WEBVTT

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Nine five miles an hour, riding
too his head. He hopped down first

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with the lumpbonius face, and on
the very next pitch he up and stole

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second face with gretest speed. He
wasn't born, he had the bad Yes.

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Well, well, well it is
nice to be back in all your

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muddy ears. Welcome back to Prospect
B Sides. I'm your host, Nate

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Andy. Apologies for getting this show
all set up, getting in your ear

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last off season just to have the
season start, and for me too disappear.

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Life happens, things happened unforeseen,
and podcasting just wasn't in the cards

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for me. And to be honest, I thought maybe it was just done

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done. But then someone walked into
my life, someone who I thought,

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Hey, maybe we should fire this
thing back up. And it's early in

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our relationship, so I don't want
to ruin things. And I mean this

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in the most heterosexual of ways,
but he might be the one. He

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might be my b siding soulmate.
So introducing to you, well, what

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do you want to call yourself?
I'll just let you introduce yourself. Oh

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those are kind words, Nate.
I'm Matt here. Some of you might

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know me from some of the things
that I've written over the past year or

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so. Matt at bat twenty two
and I'm new I'm the rookie here,

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so we might be the sort of
the rookie in the vet. I don't

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know. We can workshop our b
side names here. But I'm a longtime

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baseball fanatic from as many of us
watching games as a kid, playing growing

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up. And I ended up having
the fortune to play in college against and

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with some pretty good players, and
my baseball career ended. But I kept

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playing fantasy baseball casually for quite a
long time. But circumstances and life circumstances

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changed recently, and this was a
hobby that I chose to just dive into.

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And you know they say about hobbies, you should have one to keep

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you fit, one to keep you
creative, and one to make your money.

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Well, fantasy baseball might be all
three of those for me, just

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with how much I've dived into it. And it's been a real fun return

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to the game in a different way
than I was used to, being able

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to write a little bit about it, get a little creative, and have

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long conversations with Nate about all of
our gritty under the radar super deep cut

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players, and I've been in a
couple of deep Dynasty leagues for the past

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couple of years and found Nate's old
podcasts and listen to I think everything that

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you did for the past couple of
years, just because you had written some

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stuff that really I was like,
Oh, he thinks about prospects and a

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way that a lot of other people
don't. And I just really dig your

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vibe. So the love goes both
ways, Nate, and I'm really happy

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to be joining you on B sides. Yeah, I've been looking forward to

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this for I don't know, several
weeks now, but thank you. Thank

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you for the kind words. And
you know, it's it's a bit iffy

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when you have this like little corner
niche podcast and then you like steal your

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one listener away to be on the
show. So we'll see, we'll see

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how this goes. You know.
It's one of these things where I want

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nothing but the success for you and
the pod and everything, but I also

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don't want any of my league mates
ever to hear this, and it's just

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gonna be like they're gonna know how
I'm thinking about it, and I got

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to let that competitiveness drop a little
bit, and that is a little bit

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of a thing. Lucky, luckily, in my case, most of my

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league mates know me and have known
me long enough to know that I'm like

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kind of dumb, and they're not
jumping all over the guys that I want

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all the time, so to speak. So yeah, this was an size.

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Yeah. Every once in a while
one of those one of those jackasses

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will steal one of my players and
it's a bummer. But whatever, it's

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all the long game, right,
you know, you hit on enough of

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these, there's plenty to go around. Yeah, well, that's interesting that

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you that you you mentioned that because
you know, as somebody who digs around,

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I primarily watch players that are free, so to speak. Spend a

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lot of hours and a lot of
fruitless hours watching pitchers and hitters that are

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available in my you know, thirty
team leagues, you know, those kinds

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of leagues. It very much matters
your format. I think a lot of

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what we do will work best in
leagues where you know, prospect pickups during

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the season is a thing. One
of those leagues of mine, thirty teen

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points League WGM. Little case study
here, and you know it's this isn't

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like Ooh, look at me,
I'm so smart and good. This is

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just the case study that I know
about because I was doing it. But

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started this league four years ago,
a little bit of a different league.

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You pay for four years at a
time, right, it stretched the five

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because of COVID whatever first year initial
draft. I kind of just went for

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it right out the gates, Right, let's see how how good I can

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do immediately. Didn't care too much
about years down the road. That first

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season, I think I think I
had the best regular season record in a

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shortened sixty game season, lost right
away in the playoffs. Next year starts

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off, and it just it wasn't
good. So kind of hit a reset

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button. But I didn't. I
don't condone. I don't believe in the

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total gotta get to be the worst
team in the league to get to be

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the best sort of thing. So
I started tracking. I've tracked every transaction

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I've made in this league, right, and so this year, fast forward

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a few years, I made the
playoffs again, I don't know, arguably

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second third best team in the National
League, and I lost right away in

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the playoffs. So again this isn't
like, ooh, look at me,

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I won championships because I'm there,
been there. Yeah, but uh,

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check out this team, Okay,
on the season it scored and eighteen points,

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right, I would say eleven hundred
of those points. A little bit

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more came from assets. I'd say
that I paid a premium on high draft

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pick an expensive vet that I traded
for whatever. Right, that's about twenty

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four percent of the points scored.
The other seventy five seventy five percent of

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the points thirty six hundred plus,
I would say all came from b siding.

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All came from free pickups, trading
those free pickups or very cheap pickups.

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And some of that gets a little
hairy, right you trade a that

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that and you throw some of these, you know, free prospects that you

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had that became more popular, and
so I had to kind of estimate.

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But I would say that my destination
was on the on the lower side,

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if you will. So that's I
don't know. To me, that just

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reinforced me that, yeah, you
know what, maybe this isn't a complete

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waste of time to dig into these
zero one, two three percent prospects and

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either hang on to them if you
like them, some of them. That

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was the case. Large majority were
used at the trade table for other more

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established assets I was into, So
I don't know, maybe we're onto something

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here. And I think that that
last point is one that really resonated with

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me, because, like you,
when I start a dynasty league, I

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am going for it, make no
bones about it. Give me all the

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old guys, give me all of
the established studs. In my last two

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dynasty startups over the past couple of
years, I think I went twenty five

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rounds before I took the first my
first minor leaguer, because I'm like,

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look, either I'm going for it
and this lead might not make it,

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or I'm going to pick up these
gritty b siders that will then turn into

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something. And sometimes that might be
a guy that ends up making your roster,

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but more often than that, it's
like, now that person has some

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helium, they're on a couple of
public lists, and you start floating that

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name, and it might be an
added throw in to get you an upgrade

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at a key position. And I've
similar to you. This longer running dynasty

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league that I've been in, I
went for it right away. Was a

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top two, top three team out
of thirty. The first couple of years.

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Was the number one team last year
in our third year, I think,

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and lost in the second round of
playoffs. You know, just roll

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of the dice. But I've got
a decent minor league system along with this

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pretty good, you know, veteran
focused roster, and these b sides are

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so much of what got into that
roster is like you hold a guy for

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six months and all of a sudden
he's starting to make some noise on a

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public list and you get interest from
the rebuilding teams or the teams that want

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to get a little younger, and
they're super useful. Yeah, I agree,

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And that's why, you know,
as being a commissioner of some large

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leagues, it's always tricky. You
know, I want this to last.

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I don't want turnover. I want
the long play. I mean, that's

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why I play dynasty is to get
guys careers, invest in their careers and

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not just right now. Is you
know, That's what NFBC and waiver wire

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leagues are for in my opinion.
So that's why I'll just like cringe sometimes

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when folks just want to move so
far back and sell everything for draft picks

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and highbrow prospects in leagues where you
have a giant pool of unwanted players or

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not room for them, so I
don't know. I prefer to dig around

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in that mud and try to try
to, you know, turn some into

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ten dollars. I think we have
a lot to get into here. But

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let's do a let's do a little
b side draft. Now, let's do

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it. Matt and I have been
spending a lot of time several weeks now,

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digging in the mud, getting dirty. I don't know what your demographic

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has been, but primarily the players
that I have been looking at are not

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created yet in fan tracks to I
don't know. I probably won't draft anyone

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here that's over three percent. I
think I only have one or two that

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are over zero percent, and it
gets a little tricky this time of year.

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Fan tracks roster rates are not I
don't know. I think they're all

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zero right now. But I did
probably mid September, just downloaded the whole

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just scrape the whole player pool,
and just so if I share any roster

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percentages, that's from mid September,
and if that changes a little bit,

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whatever, so be it. The
whole point is, Matt and I might

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have some some unknown names that we
want to talk about. So that's priority

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number one with all of this,
and I wanted to have a little bit

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of a competition. Let's see what
the rookie's got here. I kind of

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imagine that Matt might crush me in
the hitters. But if Matt's on a

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guy at this level a hitter,
I am definitely paying attention to it.

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I've seen enough from that that I
very much, very much trust that he

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knows a few things about hitting.
And so I want us, though,

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to draft in accordance to whose career
do you want a piece of the most

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part of the B siding two is
like kind of a game within the game,

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right, Hey, this guy,
you know, he had ten home

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runs this year, but he's got
a lot of power. What have you?

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I could see him hitting twenty five
home runs next year, thirty home

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runs next year at a higher level, and that's going to get some attention.

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Maybe that turns into a nice trade
piece, But really I'm not super

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into him. Like I've pretty much
made my thirty B side selection. At

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sixty B sides elections for the season, the large majority of them are not

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guys that I'm like that I want
to marry. But there are a few,

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so I want us to draft in
that accordance. But we will measure

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the success of this draft, and
I hope we'll hang on to this and

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look back several years down the road
as well. But in about a year

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from now, we'll see what the
roster of percentages are of these players,

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and we'll just kind of call the
year one winner whoever, whoever has gained

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the most percentage points from their little
I think we're going to try to do

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nine hitter nine hitter roster. Does
that work? Matt? Did? I

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did? I set that up?
Well? You nailed it. And I

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think for the listeners. For me, I came at a lot of these

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hitters with a specific format in mind, and I'll try and talk about that

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and say, you know, this
hitter might fit for your roto or your

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categories format. This might be a
points league guy, because I play in

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all sorts of different leagues. And
as Nate said at the outset, if

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you don't know your format in sided
out, this information is just useless to

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you. So you know that we'll
we'll try and highlight those things. I

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did pull the fan tracks roster percentages
about the same time as Nate, So

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when I reference it. It's probably
from about mid September before they did their

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update. And yeah, again,
I think I've got like two guys on

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my lists that are above two percent
and most of them are zero or one.

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So all right, right, hopefully
these are deep for you guys.

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Yeah. Yeah, that's the thing. Like I like when there's a few

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guys that will hit me up that
are playing like really deep leagues and like,

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hey, you got to listen names
for me or something, and you

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know a lot of times these will
be zero percent guys or close too,

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and they're like, yeah, well
seventy five percent of those guys are taken,

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but thanks for the guys who aren't. So when I'm kind of hitting

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those guys's level, that's when I
feel like, all right, I've blunked

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deep enough here. That's that's who
I want to try to get some nuggets

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out of too. Yeah. And
I also ran this list by the deepest

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leagues that I play in, and
if somebody is rostered in that league,

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I took them off my board with
with like I think two exceptions. So

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again, these are these are deep, and these are ones that I might

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be going after in my next year. This offseasons fypds. Nice. Yeah,

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and you had mentioned, you know, maybe doing a pod on some

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deep first year player draft guys and
you know, maybe we'll get into that.

