WEBVTT

1
00:00:00.160 --> 00:00:04.320
The data supporting increased membership of the
Church of Latter Day Saints is a bit

2
00:00:04.400 --> 00:00:10.279
ambiguous, considering its trends are centered
around COVID and the pandemic's impact on society.

3
00:00:10.439 --> 00:00:14.839
Scott tell us more about the unclear
data and why we should care if

4
00:00:14.839 --> 00:00:19.480
at all. Sure well as April
Tulips bloom, the Church of Jesus Christ

5
00:00:19.480 --> 00:00:25.839
of Latter Day Saints unveils its annual
statistics emit ferrent speculation. Two contrasting narratives

6
00:00:25.879 --> 00:00:31.839
emerge, one suggesting that the churches
inevitably declining, the others championing its unwavering

7
00:00:31.920 --> 00:00:36.200
growth. Yet, amidst this seeming
paradox, a plea for perspective arises,

8
00:00:36.399 --> 00:00:41.640
emphasizing the neutrality of data and the
complexity of religious dynamics. While twenty twenty

9
00:00:41.640 --> 00:00:46.679
three showcased modest growth both globally and
in the United States, deeper analysis reveals

10
00:00:46.759 --> 00:00:53.159
nuanced challenges despite marginal increases in membership
and missionary activity. Concerns linger over dwindling

11
00:00:53.200 --> 00:00:58.399
birth rates and waning commitment. The
juxtaposition of these narratives underscores the intricate landscape

12
00:00:58.439 --> 00:01:03.119
of Latter Day Saint demographics, where
optimism meets apprehension in the face of evolving

13
00:01:03.200 --> 00:01:07.280
religious landscapes. The story is from
the Salt Lake Tribune by Justin McClellan and

14
00:01:07.319 --> 00:01:11.239
it was released on April thirteenth,
twenty twenty four. So there's a lot

15
00:01:11.280 --> 00:01:17.439
of data packed into this story where
it could support potentially arise in Latter day

16
00:01:17.439 --> 00:01:22.599
Saints church attendance. Excuse me,
and then, but there are some nuances

17
00:01:22.599 --> 00:01:26.760
that we're missing. Richard. You
suggest that the world becoming more educated could

18
00:01:26.879 --> 00:01:32.560
lead to a decline in the belief
of the LDS dogma. But considering that

19
00:01:32.640 --> 00:01:36.159
there is still so much religion out
there in the world that exists, is

20
00:01:36.200 --> 00:01:38.599
this a matter of education or could
it be something else? Well, it's

21
00:01:38.599 --> 00:01:45.519
a combination of two things, education
and doctrination. As long as the religious

22
00:01:45.519 --> 00:01:49.439
people that exist keep indoctrinating their kids
and don't let them learn how to be

23
00:01:49.519 --> 00:01:53.480
critical thinkers, we're going to continue
to have some growth in religion because that's

24
00:01:53.599 --> 00:01:59.439
where it comes from. That's where
it's always come from. Myself, as

25
00:01:59.439 --> 00:02:02.439
a permit, I was not indoctrinated
into anything, and I grew up to

26
00:02:02.439 --> 00:02:08.439
be a wonderful skeptical thinker. Well
you know, probably, Well you can.

27
00:02:08.759 --> 00:02:13.520
You can play with that all you
want, but in any case,

28
00:02:13.879 --> 00:02:19.479
the point is this, if you
if I'll go back to one simple statistic,

29
00:02:20.360 --> 00:02:23.039
the vast majority of people have the
same religion as their parents or the

30
00:02:23.080 --> 00:02:28.240
cultural group they grew up in.
What does that tell you about where it

31
00:02:28.280 --> 00:02:31.599
comes from? Yeah? Uh,
well, Scott, people say that numbers

32
00:02:31.639 --> 00:02:36.039
don't lie. So when we look
at this data, is there really anything

33
00:02:36.080 --> 00:02:42.360
wrong with reading these numbers that show
there is actually an increase in church attendance

34
00:02:42.400 --> 00:02:45.639
in the Olds Church? What are
your thoughts on that one? Well,

35
00:02:45.639 --> 00:02:50.120
I would say the numbers don't lie, but the interpretation of those numbers can.

