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What is Kracklac and fell thermony per
a efforts. I am Dan Valley coming

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at you with a solo, medium
sized mail bag. We'd call it.

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I'm catching up on some questions that
we had in our discord. Go join

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our discord for that. And I
didn't put out a solicitation for this time

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because I'm actually pressed her time and
don't want to spend eight hours on a

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don't have the not that I don't
want to, I just can't spend eight

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hours on a mail bag as I
do normally. Yes, eight hours is

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hyperbole. So we're gonna get to
a few questions that strays that I missed,

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and that's a plug. Look,
join our discord. You can ask

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questions too, and I will answer
them, or you can give thoughts and

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I will respond to them. But
let's let let's just dive right in here.

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So we'll begin with Mattie L had
a couple questions bookkeeping question Why question

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number one, why do sign and
trades happen? This is a good question

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and we've had answers in the discord, but for other listeners who are not

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in the discord, and also defeats
the purpose of you know, we have

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responses to every mailbag question. If
they're I'm not gonna answer them. What's

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the point? However, sign and
trades mostly happen because teams are a player

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and team want to link up who
are over the cap, like where let's

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just use as an example this upcoming
summer. I don't think he's gonna leave

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Paul George, but he wants to
go to the Knicks. He can't just

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sign with the Knicks unless he's gonna
take a massive pay cut under his max.

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If you do a sign in trade, it gives you the ability to

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get your max money and go to
a team that doesn't have the cap space

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to sign you outright. They used
to be more appealing in general because in

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the previous CBA you could get the
full amount of years and raises. That

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has since been changed to where sign
and trades cannot be more than four years

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long and they have to be at
least three seasons long. But there is

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a loophole to that. We'll get
to it in a minute, but they

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can only be up to four seasons
and you get five percent raises instead of

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eight percent raises, where if you
re signed with your current team, you

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could depending on how old you are. You could sign a five year deal

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with up to eight percent raises.
I think in George's case that's not actually

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an issue because I think five would
conflict with the over thirty eight rule.

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That's why signing trades generally happen,
though. They are a way for a

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team to capitalize on moving a player
without losing him for nothing. But you

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need the player's cooperation, and it's
a lot harder to get a player's cooperation

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than a team's cooperation, because you're
if you're Paul George and you're saying,

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well, I'm gonna go here and
I'm willing to pay like play for less,

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the Clippers should trade you because they
should drive and capitalize on your departure.

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Whereas if you're a team that's like, well, I just want to

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like this player is a free agent. Let's use PJ. Washington as all

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that he was a bad example this
summer. If you use it, if

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you want to get rid of the
player because you want to go in a

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different you need their cooperation to where
they're gonna go, and they might not

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want to go to that team that
you're talking to that's gonna give you the

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value for the player that you want, and so sign and trades are normally,

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I would say, especially now,
they would be more dictated by a

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player wanting to go to a different
team and then his incumbent team facilitating that.

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Now you can, as a rule
of sign and trade only the first

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year salary needs to be guaranteed.
And so if you're trying to if you're

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trying to as a team, let's
say I don't fucking know, Let's say

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let's say the Knicks again, let's
just keep using the Knicks year. Well,

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they don't have a free Well,
yeah, let's say that you want

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to trade Isaiah Hartenstein and use him
that money, or Oji Anoby. Let's

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say you wanted to trade Ognnobi to
get a different type of package. But

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og Anobi isn't, per se a
great player, or player X is not

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a great player, and they're not
gonna care where they go as long as

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they get paid. You can inflate
someone's salary over that deal so that it

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helps you get to the necessary money
matching. If you were the Knicks and

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wanted to acquire and you had a
free agent, and you had their bird

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rights and you're able to sign them, maybe it's a let's say they're like

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a seven million dollar a year player
and you're willing to pay them like twelve

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or fourteen million dollars a year.
Get into the issue of base year compensation

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sometimes, but you can drum up
the amount of money matching you're sending out

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in a trade if the other team
is interested more so in well, we'll

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take on this one year inflated salary
because you're sending us so much drafs vacuity.

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Maybe another player that we like and
our player wants to go to you

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anyway. So that's another reason why
sign and trades can happen. It just

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doesn't tend to that scenario, eylay
out. It doesn't happen as much.

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I do think in part because during
the offseason, like you're looking at the

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cap space guys as more major players, and then seldom if it's a player

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who's worth a damn. In that
scenario, you're not gonna need to go

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to a team to get the assets
required. If that player that you're trading

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is under contract, you're not going
to need to go to a team that

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needs to actually come up with money
matching to get like the necessary return.

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But in theory. That's what you
could do is you can sign and trade

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a player only guarantee the first year
of his deal at an inflated rate,

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so that it helps you as the
team over the cap match salaries for another

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player that you're trying to acquire.
Matt. He also asked how do pick

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swaps work. Maybe it's been explained, but I've missed it, And just

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for clarification, because I think it
was mentioned on the most recent podcast,

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which was well, we've been we've
been putting out the content, so we

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were as on vacation, but the
content continued to come out. And just

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for clarifications, I think it was
mentioned on the most recent pod. Why

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do teams, example, the Lakers
go from having not many to three first

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round picks to trade after the draft. Sorry if you did explain this was

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doing. Was dodging potholes at the
time. Well, one, I hope

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you successfully dodged those potholes that are
not trapped in them. Let's start with

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the pick swaps, so pickswap works
this way. Let's use the Thunder and

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the Mavericks as an example, because
as part of the trade, the Thunder

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did something unique in the sense that
at the trade deadline they sent the Mavericks

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at twenty twenty four. It was
a I think it was like the they

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sent out a twenty twenty four first
round pick in exchange for twenty twenty eight

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swap rights with the Dallas Mavericks and
the swap rights. I mean that trade

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was unique for like way, like
a bunch of different reasons. Because you

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the Thunder have done it before,
but you seldom see a team trade an

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actual first round pick to get a
swap. But when you have so many

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first round picks like the Thunder,
rather than have a bottom five first round

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pick, do you want to,
you know, sort of kick the can

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and say, well, we might
prefer Dallas's twenty twenty eight first round pick.

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Now here's how the swap would work. If in twenty twenty eight,

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the Thunder end up with the number
nineteen pick, but the Dallas Mavericks have

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any pick like that comes beforehand.
It could be number eighteen, it could

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be number four, could be number
twelve. Oklahoma City will have the right

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to swap its first round pick,
so number nineteen with whatever the Mavericks have,

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So you're gonna exercise that swap.
If the Mavericks have a better pick

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than you as the Thunder. Now, there are sometimes protections on this.

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We did a I think we did
a segment where we explained protections. We've

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seen swaps have protections on it.
The Celtics o a pick swap to the

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Spurs. I think that's also in
twenty twenty eight, maybe that's twenty twenty

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nine. Whatever it is, it's
top one protected. And so if the

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Celtics end up with the first overall
pick the Spur and the Spurs have number

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five or fifteen, they can't swap
because of that top one protection. But

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in this case, if the Thunder
have number nineteen and the Mavericks have numbers

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one through eighteen, because I haven't
seen any protections on it, the Thunder

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get to swap and they will take
the Mavericks pick while sending the Mavericks their

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own pick. So the Mavericks would
have number nineteen, the Thunder would have

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the Mavericks pick. Now, if
the Mavericks end up with the twenty second

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pick and the Thunder have the nineteenth
pick, you don't exercise that swap because

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you have the better pick as the
Thunder. That like, that's pretty like

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that's pretty straightforward for the most part. Where it gets interesting is when you're

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the Thunder and you have multiple first
round picks in that year, and so

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let's just say the Thunder have like
three different four different first like first round

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picks in twenty twenty eight. There
does need to be like, there can

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be language in the trade where it's
let's say in twenty twenty eight, the

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Thunder have their pick, and they
have a Houston pick, and they have

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a Clippers pick. I don't like, I'm not even this doesn't line up.

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Let's just say they have those three
picks. There can be language in

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the trade that says, we're only
swapping. You can only swap us with

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your own pick. But you could
in theory, if the trade allows it,

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the Thunder could use any of the
first round picks they own to swap.

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And so, just as a scenario, let's say the Thunder own their

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own pick that ends up at number
that ends up at number twelve, and

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then they own Houston's first round pick, which ends up at number fifteen,

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and then they own then they own
the Clippers's first round pick, which ends

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up at number twenty three, and
then you have the Mavericks pick in twenty

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twenty eight that comes in at number
fifteen. Well, the Thunder as a

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lottery team, in that scenario,
you're not gonna swap your own pick,

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but could you. You could swap
the Clippers pick if that trade allows it,

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but the number twenty one pick for
that, And so when the team

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has multiple first round picks, the
language of the trade does matter there.

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I think that this might be just
a straight up swap between Dallas and OKC,

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but we would have to see the
swap in itself, though, was

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just pretty straightforward. If that other
team's pick is better than the one year

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holding, you just get to swap
it. And so that's why swaps are

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appealing. They seldom do get excised, but it does happen, and I

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would hazard we're getting into a point
where so many long distance swaps have been

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traded by Cleveland, by Minnesota,
by Houston, by Brooklyn, by the

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Clippers, that we're gonna see some
pretty I'm gonna guess at some point we're

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gonna see some pretty tasty picks get
swapped, and I'm wondering if that forces

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teams to kind of recalibrate how they're
going about trading these these distant first round

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picks. The second part of this
question from Mattie l was why do teams

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go from having not so many picks
to having three first round picks? And

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so with the Lakers are a good
example. At the trade deadline, they

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could have promised one first round pick
in twenty twenty nine, or it could

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have been in twenty thirty one,
but in twenty twenty nine, let's say

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because of the because of the Steppian
rule, you can't be without first round

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picks in consecutive years. And so
in theory, let's just say the Lakers

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wanted to have traded twenty twenty eight
in twenty twenty nine. Well, you

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00:10:52,000 --> 00:10:54,120
can't do that because then you would
be without a first round pick in two

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00:10:54,120 --> 00:11:01,039
consecutive drafts. And that's why you
couldn't trade like more than one first round

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00:11:01,039 --> 00:11:03,600
pick at this trade deadline. Is
that they owe their twenty twenty seven pick

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00:11:03,919 --> 00:11:07,799
to Utah. There's some protection on
it they have. This year's pick goes

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00:11:07,840 --> 00:11:11,720
to the Pelicans with a right to
defer to twenty twenty five. And I

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00:11:11,759 --> 00:11:15,960
know this can get a little confusing, but that means you can't trade twenty

166
00:11:16,120 --> 00:11:18,679
twenty six, because there's a chance
right now, without knowing what the Pelicans

167
00:11:18,720 --> 00:11:22,120
are gonna do, that you could
be without a twenty twenty five and twenty

168
00:11:22,120 --> 00:11:28,440
twenty six second round first round pick
in that scenario. Now, future drafts

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00:11:28,519 --> 00:11:33,360
only apply to drafts that have not
taken place yet. That disappears when you

170
00:11:33,399 --> 00:11:39,000
get to draft night, and so
in the Lakers' case, it essentially disappears.

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00:11:39,000 --> 00:11:43,559
It functionally technically disappears once the league
calendar resets. So when you get

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00:11:43,600 --> 00:11:48,120
to draft night and you're the Lakers, you now know what New Orleans is

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00:11:48,159 --> 00:11:54,679
gonna do, and so let's just
say they elect to defer, so they're

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00:11:54,720 --> 00:12:03,279
going to take your twenty twenty five
pick. You have your twenty twenty four

175
00:12:03,320 --> 00:12:07,039
pick that you can actually you select
a player. You trade that player before

176
00:12:07,080 --> 00:12:09,879
he's ever played a game that counts
that technically counts as one first round pick,

177
00:12:09,960 --> 00:12:13,240
especially if you've agreed to the terms
of fororehand, the team you're trading

178
00:12:13,320 --> 00:12:18,240
him to winds up making that pick. You're picking the player that they want.

