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Hello, and welcome back to another
edition of the Federalist Radio Hour. I'm

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Sam Miguel Then, a staff editor
at The Federalist Don't Forget. You can

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email any comments or questions for the
show to radio at the Federalist dot com,

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follow us on Twitter at FDRLST,
and make sure to subscribe wherever you

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download your podcast as well. Today
I am joined by Though Bishop, communications

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director at the Mises Institute. Mises
is a libertarian think tank that was chartered

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to promote the contributions of famed economist
Ludwig von Mises that its founders believe are

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being overlooked by the libertarian movement at
large. Today, Thoe and I will

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be discussing some different aspects of monetary
and fiscal policy, including the US's diminishing

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role as the economic hegemon, why
people are still so obsessed with the bitcoin,

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and how the US can integrate cryptocurrency
into its monetary policy. I hope

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you enjoy the show, so welcome. How's your day going doing great?

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Thanks for having me, Nebron at
least for coming on. So I was

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wondering if we could start off with
a brief explanation as to Mises institutes Niche

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and how you guys are different than
other libertarian organizations. Yes, it was

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interesting, first and foremost we are
far out of the Bolt way. We're

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down in Auburn, Alabama, and
I think it has been to our benefit

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in a variety of ways. What's
interesting, though, is that you know,

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within the libertarian movement, I think
there's really kind of two strands of

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what you might call libertarianism itself.
On the one side, I think you

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have the sort of school of thought
that I think is articulated by most of

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the people at Reason, increasingly so
at CATO, and it kind of views

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lib libertarianism almost like as a as
a self It's it's a it's a very

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liberal philosophy like self empowerment and a
the ability to make yourself into whatever it

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is you want to be. Therefore, it is very hostile to religion,

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very hostile to borders, hostile to
nation, very self actualization, I think

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as a guiding philosophy there. In
fact, Nicolspie, who disagree with strongly,

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but I think he's very articulate with
how he used libertarianism. A few

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years ago he said that he used
libertarianism as the promotion of alternative lifestyles,

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and therefore, if everyone can explore
whatever lifestyle they want, then that is

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what true liberty is. The Mesa's
Institute our background, so lud von Mesas

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was born in the Habsburg Empire,
right, he was a man of old

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Europe, and his view of liberalism
was grounded very simply in property rights and

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a respect for what we might call
natural order. So a lot of our

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scholars, when we talk about political
order, there is a view that society

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should elevate so that that naturally that
there are people with great skill, with

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great investment in their communities, people
that are generally wise, and that society

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or that that freedom comes from the
order that wise leadership truly provides. That

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property rights are the foundation of social
cooperation. And so you know, I

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know the bookie term out there of
like libertarians or they care about themselves and

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you know, the often childless and
that sort of stuff. I think the

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Institute orbit we have a great respect
for the role that religion places a society,

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that history places in society, that
nation mysus, you know. After

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World War One he wrote about the
importance of kind of liberal nationalism and language

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groups and the destructive nature of having
people from outside within, particularly within a

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very introventional this government taking control of
this state and using it to promote the

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tools and policies that go against sort
of the historical interests of a society there.

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And so that has led to more
of a social conservatism, often affiliated

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with the institute of great respect for
religion, particularly Christianity, a recognition that

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Christianity is what made Europe great helped
create that foundation of respect for liberty in

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the first place. And so while
there was a time I think where both

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libertarians of say the Reason crowd and
the Mesa's crowd, there's a lot of

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exploration and sort of the technosphere and
sort of the private cities and things like

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that, and I think all of
those are still very interesting projects, given

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the degree to which cultural issues have
really been pushed to the forefront, and

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I think those cultural issues are subsidized
by the state. The Institute crowd,

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the Mesa's Institue crowd, I think
as has become increasingly distanced and attacked,

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and the attacks of both ways.
I'm not kind of trying to portray one

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side as being more hostile than the
other. There's libertarians are very good at

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infighting in its own right. Um, but I think a recognition that the

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state has been used to push society
to the cultural left, and I think

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there are many people within some of
these organizations that are okay that that celebrate

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that cultural shift. They would just
simply rather have it privatized, and so

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that kind of rather than than some
of the more heavy handed aspects of the

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state. And so that leads to
some of the debates going on right now

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with you know, what is the
proper way of dealing with the company like

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Disney and Florida, Well, what
is the proper way of dealing with private

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tyranny in the form of vaccine mandates
and things like that. The reason Cato

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crowd were very defensive of privatized versions
of this, whereas the Institute crowd,

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you know, was kind of the
perspective that know that these are these are

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agents essentially of the regime and should
be treated as such. And so I

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think that's how these broader philosophical differences
have manifested itself in very practical ways and

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why you see again an increasing divide
that it's kind of always been there within

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these different libertarian factions. Very interesting. It kind of reminds me of the

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how there's always a inflation of,
or rather a misassociation of libertarianism with libertinism.

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How there's like, how you guys
are trying to differentiate, you know,

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social conservatism is kind of it seems
paramount into establishing a more free society

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in a lot of regards than just
allowing the worst of human nature to run

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amuck within us. Well, I
think that's kind of yeah. I think

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the irony comes in where if you
recognize that the state's role in society should

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be as limited as possible, which
is some theory kind of the libertarian default

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political position, then the other side
of it is whatever places that right.

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Liberited government only works if we have
self governing individuals, and there are institutions

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within society, be at the church, being civic groups, be at families,

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that's they're supposed to fill that role. And so if you have no

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respect for those intermediaries civil society institutions, then what's gonna happen is the state's

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gonna get bigger and bigger. And
I think that's that's a massive blind spot

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that comes from some of the cultural
differences there, and that's something that even

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goes back to the Founding. You
know, the founders were very aware of

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the fact that self governance wasn't just
you know, city councils and school boards

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of those are paramount to this experiment, but it comes down to the individual.