36
00:02:50.759 --> 00:02:54.360
That's that's where the confusion can come
in. Or they even sometimes intentional

37
00:02:54.479 --> 00:02:58.919
misleading can can happen there. And
it's all about it's all the way that

38
00:02:58.919 --> 00:03:02.000
that it's interpreted. Uh. Richard
Feynman, the physicist, once said that

39
00:03:02.080 --> 00:03:07.960
if you're if you're if your theory
conflicts with observation, then you're wrong.

40
00:03:07.240 --> 00:03:10.879
And so uh so, here the
numbers are just a reflection of reality.

41
00:03:12.039 --> 00:03:15.159
Okay, they gathered that, we're
assuming that that it's uh, you know

42
00:03:15.240 --> 00:03:20.199
that they used decent methodology and gathering
this data. But the data just reflects

43
00:03:20.280 --> 00:03:23.080
what they found, and so it's
the interpretation that's the problem. And I

44
00:03:23.080 --> 00:03:27.680
think in that regard, I think
this data is really I mean, we've

45
00:03:27.719 --> 00:03:31.599
just got we're still on the on
the rebound from this massive, massive worldwide

46
00:03:31.599 --> 00:03:37.319
pandemic. It's something that rarely happens, if ever, in the world,

47
00:03:37.400 --> 00:03:43.400
and so our normal uh interpretation of
data has to adjust. And I think

48
00:03:43.439 --> 00:03:46.479
that if you look at the at
the data that they're showing, they show

49
00:03:46.000 --> 00:03:51.800
a drastic drop off in twenty twenty
uh and then and then an increase,

50
00:03:52.400 --> 00:03:57.879
even a slight increase to above where
it was before of their new new baptisms

51
00:03:57.919 --> 00:04:00.240
and their new children. And but
we have to we have to consider the

52
00:04:00.240 --> 00:04:05.319
fact that this pandemic can have more
of an effect than just that one particular

53
00:04:05.439 --> 00:04:11.800
year. For example, if somebody
wants to baptize their child into the Mormon

54
00:04:11.879 --> 00:04:15.479
Church and and a pandemic just hit, they're not going to just say,

55
00:04:15.479 --> 00:04:16.360
oh, screw it, and then
we're not going to do it right.

56
00:04:16.399 --> 00:04:18.920
They're going to put it off for
a year. So you would expect there

57
00:04:18.959 --> 00:04:23.399
to be some kind of bounce back. Same thing if somebody wants to be

58
00:04:23.439 --> 00:04:26.160
baptized into the church. They're not
going to say, oh, well,

59
00:04:26.199 --> 00:04:29.160
I guess I'm not going to be
a Mormon because of COVID. No,

60
00:04:29.199 --> 00:04:30.879
they're just gonna say, well,
let's wait until things calm down and then

61
00:04:30.920 --> 00:04:34.519
we're going to go back in.
And so you can there's analysis that can

62
00:04:34.560 --> 00:04:40.040
be done to show that that,
yeah, numbers are increasing, and that's

63
00:04:40.040 --> 00:04:44.079
fine. But interpreting those numbers to
mean that enrollment is on the rise,

64
00:04:44.160 --> 00:04:47.120
I think is way too soon,
way way too soon. We need to

65
00:04:47.240 --> 00:04:50.560
we need to re establish baselines in
this new paradigm. Well, I want

66
00:04:50.560 --> 00:04:55.040
to compare that to other baselines that
we know exists. And Jonathan, I

67
00:04:55.079 --> 00:04:59.160
have to turn again to you and
your military experience, as I frequently do.

68
00:04:59.279 --> 00:05:03.199
But when we look at years where
the economy is down, things like

69
00:05:03.519 --> 00:05:09.120
military recruitment go up, college enrollment
goes up, and as the economy improves,

70
00:05:09.319 --> 00:05:14.560
jobs tend to well be more available. And this correlation reverses. People

71
00:05:14.639 --> 00:05:15.959
leave the military, people stop going
to school, and they go to work.

