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Welcome to the Seafood Matters Podcast.
I'm your host Jim Cowie. In each

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episode will dive into the world of
seafood and by chatting with fishermen, fishery

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scientists, and seafood chefs, will
highlight the importance of seafood in our daily

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lives, economy, and environment.
Whether you catch your own seafood, love

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cooking it, or want to learn
more about where your fish comes from,

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you'll find it all here on the
Seafood Matters Podcast. Today, we have

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the privilege of hosting doctor Mark Dickie, colis the Chair of the Advisory Committee

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of the International Council for the Exploration
of the Sea, ices to discuss fishery's

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management and stock assessment, shedding light
on how quotas are calculated, explains how

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seasonality is factored into the science of
stock assessment. We also discuss how unreported

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and unregulated catches are accounted for in
the realms of fishery science. Join us

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as we journey through the geography of
c areas, delving into the factors that

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influence quota assessments for different species.
I sees the International Council for the Expiration

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the Sea carries out about two hundred
bits of advice that we give to governments,

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and that's mostly based on stock assessments, about one hundred of the bits

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of advice, and the stock assessments
look at the information, the data that

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comes from fishing industry and also from
surveys and puts it all together and we

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look at how quickly the fish are
dying, and we look at the general

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number of fish that are in the
in the system as a whole. The

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other one hundred or so we actually
use what we call data limited approaches,

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which aren't really stock assessments in terms
of the old fashioned type, but they're

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based on what trends can we detect
from things like survey information alone rather than

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using the catches as well. And
hope do you go about that the vessels

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at sea or dear are you on
board fishing board? Personally myself, I'm

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extremely land based. My job is
now to work and oversee the entire system

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which produces the two hundred and forty
pieces of annual advice that come through.

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But the network as a whole is
over three thousand scientists working with fishing industry

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and working with institutes to gather all
the information, data and the catch statistics

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and other relevant things such as plankton
and TV service. Could you give us

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an example of some of those two
hundred and fifty pieces of annual advice?

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What an earth is that? What
on earth is that is? It's the

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classic ones are, for instance,
once a year for northern shelf cod we

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give the advice to Norway, UK
and EU, which feeds into all their

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different policies. Another one might be
for such as spur Dog, which is

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a bit data limited, and that
feeds into all of the organizations in the

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Northeast Atlantic because they're so widespread.
Another piece of advice could be the bycatch

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of dolphins in the Bay of Biscayale
the Baltic Sea, by fishing industry and

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other organizations and other activities that are
ongoing. So it's it's a real mix

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of stuff that comes through. But
about about two hundred of the two hundred

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and forty focus very much on what
we call the fishing opportunities advice. And

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you're talking about in a global perspective
or a European I'm talking North Atlantic,

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Northeast Atlantic. The icy's advisory area
goes from the Baltic Sea to the Arctic

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to the assorb and in the case
of salmon, all and eel all the

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way over to the USA and Canadian
coast and certainly around Greenland as well.

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Yes, it's as in market,
I thing that I often find fisherman like,

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it's refraser. Fishermen tell me that
it confuses me, and I just

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wonder how they handle it in their
log when they're logging it. But when

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you're seeing the North Atlantic, like
a boat's fishing at rocal, some species

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can if they just say that to
me. Let's say we're out in the

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We're out on rocal at Rocal on
a fishing boat. We just hauled our

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net. We have multispecies in the
net, and when it's coming to the

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if there were, say example,
monkfish and cord and haddock in the same

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net in the same fishing area at
the same time, and yet they have

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to be recorded differently, one will
maybe be west of Scotland and another would

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be roccal. Yeah, that's based
on our understanding of the biology of those

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organisms, where the fish are likely, how much which they are going to

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migrate, and also how they interbreed. So, for instance, in the

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North Atlantic, all of the eel
are one stock and yet all of the

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salmon come from different rivers. And
in the case of for instance, hake

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and blue whiting, we're assuming there's
one large, biologically distinct stock across the

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whole area. And in the case
of some of the flatfish, for instance,

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we're assuming there's a lot less movement
and they're much more associated with specific

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areas, so you will catch them
in your nets mixed together. But actually

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the life histories can be quite different
of those organisms, and that's why they

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come out in advice by stocks.
It is a weakness in our system.

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You're right in highlighting that, because
actually what fisheries management is trying to do

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is manage fisheries. We don't manage
fish stocks, and yet we give advice

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on the basis of fish stocks,
and that is a real conundrum for us.

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It's that we need to move to
a system where the fleets and the

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gears are managed rather than those stocks
themselves. I'd like to ask you how

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scientists determine the territorial history of a
lemon sool or a monk fish. Which

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part of the fish tells you where
it's from. Well, we're assuming that

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it's in a place because that's well
it's caught somewhere where it should be.

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These things do change, like mackerel
running off to Iceland and Greenland, but

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generally we look at overall this goes
back to where the fissuer is begun and

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how the stock structure was built up. In two thousand and nine I published

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a paper on the genetics structure of
stocks in the North atlandetic with the chap

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called Reese, and from that we
showed that historically the original stocks were based

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on the catch statistics, and then
as the biology became better and better known,

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we managed to adapt those labels of
stocks to those life histories. So

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we know a really good local fish
is a dab. A dab hardly moves

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at all, and if you put
a dab next to a place, they

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look quite similar, but place move
a huge amount. Something a bit similar

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with whiting and cod move a huge
amount. From the biology, we assume

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that the whiting don't move as much
as the cod. So those are the

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things that we're taking into account in
those situations. And now in the last

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five to ten years we have a
large number of genetic studies going on.

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The Pelagic industry have paid for a
huge amount of work on horsemackerel, and

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there's ongoing work on the herring stock
structure across from the Baltic all the way

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over to Iceland. So there's a
lot of work going on to try and

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confirm or disprove these stock structures.
Certainly at ices for the last fifteen years

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with the United Kingdom and with the
EU, we're pushing very hard that the

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advice needs to be what we call
more mixed fissure is based. And that's

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because, as you well know,
if you have a lot of haddock in

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the North Sea and you have a
limitation caused by the cod, you're not

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going to give the right management advice
based on only cod when you have a

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need to catch haddock as well.
So what went wrong is we became focused

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quite heavily on assuming that the system
is fixed and the system can be managed

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by only trying to to manage each
individual fish stock through some specific lever of

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fisheries management, and that can't work
because almost all of our fisheriesm mix fisheries,

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and all of our fisheries have impacts
on the ecosystem and benefits from the

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ecosystem, and there's no way in
a single stock approach that we can really

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move forward, and certainly with climate
change that's going to get eaten trickier.

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I mean the spread of hake.
No one has that sort of on their

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radar fifteen twenty years ago, did
they, that you're going to have so

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much hake coming around Scotland. So
all of those things are an assumption that

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everything in the system is fixed.
And it's not. Regarding your comment there

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about climate change the way you just
said that, you've almost suggested climate change

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is something that's just started, that
there's always been climate change. Yeah,

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but these temperature increases are really quite
radical that we're seeing now. I mean,

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we'd just been through twenty twenty three
with this rampant heat wave across the

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North Atlantic and we see it in
the planktern, we see it in the

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fish. That these are unprecedented changes. Don't get confused though, I see

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a lot of people saying that the
arrival of bluefin tuna is due to climate

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change. But blue in tuna have
been around these the islands of the United

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Kingdom for centuries and in fact they
come and go the whole time. So

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the heating of the water would help
the tuna. But we've had periods in

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the nineteen fifties, in the nineteen
thirties when there were lots of blof in

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tuna around. Yeah, I agree. I've thought it has been my thought

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Mark that when you see there about
multi species, I often think that our

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own Scotland did particularly. But maybe
we'll say the UK must be one of

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the biggest multi species fisheries in the
world. I've actually heard you say that

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before, Jim, and I'm not
sure that's true, nor am I,

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because because fishermen in the Mediterranean would
be a ghas to hear you say that,

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and the and in the Caribbean and
Hawaii they really are exceptionally multi species.