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You have to be able to self
govern yourself so you can achieve your

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own freedom. You know, I'm
of the inclination that alcoholism and addiction is

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a you know, um neurobiological disease, and I think we're kind of we've

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very much discovered that it is.
But if you don't have the ability to

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govern your impulses and exert control over
your will, then you can't even govern

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yourself. So how can you govern
a community or let alone a nation.

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And I think one of the problems, and it is extended, I think

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to some of the the economic skepticism
on the right right now with capitalism or

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las fair or whatever term you want
to use. That those that have defended

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capitalism the most vocally, those in
the opinion pages the Wall Street Journal,

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those within all these DC think tanks, They have often resorted almost to those

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purely materialistic sort of defense of you
know, free markets, and so you

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know it's like, oh, well, you know, cheap stuff from Walmart,

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you know, is the greatest measure
of success. And I'm not dismissing

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cheap stuff from Walmart if you are
poor, like that can really make your

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day to day life. But but
number go up, you know, stunks

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going up like that's not a measure
of a healthy society. And I think

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that what I would the branch of
American political thought I really identify with as

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the old Jacksonians, because the Jacksonians
were very wise in terms of economic issues.

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There was some some proto Austrian which
is kind of the school of economics

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of the means Instwo promotes um.
There was a lot of proto Austrian thinking

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within the intellectuals of the Jacksonian movement
movement, people like William Leggett Um and

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some of the Martin van bur and
some of the minds behind the throne of

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the Jacksonian presidency that very much baked
in Christian morality, that free markets were

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necessary to allow for Christian morality to
actually be more governing powerful influence in the

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American society because of the corruption of
cronyism and the financial class and things like

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that. And so if liberty is
defined and defended purely on these materialistic grounds.

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Then those that see the meaning crisis
that we have in society. Um,

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you know, generations of Americans that
are so desperate to not become,

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to not be who they are,
that they're willing to mutilate themselves at a

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young age, um that engage in
self destructive behavior. That's something very wrong.

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And if your only view as materialistic
and look look at how you know

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these I can order something from my
phone and have it show my doorstep,

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that that burrito shows up in twenty
five minutes, that's that's you know,

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that's not a free society. That's
not a healthy society. And that's your

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only argument there. Obviously you're gonna
have people of questioning the you know,

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the the fulness the utility of it. Right, And I was running up

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on some of what mesus um what
literally on visas was, what is um?

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What his theories were, and the
notion of deductive economics I thought was

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particularly fascinating going off. You know, how that the Christian morality behind the

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Jacksonian m presidency end up being baked
into the proto Austrians. It's interesting how

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there's this unique emphasis on human nature
in the economic theory as opposed to just

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empiric analysis, which is numbers scope
on a spreadsheet, numbers wore down on

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a spreadsheet, you always wanted to
inch upwards. It's very we've very much

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gotten away from that. And granted, I'm not entirely sure. I'm not

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an economist, so I can't say
for sure which is the objective better,

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um, but it seems as though
a blending of the two ought to be

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preferred, because you can't really at
the end of the day, economics is

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a it very much deals with human
nature at its core. It's we're not

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fully automated yet, although with AI
I'm sure we'll get there at some point,

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but you still need to account for
the human factor and human nature being

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incredibly chaotic. That seems like a
very crucial thing in a society that you

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can't escape no matter what, right, And I think that's why there's kind

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of this crisis with an economics of
like what really is the value there?

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Because you know you have all these
you know, very serious Ivy League drained

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economists at the central banks, which
are not only at the FED, their

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international one of America's best exports.
That has been really bad thought from Ivy

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League universities, and there really was
this great revolution and think I'm a tragic

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revolution and thinking during the twentieth century, you know, kind of pioneered by

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John Maynard Keynes and his followers that
really kind of amplified this very mathematical approach

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to economics at the expense of the
very class some of the classical economists in

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the Austrian school, they made great, i think, advancements from the neo

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classicals, the Adam Smiths of the
world. But the methodology is a lot

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more similar there. And that is
I think, really the methodology of economics

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is really what separates us from all
all other branches of thought. And so

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you know, when people think about
capitalism, often they'll think about like Milton

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Friedman. But Milton Friedman, though
he was a skeptic of government and a

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free market guy and a prophet of
capitalism or whatever you want. Your propagandist

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of capitalism might be a more accurate
term, he was a Keynesian. His

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methodology was that. In fact,
fa Hiak when he came to the University

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of Chicago after his world renowned tour
with Rhad to Serfdom, he was not

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allowed to teach economics classes at the
University of Chicago. He's focused on political

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theory and things like that because Milton
Freeman didn't want him in there, and

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so the Mesa's approach, it's it's
funny because I mean Ludava Mesas when he

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came to America during World War Two
as well as a Jewish refugee from you

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know, from Austria, he couldn't
get a teaching job in the US in

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spite of being this world renown economist
because of how quick the Keynesian Revolution took

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over American universities, you know,
FDRs America. You know, he had

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he had a teaching gig at NY
that was paid for by donors rather than

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the school. And I think that
the economic denialism that I think has kind

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of baked in both the left and
the right, you know, both sides,

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and I think understandably so they kind
of view economics increasingly a sort of

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a propaganda tool, you know.
Either that's a propaganda of of big business,

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just the five round existence on the
left. On the right it's a

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propaganda you know, also of a
big business, but maybe government itself.

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Um, and it comes from just
a complete breakdown of the value economic theory.

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I mean, you can get a
PhD in economics now without any sort

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of background in economic history, very
little theoretical work. It's all stats driven,

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and so it pops up. Like
even even over the weekend during the

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NFL draft, ESPN had called these
models about probability and you know, when

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a player was being drafted here,
and of course most of it completely didn't

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work out because it turns out that
mathematical models can't forecast what a team is

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going to do. And you know, this one thing is a look kind

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of a little sports novelty there,
and you kind of see it. You

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know, during sports season all this
team had a ninety nine percent chance of

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losing until this one play happened and
then they won. It's like, oh,

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well, you know, maybe it
wasn't really maybe number it wasn't useful.