72
00:05:16.480 --> 00:05:20.279
But the opposite seems to be happening
here. Okay, so the impact

73
00:05:20.319 --> 00:05:24.120
that COVID had kind of having an
opposite effect. So does Scott have a

74
00:05:24.160 --> 00:05:28.000
point? Is this a bounce back
or is there something else that we're missing.

75
00:05:28.120 --> 00:05:31.600
Well, well, in the military
we call those economic draftees. But

76
00:05:32.199 --> 00:05:39.079
the church growth, well, growth
and influence of any church is nonlinear,

77
00:05:39.399 --> 00:05:44.000
so you're going to see fluctuations due
to things like the pandemic. I agree

78
00:05:44.079 --> 00:05:46.160
with Scott on that it's going to
affect the numbers, but if you take

79
00:05:46.199 --> 00:05:50.879
out the pandemic years, it's likely
they picked up where they left off,

80
00:05:51.040 --> 00:05:59.319
because the overall population of LDS adherents
has risen over the ten year last ten

81
00:05:59.399 --> 00:06:03.160
years, consistent growth of about one
percent per year. So when you're looking

82
00:06:03.240 --> 00:06:08.920
at these, you also have to
take into account of what are the percentages

83
00:06:09.000 --> 00:06:14.600
based on Is it just their thing
or is that what's How does the percentage

84
00:06:14.639 --> 00:06:18.560
of the growth of the US population
as a whole affect that, You know,

85
00:06:18.680 --> 00:06:24.519
how many of the group that they're
drawing their new converts from is actually

86
00:06:24.560 --> 00:06:28.360
available to them, and if that
grows, then you might see some growth

87
00:06:28.439 --> 00:06:31.800
also. So there's a lot of
nuance to this that is very difficult to

88
00:06:32.439 --> 00:06:36.439
parse out if you don't have the
actual study and you don't have access to

89
00:06:36.480 --> 00:06:40.600
the actual numbers and where they got
them from, because there can be a

90
00:06:40.639 --> 00:06:44.399
lot of distortion. Like like I
agree with Scott, there can be a

91
00:06:44.439 --> 00:06:47.040
lot of distortion in the analysis of
it. And I'm not a statistician,

92
00:06:47.240 --> 00:06:51.000
though I do have one in my
family, and I can tell you that

93
00:06:51.639 --> 00:06:56.639
I would love to get them to
look at the study and see what they

94
00:06:56.680 --> 00:07:00.639
think of it, because that would
be an interesting conversation. However, we

95
00:07:00.680 --> 00:07:03.399
don't have the actual study. We
have reporting on the actuals. Yeah,

96
00:07:03.439 --> 00:07:06.480
and so go ahead, finish up
real quick, and then I want to

97
00:07:06.519 --> 00:07:11.120
jump over to Richard. Well,
it's just one of the things that happens

98
00:07:11.199 --> 00:07:15.079
is that we need to get more
into the weeds on that, and we

99
00:07:15.160 --> 00:07:19.079
don't really have time here to do
it. But you know, there's you

100
00:07:19.120 --> 00:07:23.560
know, there is a few other
points that could be made, but I

101
00:07:23.560 --> 00:07:26.839
don't think they're you know, really
relevant now that we've gone to this far.

102
00:07:26.879 --> 00:07:28.519
Well, on that note, you
know, I want to get back

103
00:07:28.519 --> 00:07:30.600
to the point that that Richard made
as far as education is concerned, you

104
00:07:30.600 --> 00:07:39.000
know, is educating our our youth, is educating our society? Really whittling

105
00:07:39.040 --> 00:07:43.759
this down, Richard, what do
we have to do in order to ensure

106
00:07:43.839 --> 00:07:50.000
that people are not just indoctrinated Generation
after generation and allowing this kind of uh,

107
00:07:50.079 --> 00:07:55.920
you know, I guess, perpetuity
of these ridiculous beliefs. What are

108
00:07:55.920 --> 00:07:59.120
the what are the steps we need
to take as a society to ensure that

109
00:07:59.160 --> 00:08:03.319
we can all that from happening.
Broll. One of the things that we're

110
00:08:03.360 --> 00:08:07.079
doing is the kind of programs we
put on here because we get to young

111
00:08:07.120 --> 00:08:11.040
adults hopefully and if their minds get
opened and they start looking at things and

112
00:08:11.079 --> 00:08:15.079
start questioning, and then when they
have kids, they don't, you know,

113
00:08:15.240 --> 00:08:18.560
send them off to be indoctrinated.
I think that can really help.

