Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Dude podcast. I'm your host, Corey
Evans. Thank you for listening. Happy New Year. You might have noticed
some new intro music. I figured I would mix it up with the New
Year. It's also one of my dad's band songs. Hope you enjoy it.
This week's show is titled Underperforming Tuperstars. I have five names that are
reviewed for the most part as elite commodities or they once were in the fantasy
football realm. They're either at that point or outside of that context. What
do we do now in Dynasty. That's the premise of this week's show.
Before we get to that, we had a five star Wruin review Left that
Butle podcast. It was by JB zero two one four title best pod.
It's said, amazing podcast. Love it much appreciated. Thank you so much
for that review. As a reminder, if you drop five stars written on
a podcast, you get a shout out on next week's program. Even clicking
those five stars or run Spotify helps me out a ton as a podcast host.
Congratulations to any and all teams that claimed a championship title in twenty twenty
three. I hope this podcast was a big reason behind your success. If
you want to start off twenty twenty four in a good note, hit me
up for a roster call over on Google Meet to assess your team at the
start of the calendar year. It's thirty dollars thirty minutes or one hour fifty
hours. Hit me up on social media that's dinasadw pod Over on Twitter,
Instagram, the Dynasty on Facebook, or an email that's dinasadupod atgmail dot com
to get one schedule. So here we go. Underperforming superstars First is Garrett
Wilson, who is twenty three years old. Currently has a ninety three,
one thousand and eight and three touchdown line with one hundred and sixty three targets
for ten point yuards per catch. His season low receptions is two yards receiving
nine targets four flipside of season high in receptions nine yards, receiving one O
eights and targets fifteen. Those fours and sealeings, respectively, represent the disappointing
campaign for Wilson in twenty twenty three. Understandably, most of it is outside
of his control. It's nonetheless frustrating because his fantasy football value has suffered due
to the Jets infrastructure on offense without Aaron Rodgers and his Achilles tear, Let's
reflect back. Though Garrett Wilson is a rookie, in twenty twenty two,
hosted an eighty three, eleven h three and four line for thirteen point three
yards per ketch, one hundred and forty seven targets as a PPR wide receiver
twenty one, so actually he ready surpassed his reception total as a sophomore,
could do the same in week eighteen from a yardage standpoint, and then if
he finds the ends in one more time, could also tie and or surpass
his touchdown total from a year ago. The targets surpassed yards per ketch took
a dip. That's the one area of weakness you could see without airing out
downfield, He's had a much lower eight out in twenty twenty three. Wilson
being able to build on his rookie season from a reception total standpoint despite the
dreftful quarterback support is a testament to how special a talent he truly is a
wide receiver. It sounds like Aaron Rodgers is motivated return in twenty twenty four
and possibly even beyond despite turning on forty a few weeks ago. Continuing to
roster or investing in Garrett Wilson in Dynasty is purely a bet on skill set
over situation, since factors such as Rogers and his their ability could become an
issue once again in twenty twenty four. We know that Zach Wilson's not the
answer. Neither is Tim Boyle. The Jets need to find a long term
solution at quarterback in order to keep Wilson's WY receiver two value afloat. But
we know the talent Idaho State is self explanatory when he is overcoming so much
adversity and obstacles with the Jets offense as now rookie and sophomore. So yes,
he's underperforming. He's a superstar, but we're not going to really alter
or change his value that drastically from a Dynasty lens Stefan Diggs, he turned
thirty in November. He ranked as the PPR WYD receiver three from East one
to nine this year, performing at an elite level for his usual standards our
expectations. However, since week ten, Diggs has been in a major slump,
with weekly output of three for thirty four, four for twenty seven,
six for seventy four in a touchdown, buffaloes by four for twenty four for
for forty eight, five for twenty nine, and four for twenty six.
Target totals of that same stretch are five, eight, eleven, the bye
week eleven, five, eight, and seven. To his joining Buffalo in
twenty twenty, Stefan has posted annual receiving logs of one twenty seven fifteen thirty
five eight touchdowns, one oh three tell twenty five ten touchdowns, and then
one eight fourteen twenty nine eleven touchdowns. In terms of pure counting stats,
that puts US twenty twenty three numbers on par with receptions but as well off
as yardage average, and as of right now in tree week eighteen, Diggs
has a one hundred, ten, ninety six and eight log across one hundred
and fifty two targets. So you see that the overall numbers are underwhelming compared
to the past three seasons collectively with the Bills. The decline in efficiency and
production for Diggs specifically coincides with the firing offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey. Joe Brady
took over duties and has since featured James Cook extensively from a volume perspective,
Even so, Diggs has seen plenty of volume to perform at a high level,
making it fair to wonder if he's starting to decline the talent based on
age or simply Buffalo has pivoted the offensive mindset of how to utilize players personnel
under Joe Brady. One concern I do have his Digs is only averaging eleven
yards per catch, which is well off his career norms. And if we
just go back to the point I made since week ten with the week to
week game logs of three for thirty four, four for twenty seven six seventy
four in a touchdown, the buy four for twenty four four forty eight five,
or twenty nine four to twenty six, the only respectable game was the
six catch seventy four yard one touchoup performance. Everything else is barely usable or
startable in fantasy. For reference, i'm the yards per catch, which again
are at eleven right now with one week left. Diggs has been with the
Bills of twenty twenty and those totals have been at twelve point one, eleven
point nine, and thirteen point two, So you can see it's well off
the big playability that we've seen so many times with Digs and Josh Allen.