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We are multi species and have nicked
fisheries, but when we're not quite

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in the same league as the med
or the Caribbean, or Hawaii or some

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parts of South Asia. The professhermen
in the Caribbean referred to the North Atlantic

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as a dead grace fishing area compared
to what's available in the North Pacific and

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in the Caribbean. It's it's they
feel they've been graced with the law gods

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with what's a bell to them here
compared to what the perceived happens up north,

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and if you take the cellular organisms
all the way through to the actual

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fish, I think you'll find that
it's in quite a number of degrees more

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in the warmer waters compared to the
North Atlantic. Would you agree with that

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mark or do you think that it's
something else. Am I perceiving this wrong?

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As the Caribbean abundant compared to the
North Atlantic? Yeah? Yeah,

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there's more species that are available to
fish in those kind of regions. What

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we're lucky to have in the northern
whether that be New Zealand and Chile or

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up in the North Atlantic, we
have extremely high biomass single species which are

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there which we can utilize and work
with. But that's not to deny that

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many of our bottom troll fisheries and
others are very mixed and do take a

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large range of species which should be
celebrated. I'm still not going away completely

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in my view, because I yes, I've been in the Mediterranean and countries

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like that, but maybe what I
think more you'll see local fishing close and

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sure, and they're getting very small
fish for their buya bases and sprats and

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bokaro needs all that type of thing. But to get to get so many

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mature species of different species fully mature. I don't often see that many places

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well in the med The challenge there
is they're fishing too hard and not letting

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those fish get mature. If they
were unfished, you would get much better

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yields and much more mature fish there. So I don't think that's an indication

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of ecological or biolog difference, but
it's an indication that the fishing pressure is

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too high and that results in this
this paucity of larger, more mature fish.

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I think because those small fish have
to come from somewhere, so there

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have to be some mature fish there. Mark going on to the proposal for

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cod, your ices are suggesting a
seventeen percent reduction, and I think it's

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the North Sea and the concern with
a lot of fishermen. It's a sixty

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percent, sixty three percent increase last
year, seventeen percent dropped this year.

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They don't ever see that volatility,
and the problem they felt last year was

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sixty three percent. Sounds good,
but it's a going from such a law

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point as sixty eight percent of nothing. There's nothing type of thing and no

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do it's what's your feelings on that
well, the case of cod is quite

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a challenging one for fishers, for
the scientists and for the managers as well.

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We have shown scientifically that in fact, the whole structure of how we

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were addressing cod around the British Isles
was incorrect, in that there was no

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such thing as the North Sea cod
stock and there was no such thing as

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the West of Scotland stock. There're
one stock that comes and goes, that

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moves in between. So we went
through a multi year I think it's over

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four year process and that also involved
a number of workshops with the fishing industry

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in twenty twenty two, in twenty
twenty three, working with Mike Park and

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others to try and look at how
the fisherman's information feeds into what was to

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become the brand new stock assessment for
what we're calling Northern Shelf cod. Now,

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our problem is that we now have
a brand new stock assessment and that

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does result involvativity, and we also
have a very fixed management system, and

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our new stock assessment doesn't feed well
into the existing management system because it existing

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management system is still assuming that there's
Western Scotland and there's still north Sea and

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the Skagarat, Categat and the Southern
English Channel Earned English Channel are not mixing,

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and that gets rather tricky for us
all when we try and look for

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solutions. So I'm not going to
in any way say that the advice for

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less cod to be taken is in
any way wrong from our point of view.

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What we're struggling with is that the
management system can't as yet find a

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solution to deal with the new way
that the evidence is coming through, and

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it's very difficult. And this is
a regular feature. We know that individuals

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in different parts of different seas see
dynamics which are different from the overall population

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as a whole. And the Shetland
cod is a really really good example.

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Yes, there are large catches of
cord around Shetland, but overall we're seeing

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a real paucity of cod in other
parts of an area where we think we

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know the cod are mixing and integrating
together. It would appear that northern quote

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has been offset against southern quota.
Is there any way you can see to

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rectify the disparities between the management and
what the fishing boats are actually experiencing.

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That question is a question for the
managers. I'm afraid and they need to

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work with fishers and with scientists to
find the solution. It's not the job

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of ICs in any way to propose
management, to propose management, or to

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propose solutions that are not coming from
the people impacted and affected and managed fishermen

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our own Shedland feel it's not that
very accurate as far as the quote is

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concerned, because there's abundance of cord
our own Shetland, and that there are

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been cut because there's layers about the
southern part. What about cut in the

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separate in it so that there are
quotas for different areas. This touches a

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bit on the seasonality of this of
the populations, because if you have cod

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which are caught in one season in
one area but moving around another and we

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know that the cod populations are distinct
at spawning time, but if you have

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cod which are moving around to the
other areas and being impacted by fisheries there,

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then that does cause a challenge in
terms of how do you manage it.

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But I think you touch on a
really important point that it's crucial that

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management is effective and it works with
the fishers and with the scientists and all

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the other knowledge providers. To ensure
that the management objectives are met. And

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the management objectives are very clearly and
I'm going to use that horrible phrase maximum

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sustainable yield. So that is about
maximizing catches. And if you have a

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local problem in that you have a
lot of fish, but it's in a

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larger stock where we're saying that there
aren't enough fish, You've got to find

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management solutions. And that's where we
need innovation, and that's where we need

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communication and conversations between scientists, between
fishes, between managers because as you said,

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this currently is very very difficult,
especially for those who see catch potential

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catch that they can't utilize. Let
me give you a cord mark from people

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that were you mentioned earlier, make
Park. So it obviously shuws there's a

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breakdown in the between the managers and
whatnot and yourselves in Northern Fishing Alliance.

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As you know, it is concerning
the Northern Fisher Alliance members that ICES has

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appeared to adopt the role of managers, which is clearly not their function.

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The role of ICES to provide advice
rather than to determine management measures to reduce

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the risk to stocks. Do you
know what I think that statement I agree

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with. It's not our job to
be managers, it's our job to provide

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the evidence and that indication. That
statement shows that we have a problem,

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and the problem is that we're not
finding ways together to find a way to

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exploit the stocks in the right way, particularly the cod. So we ran

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the workshop with the with all the
well not all, but representatives of codfishers

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in twenty twenty two and twenty twenty
three. We then took that information into

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our new stock assessment approach and then, unfortunately, we found that it was

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very difficult to apply that information into
the current system. And the current system

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is based on a framework that we
have agreed with managers overall, whether that

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be the UK or Norway or the
EU, and that's our framework, and

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we work very hard to try and
adapt to this framework that we have published

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and all of the people that pay
for our advice agree to. And yet

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we've ended up in the situation where
there are some people rightly complaining that they

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cannot utilize catch they see because the
stock is considered much broader than those local

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areas. Now that was quite a
waffly answer, but it is about having

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flexibility in management somehow to deal with
the knowledge and also the expectations of the

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industry. Do you feel that with
what connection you've heard recently and going on

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to the cod Sympausium, do you
feel that that's been a success. Well,

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certainly, the goodwill and the conversation
that led to what we call the

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Northern Shelf Cod Benchmark process we view
as a success because we we found it

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extremely useful to take the information from
the fish industry and also to hear their

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experiences and bring that together with the
quantitative science that we're doing as well.