114
00:08:18.600 --> 00:08:22.680
It's you know, I mean,
I'll just give you an example. When

115
00:08:22.680 --> 00:08:26.040
I went to high school, we
had a class on civics, taught us

116
00:08:26.079 --> 00:08:28.240
all about how the government works.
Most school districts don't have that anymore.

117
00:08:28.399 --> 00:08:31.600
Kids grow up and they don't have
an idea that there's three branches of government.

118
00:08:31.960 --> 00:08:37.759
I mean, it's that crazy.
But I would love and maybe Scott,

119
00:08:37.799 --> 00:08:41.600
maybe your teacher, someday we should
talk about this. I'm thinking I

120
00:08:41.679 --> 00:08:43.600
got too many projects going on,
but one of the projects is I'd like

121
00:08:43.679 --> 00:08:50.919
to put together a class for how
to teach people to be you know,

122
00:08:50.200 --> 00:08:54.320
critical thinkers. How to look at
things and analyze them as opposed to you

123
00:08:54.360 --> 00:08:58.159
know, you know this probably better
than I do. But I have a

124
00:08:58.200 --> 00:09:03.320
lot of friends that are teachers,
and these these standardized test stuff. You

125
00:09:03.320 --> 00:09:05.720
know, all it does is how
well do you memorize something and can spit

126
00:09:05.759 --> 00:09:09.840
it back. That doesn't teach people
how to think, you know, I

127
00:09:09.879 --> 00:09:13.000
mean, that's you know, okay, So you know that Washington was the

128
00:09:13.000 --> 00:09:16.799
first president. What were his politics? You know, what was going on

129
00:09:16.879 --> 00:09:20.600
there? I mean the same thing
about Jefferson and Madison. You know,

130
00:09:20.679 --> 00:09:24.799
those are the two guys that were
pushing hard for keeping religion out of government.

131
00:09:26.080 --> 00:09:30.639
But you would never know that when
you listen to some of these Christian

132
00:09:30.679 --> 00:09:33.960
apologists talk about it. We're a
Christian nation, you know that. I

133
00:09:33.000 --> 00:09:39.120
mean, I mean there's so much
there, and especially now with people trying

134
00:09:39.159 --> 00:09:43.519
to ban books. They don't want
people to learn about other cultures and just

135
00:09:43.759 --> 00:09:48.120
they're trying to keep everything so tribal. So you know, I grew up

136
00:09:48.279 --> 00:09:54.080
very luckily in a very mixed racial
neighborhood and I had friends that were black,

137
00:09:54.120 --> 00:09:56.919
brown, Asian, Native American.
I played sports with them, I

138
00:09:56.960 --> 00:10:01.440
had my advanced math classes with them. I saw some that were really bright,

139
00:10:01.519 --> 00:10:05.279
some that were I mean, it
was just a human panoply of things

140
00:10:05.600 --> 00:10:09.000
that experience, you know, and
learning with people. I had some really

141
00:10:09.039 --> 00:10:13.679
good teachers in high school and college
that forced you to think, not they

142
00:10:13.720 --> 00:10:18.879
don't they don't want any spinning back
stuff. They demanded that you come up

143
00:10:18.879 --> 00:10:22.240
with some other ideas. And that's
the kind of stuff that makes people look

144
00:10:22.240 --> 00:10:24.759
at things and go, you know, that doesn't sound right. I think

145
00:10:24.799 --> 00:10:28.320
I take a look at that,
and so that's what's that's what we got

146
00:10:28.360 --> 00:10:31.679
to move toward. You know,
I want to ask Scott, you know,

