WEBVTT

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You're listening to Redefining Energy. Your
co hosts from Berlin Girard Reid and from

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London Lawrence Seglent today on Redefending an
ergab It's September and you're probably too young

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to remember, but in the seventies
there was this group called Earth, Wind

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and Fire. Do you remember Do
you remember September? I don't remember September.

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I know the name of the pan, but that is you're my age.

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But first of all, from my
partner, this podcast is powered by

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AXPO and international leader in providing sustainable
energy solutions for the future in an ordex.

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AXPO has been a pioneer within trading
and origination services for the last twenty

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years. So earths, win and
fire. We talk about solar so fire

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a lot, we talk about wind
a lot, and now we're going to

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talk about Earth. We're going to
talk about Jill Thurmon. Very good and

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actually I like the way you put
it now, Max as we earth,

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wind and fire, because the wind
and fire is what we talk about all

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the time, but we've just we
don't talk about Earth at all. And

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actually Earth copy is just as important
as wind and fire. Right in my

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opinion, this is the dawn of
a new age. We had this geo

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thermal industry tagging along, but really
a little niche been there for decades.

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And if I look at the US
figures, which is the main market,

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that old technology, which is now
called hydrothermal, only represented four you get

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one of capacity, so it was
like zero one three percent of the global

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fleet. So nobody was really very
interested. And all of a sudden,

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things you know, start shaking.
Now we see new technologies arriving. I

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think one of the most important is
that they finally adapted the drilling techniques of

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the oil and gas industry to joe
thermal. Yeah. Well, let's actually

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say it's not just the oil and
gas industry, it's the shape industry,

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right. It really is what we've
seen in terms of alcohol decentralized drilling.

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The innovation that we've seen in the
US in the last decade has been nothing

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sinse a phenomenal and it's a well
to geo terminal and basically nobody stopeder.

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Yeah. About two months ago there
was this big announcement by a startup called

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Fervo Energy that they had managed to
run a well for one month. They

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raised one hundred and eighty million dollars
from investors, and they drilled at two

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thousand meters deep and then they made
an original drilling of one kilometer and they

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managed to flow water to do aservoir
and it came back at two and the

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flow of sixty three lyters per second. I don't know if it's good or

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not, but if you look at
the investors, you have a Stanford,

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Princeton, Macquarie, be HP,
Breakthrough, Capricorn, Congruent, Devon.

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Who do you think is the most
important of those invest all Devon exactly?

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And why because they're drilling company,
right and they're conventional drilling Sorry when I

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say conventional, sorry, they're fossil
fuel drilling companies. You need their experience

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such a booles But it's even more
than that because Devon Energy is the company

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who acquired Mitchell Oil and the guy
who invented horizontal drilling and fracking is George

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Mitchell. Yeah, very good.
So in fact you've got not only they

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use the same techniques, but these
are the same companies. Cool. In

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order to talk about those neutral thermal
techniques, we have invited Cyndi taf and

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she has had a thirty five year
career in the oil and gas industry,

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most recently vpah shell un conventional wells
operation. Now she has a startup call

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of Sage Energy which is focusing on
exactly the same techniques. But let's bring

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around the shows of the conversation.
Cindy, welcome to the show. Thank

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you. I'm happy to be here. First question, very simple, what

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is joe thermal? Literally? What's
happening? From a technical point of view,

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I guess you drill and what do
you get out of the drilling like

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hot water? How does it work? If you think about the geothermal systems

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that are out there, you need
to think about geology, and so most

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of us think about Iceland or the
geysers of California when we think about geothermal.

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So these are geothermal systems that rely
on hot aquifers to produce heat and

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steam to the surface in order to
bring the heat of the earth to the

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surface to use for electricity or direct
heat use. This geothermal has been around

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for a hundred years. The challenges
it is limited geographically it represents on about

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two percent of the geothermal resources around
the world. Most of the resources are

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actually contained in what we call hot
dry rock, so rock that has the

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heat but does not naturally flow water
or steam to the surface. So what

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you have to do in hot dry
rock you have to create an artificial reservoir

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or think of it as a tank
through which you then circulate a working fluid

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such as water, to harvest the
heat and then to bring that heat to

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surface. So these are called enhanced
geothermal systems, and there's huge opportunity there.

