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Two things are causing people to pull
money out of large commercial banks. So

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the banking problems you had earlier in
the year, I think may have scared

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people a little bit as to the
solvency of the banking system. But I

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think this deposit gap is forcing people
to pull their cash and liquid deposits out

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of commercial banking system seeking higher interest
rates elsewhere. And also a third reason,

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the general economy is a little bit
tougher on the lower middle classes so

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that they have less correstionairy and capital
Sam maybe point Cerre and paus out.

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For that reason, you're listening to
Carrie Lets's Financial Survival Network where you get

9
00:00:32,960 --> 00:00:38,799
valuable information you just can't find anywhere
else to thrive in today's trying times.

10
00:00:38,799 --> 00:00:44,840
You need the Financial Survival Network now
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11
00:00:44,840 --> 00:00:51,359
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free newsletter in gift Financial Survival Network now

12
00:00:51,840 --> 00:00:59,960
more than ever, And welcome.
You are listening to watching the Financial survive

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Will Network. I'm your host,
Carry Lutts and what is going on in

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the world. A good friend,
Rock Kins is with us and now,

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00:01:07,840 --> 00:01:14,879
and of course you find him at
Gold Silver Pros dot com. Rock It's

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always great to have you on the
show. So we're talking pre cool banking

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crisis. What is going on in
the banks, How serious do you think

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it is? And is it time
to really start hoarding bitcoin and precious metals.

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Well, always a pleasure to be
on your show. Carry you do

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such great content, and appreciate that
very much. I know, being a

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content credit, it takes such tremendous
amount of work, So I definitely appreciate

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everything that you guys do over there. Yeah, the banking crisis, you

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know, I was looking post the
problems we had in the spraying. I've

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been doing some investigations in the banking
and just looking at the health of it,

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and you know, the liquidity ratios
are being stressed, meaning the amount

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of free capital the banks have in
order to stay liquid during times of distresses

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going down. A lot of what's
happening is this what would call the deposit

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gap. So if you think about
interest rates for a moment, we all

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know that the Federal Reserve has been
raising interest rates here for quite a while

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and it's causing you know, it's
caused a little bit of financing troubles and

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the counting people of paying higher interest
rates for real estate and things like that.

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And as those interest rates rise,
products that consumers may buy, like

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automobiles or homes or things like that, come with higher interest rates. Naturally

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they filter through the system when it
starts at the FED. The problem is

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the banking system is not providing their
depositors. The commercial banking is not providing

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their depositors with similar increases. So
you have this deposit gap. And I

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believe two reasons. Two things are
causing people to pull money out of large

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commercial banks. So the banking problems
had earlier in the year, I think

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may have scared people a little bit
as to the solvency of the banking system.

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But I think this deposit gap is
forcing people to pull their cash and

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liquid deposits out of the commercial banking
system, seeking higher interest rates elsewhere.

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And also a third reason, the
general economies a little bit tougher on the

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lower middle classes so that they have
less correctionairy and capital sand maybe points or

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posit out for that reason. But
in any case, what this led to

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since April of last year, a
little over a year now, we've had

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an outflow of almost a tree in
dollars from the large commercial banks. An

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additional you know, several hundred bigion
from the small commercial banks. So we're

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sending it about a treeon or so
dollars being pulled out of the commercial banking

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sector in terms of customer deposits,
and so now the banks don't have those

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customer deposits. Well, what a
banks use customer deposits for. They take

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the money in and then they refinance
or relend it out for higher rate investments

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that are often longer term. So
you know a lot of people talk about

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this. You have the promise to
pay on customer deposits is a shorter term,

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but when you lend money out as
a thank you have a longer term

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commitment to get that you get that
money back. And so you have this

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deposit gap between the interest rates of
what the banks are taking in and giving

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out. And people are noticing it
and say, hey, wait a minute,

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if you're not going to give us
a higher interest rate of my money,

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I'm going to go put it over
here. And that's reducing equity ratios

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at the banks. And when you
look at you know, loan to value

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ratios. You look at silver Gate
Bank and SVB, they were in the

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ninety percent. Well, there are
a couple other banks in that range.