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That sort of thinking, though,
is baked into the financial modeling of

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central banks, and when you realize
just how blind they are, not only

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blind, but arrogant they are about
the usefulness of these models. That's why

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we have the world that we have
ourselves in with a bunch of decay and

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a bunch of financial instability, because
we've lost that appreciation for human nature,

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human action, and so that's why
I think there's value there. You know,

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the problem with economic literacy at such
a young age, I think,

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is why the left is able to
take advantage of so much confusion and frustration,

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because we've created generational problems, generational
trauma from the bad state of the

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financial world, which are driven by
these very false assumptions that economists on both

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the nominal left and right have assumed
from this methodological methodological failing. The Washdotor

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on Wall Street podcast with Chris Murkowski. Every day Chris helps unpack the connection

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between politics and the economy and how
it affects your wallet. If someone told

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you the recessions started today, would
you change anything about your daily life?

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Has the big recession monster already arrived? Don't be fooled by what you read.

204
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00:15:09,600 --> 00:15:11,960
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00:15:13,000 --> 00:15:16,080
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For sure but you know, going
off of that, just speaking about

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economic literacy, and you know how
we're in a seemingly death spiral right now

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with the FED. What are your
thoughts on the diminition role of the US

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dollar abroad? You know, with
the bricks system seemingly existing to undermine the

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US as the economic hegemon, and
with more and more international deal is being

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conducted in you on, what are
your thoughts what does it look like with

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the US as the reserve currency moving
forward? There's there's real threats out there,

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and of course you have a lot
of people that that dismiss it,

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and that will point to all sorts
of from a purely economic analysis, right,

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the skepticism of something we're placing the
dollars sound because the while the dollar

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and the FED play of problems,
and that's a that's a rant upon itself.

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There's not another central bank out there
that sort of doing things the right

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way, right, So, you
know, America has been overloaded with debt,

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which again has helped because of the
way that the FED is able to

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to monetize it and empower our physical
authorities there. Um, you know,

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inflation is a global problem, not
simply because of you know, the war

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in Ukraine or supply chain issues,
but because of monetary excess over ten plus

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years, really going back to the
response to the financial crisis, so a

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lot of the problems that the dollar
has, the FED has these same problems

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that exist with the yuan. They
definitely exist with the yen in Japan,

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they exist with you know, when
I think of physical responsibility, I don't

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think of Brazil and Argentina their own
currency block there. This is it's political

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in nature, sure, And the
problem is that money and banking in the

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US has become the tip of the
spear of American foreign policy. So you

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know, think back after nine to
eleven, Right, the first thing we

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did is we debanked al Qaeda allies
and cut them off from you know,

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American financial markets. And given the
power of the dollar, it's a very

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powerful tool. And who could argue
with that, right, because these are

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associates with terrorists, so obviously this
is a good idea. And then we

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debank North Korea, and then we
deep bank Iran, and who could argue

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with this because these are obviously bad
countries and you know, why would anyone

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oppose that? And then we debank
Russia and you know, well, who

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would oppose that, because yea,
Russia is invading Ukraine, it's a sovereign

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country, and therefore this is a
lot better than sending bombs over there.

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Right, So this is the problem
is though, is that American foreign policy

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is less about American interests and more
about sort of promoting cultural norms. Right.

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You know, at the start of
every revolution starts with rainbow flags outside

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of an embassy somewhere. And so
when you have countries that are increasingly waking

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up to the real realization that the
post World War two order that you could

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trust America to respect the rule of
law to a certain extent, that you

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could have them respect your national interests
and sovereignty to a certain extent, that

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they were going to be faithful allies, you know, to a certain extent.

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Right, there was the rules based
order that we're told we have to

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defend. And Ukraine and Russia have
been eroded because of America's own arrogance,

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particularly the last twenty twenty five years. And so now you have nations that

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say, well, instead of giving
up our national sovereignty because we have to

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follow what the DC tells us to
do these things, then we need to

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find alternatives because if they can do
it to Russia, they can do it

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to us. And so this is
why you see African countries looking for alternatives.

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It's not because they particularly trust the
Chinese. It's because they just suddenly

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don't want they don't want to be
under the thumb of bureaucrats you know,

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you know, and fetish gear in
the Biden administration. Right and and so

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the problem is is that we have
weaponized the dollar, we have weaponized banking.

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We've done it abroad, and we're
doing it increasingly within. This is

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the concerns about central bank digital currency, the de banking of conservative activists,

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the way that the banks spied on
people that were at the January sixth protest,

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no matter what they did. The
capital right, the weaponization of the

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dollar of banking is forcing people that
are aware of this and and concerned you

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are not necessarily on the same page
as your average buy An administration staff,

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or they're naturally going to find alternatives
there. Now what that'll turnive ends up

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looking like? Again, the yuan
has plenty of their own problems. China's

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debt is crazier than ours. People
make a big deal about them buying gold,

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but their debt has increased far higher
than their gold holdings. Um,

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Russia, actually their central bank is
like if you're yeah, yeah, their

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central banker is perhaps the most sane
out there. Which that's not a defense

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of the Putin regime or by any
means, she's not a necessarily big fans.