He hasn't a contract with the Bills until twenty twenty eight, so no immediate
worries unless the trade wer to take place. There's always speculation that he is
unhappy with his utilization and could demand or request a trade. That's out of
our control. What is up for us to decide is do we sell Digs
based on his name value and cash out at a superstar level or close two?
Do it? Or do you hold and hope that it's fixed in twenty
twenty four or beyond. I don't think that Diggs is going to become a
fading asset overnight or the matter of one season, but a decline beginning is
not the question. Based on age and the fact that he's been so good
for so long. The cliff comes. When it does, it's quick for
oppositions, even wide receivers. So from my perspective, he's underperforming. Yes,
he's a superstar, but if I could cash out for you your talent
or an early to mid first it's worth considering. Up Next to is Cooper
Cup He's thirty one, next June. Injuries have become Cup's primary issue as
he's aged at the pro level. He's missed weeks one to four this year
alone, while being limited in other contests this season. He appeared in only
nine games in twenty twenty two, so it's back to back campaigns where injuries
have derailed than otherwise top tier fantasy assets. He endsres a week eighteen at
the receiving line of fifty nine seven thirty seven and five touchdowns on ninety five
targets. Keep in mind Cup is under contract the Rams till twenty twenty seven,
so even with that job security. Like Stefon Diggs, Cupp's Dynasty stock
has plumbert a comparison to where it was for twenty nineteen to twenty twenty one,
when he will the alpha goat in Dynasty or fans football in general among
wide receivers over that span of time. Cooper's annual outputs three year span was
ninety four, eleven, sixty one and ten, ninety two, nine,
seventy four and three, and then one for five nineteen forty seven, sixteen.
That is insane for catches, yardage, and touchdowns. That's the definition
of a superstar in both real life and fantasy football. The world will be
play in Cup Carries's name recognition. That's going to keep his Dynasty trade value
afloat. At the same time, there's no denying his per game effectiveness is
starting to decline. A La Stefon Diggs, I'm actually more concerned about Cooper
Cup then Diggs, based on Cup's injury history, along with the fact that
he realize a lot on his release up the line of scrimmage, lower body
explosiveness, the quick burst, quick twitch that he is so adept at creating
separation with. If that starts to disappear a bit, that's a concern of
his value heading their on direction. Even further, his twenty twenty three campaign
has been up and down, with five single digit of PPR efforts mixed with
three showings of twenty five finets. Points are more scored. There's been,
of course, a few Meetian weeks where Cup has not necessarily won or lost
you a matchup. However, it's safe to asserts that we're not used to
those kind of lows when he's healthy enough to be active on game days.
So the fact that Cup has missed time, but when he's been on the
field, he's had five single digit PPR efforts, has to be concerned that
his dip in value is occurring before our eyes, which is not a promising
outlook for his trade value and or twenty twenty four out look if you haven't
rostered right now. So it's a tough decision to make in Dynasty, of
course wants to rely on cup ceiling if it still exists, but at the
same time, you have to be realistic and cash out if you can after
an underperforming season. We just witnessed time for a quick break. I'll be
back with two more underperforming superstars. What to think about them and how to
view them in Dynasty Before I get to that. If you're a fan of
my work and you want more bonus coverage of it, consider joining Patreon.
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Time for that quick break. We'll be right back up. Next to
the agenda is Travis Kelcey thirty five next October, so age is certainly catching
up to him compared to the rest of the tight end field in fantasy.
Kelsey's actually having a stellar year for his career norms. However, we're seeing
an off campaign for the future Hall of Fame talent. He answers the final
week of regular season for twenty twenty three with a log of ninety three nine
eighty four and five touchdowns one hundred and twenty one targets. Uncharacteristically, Kelsey
has been held to single digit PPR points in four different weeks. That is
hard to even fathom. Receptions have not been the issue for Travis. Instead,
similar to Stefan Diggs, it's been yards receiving, as Kelsey is well
off his recent stretch of top two production dating back to twenty sixteen. With
nine hundred and eighty four yards receiving entering week eighteen, He's on track to
hit or surpassed the one thousand yard receiving cliff or threshold in eight consecutive seasons,
which is an absolutely remarkable accomplishment for any NFL player, let alone a
tight end who's also asked to block takes away their production in and of itself.