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That's the future. So first,
what you're telling me is that the

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classic way of doing joe thermal,
whether it's Iceland, California, probably sus

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of Italy, Japan, and of
course all look like very volcanic area,

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that type of joe thermal as kind
of reaches natural limit. So now if

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we really want to use the heat
of the to produce twenty four seven carbon

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free energy, we need to use
different techniques. And because we use different

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techniques, we somehow can do it
elsewhere. That's correct. The conventional geothermal

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resources they're near the ring of fire, they're near volcanoes, so you have

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to have very specific geological circumstances in
order to have those geothermal resources, and

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so yes, they're limited. Whereas
if we can crack the nut on this

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new geothermal hot dry rock. You
can literally put geothermal just about anywhere.

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And when I say just about anywhere, anywhere that you can drill to the

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debt to get the heat in order
to be economically viable. So it's all

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about debt. Now. If we
again have been in Iceland, so I

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went to the Blue Lagoon, and
I mean, I'm not doing some advertising,

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but it's a very nice place.
I guess they drill like probably one

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or two hundred meters in the case
of your hot rocks. How deep would

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that be? I guess probably more
absolutely, So we're targeting drilling for one

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hundred and fifty degrees see temperatures at
the targeted rock or formation. And so

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these depths are anywhere from three thousand
meters to say six thousand meters, and

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they're all reachable with current oil and
gas drilling and completion technologies. Now there

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is space age drilling out there,
and we can talk about that later,

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but those are the depths that we're
targeting and the temperatures that we're targeting.

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Can I ask you just to if
I look at conventional geotomer, for me,

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it's always been about power production.
But if I look going forward,

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we've got one really big issue to
solve, and that's actually heat. How

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do you decombonize heat? So if
I take a district heating system, so

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like I live outside Berlin, it's
the biggest district heating system in Europe,

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I look at that and go,
how the heck are you going to decombonize

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that? And looking at my goal, it's difficult, but actually geothermal is

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probably the obvious way to do it. So what you're doing is you're creating

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heat and electricity. Could you talk
a little bit about that? Am I

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just you're not dreaming because that's what
they're doing in Denmark right now in the

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second city of Denmark called forgot Urs. I think they're going to put their

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old district heating system under Joel thermal. Please, Cindy. The biggest challenge

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for district heating is to build the
infrastructure to the buildings. When you pursue

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geothermal, okay, you're bringing heat
to the surface. If you want to

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generate electricity, you're actually losing part
of that energy in order to turn that

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heat into electricity. If you use
that heat for heat, the efficiency is

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close to one hundred percent. It's
not one hundred percent, but it's very

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It's much higher than if you're trying
to turn that heat into electricity. Now,

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Europe is a perfect place to use
geothermal for district heating. You know,

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if you've got communities that are further
spread out, of course, that

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would be more of a challenge because
then you have to pipe that heat over

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greater distances and you have a higher
chance of losing that heat in the piping.

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But if you've got a very dense
population in a small area, yeah,

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district heating is actually a very efficient
use of geothermal energy. Can I

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ask them? Europe has a lot
of district heating systems and I look at

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what their solutions are in terms of
decomminization. I'm not seeing geo turmal as

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part of the solution. So tell
me why is that? We believe in

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what we're working in. We see
a huge potential, We just need to

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get the cost down. It's hard
for me to say why geothermal isn't more

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prevalent in those go forward plans,
and especially for district heating. So again,

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geothermal is a perfect solution. You
use the heat directly for heating and

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building heating a greenhouse. It's really
a good fit and the cost is going

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to be lower than having to turn
it into electricity. I'm not sure why

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it's not on the radar. Now, you do need to drill a well,

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so you would need enough land,
say two to three acres, to

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set a drilling rig and drill a
well. But once that well is drilled,

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that drilling rig goes away, and
so the footprint still is quite small

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if you compare it to other renewable
energy sources like wind and solar. Can

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I ask you then, I think
in terms of megawatts, if you were

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to drill, what type of energy
are you going to get out of that?