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What isn't a success is the way
in which our advice is then used in

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the system, which is so constraining, and that's the real challenge. I

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think, where do we go?
What's that? How do we take that

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forward? You have to take that
forward by having a dialogue with the managers,

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the fishers and the scientists. And
unfortunately it's complicated because you've got Norway,

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you've got the UK, and you've
got the EU now all with fishing

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nation rights, all of them trying
to ensure that their fishermen get the maximum

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that they can based on their national
positions. So they come in with a

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negotiation stant that we cannot in any
way lose catch for our fishers. So

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it's already setting up a combative environment. But the only way to move forward

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is to say, we need to
address how to manage considering that this is

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now considered a large stock, how
do we manage it best in terms of

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the objectives, the international objectives of
MSY and the precautionary approach. We recently

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spoke with doctor Michael Kaiser from Harriet
Watt University and we got into the complexities

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of you basing your findings on scientific
data and then been asked to build in

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the anecdotal experiences of fishermen. He
suggested that the development of visual technologies cameras

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on every boat, above the nets
and the holdrooms, might decrease that distance

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between anecdo fishermen experience and scientific How
do you foresee the application of technology help

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in the situation? I think technology
will create more data. Yeah, that's

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perfectly fine. But what technology doesn't
do is bring together the experiences of each

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individual fisher. If someone is in
one place and sees and feels and remembers

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something in the past that isn't picked
up by technology. So improving the databases,

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improving the amount of data flowing into
those helps all of us in terms

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of the quantitative science. But what
that doesn't do is help deal with the

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values, with the experiences and the
feelings of people, and sometimes we get

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the science wrong. I'm going to
give you a couple of examples. A

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good one is mackerel in the Northeast
Atlantic. Ices continued with the store assessment

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approach a number of years ago,
where the industry as a whole shouted,

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you're wrong, we are seeing more
fish than you claim, and we said,

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no, the numbers say this,
and they shouted louder and around it,

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and we ran a workshop in twenty
nineteen which charted a way forward to

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bring in more information and more of
the understanding of the system as a whole,

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and we did change the macro stock
assessment in response to that. And

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those kind of things can't be dealt
with by technology alone. You've got to

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work with the fishes. Another really
good one is Blue Whiting, where back

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in the nineteen nineties Icy said Blue
Whiting is going to collapse, it can't

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cope with this level of catch,
and yet the catch is kept coming and

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the stock didn't collapse, and in
fact, it was years later we realized

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that there's this dynamic change with the
ecosystem which impacts blue whiting, and so

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we were thinking that everything was stationary
across the whole type series, but in

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fact the productivity was changing over time. And once we listened to people who

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said there's still blue writing out there, a lot of blue whiting, we

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realized that in fact our projections of
what was going to happen was considering it

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was lowly in a low production state, and in fact it was in a

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high production state. So new technology
helps, new data helps, but we

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need to find a way to bring
together the quantitative scientific understanding from the likes

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of people like me and my organization, with the experiences and the stories and

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narratives, and I mean stories in
a powerful way, not a diminutive way,

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to bring that together to ensure sustainable
fisheries. You use the words feel,

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experience, and remember now orthodox science
doesn't really have categories for feelings,

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but you seem to be quite focused
on building in the fisherman's feelings. The

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question is, how on earth do
you start doing that? Where would you

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even start? I use those words
on purpose, and I knew you would

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react. I think it's important that
we understand that we manage fisheries and fisheries

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are people and those people every person
has something of value to add to the

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system. And I sees has taken
despite being labeled the way we are with

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our databases and our conservative methods and
our obsession with quantitative mathematics, which is

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the underli like that has helped us
bring down phishing effort and increase catches around

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the North Atlantic hugely. But we
can do better, And you asked about

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method and recently we've had two big
workshops, one with Natalie Stein's chairing and

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beataborgstat In from Norway in the Netherlands, and this was on developing guidance were

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ensuring integrity of scientific information submitted to
Icy's and they looked at how do we

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ensure that when we start broadening the
sources of our information and data that we

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ensure that it stays it maintains integrity. And then the second workshop we had

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just a few months ago was run
by Steve Mackinson from the Northern Polgic oh

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no that's the wrong group from the
Plagic Association in Scotland and Neil's Hintson who

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works now for the PFA and that
was a workshop on accounting for fishers and

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other stakeholders' perceptions in the dynamics of
fish stocks, and those two workshops together

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are part of our initial state as
I sees in trying to develop those methods.

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I think it's better that if you
want to learn about some of the

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methods, perhaps you should speak to
Steve or to Nils. But it's certainly

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important, and me as chair of
the Advisory Committee, I have pushed really

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hard for this, particularly with the
likes of some of the acts. And

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I know the UK now isn't part
of the ACT system, but many of

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the acts the advisory councils are saying, look, we're seeing different things or

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we're seeing the same things. I
mean. Famously, we had the North

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Sea Survey that went on for quite
a while, which began I think in

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the early two thousands and went through
to I think about twenty ten, and

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there we found the signals from fishers
were broadly the same as the signals in

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the data that the scientists were collecting. Wonderful. I need to ask you

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to do something editorially here. You
guys have talked about two people now who

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we don't have any context for I'd
just like you to quickly answer these two

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questions Mark from my edit. First
of all, could you tell me who

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Mike Park is please? Mike Park
is the head of the Scottish Whitefish Producers

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organization based mostly in Scotland. You
mentioned Natalie Steins, who's Natalie Stein's.

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Natalie Stein's is a senior researcher at
the Dutch Fisheries Institute, which is now

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part of Wachninger Marine Research. And
forgive me for saying it as Vasheninger.

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You would say it as Wagainingen,
but I'm Dutch and so I put the

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little twang in there. But she
specializes in human dimension in fisheries and is

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in fact just now has been elected
the chair of the Steering Group on Human

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dimension in ices. I'm so glad
I asked you that because we're getting an

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A with our Friend episode, You're
really should It's fantastic, Mark. I

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would like to ask your views on
whether they're in tune. We are a

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lot of the fishermen here for as
a conservation where they're closed the areas we've

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it's almost like history is shown as
from the past. To know an idea

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that's not been feshed, nobody ever
gets fished in it. Again, the

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issue of closed areas is a very
interesting one because all of the governments have

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00:34:42.079 --> 00:34:51.159
made commitments now to have thirty percent
closed or protected by twenty thirty and ten

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percent to be highly protected. Now, the evidence comes and goes as to

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the effect ofness of those measures in
terms of increasing fish productivity, and it

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really does depend on the size of
those closures. I know you've had Ray

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Hillbourne on your podcast series, and
Ray has some quite clear views and statements.

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And there are also many people who
go to the other extreme, which

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say any closed area will give a
fishery huge value, but that doesn't necessarily

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mean that will happen. We're seeing
also, and I'm going to broaden it

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from the mane protected area issue to
the wind farms. I mean, I'm

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set up hearing people saying wind farms
are good for fish, and I'm saying,

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well, fish aggregate around them,
it doesn't mean the productivity is increasing.