147
00:10:31.720 --> 00:10:33.440
because you bring up a good point. Scott's a teacher, and you

148
00:10:33.480 --> 00:10:39.919
know, this education problem or or
lack of education in these these corners could

149
00:10:39.960 --> 00:10:43.960
definitely have an impact on the growth
of these if on the growth of these

150
00:10:45.000 --> 00:10:48.159
organizations, if the proper education is
not given, Scott, what do you

151
00:10:48.200 --> 00:10:52.320
see in your circles? Is education
getting better over time? And if not,

152
00:10:52.559 --> 00:10:58.000
is there is it helping along these
this dogmatic thinking and allowing organizations like

153
00:10:58.039 --> 00:11:01.879
the LDS to kind of a positive
spin on some of these uh some of

154
00:11:01.879 --> 00:11:07.080
these this data, well, I
mean clearly I have a biased opinion here

155
00:11:07.279 --> 00:11:11.039
being being a teacher and in in
the industry, and so you know,

156
00:11:11.120 --> 00:11:13.120
we need to you know, my
take my words with a grain of salt.

157
00:11:13.799 --> 00:11:16.759
First thing, though, I want
to I want to clarify something.

158
00:11:16.759 --> 00:11:18.639
When I was talking about bounce back. What I'm saying, I'm not saying

159
00:11:18.639 --> 00:11:22.519
that I think that's what was happening. What I'm saying is that the data

160
00:11:22.559 --> 00:11:26.679
can be used to create multiple narratives
that are conflicting with each other. And

161
00:11:26.720 --> 00:11:30.320
so based off of that, we
need to we need to be concerned on

162
00:11:30.519 --> 00:11:35.320
what Richard was saying about about skeptical
thinking. Your question now is is can

163
00:11:35.360 --> 00:11:39.440
we you know, is education improving? Yeah? I think I think education

164
00:11:39.559 --> 00:11:43.639
the educational system I think is much
better than when I was in school.

165
00:11:43.720 --> 00:11:46.559
I think that, and again I
have a biased opinion here. I think

166
00:11:46.639 --> 00:11:52.120
the public attitude towards education, though, has changed quite a bit. Uh

167
00:11:52.360 --> 00:11:56.919
parental attitudes, student attitudes, UH, administration attitudes, government attitudes. I

168
00:11:56.960 --> 00:12:01.919
think that I think it's getting harder
and harder to do things just in general,

169
00:12:03.120 --> 00:12:07.279
and so H educating is one of
those things that I think we're we're

170
00:12:07.320 --> 00:12:13.919
coming up against bigger and bigger challenges
we're having UH lesser administrative support. We're

171
00:12:13.960 --> 00:12:18.480
having constant pressures on budgets and things
like that, and we're being asked to

172
00:12:18.519 --> 00:12:26.279
do more with less, uh and
and so it's it's a complex uh miasma

173
00:12:26.320 --> 00:12:30.960
there to to try to analyze.
And so, you know, we talk

174
00:12:31.039 --> 00:12:33.679
about on all of the ACA shows
about how it's okay to say I don't

175
00:12:33.679 --> 00:12:37.759
know, right if if you if
you don't have enough information to make a

176
00:12:37.759 --> 00:12:41.200
conclusion one way, other one way
or the other. I think I think

177
00:12:41.200 --> 00:12:45.679
it's okay to say we don't know. You know, we want to direct,

178
00:12:46.399 --> 00:12:50.720
we want to direct the investigation and
we want to direct our information gathering

179
00:12:50.799 --> 00:12:54.320
so that we can get useful information
to make improvements. But yeah, I

180
00:12:54.759 --> 00:12:58.799
think I've I know, me personally, I've improved as a teacher every year

181
00:12:58.799 --> 00:13:03.039
since I've started. And uh,
you know, we we try new things,

182
00:13:03.080 --> 00:13:05.440
we try changing things. Sometimes people
like it, sometimes they don't.