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I think that's a great idea.
But I was like, hey,

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let's let's do this first, because
I think there's some crossover and I know

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on my short list here for this
draft, there's there's some first year player

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guys. So maybe we'll touch on
that a little bit here. But yeah,

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and Matt and I did not share
any notes. Is who he's been

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watching. I don't know my pitchure
list. I started with like fifteen hundred

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arms and I just slowly whittled my
way down. I didn't watch film of

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all of them. That's another thing
too for me and Matt. I don't

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know if you did this, but
for me, these are all guys who

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have played full season ball and there
was some video on Yeah, same same

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here. There there were a few
younger guys that I was really interested in,

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and maybe we'll take some time to
note those at another time. But

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yeah, these are all guys that
I got eyes on in one way or

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another. Okay, sweet nice?
Uh? Yeah, And I think maybe

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down the road here some future pods. I think we might just go division

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by division and get into some of
our other findings. But let's get into

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the draft. I get Mad the
choice, we're gonna do a picture draft

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as well, and a probably later
I gave him the choice, do you

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want to go first in the hitter
of picture draft? And he chose Picture,

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so on the board my number one
pick. This feels a little bit

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like cheating Matt. I'm not gonna
lie, but I want to get him

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because he's not really a traditional B
side in a sense. He was a

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second round draft pick in the twenty
twenty two draft, but he meets the

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parameters. He was at two percent
ownership, and that's Ryan Curmac, outfielder

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at Bay Rays. Nice one,
Nice one. Now they're his. I

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don't know. In my opinion,
his pro career just hasn't really gotten started

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yet. Like I said, drafted
last year out of Illinois State, and

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he didn't get started until what July
end of July this year. And you

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know, you look at the surface
numbers, there's nothing too crazy. There's

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nothing super alarming either, I don't
think. But what he got in one

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hundred and seventy five played appearances this
year, hit six home runs. I

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know that he was a somewhat popular
first year player draft guy, maybe like

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a deeper first year player, kind
of sleeper for some guys that I appreciate

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their opinion of. I don't know
what the injury was, though, Matt,

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do you know what his injury was
this year? I didn't really find

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it. I didn't find it.
I did note that he had missed some

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time, but no, I wasn't
sure what it was. But his production

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was final slash two sixty five,
three forty five, four fifty two eight

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seven ISO, stole eight bags.
Like I said, six home runs,

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strikeout percentage eighteen percent, walked ten
percent, whatever. But after he came

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back from injury in August to the
end of the season, he slashed three

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h five three seventy seven five sixteen. There aren't really any glaring red flags

240
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from what I can see. Splits
were fine, but you know, more

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or less, I think this is
just kind of a b side that's falling

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into our laps from owner's lack of
patients. More than anything, he has

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power. He's more of a pool
side hitter that is not always the type

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that I'm after, but the power
from college is fairly famous. He can

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play center field. The first game
that I put on of him right after

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I had read Ba's little draft rite
up on him talking about he's famous for

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his diving plays in center field or
whatever. But the first game of is

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that I picked on, I just
randomly clicked in a spot and it was

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him making a diving catch like two
minutes after I read nice. So that

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was kind of funny. You know, there's there's some case stuff there,

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but there's a lot of easy calm
in his swing. It's hard to not

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like that a guy dropping out of
folks lists and things. I don't even

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think he's on like top thirties anymore. But I think the group of folks

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that I had players that I have
just the overall skill set, defense,

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hit power. I think it's I
think it's my top choice. So Ryan

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Curmac raise, I like it.
I Cermac came up on my list and

257
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I watched some video of him as
well. He wasn't didn't make my top

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tier list, and I think it
was the k's at the level for me,

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you know, like he had some
good looks at Illinois State when he

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was there, but I thought the
K potential you know, he's twenty two,

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twenty three, turning twenty three,
I think, and he's still a

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low A and some of that's the
injury, but that was why I ended

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up bumping him down my list.
But I did like what I saw quiet

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right right, you know, right
throw, right swing, the kind of

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really polished college hitter that sometimes flies
under the radar, and that actually kind

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of takes me to my first pick. My pick here number two overall,

267
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who I feel shares a lot in
common with Sirmac. He's a right right

268
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mid major guy who's done nothing but
perform, but might not have a carrying

269
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tool. He might not quite be
most well renowned. But I'm gonna go

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with the Dodgers infield, we'll call
him because he plays all around but shortstop,

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third base, second base prospect Austin
Gotthier. That's Gothier who I'm going.

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So he made it up to double
A this year. He's on a

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little bit the older side for you
know, sort of traditional prospect towns,

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and he hasn't dominated. I'd say, you know, he had a really

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great stretch earlier this year and at
HIA and I think he ran a one

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WRC plus on the back of just
an absolute crap ton of line drives,

277
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hit some homers, stole a couple
of bags. He's I mean, he's

278
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got a good eye. He has
one of the best strikeout to walk ratios

279
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in the miners. And it's not
because he's being super aggressive about it.

280
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He's being selective. He doesn't have
a high swinging strike rate, and he's

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just one of those guys that kind
of does everything pretty well, and because

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of that he gets overlooked a little
bit. This is a profile that I

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really like, and you know this, He's might be a role player for

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the Dodgers down the line. I
could see Gothier slotting in at third,

285
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at second. He's probably not a
short stop in my looks. It's harder

286
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to get a gauge on the defense
side of things, but I don't think

287
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he's gonna stick it short. But
especially with the way the Dodgers play,

288
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I think he could play some second
base. I think he could play some

289
00:20:45.799 --> 00:20:49.720
third base, you know, kind
of a Miguel Vargas light who he's just

290
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done nothing but perform. Might slot
around at some different positions. They might

291
00:20:55.200 --> 00:20:57.119
try him in left field, kind
of like Chris Taylor esque, you know,

292
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he might be a utility guy,
but there's something about the combination of

293
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he doesn't strike out very much,
he has some power, and he really

294
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knows how to hit. You know, he makes good swing decisions, he

295
00:21:10.359 --> 00:21:15.160
doesn't swing through. I saw him
hit really difficult sliders down in a way

296
00:21:15.240 --> 00:21:18.680
and just stay on them and go
the other way into the gap. I

297
00:21:18.720 --> 00:21:23.000
saw him hit mistake pitches and put
him out, and I saw him battle

298
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for walks. One of the notes
that I had in my as I was

299
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kind of really trying to chop up
the list of real fine. One reason

300
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why I decided to go gothier first
was seeing him. I think it was

301
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against I can't remember what picture was. It was one of the really good

302
00:21:40.920 --> 00:21:45.000
like top Hunter, like Job or
somebody, and he went down oh two

303
00:21:45.680 --> 00:21:49.240
on like a fastball, take first
pitch, slider, swinging miss second pitch,

304
00:21:49.920 --> 00:21:56.799
and then he spat on a slider
just off the plate that most guys

305
00:21:56.839 --> 00:22:00.160
swing at, and he took it, worked account back to three. You

306
00:22:00.200 --> 00:22:02.759
too, ended up taking a walk
out of it, and I was just

307
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like, that is such a professional
at bat. You can't really fake that,

308
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and that kind of skill and just
sort of competence across the board.

309
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I think is one that he's He's
worth a he's worth a look in your

310
00:22:14.960 --> 00:22:17.920
in your drafts. I think this
is a big league regular. He might

311
00:22:18.160 --> 00:22:19.759
take a couple of years to get
there, but this is someone who I

312
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think is going to play in the
big leagues. And I'm also kind of

313
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gaming our game here because he was
at two percent when I looked. I

314
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think that the Dodgers are going to
give him a shot soon, and as

315
00:22:30.799 --> 00:22:36.680
soon as he makes the the league, I think his roster ownership is going

316
00:22:36.759 --> 00:22:40.039
to go up. I love it. I love it. He was definitely

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on my short list of Dodgers.
I like that pick all right too,

318
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I'm gonna go with I'm excited about
this guy. I'm gonna go with Trevor

319
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Werner, third basement from Texas A
and M drafted by the Royals in the

320
00:22:51.839 --> 00:22:55.720
seventh round of this last I love
it. That's a great pick. Yeah,

321
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I was debate. I wasn't sure
if you were going to be on

322
00:22:57.039 --> 00:23:02.000
him or not. So I want
to get him early here, so you

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know, drafted this year, you
get a small sample size. He got

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00:23:04.480 --> 00:23:07.759
in one hundred and fifty one played
appearances, few and rookie ball, but

325
00:23:07.799 --> 00:23:15.559
mostly Columbia single a hit nine home
runs, ten stole mass with a super

326
00:23:15.599 --> 00:23:19.119
gaudy three fifty two four fifty seven
oh three slash. Now, he did

327
00:23:19.160 --> 00:23:22.720
strike out like twenty five percent of
the time, but he had a fifteen

328
00:23:22.759 --> 00:23:30.559
percent walk rate five sixteen wOBA,
two oh seven WRC WRC plus a three

329
00:23:30.720 --> 00:23:34.680
fifty two ISO. I mean,
so all that's you know, that's just

330
00:23:36.160 --> 00:23:38.119
video game type stuff. But uh, and he hit the ball on the

331
00:23:38.160 --> 00:23:41.440
ground. Uh, you know,
probably at a higher percentage. But he's

332
00:23:41.480 --> 00:23:45.559
got a nineteen percent line drive rate. But more than all of that number

333
00:23:45.559 --> 00:23:51.920
weighing stuff was just a video he
was a hitting He was just hitting everything

334
00:23:51.960 --> 00:23:55.440
hard. It seemed like every game
that I would put on lots of hard

335
00:23:55.480 --> 00:23:59.599
line drives. And and he's the
type of guy I think you would call

336
00:23:59.680 --> 00:24:03.200
him a lot drive hitter. But
he hits some hard enough that they just

337
00:24:03.359 --> 00:24:07.240
happen to go out. And that
is the kind of home run hitter that

338
00:24:07.079 --> 00:24:11.359
I that I like that I'm drawing
to. Now help me out with this,

339
00:24:11.440 --> 00:24:14.559
Matt, you can articulate this better
than I. But he's a guy

340
00:24:14.599 --> 00:24:18.480
who swing the trunk, the base, the body, seems to stay the

341
00:24:18.519 --> 00:24:23.319
same regardless of the location of the
ball and where the bat's going. Looks

342
00:24:23.359 --> 00:24:27.480
like you can get the bat on
multiple locations and depths while just having the

343
00:24:27.519 --> 00:24:33.559
same start to his swings, especially
north south. Now I don't know if

344
00:24:33.559 --> 00:24:36.279
I'm just you know, talking about
things that I don't know, but I've

345
00:24:36.319 --> 00:24:42.839
heard people talk about hitter swings like
this before, particularly Wander Franco. But

346
00:24:42.960 --> 00:24:48.519
he just there's he just looked.
There's a different look to him the most

347
00:24:48.559 --> 00:24:52.720
guys. The balance, the balance
is fantastic, and you know it's hard.

348
00:24:52.920 --> 00:24:56.880
We're looking, we're getting looks from
center field. But from what I

349
00:24:56.200 --> 00:25:00.720
what I can gather, perhaps he
doesn't have the quickest swing in the world,

350
00:25:02.200 --> 00:25:04.720
doesn't seem to like have this off
the charts like sort of energy transfer

351
00:25:04.759 --> 00:25:08.079
from the lower half that you might
see, but he's getting good wood on

352
00:25:08.119 --> 00:25:12.839
all sorts of locations and depths you
hit him out the other way. He

353
00:25:12.920 --> 00:25:18.960
produced an equally impressive level versus both
right e's and lefties. I didn't watch

354
00:25:18.000 --> 00:25:22.000
them on defense. I just didn't
have time for that. But I dare

355
00:25:22.039 --> 00:25:26.799
say, if you didn't know any
of the higher first round picks, college

356
00:25:26.799 --> 00:25:30.240
guys from this season and you watch
them all side by side, I bet

357
00:25:30.279 --> 00:25:34.119
you you wouldn't pick Werner out as
the seventh rounder amongst those guys. At

358
00:25:34.200 --> 00:25:37.720
least I don't think I would.
But my bet is that there's you know,

359
00:25:37.720 --> 00:25:41.319
you got an SEC guy that's in
a ball. But I'm betting that's

360
00:25:41.519 --> 00:25:48.119
it's more than just a guy beating
up on perhaps lower competition. I mean,

361
00:25:48.119 --> 00:25:51.640
not all SEC guys come in and
do what he just did. And

362
00:25:51.720 --> 00:25:55.039
the tier prospect that we're that we're
on, I like my chances that he

363
00:25:55.079 --> 00:26:00.359
asserts himself as a legit offensive prospect
in their system with the combo hit at

364
00:26:02.039 --> 00:26:06.319
the park and as a first year
player got I'm anxious to see when I

365
00:26:06.319 --> 00:26:08.079
feel like I might have to grab
him some of my dress because I'm definitely

366
00:26:08.160 --> 00:26:12.160
going to try. Uh, there's
definitely some bigger names that I would pass

367
00:26:12.200 --> 00:26:17.240
on for Werner in first year players
and uh, you know, we've seen

368
00:26:17.359 --> 00:26:22.200
some seventh rounders from a Texas college
win MVPs before. Do you know who

369
00:26:22.240 --> 00:26:30.000
that might be? At seventh rounder
Texas College, I'm blanking gold Schmidt,

370
00:26:30.200 --> 00:26:33.519
Goldie. Yeah, that's a state. I'm pretty sure he's a seventh rounder

371
00:26:33.799 --> 00:26:37.640
yeah, I don't know, later
than that, but you might be right.