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But if you look at the overall
large commercial banking sector, we're at seventy

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eight point eight percent as of like
a month ago. It's probably close about

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eighty percent, and that's kind of
a danger zone. At this point,

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the large commercial banks are sort of
in a little bit of distress. And

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the second point that I'd like to
make is that the amount of uninsured deposits,

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either those above two or fifty thousand
or those that may not qualify for

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like FDIC insurance, has gone up
and it's slightly over fifty percent. So

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there are two problems if you're a
depositor in a bank. One, you're

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not getting the interest rate to the
risk of the bank operations is going up,

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and three, having issues with your
deposit may not be ensured. And

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what this has caused the commercial banks
to do is go out to the wholesale

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funding market and increase their wholesale funding. Well, so they can get cash

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to fund operations through wholesale funding,
but there's often an interest rate attached to

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that, so now they have another
liability which they couldn't pay for in the

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first place. You know, that's
why they had to go get wholesale funding,

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so it leads to this banking spiral, and I suspect that that's going

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to come to fruition sooner rather later. And I don't know whether we're going

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to have wholesale defaults in the banking
system, but it sure looks like the

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banking sector is not super healthy,
and actually it's probably a little bit less

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healthy even than it was in the
spring when we had all of those bank

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failures. First Republic, so we
get SVP and I think also credit suites

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across the pond had some issues.
So the US banking system is in a

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bit of trouble and be interesting to
see if policymakers formally recognize that and maybe

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is there anything that they can do
to help shore up help the banks shore

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up the balance sheets a little bit
more. Well, I think that last

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to take under the Bank of California
showed that they've gotten their act together,

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And basically what it tells me is
that all all deposits are implicitly guaranteed by

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the US government and that they're not
going to make the same mistake that they

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made with SVB, where you know, like every banking crisis, the initial

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responses, we're not going to bail
out the banks. You know, we're

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not going to do it. We're
not going to do it. And then

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they see a loss of confidence and
then they said, well, of course

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we're going to bail out the depositors, and that's where we wind up.

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But they have to learn the lessons
from the last failure. You know,

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they had to bailed out to bear
Stearns and Lehman. We wouldn't even be

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talking about what happened last time.
But the fact that they didn't and they

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shut them down, they drew that
line in the sand, really led to

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a massive loss of confidence in the
system. And the rest is history.

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So they never learned this because look, you've got fractional reserve banking and you've

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got banks of borrowing short and lending
long. It's what they always do,

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and they always get banged up when
rates reverse, when the yield curve reverses.

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And this time is no different than
the other, except that I think

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the government put on faster. Maybe
there are bailouts. Let me ask get

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your opinion. Do you think there's
bailouts taking place behind the scenes. We

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don't even know about. We know
that the special discount window, emergency funding

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has been lending at record levels.
Well there, Yeah, it's funny when

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you get into high finance, so
the banking system it gets super complicated.

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Like I know that the FED had
increased the amount of high quality liquid assets

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that they were putting into, like
the repo market, which is a way

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for people to borrow, you know, intra day to fund operations. But

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you can only do so you know
so much of that. And I do

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think that the signal from the FDIC
and the FED for the banking failures in

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the spring was that they did want
to back depositors, but the investors,

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the bondholders and the shareholders got kind
of got the shaft, to be honest

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with you, so that's the way
they did it. They said, well,

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we got to pick or poison here, And I do believe what you

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said. They're going to try to
back depositors. The problem with like the

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FDIC, they only carry about one
percent coverage when you compare it to all

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the deposits in their commercial banks,
So they can't bail out one hundred percent

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even if they wanted to, unless
the FED steps in and just either prints

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money or does you know something else
or I suspect what will happen is we

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have more bank failures, you're going
to have the big guys probably come in,