179
00:12:18,320 --> 00:12:22,559
Essentially, so now you trade your
twenty twenty four, you trade your

180
00:12:22,559 --> 00:12:26,159
twenty twenty nine that was the pick
you already had opened and now because you

181
00:12:26,159 --> 00:12:31,519
can only trade picks seven years out
in advance, two thousand and thirty one

182
00:12:31,639 --> 00:12:35,480
is now opened up because that twenty
twenty four draft is over, and so

183
00:12:35,600 --> 00:12:39,960
now you've gone from only having twenty
twenty nine to having two thousand and thirty

184
00:12:41,000 --> 00:12:43,960
one and then twenty twenty four,
twenty twenty five. It doesn't actually matter

185
00:12:45,000 --> 00:12:48,919
what the Pelicans do. If the
Pelicans keep twenty twenty four, the Lakers

186
00:12:48,919 --> 00:12:52,559
can go ahead and trade. You
could argue that mystery boxes are more valuables.

187
00:12:52,600 --> 00:12:58,039
You could make the argument that having
the twenty twenty five pick that hasn't

188
00:12:58,039 --> 00:13:01,200
turned into a player yet is more
valuable twenty twenty four. But regardless,

189
00:13:01,399 --> 00:13:05,840
as of draft night, whatever the
Pelicans do, you can either trade this

190
00:13:05,919 --> 00:13:09,559
year's draft pick as the actual player
or next year's draft pick on top of

191
00:13:09,559 --> 00:13:15,960
that twenty twenty nine pick and the
twenty thirty one pick, because that's seven

192
00:13:16,039 --> 00:13:18,240
drafts away, and as of right
now, that would have been more than

193
00:13:18,279 --> 00:13:22,559
seven drafts out, because we would
have twenty twenty four, twenty five,

194
00:13:22,639 --> 00:13:24,600
twenty six, twenty seven, twenty
eight, twenty nine, thirty thirty one.

195
00:13:24,679 --> 00:13:28,039
That's a simple math right there.
Hopefully, that answers your questions without

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00:13:28,039 --> 00:13:33,240
confusing the fuck out of you.
Mattiel, Everything Blacks, this is this

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00:13:33,279 --> 00:13:37,799
is a good one. That's something, or that's stupid, or that's something

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00:13:37,879 --> 00:13:43,440
stupid. Wow, technical fouls should
count as personal fouls, And he clarified

199
00:13:43,480 --> 00:13:46,399
that he was referring that this is
how FEBA did it, and so he's

200
00:13:46,440 --> 00:13:50,240
not he's saying that you don't get
rid of the free throws that come with

201
00:13:50,279 --> 00:13:54,360
technical fouls. What you're saying is
you have this technical. If you get

202
00:13:54,360 --> 00:13:58,080
a technical, you would all a
second technical. You would also get ejected.

203
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But like let's say you have one
technical foul, it also counts as

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a personal foul, and so you've
gotten one technical and it counts towards your

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your total fouls to where six and
your fouled out. That technical foul is

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a part of it. Where in
theory you could have five personal fouls and

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a technical foul and still be in
the game. That would eradicate this.

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I would do it because, as
Everything Blacks pointed out, it kind of

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you know, the double technical if
they're going to cance Like if you look

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at that as sort of canceling each
other out, it still counts towards your

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personal foul tally. You could also
go this way and say should account towards

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the team's total quarterfoul tallies. But
I like the idea of accounting as a

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personal foul because maybe it this way
it's players from knowing you know you could

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get and if you get called for
a foul, you want to argue it,

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and you're fine getting it upgraded to
a technical because it doesn't really Yeah,

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you give up the free throw,
but it doesn't do anything to yeah,

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put you one technical away from getting
ejected, but it doesn't impact your

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ability to use the rest of your
fouls. I'm all for the gamesmanship of

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let's I think that would probably cut
down on the amount of complaining after personal

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fouls were given out at the bare
minimum. Maybe it wouldn't, but that'd

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be something I would absolutely that I
would absolutely look into. Roumiscal asked,

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and this might have been a question
part of a larger discussion that was taking

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place in the mail bag section of
Discord. Why is it when a front

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office puts together a squad that consists
of three very good players and some decent

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specialists in supporting roles, be it
through trade or through free agency, we

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applaud that front office, Yet when
the players themselves seek to have the same

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agency to form a team, we
dub them as snakes, gold diggers,

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and ring chasers. Isn't that why
every Isn't that what every franchise is doing?

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Ring chasing? I guess pen an
entire podcast on this question. There

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definitely is a discrepancy between how these
are viewed, and there's like the way

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that people are pro billionaire owners or
at least evaluate their teams through that lens

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versus as the players. That's weird, But I also think it's something a

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trend that's kind of not that it's
not that it's being eradicated, but he

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definitely has shifted because we have more
people who are fans of players than just

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teams, and so a big part
of this is you're rooting for a team,

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and so when a player leaves,
like you're just automatically gonna side with

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that team. And so if it's
oh, Kevin, let's use just Kevin

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Durant as an example. If you're
a fan of the Thunder rather than Kevin

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Durant, you're gonna be Well,
he didn't want to do the work in

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okac or he took the easy way
out, and that's where that view is

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born from. Now. I think
the other part of it is, I

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mean, there's some uncomfortable elements too, is are is there a racial component

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to it because this league is largely
a black league with a ton of people

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of color in it? And is
that gonna skew some of the coverage.

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Hell fucking yes, it's going to
and that's wrong. So they're could be

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that element of it as well.
The other thing here, though, too

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is and this is probably more of
a problem with the discourse championship counts.

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Like we're all about trying to distill
down player values to this raw data,

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and it goes there gonna be box
score numbers, it's all star selections,

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it's all NBA bids, and then
it's well, how many rings did this

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superstar win? And when you're going
to judge a player's legacy based off how

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many rings they win, well,
it makes sense. They want to go

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Kevin Durant want to go the Warriors
win as many championships as possible. You

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also, people also want it to
be hard not to be a given,

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especially the people who don't root for
Let's use the Kevin Durant era Warriors,

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the fans of other twenty nine teams, they're gonna prefer if it was harder,

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or just say, well, he
took the easy way out like that

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kind of turned the you know,
the Warriors along with the Cavaliers of that

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eraror turned it felt like every postseason
into just sort of this inevitability. And

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so that's just gonna rub fans of
other teams and media members the wrong way.

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They want it to be hard.
Whether that's fair or not. There

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is something to the effect of,
yes, a player earns their agency and

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they tough it out in let's just
choose Vin rand and Oklahoma City for seven

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to nine years, however long it
was. At that point they structured their

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contracts accordingly, they earned the right
to go into free agency sign with whoever

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they pleased. The league facilitated that
with that huge salary cap jump this year.

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But this even gets into you know, trade demands with players. If

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they've been with a certain team for
as long and they're coming up on the

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final year of their deal, it's
well within their right to say, hey,

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I'm gonna leave after next summer.
You should move me before I leave.

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You with absolutely nothing, so they
earned that right. But there's something

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it's a you start to look at. It's not just the number of rings,

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but the level of difficulty behind them. And there are a few factors

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that go into that. The two
that probably stand out is, well one,

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who did you play? Who did
you go through? That's why some

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people have choose last year as an
example, think that the Nuggets had like

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an easy road, And I think
maybe the road was easy or than others

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would have than other years. But
I actually think it was because the Nuggets

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kind of walked through their playoff bracket
because they were the only great team in

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the Western Conference last year. And
now there might be a couple of great

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teams, but the Nuggets were great, and so that's why they made other

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not great teams look not so great. Go figure. The other thing is

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you're going to ascribe more meaning.
And I don't know whether this is right

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or wrong. I do think there
is a level of correctness to it.

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If Kevin Durant had won in Oklahoma
City, it would have meant more because

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he was there longer, and he
did it in a market that wasn't conducive

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00:19:38,519 --> 00:19:41,920
or in a position to get these
super big names, whereas maybe he didn't

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00:19:41,920 --> 00:19:48,200
consider Golden State glamour franchise before Steph
Curry became Steph Curry and Draymond Green popped,

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it doesn't matter. They became the
Warriors and were a team that could

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become this destination, even though the
Bulls have not been a great team in

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quite some time and there's not really
like a level of you call them a

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flagship franchise, but they're not treated
as such nationally. You look at these

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markets and it's, oh, you
could get why a player would want to

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go to New York or Los Angeles, even if they've been bad in the

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past. Maybe not Chicago so much. They could be an exception that comes

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back to, you know, people
rooting for players over teams, and I

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00:20:17,480 --> 00:20:19,240
don't really know if that's the majority
rule by the way. That opens up

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00:20:19,240 --> 00:20:26,480
a whole different, separate issue.
But when you're looking at why, like

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00:20:26,559 --> 00:20:27,839
how a ring would be harder do
I think it would have been harder for

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00:20:27,880 --> 00:20:32,440
Kevin Durant to win in Oklahoma City
because of the small market limitations. I'm

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00:20:32,480 --> 00:20:34,079
not talking about the James Harden trades
specifically, though that would have been part

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00:20:34,079 --> 00:20:37,440
of it, but you were there
for longer. You're in a market that

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it's harder to attract talent you don't
already have. I think that's the best

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00:20:41,079 --> 00:20:45,559
way to phrase it. Because you
can draft talent and retain talent. Actually

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think that's pretty easy. But look
at how many years the Blazers had with

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Damian, look at how many years
Oklahoma City had with Kevin Durant Russell Westbrook.

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So like you get like you can
get a decade or more with these

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00:20:55,880 --> 00:20:59,960
players. Talent retention doesn't necessarily seem
to be the issue. It's talent acquisition

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00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:03,599
outside of the draft. So to
have done it in a market with a

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team that wasn't in a position or
had those intrinsic advantages, it just in

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theory makes it tougher. And also
because you went through more failures with that

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00:21:14,519 --> 00:21:18,200
core you lost in twenty twelve,
You went through the James Harden Tree,

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00:21:18,279 --> 00:21:21,200
you went through the surge of Baka
Tree, you dealt with the Russell Westbrook

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00:21:21,240 --> 00:21:23,839
injuries. As opposed to going to
a Warriors team, there's no I want

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00:21:23,839 --> 00:21:26,559
to make clear, there's nothing wrong
with that, but I do think you

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00:21:26,599 --> 00:21:30,000
need to be prepared to accept there's
some discourse on it. That would be

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00:21:30,039 --> 00:21:33,160
toxic. By saying the rings don't
count or Kevin Durant's a coward, that

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00:21:33,240 --> 00:21:37,160
is wrong. I go to make
that clear. But for to say that

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00:21:38,319 --> 00:21:45,599
Kevin Durant's titles two championship rings mean
less than the one that Yannis won with

320
00:21:45,640 --> 00:21:49,680
Milwaukee, I think it's fair and
it's you don't want to that should not

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00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:52,920
be the end all be on.
We're talking about legacies, but I think

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00:21:52,000 --> 00:21:56,119
it's fair to have that discussion and
frame it in that way. Now,

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00:21:56,119 --> 00:22:00,599
could Yiannis have left if that ring
or if the Bucks and trade for Drew

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00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:03,319
Holliday. That's part of it too, Like you get into this, I've

325
00:22:03,319 --> 00:22:06,319
been here long enough. We can't
win. Teams are getting ultimatums, they

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00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:11,039
feel pressure. It just makes it
harder than if you joined another team that

327
00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:15,160
either already had other superstars in place
rather than getting them, or the Warriors

328
00:22:15,200 --> 00:22:19,480
case had both, which was the
superstars in place, and like championship equity

329
00:22:19,599 --> 00:22:23,240
active championship equity, not just that
they had won a title already, but

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00:22:23,240 --> 00:22:26,839
that they were still the league's foremost
contender even though they had just lost in

331
00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:33,039
two thou in sixteen, And so
if you getting into calling them snakes.