372
00:26:37.920 --> 00:26:41.039
What's that? I thought he was
later than the but you might be

373
00:26:41.160 --> 00:26:45.920
right. I think maybe it was. But just two quick sense on on

374
00:26:45.039 --> 00:26:49.200
Werner, he was right near the
top of my list. I kind of

375
00:26:49.200 --> 00:26:53.880
pulled him out from my serious consideration
just because he's an FYPD guy and I

376
00:26:53.880 --> 00:26:59.039
think we might talk more in depth
about them. But I actually saw him

377
00:26:59.119 --> 00:27:04.720
in college and was really impressed with
the approach and and my notes on him

378
00:27:04.759 --> 00:27:08.279
are like, this guy is gonna
mash, He's gonna hit tanks, and

379
00:27:08.319 --> 00:27:12.440
I've got a couple of leagues that
are very power focused points leagues, and

380
00:27:12.720 --> 00:27:17.440
I'm hoping to snag him this offseason. Sweet, And I think I think

381
00:27:17.480 --> 00:27:22.480
it was safe to call him a
B side. I imagine his roster percentage

382
00:27:22.480 --> 00:27:26.200
isn't gonna get super high being that
late of a pick. Nope, Yeah,

383
00:27:26.279 --> 00:27:29.559
all right, you're on the clock, Bud. What do you got?

384
00:27:29.599 --> 00:27:30.240
I don't know the way I'm looking
at it. I think I'm I

385
00:27:30.279 --> 00:27:33.799
think I'm winning so far, but
we'll see. You might you might be,

386
00:27:34.319 --> 00:27:37.799
you might be. But I think
the second pick is gonna kinda tip

387
00:27:37.839 --> 00:27:41.119
things back in my favor. All
right, this is the guy I'm gonna

388
00:27:41.119 --> 00:27:47.119
go the This is the highest percentage
I'll go he's When I checked, he

389
00:27:47.240 --> 00:27:52.119
was at four percent fan tracks ownership, so a little bit higher than most

390
00:27:52.160 --> 00:27:53.799
of the guys that we're going to
talk about. He's one that might get

391
00:27:55.000 --> 00:27:57.640
scooped up. I have seen him
ranked, you know, pretty far down

392
00:27:57.759 --> 00:28:00.920
prospectiks. But I've seen him ranked
in a couple of spots. But I'm

393
00:28:00.920 --> 00:28:08.640
gonna snag Troy Johnston. Troy Johnson
is a corner guy. He's played all

394
00:28:08.680 --> 00:28:12.240
around the outfield, left field,
right field, but mostly has been a

395
00:28:12.240 --> 00:28:17.599
first baseman of late. He's out
a Gonzaga, so you know, I

396
00:28:17.680 --> 00:28:22.200
never played against him. We missed
each other by a good decade or two.

397
00:28:22.400 --> 00:28:26.400
But he's from my neck of the
woods, so a little bit of

398
00:28:26.440 --> 00:28:30.759
love for the Tacoma boy. I
think he's from Tacoma, not far from

399
00:28:30.759 --> 00:28:33.000
where I went to high school.
He's a classic late bloomer for me.

400
00:28:33.440 --> 00:28:38.920
I think he wasn't that good in
college, like nothing earth shattering. I

401
00:28:38.920 --> 00:28:41.759
think that the pitching in the West
Coast Conference is a little bit better,

402
00:28:42.200 --> 00:28:48.400
little bit more ahead of the hitting. But he has really come around and

403
00:28:48.440 --> 00:28:52.920
I think is the kind of He's
got some power. It's not elite,

404
00:28:53.000 --> 00:28:57.279
but he gets to a lot of
it because he pulls his flyballs. He's

405
00:28:57.319 --> 00:29:02.960
got a really solid lefty stroke.
I mean, you see him hit and

406
00:29:03.000 --> 00:29:07.319
he's on balance for balls away.
He can hit the down and in breakers

407
00:29:07.319 --> 00:29:12.240
that try and kind of cut underneath
the leftist bat. He stays on the

408
00:29:12.279 --> 00:29:15.559
ball. It's kind of tough to
strike out now. Again, he's improved

409
00:29:15.680 --> 00:29:25.559
his contact rates throughout his career and
I think he could be in the big

410
00:29:25.599 --> 00:29:29.400
leagues right now and perform. You
know, he doesn't have the exit velos

411
00:29:29.480 --> 00:29:33.599
of Josh Bell, but his swing
decisions might be better. I think he

412
00:29:33.680 --> 00:29:37.720
hits the ball in the air more
often. He's athletic. He's swiped a

413
00:29:37.720 --> 00:29:41.440
bunch of bags this year. I
think he's just this kind of guy who

414
00:29:41.839 --> 00:29:48.599
matured and developed into a really solid
all round player with someone that will provide

415
00:29:48.640 --> 00:29:52.640
you kind of across the board production
if he makes it up, whether you're

416
00:29:52.640 --> 00:29:56.960
talking about a roto league or a
points league, this is just a super

417
00:29:57.000 --> 00:30:00.640
safe bat. I think a lot
like my first selection, just you know,

418
00:30:00.839 --> 00:30:04.960
there's a lot to like here.
If one part of the profile doesn't

419
00:30:06.000 --> 00:30:08.160
work out, like if his power
ticks down, I still think he's gonna

420
00:30:08.200 --> 00:30:12.680
be speedy. I still think he's
gonna get hits. If the ks tick

421
00:30:12.759 --> 00:30:15.880
up, I mean, he's gonna
have enough power to play. I just

422
00:30:15.920 --> 00:30:21.359
think this is a guy who belongs
in the big leagues. And with the

423
00:30:21.440 --> 00:30:26.440
Marlins, their corner spots really aren't
solved. They've got Josh Bell, I

424
00:30:26.480 --> 00:30:32.519
think on I think they have an
option on him next year, so maybe

425
00:30:32.519 --> 00:30:36.039
they'll have a new spot for a
first baseman and they give him some run.

426
00:30:36.119 --> 00:30:38.279
But either way, he's close to
the big leagues. He's pretty low

427
00:30:38.319 --> 00:30:41.920
ownership for the level of production that
he's put out. I'm a fan.

428
00:30:42.880 --> 00:30:48.160
I love this pick, Matt.
This is fantastic. I wasn't sure.

429
00:30:48.880 --> 00:30:52.759
He kind of came on to my
map a little bit later in the process,

430
00:30:52.759 --> 00:30:56.319
and I didn't have his roster percentages, so I kind of stuck him

431
00:30:56.359 --> 00:31:00.480
on the bottom of my list here. But I love that you took him.

432
00:31:00.799 --> 00:31:03.759
He's had three pro seasons, right, he was drafted in nineteen and

433
00:31:03.799 --> 00:31:07.079
then there was covid Uh and I
think this was definitely his breakout year.

434
00:31:07.319 --> 00:31:10.720
So people are gonna look at him
and say oh, twenty six. But

435
00:31:10.759 --> 00:31:15.440
I mean, but three three minor
league seasons and he should be I imagine

436
00:31:15.440 --> 00:31:18.559
he's getting added to the forty man, right, I would think so.

437
00:31:18.640 --> 00:31:22.160
I mean, he's Rule five eligible
this year. So again, I was

438
00:31:22.200 --> 00:31:26.359
gonna mention that if they don't add
him to the forty man, he's got

439
00:31:26.359 --> 00:31:29.839
to be near the top of Rule
five lefts like I would think, guy,

440
00:31:30.440 --> 00:31:33.759
yeah, I would think somebody,
Yeah, I think, I think.

441
00:31:33.880 --> 00:31:37.680
I think so. Uh. And
it's just like the production didn't dip

442
00:31:37.839 --> 00:31:42.920
at all at Triple A and it's
not. So. He started off Triple

443
00:31:42.960 --> 00:31:47.440
A on a sixteen game hitting streak
where where he hit over four hundred and

444
00:31:47.440 --> 00:31:51.920
slugged over seven hundred. That was
his first taste in Triple A. Yeah,

445
00:31:51.920 --> 00:31:56.519
and he's not a one thirty three
WRC plus guy, like he wrote

446
00:31:56.559 --> 00:32:00.559
a higher babbit to get that,
you know, but there's still he's a

447
00:32:00.640 --> 00:32:04.240
smart base runner. Like I watched
a couple of his games where he was

448
00:32:04.279 --> 00:32:07.799
swiping bags and he was taking him
either without a throw or was way ahead

449
00:32:07.839 --> 00:32:10.200
of the throw. And he's got
good speed, but it's not great,

450
00:32:10.480 --> 00:32:15.839
but he's he's a smart player.
Yeah, I'm I'm, I'm into it.

451
00:32:15.200 --> 00:32:17.640
I think the I think the biggest
hang up with him is going to

452
00:32:17.799 --> 00:32:21.720
just be a positioned right. I
think he only played first base in DH

453
00:32:21.799 --> 00:32:23.880
this year. He's just kind of
even like an odd he's just kind of

454
00:32:23.920 --> 00:32:30.119
an odd odd fit kind of all
the way around. But I don't think

455
00:32:30.160 --> 00:32:35.000
there's any doubt that he can swing
a bat. I like it. I

456
00:32:35.079 --> 00:32:37.519
like it all right back to you. Now, this is tough. This

457
00:32:37.559 --> 00:32:39.640
is where it gets a little a
little blurrier for me. But uh,

458
00:32:39.960 --> 00:32:44.440
I think we're gonna dip into the
first year player pool again. I'm gonna

459
00:32:44.480 --> 00:32:47.720
go with Ethan O'Donnell, centerfielder,
Red System first year player. Like I

460
00:32:47.759 --> 00:32:51.200
said, twenty two year old.
He was a six round draft pick out

461
00:32:51.240 --> 00:32:54.119
of Virginia. He transferred from Northwestern
and then showed out last year and then

462
00:32:54.400 --> 00:32:58.119
he I don't know if I don't
know if Jeff talked about him, but

463
00:32:58.119 --> 00:33:01.160
I think he had a pretty good
cape then as well. But potential power

464
00:33:01.200 --> 00:33:06.160
speed combo here that could get Dynasty
appealing. Seems to be a true center

465
00:33:06.160 --> 00:33:09.920
field prospect. We're talking the very
small sample size of what I was able

466
00:33:09.960 --> 00:33:15.480
to watch. There was only one
hundred and eleven plate appearances, and then

467
00:33:15.519 --> 00:33:20.880
there was a Glean's forty seven played
appearances tracked to be a backdoor savant.

468
00:33:21.079 --> 00:33:23.480
Stuff showed an average gv of ninety
two a max of one oh four.

469
00:33:23.839 --> 00:33:28.839
He slash three twenty six four to
twenty three five thirty seven with four um

470
00:33:28.920 --> 00:33:32.400
runs and four bags in that span. Strikeouts were twenty one percent eleven percent

471
00:33:32.480 --> 00:33:37.880
walk iso over too, another guy
who just was lacing a lot of line

472
00:33:37.920 --> 00:33:42.319
drives. His line drive percentage was
like thirty percent according to fangrafts. I

473
00:33:42.440 --> 00:33:46.680
like that hits the ball to all
fields. I think his batter ball splits

474
00:33:46.680 --> 00:33:51.680
were like thirty eight thirty two,
thirty one percent a left You didn't do

475
00:33:51.759 --> 00:33:54.240
nearly as much damage versus lefties.
But we're only talking there was only like

476
00:33:54.319 --> 00:33:59.599
thirteen played appearances versus lefties. But
I wonder about his splits. Moving forward,

477
00:34:00.079 --> 00:34:04.160
we're talking to minischool five game archive
of video that I was able to

478
00:34:04.160 --> 00:34:08.079
watch when he played at Saint Lucie
his last series of the season. He

479
00:34:08.159 --> 00:34:12.360
hit two hole there. I watch
all those and he sure looked like a

480
00:34:12.400 --> 00:34:16.480
guy a level above the competition,
very controlled at the plate, hit a

481
00:34:16.480 --> 00:34:21.559
ball one hundred plus when he was
choked up with two strikes inside, outed

482
00:34:21.599 --> 00:34:27.039
some hardline drives, pulled some dismissiles, two strike stuff. He was very

483
00:34:27.079 --> 00:34:31.159
comfortable, didn't chase velo spin off
speed didn't seem to phase him at all.