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like the JP Morgan's and those guys
probably offer, you know, much

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like they did during the lema An
issue, to take over some of those

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those distress assets. The question is
how contagious is this and where the policymaking

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tools be strong enough? And honestly, I don't know. I have some

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concerns about that. How much you
know, if it turns into a contagion,

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I think the stresses could be pretty
strong and the policymakers could be put

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in a really difficult position, you
know, telling the public what they're able

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to do and what they're not.
Hopefully this doesn't lead to downward spiral,

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you know, and that's enough to
help consumer confidence. But honestly, I

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don't know the answer to that question. So getting back, you know,

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this is a tale of two cities
here our economy the low tax states.

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We don't even need to get into
politics. All we have to do is

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just look at the economic markers indicators
issues right places like Florida, Texas,

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low regulation, business friendly climate,
developer friendly climate, and low taxes,

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no state income tax, personal minimal
business income taxes, you know, they're

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and the real estate in these markets
is booming, and you could make an

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argument that the freedom index is certainly
higher in these states as well. And

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there's a number of states. There's
Tennessee, there's a lot of states that

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are thriving right now. And then
you've got the other mush high tax states

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with very misguided policies, you know, benefits going out to the wazoo.

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All of that. It amazes me
because the first thing that you look at

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when they raise rates is real estate
prices go down almost invariably, and we've

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had a rapid increase in rates from
three percent are less mortgages to seven and

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yet people pursuing lower taxes. So
maybe you're going to pay ten thousand dollars

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more per year in higher interest rates, But on the other hand, that's

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going to be deductible for the most
part, and you're going to be giving

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up the virtues of paying a state
income tax to places like California and New

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York. So you still come out
ahead on the deal, Rob Right,

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Yeah, I you know, I
think you do. And there's been this

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massive migration over those types of states. Of course, I live in one

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that's generally considered business friendly, lower
tax in the state of Texas. I

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live in the North Texas area Dallas
for earth, which is the fastest growing

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metropolitan area in the United States,
and I can tell you that there there

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are positive signs of growth, also
stressful signs, but positive around construction,

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build of highways. Real estate is
booming. I used to be a real

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estate investor from twenty two eighteen here
in North Texas, and I could buy

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a three two single family home,
moderate quality built seventies eighties, you know,

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pretty typical for this area for anywhere
from ninety two hundred and fifty thousand,

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depending upon certain local factors. Now
that real estate goes from three fifty

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to five hundred, and we're talking
modests that we're not talking new build,

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we're not talking natash Mahal And for
Texas, that's a lot. It may

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not seem like a lot of some
of losing in New York of California,

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but you know when when real estate
triples in the matter of five to six

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years, the average home, how
did these these young kids get into the

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starting home. They can't afford it
because now those homes are as expensive as

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their parents. What their parents bought
their luxury houses at and so it's without

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the wages going up correspondingly, and
wage rates haven't risen quite as much.

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So we're still in a better position
made those other states. But it does,

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you know, provide some stress.
The good news is, if you're

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doing real estate, you're doing very
well. I almost wish I hadn't sold

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the last of my property in twenty
teens, just held them for a couple

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more years. I you know,
maybe I could have retired just off that

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00:13:00,120 --> 00:13:05,080
alone. The boom has been unimaginable. But the flip side that token has

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00:13:05,120 --> 00:13:07,799
rents have also risen, so for
those that lower incomes, it's a little

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00:13:07,799 --> 00:13:11,960
bit more stressful. So it depends
upon what part of income struta you're at.

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It could be a positive or a
negative. But in general, these

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stakes are doing much better. There
are more tax receipts. There's the school

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systems are flush with money. The
average teacher here in North Texas now is

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making you know, sixty five to
seventy thousand dollars, and those salaries have

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00:13:26,440 --> 00:13:28,360
risen. So there are benefits to
that, I mean there are. It

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does. It has definitely helped,
but you know, we're also talking about

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social services. I'm going through a
permitting process right now for a project,

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and you know, it's taking a
very long time because there's so much growth

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in so much demand. So I
think there are positive negatives to it.