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She tried to resign. Why is
it the most sane or stable is

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that they're spending has they kept their
spending very low and their gold holdings went

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up significantly, and they've done other
things, you know, you know,

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so that the response to sanctions was
putting you know, the rub at a

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peg, and so they've been thinking. Russia has been thinking about currency wars

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in a very serious way for a
very long time. Again, Russia has

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plenty of other problems, the country
that keeps killing themselves, corruption, all

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that sort of stuff, and not
a defense of the Russian regime as a

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whole, but the Russian Central Bank
has been very sane. Right, and

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now you're starting to see the president
of El Salvador, right, you know,

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he's getting heavy a bitcoin. Can
you have various African countries looking at

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bitcoin and gold. You have India, you know, doing more with gold

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um, you have other you know, other other interest in the Uan and

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other currencies. I mean, this
is this is political in nature, but

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it's a results. It is a
response to the hubris and the arrogance of

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DC policymakers, and it's something that
this is a whole different dynamic. And

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this is this is beyond simply what
a pure economic analysis will give you.

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This is a political dynamic and it
is something that Americans should be very concerned

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about because if we can't export our
debt elsewhere, the costs of our entitlement

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programs that so many people rely upon
are going to go up. You know,

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it does serve the global currency status
of the dollar, first and foremost

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helps the America regime, but there
are a lot of Americans that become depend

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upon the programs that the government have
promised them, and so there's going to

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be you know, if we should
that ever really get to that point of

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crisis, there's going to be real
costs at home. And that's why people

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need to be thinking in the future
about how do we best protect first and

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foremost our families and our communities within
this chaotic environment. And I hope a

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little bit of economic literacy thinking about
things in that way. That's what the

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messis into tries to do can help
prepare you to make individual decisions because there's

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no policy maker, no election is
going to fix this. This is beyond

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politics. This is something that is
as a major wave that no single politician

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can fix. So I want to
get into bitcoin pretty heavily because I know,

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you know, you're much more literate
in that than I am. But

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what you just said about, you
know, bringing economic literacy back to two

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communities, what does that look like? Do you think it's possible to bring

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a actual non because I'm pretty cynical
at this point. I think a lot

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of this is just controlled destruction.
I think a lot of people just want

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to keep people in the dark.
Um. So do you think it's possible

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to bring some form of um realism
to economic programs, like in public schools,

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back to education? What does that
look like? I was very cynical.

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I still am to it to a
healthy degree. Um, But I

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am encouraged by saying the moves that
Governor of Santis has made in Florida,

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which which I'm from, and seeing
a for the first you know, in

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a very rare example on the right, being kind of proactive on these things.

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And so, you know, ways
of adjusting how history is taught.

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Now, getting rid of critical race
theory is a good first step, it's

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not enough. I was going through
and reviewing that the textbooks in my county,

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and of course you've read into the
chapter of the Great Depression, and

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still the standard narrative like, oh
well Herbert Hoover was this, you know,

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00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:48,160
las fair, you know, uber
uber conservative, and like that's why

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we had the Great Depression. And
so there's all these sort of baked in

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narratives that are part of the mainstream
that need to be addressed as well.

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Notorious nationalists. Yeah, yeah,
and and so you know there's still those

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economic he's baked within the historical narrative. But just recognizing that school curriculums within

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red states can be used the same
way the left task to promote certain values.

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There is no neutrality that there's going
to another libertarian polacy. There's no

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neutrality in any of this. And
so I think that Florida has taken some

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steps, I think on the economic
side to be a little bit better.

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Um, the way that you know, the way that it's taught is still

333
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you know, I would love to
be able to do trainings for teachers out

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there, and I also encourage,
like, if you're a young conservative trying

335
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to figure out how to make a
difference, I mean, being a teacher.

336
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One of the ways the left wins
is because they fill the ranks of

337
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teachers because they take that as an
ideological you know, priority in their own

338
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right. So it'd be great to
have more young conservatives, you know,

339
00:23:44,400 --> 00:23:48,480
in their local high schools teaching this
sort of stuff. But it is interesting

340
00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:52,000
seeing how bitcoin and in bitcoin being
different than crypto as a whole, because

341
00:23:52,000 --> 00:23:55,839
most of the crypto is a scam. That has been a way that a

342
00:23:55,839 --> 00:23:59,440
lot of people have discovered Austrian economics
and the work of the Mesa's Institute because

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they've become interested in that. Part
of this this this growing lack of faith

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00:24:04,000 --> 00:24:10,119
in institutions, which are not just
political institutions but financial institutions. I mean,

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00:24:10,160 --> 00:24:14,279
bitcoin itself came about during the financial
crisis in O eight, o nine,

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00:24:14,759 --> 00:24:18,359
not simply as a response to the
FED, but to banks, right

347
00:24:18,640 --> 00:24:22,440
and and so you know, people
realizing in the kind of real world now

348
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it helps if you think, you
know, money go up and you're right

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00:24:23,799 --> 00:24:26,079
in the moon and you're gonna make
money off of that's that's great. You

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00:24:26,079 --> 00:24:30,359
know, I'm not saying that you
should put in your entire life savings and

351
00:24:30,440 --> 00:24:33,359
the business not financial advice, right
and not in financial advice at all,

352
00:24:33,000 --> 00:24:37,519
But but that has led to people
sort of rethink about what really is money

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in society? Why does it need
to be controlled by the state. And

354
00:24:41,319 --> 00:24:45,480
I think ultimately this populous tension,
whether it's concerns about you know, DC,

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00:24:45,839 --> 00:24:49,400
whether it's concerns about Davos in the
World Economic Forum and the Great Reset,

356
00:24:49,960 --> 00:24:53,480
whether it's concerns within Europe over the
ECB. Um. You know,

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all of these countries have this tension
between institutions and particularly can young people around

358
00:25:00,640 --> 00:25:03,039
the world. I mean, you
talk to young people in the UK and

359
00:25:03,079 --> 00:25:04,440
they've got no hope at all because
they know they're gonna get screwed. They

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00:25:04,440 --> 00:25:08,440
know they're going to use their labor
to bail out pensioners. Right now,

361
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this is the way that's all going
to go. Recognizing deep politicized money as

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00:25:14,480 --> 00:25:18,599
a way of evading you know,
I think one of the best tools the

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00:25:18,680 --> 00:25:21,839
RITE has and you know this,
this I think is something we always have

364
00:25:21,880 --> 00:25:23,160
to keep in mind. We talk
about tech policy and things like that.