484
00:34:31.920 --> 00:34:35.199
You get a week of a hitter
doing what he wanted to with the

485
00:34:35.239 --> 00:34:37.320
baseball at a very high clip.
There's this little theory out there too,

486
00:34:37.360 --> 00:34:42.360
that the Cavaliers make better pros than
amateurs. We'll see if that narrative pops

487
00:34:42.440 --> 00:34:45.639
up here. But there wasn't anything
I saw that made me dislike with Donald

488
00:34:45.639 --> 00:34:51.800
at the plate. Seemed very technically
quite sound, and I love all fields

489
00:34:51.880 --> 00:34:54.039
guys who can hit the ball hard
like that. So I'll take a gamble

490
00:34:54.079 --> 00:34:58.880
on with Donald here. Interesting,
this is the first one that we've talked

491
00:34:58.880 --> 00:35:02.199
about that I I wasn't on at
all. So you went, you went

492
00:35:02.239 --> 00:35:06.760
deep with this one. I love
it. Yeah, we'll see, Oh

493
00:35:06.920 --> 00:35:13.880
right, my turn, let's go. Oh yeah, all right. I'm

494
00:35:14.000 --> 00:35:17.119
I'm a Braves fan. I think
you you know, Braves and Mariners are

495
00:35:17.159 --> 00:35:22.079
my team's okay, South. I
didn't know that about the Braves Mariners,

496
00:35:22.159 --> 00:35:24.760
Okay, yeah, I was.
I was born in the South and so

497
00:35:24.920 --> 00:35:30.239
all growing up was my they were
my boys, and obviously the nineties two

498
00:35:30.280 --> 00:35:32.360
thousands Braves were an easy team to
love. You know, I was in

499
00:35:32.400 --> 00:35:37.360
the backyard always pretending to be Greg
Maddox or Tom Glavin or Chipper. You

500
00:35:37.360 --> 00:35:42.320
know. It was good times,
good times for him. So I keep

501
00:35:42.360 --> 00:35:45.400
that deep abiding love for the Braves
and then moving out to the Northwest later

502
00:35:45.440 --> 00:35:49.480
on in life picked up the Mariners. Was my al team. I'm decked

503
00:35:49.480 --> 00:35:52.360
out in Mariners gear right now,
ri ip both of their seasons. But

504
00:35:52.440 --> 00:35:55.960
that's now the hearing or there.
But I'm gonna go go to my Braves

505
00:35:57.079 --> 00:36:04.039
roots here and I'm I'm taking Drake
bald Win again. Like maybe a little

506
00:36:05.199 --> 00:36:08.159
cheating on this one, because I
think he's on the BA top fifteen or

507
00:36:08.199 --> 00:36:13.159
something. I think he might be. He's on their lists and like they've

508
00:36:13.159 --> 00:36:19.079
been going, I have not seen
anybody else talk about Drake Baldwin. And

509
00:36:19.159 --> 00:36:22.800
as I was going through and finding
guys, he jumped off the page.

510
00:36:22.840 --> 00:36:27.239
To me, a lot of this
is like I start from, you know,

511
00:36:27.320 --> 00:36:30.559
some of the statistical markers, like
who's who's hitting well, who's got

512
00:36:30.559 --> 00:36:37.320
some power he's got that he's you
know, slugged above four hundred at every

513
00:36:37.360 --> 00:36:42.119
stop except for three ninety six at
double A for fourteen games near the end

514
00:36:42.119 --> 00:36:45.119
of this year. He walks a
ton, you know, above ten percent

515
00:36:45.159 --> 00:36:50.159
at every level. Seems like a
good receiver because I watched a bunch of

516
00:36:50.199 --> 00:36:55.000
Braves pitchers too, and I thought
that he really was smooth back there.

517
00:36:55.440 --> 00:37:01.320
He's a lefty catcher. He really
He's one of those guys that got has

518
00:37:01.360 --> 00:37:05.719
been overshadowed, I think in the
Brave system because they've been so pitcher heavy

519
00:37:05.719 --> 00:37:09.119
and so many of them have hit
recently, and the Brave system is sort

520
00:37:09.119 --> 00:37:13.760
of down. You know, you
got Grissom, you got Nacho as some

521
00:37:13.960 --> 00:37:20.000
you know, lighter hitting but pretty
good professional hitters. And I think Drake

522
00:37:20.039 --> 00:37:22.760
Baldwin belongs in that conversation. I
mean, he's I think going to catch

523
00:37:22.800 --> 00:37:27.320
like I don't think he's moving off
the position. He was kind of a

524
00:37:27.320 --> 00:37:31.239
pop up guy at Missouri State.
He wasn't anything his first two years and

525
00:37:31.280 --> 00:37:37.599
then had an incredible junior year hit
nineteen homers. This was in twenty twenty

526
00:37:37.679 --> 00:37:40.159
two. Walked as much as he
struck out, I mean, just laid

527
00:37:40.159 --> 00:37:45.960
waste to the Missouri Valley Conference and
Baldwin, I think has just not missed

528
00:37:45.960 --> 00:37:49.679
a step in Pro Bowl. You
know, didn't play a lot last year,

529
00:37:50.239 --> 00:37:52.079
just obviously on the back of a
long season and being a catcher,

530
00:37:52.400 --> 00:37:55.960
giving him some rest. But he
went from high all the way up to

531
00:37:57.000 --> 00:38:01.280
Triple A this year and hit at
every stop. He did not look overmatched,

532
00:38:01.440 --> 00:38:05.639
even in his short four game sample
at the end of the year.

533
00:38:05.679 --> 00:38:07.360
I think he's going to go back
to Triple A. Maybe they stick him

534
00:38:07.360 --> 00:38:13.199
at Mississippi for a little bit,
but I think in Triple A for the

535
00:38:13.199 --> 00:38:16.559
Braves all of next year, and
looking at the Braves roster, yeah,

536
00:38:16.559 --> 00:38:21.440
they got Murphy there for a while, and catchers as a as a dynasty

537
00:38:21.559 --> 00:38:24.400
asset, like, yeah, they're
risky and they'll pop up and the playing

538
00:38:24.480 --> 00:38:28.800
time is often tough. But I
think this guy has it, Like I

539
00:38:28.840 --> 00:38:32.840
think he's a real, real good
hitter. And that's my pick. Drake

540
00:38:32.880 --> 00:38:37.400
Baldwin, big big fan of what
he's what he's done so far. I

541
00:38:37.480 --> 00:38:42.480
love it. I love it.
He's Wisconsin boy. It's from Madison's right.

542
00:38:42.639 --> 00:38:46.199
Yeah. I cut up a little
you know, like hype piece video

543
00:38:46.320 --> 00:38:53.719
of my thirty B side bat selections
and mister Baldwin starts that off nice with

544
00:38:53.800 --> 00:38:58.159
a monster shot that he hit.
I think it was a walk off hit,

545
00:38:58.199 --> 00:39:00.360
this monster walkoff in triple at the
end of Oh I think I saw

546
00:39:00.360 --> 00:39:04.199
that one. Yeah, yeah,
yeah, yeah, So I love it.

547
00:39:04.320 --> 00:39:08.760
That's yeah, I'm in, I'm
in, all right? So what

548
00:39:08.960 --> 00:39:13.679
is this the fourth round? Now? Is that right? Yep? All

549
00:39:13.760 --> 00:39:16.599
right? This is gonna be I've
written about this guy and thoughts about him

550
00:39:16.719 --> 00:39:20.760
enough, but I think I gotta
I think I gotta go with Wilfredo Laura.

551
00:39:20.800 --> 00:39:23.760
Here he was sitting at only one
percent still and this is a Maddy

552
00:39:23.840 --> 00:39:28.239
Backpack special. He hit me up
about Laura. I think he was like

553
00:39:28.280 --> 00:39:32.519
two games into his season at Saint
Lucy, but uh he was just like,

554
00:39:32.559 --> 00:39:35.440
hey, I think this might be
a dude, and I'm like,

555
00:39:35.519 --> 00:39:38.159
yeah, I think he might be. So he came in a month late

556
00:39:38.239 --> 00:39:43.079
in the season and what I think
he ended up like top five or six

557
00:39:43.719 --> 00:39:46.000
and home runs. I watched a
lot of him. Actually, he was

558
00:39:46.079 --> 00:39:49.719
kind of a guy that in season
I was just kind of following and I'm

559
00:39:49.719 --> 00:39:53.840
not like totally in love with everything, but a guy who I think packs

560
00:39:54.039 --> 00:39:58.760
a pretty good punch, especially for
his size. I think he's he doesn't

561
00:39:58.760 --> 00:40:01.159
sell himself short, but he but
he also I think has a fairly decent

562
00:40:01.440 --> 00:40:06.079
approach. Like I don't think he's
out of control. Interestingly, too,

563
00:40:06.119 --> 00:40:08.039
I didn't. I didn't really realize
this, but he actually he's a righty

564
00:40:08.079 --> 00:40:13.880
who hit righties better than the lefties. Slightly, but he had. He

565
00:40:13.880 --> 00:40:16.679
had fourteen home runs and four hundred
and nine played appearances in that league.

566
00:40:16.800 --> 00:40:21.000
Is nothing too, Uh, I
don't know. I feel like that's a

567
00:40:21.039 --> 00:40:24.159
pretty decent accomplishment. I see some
especially now, when we get some of

568
00:40:24.159 --> 00:40:29.400
the evs on balls in that league
and match it up to some video and

569
00:40:29.840 --> 00:40:34.400
see these guys just lay stuff like
well over one hundred and it hits the

570
00:40:34.440 --> 00:40:37.159
warning track. You know, it's
not an easy place to hit home runs.

571
00:40:37.360 --> 00:40:39.119
But I don't know. Like I
said, I've written about him,

572
00:40:39.159 --> 00:40:43.400
I won't get too much into him. He was at one percent position I'm

573
00:40:43.400 --> 00:40:46.480
not totally sure about. Played.
I think mostly corner outfield, played some

574
00:40:46.599 --> 00:40:50.599
third base, he played some center
field, he played some middle infield.

575
00:40:51.119 --> 00:40:53.119
I don't know if that's a good
sign or a bad sign. I didn't

576
00:40:53.119 --> 00:40:57.119
watch a ton of defense, but
uh, yeah, I'll take Laura here

577
00:40:57.159 --> 00:41:01.360
and this ba. I think the
robos out guys like dropped a little piece

578
00:41:01.400 --> 00:41:06.400
on him, I think recently,
so I think I think increasing from one

579
00:41:06.440 --> 00:41:09.840
percent is definitely on the table this
upcoming season. Yeah, I think that's

580
00:41:10.039 --> 00:41:14.199
a great pick. Nate, he
was on my short list. I think

581
00:41:14.199 --> 00:41:17.719
he was probably going to be my
Mets beside pick. When we went and

582
00:41:17.920 --> 00:41:20.800
did it. You know, I
got another one that I liked too.

583
00:41:20.840 --> 00:41:23.039
But I think that's a great pick. I agree with you. This guy

584
00:41:23.239 --> 00:41:30.639
hits the ball consistently hard. I
think the evs are are not quite elite,

585
00:41:30.760 --> 00:41:35.840
but he's still nineteen and I think
he's just got enough of a plus

586
00:41:36.000 --> 00:41:38.559
played approach. He's fast, athletic. I think that's a great pick.

587
00:41:38.639 --> 00:41:43.679
Yeah, yeah, yeah, I'm
definitely curious to see how I think he's

588
00:41:43.719 --> 00:41:46.039
one of the guys you know when
you just think about, you know,

589
00:41:46.039 --> 00:41:50.760
how folks like stay ceiling like.
I think there's some of that there.

590
00:41:50.920 --> 00:41:54.599
I like it. Who am I
going to pick? All right, I'm

591
00:41:54.599 --> 00:41:59.119
going this guy's pretty deep. This
is a deep cut and a little a

592
00:41:59.119 --> 00:42:04.239
little bit of a departure from I'm
in between two guys, but I'm gonna

593
00:42:04.280 --> 00:42:07.800
go with this one. All right, we're gonna go with Joiner Fajardo.

594
00:42:07.960 --> 00:42:10.039
I think is how you say it, Twins, right, yeah, Twins,

595
00:42:10.199 --> 00:42:16.239
Yeah, yeah, Twins, Double
A. He's Rule five eligible this

596
00:42:16.360 --> 00:42:21.199
year, and I think that's why
he was in Double A. Is they

597
00:42:21.400 --> 00:42:25.079
wanted to give him a run and
have other orgs take a look at him

598
00:42:25.119 --> 00:42:30.760
and themselves to h to look at
him. I think he was a minor

599
00:42:30.840 --> 00:42:37.880
league free agent the last offseason.
I think they I'm trying to look it

600
00:42:37.920 --> 00:42:40.360
up right now. He was in
another organ and they let him go and

601
00:42:40.440 --> 00:42:44.199
the Twins picked him up. Yeah, Pittsburgh. He was in pitt for

602
00:42:44.639 --> 00:42:50.360
up until last year, and then
Minnesota scooped him, and I kind of

603
00:42:50.400 --> 00:42:53.559
think they they kind of let him
loose. It looks like I think he

604
00:42:53.639 --> 00:42:57.960
got He's actually a little more of
a Nate guy than he is a Matt

605
00:42:58.039 --> 00:43:00.800
guy. I think he's a little
more aggressive with his swings. You know,

606
00:43:00.800 --> 00:43:04.400
he still walks a decent amount,
but he doesn't cay very much.