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But yes, we definitely see those
populations moving to those areas, and it's

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00:13:46,480 --> 00:13:50,799
been generally pretty positive for people there, and I don't think that's going to

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stop. I suspect if Dallas Were
Worth continues to grow like it is,

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you're going to see almost one long
continuous city from the border of Texas,

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00:13:58,519 --> 00:14:03,080
Oklahoma down to Central Texas here within
the next fifteen to twenty years. I

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00:14:03,080 --> 00:14:07,799
mean that entire north central Texas area
is becoming a single giant metropolitan area.

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00:14:07,919 --> 00:14:13,080
Honestly. Yeah. Yeah, Well, I've been to yours fair Estate many

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00:14:13,120 --> 00:14:16,360
a time and had family in Dallas. You know, they call it the

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Metroplex. You know, you go, you go to downtown Miami here up.

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I mean, it looks like Beijing
with all the well what Beijing looked

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like ten years ago. Now all
the cranes are falling down in Beijing.

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00:14:30,360 --> 00:14:35,399
But you know it's how you know, high rise is going up left and

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right. I mean, they're to
the point now where the land has become

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00:14:41,679 --> 00:14:46,720
scarce, so they're like ripping stuff
down and on occasion you have a high

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00:14:46,840 --> 00:14:50,200
rise will fall down on its own
and then that gets recycled too, So

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yeah, that happens. And office
space in dallas Worth has been absolutely you

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know, exploding everywhere I look,
especially you know, Amazon and House a

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big distribution center here, probably about
three or four miles from where I live.

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And the amount of warehouse because I
live near DFWA Airport and the amount

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of just warehousing space has exploded around
there. If you're if you're building warehouse

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space and North Texas, you're going
to do very, very well because a

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lot of companies are using daals Forth
as a distribution point. Of course,

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the airport is connected to you know, you've got direct flights to most places

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in the world from DFW, So
it's a great spot, you know,

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if you're a business owner or if
you want jobs in and around that industry,

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it's a great place to be honestly
right now, you know it's amazing

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is the growth of Florida has actually
led to a resurgence of passenger rail because

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we have, just like you do, horrid traffic and now they've built this

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thing called the Bright Line, a
quote unquote public private partnership. But they've

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they've put a new rail and it's
going to go all the way from Miami

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to Orlando to the airport there and
get you there within a couple of hours.

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And yet pretty pretty amazing. What's
what's taking place because the traffic gets

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so bad that passenger rail expensive passenger
rail. It's gorgeous. I mean,

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it's clean. You can eat off
the floors of the trains and the stations.

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Robert, It's it's amazing that we
could actually do it. It's not

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particularly safe because it's traveling on on
on cargo rail tracks and we have hundreds

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and hundreds of grade crossings with gates, and you know, people get killed.

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But uh, you know people get
killed on the highway all day long

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too, in Florida and in Texas. So it's interesting that this growth can

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actually lead back to the past.
Kind of the glory days of rail travel

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are coming back again. Yeah,
and the same things happened in North Texas.

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We have a very rapid trains that
believes the overall organization, and they've

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connected the airport the two downtowns for
Worth in Dallas, and a lot of

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the mid cities together and where I
used to live a little bit different part

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of the metroplex. There are passenger
trains that come by almost one hundred a

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day now it's like four or five
an hour just zooming by. And they're

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using you know, the commercial rail
system to do that. And these are

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modern, beautiful passenger rail systems.
And the challenge with North Texas is so

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sprawling, it's harder to run buses
in that type, but with rail you

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can tend to move a lot of
people. There's also one other thing called

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the Trinity Railway Express Trinity as a
Trinity River here in North Texas that connects

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Dallas and Fort Worth on a double
decker a passenger train that looks like a

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freight train. I mean it's huge, and the amount of people that they're

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able to move as quite substantial.
So we have seen that as well increased

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rail. And I will say this
in North Texas, the traffic has gotten

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very heavy so much. You know, like now six thirty five, which

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is a main artery connecting North Dallas, it's basically like a loop as now

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double decker much like you used to
see in La for example. So all

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of our highway systems now, you
know, are being upgraded as well.