365
00:25:23,279 --> 00:25:26,720
Is the ability to evade the surveillance
state, whether it comes into encryption,

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00:25:27,200 --> 00:25:30,200
whether it comes in a bitcoin,
whether it comes in a three D printing,

367
00:25:30,200 --> 00:25:33,599
I think has a role in that
as well. Um, Bitcoin I

368
00:25:33,599 --> 00:25:40,160
think has created a tool in a
very practical way that those that might not

369
00:25:40,160 --> 00:25:42,039
be interested in reading an eight hundred
book page book on economic theory, which

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is you know perfectly fine, um, really engaging these issues in a meaningful

371
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way going forward. And I think
that that is something that's a very positive

372
00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:52,039
thing. Um. You know,
in the crypto industry as a whole has

373
00:25:52,240 --> 00:25:56,880
all sorts of problems, tons of
scams, and you know, Washington right

374
00:25:56,920 --> 00:26:00,079
now has made it perfectly clear that
Biden administration is doing everything they can and

375
00:26:00,400 --> 00:26:03,559
to attack crypto and bitcoin because they
recognize it as a threat to the control.

376
00:26:03,720 --> 00:26:06,680
But people waking up to that I
think is a very good thing.

377
00:26:07,240 --> 00:26:11,839
Right. So take a Salvadore for
instance, what are the odds that you

378
00:26:11,880 --> 00:26:15,960
know, because it kind of seems
like using bitcoin, as you know,

379
00:26:15,680 --> 00:26:22,279
the backing of a national currency,
it really kind of seems it's only a

380
00:26:22,279 --> 00:26:26,200
matter of time until that suffers the
same fate as the US dollar. Granted

381
00:26:26,200 --> 00:26:30,480
it's hard coded, so it's only
a limited supply, but it really kind

382
00:26:30,480 --> 00:26:33,519
of only seems a matter of time
until it goes the same way as the

383
00:26:33,559 --> 00:26:37,920
gold standard, where it just gets
you know, diminished and diminished until we're

384
00:26:37,960 --> 00:26:41,359
no longer on it or other things
get added to the pot. So I

385
00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:45,400
think the gold standard is a very
interesting and useful example here because ultimately the

386
00:26:45,440 --> 00:26:51,160
failure of the gold standard came from
that issue of trust within institutions. Right,

387
00:26:51,160 --> 00:26:53,759
because gold as heavy, particularly large
quantities, so it becomes very centralized

388
00:26:53,759 --> 00:26:56,839
by nature. Right. You know, you have Fort Knox or you know,

389
00:26:56,880 --> 00:26:59,720
you you have these major central banks
and end up being you know,

390
00:26:59,759 --> 00:27:02,799
all to mentally the large holder of
gold. Um. You know, banks

391
00:27:02,839 --> 00:27:06,559
will deposit that there for security risks. UM. This is why paper notes

392
00:27:06,640 --> 00:27:07,920
became so popular because it's a lot
easy to carry around, you know,

393
00:27:07,920 --> 00:27:11,240
one hundred dollar bills than it is
to carry the same amount of gold,

394
00:27:11,240 --> 00:27:15,200
particularly back in the day. Um. And so that centralizing aspect of gold

395
00:27:15,319 --> 00:27:21,880
from just a practical logistical standpoint,
um is what it helped the state come

396
00:27:21,920 --> 00:27:26,119
in and confiscate gold um devalue bank
notes at par you know, from their

397
00:27:26,160 --> 00:27:33,079
their original specie um value, all
this sort of stuff. Bitcoin is interesting,

398
00:27:33,240 --> 00:27:36,759
and you know there's some people that
will absoluely swear by it, and

399
00:27:37,039 --> 00:27:38,440
you know, I don't want to
get in that count, because anything can

400
00:27:38,480 --> 00:27:42,319
fail, and I think it's always
important to have that sensibility with it.

401
00:27:42,640 --> 00:27:48,079
Bitcoin, though, does I think
solve some of these issues, only to

402
00:27:48,119 --> 00:27:52,720
the extent that holding a Bitcoin account
um, you know, particularly to do

403
00:27:52,759 --> 00:27:56,359
it right, you know, you
take it off offline. You know,

404
00:27:56,400 --> 00:28:00,400
you have a hard hard wallet,
um. You you you are a sponsible

405
00:28:00,440 --> 00:28:03,400
custodian. And again this very much
is a sort of self empowerment. There's

406
00:28:03,440 --> 00:28:08,000
responsibility if you really, if you
really want to isolate yourself from the political

407
00:28:08,119 --> 00:28:15,759
pressures that come with it. Bitcoin
has um attributes that gold doesn't have because

408
00:28:15,799 --> 00:28:19,640
of that digital nature that solve some
of those problems. Now it has other

409
00:28:19,680 --> 00:28:22,279
problems. You know, there's concerns
about quantum computing and you know, but

410
00:28:22,319 --> 00:28:25,799
maybe the technology changes and I can't
speak to that. That's that's that's a

411
00:28:25,799 --> 00:28:30,400
whole There's there's other people that can. But there's natures within bitcoin that were

412
00:28:30,759 --> 00:28:37,240
intended to solve the historical problem with
gold. And I think what's interesting is

413
00:28:37,279 --> 00:28:41,519
that you'll take a country like China. China became very hostile to bitcoin.