183
00:13:05.799 --> 00:13:09.320
But it's it's it's, uh,
you know, the educational system doesn't live

184
00:13:09.320 --> 00:13:15.000
in a vacuum. And so that's
how you get to that skeptical that skeptical

185
00:13:15.039 --> 00:13:16.960
thinking, you know, that's how
you know by by making the improvements and

186
00:13:18.000 --> 00:13:20.679
analyzing the way that we do things. We get to that skeptical thinking so

187
00:13:20.720 --> 00:13:24.440
that we can say, I don't
know. And to to counter back to

188
00:13:24.960 --> 00:13:26.559
your point about the bounce back,
what I was saying is, you know,

189
00:13:26.960 --> 00:13:31.399
is this just a positive spin that
that shows a bounce back from the

190
00:13:31.519 --> 00:13:33.879
ld S? Right? And so
I think I could agree with you there

191
00:13:33.919 --> 00:13:37.759
where the the LDS takes this data
and they say, oh, look at

192
00:13:37.799 --> 00:13:39.440
us, look at our bounce back, right, But in reality it's not

193
00:13:39.480 --> 00:13:43.440
necessarily what's happening, that's right,
And actually I take you know, I'm

194
00:13:43.519 --> 00:13:48.039
encouraged by the fact that I think, you know, the article itself did

195
00:13:48.240 --> 00:13:50.840
caution against interpreting the data one way, the one way or the other,

196
00:13:52.320 --> 00:13:56.159
and good on them, uh for
doing that. But normally an organization like

197
00:13:56.200 --> 00:14:01.440
this and this is again my this
is just my opinion, and I'm I'm

198
00:14:01.480 --> 00:14:07.279
an atheist activist, and so I'm
biased against religion in general. But to

199
00:14:07.360 --> 00:14:09.600
me, it seems like this would
be exactly the kind of thing where the

200
00:14:09.720 --> 00:14:13.240
church would want to pretty it up
and would want to present it as being

201
00:14:13.720 --> 00:14:18.600
nicer than it is. So the
fact that they're cautioning, you know,

202
00:14:18.039 --> 00:14:24.039
jumping to conclusions, to me makes
me suspicious that well, maybe it's worse

203
00:14:24.120 --> 00:14:26.840
than what they're presenting, right,
maybe maybe when they pretty it up to

204
00:14:28.000 --> 00:14:31.399
get it up to the point of
of you know, of I don't know.

205
00:14:31.559 --> 00:14:33.720
Then you know, to me,
that's that's encouraging. Yeah, yeah,

206
00:14:33.759 --> 00:14:37.200
and I want to we got to
move to Jonathan. Jonathan, you

207
00:14:37.200 --> 00:14:41.279
had some interesting points to make about
all this data, and you know,

208
00:14:41.360 --> 00:14:45.480
reading over kind of what your thoughts
are here, you do you care to

209
00:14:45.559 --> 00:14:48.600
expand on on some of these,
uh, some of these numbers that the

210
00:14:48.720 --> 00:14:56.039
ld S is championing. Yeah,
Like I said, there's the growth is

211
00:14:56.399 --> 00:15:00.759
interesting when you take a look at
some of the numbers. If if you

212
00:15:00.840 --> 00:15:05.679
take into account actual population growth in
the US point four to nine percent,

213
00:15:05.879 --> 00:15:11.039
so you're if you're taking the count
births and deaths, it's it's it's almost

214
00:15:11.159 --> 00:15:13.559
like zero point five percent, right, half a percent. And if they're

215
00:15:13.600 --> 00:15:18.399
growing at one percent per year there
as a percentage of the population, it's

216
00:15:18.480 --> 00:15:24.000
kind of you know, it's not
really that impressive. So you know,

217
00:15:24.919 --> 00:15:28.919
the numbers include those of course who
are still on the rolls but do not

218
00:15:30.080 --> 00:15:33.840
practice or tithe or loosely or loosely
affiliated. I mean, they only go

219
00:15:33.919 --> 00:15:37.840
when they kind of have to,
you know, and that is is something

220
00:15:37.879 --> 00:15:43.720
that kind of shows that, Yeah, numbers can be deceptive when you don't

221
00:15:43.840 --> 00:15:48.559
when you try and unspin them.
You know, worldwide LDS growth was one

222
00:15:48.559 --> 00:15:52.639
point four nine percent, you know, which is compared to the point four

223
00:15:52.759 --> 00:15:58.320
nine of population growth worldwide of seventy
three million a year. So it's like,

224
00:15:58.759 --> 00:16:02.919
yeah, that with their birth rates
and things like that doesn't seem to

225
00:16:02.919 --> 00:16:07.039
be all that impressive. So again, big grain of salt with the report.