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So a tremendous amount of infrastructure development
here in North Texas. Yeah, same

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here. You know, highways in
Florida are constantly being widened under construction.

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It's it's really amazing. I've never
seen anything like it, and I've been

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00:18:33,799 --> 00:18:41,000
coming to Florida my entire adult life, so you know, it's it's really

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kind of amazing to see. All
right, So where do you put your

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00:18:45,559 --> 00:18:49,519
money? How do you how do
you defend yourself against what's happening now?

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Well, I think with high inflation, it's brought people into looking at quote

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unquote alternative investments, and I'll define
as anything other than your typical stock bond,

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00:19:00,920 --> 00:19:04,039
you know, sixty forty type of
portfolio. Of course, bitcoin did

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00:19:04,119 --> 00:19:07,039
very well, it's at sixty thousand, I guess before you know, crypto

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winner. It hasn't quite recovered,
but there is more support into the crypto

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00:19:11,680 --> 00:19:14,880
space. Gold silver, of course, you know, the one thing I

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kind of called that's my niche or
my specialty is gold and silver. I

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00:19:18,200 --> 00:19:21,799
did. I did used to have
other financial licenses, but I left that

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00:19:22,000 --> 00:19:26,960
behind many many years ago. Good
move. But the gold silver marks.

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00:19:26,960 --> 00:19:30,359
I kind of called it at the
beginning of the summer. I wrote an

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00:19:30,440 --> 00:19:33,839
article for jam Bowen, which I
do regular content there, and I said,

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I don't think this summer we're going
to get the usual fade and gold

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and silver prices we typically do.
Of course in the summertime, it's kind

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00:19:40,920 --> 00:19:44,920
of the mantra of selling main go
away until school starts again late August is

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00:19:45,000 --> 00:19:48,759
September. People tend to go to
the beaches or vacation and be a little

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00:19:48,759 --> 00:19:52,400
bit more conservative for their investments and
part money certain places. So a lot

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00:19:52,400 --> 00:19:56,039
of the financial markets are not quite
as frothy unless there's something big going on

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00:19:56,079 --> 00:19:59,119
the economy, and typically gold and
silver of fade a little bit, and

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00:19:59,160 --> 00:20:00,920
we have not had that fate of
anything. Gold and silver have held serve

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00:20:02,000 --> 00:20:03,640
over the week is, you know, traditionally the weakest part of the year.

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And not only that, we've seen
a massive silver specifically, you've seen

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00:20:07,359 --> 00:20:11,720
a massive amount of silver come out
of the UK market, the industrial side,

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00:20:12,200 --> 00:20:15,519
and it appears a lot of that's
made its way to the to the

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US. So there's a lot of
pool in the US now on the precious

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00:20:18,319 --> 00:20:23,000
medals. Not only the paper derivative
complex, which is what determined spot pricing,

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00:20:23,000 --> 00:20:26,119
but also the physical metals themselves,
and so there has been a little

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00:20:26,160 --> 00:20:30,799
bit of a resurgence and precious metals
investment here in the US. And so

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00:20:30,839 --> 00:20:33,400
I think specifically the younger generations.
There was an article on y'all who finance?