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The jury, in my mind is
still out as to whether wind farms

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result in greater opportunity for fishing for
others beyond those areas from which they've been

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excluded. And we need a lot
more study, and are not more understanding

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of the areas, of the dynamics
of closed areas in relation to fish production

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and the opportunities to have a sustainable
fishery around them. So that's a really

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00:36:09.679 --> 00:36:15.440
fuzzy answer, but I really think
the jury is out for the sake of

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00:36:15.480 --> 00:36:22.599
the audience. My father's question to
you this proposition was that when you close

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a freshing area, fisher never caught
again. As an outsider looking in,

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I would make the assumption that by
closing a fish area you would be creating

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an environment with unintruded breeding and you
would see an amplification in stocks. Can

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you explain why that doesn't occur?
Well, it might occur, but it

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depends on the size of the area
closed. I know you mentioned Mike Kaiser

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already, but the experience around the
Isle of Man, where I also was

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based for three years, is that
the closed areas for scollops help you know.

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And we see that we have the
the whole issue of Norway pout in

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the North Sea. We have the
sprat boxes, we have some of the

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others. We we also see the
quite poor example of the place box in

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the southern North Sea, where we
had a closed area where actually over time

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the place moved out of it,
so there's almost no discernible benefit from the

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place box. And I'm going to
get attacked for saying there's no discernible benefit

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from the placebox. But the place
moved out they as the waters warned the

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place the place box was too shallow
and too warm, and the place moved

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out of it, so there was
no protection. And yet that area,

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as you said, remains closed.
You're seeing they found a better place.

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Oh dear, oh dear, would
you would would you agree? Mark that

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the wind sock is exact same?
What's the wind sock? The wind sock

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00:38:00.079 --> 00:38:06.079
sorry, the wind sox audios area
that was closed for it must be fourteen

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or fifteen years. And the way
sed shedland. Oh that I don't know

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the details of that one. I'm
afraid, Jim So. Another example which

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is less applicable in the UK at
the moment, but is the EU is

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00:38:22.960 --> 00:38:29.800
the big ferrari about the vulnerable marine
ecosystems, the VMEs which have been introduced

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00:38:30.400 --> 00:38:37.519
by the European Union and lots of
organizations are saying that the evidence base is

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00:38:37.800 --> 00:38:44.679
iffy, but the knowledge of the
impact of phishing on those vulnerable marine ecosystems

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00:38:44.719 --> 00:38:49.280
is quite strong. So there's a
there's a degree of what is what is

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00:38:49.320 --> 00:38:54.239
the purpose and what is the evidence
base required to close an area, And

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00:38:54.280 --> 00:38:59.519
that's that's a tricky one, very
tricky. The area I was coming at

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00:38:59.800 --> 00:39:06.599
with my question to you, it's
just my past. I'm originally born and

387
00:39:06.679 --> 00:39:10.239
brought up in a fishing village called
Helmstale. It's on the Murray Firth,

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00:39:10.320 --> 00:39:17.400
which is the east coast of Scotland, and that relatively small firth or small

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00:39:17.480 --> 00:39:23.280
sea area. If you went down
one coast and up the other wick Leibster,

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00:39:24.079 --> 00:39:30.239
Helmsdale and then go along the south
coast which is Burghead, Hopeman,

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00:39:30.440 --> 00:39:38.039
lossy Mouth, mac Duff, but
bamf right out the Fraser. But as

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00:39:38.079 --> 00:39:45.119
a child, I'm going up until
the seventies and that there would have been

393
00:39:45.360 --> 00:39:52.639
hundreds of boats fishing out of all
that harbors every day and now there's not

394
00:39:53.679 --> 00:40:01.159
one boat and anybody that does go
in and try it never gets a fish.

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00:40:00.599 --> 00:40:06.880
I think there's there's a there's a
there's an issue that we need to

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00:40:06.880 --> 00:40:10.760
be aware of that a lot of
these closed areas need to be need.

397
00:40:10.880 --> 00:40:15.960
Two things you need really clear management
objectives as to why they're closed, and

398
00:40:16.000 --> 00:40:21.239
sometimes that's lacking. And also you
need some if you have closed an area,

399
00:40:21.360 --> 00:40:24.440
you need to have some monitoring to
understand what the impact and implications of

400
00:40:24.480 --> 00:40:31.119
that closure has been. And that
again is a really weak area in terms

401
00:40:31.159 --> 00:40:37.480
of the evidence base coming through.
And we have so many closed areas which

402
00:40:37.519 --> 00:40:45.039
are put in to parently help,
and yet there's no money spent. There's

403
00:40:45.039 --> 00:40:50.480
no understanding either on the ecology that's
happened, that's changed after the areas are

404
00:40:50.519 --> 00:40:55.280
closed, or how it's impacted people. And what I think I would say

405
00:40:55.280 --> 00:41:00.719
to you, Jim, is you
can't just close an air without realizing that

406
00:41:00.800 --> 00:41:07.320
you need to keep monitoring and understanding
the repercussions of that closure. So I'm

407
00:41:07.360 --> 00:41:10.440
agreeing with you. If you don't
have the evident space, we can't comment

408
00:41:10.719 --> 00:41:16.719
on what's happening and why people are. You see the concern with a lot

409
00:41:16.760 --> 00:41:25.000
of fishermen, even going back to
brush on the cut in the cod coda

410
00:41:25.760 --> 00:41:32.519
and take it forward with to talk
about some of the government measures, as

411
00:41:32.559 --> 00:41:39.360
you rightly say about wind farms,
marine protected areas, highly protected mean protected

412
00:41:39.480 --> 00:41:46.280
areas. The concern for the fishermen
at this end is the serious concern about

413
00:41:46.280 --> 00:41:51.639
their viability. So it's not just
a case of greed and try to catch

414
00:41:51.719 --> 00:41:55.840
more. There is serious, serious
concern about the viability of the Scottish fleet.

415
00:42:00.039 --> 00:42:04.920
I agree with you, I completely
agree with you. The the the

416
00:42:04.920 --> 00:42:08.960
the forcing out and they use the
word forcing because there is the objective,

417
00:42:09.079 --> 00:42:15.599
the high political objective for renewable energy, there is the biodiversity objective as well.

418
00:42:15.960 --> 00:42:21.280
All of those do challenge the people
who are making their livelihoods from the

419
00:42:21.360 --> 00:42:28.800
sea, and that is a real
political challenge for people. And in the

420
00:42:28.880 --> 00:42:36.079
same way that we always lose out, or I say we those of us

421
00:42:36.119 --> 00:42:39.320
who work in fisheries overall, we
were always trumped by oil and gas.

422
00:42:40.280 --> 00:42:44.960
They always had, they always came
top, and now we're always going to

423
00:42:44.960 --> 00:42:50.840
be trumped by wind. There's it's
very difficult and people are being having their

424
00:42:50.880 --> 00:42:53.760
voices taken away. That's my personal
opinion. By the way, I'm not

425
00:42:53.800 --> 00:42:59.559
speaking for ices at all by saying
that, well, I one hundred percent

426
00:42:59.639 --> 00:43:02.559
agree were there and even in our
small area, which I don't expect you

427
00:43:02.639 --> 00:43:08.000
to know the names of the grounds
they marked. But if we go to

428
00:43:08.039 --> 00:43:15.800
the east side of the county and
living in Caithness, we have what is

429
00:43:15.840 --> 00:43:20.880
called the Beatrice oil field, and
now there is covered in wind farms.

430
00:43:22.400 --> 00:43:27.280
That was that in a fisherman's term
in the past, that was a smith

431
00:43:27.400 --> 00:43:32.360
bank, one of the most prolific
fishing areas in the east coast of Scotland.

432
00:43:32.960 --> 00:43:40.719
Now there's a proposed wind farm farms
on the north of the county,

433
00:43:42.119 --> 00:43:45.880
north of Caithness. In a fisherman's
world, that is a stormy bank.

434
00:43:46.320 --> 00:43:52.239
And so there with this for all
the size of the sea is away.