607
00:43:04.440 --> 00:43:07.159
I think he's got. He swings
out of the zone and just makes decent

608
00:43:07.280 --> 00:43:12.519
contact. I saw a bunch of
games where he was swinging at curveballs below

609
00:43:12.480 --> 00:43:15.199
of the zone and flipping them the
other way. He has kind of a

610
00:43:15.239 --> 00:43:20.199
funky little swing. It's not picture
perfect by any means, but there's a

611
00:43:20.239 --> 00:43:22.920
little bit of power there. He
swiped fifty bags. You know, he

612
00:43:22.960 --> 00:43:30.079
got caught thirteen times, but still
ceiling fifty bags as impressive. And I

613
00:43:30.119 --> 00:43:34.000
don't know, he's just a good
little player. I think probably not a

614
00:43:34.039 --> 00:43:37.519
center fielder, so you know,
a little bit more pressure on the bat.

615
00:43:37.119 --> 00:43:43.519
But I just watching him play,
I thought that he's just one of

616
00:43:43.599 --> 00:43:47.280
those fun guys to root for too, and with the speed I think he

617
00:43:47.360 --> 00:43:51.960
might play in roto leagues. He's
not going to hurt you on the batting

618
00:43:52.000 --> 00:43:55.719
average side of things. I don't
think he's ever going to hit a ton

619
00:43:55.920 --> 00:44:00.599
of homers, but he hit nine
in the full season last year at Double

620
00:44:00.639 --> 00:44:06.320
A, which was fifty percent more
than he'd hit at any level ever before

621
00:44:06.360 --> 00:44:08.440
that, So maybe it's a little
bit of late blooming power. You know,

622
00:44:08.480 --> 00:44:13.840
he's twenty four at double A.
We'll see if he goes selected in

623
00:44:13.920 --> 00:44:17.679
the Rule five or or if he
sticks around. But I think as a

624
00:44:17.679 --> 00:44:24.119
little speedy guy who has some other
tools, he's interesting and worth look in

625
00:44:24.159 --> 00:44:29.079
those deeper roto or deeper category leagues. I like it. I like it.

626
00:44:29.400 --> 00:44:32.840
I'atched. I watched like probably i'd
say a decent amount of Wichita this

627
00:44:32.960 --> 00:44:38.239
year, And yeah, he was. He kept showing up like mostly when

628
00:44:38.280 --> 00:44:42.360
I just try to get to in
a bat of somebody that I wanted to

629
00:44:42.360 --> 00:44:45.280
watch, he would be before or
after and he I would stick around and

630
00:44:45.320 --> 00:44:50.159
watch. I think what he was. He was definitely on my list a

631
00:44:50.199 --> 00:44:52.639
little bit, but I think I
just I kind of like, just crossed

632
00:44:52.719 --> 00:44:55.960
him off early for I think really
a stupid reason, just because he was

633
00:44:57.400 --> 00:45:00.719
let go by another team. But
I kind of caring about Stone Garrett after

634
00:45:00.760 --> 00:45:06.239
that happened, and then he ended
up making the big leagues and being probably

635
00:45:06.280 --> 00:45:08.960
a really solid B side type of
guy. That's probably kind of stupid to

636
00:45:09.039 --> 00:45:14.599
me to eliminate him so early,
but so many players sometimes you just find

637
00:45:14.599 --> 00:45:17.280
an excuse to not watch one more
closely. Yep. And you gotta make

638
00:45:17.320 --> 00:45:22.760
your cuts nice. I like that. I like that. All right,

639
00:45:22.880 --> 00:45:24.679
I'm gonna go with my guy here. I like this guy a lot,

640
00:45:24.760 --> 00:45:30.559
just from just from a fan perspective, but I'm gonna go with Cardinals corner

641
00:45:30.559 --> 00:45:36.400
olefielder. He played some center field
Alex Edisernia, so let's say at five

642
00:45:36.519 --> 00:45:38.840
ten. I don't know. I
kind of want to take the over on

643
00:45:39.199 --> 00:45:43.360
both of those. He's kind of
a thick guy, I mean in a

644
00:45:43.400 --> 00:45:45.440
good way. Though. He just
turned twenty three, I think, just

645
00:45:45.440 --> 00:45:49.679
a couple of days ago. He
was a twenty twenty two seventh round pick

646
00:45:49.679 --> 00:45:53.920
out of Elon. He split the
season between fifty two A games with Palm

647
00:45:54.000 --> 00:45:58.920
Beach in sixty two games with Peoria
and High A. I had gotten into

648
00:45:59.000 --> 00:46:02.320
him fairly early in the season,
just kind of filtering for some guys who

649
00:46:02.360 --> 00:46:07.400
may be doing damage going the other
way. This was fairly early in the

650
00:46:07.440 --> 00:46:09.920
season, so there wasn't hardly anything
to watch with him. But then he

651
00:46:09.960 --> 00:46:14.920
got promoted, and I've watched more
of him than a lot of guys that

652
00:46:15.000 --> 00:46:17.239
I was getting into for this exercise
here. But he ended up with nine

653
00:46:17.239 --> 00:46:21.679
home runs down down in Palm Beach, which is which, like you know,

654
00:46:21.840 --> 00:46:24.079
that's impressive for that league in my
opinion. His max EV according to

655
00:46:24.119 --> 00:46:29.559
some stuff, was one hundred and
eleven averaged eighty seven, so there's some

656
00:46:29.679 --> 00:46:34.480
juice in there. The highest slash
line leaves much to be desired. But

657
00:46:34.599 --> 00:46:37.039
he still had like a two h
two ISO on the whole season. He

658
00:46:37.079 --> 00:46:42.039
added nine more home runs in Peoria. He strikes me as a fairly aggressive

659
00:46:42.079 --> 00:46:45.039
hitter, which you know I like
without being a huge chase guy. Struck

660
00:46:45.039 --> 00:46:49.800
out twenty one percent of the time
eleven percent walks. A lefty that hit

661
00:46:49.880 --> 00:46:52.559
right. He's better, you know, shocking, but a guy who was

662
00:46:52.639 --> 00:46:57.960
heating up at the end. He
went three thirteen four to sixty six six

663
00:46:58.119 --> 00:47:01.679
twenty seven with five home runs over
his lif eighty eight plate appearances, hitting

664
00:47:01.719 --> 00:47:07.039
a lot of three hole for Peoria. He can run some stole twenty five

665
00:47:07.079 --> 00:47:10.840
bags. Seventeen of those were in
High A, so you started running more

666
00:47:12.039 --> 00:47:15.840
as he moved up. From the
looks we get. I like the look

667
00:47:15.840 --> 00:47:20.880
of a lot of his swings.
He's pretty efficient looking, has a build

668
00:47:20.920 --> 00:47:23.840
with a lot of strength in the
lower half. He's got some classic lefty

669
00:47:23.880 --> 00:47:28.559
attributes, can really turn and rip
on inside and down stuff. It's got

670
00:47:28.599 --> 00:47:32.880
the ability to hit piss missiles.
APO gap forty one percent, fly ball

671
00:47:34.000 --> 00:47:37.360
nineteen percent line drive rate according to
Fangrafts. But what I like most about

672
00:47:37.440 --> 00:47:43.559
him falls into Matt what you would
call the WPA realm of things. Had

673
00:47:43.559 --> 00:47:46.519
some big hits in big moments,
just does some things, putting swings on

674
00:47:46.559 --> 00:47:51.320
certain pitches you don't see every day
in a ball may have had the most

675
00:47:51.360 --> 00:47:54.039
badass moment I saw this year,
to be honest. They're sitting in the

676
00:47:54.039 --> 00:47:57.760
bottom it was either the bottom of
the ninth or the bottom of the tenth,

677
00:47:57.960 --> 00:48:00.400
and they are down two runs with
runners on the corner, and I

678
00:48:00.400 --> 00:48:04.679
believe there was two strikes or two
outs and two strikes, and he just

679
00:48:04.719 --> 00:48:08.559
turns on one and just crushes one
down the right field line out and the

680
00:48:08.679 --> 00:48:15.079
ump calls it foul. And Peoria's
bullpen is right over there in that corner,

681
00:48:15.119 --> 00:48:19.159
and they all just start losing their
minds. Their manager comes out,

682
00:48:19.800 --> 00:48:23.840
loses his mind, and then the
next pitch he takes a change up opposite

683
00:48:23.840 --> 00:48:28.800
field for the three run game winner. As he comes around home plate,

684
00:48:28.920 --> 00:48:30.920
I would love to know what he
said to the home play umpire because he

685
00:48:31.000 --> 00:48:37.079
said something that's awesome. But I
think there's some offensive stuff to hope on

686
00:48:37.199 --> 00:48:39.760
here. I want to, you
know, obviously, you want to see

687
00:48:39.760 --> 00:48:43.199
you guys be more consistent. And
then that's a lot of this b side

688
00:48:43.199 --> 00:48:46.000
and stuff. You see some glimpses
you see some stretches. Don't know if

689
00:48:46.000 --> 00:48:51.920
that's just a hot streak or if
that's, you know, sign of more

690
00:48:51.960 --> 00:48:54.079
to come. But he kind of
feels like a classic Cards guy in the

691
00:48:54.119 --> 00:48:59.360
sense he's just kind of a gamer, just a real solid skill set baseball

692
00:48:59.400 --> 00:49:02.480
player. You know, we've We've
seen plenty of guys in that system do

693
00:49:02.599 --> 00:49:07.159
some things in the major leagues like
that. Yeah. I ended up not

694
00:49:07.199 --> 00:49:09.079
watching film with him, but he
popped up on a couple of my leader

695
00:49:09.119 --> 00:49:14.880
boards this year. How is the
speed? I was I was wondering if

696
00:49:14.920 --> 00:49:19.519
there if it might be sort of
a smarter base runner over over a burner.

697
00:49:20.000 --> 00:49:22.480
That might be. I wouldn't call
him a burner. He's not.

698
00:49:22.039 --> 00:49:27.039
Yeah, I don't think he's going
to steal sixty bags or whatever kind of

699
00:49:27.039 --> 00:49:29.679
on the fence. I can't figure
out if he's just kind of smarter.

700
00:49:30.239 --> 00:49:34.360
But sometimes I think that he looks
kind of fast. So I'm not sure.

701
00:49:35.119 --> 00:49:37.280
I'm not totally true, but I
don't think he's slow. It's a

702
00:49:37.320 --> 00:49:43.559
good pick. Alex E Dycernia,
So how you say? I was like

703
00:49:43.599 --> 00:49:47.880
I was saying, aya discernia,
aya I A D I s E r

704
00:49:49.079 --> 00:49:52.679
N I A and I think that's
how the broadcasts were saying it. But

705
00:49:52.960 --> 00:49:57.920
those guys don't get it right either
all the time. All right back over

706
00:49:58.000 --> 00:50:01.239
to me, I think I'm also
gonna go with an outfielder here. And

707
00:50:01.960 --> 00:50:07.440
some of this might be because he's
just got the best first name, you

708
00:50:07.480 --> 00:50:10.079
know, that might be part of
what drew me in. Some of it

709
00:50:10.199 --> 00:50:15.880
might be a little bit of an
underdog story because this guy has had a

710
00:50:16.079 --> 00:50:23.039
pretty circuitous path to where he is. I'm gonna go with Matt Krouhn,

711
00:50:23.480 --> 00:50:32.360
triple a centerfielder utility man for the
Phillies Org. He played at four three

712
00:50:32.400 --> 00:50:37.679
different colleges. I think. Yeah. He started his career at Oregon in

713
00:50:37.679 --> 00:50:40.960
the Pac twelve, wasn't very good, didn't play a ton, transferred to

714
00:50:42.039 --> 00:50:47.360
Central Arizona College junior college down there
in Arizona, and then ended his career

715
00:50:47.440 --> 00:50:52.760
in college at Oklahoma State, where
he had a really good year, you

716
00:50:52.800 --> 00:50:59.920
know, solid power, speed year, with some with concerns, which is

717
00:51:00.280 --> 00:51:04.599
that's the guy that he was early
on in his U in his minor league

718
00:51:04.599 --> 00:51:08.280
career. But so he got drafted
in twenty eighteen. Obviously didn't play a

719
00:51:08.280 --> 00:51:14.239
lot the rest of that year,
wasn't that good. The first couple of

720
00:51:14.320 --> 00:51:17.800
years in the major or in the
minor league, struck out too much,

721
00:51:17.880 --> 00:51:22.639
you know, strikeout rates twenty six
percent, thirty percent, twenty seven percent

722
00:51:22.039 --> 00:51:28.679
at low AA and high A UH
in twenty eighteen and twenty nineteen. Obviously

723
00:51:28.760 --> 00:51:32.519
lost the year as all the minor
leaguers did in twenty twenty, and then