332
00:22:33,519 --> 00:22:36,960
I haven't really seen them called gold
diggers necessarily, but like snakes and ring

333
00:22:37,079 --> 00:22:40,480
chasers, I think, yeah,
everyone's fucking ring chaser. Why else are

334
00:22:40,480 --> 00:22:41,759
you in basketball? I mean to
if you want to be honest, hey,

335
00:22:41,759 --> 00:22:44,680
I want to score a bunch of
points, be the future player,

336
00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:47,440
just make a lot of money.
I don't care about championships. More power

337
00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:49,200
to you. But on some level
everyone's ring chasing, so it's a frame

338
00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:55,319
it that way is definitely disingenuous,
but I will say there is probably some

339
00:22:55,480 --> 00:23:02,680
merit to the idea that certain championships
mean more and we're definitely more difficult than

340
00:23:02,759 --> 00:23:06,000
others. And when you leave teams
or get traded from teams to team up

341
00:23:06,039 --> 00:23:14,240
with other superstars, those circumstances are
inherently, if not appreciably, more favorable

342
00:23:14,599 --> 00:23:19,000
than had you stayed in one place
and gone through just this extended cycle of

343
00:23:19,599 --> 00:23:23,480
roster churn, of window churn,
having a win within a different window than

344
00:23:23,519 --> 00:23:27,559
creating your own elsewhere. And there
are different levels to it where if you

345
00:23:27,680 --> 00:23:33,680
just get traded and there's only one
star there, all right, like that

346
00:23:33,720 --> 00:23:36,680
doesn't seem as big of a deal
anymore, And maybe you've set the stage

347
00:23:36,680 --> 00:23:38,279
for other stars to come, like
Kevin Durant and Kyrie Evern kind of teaming

348
00:23:38,359 --> 00:23:42,400
up and just going to Brooklyn.
That's different than Kevin Durant joining the Warriors

349
00:23:42,400 --> 00:23:45,279
what they were trying to do in
Brooklyn and then they go out and get

350
00:23:45,319 --> 00:23:48,720
James Harden. That was actually harder
to do than what happened with Golden State

351
00:23:48,799 --> 00:23:52,640
and Kevin Durant. There's just different
levels to everything. Now, what I

352
00:23:52,720 --> 00:23:59,440
will say is I do think that
collectively, while the RINGS discourse hasn't necessarily

353
00:23:59,559 --> 00:24:04,519
changed, we're a little bit more
warmer or understanding of players who do this,

354
00:24:04,720 --> 00:24:08,119
do what Kevin Durant did than we
were in the past. Now,

355
00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:11,279
does that have more to do with
people are a fan of the league and

356
00:24:11,319 --> 00:24:15,440
the players more so than a specific
team. Does that go into it?

357
00:24:15,440 --> 00:24:22,720
It does feel like there has been
a drive for behind player empowerment, which

358
00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:27,240
is really superstar empowerment when you actively
think about it, and so you're okay

359
00:24:27,319 --> 00:24:30,839
with players made. Let's use the
Damian Lillard trade request or demand as an

360
00:24:30,880 --> 00:24:37,200
example where there were people inside Miami, of course, but also inside Portland,

361
00:24:37,240 --> 00:24:41,160
outside Portland, outside Miami, who
thought, yeah, the Blazers duo

362
00:24:41,240 --> 00:24:44,319
it to Dame to just send him
where he wants, and so you have

363
00:24:44,359 --> 00:24:48,359
a player making a one team trade
request at that point ultimately doesn't go there.

364
00:24:48,559 --> 00:24:52,920
But there were people who not only
were okay with Damian Lillard requesting a

365
00:24:52,960 --> 00:24:55,720
trade or demanding a trade because of
how much time he spent in Portland,

366
00:24:55,759 --> 00:25:00,160
it clearly wasn't going to happen,
but they were okay with the actual one

367
00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:04,200
team or the limited list. And
we've become more accepting of players having lists,

368
00:25:04,279 --> 00:25:07,359
or we've been more accepting of well, they have one or two years

369
00:25:07,440 --> 00:25:11,519
left on their deal, they have
the leverage to force their way out if

370
00:25:11,519 --> 00:25:15,759
they want. And so I don't
think that maneuver is viewed as negatively as

371
00:25:15,799 --> 00:25:21,839
it was years ago because we're just
so maybe we're numb or we've grown to

372
00:25:21,880 --> 00:25:26,440
expect so much more player movement than
we did, you know before, basically

373
00:25:26,519 --> 00:25:32,240
before the Lebron decision, and even
like maybe like there was the whole Celtics

374
00:25:32,279 --> 00:25:37,559
getting KG and Ray Allen, but
ever since Lebron left Cleveland the first time,

375
00:25:38,039 --> 00:25:41,960
it feels like we're more numb to
player movement, more used to it,

376
00:25:41,000 --> 00:25:45,319
we expect it and so we're more
okay with these things. Does it

377
00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:48,039
change the way Are we then going
to turn around and critique these players or

378
00:25:48,759 --> 00:25:53,480
trying tominish or take away detract from
their legacies. A lot of that stuff

379
00:25:53,559 --> 00:25:57,000
is still going to come to bear
because Lebron hasn't retired yet, Kevin Durant

380
00:25:57,200 --> 00:26:02,160
hasn't retired yet. So there's definitely
an discrepancy in the way that it is

381
00:26:02,240 --> 00:26:07,240
framed. But you seldom I will
say, it is to me harder as

382
00:26:07,279 --> 00:26:11,480
a as a front office to build
up a contender as it is for a

383
00:26:11,519 --> 00:26:17,319
player to just leave and start a
new to join forces with an incumbent one,

384
00:26:17,759 --> 00:26:22,559
or just team up with bigger names
elsewhere. But again, and I'm

385
00:26:22,559 --> 00:26:26,400
stepping on the toes of my own
point here, it's also hard to live

386
00:26:26,440 --> 00:26:30,759
through seven eight nine years of not
winning a title, of being the face

387
00:26:30,240 --> 00:26:33,480
of not just the franchise, but
of criticism for not winning that title.

388
00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:37,839
And you've now earned your right to
go into free agency. We should all

389
00:26:37,880 --> 00:26:41,720
accept that. But I do think
there is a like, uh, I

390
00:26:41,759 --> 00:26:45,359
do think there is a level of
what we can analyze, like what those

391
00:26:45,400 --> 00:26:48,759
titles mean or what was actually easier, what was harder. And I think

392
00:26:48,799 --> 00:26:53,319
the bigger discrepancy is when it comes
to you know, like if we're gonna

393
00:26:53,640 --> 00:26:57,880
talk about payrolls, for instance,
when we call players overpaid. That's where

394
00:26:57,920 --> 00:27:03,640
it feels like fans, media members, people who cover the league might be

395
00:27:03,680 --> 00:27:07,319
more conditioned to, well, we're
gonna celebrate that, but nos Reed.

396
00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:11,960
Let's say, Wow, the Timberwolves, that was highway robbery that contract,

397
00:27:11,160 --> 00:27:14,880
and it's like, well, that's
great, but if Nosren has gotten paid

398
00:27:14,920 --> 00:27:18,240
more, yeah, you criticize the
Timberwolves, but Nosreen is the one that's

399
00:27:18,279 --> 00:27:19,960
tied to that contract more than the
Timberwolves are, and so they kind of

400
00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:23,519
skate under that a little bit.
I feel like there's more of a tendency

401
00:27:23,599 --> 00:27:27,000
to side, or that there's not
just more of a tendency, but it's

402
00:27:27,400 --> 00:27:30,279
it might be I don't want to
use the word valid because this question is

403
00:27:30,440 --> 00:27:34,440
valid for Rubiscal. There's I have
more of an issue where it's, well,

404
00:27:34,519 --> 00:27:38,279
let's celebrate teams ducking the luxury tax. Let's celebrate them getting players at

405
00:27:38,319 --> 00:27:41,440
a discount, but we're gonna go
around. We've had this discussion on this

406
00:27:41,480 --> 00:27:45,000
podcast about Tobias Harris, like he's
sort of the root of stuff that's wrong

407
00:27:45,079 --> 00:27:48,039
in Philly, or their lack of
maneuverability on the trade market. Because he

408
00:27:48,079 --> 00:27:52,640
makes so much money, the sigsers
offer him that contract that's not on him,

409
00:27:52,640 --> 00:27:53,480
and he's a really good player,
and we don't need to tie him

410
00:27:53,519 --> 00:27:57,519
to his pay grade, and yet
we are more inclined to associate him with

411
00:27:57,640 --> 00:28:02,480
his pay grade then we're just are
looking at what he's doing in a vacuum

412
00:28:02,519 --> 00:28:06,119
on the court as a useful player. That's the stuff I would take issue

413
00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:08,720
with more than Yes, if you're
out there and you're calling players cowards because

414
00:28:08,720 --> 00:28:12,200
they left the Thunder to go to
the Warriors, I would call Kevin Ran

415
00:28:12,240 --> 00:28:17,920
an opportunist. Like that's that's what
a lot of people are their careers,

416
00:28:17,960 --> 00:28:22,680
that they're going to be opportunists.
Not like that doesn't make him a mercenary.

417
00:28:22,599 --> 00:28:26,279
So like and look, I mean
the Kevin Durant situation too, is

418
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:30,839
there's something about he signs an extension
to stay with Brooklyn, tries to get

419
00:28:30,880 --> 00:28:32,960
out, they say no, but
then they red to trade him later.

420
00:28:33,240 --> 00:28:36,240
That's gonna rub some people the wrong
way. The Nets are not blameless in

421
00:28:36,319 --> 00:28:40,039
that, but what he did to
get the Phoenix is just like, that's

422
00:28:40,039 --> 00:28:41,680
a lot easier then Well, I
left in free agency and toughed it out

423
00:28:41,680 --> 00:28:45,720
with the Nets and didn't sign an
extension or get my financial security good.

424
00:28:45,759 --> 00:28:49,240
He made the smart play for himself. But I think that this this discussion,

425
00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:52,880
we're absolutely right that the as when
you are rooting for a team,

426
00:28:53,039 --> 00:28:56,839
and I think this is the that's
the genesis of signing with the front office

427
00:28:56,920 --> 00:29:00,880
or by extension, billionaire team owners
caring about the payrolls, the contracts,

428
00:29:00,880 --> 00:29:03,599
the luxury taxes, is you're not
rooting for the players specifically, if you're

429
00:29:04,079 --> 00:29:07,640
if you're a nos Reed fan,
it's Obias Harris fan. You want you

430
00:29:07,640 --> 00:29:10,480
should want them to just get paid
as much money as possible while playing as

431
00:29:10,519 --> 00:29:14,160
well as possible, regardless of what
results turn in or what that does to

432
00:29:14,200 --> 00:29:18,839
the team's flexibility. When you actively
root for a team, uh, you

433
00:29:18,960 --> 00:29:22,000
are going to side with that team. And so part of that is fandom.