435
00:43:52.280 --> 00:43:58.880
A fisherman looks at it. Why
why can and put your wind farms right

436
00:43:59.000 --> 00:44:08.320
on our gardens or fishing roads.
I'll give you another example, a bit

437
00:44:08.360 --> 00:44:15.159
bigger dogger bank, very prolific fishing
ground is about to be covered or in

438
00:44:15.199 --> 00:44:21.360
the process of becoming a wind farm. Do you feel that this situation is

439
00:44:21.400 --> 00:44:27.639
because of the four year electoral system
where people are making investments based on their

440
00:44:27.880 --> 00:44:32.000
four year stint, not on the
next fifty years of what's best for fisheries

441
00:44:32.079 --> 00:44:38.559
and wind farms. Is it restricted
by that political system. I'm speaking now

442
00:44:38.920 --> 00:44:44.239
not as a stock assessor. I'm
speaking to someone who's observing the fisheries system

443
00:44:44.480 --> 00:44:52.280
and the annual round of negotiations is
actually the biggest driver in terms of fisheries,

444
00:44:52.800 --> 00:44:55.119
and that takes all the attention,
and it's almost impossible to get the

445
00:44:55.159 --> 00:45:02.159
attention of a fisheries manager in Northern
Europe. Between September to December. They're

446
00:45:02.199 --> 00:45:06.719
gone. You've lost them, so
you can't have any conversation with them because

447
00:45:06.719 --> 00:45:12.519
they're busy doing the annual rounds of
fisheries negotiations, so of course there's no

448
00:45:12.679 --> 00:45:16.159
voice for them. For some of
the year they are away at their own

449
00:45:16.199 --> 00:45:22.079
tables, busy negotiating quotas. So
I'm not sure if it's the electoral system

450
00:45:22.440 --> 00:45:28.920
or what, but somehow the voice
of the people impacted by decisions of how

451
00:45:28.960 --> 00:45:34.719
to manage the sea and manage the
space of the sea is not coming through

452
00:45:35.159 --> 00:45:39.719
if you prioritize their livelihoods and their
communities and their culture. If, however,

453
00:45:39.920 --> 00:45:45.679
you want to prioritize renewable energy and
wind, then you're not going to

454
00:45:45.679 --> 00:45:53.840
listen to their voice anyway, A
very valid point. Can I go forward?

455
00:45:54.199 --> 00:46:04.920
Mark? And another real concern for
fishermen, genuine concern for Scottish fishermen

456
00:46:05.159 --> 00:46:12.440
just now, which I'm sure you'll
be probably aware of is the amount of

457
00:46:12.960 --> 00:46:21.400
unrecorded and regulated and monitored fish that
has been caught by let's say non UK

458
00:46:21.679 --> 00:46:28.719
boats and there isn't there's no monitoring
when they're landing, they're not boarded,

459
00:46:29.119 --> 00:46:36.360
and see there is there is completely
out of control and fishermen, Scottish fishermen

460
00:46:36.679 --> 00:46:43.039
under the tight rein and looking at
losing cord again next year. This is

461
00:46:43.079 --> 00:46:49.679
all happening in there around their their
fishing grounds and it's we're seeing it with

462
00:46:49.800 --> 00:46:55.400
our own eyes as they're landing in
in our in our market, and the

463
00:46:55.880 --> 00:47:05.039
other part of us as well as
annoyance for our fisherman is oh, well,

464
00:47:05.400 --> 00:47:07.599
what can an impact is that going
to have in your figures? If

465
00:47:07.599 --> 00:47:16.239
they're not if you're not getting them
the figures, Well, I can't I'm

466
00:47:16.239 --> 00:47:20.320
going to disappoint you. I can't
really comment on that because we don't have

467
00:47:20.360 --> 00:47:27.039
evidence of that coming through and the
observers that we have monitor catches from and

468
00:47:27.480 --> 00:47:30.599
the only boats that are allowed to
fish in the waters are the spoats that

469
00:47:30.599 --> 00:47:37.920
have traditionally done so, for instance
with the non European boats are certainly not

470
00:47:38.039 --> 00:47:45.440
allowed to be brought in to European
waters and UK waters unless there's further agreement

471
00:47:45.599 --> 00:47:51.719
with coastal states. So I can't
really comment further on that. I do

472
00:47:51.760 --> 00:47:53.199
think we have to be very careful
though, and I'm going to point a

473
00:47:53.239 --> 00:47:59.199
finger here. It's very easy to
say other people are doing it, but

474
00:47:59.280 --> 00:48:04.519
we don't have to have long term
memories to remember the mackerel situation through the

475
00:48:04.599 --> 00:48:08.599
nineteen nineties and two thousands, when
we had extra pipes and new keys brought

476
00:48:08.639 --> 00:48:14.400
in for secret shipping of mackerel from
Scottish boats. And I know those Scottish

477
00:48:14.400 --> 00:48:15.639
fishermen who were doing it, and
they hold their hands up and say,

478
00:48:15.719 --> 00:48:19.880
yes, we did, and some
of them were prosecuted. We know that.

479
00:48:20.440 --> 00:48:22.800
So we have to be very careful
when pointing fingers because it's not always

480
00:48:22.840 --> 00:48:29.760
the other side. All of us
have some degree of challenge. But I

481
00:48:29.800 --> 00:48:32.440
can't comment on current behavior because we
don't have evidence for that. Sorry.

482
00:48:34.360 --> 00:48:39.559
Accepting that historically Scottish fishermen were upt
all sorts of nonsense, but also accepting

483
00:48:39.599 --> 00:48:45.320
that there are a lot of Portuguese, French and Spanish boats landing in Shetland

484
00:48:45.320 --> 00:48:50.639
in the North of Scotland unmonitored,
you would never see these figures coming through.

485
00:48:51.519 --> 00:48:54.880
There's no track record or logbook for
illegal landings. And this is what

486
00:48:54.920 --> 00:49:01.079
I think Jim was getting at.
Oceano reported four months ago that they expect

487
00:49:01.159 --> 00:49:06.599
the figure to be as high as
forty percent. Even if that figure's doubled.

488
00:49:06.960 --> 00:49:10.440
They're suspecting forty percent of the fish
stocks in the North Atlantic are being

489
00:49:10.960 --> 00:49:17.119
caught and landed illegally. Is there
a number that you put into your calculations

490
00:49:17.119 --> 00:49:24.639
to account for it or it does
it not even come into your reckoning our

491
00:49:24.800 --> 00:49:30.239
estimates And I can't comment on the
specifics. I can't comment on who is

492
00:49:30.360 --> 00:49:37.880
landing were in Shetland of dony Goal
or wherever, or Newlyn. But the

493
00:49:37.079 --> 00:49:45.440
issue is that where we have evidence
of differences between the official catch and the

494
00:49:45.480 --> 00:49:52.239
actual catch, then we do our
best to incorporate those bits of information into

495
00:49:52.320 --> 00:49:58.000
it. I started my career in
Belfast in the nineteen nineties and we went

496
00:49:58.079 --> 00:50:02.400
down to the auctions three week and
we counted the number of boxes and then

497
00:50:02.440 --> 00:50:07.440
we looked at what was reported and
we readjusted the catch to account. Now,

498
00:50:07.480 --> 00:50:10.559
as scientists we got into trouble,
and you can imagine in Northern Island

499
00:50:10.639 --> 00:50:16.800
it got a little bit ticy,
but we gave estimates that were different from

500
00:50:16.840 --> 00:50:22.239
the official catches, and that happens
across the ISIS system. We have different

501
00:50:22.280 --> 00:50:27.519
countries of different ways to bring that
together. Now. I can't talk about

502
00:50:27.519 --> 00:50:31.880
the specifics of what's happening now in
different places, but we try our best

503
00:50:31.920 --> 00:50:37.400
to get the right levels of catch
to come through in the data flow.