226
00:16:07.279 --> 00:16:11.799
But again they did try and balance
it a little bit, but that

227
00:16:11.840 --> 00:16:15.679
can be just another you know,
way to make it look presentable. Yeah,

228
00:16:15.720 --> 00:16:21.120
absolutely, you know I have I
haven't thought about something that that Scott

229
00:16:21.159 --> 00:16:25.120
said earlier. Somebody else might have
said it about, you know, the

230
00:16:25.159 --> 00:16:29.440
statistics don't lie, and then it's
about interpreting. But I would I would

231
00:16:29.440 --> 00:16:33.639
go one step farther with a group
like this. That's basic doctrines are so

232
00:16:33.720 --> 00:16:40.879
far from reality that let's put it
this way. People that report statistics can

233
00:16:40.960 --> 00:16:44.759
lie, people that collect them can
lie. You know, when I when

234
00:16:44.799 --> 00:16:48.240
I look at polling, the first
thing I want to know about a poll

235
00:16:48.399 --> 00:16:52.200
is who asked the questions? What
were the exact questions, and who were

236
00:16:52.240 --> 00:16:56.080
they asked of, because otherwise a
pole doesn't mean a damn thing. I

237
00:16:56.080 --> 00:17:00.440
could create a poll and talk to
a thousand people and get exact exactly what

238
00:17:00.480 --> 00:17:03.559
I wanted by taking it to certain
neighborhoods and posing the question, you know,

239
00:17:03.960 --> 00:17:07.200
like that that that funny old question
are you still being your wife?

240
00:17:07.480 --> 00:17:12.359
You know, presupposes an answer.
So, I mean, but they do

241
00:17:12.440 --> 00:17:15.559
that in polls. They I get
pulls all the time. I'm gonna you

242
00:17:15.559 --> 00:17:19.000
know, all the time, and
some of them are just so ridiculous that

243
00:17:19.039 --> 00:17:22.400
they don't have good options in there
they even want to vote on. So

244
00:17:22.680 --> 00:17:26.440
I you know, I mean,
I don't know how many of you folks

245
00:17:26.440 --> 00:17:29.839
have read the Book of Mormon,
but there's nothing in there that tells me

246
00:17:29.880 --> 00:17:33.920
anybody's being rational and that they could
maybe not even count right. I'm sorry,

247
00:17:33.960 --> 00:17:37.759
but you know that goes to the
larger point that I think everybody made

248
00:17:37.839 --> 00:17:41.440
right. So we have we have
Richard, you brought up the point of

249
00:17:41.559 --> 00:17:48.119
education. We and when we had
Jonathan and Scott talking about how data can

250
00:17:48.160 --> 00:17:51.960
be used to kind of skew the
truth. And you know, when you

251
00:17:52.000 --> 00:17:56.960
have poor education or you have a
way to kind of use data to your

252
00:17:56.000 --> 00:18:02.720
advantage. We end up with this
h repetuity of people just believing the wrong

253
00:18:02.839 --> 00:18:06.480
thing, you know, because you
can take really any information that you have,

254
00:18:06.759 --> 00:18:11.200
whether it's through a really poor education
system or a lack of complete data,

255
00:18:11.480 --> 00:18:15.240
and spin your own message. And
this is how we see this generational

256
00:18:15.920 --> 00:18:19.200
this generational. I guess I don't
know what the what the right term I'm

257
00:18:19.200 --> 00:18:22.839
looking for is, but we're just
stuck, you know, we're just stuck

258
00:18:22.079 --> 00:18:26.960
in a position where we're not moving
on. And so on that note,

259
00:18:26.279 --> 00:18:30.279
I want to get everybody's opinion one
last time, Scott. I'm going to

260
00:18:30.319 --> 00:18:32.799
go to you first, Jonathan.
I'm gonna come to you, and then

261
00:18:32.920 --> 00:18:34.920
Richard will close out this segment with
you. So Scott, go ahead.