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So you've got this square mile that
you're drilling in, what type of

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energy do you think can you get
out of that on a daily basis or

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a yearly basis. If we drill
to bottom hole temperature of one fifty to

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two hundred degrees C. Again,
this is the temperature at the bottom of

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the well, depending on the ambient
temperature, depending on the formation, depending

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on the well design. We're thinking
about three megawatt net pacity your output per

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well. Now, if you want
to scale to say fifty megawatts, then

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you would drill eighteen to twenty wells
those wells would be very closely spaced on

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surface, so ten feet apart,
which actually enables you to use what we

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call a walking rig where you don't
have to completely disassemble the rig to move

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from well to well, So you
could use a walking rigs, so your

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operational efficiencies are very high. That
fifty megawatt well footprint is about an acre

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and a half and then if you
add the power plant, you're talking about

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another two and a half acres.
So for less than five acres we could

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scale to, for example, fifty
megawatts, and that's electric, that's fifty

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megawatts electric. For thermal that would
be one hundred and fifty thermal megawatts,

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because you're again you're losing efficiencies as
you convert the heat to electricity versus using

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it for direct heating. For our
listeners, who doesn't know what's an acre,

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it's basically a football field. It's
pretty good. Within five football field

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you manage to pack that much energy, that's really excellent, which means it

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can be made relatively close to those
big city centers. What we've seen over

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the years are various scheme of government
support, and of course in the US,

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now you've got the IRA so this, I mean, it looks like

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governments in general are kind of in
favor. So do you think you have

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sufficient whether it's tax credit or subsidies
or whatever to scale up your industry or

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you need more? Now that's a
great question. I mean, the Inflation

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Reduction Act has been very beneficial for
the first time put geothermal on par with

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wind and solar. Now, you
could argue to geothermal be better than par

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with wind and solar because wind and
solar has a fifteen twenty year headstart on

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us. But okay, we're now
on par with these tax incentives for wind

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and solar. What I have seen
in different US government says Department of Energy

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funding opportunities, is that there's other
renewable energy technologies such as direct air capture

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or ccs that tend to get more
funding kind of in the billions, versus

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geothermal seems to get it in the
millions. So our business plan is we

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want to be successful regardless of tax
incentives from the US government, because that's

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it's the way you're going to survive
long term. But of course, in

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the near term, as we're developing
technologies, we're installing first of a kind

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demonstration plants. Those incentives are quite
helpful because before you get to scale,

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those types of incentives help you get
over that financial harm. Yeah, I

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would say the Inflation Reduction Act has
done a lot for geothermal and for energy

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storage. We also do energy storage
deep in the earth, and for the

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first time, it's allowed you to
do energy storage and not necessarily have to

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pair it with another technology. So
you can do it independent of different types

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of technologies, or you can pick
and choose which technologies you want to pair

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it with. Could you dig into
that when you say energy storage, what

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type of to this is heat storage? Is it? So what we're doing

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is we have a long duration energy
storage solution that we can actually deliver now

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and at a cost that is competitive
with pumped hydro storage and with lithium ion

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batteries for any duration greater than four
hours. If you guys think about pumped

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hydro storage, that's when you take
water from the bottom of a mountain,

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you pump it to the top of
the mountain, and you've got that stored

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energy of the water at the top
of the mountain, and then when demand

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peaks, you flow that water down
the mounta mountain and you produce energy or

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electricity through a pelt and turbine.
We're doing that, but we're doing it

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down instead of up. We're doing
it in the earth. We're drilling a

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well. We're using a downward oriented
fracturing technology that it's different from the oil

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and gas industry, but it creates
again an artificial tank in the rock,

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and then when the energy demand is
low, you use that electricity to power

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a electric pump pump water into that
fracture. That fracture actually acts like a

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balloon, and it balloons and stores
that water and it stores it under pressure,

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and then you close the valve in
at the surface of the well.