504
00:50:42.480 --> 00:50:45.480
I feel that thoroughly answers that you
asked their Jim and me too. I

505
00:50:45.639 --> 00:50:53.000
was expecting a different answer because there
are enormous fishing groups of boats sometimes include

506
00:50:53.039 --> 00:50:58.760
you know, hundreds of them on
forums and social media, and there is

507
00:50:59.000 --> 00:51:05.599
a virtual war going on in the
sense that the acquisition has been made by

508
00:51:05.760 --> 00:51:09.880
some of the Northern fishermen against the
illegal landings. I mean, they're talking

509
00:51:09.920 --> 00:51:15.639
about thousands upon thousands of tons of
fish, not just a discrepancy in four

510
00:51:15.679 --> 00:51:22.159
boxes of cord on a day boat. The only solution I can see is

511
00:51:22.199 --> 00:51:25.599
to have twenty four hour monitoring on
every port of a boat lands it's catch

512
00:51:25.679 --> 00:51:30.400
is monitored, and I can't accept
the fact that it's too costly to do

513
00:51:30.480 --> 00:51:39.159
that when we're talking about correct fish
assessment for our generational sustainability I'm not going

514
00:51:39.199 --> 00:51:44.360
to comment on specifics of what is
being claimed at the moment because we don't

515
00:51:44.360 --> 00:51:50.440
have evidence. We don't anyway,
But what I would say is just in

516
00:51:50.480 --> 00:51:54.880
the last month, the European Union
has passed new legislation in terms of the

517
00:51:54.880 --> 00:52:00.679
control and enforcement and the greater use
of ams for small boats as well for

518
00:52:00.840 --> 00:52:06.280
electronic monitoring on big boats and all
of that coming through. So and I

519
00:52:06.360 --> 00:52:14.079
know that Scotland is bringing in some
extremely tough electronic monitoring requirements of boats that

520
00:52:14.159 --> 00:52:20.480
come into Scottish waters. So there
are mechanisms and initiatives coming forward. But

521
00:52:21.280 --> 00:52:28.039
yeah, we actually asked the question
incorrectly because we should have asked you what

522
00:52:28.239 --> 00:52:31.480
solutions are in the offing to address
that problem, rather than what the problem

523
00:52:31.599 --> 00:52:36.320
is. So this is really encouraging
that the Scottish government, you do come

524
00:52:36.400 --> 00:52:40.440
under quite a lot flak from the
fishing industry, are actually making steps towards

525
00:52:42.119 --> 00:52:45.159
monitoring all landings or getting as close
to that as they can for all boats

526
00:52:45.239 --> 00:52:51.440
landinggains Scottish waters with that include foreign
landings. Yeah, my understanding is for

527
00:52:51.639 --> 00:52:55.679
certain for access rights to Scottish waters, there's a number of regulations that are

528
00:52:55.679 --> 00:53:02.840
coming in that will require certain certain
other mechanisms to be there, and I

529
00:53:04.000 --> 00:53:08.639
can't remember the details, but I
understand that some of that is electronic monitoring

530
00:53:08.920 --> 00:53:14.920
and other element Yes, it'll be
interesting to see what happens because they've already

531
00:53:15.000 --> 00:53:24.079
the Scottish government already have the Marine
in Scotland in place and their officers monitor

532
00:53:24.400 --> 00:53:31.760
local boats that never never monitor the
foreign boats. But also there's an extra

533
00:53:34.320 --> 00:53:38.480
complication because a lot of them when
I class them to start with as non

534
00:53:38.800 --> 00:53:45.800
UK, it's because quite a lot
of them are have got the British flag.

535
00:53:45.760 --> 00:53:52.519
They're registered in this country, but
they're not owned or crewed by this

536
00:53:52.679 --> 00:54:00.719
country. Well that's that's that's that's
not a question for me chair of the

537
00:54:00.719 --> 00:54:05.000
Advisory Committee, but that's a management
question for people in Edinburgh and London.

538
00:54:05.599 --> 00:54:09.440
Yeah, no, Mark, I
know, I totally appreciate that and respect

539
00:54:09.480 --> 00:54:14.440
what you're saying. What I and
I wasn't trying to pin anything and you

540
00:54:14.480 --> 00:54:24.239
what I meant and dead ask was
how how can that impact on the figures

541
00:54:24.280 --> 00:54:30.079
that you do work with? Well, as I said, we try our

542
00:54:30.079 --> 00:54:36.400
best to estimate the actual catch coming
through and we are not naive to the

543
00:54:36.440 --> 00:54:42.679
situation that official figures may be slightly
different in certain circumstances, and the scientists

544
00:54:42.760 --> 00:54:46.960
across the whole Icis region actually have
different mechanisms in different countries. To try

545
00:54:47.000 --> 00:54:55.079
and address those differences. On your
on your assessments, Mark, do you

546
00:54:55.360 --> 00:55:01.239
what's your view when you say the
different things that you're looking at? What's

547
00:55:01.440 --> 00:55:09.039
your views on mesh size? And
do you believe in which some scientists speak

548
00:55:09.079 --> 00:55:15.719
the dawn predator stalks and non predator
stock. I've heard you comment on this

549
00:55:15.760 --> 00:55:20.599
in previous podcasts, and I find
the concept a little difficult. Jim,

550
00:55:20.679 --> 00:55:24.440
I'm sorry, because all fish are
predators. Every fish is a predator.

551
00:55:24.519 --> 00:55:29.880
A herring is a predator. A
herring is like a zebra that eats lion

552
00:55:29.960 --> 00:55:36.880
cubs because cod eggs are in the
water and cod larvae and they're all eaten

553
00:55:37.320 --> 00:55:43.119
by other fish planktibles. Cod themselves
are cannibalistic, and we include that in

554
00:55:43.159 --> 00:55:50.320
our models, particularly in the in
the northern CODs around Spoalbart, etc.

555
00:55:51.039 --> 00:55:58.000
We have specific models that work on
the basis that cod eat themselves. So

556
00:55:58.960 --> 00:56:02.519
the concept of a predator stock and
a non predator stock, I think doesn't

557
00:56:02.559 --> 00:56:10.280
capture the real confusion that happens out
in our oceans. Were used to thinking

558
00:56:10.400 --> 00:56:15.280
terrestrially of shape and cows and wolves, et cetera. Doesn't happen that way

559
00:56:15.280 --> 00:56:22.639
in the ocean. Everything eats everything
at different life stages. Yeah, but

560
00:56:22.000 --> 00:56:27.239
yeah, we have a hag in
our head and haka huge and big teeth,

561
00:56:27.920 --> 00:56:30.599
and then we have a basking shark. A basking shark is eating,

562
00:56:30.639 --> 00:56:37.519
in fact, more fish at earlier
life stages than a hare. This is

563
00:56:37.599 --> 00:56:42.159
fascinating, Mark, because we have
heard this proposition of a predatorial hierarchy.