724
00:51:34.239 --> 00:51:37.679
was kind of the same guy in
twenty twenty one, you know, pretty

725
00:51:37.679 --> 00:51:40.280
aggressive, didn't walk, struck out
even more as he as he went up

726
00:51:40.360 --> 00:51:45.960
levels, wasn't showing the power or
the speed. I think probably yeah,

727
00:51:46.079 --> 00:51:52.000
he had an okay slash at double
A, but nothing about it was was

728
00:51:52.199 --> 00:51:58.079
super exciting in twenty twenty one.
Then twenty twenty twos happens. Tears is

729
00:51:58.159 --> 00:52:02.159
ACL a couple games into this season
out for the whole year, and that

730
00:52:02.400 --> 00:52:07.440
I think might have been his rule
five year. I think it was went

731
00:52:07.519 --> 00:52:15.280
unselected and stuck around with the Phillies
through the rehab and everything, and came

732
00:52:15.360 --> 00:52:17.880
back this year seemingly a completely different
player. And I actually went back and

733
00:52:17.920 --> 00:52:21.800
looked, and I think his swing
is a little different. I think there's

734
00:52:21.800 --> 00:52:27.000
a swing change here, whether it's
the rehab or he just got smarter on

735
00:52:27.039 --> 00:52:30.440
the basis he swiped way more bags
this year than he had I think in

736
00:52:30.599 --> 00:52:35.800
all of his previous twelve stops along
the way. So you know, he

737
00:52:36.400 --> 00:52:40.679
swiped twenty six bags this year,
popped eleven homers in again, not a

738
00:52:40.679 --> 00:52:46.079
full year. He had three hundred
and fifty or so plate appearances this year,

739
00:52:46.519 --> 00:52:50.920
so far from a I guess just
over four hundred plate appearances this year,

740
00:52:50.960 --> 00:52:55.880
so far from a full compliment.
But his strikeouts came down. At

741
00:52:55.880 --> 00:53:00.519
both Double A and Triple A.
He was below twenty percent, which I

742
00:53:00.559 --> 00:53:04.519
love to see, and he walked
more. He was almost at ten percent

743
00:53:04.920 --> 00:53:08.280
walk right nine point six at Double
A fourteen point five. And again that's

744
00:53:08.480 --> 00:53:13.400
smaller sample, only fifteen games at
Triple A. But I think this guy

745
00:53:13.480 --> 00:53:15.480
can really play, and they played
him at a bunch of different spots.

746
00:53:15.480 --> 00:53:19.280
He played some center field, a
lot of left field. I think he

747
00:53:19.320 --> 00:53:22.719
even played some infield. I think
he played some third base. Two.

748
00:53:22.239 --> 00:53:30.039
So another guy that's sort of knocking
on the door here. I think he's

749
00:53:30.079 --> 00:53:32.800
going to play somewhere. Whether it's
with the Phillies, I don't know.

750
00:53:34.679 --> 00:53:38.639
Again, he's sort of running out
of options. I'm not sure how many

751
00:53:38.719 --> 00:53:45.039
he has remaining, probably at least
two. I don't know. I don't

752
00:53:45.039 --> 00:53:47.719
have that up, but I think
there's a swing change here. I think

753
00:53:47.760 --> 00:53:53.760
he is athletic enough to play multiple
positions, and that's a commonly overlooked profile.

754
00:53:54.840 --> 00:53:59.360
And I do think that the improvements
look like they're they're going to stick.

755
00:53:59.360 --> 00:54:01.400
And it's just sort of like a
great underdog story. You know,

756
00:54:01.639 --> 00:54:08.440
the guy wiped out multiple seasons of
his minor league career due to injury and

757
00:54:08.519 --> 00:54:13.519
COVID and then to bounce back like
this and put up the season that he

758
00:54:13.599 --> 00:54:17.400
did is super impressive. And I
think that that's the that's the kind of

759
00:54:17.440 --> 00:54:22.559
b sider guy that he's just covered
in mud nate and we're gonna we gotta

760
00:54:22.559 --> 00:54:24.320
find him and pull him out of
the mud. Yeah. I like it.

761
00:54:24.320 --> 00:54:28.320
He's getting Uh, he's getting some
rundown in the AFL right now too.

762
00:54:28.599 --> 00:54:30.320
I want to say I saw that
I hadn't seen how he's doing,

763
00:54:30.400 --> 00:54:34.599
but I saw he was on the
roster. Yeah, I think, don't

764
00:54:34.639 --> 00:54:37.119
quote me one hundred percent. I
think he hit a home run the other

765
00:54:37.199 --> 00:54:42.559
day down there. Did something love
looking over the black scores for our little

766
00:54:42.599 --> 00:54:45.079
silly league all right, all right? What are wed? What round are

767
00:54:45.079 --> 00:54:49.840
we in here? Six? I
mean this is gonna be a little bit

768
00:54:49.880 --> 00:54:52.719
boring again because I've written about this
guy. But I'm gonna go with Diego

769
00:54:52.719 --> 00:54:57.119
of Alasquez. I think he was
up. I think it's September. I

770
00:54:57.119 --> 00:55:00.760
think he was at three percent,
so it's and a little higher. But

771
00:55:01.320 --> 00:55:06.280
another guy that I just watched a
lot of this year. I get he

772
00:55:06.400 --> 00:55:08.599
might not be a guy who hits
the ball the hardest, at least right

773
00:55:08.639 --> 00:55:12.920
now. How old is he?
Yeah, so nineteen year old. He

774
00:55:13.039 --> 00:55:17.320
was a twenty twenty one international free
agent from Venezuela. He's a guy who

775
00:55:17.519 --> 00:55:21.679
what they got him listed sixty one
one fifty and that's probably right. I

776
00:55:21.920 --> 00:55:24.559
think he's heavier than that. But
he's a decent sized guy, decent height.

777
00:55:25.159 --> 00:55:30.159
I think. I think he's a
real middle infield prospect. He played

778
00:55:30.199 --> 00:55:32.519
all short stop and second base this
yere. I think he won the Cal

779
00:55:32.599 --> 00:55:37.920
League batting title, right he did, like two ninety nine or something like

780
00:55:37.960 --> 00:55:43.239
that. He's a switch hitter.
I think he's definitely better lefty, at

781
00:55:43.320 --> 00:55:45.880
least right now, but he's got
some pop from both sides. I don't

782
00:55:45.920 --> 00:55:50.360
know. I think He's just a
really solid, solid B side here.

783
00:55:51.159 --> 00:55:54.559
I think big league chance is nice
at this juncture in his career. He's

784
00:55:54.760 --> 00:56:00.000
he's got some years to move up
the system. I was kind of surprised

785
00:56:00.159 --> 00:56:04.119
that he didn't get promoted at all. But we've seen the Giants kind of

786
00:56:04.159 --> 00:56:07.199
do this with some guys in A
ball before. I mean they slow played

787
00:56:07.400 --> 00:56:12.039
Schmidt and a ball and then moved
him real fast in the uppers. I

788
00:56:12.079 --> 00:56:15.079
don't know if that all came out
the way that, at least I wanted

789
00:56:15.119 --> 00:56:20.920
to. But yeah, I don't
know dig of alaskas solid. Salid looking

790
00:56:20.960 --> 00:56:24.840
swing to me in control, puts
the bat on the ball at a high

791
00:56:24.840 --> 00:56:30.280
clip. Yeah, I don't know. What do you think of Alaska's I

792
00:56:30.320 --> 00:56:34.280
saw a good amount of him when
I was first diving into some of these

793
00:56:34.480 --> 00:56:38.480
A ball guys, and you know, watched a lot of him, and

794
00:56:40.280 --> 00:56:44.559
I think there were a couple of
series there where I was really into watching

795
00:56:45.000 --> 00:56:50.800
the Giants when they were playing the
Nuts, and I like him as a

796
00:56:50.880 --> 00:56:54.199
hitter. I also am wondering why
they didn't promote him up to Eugene,

797
00:56:54.400 --> 00:56:59.440
Like I kind of want to see
him at high A because some of the

798
00:56:59.440 --> 00:57:02.840
things that he did better this year. I want to see those stick at

799
00:57:02.840 --> 00:57:06.920
a higher level, like cut the
k R awesome. I think he has

800
00:57:06.960 --> 00:57:10.519
good bat to ball, but does
the impact stay if he's not in the

801
00:57:10.559 --> 00:57:15.159
Cow League, And I think it'll
be interesting for him. You know,

802
00:57:15.199 --> 00:57:21.320
Eugene plays a little bit tougher than
some of those cal ballparks do. But

803
00:57:21.519 --> 00:57:22.519
yeah, no, I think he's
I think he's a good hitter. And

804
00:57:22.599 --> 00:57:27.159
it looked like he could play some
middle infield, which is it's super important

805
00:57:27.199 --> 00:57:30.440
for the young guy. Yeah,
I think what is k percentage with sixteen

806
00:57:30.480 --> 00:57:34.079
percent? Is that right? Yeah? It's good. Yeah. And what

807
00:57:34.119 --> 00:57:37.079
I like about him too is he
strikes me as a guy who he's trying

808
00:57:37.119 --> 00:57:38.960
to hit up there. He's not
just trying to get on base, He's

809
00:57:38.960 --> 00:57:45.760
trying to do some damage. I
liked his ability to hit Paula. I

810
00:57:45.880 --> 00:57:49.599
like his ability to hit the other
way too, which is a big thing

811
00:57:49.599 --> 00:57:52.920
to me. I don't know if
I've just watched too many too much of

812
00:57:52.960 --> 00:57:55.880
like Jose Bray in my day or
whatever, but I just I love guys

813
00:57:55.880 --> 00:58:00.199
who hit the Appo gap and just
wear that out. I think that's a

814
00:58:00.800 --> 00:58:06.639
good sign, a good step to
be becoming a productive and sustainable hitter.

815
00:58:07.039 --> 00:58:09.239
And you know, switch hitters are
interesting, especially at that level. You

816
00:58:09.239 --> 00:58:13.880
know, you got you got two
swings to develop. Maybe that played into

817
00:58:14.079 --> 00:58:16.320
being an A ball more I don't
know, could be, could be,

818
00:58:16.480 --> 00:58:21.360
And you could have some rapport with
the A ball hitting coach down there too.

819
00:58:21.400 --> 00:58:25.280
You know that there's a bazillion reasons
and we never know any of them.

820
00:58:27.199 --> 00:58:30.000
Yep. Well that that feels like
a real Nate handy B side.

821
00:58:30.039 --> 00:58:31.840
I mean, you throw me through
a loop with some of these Nate taking

822
00:58:31.840 --> 00:58:37.960
guys with pull power and walk.
You hate that profile. It's it's you

823
00:58:38.000 --> 00:58:42.920
know, well, you know,
B siding isn't always uh it's hard enough

824
00:58:42.960 --> 00:58:45.920
even with the with like the higher
brow prospects to find one that's like,

825
00:58:45.960 --> 00:58:49.760
oh yeah, this is my guy. You when we get down here is

826
00:58:49.800 --> 00:58:52.599
it's like okay, this could work. Yeah, that's that can't be said

827
00:58:52.719 --> 00:58:57.079
enough with some of these guys,
even even at the top of the B

828
00:58:57.239 --> 00:59:00.159
side range. Like if these guys
make the bigs, they're that's probably a

829
00:59:00.199 --> 00:59:05.639
win, you know, the deepest
of deep Oh yeah, definitely pass over

830
00:59:05.840 --> 00:59:08.800
really good prospects to be like ah
that one's owned too much at four percent,

831
00:59:09.039 --> 00:59:13.800
you know, right, right?
And that's I wanted to mention this

832
00:59:13.920 --> 00:59:15.760
in the intro, but I kind
of forgot I. So, you know,

833
00:59:15.800 --> 00:59:20.159
there's been like three seasons now of
like some you know, official like

834
00:59:20.320 --> 00:59:22.159
B side stuff, right, like
stuff that I've written or whatever, and

835
00:59:22.320 --> 00:59:27.840
I'm tracking all this to seem is
this worthwhile? Am I wasting my time

836
00:59:27.920 --> 00:59:30.960
or whatever? But I think it's
safe to say right now that we're on

837
00:59:30.039 --> 00:59:34.800
about a thirty three percent clip B
sides making the bigs. And I don't

838
00:59:34.840 --> 00:59:37.039
know if that's good, we're bad. I have nothing to compare it to,

839
00:59:37.239 --> 00:59:40.000
but that's kind of where we're at. And you know, we're talking

840
00:59:40.039 --> 00:59:44.679
this sort of percentage one in three
guys at least hit the bigs. That's

841
00:59:44.800 --> 00:59:47.599
thirty teen relevant. I don't know. It's something, yeah, and what

842
00:59:47.800 --> 00:59:54.679
it's it's an only like fifty percent
of first round July June July draft picks

843
00:59:55.119 --> 00:59:59.119
produce in the major leagues or something, right like, it's it's a low

844
00:59:59.199 --> 01:00:01.800
hit rate, even first rounders.
And if you're doing thirty three percent at

845
01:00:02.159 --> 01:00:06.400
zero percent ownership, like none of
these guys were first rounders, you know,

846
01:00:06.960 --> 01:00:09.599
yeah, yeah, And you know, I think Tovar has probably been

847
01:00:09.639 --> 01:00:13.760
the best player so far. And
you know, no, this isn't really

848
01:00:13.800 --> 01:00:17.559
like superstar hunting. If it happens, cool, awesome, But you know,

849
01:00:17.599 --> 01:00:21.320
I think we're more just trying to
find some guys whose careers is going

850
01:00:21.400 --> 01:00:25.199
to end up hopefully being sustained in
the in the majors. All right.