434
00:29:22,000 --> 00:29:23,319
Now, when you're looking at it
from the leeue Y perspective, where

435
00:29:23,759 --> 00:29:26,759
I'm neither a Warriors nor a Thunder
fan, I'm sitting there calling Kevin Durant

436
00:29:26,759 --> 00:29:30,240
a coward. Uh, and he
screwed over the Thunder this and that they

437
00:29:30,240 --> 00:29:33,720
didn't get anything for his departure,
then yeah, like that that shit is

438
00:29:34,039 --> 00:29:37,359
that shit is cringey, But I
do think it's a fair discussion. It's

439
00:29:37,480 --> 00:29:41,599
I don't think it makes Kevin Durant. He's not any less great because of

440
00:29:41,640 --> 00:29:44,440
what he did. If you're trying
to look at the level of difficulty on

441
00:29:44,480 --> 00:29:48,839
those titles or what those titles mean
relative to Steph having won while staying in

442
00:29:48,880 --> 00:29:55,119
Golden State for his entire career to
this point, to through navigating through the

443
00:29:55,200 --> 00:29:57,640
thin, through the thick and thin
or whatever to get to this point,

444
00:29:57,720 --> 00:30:03,680
Like that's that's objective. What Steph
did is objectively harder than what Kevin Durant

445
00:30:03,720 --> 00:30:06,319
did. And I don't think there's
anything wrong with saying that. I'm not

446
00:30:06,359 --> 00:30:08,559
saying that Ruby's galler. Anyone else
said that what Kevin Durant did is just

447
00:30:08,599 --> 00:30:11,960
as valuable as what Steph did.
Some of the commentary round it, though

448
00:30:11,960 --> 00:30:15,559
I'd absolutely agree, is just it's
cringey as fuck, and just to call

449
00:30:15,599 --> 00:30:18,920
them cowards, to call them ring
chasers, It's like, is that really

450
00:30:18,960 --> 00:30:22,279
did is it? No, It's
not like that. That's kind of the

451
00:30:22,319 --> 00:30:25,000
point of we want players care about
winning. That's the point of this entire

452
00:30:25,039 --> 00:30:29,440
fucking thing. The problem is is
that so many people argue most people not

453
00:30:29,480 --> 00:30:33,960
only want players to win, they
want them to win while dealing with a

454
00:30:33,000 --> 00:30:37,359
ton of adversity. And you've windowed
down the amount of adversity by going from

455
00:30:37,359 --> 00:30:41,680
a situation like what was going on
at Okay. See as good as they

456
00:30:41,680 --> 00:30:44,519
were by the way they were,
they were championship contender. They almost beat

457
00:30:44,880 --> 00:30:49,000
that Warriors team that Kevin Durant went
ahead and joined. But like, we

458
00:30:49,039 --> 00:30:52,279
want it to be hard. We
want to see the failure rather than go

459
00:30:52,359 --> 00:30:56,960
somewhere and look not that what Kevin
Durant did in Brooklyn was a failure,

460
00:30:56,000 --> 00:30:57,960
but for different reasons. But like
in Golden State, he went there and

461
00:30:57,960 --> 00:31:00,799
they just won. And so that's
why issues like that are going to be

462
00:31:00,799 --> 00:31:04,480
deluded. I will say, I
really do feel like the trade demand discourse

463
00:31:04,480 --> 00:31:07,559
has changed, though I fell on
that. I'm like somewhere in between,

464
00:31:07,599 --> 00:31:11,119
I know, hot taky where it's
yeah, Dame has the right to request

465
00:31:11,119 --> 00:31:15,720
a trade. It's the Blazer's right
to send him wherever they want or not

466
00:31:15,799 --> 00:31:18,400
to trade him. He signed a
contract there, Like that's just the reality

467
00:31:18,440 --> 00:31:21,880
of the NBA, and I think
that if you want to give lists,

468
00:31:21,880 --> 00:31:25,039
that's fine. If you want to
go through pre agency where you have one

469
00:31:25,119 --> 00:31:26,799
or two years left on your deal, that's fine. You got to give

470
00:31:26,839 --> 00:31:30,119
more than one team as a list, so let's not try and manipulate your

471
00:31:30,160 --> 00:31:33,480
value that way. I would side
with that, But again that's the players

472
00:31:33,480 --> 00:31:37,599
and their agents and their their camp's
right, and no, we're gonna we

473
00:31:37,640 --> 00:31:41,680
want to be where we want to
be. We're gonna try and orchestrate our

474
00:31:41,720 --> 00:31:44,319
way there, my straw away there, And I understand that. But it's

475
00:31:44,359 --> 00:31:45,480
if you really want to get to
one place, then maybe don't sign a

476
00:31:45,480 --> 00:31:48,759
contract and do what Kevin Durant didn't, just leave go sign with them.

477
00:31:49,119 --> 00:31:53,559
Uh could do an entire podcast podcast
series on that. Rubik's Girl Ruby Scalps.

478
00:31:53,559 --> 00:31:59,279
All right, great, great question. Austin had a couple here,

479
00:32:00,680 --> 00:32:05,759
let's begin with Let's begin with this
one from Austin. Can you do a

480
00:32:05,799 --> 00:32:09,319
quick clarification of the differences of hitting
the cap versus tax versus second apron and

481
00:32:09,359 --> 00:32:15,279
what the consequences and pros of staying
undergoing over each are. Hitting the salary

482
00:32:15,279 --> 00:32:17,359
cap doesn't really mean anything. It
just means that you're capped out, and

483
00:32:19,039 --> 00:32:22,759
if you want to sign a player, you have to use an exception or

484
00:32:22,759 --> 00:32:25,559
you have minimums to offer. Basically, if you go into the tax,

485
00:32:27,039 --> 00:32:30,119
those exceptions if you're looking at the
mid level, if you're in the tax,

486
00:32:30,319 --> 00:32:35,240
your exception is going to be smaller. Now what's interesting this year is

487
00:32:35,599 --> 00:32:37,240
the first apron, or moving forward, the first apron of the tax,

488
00:32:37,240 --> 00:32:40,799
which I think is like seven million
above the luxury tax. You are now

489
00:32:42,240 --> 00:32:45,000
going to be limited in different ways. This year we saw if you wanted

490
00:32:45,039 --> 00:32:50,079
to sign someone in the buyout market, they had to be making less than

491
00:32:50,119 --> 00:32:52,759
the non tax payer's mid level exception
for you to sign them. Whereas it

492
00:32:52,759 --> 00:32:58,079
didn't matter. So for an example, if Kyle Lowry broker to buy out

493
00:32:58,160 --> 00:33:02,200
with the Charlotte Hornets, he wouldn't
have been able to go and sign with

494
00:33:02,880 --> 00:33:07,839
the Los Angeles Clippers because they were
so far they were there in the second

495
00:33:07,880 --> 00:33:10,160
apron, but they were past the
first apron of the luxury tax. But

496
00:33:10,240 --> 00:33:14,880
he could sign with the Sixers because
they were I mean they were under they

497
00:33:14,920 --> 00:33:16,279
got under the tax, but they
also did they get under the text.

498
00:33:16,319 --> 00:33:19,440
Yeah, I think they got under
the tax. But they were also they

499
00:33:19,440 --> 00:33:22,319
were under the first apron, so
he was able to go sign even though

500
00:33:22,319 --> 00:33:25,079
he was making more than a non
tax payer mid level. There are going

501
00:33:25,119 --> 00:33:29,400
to be I think more limitations imposed
on the first apron as we kind of

502
00:33:29,440 --> 00:33:32,960
move forward, the salary matching gets
a little bit tougher. It's the second

503
00:33:34,039 --> 00:33:37,599
apron is a big one. And
so these are all the things that have

504
00:33:37,640 --> 00:33:40,240
already started being phased in, and
they will be continued to some of them

505
00:33:40,240 --> 00:33:43,400
will continue to be phased in.
So I'll list off some of the more

506
00:33:43,440 --> 00:33:46,599
putative things and this one so next
season. Right now, the second apron

507
00:33:46,599 --> 00:33:50,839
is set at about one hundred and
ninety million. It's normally supposed to be

508
00:33:50,880 --> 00:33:53,720
like between seventeen and eighteen million above
the first apron. And so you have

509
00:33:53,759 --> 00:33:58,480
the luxury tax, which is that's
your you know, that's your hard tap,

510
00:33:58,759 --> 00:34:01,480
like that's your or your first apron. Oh my god, excuse me.

511
00:34:01,640 --> 00:34:05,960
It's basically it's also like kind of
your hardcap is like you can't if

512
00:34:06,000 --> 00:34:08,199
you're over the first apron, you're
not gonna be able to do acquire players

513
00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:10,920
via sign and trades. You need
to stay under that if you're going to

514
00:34:12,800 --> 00:34:15,239
if you're going to make a sign
and trade. So like, that's kind

515
00:34:15,239 --> 00:34:19,880
of your your hardcap with some other
limitations baked in. Now. Now the

516
00:34:19,920 --> 00:34:23,239
second apron, which is again seventeen
to just look at the first apron from

517
00:34:23,239 --> 00:34:27,079
now on if you don't want to
know the exact number, and then add

518
00:34:27,159 --> 00:34:30,039
seventeen eighteen million dollars that that's your
second apron. If you're in the second

519
00:34:30,079 --> 00:34:34,320
apron, you will no longer be
able to use your tax payers mid level

520
00:34:34,360 --> 00:34:37,760
exception. So you already had a
smaller exception to begin with, and now

521
00:34:37,760 --> 00:34:42,199
you can no longer use use it. If you remain in the second apron

522
00:34:42,519 --> 00:34:45,480
three out of five seasons, your
first round pick will automatically move to the

523
00:34:45,599 --> 00:34:50,880
end of the round beginning the very
next season. That's gonna be something to

524
00:34:50,920 --> 00:34:54,400
monitor with a team like the Clippers
the Warriors. It's it's like a different

525
00:34:54,960 --> 00:34:59,079
form of the repeater at tax basically, except that comes in the form of

526
00:34:59,639 --> 00:35:02,519
fucking with your draft picks. First
round pick seven years out. Now,

527
00:35:02,519 --> 00:35:07,119
if you're in the second apron,
that's a valuable asset, by the way,

528
00:35:07,159 --> 00:35:08,559
for like, if that's how you
acquire players when you're capped out.

529
00:35:08,599 --> 00:35:12,519
In general, is via trades or
you get lucky on the minimum market.

530
00:35:13,159 --> 00:35:15,159
You can no longer trade first round
picks seven years out. If you're in

531
00:35:15,199 --> 00:35:21,599
the second apron. That's going to
start next season as well salaries. This

532
00:35:21,679 --> 00:35:25,320
begins this offseason. They cannot be
aggregated or combined to trade for a single

533
00:35:25,360 --> 00:35:29,079
player. So if you're in the
second apron you want to trade for two

534
00:35:29,159 --> 00:35:31,920
players, or you want to trade
two players from one player, you can't

535
00:35:31,920 --> 00:35:36,480
do it now. That can't happen
now. This is look. Teams can't

536
00:35:36,559 --> 00:35:39,880
use trade exceptions that were created a
prior year expiration, be damned. Trade

537
00:35:39,880 --> 00:35:44,679
exceptions are valuable because you can help
create other exceptions. It allows you to

538
00:35:44,719 --> 00:35:49,760
effectively get a player without having to
send anything out like that is the they're

539
00:35:49,800 --> 00:35:52,519
created in multiplayer trades and non simultaneous
trades. But to not be able to

540
00:35:52,599 --> 00:35:57,440
use a trade exception, that also
is going to kneecap these teams that are

541
00:35:57,480 --> 00:36:00,679
over the cap because those again exceptions, draft picks, those are your best

542
00:36:00,719 --> 00:36:05,239
way of acquiring acquiring talent. Once
you're over the caps, when you're getting

543
00:36:05,239 --> 00:36:07,880
into the luxury tax and the different
aprons, you're losing all these tools.