564
00:56:42.239 --> 00:56:46.840
But I do I've always suspected that
we're projecting terrestrial values into the ocean because

565
00:56:46.920 --> 00:56:52.039
the way I've been brought up is
there are two apex predators, the orca

566
00:56:52.079 --> 00:56:57.800
and the Great White shark, whereby
nothing lives on the Great White shark and

567
00:56:57.840 --> 00:57:00.400
nothing lives on the orca, but
they do kill each other. I find

568
00:57:00.440 --> 00:57:05.079
that a great refreshing answer, because
the next person we have on that talks

569
00:57:05.119 --> 00:57:08.480
about this predatorial hierarchy, we get
to pop back to them. I think

570
00:57:08.480 --> 00:57:13.880
it's very I think I think that's
a great as an answer. What's your

571
00:57:13.880 --> 00:57:19.559
thoughts there, Jim, that there
is no predatorial hierarchy. I respect,

572
00:57:20.320 --> 00:57:23.719
and that's why I asked the question, and I i've had you know,

573
00:57:23.880 --> 00:57:32.320
obviously everybody has different views, and
I think it's in a previous podcast.

574
00:57:34.079 --> 00:57:39.440
I remember asking you on Christians and
from Iceland and he was doing some surveys

575
00:57:39.440 --> 00:57:44.840
in the North Sea and it was
mentioned to him about waiting. But he

576
00:57:45.199 --> 00:57:49.920
gutted some whiting and not one,
not one of whiting that they got it

577
00:57:49.960 --> 00:57:58.119
had any immature fishing. It's a
good I have the beginning of my career

578
00:57:58.239 --> 00:58:02.079
in the Irish Sea worked on fish
survey, specializing a lot in stomach sampling.

579
00:58:02.880 --> 00:58:07.800
We would find whiting with juvenile whiting
inside them, and in fact we

580
00:58:07.840 --> 00:58:13.920
would often find a whiting with a
whiting with a whiting inside them, so

581
00:58:14.360 --> 00:58:17.000
that's very clear. And cord just
the same. And yeah, the only

582
00:58:17.000 --> 00:58:22.239
one which was always different was of
course haddock because they they specialized in a

583
00:58:22.320 --> 00:58:27.559
very different food type. If we're
talking about those gadalis, have you found

584
00:58:27.599 --> 00:58:31.719
any bizarre artifacts or items inside I
haven't. I'm afraid I've just found rubbish

585
00:58:32.000 --> 00:58:38.599
and fish. There's a fisherman in
Wick, I think it's a by Andre.

586
00:58:38.760 --> 00:58:45.639
He was on board and they gotted
a cord fully mature cord and there

587
00:58:45.639 --> 00:58:54.000
was an empty cork con in the
stomach. Was there really now? Was

588
00:58:54.000 --> 00:59:00.400
it diet cork or was it just
regular cork? It wasn't at the turning

589
00:59:00.440 --> 00:59:15.840
cord. Okay, important question,
indeed, Mark, if you're you mentioned

590
00:59:15.840 --> 00:59:21.360
it earlier, I just like to
take it a wee bit forward. You

591
00:59:21.440 --> 00:59:28.760
mentioned season seasonal is do seasonality comment
your reckoning when you're doing your assessments.

592
00:59:29.360 --> 00:59:35.960
Yes, And firstly, there are
a number of stocks that we work with

593
00:59:36.400 --> 00:59:43.159
where we do quarterly stock assessments,
so good example being things like Sandel's or

594
00:59:43.239 --> 00:59:49.000
the wipe out and there it's important
because the productivity and they're so short lived.

595
00:59:50.039 --> 00:59:55.519
Another seasonal issue, which does come
into the stock assessments as a whole,

596
00:59:57.159 --> 01:00:01.480
is actually where and when we then, so we're catching and we're looking

597
01:00:01.639 --> 01:00:05.840
sorry, we're looking at the catch
data, and we're looking at our own

598
01:00:05.920 --> 01:00:13.199
surveys and also increasing the some surveys
run by industry, and actually the time

599
01:00:13.280 --> 01:00:16.880
of year of that survey will impact
our assessment of the abundance in that survey

600
01:00:16.880 --> 01:00:22.800
as well, and also if the
seasonality is shifting, so we take those

601
01:00:22.800 --> 01:00:27.000
into account. The other thing that
we take into account in terms of seasonality

602
01:00:27.280 --> 01:00:32.159
is things like the timing of where
in the year that the fish spawn,

603
01:00:32.280 --> 01:00:37.239
so classic being herring, which of
course are spawning in the autumn. So

604
01:00:37.280 --> 01:00:44.360
we try to estimate our biomass for
north sea herring at the time of year,

605
01:00:44.599 --> 01:00:47.039
which is generally the autumn, rather
than the standard which is the beginning

606
01:00:47.079 --> 01:00:52.239
of the year. So we take
those into account in terms of seasonality.

607
01:00:53.280 --> 01:00:59.400
But if I haven't addressed a seasonal
issue that you think is what else is

608
01:00:59.440 --> 01:01:07.840
there? The reason I ask is
because it's been said to me just well

609
01:01:07.000 --> 01:01:15.239
once recently. A cousin of mine
he almost fifty year ago, and I

610
01:01:15.280 --> 01:01:20.880
don't know which scientists, but they
wanted to do a survey and go for

611
01:01:22.159 --> 01:01:25.760
haddick. I can't remember the time
of the year, but he said to

612
01:01:25.840 --> 01:01:31.159
them, you'll not catch haddock just
now, and they said, oh yeah,

613
01:01:31.199 --> 01:01:35.320
we need to get our figures,
we need to do it away they

614
01:01:35.360 --> 01:01:40.440
went. And that was over certainly
going on for forty or fifty year ago,

615
01:01:42.000 --> 01:01:47.519
and only last year I heard it's
almost the same thing from a Shetland

616
01:01:47.559 --> 01:01:54.719
fisherman who's seemingly with herring, and
they wanted to scientists wanted to do a

617
01:01:54.760 --> 01:02:01.599
survey, and he said to them, you won't cut, you'll not get

618
01:02:01.679 --> 01:02:06.719
any heading where you're going and what
you want to do. You won't cutch

619
01:02:06.760 --> 01:02:12.639
any hair in that says, oh, but we need to go Jim.

620
01:02:12.719 --> 01:02:15.239
This is a very very important point. If you're going to build up a

621
01:02:15.280 --> 01:02:22.320
time series of abundance through a survey, it's a relative time series, so

622
01:02:22.639 --> 01:02:29.199
it's generally a very low abundance,
but it thereies at that low level that

623
01:02:29.400 --> 01:02:34.159
still is a time series that might
be of value. But you've also touched

624
01:02:34.199 --> 01:02:39.119
on the issue of what's appropriate gear
to survey. And for instance, I'm

625
01:02:39.159 --> 01:02:45.800
going to use an unusual example anchovy
in the North Sea. We know that

626
01:02:45.960 --> 01:02:50.679
anchovy are picked up a lot in
bottom troll surveys done by the scientists every

627
01:02:50.760 --> 01:02:53.719
year. However, when we do
an acoustic survey of the North Sea,

628
01:02:53.760 --> 01:02:59.920
we don't see anchovy. Now that
we think is due to the fact that

629
01:03:00.119 --> 01:03:06.000
the anchovy are coming in shore and
spawning in a way at a time when

630
01:03:06.079 --> 01:03:10.360
the acoustic survey is inappropriate. And
yet in the Bay of Biscay, almost

631
01:03:10.360 --> 01:03:15.960
all of our advice on anchovy is
done using acoustic survey results because the timing

632
01:03:16.039 --> 01:03:22.679
works very well. Now the North
Sea Acoustic Survey is targeting herring and sprat,

633
01:03:24.519 --> 01:03:30.000
so not getting anchovy is a problem. But actually our main priority is

634
01:03:30.039 --> 01:03:34.360
hering and sprat biomass. So yes, seasonality matters, and it's all about

635
01:03:34.360 --> 01:03:37.400
designing those surveys with the right gear
and the right timing. But if you

636
01:03:37.440 --> 01:03:42.440
have a long time series and enough
catch, you will get a signal.