262
00:18:36.039 --> 00:18:38.319
Sure. I think this is a
great example. One of the things that

263
00:18:38.359 --> 00:18:41.519
I tell my students I teach an
intro statistics class, and one of the

264
00:18:41.559 --> 00:18:45.640
things that I tell them is that
one of the best reasons to learn math

265
00:18:45.720 --> 00:18:48.480
and to learn statistics is so that
you can't be manipulated and tricked by other

266
00:18:48.519 --> 00:18:52.279
people who know more math than you. And so knowledge is power, and

267
00:18:52.359 --> 00:18:56.640
so it's right there for the taking. Take a statistics course, Jonathan and

268
00:18:57.160 --> 00:19:03.400
yeah, and don't believe it that
just because it's math, your eyes glaze

269
00:19:03.440 --> 00:19:08.519
over and you shut down. Math
is fun. Actually, so I I

270
00:19:10.480 --> 00:19:14.400
enjoyed math all the way through school, and I think that, uh uh,

271
00:19:14.680 --> 00:19:18.160
there's some really great teachers out there. But again, you have to

272
00:19:18.160 --> 00:19:22.279
be aware of not just what your
formal fallacies and your informal fallacies are and

273
00:19:22.319 --> 00:19:26.880
how to think critically, but you
also have to be able to use how

274
00:19:26.160 --> 00:19:30.960
numbers can be used to model and
that and how they can be used to

275
00:19:30.960 --> 00:19:33.759
deceive. I think education is key
what we've what we've come across here,

276
00:19:33.799 --> 00:19:37.720
and I want to I want to
pitch that to Richard since that was his

277
00:19:37.200 --> 00:19:41.480
original thoughts, So go ahead and
close out what your thoughts are on this

278
00:19:41.559 --> 00:19:45.359
segment. Well, you know,
just off the top of my head,

279
00:19:45.400 --> 00:19:49.240
I think I would have rather had
a discussion about their doctrine. But the

280
00:19:49.319 --> 00:19:56.000
numbers here are are are interesting,
but you know, they're so non differential

281
00:19:56.039 --> 00:19:59.359
in one respect, I don't know
if it makes much difference. There was

282
00:19:59.440 --> 00:20:03.599
no big up off our big gain. You know, somebody wrote an article

283
00:20:03.599 --> 00:20:06.720
and we picked it up. You
know. I just think we have to

284
00:20:07.759 --> 00:20:12.839
look carefully about these things and worry
more about what's you know, what's happening.

285
00:20:12.880 --> 00:20:18.279
I mean the fact that Scott is
teaching a beginning statistics class. I

286
00:20:18.319 --> 00:20:23.240
think that's fantastic because the more I'm
a math guy I was. I was

287
00:20:23.279 --> 00:20:27.359
like one of the top math kids
in my school when I was in school,

288
00:20:27.400 --> 00:20:30.839
and I loved it and I still
love it, and it's funny.

289
00:20:30.880 --> 00:20:34.799
I use it all the time in
various funny little ways which I won't bore

290
00:20:34.839 --> 00:20:38.880
you with. But there's just things
that you run into in life where you

291
00:20:38.920 --> 00:20:45.279
know, knowing how to do things
like that and understand things mathematically makes life

292
00:20:45.519 --> 00:20:51.000
easier and more understandable. Math certainly
is fun. To quote the great Jonathan

293
00:20:51.039 --> 00:20:55.720
wrote a bush and you know,
we owe it to ourselves to be able

294
00:20:55.720 --> 00:20:59.039
to interpret things. Honestly, we
owe it to our generations that come after

295
00:20:59.119 --> 00:21:00.519
us to give them the tools to
be able to do that as well.