544
00:36:08,480 --> 00:36:12,719
Now you can also no longer send
cash out in trades anymore. I think

545
00:36:12,760 --> 00:36:15,679
that starts this summer as well.
Teams use those to buy draft picks,

546
00:36:15,719 --> 00:36:21,039
they use those to compensate other teams
to take on players they don't want to

547
00:36:21,039 --> 00:36:22,199
not be able to do that so
that they can cut their tax bill.

548
00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:25,239
To not be able to do that
anymore is a big freaking deal. And

549
00:36:25,280 --> 00:36:30,679
so those limitations, these are real, and I think there might be a

550
00:36:30,760 --> 00:36:34,000
level of fucket for a year or
two. And we've seen teams kind of

551
00:36:34,039 --> 00:36:36,719
go down that road. Boston,
maybe Equippers, a little bit, Golden

552
00:36:36,719 --> 00:36:39,599
State for sure. It wouldn't surprise
me if Golden State even tries to get

553
00:36:39,599 --> 00:36:44,480
out of the second apron or the
tax entirely before next season, just to

554
00:36:44,599 --> 00:36:47,920
ensure that they're not starting the like
that this clock on. Being in the

555
00:36:49,079 --> 00:36:52,639
in the second apron, it's very
expensive and that's an addition to the tax.

556
00:36:52,639 --> 00:36:54,199
Bans aren't gonna go up. But
when you're in the second aprin basically

557
00:36:54,239 --> 00:36:59,039
as a tax team, this is
a roundabout, but I'm rounding up,

558
00:36:59,079 --> 00:37:02,800
and there's different tax right now.
But if you're more than what is twenty

559
00:37:02,800 --> 00:37:06,920
million dollars into the luxury tax,
which is you know, that's gonna be

560
00:37:06,920 --> 00:37:12,639
second Aprin territory for the most part, every dollar you spend is gonna coount

561
00:37:12,679 --> 00:37:16,320
for like four dollars against Like,
so if you sign you know, if

562
00:37:16,559 --> 00:37:20,679
if you're twenty million dollars of the
luxury tax right now, and you sign

563
00:37:20,679 --> 00:37:24,119
a player, do a minimum contract, and let's say the minimum salary,

564
00:37:24,159 --> 00:37:29,559
it's like the veteran is minimum comes
out to like two million or something like,

565
00:37:29,599 --> 00:37:31,039
that's gonna cost you, like,
actually ten million because it's gonna be

566
00:37:31,039 --> 00:37:36,159
eight million dollars in taxes on top
of that two million dollar player. That's

567
00:37:36,559 --> 00:37:39,199
like, so there's the financial just
the raw financial penalties. And I believe

568
00:37:39,239 --> 00:37:42,880
the tax bans are gonna start going
up. They're worse if you're a repeater,

569
00:37:42,960 --> 00:37:45,960
but I think the new tax bans
kick in in twenty twenty five.

570
00:37:45,400 --> 00:37:49,880
If I'm not mistaken, I would
have to clarify that there's a big difference

571
00:37:49,920 --> 00:37:53,840
right now. Though the first Apron
kind of whatever definitely limiting a little bit.

572
00:37:54,159 --> 00:37:57,760
I mean, the stuff with the
not being able to sign trades in

573
00:37:57,800 --> 00:38:00,320
a buy out market, you can't
get players in a sign up trade.

574
00:38:00,320 --> 00:38:01,880
But that was kind of already true, like with the if you were gonna

575
00:38:01,880 --> 00:38:07,280
come over the hardcap, like like
that you always had the hardcap, is

576
00:38:07,360 --> 00:38:10,960
my point. That's what the first
apron is functioning as. However you're seeing

577
00:38:12,440 --> 00:38:15,360
and like the salary matching it's dipped
a little bit to one hundred and ten

578
00:38:15,400 --> 00:38:21,679
percent. That's you know, of
the matching salary like it's it's limiting.

579
00:38:21,719 --> 00:38:22,960
It's the second apron. That's a
big deal. So I hope, hope

580
00:38:22,960 --> 00:38:30,559
I outlined those limitations well enough for
you, Austin. Other one can can

581
00:38:30,599 --> 00:38:34,840
you clarify how buyouts work financially?
Like when Westbrook was making forty million dollars

582
00:38:34,880 --> 00:38:37,440
for the Lakers then went to the
Clippers for five million? Is he just

583
00:38:37,480 --> 00:38:40,880
getting double paid? Does the new
salary come off the team's old obligation to

584
00:38:40,880 --> 00:38:47,000
pay? So there's buyouts and then
there's like being outright waved, when you're

585
00:38:47,039 --> 00:38:52,280
outright waved if you sign a new
deal. So there are two ways that

586
00:38:52,360 --> 00:38:54,320
this can happen if you're waived.
Let's just I'm gonna use a five million

587
00:38:54,360 --> 00:38:59,960
dollar player as an example. There
will be pro rations here these exceptions,

588
00:39:00,000 --> 00:39:04,039
they get pro rated as the season
goes on. If you. Let's use

589
00:39:04,039 --> 00:39:07,239
this first example. You waive a
ten million dollar player. They are now

590
00:39:07,239 --> 00:39:08,840
on waivers. It wasn't a buyout. It's a ten million dollar player.

591
00:39:09,000 --> 00:39:13,840
That cap it is still ten million
dollars. If there's a team that has

592
00:39:13,880 --> 00:39:17,559
the money to just claim his full
salary, you will be that offsets.

593
00:39:17,559 --> 00:39:22,039
You will no longer be responsible for
that player's that ten million dollar salary.

594
00:39:22,440 --> 00:39:27,519
However, if they clear waivers,
or let's say they clear waivers, they

595
00:39:27,599 --> 00:39:30,719
sign a different deal, and let's
say the team has the money or the

596
00:39:30,800 --> 00:39:37,519
exception to pay them three million dollars. What you're basically what you get to

597
00:39:37,599 --> 00:39:45,119
offset here is the difference between that
three million dollars a minimum contract, and

598
00:39:45,119 --> 00:39:47,639
then you divide it by two.
And so let's just say I'm using made

599
00:39:47,679 --> 00:39:52,360
up numbers here. They sign that
player for three million dollars, and let's

600
00:39:52,360 --> 00:39:59,880
say his veteran minimum salary would have
been let's just say it's like one point

601
00:40:00,199 --> 00:40:04,239
million, So three million dollars mnus
one point six million dollars is one point

602
00:40:04,239 --> 00:40:07,480
four million dollars. You slice that
in half. That team saves the original

603
00:40:07,519 --> 00:40:12,360
team saves seven hundred thousand dollars in
that so the player is still making out

604
00:40:12,360 --> 00:40:14,960
well, but the team gets some
of that money back. They're only going

605
00:40:15,039 --> 00:40:17,440
to get all of that money back
if that players just picked up off waivers

606
00:40:17,480 --> 00:40:22,920
in general, meaning a team has
the space to essentially claim that player's entire

607
00:40:22,960 --> 00:40:28,280
salary or that player which is the
minimum salary to begin with. Buyouts are

608
00:40:28,280 --> 00:40:32,000
different because nothing is offset when they
sign with a new team because a play

609
00:40:32,119 --> 00:40:36,039
well. It can be, but
typically as part of a buyout, Let's

610
00:40:36,039 --> 00:40:42,519
say you're making forty million dollars and
you agree with the Utah Jazz, Russell

611
00:40:42,519 --> 00:40:45,679
Westbrook was on to give back five
million dollars as part of that buyout,

612
00:40:45,880 --> 00:40:50,440
and then you turn around and you
sign with a team for three million dollars.

613
00:40:50,519 --> 00:40:52,599
Let's say the money to give that
to you, you don't offset any

614
00:40:52,599 --> 00:40:57,519
additional money for the Jazz or that
other team because as part of the buyout

615
00:40:57,920 --> 00:41:01,119
you agree to kind of wave that's
set off amount, because the set off

616
00:41:01,159 --> 00:41:05,360
is coming in the form of I'm
giving you back this five million dollars now.

617
00:41:05,639 --> 00:41:07,559
And so in most buyouts there can
be set off amounts. But in

618
00:41:07,559 --> 00:41:14,199
the case of Russell Westbrook, if
you were making forty million dollars and you

619
00:41:14,519 --> 00:41:17,320
agreed to a buyout, you most
likely already gave your money back, and

620
00:41:17,360 --> 00:41:21,239
so if you were making forty million
and you agree, yes, it's some

621
00:41:21,280 --> 00:41:24,719
of it's already been paid, but
you agreed to give back two million to

622
00:41:24,760 --> 00:41:29,239
get the buyout. So your earnings
are at thirty eight million for that year.

623
00:41:29,400 --> 00:41:31,079
But then you go sign somewhere because
they have the money for five million,

624
00:41:31,360 --> 00:41:35,719
you're actually making forty three million that
year, so you're coming out ahead

625
00:41:36,039 --> 00:41:38,079
and your team gets back The original
team gets back the two million that you

626
00:41:38,119 --> 00:41:40,639
gave them back. They don't get
back anything else. That's kind of the

627
00:41:40,639 --> 00:41:45,320
difference between buyouts and being waived.
It's very convoluted and there's exceptions. Sometimes

628
00:41:45,320 --> 00:41:49,840
in a buyout you don't wave the
set off amount, but normally as part

629
00:41:49,880 --> 00:41:52,960
of giving back money, like it
probably happened with Kyle Lowry and the Hornets,

630
00:41:52,480 --> 00:41:55,840
is that they waive the right to
get a set off amount, and

631
00:41:55,840 --> 00:42:00,519
so whatever money he gave back in
a buyout, that's what his team gets

632
00:42:00,559 --> 00:42:04,320
back. And even with the set
off amount, like, it's not necessarily

633
00:42:04,400 --> 00:42:07,880
the like the player losing money,
they're always going to come out ahead or

634
00:42:07,920 --> 00:42:12,199
net net even good question though,
for this time of year, since we

635
00:42:12,280 --> 00:42:15,239
are kind of in buiot season,
it's already started to unfold. And then

636
00:42:15,440 --> 00:42:22,039
Austin finally also asked, we're the
most least favorable teams to play for financially

637
00:42:22,039 --> 00:42:24,039
based on taxes, city, cost
of living, et cetera. Assuming equal

638
00:42:24,039 --> 00:42:32,159
contracts. So the lowest income taxes
in NBA in NBA markets, So there

639
00:42:32,199 --> 00:42:37,800
are lower income taxes elsewhere, but
in NBA markets are Texas, Florida,

640
00:42:37,079 --> 00:42:43,000
and Memphis. And so in theory, if you're dealing with contracts being equal

641
00:42:43,159 --> 00:42:45,960
and yeah, living expenses, they're
going to be higher in if you're living

642
00:42:46,000 --> 00:42:49,599
in Miami, you want to live
in South Beach, then if you want

643
00:42:49,599 --> 00:42:51,840
to live in Texas, but like
if you want to live in the heart

644
00:42:51,840 --> 00:42:54,719
of Dallas, that's going to change
things. Memphis would probably be just the

645
00:42:54,719 --> 00:42:59,159
best if you wanted to live in
a hub while also having a low income

646
00:42:59,239 --> 00:43:00,880
rate, like, you might make
out better there. What's interesting, and

647
00:43:00,920 --> 00:43:04,800
I don't think they changed, is
the new CBA is like NBA players pay

648
00:43:04,880 --> 00:43:09,800
taxes in every city that they provide
a day of like services in and so

649
00:43:09,960 --> 00:43:14,239
I wouldn't want to have to be
the accountant filing those taxes because so when

650
00:43:14,280 --> 00:43:16,679
you're traveling on the road, that
gets like sort of caked into where I

651
00:43:16,800 --> 00:43:22,000
believe, Okay, you could play
for the Heat, but like and be

652
00:43:22,079 --> 00:43:23,760
in Florida and not be subject to
a personal income tax there, but like

653
00:43:23,800 --> 00:43:28,480
you're gonna have to pay the tax
rates of other states for when you actually

654
00:43:28,679 --> 00:43:32,800
were working inside that state and traveling
for games. That's super complex, But

655
00:43:32,840 --> 00:43:37,960
overall, I would argue that the
most favorable teams would then be the Memphis

656
00:43:38,000 --> 00:43:42,480
Grizzlies, and then there's the Houston
Rockets, the Dallas Mavericks, the San

657
00:43:42,480 --> 00:43:45,239
Antonio Spurs, the Orlando Magic,
and the Miami Heat would be the most

658
00:43:45,239 --> 00:43:49,960
favorable teams just from a raw when
you're looking at income taxes, if you

659
00:43:50,000 --> 00:43:54,639
want to come out ahead in that
least favorable it's I mean California teams,

660
00:43:54,800 --> 00:43:59,360
the New York teams, like those
have the highest income tax rates I believe

661
00:43:59,360 --> 00:44:05,039
of any other NBA market, So
like those would be the least favorable ones.