Kelsey's under contract till twenty twenty six, so based on age, there
remains a concern that Kelsey could decide to hang it up retire any points for
his current deal the Chiefs expires. Well, I don't think that Kelsey is
necessarily washed. We have seen him post a career low in average arts for
catch ten point six. That's indication he might not be running as much downfield.
Of course, Kelsey always dominates in zone coverage. It's where he eats
and breeds in the NFL. But the row participation being limited to more short
intermediate areas than before is a cost for alarm. At this point. The
case four and against Kelsey is easy to make. In Dynasty. The case
four is that you're the tender. You know what he's capable of. Therefore,
you're going to roster him until he retires. Even then, I could
see Kelsey being a player like roberron Kowski that when he retires, he's not
dropped in Dynasty because someone might think he'll come out of retirement and join another
team. That's possible. The case against Kelsey is that he's gonna be thirty
five October. We're seeing some of his peripheral underline metrics start to dip where
they have not over the past seven or eight seasons. If he does get
two thousand yard mark, that's a great accomplishment. As I said, they'd
be eight in a row, which is astounding for a tight end. Even
so, if you've been watching Chiefs games this year, Kelsey looks sluggish in
his route running, not as physical after the catch and drops they've been happening
weekly. It's very unprecedented for his skill set. Could be a mixture of
him and Patrick Mahomes not being on the same page in terms of timing.
At the end of the day, there's no denying the fact that Kelsey's been
underforming in twenty twenty three and his value is in fluctuation. It's in limbo
for Donson purposes. Very difficult decision on your hands if you haven't rostered in
the league and last but now least it's DeVante Adams, who just turned thirty
one, is having a solid season for most wideout standards, but not himself
based on prior data points with the Green Bay Packers or even the Raiders.
Even in twenty twenty two with Las Vegas, Adams was able to post a
one hundred fifteen sixteen fourteen touchdown log, one hundred and eighty targets as the
PPR wide receiver three overall Fantasy. He actually finishes the wide receiver two in
Fantasy twenty twenty one chever one in twenty twenty, well twenty twenty one and
twenty twenty with the Packers. I'm actually the least worried about Adams maintaining superstar
status leading up to next year compared to older players I discussed in this episode,
such as Diggs, Kelsey, or Cup because we haven't seen a decline
in on field ability occur. Instead, it's been a waste land for the
Raiders a quarterback this year at Jimmy Garoppolo, Brian Hoy or even Aidan O'Connell.
That's not going to be enough for Adams to be a top tier wide
out one. There's still a chance he finishes as a mid to back end
wide receiver one depending on how next week goes. In Week eighteen regardless,
Devonte enters the last week of the regular season with output of ninety eight ten
ninety eight and seven touchdowns with one hundred and sixty seven targets for eleven point
UX per kech. That stands out most in terms of a negative component of
his resume in twenty twenty three, the eleven point US per ketch, considering
twenty twenty two it was a fifteen points US per ketch. So the big
players have not been there for Adams this season. How about single digit showings
and PPR five different games. Usually you would never link that sort of performance
to Adams based on what he's done in civil career. He's been held to
one catch in two separate contests, which is hard to fad them eleven yards
and four after receiving in each of those awful performances. Conversely, well,
I still have hope for Adams bouncing back in twenty twenty four million a superstar,
as we've seen Vincag's performances at times in twenty twenty three with his thirteen
one seventy two two touchdown eruption first Pittsburgh eight one oh one one touchdown outburst
for the Chargers, and this past weekend thirteen grabs a buck twenty six and
two touchdowns that effort at Indianapolis. So the player himself, Adams has not
gone anywhere. It just literally takes a quarterback to be adequate enough for average
to feed him the football. He thrives off volume. He's terrific in all
components of short, intermediate, deep, great route runner, knows where to
be in terms of tight windows for quarterback to throw them the football, and
still can beat press man zone coverage. Therefore, Devanta Adams is a player
I'm Lea's concerned about from an underperforming superstar label. It's just you can't help
but put him in that bucket for this episode because it's been an underwhelming campaign
compared to his time with the Packers or even his debut season with the Raiders
a year ago. Thank you all for listening. Hope you all enjoyed my
Underperforming Superstars episode how to Value Them, how to Move Forward. As we
had into the fun part of the Dynasty offseason, those players were as recap
Garrett Wilson, Stefon Diggs, Cooper Cup, Travis Kelcey and Davante Adams.
Thank you all again for listening to my podcast for twenty twenty three. Hope
you remain a subscriber and listener in twenty twenty four. Your support means a
ton. Please, if you have friends, family that are interested in Fantas
football or Dynasty League mates, share my show with them. Word of mouth
is huge in the podcast space. Thank you all again, Happy New Year.
Happy be back next week with a brand new episode. Until next time,
this is the Dynasty checking Out. See you