414
00:28:41,599 --> 00:28:45,160
They made these you know, they
confiscated all these mining rigs, they bulldozed

415
00:28:45,160 --> 00:28:48,559
them, all sort of stuff.
Um, it is interesting just from a

416
00:28:48,680 --> 00:28:52,839
geopolitical perspective, if they really want
to challenge the dollars, China actually has

417
00:28:52,839 --> 00:28:56,319
a lot more bitcoin than America does. They don't have more gold than the

418
00:28:56,400 --> 00:28:59,279
dollars than than the US does.
So if they were thinking about a non

419
00:28:59,319 --> 00:29:03,720
politicize sort of monetary weapon, Bitcoin
in many ways had more advantages to China

420
00:29:03,839 --> 00:29:07,359
than other alternatives did. I think
their top concern there was people opting out

421
00:29:07,359 --> 00:29:10,400
of the Chinese banking system, which
they can afford, right, So their

422
00:29:10,400 --> 00:29:15,319
concerned was more domestic control than it
was geopolitics. Though Hong Kong is now

423
00:29:15,319 --> 00:29:18,680
open for business with crypto crypto again, so I think that's a that's a

424
00:29:18,799 --> 00:29:22,640
very interesting pivot from China in that
regard. But even in this very you

425
00:29:22,680 --> 00:29:26,839
know, given all the state capacity
that China has for surveillance and punishing citizens

426
00:29:26,839 --> 00:29:30,599
and that whole dynamic, you still
had direct transactions going on within bitcoin.

427
00:29:32,359 --> 00:29:34,200
Now you didn't have They shut down
the exchanges, which you know, like

428
00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:37,920
the banks, right, those those
weakness points that the state has always used,

429
00:29:38,240 --> 00:29:41,000
right, And they use the banking
system to control your money. They

430
00:29:41,079 --> 00:29:45,279
use all these intermediaries to control your
money in a way that they can't deal

431
00:29:45,279 --> 00:29:47,759
with cash. Right, That's still
why you know, that's why drug deals

432
00:29:47,920 --> 00:29:49,640
are done with cash. Right,
you can you can opt out of the

433
00:29:49,640 --> 00:29:56,079
surveillance state and use cash as as
a means of processing. They are the

434
00:29:56,119 --> 00:30:00,880
same way you can m or you
know, you want to avoid taxes.

435
00:30:00,960 --> 00:30:03,359
Right, There's plenty of of honest
ways that you can cash the same things

436
00:30:03,359 --> 00:30:07,400
with truth bitcoin. All the state
capascity that China had, they couldn't control

437
00:30:07,200 --> 00:30:10,799
um. And so I think that's
why, you know, that's that's that's

438
00:30:10,799 --> 00:30:15,599
why I think bitcoin is still something
I'm very interested in as a response to

439
00:30:15,839 --> 00:30:21,119
this heavy handed nature of you know, the managerial state within the West.

440
00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:23,000
UM. And it's why I think
you're gonna see continual escalation. But all

441
00:30:23,000 --> 00:30:27,839
the escalation in the world I don't
think is going to instrumentally undermine um the

442
00:30:27,960 --> 00:30:30,920
value that bitcoin has. Now you
know, the IMF is throw El El

443
00:30:32,000 --> 00:30:36,160
Salvador over this. The Senate has
has done some bills and response saying,

444
00:30:36,160 --> 00:30:37,079
oh, we gotta watch off of
this El Salvador guy. You know,

445
00:30:37,160 --> 00:30:41,039
like this, this is dangerous,
right. Um. You know Paul Kruman

446
00:30:41,119 --> 00:30:45,000
will suggest that the only reason you'd
buy bitcoin is to engage in nefarious things

447
00:30:45,000 --> 00:30:47,960
and are therefore we must crack down
on it. The same propaganda campaign that's

448
00:30:47,960 --> 00:30:49,960
always used for in anything outside the
state control. That's going to be in

449
00:30:49,960 --> 00:30:53,160
full front. That's going to escalate. Um. But I think fundamentally the

450
00:30:53,599 --> 00:30:59,519
tools the attributes of bitcoin still have
value in this crazy world. Um.

451
00:30:59,559 --> 00:31:03,240
And then hell, something fundamentally changes, which again it could, I'm not

452
00:31:03,359 --> 00:31:07,920
saying it can't, but it tells
like fundamentally changes about that that I am

453
00:31:07,960 --> 00:31:11,480
confident about the you know, the
firm math behind bitcoin and it's firm limit

454
00:31:11,519 --> 00:31:14,880
of twenty one million you know bitcoins
and things like that. I think all

455
00:31:14,880 --> 00:31:21,119
of these are trustless dynamics, which
ultimately is the main core of the hardcore

456
00:31:21,240 --> 00:31:25,960
you know bitcoin crowd. Very fascinating. No, I'm prone to agree.

457
00:31:26,039 --> 00:31:29,640
I'm not, as I said,
nearly as literate on bitcoin as you or

458
00:31:29,720 --> 00:31:33,720
other economists will be. Um,
I think, you know, blockchain technology

459
00:31:33,960 --> 00:31:36,759
is something that we're going to see
integrated a lot more in our daily lives,

460
00:31:37,519 --> 00:31:38,920
and I even heard people talk about
using it in things like voting,

461
00:31:38,960 --> 00:31:41,960
which I really hope it doesn't happen. I'm still very much partial to you

462
00:31:41,960 --> 00:31:45,680
know, paper ballots, but that's
just because I'm a boomer. But let's

463
00:31:45,720 --> 00:31:49,960
circle back a little bit and talk
about China's debt. You mentioned, you

464
00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:55,680
know, they're far more overextended than
the US's and how it's money's been being

465
00:31:55,720 --> 00:32:00,200
used as a political tool. Essentially, it seems very much so that we

466
00:32:00,240 --> 00:32:04,799
could just take them out in a
matter of months. So if we got

467
00:32:04,839 --> 00:32:07,759
serious, buckled down and you know, issued the right amount of sanctions,

468
00:32:08,440 --> 00:32:13,200
coordinated with our allies and everyone got
on the same page. This is a