662
00:44:05,119 --> 00:44:07,840
Especially I mean you're looking at living
expenses of most places, Yeah,

663
00:44:07,840 --> 00:44:10,079
if you play in Sacramento, you
could live in some really nice like you

664
00:44:10,079 --> 00:44:14,119
could, Like Sacramento is not going
to be as expensive to live in as

665
00:44:14,239 --> 00:44:16,840
Los Angeles, so to speak,
or San Francisco if you want to live

666
00:44:16,920 --> 00:44:21,039
around there, or New York City. But like those are just going to

667
00:44:21,079 --> 00:44:23,320
be the teams financially. That's I
think the difference though is negligible enough.

668
00:44:23,360 --> 00:44:27,280
And these guys are making so much
money, and you when you're talking about

669
00:44:27,320 --> 00:44:30,800
it, at one in a lot
of guys cases, if you're making the

670
00:44:30,840 --> 00:44:34,239
mid level, you might not really
have your pickup market. Now if you're

671
00:44:34,239 --> 00:44:36,920
a superstar, you have your pickup
market, and you're also getting in other

672
00:44:37,000 --> 00:44:43,320
endorsement deals, and so you would
rather prioritize the convenience and location over them

673
00:44:43,360 --> 00:44:45,639
will like my tax trate's going to
be different, and so like I think

674
00:44:45,679 --> 00:44:50,239
people could argue, there's you know, the Dallas, Houston, San Antonio,

675
00:44:50,400 --> 00:44:52,840
Miami, even Orlando. I feel
like should be a bigger destination among

676
00:44:52,880 --> 00:44:58,440
players than it is that they offer
like sort of the best of both worlds

677
00:44:58,480 --> 00:45:00,800
there. I mean, maybe is
it or like a situation where you know,

678
00:45:00,840 --> 00:45:05,039
this might appeal to players if it's
Utah just because of the proximity to

679
00:45:05,079 --> 00:45:08,119
California and Vegas or Phoenix because of
the proximity to California in Vegas and you're

680
00:45:08,159 --> 00:45:13,079
not dealing with the same tax racer
or living expenses. So if we were

681
00:45:13,079 --> 00:45:17,000
taking all that sort of into account, I still think if I had to

682
00:45:17,039 --> 00:45:21,320
pick, I think up Miami still
comes out ahead. But when you're trying

683
00:45:21,320 --> 00:45:24,639
to factor in cost of living in
addition to the income taxes, I think

684
00:45:24,960 --> 00:45:29,280
like it might be the Suns.
Like is that is that the answer here?

685
00:45:30,159 --> 00:45:32,360
Very interesting question, and I've always
wondered how much that actually factors into

686
00:45:32,360 --> 00:45:36,440
player decision making. Maybe it actually
does factor And if you're a mid level

687
00:45:36,440 --> 00:45:39,320
player more and you have multiple mid
level offers. But let's say the roles

688
00:45:39,320 --> 00:45:44,039
are equal, the teams are equal, the contracts are equal. But it's

689
00:45:44,360 --> 00:45:46,000
like I could be in Phoenix or
like, do I want to be with

690
00:45:46,039 --> 00:45:49,559
the Knicks or the Late Like no, maybe I'll just go to Phoenix and

691
00:45:49,599 --> 00:45:52,480
save like more money in net when
it comes to taxes and living expenses.

692
00:45:52,559 --> 00:46:00,800
That's I'd be curious to see which
players that factors into the most. I

693
00:46:00,920 --> 00:46:05,840
have time for one more question here. Ooh yeah, love this one.

694
00:46:06,199 --> 00:46:08,119
Shout out to Cosmic Raccoon, one
of my favorite discord handles, by the

695
00:46:08,159 --> 00:46:13,199
way, twofold question, Jalen Green
will probably lose his starting spot in Houston

696
00:46:13,199 --> 00:46:15,599
before the end of this season.
I don't know. Let's see if the

697
00:46:15,679 --> 00:46:19,639
Rockets are healthy enough Cosmic Raccoon,
and I anticipate that will be the prelude

698
00:46:19,679 --> 00:46:22,480
to him being traded in the off
season. So two questions, what is

699
00:46:22,519 --> 00:46:25,400
the trade value of Jalen Green this
offseason assuming he's made into a bench player

700
00:46:25,400 --> 00:46:30,039
for the Rockets after the All Star
break as expected? And two, what

701
00:46:30,079 --> 00:46:32,880
would be a team you'd think should
take a flyer on trying to salvage him.

702
00:46:34,159 --> 00:46:37,639
So looking at the trade value of
jahn Green, I honestly, I

703
00:46:37,639 --> 00:46:40,360
don't want to say have no idea, but it's I would argue it's going

704
00:46:40,440 --> 00:46:45,400
to be lower than you think because
he's extension eligible this offseason, and so

705
00:46:45,880 --> 00:46:51,159
you're giving up value to get him, knowing that one he's still an unproven,

706
00:46:51,320 --> 00:46:54,119
if not a distressed asset at this
point, and two you have to

707
00:46:54,119 --> 00:46:57,440
turn around and pay him. And
so we talk about this when it comes

708
00:46:57,480 --> 00:47:01,400
to player veteran free agencies, who
while there's a risk there, there's also

709
00:47:01,440 --> 00:47:06,920
factoring in his next contract into the
equation. Jail and Gren, Jalen Green

710
00:47:07,039 --> 00:47:09,719
being less than a known commodity,
though, makes it even harder to evaluate

711
00:47:09,800 --> 00:47:15,159
him in that context. I would
say, I guess the best way to

712
00:47:15,199 --> 00:47:19,199
frame it before getting into like what
would you give up for him? Is

713
00:47:19,239 --> 00:47:23,800
that had you aught like, could
you have gotten ogn Andob for jail and

714
00:47:23,880 --> 00:47:28,360
Green? Like, would the Raptors
have preferred R. J. Barrett and

715
00:47:28,360 --> 00:47:31,719
a manual quickly just in a vacuum
or jail and Green for the og Annobi

716
00:47:31,760 --> 00:47:36,920
trade. I think they would have
gone the RJ. Barrett a manual quickly

717
00:47:37,000 --> 00:47:39,440
route. And that's what quickly is
extension eligeable or was extenionological. He's going

718
00:47:39,480 --> 00:47:43,800
to be a restricted free agent this
summer, so you're dealing with his forthcoming

719
00:47:43,800 --> 00:47:47,199
pay day as well. I think
it would be reasonable to expect in a

720
00:47:47,280 --> 00:47:52,880
vacuum if there was a team that
was willing to trade a lottery pick that

721
00:47:53,079 --> 00:47:57,960
wasn't like I mean this this draft
is so I mean, but that would

722
00:47:57,960 --> 00:48:02,280
be honestly, that would be part
of though the Jailen Green that'd before the

723
00:48:02,320 --> 00:48:07,079
Jalen Green trade value because of this
draft, because the quality of players up

724
00:48:07,119 --> 00:48:09,840
and down it with that impact the
level of draft pick that you would give

725
00:48:09,920 --> 00:48:14,599
up to where, Okay, you're
not getting a top five pick for Jalen

726
00:48:14,599 --> 00:48:17,440
Green. I don't even think you
would get a top ten pick for him,

727
00:48:17,639 --> 00:48:22,440
Like I guess, like our team's
just very low on a Terren Shannon

728
00:48:22,559 --> 00:48:25,360
or a Reed Shepherd and it's just
blah. So could you go that route?

729
00:48:25,639 --> 00:48:30,440
I think you could get a lottery
pick between nine and fourteen and then

730
00:48:30,519 --> 00:48:36,559
maybe like that as a top end
asset or the prospect equivalent, and then

731
00:48:36,639 --> 00:48:38,719
one additional just like, oh we
threw this first round pick or this first

732
00:48:38,760 --> 00:48:44,960
round type of prospect in I don't
think Jalen Green is on the level of

733
00:48:45,480 --> 00:48:52,000
like I think a manual Quickly honestly
at the time, probably had more trade

734
00:48:52,039 --> 00:48:55,320
value then than Jalen Green does now. And because we know that ammanual Quickly

735
00:48:55,360 --> 00:48:58,800
and know some people have been unimpressed
with his defense, He's a really good

736
00:48:58,880 --> 00:49:01,960
off ball defender and he can have
a grace Greens really well, and there's

737
00:49:01,960 --> 00:49:06,119
been more of an even keelness in
net to his body of work on the

738
00:49:06,159 --> 00:49:08,639
offensive end. Even though he struggled
in the playoffs last year, he's also

739
00:49:08,679 --> 00:49:13,159
shown that he can adapt alongside other
ball handlers, whereas like Jalen Green struggle

740
00:49:13,199 --> 00:49:15,320
with that a little bit in Hute, a little bit, a lot of

741
00:49:15,360 --> 00:49:17,280
it in Houston this year. And
if you're gonna bill him as a bench

742
00:49:17,280 --> 00:49:21,239
player, whereas like a manual,
quickly it's oh, he's on the bench

743
00:49:21,280 --> 00:49:22,679
and should be a starter. If
you're doing the reverse with Jalen Green,

744
00:49:23,039 --> 00:49:28,800
it's going to dilute his value.
And so the look these two questions are

745
00:49:28,840 --> 00:49:32,320
intertwined. I think what's also very
complicated is the teams that I think should

746
00:49:32,360 --> 00:49:36,599
be taking a shot at Jalen Green
are not the teams that are gonna give

747
00:49:36,719 --> 00:49:38,920
up the value for Jalen Green that
we're placing on it. I mean,

748
00:49:39,000 --> 00:49:43,840
yes, maybe there's just like you
know, if the Spur let's say the

749
00:49:43,880 --> 00:49:49,360
Spurs as an example, end up
with the ninth pick, the twelfth pick

750
00:49:49,719 --> 00:49:52,840
from the Raptors, which that would
be the Raptors went on a hell of

751
00:49:52,880 --> 00:49:58,280
a went on a hell of a
like a a second season, second stretch

752
00:49:58,320 --> 00:50:01,840
or stretch run streak. If they
end up with, you know, the

753
00:50:01,920 --> 00:50:07,159
top eighteen record. But if you're
the Spurs, you're rebuilding, but you

754
00:50:07,159 --> 00:50:08,440
want Jalen Green, you have the
twelve pick, and you still have your

755
00:50:08,480 --> 00:50:12,360
own pick, and there's you have
other first round picks coming down the pipeline.