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And then when that electricity demand peaks, you open that valve and that fractures

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wanting to naturally close, and it
jettisons that water back to surface under a

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huge amount of force, which you
can then put through a Elton turbine again

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and create electricity. So again it's
already cheaper than pump hydrot storage, and

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for durations greater than four hours,
it'll beat lithium ion batteries. And we

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have line of sight to beat natural
gas speaker plants. When gas is two

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dollars in mcf, we can beat
gas speaker plants now at four dollars in

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mcf, but we have a line
of sight to be able to beat them

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at two dollars in mcf. And
then let me add one more thing,

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our long duration storage. We can
pump in and store for seven hours and

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then we can produce that stored energy
for seventeen So if you imagine pairing that

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with solar, you can actually turn
solar into base load energy. Wow wow,

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wow wow wow. I like what
I hear the Cindy. What is

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very clear is drilling is drilling part
and yourself you've done some of your carry

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in the oil and gas industry,
So how important it is your technical collaboration

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with the oil and gas industry,
you know, using them know how in

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terms of geological formation out of three
D imaging and drilling techniques, extraction techniques

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of doing wells putting well together?
How is it pair? Please? Traditionally

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the oil and gas industry has not
been involved in geothermal. There's been very

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little inter reaction between the geothermal and
the oil and gas industry. But if

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you think about it, what we're
doing in geothermal is the same thing as

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oil and gas. We're drilling a
well for a resource. However, in

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this case, that resource is heat. So all of the same skill sets

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that are needed in oil and gas
are needed in geothermal drilling, subsurface characterization,

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supply chain, capital efficiency optimization.
What the oil and gas industry can

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bring is the oil gas industry in
the US alone will drill about twenty thousand

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wells a year, whereas the geothermal
industry globally will drill maybe a couple of

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handfuls of wells, And so the
oil and gas industry can really bring a

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lot of expertise in optimizing that well
design and that well cost and bringing that

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cost down. So that's one thing
we're excited to be able to bring to

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geothermal. And from a permitting and
regulation point of view, do you kind

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of piggyback on the oil or gas
regulation in terms of permitting or is it

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more complex in other world? Does
it make sense to drill in oil states

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or none other states? It really
depends on each state. But you're spot

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on in that in most of the
states where you have oil and gas drilling,

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the permitting for geothermal actually falls under
that same regulatory agency. So in

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Texas, for example, oil and
gas drilling and geothermal drilling all reside under

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the Texas Railroad Commission, which is
the regulatory body here in Texas. In

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Louisiana, where there's a lot of
oil and gas drilling, it's also the

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same regulatory body. So it's typically
going to be under the same regulatory body

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because you really are doing the same
thing. You're drilling a well, and

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again it's just for a different resource. Now, where permitting gets tough,

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at least in the US, is
when we get on federal lands. The

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permitting on federal lands can take five
years, whereas the permitting naturally in a

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state that has done oil and gas
drilling and they're comfortable with the technologies and

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the due diligence, you can get
a permit in a matter of a few

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weeks or a few months. And
Sindy, can I ask you this.

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I love new technologies, and what
I've been reading a little bit about is

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plasma drilling, and I look at
that and I go, that could be

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a real revolution. I'd love to
hear your thoughts and that maybe explain what

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it is is first, and then
I'd love to hear your thoughts. There's

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definitely some space age drilling technologies out
there, there's plasma, there's millimeter wave

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drilling. You know, there are
companies that are working on these space age

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technologies and they're trying to drill deeper, hotter, faster. We love what

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they're doing. I mean, we
know drilling very well. Who's doing plasma

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drilling. We know Carlos and his
team at Quays very well. They're doing

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the millimeter wave drilling. We are
watching them with excitement and interest, and

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you know, once they've crack that
nut, we want to ride on their

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coattails and install geothermal deeper and hotter. But quite frankly, there are a

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few years out. So what we
want to do is be able to use

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existing oil and gas equipment and know
how to scale geothermal now and then as

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these guys are figuring out how to
drill deeper and hotter, then move into

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that area once that has been and
actually solved and commercialized. Talking about new

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tech, we read also about the
loop that company called evore. Is that

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something you understand or you're close to
that technology? We understand what John and

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his team it ever are doing.
So that's called closed loop geothermal or some

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people call it ags advanced geothermal systems. So the definition of closed loop geothermal

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is that the working fluid that you're
using down hole to harvest the heat from

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the earth does not come in contact
with the rock. It's kept in pipe.