637
01:03:44.280 --> 01:03:46.559
You mentioned anchovies, We don't not
inndicate something of a the claim it.

638
01:03:50.840 --> 01:03:57.159
Ah, we're back to the bluefin
tuna question. We anchovy again, a

639
01:03:57.199 --> 01:04:00.679
bit like bluthin tuna has come and
gone in the North Sea and also in

640
01:04:00.719 --> 01:04:05.960
the Skaggarat in Katagat, getting right
round into the Baltic Sea, and it

641
01:04:06.000 --> 01:04:13.079
is very definitely associated with warmer periods
in those areas. And I've published a

642
01:04:13.119 --> 01:04:17.519
load of papers when I was in
the Netherlands on this subject. The anchovy

643
01:04:17.679 --> 01:04:24.599
need a certain temperature to be able
to overwinter in those regions. And the

644
01:04:24.679 --> 01:04:29.039
other thing with things like anchovy is
we've shown genetically that in fact it's a

645
01:04:29.079 --> 01:04:32.880
local population that's going up and down. It's not a population from the Bay

646
01:04:32.880 --> 01:04:38.480
of Biscay or the southwest coming through
into the southern north Sea. But yeah,

647
01:04:38.480 --> 01:04:44.519
absolutely, the ecosystem keeps changing going
on. From TV's podcasts, one

648
01:04:44.559 --> 01:04:49.039
of the things that fascinated me was
I'm sure you'll make sense of it,

649
01:04:49.079 --> 01:04:56.360
but that survey when you're on.
Christiansen was in the North Sea. He

650
01:04:56.440 --> 01:05:01.599
was doing the kutchin haddock, which
as he clus called them like hering lick

651
01:05:02.360 --> 01:05:09.000
size of hearing that was small from
Anceland point of view, and he did

652
01:05:09.000 --> 01:05:13.840
an age taste on them and they
were between four and five year old,

653
01:05:14.599 --> 01:05:17.119
and he said, if that fish
was caught in Iceland it would have been

654
01:05:17.239 --> 01:05:25.679
two kilos. Lots of things are
changing in our system overall. A good

655
01:05:25.679 --> 01:05:32.159
one is seeing how the maturity of
whiting is declined. Let me get this

656
01:05:32.199 --> 01:05:36.519
the right way around. They are
becoming more mature, smaller, and so

657
01:05:36.679 --> 01:05:41.679
things like that are happening in our
system. Another one which I'm going to

658
01:05:41.719 --> 01:05:46.760
take you way away from Scotland is
in the Baltic. Baltic Sea cod is

659
01:05:46.800 --> 01:05:50.480
in real trouble because of the state
of the Baltic and we now have fish

660
01:05:51.159 --> 01:05:56.880
that are so small and so skinny
they're not fit for markets anymore. And

661
01:05:56.960 --> 01:06:01.400
yet they're probably two three, four
years old. And if this was twenty

662
01:06:01.480 --> 01:06:05.800
years ago they would be healthy,
big fish ready for market fulfility. But

663
01:06:05.920 --> 01:06:11.199
they're not anymore. And it's a
real concern that in some areas this is

664
01:06:11.239 --> 01:06:15.599
happening and it's only some species.
And for instance, Place is doing very

665
01:06:15.599 --> 01:06:20.119
well in the nausea and the size
of maturity. Isn't that changing? How

666
01:06:20.199 --> 01:06:26.960
on Earth can a fish that's so
skinny sustain spawn? How can that fish

667
01:06:27.000 --> 01:06:31.239
sustain young or is that the thread
that actually is one of the challenges.

668
01:06:31.320 --> 01:06:36.880
We do see that they are these
cod are also maturing younger and also giving

669
01:06:36.920 --> 01:06:41.079
off eggs, and there are new
year classes coming in. But your question

670
01:06:41.239 --> 01:06:45.800
is are they healthy year classes?
This is a self perpetuating things. We

671
01:06:45.880 --> 01:06:48.480
don't know what's happening in the Baltic. Well, we kind of know.

672
01:06:48.599 --> 01:06:55.199
There's a mixture of eutrophication, the
nutrients too high and the oxygen is running

673
01:06:55.199 --> 01:07:00.840
out. We have parasites in the
Baltic which are affecting the cod coming a

674
01:07:00.880 --> 01:07:03.599
lot from the seals. There's a
whole host of things which are impacting the

675
01:07:03.639 --> 01:07:09.360
size of the fish there. But
it's one of the most outrageous, outrageous

676
01:07:09.400 --> 01:07:18.320
the onward clear documented systems in decline
and it really and the hellcom the environmental

677
01:07:18.400 --> 01:07:24.719
organization there, the governmental organization has
just published a report on the poor state

678
01:07:24.920 --> 01:07:29.320
of the sea there and it has
really impacted the fishing industry. And if

679
01:07:29.360 --> 01:07:34.840
you speak to Polish or Latvian fishermen, they really are struggling. Mark I

680
01:07:35.199 --> 01:07:43.559
can think that Stad further. We
see that sometimes and it's really interesting.

681
01:07:44.199 --> 01:07:50.280
Good ask you can you explain it? Just certain smaller idiots rowned over shores

682
01:07:50.760 --> 01:07:58.639
were they'll catch fish. And the
way we put it, it'll be in

683
01:07:59.639 --> 01:08:05.119
just see this time a year October, anything between September October November, where

684
01:08:05.360 --> 01:08:10.360
we would be looking at our fate, our fish in absolute prebo condition,

685
01:08:11.360 --> 01:08:16.079
and we'll see some huddache and stuff
which you would almost swear was in it

686
01:08:16.239 --> 01:08:21.720
was March and April when they had
just spawned and the odor completely oda condition.

687
01:08:24.279 --> 01:08:30.279
What course is that, I don't
know, But we make these assumptions

688
01:08:30.359 --> 01:08:32.199
that they all spawn at the same
time, in the same place, in

689
01:08:32.279 --> 01:08:35.279
the same way. That may not
be the case. There might be these

690
01:08:35.319 --> 01:08:40.159
odd one or two I mean a
classic is in heering. We see this

691
01:08:40.640 --> 01:08:45.279
dynamic between spring spawning and autumn spawning, and this change is over decades and

692
01:08:46.039 --> 01:08:51.920
across all of the areas, there
is flexibility and change. But what why

693
01:08:53.399 --> 01:08:57.479
particular fish is in a bad state? Could be the environment, could be

694
01:08:57.600 --> 01:09:05.039
parasites, could be port feeding you
as a host of things. Well,

695
01:09:05.760 --> 01:09:10.640
i'd just like this on behalf of
the Seafood Matters podcast. I would just

696
01:09:10.800 --> 01:09:15.000
like to say I must have thank
you Mark. I really enjoyed, genuinely

697
01:09:15.159 --> 01:09:19.159
enjoyed speaking with you, and thank
you. Jim has been very great talking

698
01:09:19.199 --> 01:09:27.479
to you all and very similar,
funny enough to what I felt with Michael

699
01:09:27.680 --> 01:09:34.600
Kaiser and the previous podcast. Was
the resounding message I'm getting ringing in my

700
01:09:34.760 --> 01:09:44.399
ears, is that the importance and
industry and scientists speaking together, and it's

701
01:09:45.079 --> 01:09:48.600
that we're getting that message coming through
from all sides. Thank you very much.

702
01:09:49.680 --> 01:10:02.159
Yeah, it's crucial, crucial the
battle