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00:20:33,440 --> 00:20:38,200
It came out put out by State
Street, and there was a study

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00:20:38,200 --> 00:20:44,480
done by SPDR that does GLDNSLV,
which are gold and silver ETF investments and

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00:20:44,519 --> 00:20:47,680
a lot of other ETFs, and
they did a survey of their users and

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00:20:47,720 --> 00:20:51,400
millennials are putting more money into gold
and silver than my generation Gen X or

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00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:55,480
the boomers. They're now a seventeen
percent of allocation of their money is going

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00:20:55,480 --> 00:21:00,759
into like GLD or SLV. And
you know people are when I say that,

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00:21:00,839 --> 00:21:03,640
they're like, don't they invest in
bitcoint stuff? Yes, they are,

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00:21:03,680 --> 00:21:06,160
but because a crypto winner, I
think some of that money went back

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00:21:06,200 --> 00:21:08,920
to gold. So that's a reversal, you know, from the last financial

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00:21:08,960 --> 00:21:15,680
crisis to about the pandemic. I
would say the younger generations who are more

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00:21:15,680 --> 00:21:18,440
into bitcoin, and I'm investment clubs
and they always talked about bitcoin. They

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00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:22,519
also talked about digital investments, even
stuff like you know, Wall Street bets

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00:21:22,960 --> 00:21:26,720
and those types of things. But
now that generation starting to move over to

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00:21:26,759 --> 00:21:29,720
gold, and that's a very positive
sign that they're looking at some of those

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00:21:29,720 --> 00:21:33,640
more traditional term of investments that you
know, the older generations are more comfortable

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00:21:33,640 --> 00:21:36,279
with, although more in a paper
format. I think, what's going to

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00:21:36,319 --> 00:21:38,200
happen when we get to the next
recession. Finally, because this is what

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00:21:38,200 --> 00:21:41,359
happened in my generation during two thousand
and eight, we went from buying things

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00:21:41,359 --> 00:21:45,960
like GLD and SLV to buying physical
gold and silver. And I think what's

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00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:48,160
going to happen to millennials during the
next recession. They're going to trade out

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00:21:48,200 --> 00:21:52,319
some of their paper gold and silver
investments and go buy the physical if the

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00:21:52,359 --> 00:21:55,079
pattern holds, and I think that
that's coming. So I think from the

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00:21:55,079 --> 00:21:57,319
physical side of the gold and silver
market, they're about to get a lot

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00:21:57,359 --> 00:22:02,480
of support from these younger generations saying
we're looking at the banking system, we're

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00:22:02,519 --> 00:22:06,920
looking at inflation, we're looking at
job availability, and you know, we

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00:22:06,960 --> 00:22:10,039
want to do something to protector,
you know, our long term financial futures.

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00:22:10,160 --> 00:22:14,920
All right, I think that kind
of sums it up. Everything old

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00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:21,440
is eventually new again. You know, the younger generations always rediscover what the

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00:22:21,480 --> 00:22:26,640
older generations new and often forgot or
neglected. I think we're going to see

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00:22:26,680 --> 00:22:29,920
that here. Hey, Rob,
tell us the best place to find you

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00:22:30,039 --> 00:22:32,920
and best way to connect with you
on the web. Yeah, easiest place

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00:22:33,000 --> 00:22:36,119
just go to gold Silver Pros dot
com. We're a social media business,

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00:22:36,119 --> 00:22:37,920
so that's a landing spot for all
our social media and find us on YouTube,

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00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:41,920
Twitter, read it and other places
like that. But if you just

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00:22:41,960 --> 00:22:45,039
go to our website goalsverpros dot com, it's an easy way to reach us.

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00:22:45,079 --> 00:22:49,640
Excellent. The link is in the
show notes this interview on Financial Survival

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00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:53,359
Network dot com. While you're there, please sign up for your free newsletter

319
00:22:53,839 --> 00:22:59,519
and of course send me an email. Got a question for Rob or myself,

320
00:22:59,559 --> 00:23:03,839
We'll get an answer. K l
at kryltz dot com. Rob always

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00:23:03,839 --> 00:23:06,920
a pleasure, Thanks for stopping by. Thank you, Carry appreciate it very

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00:23:06,960 --> 00:23:11,519
much. Thanks for listening to carry
Lets's Financial Survival Network, your solution to

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00:23:11,599 --> 00:23:18,119
today's trying times. For the latest, go to Financial Survival Network dot com.

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