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The challenges that we see with this
technology is that in order to harvest

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heat from the earth, you need
huge surface area. So if you think

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about if you have a fracture that's
a kilometer high and three hundred meters long,

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and it's the aperture, the opening
is say three milimeters, and just

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think about two very huge hot plates, So you've got a huge amount of

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surface area for that heat transfer.
Whereas if you're trying to rely on a

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pipe system and an oil and gas
or in geothermal, a large size pipe

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is nine and five eight cents or
ten inch, let's say ten inch.

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If you cut that ten inch pipe
down the middle and you kind of open

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it up, if you can imagine
that surface area, you're going to need

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thousands of feet of well bore in
order to have the same surface area that

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you would have in that fracture that
I'm describing. That's two hot plates that

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are very large. And so the
challenge with closed loop is the economics.

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You know it, can it be
cost effective to drill these thousands of feet

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and then turn that into electricity.
What will that be cost competitive with wind

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and solar and natural gas? That
I think that is the challenge, Cindy.

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I understand conventional okay, that's one
thing. Understand space age, and

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you're kind of in the middle advanced
geo thermal. So why do you think

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it's the right hoss on which to
bet? Conventional geothermal geographically limited? New

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geothermal is not geographically limited. However, the challenge is to get the cost

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down. We need to get the
cost down to be competitive with wind,

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solar, natural gas, and coal. And it can be a sexy new

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energy source, but it has to
be cost competitive, and so that is

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what the industry needs to focus on. We need to basically look at technologies

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in both the well designed space and
in the power plant space to drive costs

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down and to improve efficiency so that
we can deliver a unit cost of energy

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at a lower cost that is competitive
with the existing energies out there. Sindy,

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can you just get out of crystal
ball and tell us how you think

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the geotermine industry will look like In
twenty thirty, energy demand has doubled for

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the past twenty five years. It's
expected to double again over the next twenty

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five years. Electrification in both industry
and household is going up. Geothermal and

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energy storage in synergies with wind and
solar, is going to be a very

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prevalent part of the energy solution in
twenty thirty. I would say it's going

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to count for more than thirty percent. Wow, that's a big statement.

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I like it. I like it, and I like it as well because

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I remember I did the prediction that
this decade would be the decade of Joe

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Thumbalso, Cindy, I thank you
very much because you've brought a mode to

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my empty gun. I wish you
the best for your project, your company,

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and we'll put all the details in
the show notes. Thank you very

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much, Indy. I listened to
Geo turmal Is. It's the renewables that

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we never talked about. So it's
really good to have you on the show

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and to talk about geotarma right and
the possibilities around it. Yeah, thanks

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guys, Thanks thanks for giving us
a platform to talk about geothermal and energy

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storage. Don't forget energy storage deep
in the Earth is going to revolutionize wind,

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solar and the way we do energy
storage for the utility grade types of

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energies. Absolutely, Thank you,
Cindy, thank you so much. So

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00:25:23.079 --> 00:25:29.359
Jab, about two years ago I
made the prediction that that would be the

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decade of Joe Turman and you laugh
at my face? Are you still laughing,

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00:25:33.200 --> 00:25:36.160
Jahab, Yeah, I am,
because I think it's going to take

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a little bit longer. I think
the next decade it's going to be the

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decade of Geotarma. No, there's
no doubt, Lron, It's Geotarma is

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going to be very important. But
I think it really is going to be

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the two thousand charities before it really
kicks off. But I might be wrong.

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I hope I'm wrong actually, because
we do need it because at the

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end of the day, the energy
transition up to now has been about decarbonizing

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00:25:57.359 --> 00:26:03.240
electricity. We now need to decomboniz
We need these So geo term is a

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00:26:03.240 --> 00:26:06.039
great way to get your hands on
these, okay somethings, as you can

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00:26:06.039 --> 00:26:07.839
get a chance on electricity as well
from me. So I hope you're right.