851
01:00:25.320 --> 01:00:30.480
I think my turn for a sixth
rounder and going to a little bit of

852
01:00:30.480 --> 01:00:34.480
a departure from some of the guys
that I've taken so far, a lot

853
01:00:34.480 --> 01:00:40.360
of like balanced profiles so far.
This is the first guy who probably has

854
01:00:40.400 --> 01:00:47.480
an eighty tool Like it's it's seventy
or eighty hit on this guy. And

855
01:00:49.280 --> 01:00:53.880
when I looked, he was at
one percent ownership. And it's because he's

856
01:00:53.960 --> 01:00:59.159
tiny. He's five foot six.
They list him at one eighty five,

857
01:00:59.280 --> 01:01:01.639
and I it's like, I don't
know, you know, he's got some

858
01:01:01.760 --> 01:01:06.840
muscle to him, but it's not
I don't think it's five to six five.

859
01:01:06.880 --> 01:01:08.760
But he's kind he's kind of got
that fire hydrant build to him a

860
01:01:08.800 --> 01:01:13.559
little bit, you know, a
little bit like Bliss or even Jet Williams,

861
01:01:13.559 --> 01:01:16.760
you know, some other smaller,
kind of stockier athletes, but I'm

862
01:01:16.800 --> 01:01:22.599
going with Kleb Durbin. Caleb Durbin, Yankees farm hand. He was a

863
01:01:22.639 --> 01:01:28.239
fourteenth round pick by the Braves actually
back in twenty twenty one. Again,

864
01:01:28.599 --> 01:01:32.159
even as someone who follows the Braves
pretty closely, nobody talked about Durban after

865
01:01:32.199 --> 01:01:37.559
the draft, and I think he
was in one of their reliever trades a

866
01:01:37.599 --> 01:01:40.400
couple of years ago. I forget
which what Lucas luke Gee might have been

867
01:01:40.519 --> 01:01:45.159
might have been that trade. This
sounds right, but the guy has done

868
01:01:45.840 --> 01:01:52.360
absolutely nothing but just hit the baseball
ran and just a wild slash line this

869
01:01:52.480 --> 01:01:57.719
year four point six k rate,
four point six percent k rate in forty

870
01:01:57.760 --> 01:02:04.639
seven games at double A like that
is wild. Two guys had a lower

871
01:02:04.760 --> 01:02:07.880
k rate in the major leagues,
and both of them are like the best

872
01:02:07.920 --> 01:02:12.559
contact hitters we've ever seen. I
mean, Quan and our eyes and it's

873
01:02:12.599 --> 01:02:16.119
like you make that much contact over
that kind of a sample and it's there's

874
01:02:16.239 --> 01:02:21.800
real, that's real skill. He
does spray it around a little bit.

875
01:02:21.880 --> 01:02:25.280
He pulls the ball more. It's
kind of a funny profile, like he's

876
01:02:25.639 --> 01:02:29.800
a righty. He pulls the ball
in the ground a lot, but gets

877
01:02:29.840 --> 01:02:32.039
a lot of hits, but his
babbitb isn't even super high. But when

878
01:02:32.519 --> 01:02:37.280
you never strike out, those turn
into hits, even like his babbit at

879
01:02:37.760 --> 01:02:43.679
double A was two ninety. Like
for a guy this fast and that makes

880
01:02:43.679 --> 01:02:46.280
this much contact, especially on the
ground, you would kind of expect him

881
01:02:46.320 --> 01:02:51.599
to run a three thirty babbit and
not be that surprised. So it's a

882
01:02:51.639 --> 01:02:55.320
funky profile. He's got speed.
I think he's swiped thirty six bags this

883
01:02:55.400 --> 01:03:00.719
year, only caught eight times,
so you know, decent enough percentage.

884
01:03:00.760 --> 01:03:05.159
And he's definitely got some quickness to
him. But the reason nobody talks about

885
01:03:05.239 --> 01:03:07.400
him is he's tiny and he doesn't
really have pop. He had four home

886
01:03:07.480 --> 01:03:15.360
runs across two hundred and fifty almost
almost three hundred plate appearances this year,

887
01:03:15.400 --> 01:03:21.280
and so that's the big knock on
him. I don't This isn't a guy

888
01:03:21.320 --> 01:03:23.400
like Jet Williams who doesn't have great
power, but he gets to a lot

889
01:03:23.440 --> 01:03:30.079
of it. This is not that. His swing is definitely geared towards ground

890
01:03:30.119 --> 01:03:34.400
balls, and even his high effort
swings like you see him and he think

891
01:03:34.440 --> 01:03:37.519
he gets into one and it's like
ah, it's off the wall or up

892
01:03:37.599 --> 01:03:40.599
that's fly out to center field.
Definitely saw some of those in doing the

893
01:03:40.679 --> 01:03:45.679
video review. But if you're a
guy at double A and you're making this

894
01:03:45.880 --> 01:03:52.400
much contact, that provides some value
and as an aesthetic, I want to

895
01:03:52.440 --> 01:03:55.719
see more of the kwans that arises
in the big leagues, and when those

896
01:03:55.719 --> 01:04:00.920
guys get run with the right league, they're valuable, especially in a points

897
01:04:00.000 --> 01:04:03.519
league, especially in a league where
k I'm in a couple of leagues where

898
01:04:03.719 --> 01:04:09.119
k's are very, very heavily penalized, and a guy like this is he

899
01:04:09.119 --> 01:04:13.719
would be gold in that league if
he made the BIGS. So he's listed

900
01:04:13.760 --> 01:04:16.679
as a third baseman. I didn't
get a ton of look at his defense,

901
01:04:17.760 --> 01:04:23.360
but maybe he sticks on the dirt
as a second baseman. But you

902
01:04:23.400 --> 01:04:26.719
have that kind of hit tool at
this level with one percent ownership, that's

903
01:04:26.719 --> 01:04:30.559
someone worth looking at. And I'd
take a long look in your in your

904
01:04:30.559 --> 01:04:33.440
points leagues. I like it.
I was definitely, I was definitely looking

905
01:04:33.440 --> 01:04:40.559
at him. Some are you familiar
with Ishmael Mangua in the Giants system?

906
01:04:40.760 --> 01:04:45.280
No, I'm like he was like
my Giants B side selection a few years

907
01:04:45.280 --> 01:04:46.519
ago. Then he was like hurt
all of last year and didn't play.

908
01:04:46.559 --> 01:04:51.239
But they strike me as kind of
similar guys. I think Manga might have

909
01:04:51.559 --> 01:04:56.360
like I don't want to say power, but might you might run into a

910
01:04:56.400 --> 01:04:59.400
few more home runs with him.
But he was this crazy guy who was

911
01:04:59.480 --> 01:05:02.440
doing similar type stuff in twenty twenty
one. I think, And what how

912
01:05:02.519 --> 01:05:05.840
M like this crazy run to finish
the year, hitting like over five hundred

913
01:05:06.000 --> 01:05:09.719
for like a month and a half
or something. Yeah, I don't think

914
01:05:09.719 --> 01:05:12.559
we've seen that. I don't think
we've seen that kind of run yet from

915
01:05:12.719 --> 01:05:16.159
Durban. And so I'm wondering if
he goes on a run where he's,

916
01:05:16.199 --> 01:05:19.760
you know, striking out five percent
of the time but running a three eighty

917
01:05:19.840 --> 01:05:24.320
bab ib, it's gonna look nutty, Like his line is gonna look pretty

918
01:05:24.360 --> 01:05:28.760
ridiculous. So I agree, I
like it all right. Round seven,

919
01:05:28.800 --> 01:05:32.440
I believe mm hmm, all right, Well you drafted a twin, right,

920
01:05:33.039 --> 01:05:38.000
Yeah, Twins do some things with
some bats. I'm gonna go with

921
01:05:38.440 --> 01:05:44.800
twenty twenty two fifth round pick out
of Division two Notre Dame College in Ohio,

922
01:05:45.000 --> 01:05:48.960
Ben Ross, who mostly play well. He played corner infield, shortstop,

923
01:05:49.039 --> 01:05:53.679
and some outfield this year. So
let's say at six six foot onet

924
01:05:53.679 --> 01:05:59.280
eighty I think that's that's probably close. I would guess athletic. It looks

925
01:05:59.280 --> 01:06:02.639
like an athletic middle infield type type
guy, maybe a little bit thinner,

926
01:06:02.639 --> 01:06:08.639
but have some bat speed. So
this season, one hundred and three games

927
01:06:09.039 --> 01:06:12.719
at High A and then he got
like two weeks in Double A. At

928
01:06:12.760 --> 01:06:16.320
the very end, the two thirty
nine three twenty four thirty nine slash line

929
01:06:16.320 --> 01:06:23.239
with a twenty five percent krate probably
probably doesn't wow you, right, but

930
01:06:23.639 --> 01:06:26.360
you know, you can consider he
had like a two to eighty four babbit

931
01:06:26.880 --> 01:06:30.159
and he had a two hundred ice
toe and the level that he came from,

932
01:06:30.199 --> 01:06:33.800
I mean he jumped from Division two
in his first full pro season.

933
01:06:33.840 --> 01:06:39.480
He went from essentially Division two to
Double A at the end, maybe and

934
01:06:39.840 --> 01:06:42.679
from the video, I don't know, I don't know. Sometimes those numbers

935
01:06:42.679 --> 01:06:45.679
just don't really don't really match up
to what to what you're seeing. Watch

936
01:06:45.760 --> 01:06:48.920
a decent amount of him during the
season, just kind of here and there.

937
01:06:49.320 --> 01:06:54.000
Wasn't sure if he would necessarily be
a selection of mine this offseason,

938
01:06:54.000 --> 01:06:57.320
but watching him, I got a
little bit more into him. Into the

939
01:06:57.440 --> 01:07:00.840
archives, you know, maybe he
gets a little bit more acclimated to this

940
01:07:00.960 --> 01:07:03.960
level of pitching. Some of that
surface stuff gets juice here, but a

941
01:07:04.079 --> 01:07:11.199
nice twenty line drive rate forty seven
percent fly ball fly ball rate despite not

942
01:07:11.320 --> 01:07:15.239
having like huge power numbers as an
amateur or a huge frame, I feel

943
01:07:15.239 --> 01:07:18.320
like he's geared towards hitting more balls
out of the park. I like that

944
01:07:18.400 --> 01:07:21.880
he's with the Twins. I feel
like he has the look of some of

945
01:07:21.920 --> 01:07:26.119
these guys that the Twins have gotten
a lot out of their bats. He

946
01:07:26.199 --> 01:07:28.960
likes to get out in front and
pull the ball. That's not always my

947
01:07:29.079 --> 01:07:32.039
tight but I did see him put
some nice swings, hitting the ball hard,

948
01:07:32.079 --> 01:07:36.039
going to Appo gap like I like, and the correct kind of swings

949
01:07:36.440 --> 01:07:40.480
if you will, Matt, I
know we've talked about that a little bit.

950
01:07:40.920 --> 01:07:44.719
I don't suspect a lot of home
runs will go like opposite field,

951
01:07:45.159 --> 01:07:47.920
but he's a writy who produced better
versus righties. It's hitting at the top

952
01:07:47.960 --> 01:07:51.480
of their order at the end of
the seedar Rapids run and it's pretty good.

953
01:07:51.880 --> 01:07:56.000
I'm intrigued they spent a fifth round
pick on him. To me,

954
01:07:56.159 --> 01:08:00.000
the top five rounds like that's there's
juice in those picks. There's there's reasons

955
01:08:00.000 --> 01:08:04.840
why those guys are getting taken so
high. I think he gleans nice athleticism

956
01:08:05.719 --> 01:08:10.519
despite just nine stolen bases. I
feel like he I feel like he's faster

957
01:08:10.639 --> 01:08:14.599
than that stolen base total might seem. I saw him try and stretch out

958
01:08:14.599 --> 01:08:17.439
some hits and the extra bases that
like slow guys don't try to do or

959
01:08:17.479 --> 01:08:23.439
even in between guys don't try.
Sometimes he was successful, sometimes he wasn't.