756
00:50:12,480 --> 00:50:15,559
Would you give up that asset for
Jalen Green? Maybe if you're lets

757
00:50:15,559 --> 00:50:19,800
you the Wizard, certainly, Yeah, you give up the twenty twenty four

758
00:50:20,000 --> 00:50:24,800
like second least favorable pick from OKC
Houston LAC that you have in your back

759
00:50:24,840 --> 00:50:29,159
pocket. But is that enough to
get Jalen Green? The types of teams

760
00:50:29,159 --> 00:50:31,760
that should maybe take flyers on him, you're not going to get their top

761
00:50:31,800 --> 00:50:36,199
of the line assets out of them. And so this feels very much like

762
00:50:36,199 --> 00:50:39,639
a scenario where it's is Jalen Green
either a throw into a very large not

763
00:50:39,679 --> 00:50:43,599
a throw in, but he's attached
to other first round picks to get the

764
00:50:43,639 --> 00:50:47,719
Rockets a star. Or if you're
trading Jalen Green independently, is it like

765
00:50:47,880 --> 00:50:52,920
a three team scenario or are you
selling low? And it feels like if

766
00:50:52,920 --> 00:50:57,360
you're trading him independently, you're almost
selling low. I don't know what,

767
00:50:57,440 --> 00:51:00,840
like, what is the three team
independent scenario that mean getting a rotation player

768
00:51:00,840 --> 00:51:04,920
who's not a star that would still
amount to selling low. Whereas I think

769
00:51:04,960 --> 00:51:07,440
if you're trading him as part of
a larger deal, you build either oh

770
00:51:07,679 --> 00:51:10,960
look the nets Mchael Bridges as an
example, you're getting Jailen Green some of

771
00:51:10,960 --> 00:51:15,320
your own first and swaps back.
Oh that matters in net combined in the

772
00:51:15,400 --> 00:51:21,960
aggregate. Or it's a scenario where
well, we want who might become available

773
00:51:21,960 --> 00:51:23,159
this summer. I don't even want
to throw a name out there, but

774
00:51:23,239 --> 00:51:28,679
we want Oh my god, why
I need a good trade? Can we

775
00:51:28,719 --> 00:51:31,679
want Zion Williams in, but the
Pelicans just don't want Jalen Williams. And

776
00:51:31,719 --> 00:51:37,440
it's there's a third team that's coming
in, and so they're going to give

777
00:51:37,800 --> 00:51:42,519
the Pelicans value for Jalen Green.
So that Jalen Green can we move to

778
00:51:42,559 --> 00:51:45,559
them as part of that value like
that, That is a scenario you could

779
00:51:45,559 --> 00:51:49,400
see unfolding. But I think he's
actually most likely to be moved as part

780
00:51:49,400 --> 00:51:53,360
of this Macro straight up deal,
or it's his next team. We'll find

781
00:51:53,360 --> 00:51:58,239
a third party facilitator to come and
get him to where they're okay selling low.

782
00:51:58,320 --> 00:52:00,079
That's what I was getting. I'm
sorry stumbled through that. I was

783
00:52:00,119 --> 00:52:04,159
confusing myself with that scenario. Whereas
if you're trading jail In Green is part

784
00:52:04,159 --> 00:52:07,920
of a star an inbound star package. You're sending him to a team that

785
00:52:08,000 --> 00:52:12,280
maybe they could use him because they're
clearly pivoting, but maybe they don't want

786
00:52:12,280 --> 00:52:15,599
to deal with his next contract.
He's not their guy, but they could

787
00:52:15,599 --> 00:52:20,880
still get Maybe it's two lower level
first for him, and they're willing to

788
00:52:20,920 --> 00:52:28,320
accept that. I think I would
place his value at one okay first round

789
00:52:28,320 --> 00:52:35,159
pick or prospect and then maybe another
like bottom ten first round pick or the

790
00:52:35,199 --> 00:52:38,360
equivalent in prospect form. The upside
is still there when you look at his

791
00:52:38,360 --> 00:52:42,440
ability to create shots, his athleticism, the hope that he can kind of

792
00:52:42,440 --> 00:52:46,079
turn into this just like the hybrid
between of Devin Booker and Zack Lavine feels

793
00:52:46,119 --> 00:52:49,559
like that ship is saled, but
skewing towards one of them. Where do

794
00:52:49,559 --> 00:52:52,320
you get Devin Booker's passing feel or
feel for taking the right shots or you

795
00:52:52,360 --> 00:52:58,800
just get Zack Lvine's shooting and raw
explosion and ability to play off others.

796
00:52:58,519 --> 00:53:01,719
There's hope for him there and if
you're a team to buy into that,

797
00:53:01,960 --> 00:53:05,719
but it's just like now you run
into Let's talk about the teams that should

798
00:53:05,719 --> 00:53:08,039
go after Jalen Green. We know
Detroit was interested in zach Lvin. Does

799
00:53:08,079 --> 00:53:12,159
that also mean that they should be
interested in Jalen Green? Maybe, but

800
00:53:12,199 --> 00:53:15,440
because zach Lavine when healthy is more
of a proven commodity, you're not good

801
00:53:15,519 --> 00:53:17,800
Like, would the Pistons have been
willing to give up one of their own

802
00:53:17,840 --> 00:53:21,559
future first for zack Lavine? I
have no idea. Would you've looked at

803
00:53:21,599 --> 00:53:23,440
giving up je and Ivy for zack
Lavine? Again, I wouldn't have.

804
00:53:23,760 --> 00:53:28,039
I have no idea. Though you're
certainly not getting that for Jalen Green from

805
00:53:28,280 --> 00:53:30,760
that team. It's even the Wizards, Yeah, they'll trade you wanted like

806
00:53:30,800 --> 00:53:32,360
that lower level first round pick that
they now have, but you're not gonna

807
00:53:32,360 --> 00:53:37,960
get Bala Cool Bali, you're not
gonna get You're not gonna get any of

808
00:53:37,079 --> 00:53:42,719
Washington's own future picks unless they're like
they'll be like protected until Kingdom come.

809
00:53:42,840 --> 00:53:45,920
They might never convey. And so
now you need to get in an instance

810
00:53:45,960 --> 00:53:49,760
of well, can we spot any
teams that because like even Toronto, he'd

811
00:53:49,800 --> 00:53:52,239
be very interesting in Toronto. But
it's like Toronto really shouldn't be giving away

812
00:53:52,280 --> 00:53:54,800
any of their own future first.
At this point, they already have one

813
00:53:54,880 --> 00:53:59,400
leave it in the Spurs without knowing
how good they are, you could protect

814
00:53:59,440 --> 00:54:04,039
it if you want a Toronto twenty
twenty six first round pick, but they're

815
00:54:04,079 --> 00:54:07,000
going to lottery protect it. Does
that do it for you? They're a

816
00:54:07,000 --> 00:54:09,719
team though that I would at least, you know, investigate Washington Ruddy as

817
00:54:09,760 --> 00:54:13,880
Jordan Poole. But jayhen Green is
exponentially better, So there would be a

818
00:54:13,920 --> 00:54:16,400
team that could I wouldn't mind him
taking a flyer there. I can just

819
00:54:16,440 --> 00:54:21,599
see if the cost was low enough
and like, and they do kind of

820
00:54:21,599 --> 00:54:23,119
need I've said it, like someone
else who can give you some jiggle and

821
00:54:23,159 --> 00:54:27,239
joggle on the ball and addition to
spacing the floor and playing off others.

822
00:54:27,480 --> 00:54:30,360
Like if okay, see just came
in with like two or three whatever first

823
00:54:30,440 --> 00:54:32,159
round picks and took the flyer on
Jaalen Green, maybe it's a part of

824
00:54:32,199 --> 00:54:37,400
getting out of the Josh Giddy experience. It would be very out of character,

825
00:54:37,519 --> 00:54:40,559
but I mean him within that defensive
ecosystem and then you're all of a

826
00:54:40,599 --> 00:54:44,960
sudden the third option. How do
you adjust to that? It's not an

827
00:54:45,000 --> 00:54:47,679
Oklahoma City Thunder move. It's not
a Spurs move either. They're a team

828
00:54:47,719 --> 00:54:52,960
that could maybe use the flyer on
him. I don't know why I'm like

829
00:54:53,079 --> 00:54:57,280
warming up to the idea of seeing
him in Detroit. As we're sort of

830
00:54:57,280 --> 00:55:00,239
having this conversation, I feel like
I need to maybe get off off of

831
00:55:00,280 --> 00:55:05,119
that. But like, so,
what do we have? We have Detroit,

832
00:55:05,679 --> 00:55:07,679
we have Washington. I think that
like a most in Toronto, I

833
00:55:07,719 --> 00:55:12,400
just don't know what they'd be willing
to give up to get him. I

834
00:55:12,760 --> 00:55:17,719
like, Utah, no, not
really the Pelicans unless they're making a wholesale

835
00:55:17,719 --> 00:55:22,800
shift away from cjbi's eye on,
they don't make a ton of sense either.

836
00:55:22,119 --> 00:55:25,320
The Nets will be a team that
that should definitely investigate this, Like,

837
00:55:25,360 --> 00:55:29,920
you've already fired your coach, what's
going on with Sean Marks. I

838
00:55:29,960 --> 00:55:31,199
know that you have picks committed to
Houston, but hey, maybe you get

839
00:55:31,239 --> 00:55:35,000
Jalen Green some of your own picks
back, and you're sending mcl bridges out,

840
00:55:35,039 --> 00:55:39,320
and you do need like another capslock
shot creator or you need a capslock

841
00:55:39,400 --> 00:55:45,880
shot creator. And Jalen Green profiles
is that like if you extrapolate his ninetieth

842
00:55:45,880 --> 00:55:49,719
percentile outcome, he profiles that more
than even a Michale Bridges. At the

843
00:55:49,760 --> 00:55:54,199
moment, there's some overlap with Cam
Thomas. But Jalen Green I trust him

844
00:55:54,199 --> 00:55:58,320
more kind of at the different levels, like the peak version of him,

845
00:55:58,880 --> 00:56:00,760
and he will be a better a
better playmaker. I think you could also

846
00:56:00,840 --> 00:56:05,360
argue that he's a better defender there
as well. You know what'd be an

847
00:56:05,400 --> 00:56:08,719
interesting team And it was just part
of like, oh, things haven't gone

848
00:56:08,920 --> 00:56:13,840
according to plan. This might really
fuck with our defense more than we wanted

849
00:56:13,840 --> 00:56:16,559
to. But if the Rockets are
looking to get older, so like some

850
00:56:16,599 --> 00:56:21,119
sort of other salaries need to be
involved. But depending on what happens this

851
00:56:21,199 --> 00:56:23,920
year with the Bucks and Chris Middleton, Like do you kind of look at

852
00:56:23,920 --> 00:56:27,159
that and like, oh, we
kind of want like another scorer here.

853
00:56:27,239 --> 00:56:30,400
I guess Joannison Dame with Jalen Green
that makes that redundant, so perhaps not

854
00:56:30,840 --> 00:56:34,360
kind of think of like contending teams
that might come in and be like,

855
00:56:34,360 --> 00:56:37,199
hey, we'll give you the first
round. I could see Miami trying it.