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It seems that we have find a
way to drill for advance sure ternel

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pretty much everywhere the problems are going
to be above the ground. The problems

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are going to be the regulators.
Now, if you're in Texas or Coloma,

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you know you can't reel everything you
want. But if you are in

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your op, maybe the regulator is
going to be much more fearful of giving

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you some committing And the second is
the expertise, the technical expertise. In

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00:26:37.480 --> 00:26:41.160
the US they have that type of
expertise. We probably don't have it in

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Europe. So in fact we would
need that adventure tunel in your ope.

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But between the regulators and the lack
of technical expertise, I am really afraid

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that we're not going to benefit from
those advancements. Well, I'm going to

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tell you something which I didn't tell
you before, laur On, which is

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I'm going to get involved in a
geothermal project development business in Germany doing exactly

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this. And actually I just want
to say why. It's because you've got

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outside of Berlin. You had but
by the way, Germany actually had some

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shale gastrilin taking place, which people
don't know about it because you can call

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it something else. The shale gass
is a nasty word, but actually you

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can reuse these wells quite interesting.
So I just say to you you never

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know, you might be right.
No, no, no, I want

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to be wrong. You know.
I want the European to don't lose their

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00:27:27.880 --> 00:27:36.519
mind and money on hydrogen and nuclear
because earth wind and fire is there for

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the taking. Four seven. I'm
sorry. I really do like your vision.

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I like the way you put earth, wind and fire, and I

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would say, well, listen,
we're already going to use earth because listen,

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just basic geothermal heat pumps work can
work on you know, the ground

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source heat pumps. That's what they're
using. You're using the difference between the

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temperature and the air and the temperature
and the ground for heat pumps. But

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actually what you're also talking about is
doing it at a greater distance. And

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I think that's going to happen,
because how else are you going to decarbonize

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industry. It makes so much more
sense to me that you can decentralize drill

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at particularly industrial locations, and then
you get low cost electricity, and each

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makes sense. Wrong, So I
hope you're right on that respect. I

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hope you're also right that the European
Union and the rest of the government's actually

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don't inhibit this development, and that
we need to be very careful that we

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jump on the wrong bandwagon. So
basically what you're saying is we need to

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see Texans in Europeans fits because a
lot of those companies are pushed by entrepreneurs.

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Yeah, exactly, exactly, risk
takers, right, Yeah, you

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00:28:45.759 --> 00:28:51.720
know like Cindy or you know Team
letting out of Energy. These are entrepreneurs.

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They are back with a lot of
money. That's not really a model

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sor so I hope I'm wrong.
Maybe just play on that because what's very

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00:29:00.279 --> 00:29:03.480
interesting is if you've got to Texas
today, you've got a thousand drilling companies.

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Right, let's just realize a thousand
companies that are out there trying to

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00:29:07.839 --> 00:29:11.359
sort of explore. Well, actually, in Europe we do something similar as

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well, which are solar and wind
developers. That's what they are as well.

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They're also the entrepreneurs, I hope, and I'm talking to the big

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solar wind developers that are out there
that they go and do this, and

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they go and sort of say this
and that's going and take a risk at

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00:29:22.759 --> 00:29:26.839
this. You know, that's what
we need. So this is an hopefull

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00:29:26.920 --> 00:29:32.920
episode. Yeah, of course,
course course course, cause we thank Acpool

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00:29:33.000 --> 00:29:37.599
for suppotting our show. Thank you
again. Guys, thank you very much

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and really you're so Cindy, very
gracious lady. Will we share the best?

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Yeah? Yeah absolutely and shall I
talk to you in two weeks time?

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Look forward to my friend, look
forward to it. Thank you for

369
00:29:48.359 --> 00:29:53.960
listening to Redefining Energy. Don't forget
to rate the show and subscribe on Apple

370
00:29:55.039 --> 00:29:59.359
Podcast, Spotify, or the platform
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