469
00:32:13,279 --> 00:32:15,839
threat to you know, the global
order that everyone would be worse off because

470
00:32:15,839 --> 00:32:20,279
of why do you think that's not
happening? And do you think it ought

471
00:32:20,319 --> 00:32:22,279
to happen? Well, I think
one of the reasons it's not it is

472
00:32:22,319 --> 00:32:27,200
because we have so much of our
manufacturing that's been outsourced out there. Um,

473
00:32:27,960 --> 00:32:31,279
you know the greed of Wall Street
has, you know the things people

474
00:32:31,319 --> 00:32:36,039
make a big deal about, Um, oh well you know they're they're going

475
00:32:36,039 --> 00:32:38,640
to China because of labor costs and
things like that, and it's just not

476
00:32:38,640 --> 00:32:43,079
true. The reason why you have
so many big businesses that have relocated to

477
00:32:43,119 --> 00:32:45,480
China because if you want to if
you want cheap labor, right you when

478
00:32:45,519 --> 00:32:46,759
you go to China right now because
of the way that their wages have increased,

479
00:32:46,759 --> 00:32:50,880
you go to Bangladesh or you go
to Vietnam, and you know that

480
00:32:50,920 --> 00:32:52,960
those those sort of areas, right, They're not going there because of cheap

481
00:32:53,039 --> 00:32:58,039
labor costs. They're going there because
they want access to the Chinese invest in

482
00:32:58,079 --> 00:33:01,519
market place. You know, they
want you know, if you can sell

483
00:33:01,559 --> 00:33:05,559
one square fabric to every you know, citizen in China, then you're gonna

484
00:33:05,559 --> 00:33:08,200
be a very wealthy man. Right. So it's a greed of Wall Street.

485
00:33:08,880 --> 00:33:13,680
And you know, I think in
recent years you've seen a greater recognition

486
00:33:13,759 --> 00:33:16,079
of some of the different you know, the cultural concerns you know, China

487
00:33:16,160 --> 00:33:20,640
as you know, I think it's
a genuine rogue actor in a way that

488
00:33:21,319 --> 00:33:23,319
um, you know, of of
of a certain size that we haven't really

489
00:33:23,359 --> 00:33:27,720
seen, you know, from a
geopolitical standpoint, you know, since the

490
00:33:27,720 --> 00:33:30,880
Soviet Union, um, which makes
it very different than say, you know,

491
00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:32,039
Iraq, right, you know,
you're not gonna be concerned about Iraq

492
00:33:32,160 --> 00:33:36,359
really, you know, changing the
global stage unless you're you know, two

493
00:33:36,400 --> 00:33:40,400
thousands zeron neocon Um. And and
what's interesting, those American form policy was

494
00:33:40,400 --> 00:33:44,759
subsidizing this, you know, right, So like you had Starbanes Oxley,

495
00:33:44,799 --> 00:33:47,400
and you had the Dodd Frank Act, and you had all these American regulations

496
00:33:47,680 --> 00:33:53,559
that put very strict reporting requirements and
requirements on companies, and yeah, didn't

497
00:33:53,559 --> 00:33:59,440
apply to you know, Chinese companies. And so there's there's these explicit sort

498
00:33:59,440 --> 00:34:02,279
of and you know, so that
the Obama administration had a memo of understanding

499
00:34:02,279 --> 00:34:06,599
with the Chinese financial industry saying,
oh, well, all the auditing requirements

500
00:34:06,599 --> 00:34:09,519
that we require from our companies,
don't worry, China is going to enforce

501
00:34:09,559 --> 00:34:14,239
those over there. In surprise,
surprise, you know, they're they were

502
00:34:14,280 --> 00:34:17,239
ripping off American investors blind. And
so there was a lot of I think

503
00:34:17,320 --> 00:34:23,360
naivete with China because the underlying assumption
right within Washington, within New York,

504
00:34:23,400 --> 00:34:29,000
within the West as a whole,
was the more liberalized the Chinese economy became,

505
00:34:29,360 --> 00:34:31,440
the more western it would become within
its values. And I think you

506
00:34:31,480 --> 00:34:35,159
could argue that to a certain extent
that was true up to a point.

507
00:34:35,199 --> 00:34:39,079
The difference is that she is not
interested in liberalization, right. He is,

508
00:34:39,480 --> 00:34:44,559
you know, he is very much
a product of of of Mao.

509
00:34:45,039 --> 00:34:47,760
His cultural views are very different,
and so you've seen a much more strict,

510
00:34:47,880 --> 00:34:55,199
you know, a much more heavy
handed approach by the CCP to various

511
00:34:55,239 --> 00:34:58,480
you know, Jack Maub disappeared for
a while because you know, he was

512
00:34:58,480 --> 00:35:00,760
speaking out against some of the concerns
over there. There's a secondary dynamic though

513
00:35:00,800 --> 00:35:04,760
as well, Like when you do
business with China, you're doing business for

514
00:35:04,840 --> 00:35:07,840
the most part with the CCP um. You know, the largest businesses there

515
00:35:07,880 --> 00:35:12,920
are state backed enterprises, and so
you know, there there is that aspect,

516
00:35:12,960 --> 00:35:16,000
you know where you know, we
have American companies, you know subsidizing

517
00:35:16,039 --> 00:35:19,760
you know, the parts of China
with you know, weaker prison camps,

518
00:35:20,079 --> 00:35:22,719
right and you know, we're all
fine with it because it makes the stock

519
00:35:22,760 --> 00:35:24,280
numbers go up. But like that's
that's something that we should probably have a

520
00:35:24,320 --> 00:35:28,679
conversation about. Like like Disney explicitly
thank them in the in the credits for

521
00:35:28,840 --> 00:35:31,519
or not consciation camps, but the
regional government in the laund remake. So