856
00:56:37,239 --> 00:56:39,679
They already have Tyler Hero. But
are you maybe making it as part

857
00:56:39,679 --> 00:56:43,559
of a separate deal or are you
just like, hey, we just need

858
00:56:43,599 --> 00:56:45,280
another like capsock scorer in here.
We already have Terry Rozier, so you're

859
00:56:45,280 --> 00:56:51,320
not gonna keep Hero Rosie or Butler
and Jalen Green. If Jimmy Butler requests

860
00:56:51,320 --> 00:56:52,480
a trade after this season because you
play out of the playoffs, that might

861
00:56:52,480 --> 00:56:57,559
be a team that gets super interesting
with Jalen Green. I could see Charlotte.

862
00:56:57,719 --> 00:57:00,039
I don't hate the idea of him
LaMelo and Brandon Miller. I just

863
00:57:00,079 --> 00:57:04,159
don't know what you're getting for.
I'm not trading Brandon Miller. I trade

864
00:57:04,159 --> 00:57:06,360
Mark Williams, but I don't know
why Houston would want him. You're not

865
00:57:06,360 --> 00:57:10,519
gonna give up your first round pick, which is gonna be so high.

866
00:57:10,760 --> 00:57:15,880
So that's where it gets super difficult. Wouldn't you even in Minnesota. I

867
00:57:15,960 --> 00:57:19,440
just don't know what you're giving up
in that instance, Like I'm not giving

868
00:57:19,519 --> 00:57:22,400
up Jade McDaniels for Jail and Green
like that value. Maybe I'm lower on

869
00:57:22,480 --> 00:57:24,920
jail and Green. Cosmic Raccoon or
Rockets fans, anyone listening to this could

870
00:57:24,960 --> 00:57:29,079
let me know. Maybe I'm lower
on jail and Green long term than the

871
00:57:29,119 --> 00:57:31,559
consensus. But when you look at
the year he's had his contract situation,

872
00:57:32,079 --> 00:57:36,719
I do think you'd be lucky to
get the equivalent of like two real first

873
00:57:36,760 --> 00:57:38,559
round picks for him and by real
I mean, like not even just bottom

874
00:57:38,599 --> 00:57:43,119
five once and so could you get
a lottery pick and then something else for

875
00:57:43,239 --> 00:57:45,360
him? And I'm used, and
I might consider going that route if you

876
00:57:45,400 --> 00:57:49,719
believe that it's really going to benefit
your ecosystem, and you could then repackage

877
00:57:49,760 --> 00:57:52,800
those assets to go somewhere else.
So if I had to pick favorite destinations,

878
00:57:53,440 --> 00:57:59,559
and I'm gonna like, there's a
level of if we're just throwing trade

879
00:57:59,559 --> 00:58:02,440
assets out the window, I like
Toronto and Brooklyn the most. Brooklyn might

880
00:58:02,480 --> 00:58:07,000
feel the most realistic because of just
the setup with the trade assets where they

881
00:58:07,000 --> 00:58:10,880
have McHale bridges and jail and green
plus other stuff from mckel Bridges continues to

882
00:58:10,880 --> 00:58:14,719
make a lot of sense. Would
the Bulls make sense if they want to

883
00:58:14,760 --> 00:58:17,360
move on from Zack Lavine and Demarta
Rosen's gonna leave in free agency, that

884
00:58:17,400 --> 00:58:21,119
could be something to look at just
to take a flyer. What do you

885
00:58:21,119 --> 00:58:22,760
give up for him them? I
don't know. Does Houston want Zacklavine?

886
00:58:23,159 --> 00:58:27,840
I mean their devnsive slipped, But
that's because I mean, by the way,

887
00:58:28,199 --> 00:58:30,599
what's going on with the tarry east
and lower left leg injury. There's

888
00:58:30,639 --> 00:58:32,840
been he's missed a ton of time. Hasn't played since January first. We've

889
00:58:32,840 --> 00:58:36,199
seen the defense slip since he's been
out, and they've dealt with other injuries,

890
00:58:36,239 --> 00:58:39,159
including the Fred Van Fleet. Something's
weird just going on. We even

891
00:58:39,159 --> 00:58:44,559
had Ima Udoka said that he what
was the word he use, fabricated the

892
00:58:44,599 --> 00:58:46,400
amount of pain he was in.
Uh, players will do that. I'm

893
00:58:46,440 --> 00:58:51,440
hoping that the Rockets have a better
understanding of this injury. We know he

894
00:58:51,480 --> 00:58:53,039
had the stress reaction in this leg
in the preseason, so he's working his

895
00:58:53,119 --> 00:58:55,559
way from that. I hope they
have a better hold on it behind the

896
00:58:55,599 --> 00:59:00,519
scenes than they do front and center. Because public it was he was returning

897
00:59:00,519 --> 00:59:04,519
to practice. I think it was
reported like January thirty first or February first,

898
00:59:04,840 --> 00:59:07,320
and then there was a report like
the other day that he has not

899
00:59:07,400 --> 00:59:09,360
even yet been clear to play.
And so now that's three weeks. I'm

900
00:59:09,400 --> 00:59:14,360
recording this more than three weeks after
that initial report that he's nearing a return.

901
00:59:14,880 --> 00:59:16,039
I wanted to come back. He's
a really fun player to watch and

902
00:59:16,079 --> 00:59:22,159
super valuable about what the Rockets do. Digressing on that, but John Green

903
00:59:22,199 --> 00:59:27,400
and Orlando as sort of just like
fitting their timeline doesn't make as much as

904
00:59:27,599 --> 00:59:30,679
Anthony Simon's just yet they have the
defensive ecosystem to insulate him. They could

905
00:59:30,880 --> 00:59:36,159
actually kind of stand for him to
freelance, like maybe where the Rockets want

906
00:59:36,199 --> 00:59:38,159
him to be a little bit more
structured. They could probably Orlando could probably

907
00:59:38,239 --> 00:59:43,400
use his freelancing. I don't need
Orlando. I like Orlando and Brooklyn might

908
00:59:43,400 --> 00:59:45,199
be my kind of favorites here.
And if there was just like a really

909
00:59:45,239 --> 00:59:50,679
outside the box one, sign me
up, like can Okase just reboot his

910
00:59:50,760 --> 00:59:53,760
value with Jyn Williams, Shake Gulers, Alexander and Chet Holmgren, and then

911
00:59:53,800 --> 00:59:57,199
you also you can play jale and
Green with Casey Wallace. I don't care.

912
00:59:57,320 --> 01:00:00,599
Or lou Dort? Would you give
up lou Dort for Jalhn Williams in

913
01:00:00,639 --> 01:00:04,480
a vacuum? Like could you even
get lou Dort for Jalhn Williams Right now,

914
01:00:04,519 --> 01:00:06,679
I'm not in a vacuum. I'm
not saying the Thunder would do that.

915
01:00:07,119 --> 01:00:07,679
I don't know. I don't know. You have to let me know

916
01:00:07,679 --> 01:00:10,400
if you'd like any other I know
the Kings were looking for another shot creator,

917
01:00:10,400 --> 01:00:14,360
and I guess if do they get
bored that trade? If Malik Monk

918
01:00:14,440 --> 01:00:16,960
leaves in free agency. I don't
know. I don't love it. The

919
01:00:16,960 --> 01:00:21,360
Grizzlies don't need him. The Blazers
certainly don't need him if they're gonna hang

920
01:00:21,400 --> 01:00:23,679
on to Simons and they have Sharp
and Scoot. He's just not a Spurs

921
01:00:23,760 --> 01:00:28,239
player, even though they could probably
use if he was more of a facilitator.

922
01:00:28,320 --> 01:00:30,960
He'd be interesting if Minnesota could get
him. I mean, they're gonna

923
01:00:30,960 --> 01:00:38,360
have a pick in theory as a
player to trade this year, and like,

924
01:00:38,440 --> 01:00:44,079
if you could get him for that
and nas Red, do you consider

925
01:00:44,119 --> 01:00:46,719
it? Probably not. They didn't
want Timberwols. Fans were mad at me

926
01:00:46,760 --> 01:00:52,960
because I proposed nas Reid and Salary
to get Malcolm Rockden. They didn't like

927
01:00:52,039 --> 01:00:57,119
that. So maybe you're not going
that much, like is Houston sending out

928
01:00:57,119 --> 01:01:00,400
something a little? But he could
be interesting in Minnesota, just as like

929
01:01:00,400 --> 01:01:02,000
they need someone who can get in
there get up threes. I think they

930
01:01:02,039 --> 01:01:06,480
could use another like perimeter shot creator. He's just not good enough. I

931
01:01:06,480 --> 01:01:07,360
think to say, hey, nas
Read might be my six man of the

932
01:01:07,440 --> 01:01:10,480
year right now, so I get
like plus a first round pick. But

933
01:01:10,480 --> 01:01:14,239
like that might be the type of
package where if it was just trading Jail

934
01:01:14,280 --> 01:01:16,599
and Green independently. That might be
the best you could do is did we

935
01:01:16,679 --> 01:01:20,599
get lou Dort? Did we get
nas in a first and we also had

936
01:01:20,599 --> 01:01:22,800
to send out something in addition to
Jail and Green. I think that's where

937
01:01:22,840 --> 01:01:25,360
I'm at when you look at kind
of his contract situation, and the Wolves

938
01:01:25,360 --> 01:01:29,519
aren't gonna do that because they're giving
away two cost controlled assets for someone who's

939
01:01:29,519 --> 01:01:31,800
about to make probably more of a
boatload of money. I'd really like to

940
01:01:31,840 --> 01:01:36,599
see him in Toronto if trade assets
weren't an issue. I think Brooklyn feels

941
01:01:36,639 --> 01:01:39,480
more realistic. There. Hope you
that answers your question. Cosmic Raccoon,

942
01:01:39,679 --> 01:01:43,119
This was a fun mini moderate mail
bag. We'll have to get to a

943
01:01:43,159 --> 01:01:45,920
point where we do a larger one, maybe Grant and I if we can

944
01:01:45,960 --> 01:01:47,480
get enough questions and I'm okay going
to twitter of points, but if we

945
01:01:47,480 --> 01:01:52,360
can get enough questions to do Eastern
and Western conference ones, we'll split him

946
01:01:52,400 --> 01:01:53,880
up, maybe week by week or
do two in a week, like let's

947
01:01:53,880 --> 01:01:59,480
tackle questions for every team. You
could throw those mailbag questions to us if

948
01:01:59,519 --> 01:02:01,920
you have a question specific to a
player or team and we could sort them.

949
01:02:02,559 --> 01:02:06,360
Email hardware knocks at gmail dot com. You can get at us in

950
01:02:06,440 --> 01:02:08,239
discord, join our discord, follow
us on the socials. Those are in

951
01:02:08,280 --> 01:02:13,400
the podcast and YouTube descriptions. Please
sub if you haven't already, hit the

952
01:02:13,400 --> 01:02:16,159
sub on YouTube like subscribe, tell
people about us. We really could use

953
01:02:16,199 --> 01:02:21,000
some ratings and reviews on Apple and
Spotify to help drive us up the charts.

954
01:02:21,000 --> 01:02:22,400
Those help us out, I think
more than a lot of people know.

955
01:02:22,840 --> 01:02:25,199
I appreciate the support for every single
one of you. As always,

956
01:02:25,559 --> 01:02:29,119
and until next time, I leave
with the shout out to the one,

957
01:02:29,519 --> 01:02:34,199
the only, the indelible, the
legendary, the one who does have more

958
01:02:34,199 --> 01:02:37,519
trade value than Jalen Green, even
though he's not currently on an NBA team, Frank Helo
