
before a podcast with Spins himself.
Thank you so much, Finn, I

950
01:06:00,559 --> 01:06:02,800
will be talking to you sir.
Thanks day