522
00:35:32,199 --> 00:35:36,719
and it was the pleasurity. Yeah, and the things those now now now,

523
00:35:37,079 --> 00:35:40,559
these same aspects lead to problems within
China. Right, So if you

524
00:35:40,599 --> 00:35:45,400
think about the degree to which state
backed enterprises makeup the size of Chinese economy,

525
00:35:46,119 --> 00:35:50,559
Um, if your state back enterprise, your top priority isn't profit and

526
00:35:50,639 --> 00:35:54,079
loss, it's keeping on good terms
with the regime. Right. And so

527
00:35:54,239 --> 00:35:59,800
you know in in uh a couple
of years ago, um, it was

528
00:35:59,840 --> 00:36:02,480
like the majority of the Chinese loan
market was going to stake back enterprises,

529
00:36:02,719 --> 00:36:07,239
which again quality of loans there,
you know, politicized by nature. If

530
00:36:07,320 --> 00:36:10,039
if you're the same amount you think
about Fantam and Freddie Mac which is a

531
00:36:10,039 --> 00:36:15,440
politicized form of capital allocation within the
housing market. You know that crash was

532
00:36:15,480 --> 00:36:19,000
a big part of you know,
our problems in oh eight. If you

533
00:36:19,039 --> 00:36:22,079
have that same sort of crash happened
in China, like if you actually had

534
00:36:22,079 --> 00:36:25,239
to mark the value of you know, all this copper that they've extracted from

535
00:36:25,280 --> 00:36:29,599
ground and keeping warehouses just because the
jobs there were good, or you know,

536
00:36:29,639 --> 00:36:32,079
all these different politicized agenda items and
the profit and loss of all these

537
00:36:32,079 --> 00:36:37,760
businesses are very problematic and in fact
going at late twenty nineteen, the Chinese

538
00:36:37,760 --> 00:36:39,880
banking system was melting down because of
this, and then COVID happened, and

539
00:36:39,920 --> 00:36:44,199
then that created all social distractions,
which is yeah, kind of interesting.

540
00:36:44,840 --> 00:36:46,719
Um. And so so all of
these go to like some of the economic

541
00:36:46,800 --> 00:36:51,599
underpinnings there. The question of what
America should do about it is that,

542
00:36:52,280 --> 00:36:53,639
you know, first and foremost is
that you know, we need to get

543
00:36:53,679 --> 00:36:57,800
our own house in order. Right. You know, again, why are

544
00:36:57,840 --> 00:37:02,440
people why are foreign foreign powers are
our historic allies wanting to do business with

545
00:37:02,599 --> 00:37:07,199
China? Well, it's because of
American politics. Um. You know why

546
00:37:07,360 --> 00:37:09,239
is American manufacturing been eroded? Well, a big part of that is because

547
00:37:09,280 --> 00:37:14,320
Monterrey policy, right, we have
we have undermine we we have, we

548
00:37:14,360 --> 00:37:22,880
have government policies have disenfranchised American business
to the to the benefit of the international

549
00:37:22,199 --> 00:37:27,880
markets. And so you know,
if we if we were able to restore

550
00:37:28,000 --> 00:37:32,760
some level of sanity internally, um, that would be the biggest threat to

551
00:37:32,960 --> 00:37:36,760
China. But instead, you know, we still have all sorts of requirements

552
00:37:36,760 --> 00:37:38,840
that lead to you know, our
saline bags, you know, for our

553
00:37:38,840 --> 00:37:43,079
ivs you know, being largely manufactured
in China. Right, we have all

554
00:37:43,119 --> 00:37:45,519
these problems that are policy decisions.
They aren't. They are the result of

555
00:37:45,599 --> 00:37:50,280
markets, you know, free markets
working, there's a result of policy decisions.

556
00:37:50,599 --> 00:37:52,960
And so until we get our economic
house in order, we're going to

557
00:37:52,039 --> 00:37:55,679
continue to be feeding um the the
the interest of China. I mean,

558
00:37:55,719 --> 00:37:59,360
I had a conversation a couple weeks
ago with something from Japan who was obviously

559
00:37:59,480 --> 00:38:05,760
very concerned about Chinese aggression. They
are a big defender, champions of defending

560
00:38:05,880 --> 00:38:09,679
Ukraine because of the domino effect there. And so the argument I made is

561
00:38:09,719 --> 00:38:14,119
that no one, no country is
better off now than they were, you

562
00:38:14,159 --> 00:38:16,880
know, at the start of the
Russian Ukraine War. Then China, because

563
00:38:16,920 --> 00:38:21,199
American policymakers are doing everything we can
to make them look more attractive. And

564
00:38:21,199 --> 00:38:23,639
so again if America got if we
had sanity in the US, that would

565
00:38:23,639 --> 00:38:29,199
be the biggest threat to China.
But unfortunately, sanity requires a massive ideological

566
00:38:29,239 --> 00:38:34,119
shift amongst the elite, amongst policymakers, a buck severer parduct class of bucks,

567
00:38:34,119 --> 00:38:37,800
the politicians, amongst academia. And
so that getting that ideological shift so

568
00:38:37,840 --> 00:38:43,800
that policy can reflect sanity, that's
our biggest battle. And that's why going

569
00:38:43,840 --> 00:38:46,400
after higher ed and again, the
ideas being perpetrated out there. I think

570
00:38:46,440 --> 00:38:50,400
it is one of the biggest political
issues out there because without an ideological change,

571
00:38:50,480 --> 00:38:52,639
we're not going to solve our montery
issues, We're not going to solve

572
00:38:52,679 --> 00:38:57,039
our regulatory state, We're not going
to solve these these underlying problems. I

573
00:38:57,119 --> 00:39:00,559
hope you enjoyed that episode of Federalist
Radio Hour with though Bishop and as always

574
00:39:00,719 --> 00:39:07,039
belovers of freedom and anxious for the
fray