960
01:08:23.640 --> 01:08:26.560
But you know, maybe maybe a
guy who could butt into a utility

961
01:08:26.600 --> 01:08:30.960
type play multiple spots. I think
pretty well. He was kind of streaky

962
01:08:30.119 --> 01:08:32.479
hot and cold, but I mean, you know, it's your first pro

963
01:08:32.520 --> 01:08:35.880
season. I think that's just kind
of hard for the course. But overall,

964
01:08:35.880 --> 01:08:40.720
I think a successful season for him. I'm kind of hoping he starts

965
01:08:40.760 --> 01:08:44.840
off next season in double A.
But a guy who who I think his

966
01:08:44.960 --> 01:08:49.439
minor league production has not met up
with the skill set just yet. That's

967
01:08:49.479 --> 01:08:55.039
an interesting one. He hadn't popped
up on my on my feed, so

968
01:08:55.319 --> 01:08:59.560
I'm gonna drop that one down.
Check him out, all right, Ah,

969
01:08:59.640 --> 01:09:03.000
there's so many fun guys still to
go, all right, I think

970
01:09:03.039 --> 01:09:10.319
I gotta go this one. He's
this kind of circles back to the kinds

971
01:09:10.359 --> 01:09:14.199
of picks that I was taking a
little bit earlier on. He's already in

972
01:09:14.239 --> 01:09:19.439
Triple A. Unlike the other guys, He's not terribly old for the level

973
01:09:19.520 --> 01:09:25.560
or anything. He's still a legit
prospect, but not a lot out there

974
01:09:25.720 --> 01:09:29.920
on him. He's you know,
Ba's got him twenty seventh in the ORG

975
01:09:30.520 --> 01:09:34.800
there is a rite up on Fangrafts
and those are definitely worth reading, both

976
01:09:34.840 --> 01:09:42.039
those publications, but I'm gonna go
Urso or Neellis Tyirso or Nellus. He

977
01:09:42.760 --> 01:09:47.399
is an outfielder with San Diego and
Ornelli's is when I pulled it at three

978
01:09:47.479 --> 01:09:53.720
percent fan tracks ownership again, one
of only two guys that I had over

979
01:09:53.840 --> 01:09:56.920
two percent on my list, and
that's probably because he's been around for a

980
01:09:56.960 --> 01:10:00.199
while. He had some prospect Helium, I think a couple of years ago,

981
01:10:00.680 --> 01:10:04.680
but it's it's faded. I mean, neither the BA or Fangrafts right

982
01:10:04.800 --> 01:10:12.640
ups were glowing, but I'm pretty
intrigued. Spent about half the year at

983
01:10:12.680 --> 01:10:15.479
Double A, about half year at
Triple A. This year sub twenty percent

984
01:10:15.760 --> 01:10:23.880
k rate at both stops again,
nearly ten fourteen percent walk rate at at

985
01:10:23.880 --> 01:10:30.039
Double A, almost ten percent at
Triple a and he's got a funny swing,

986
01:10:30.560 --> 01:10:35.520
but he hits the ball really hard. His average EV is like right

987
01:10:35.560 --> 01:10:40.880
at the big league average, so
he's he's hitting sort of big league average

988
01:10:41.000 --> 01:10:45.000
power already. Top end is way
up there. I mean, the max

989
01:10:45.079 --> 01:10:51.199
that they have published on Fangrafts and
on Baseball Savant is one hundred and fourteen.

990
01:10:51.720 --> 01:10:56.479
And that's up there as far as
top evs. You know, it's

991
01:10:56.520 --> 01:11:00.800
not quite the seventy and eighty grade
tier of Judge and Stanton and Ellie and

992
01:11:01.039 --> 01:11:05.640
Acunya, but it's up there.
You know. That shows some real high

993
01:11:05.760 --> 01:11:10.319
end power. He kind of gets
to it in such a funny way.

994
01:11:10.920 --> 01:11:15.119
I have seen him just flick homers
to the left field. He's a he's

995
01:11:15.119 --> 01:11:19.279
a left handed hitter, but he
just flicks the ball out and it just

996
01:11:19.359 --> 01:11:23.760
keeps carrying and carrying and caring and
kind of Nate and I have talked about

997
01:11:23.760 --> 01:11:28.439
this before, but that swing where
you can take a pitch the other way

998
01:11:28.520 --> 01:11:32.720
and keep swinging through the plane that
the ball ends up going, it gets

999
01:11:32.760 --> 01:11:38.319
that true back spin and less of
the side spin. And so even some

1000
01:11:38.399 --> 01:11:42.199
of those balls, like he had
some opposite field homers that didn't have great

1001
01:11:42.640 --> 01:11:47.359
evs on them, but they got
out because he really did backspin them.

1002
01:11:47.920 --> 01:11:51.479
And the PCL played into some of
this as well. But I think that

1003
01:11:51.840 --> 01:11:56.960
he's a guy that his swing is
sort of constantly tinkering, you know.

1004
01:11:57.079 --> 01:11:59.640
I think they've tried to change the
swing. I went back and looked at

1005
01:11:59.680 --> 01:12:02.800
some of his swings from twenty twenty
one and it looks a little bit different.

1006
01:12:02.880 --> 01:12:08.760
So I think he's consciously trying to
make that adjustment and doing that and

1007
01:12:08.840 --> 01:12:13.840
cutting his k rate and raising his
walk rate while still getting to some power.

1008
01:12:14.239 --> 01:12:17.439
I think it pretends good things in
the future. He's still probably a

1009
01:12:17.479 --> 01:12:21.680
tweak away. I didn't think he
was a great fielder. I saw him

1010
01:12:21.840 --> 01:12:27.159
play some outfield and it was okay, you know, he didn't look smooth

1011
01:12:27.159 --> 01:12:30.680
out there, and that is something
that the big league teams care quite a

1012
01:12:30.720 --> 01:12:35.279
bit about. There's real power here, like it's actually plus power, and

1013
01:12:35.319 --> 01:12:42.319
for somebody that has three percent ownership
on fan tracks, that's not often you

1014
01:12:42.319 --> 01:12:45.520
don't you don't see that very often, and I don't think it's gotten.

1015
01:12:45.039 --> 01:12:48.479
He hasn't gotten that full production yet
in games, and I think that that's

1016
01:12:48.520 --> 01:12:51.560
the other reason why you might be
able to get him at a discount before,

1017
01:12:51.880 --> 01:12:57.680
you know, if there's an injury
in the outfield in San Diego,

1018
01:12:57.960 --> 01:13:00.760
or you know, like maybe it's
two years from now and they don't re

1019
01:13:00.840 --> 01:13:04.760
sign Soto and they need somebody to
play left field. Maybe he's that guy.

1020
01:13:05.680 --> 01:13:08.800
I don't know. There's a lot
of places that he can go,

1021
01:13:08.920 --> 01:13:12.960
but the kind of skills that he
has, the fact that he's trying to

1022
01:13:13.000 --> 01:13:16.680
actively tweak the swing so that he
can get to more of that that pull

1023
01:13:16.920 --> 01:13:20.479
power, I think that's what he's
missing. He does pull the ball a

1024
01:13:20.520 --> 01:13:27.399
lot, but it's on the ground, and it's he's hitting for his power

1025
01:13:27.520 --> 01:13:30.880
up the middle and to the opposite
field, which is backwards, right,

1026
01:13:30.920 --> 01:13:35.119
Like, that's not what you want
to do. But he's still having some

1027
01:13:35.159 --> 01:13:41.039
success even with not quite an optimal
swing. And Yeah, if that ground

1028
01:13:41.079 --> 01:13:45.399
ball rate starts to even come down
to like forty percent and his fly ball

1029
01:13:45.479 --> 01:13:47.039
rates like at thirty, I think
he's going to hit twenty five homers,

1030
01:13:47.159 --> 01:13:50.800
no problem. That starts to look
real interesting for a big league team.

1031
01:13:50.920 --> 01:13:57.079
So Tirso or Nellis is my seventh
rounder here. Again, he's got some

1032
01:13:57.239 --> 01:14:00.199
got some real flaws, and I've
talked about this before. But it's really

1033
01:14:00.279 --> 01:14:03.880
hard to change your swing. It's
really really hard. You've done this thousands

1034
01:14:03.920 --> 01:14:09.800
and thousands of times, and even
small changes are very difficult. So sure,

1035
01:14:09.800 --> 01:14:12.479
I wish him luck, and if
he does change it, this is

1036
01:14:12.520 --> 01:14:15.760
like, this is a guy with
the capital G. If he doesn't,

1037
01:14:15.319 --> 01:14:21.520
he's probably quadity guy. Turso was
my my B side selection for them a

1038
01:14:21.560 --> 01:14:26.560
few seasons ago, so look at
that. And you were in way before

1039
01:14:26.600 --> 01:14:30.680
me, so I'm familiar. I've
kept an eye on him, and I've

1040
01:14:30.079 --> 01:14:34.199
kind of kept waiting for folks to
catch up a little bit. But back

1041
01:14:34.239 --> 01:14:39.720
then, I don't remember exactly what
I said or wrote about him, but

1042
01:14:40.399 --> 01:14:45.279
I remember a lot of the same
same stuff that you just said there.

1043
01:14:45.600 --> 01:14:47.199
I think the story was then it's
like, this is a guy, a

1044
01:14:47.239 --> 01:14:50.840
strong guy as a fast bat.
Hit the ball on the ground a lot,

1045
01:14:51.279 --> 01:14:54.960
hit the ball the other way a
lot, which is what drew me

1046
01:14:55.159 --> 01:14:58.039
to him initially, and it was
just kind of like, yeah, but

1047
01:14:58.560 --> 01:15:02.119
doesn't hit home runs. But then
he started to there was some power that

1048
01:15:02.199 --> 01:15:04.880
I mean, I think we were
talking about a guy who maybe don't quote

1049
01:15:04.920 --> 01:15:08.279
me, but a think guy like
one or two home runs the year that

1050
01:15:08.319 --> 01:15:11.680
I picked him, So yeah,
I think there has been progression in the

1051
01:15:11.680 --> 01:15:15.760
way that we have wanted to in
some ways the last couple of years.

1052
01:15:15.760 --> 01:15:16.840
But I don't know if it's quite
gotten there. But I think he's a

1053
01:15:17.079 --> 01:15:24.359
super solid B side still and he's
he's at the doorstep. He's almost in

1054
01:15:24.399 --> 01:15:28.960
the bigs now. But yeah,
it's tantalizing. Like you watch him swing

1055
01:15:29.000 --> 01:15:31.720
and he'll have a swing You're like, that's the swing you want to see.

1056
01:15:31.760 --> 01:15:34.479
You know, he'll go down to
get a ball at the bottom of

1057
01:15:34.520 --> 01:15:40.279
the zone and it looks you know, he gets that nice uppercut finish.

1058
01:15:40.399 --> 01:15:45.039
He gets extended and can hit the
ball out a long way, but he

1059
01:15:45.000 --> 01:15:50.279
most of the contact ends up being
kind of pulled off or if it's out

1060
01:15:50.319 --> 01:15:55.399
away from him, he'll get his
arms extended. And I don't know's it's

1061
01:15:55.439 --> 01:15:59.640
a hard thing because you look at
like his ground ball rates throughout his career

1062
01:15:59.680 --> 01:16:03.039
and it's it's it's not pretty.
It's all like forty percent and above.

1063
01:16:03.600 --> 01:16:09.560
Flyball rate is never above forty percent, and that's the you know, like

1064
01:16:09.760 --> 01:16:13.239
you might want to learn to swing
differently than Nate. And I've talked a

1065
01:16:13.279 --> 01:16:16.199
little bit about that. The progression
for how you learn to be a good

1066
01:16:16.239 --> 01:16:19.720
hitter, but you want to be
an optimal hitter. You hit the ball

1067
01:16:19.720 --> 01:16:23.920
in the air and you pull it
and you hit it hard and and so

1068
01:16:24.159 --> 01:16:27.439
you know the guys that are the
most productive in the major leagues, like

1069
01:16:27.479 --> 01:16:31.199
you look at the profile of a
Matt Olsen and Austin Riley, even a

1070
01:16:31.279 --> 01:16:34.279
Jordan Alvarez who hit has a little
more all fields to him. Like those

1071
01:16:34.319 --> 01:16:39.079
guys ton of fly balls and they
pull them and they hit them hard.

1072
01:16:39.159 --> 01:16:41.279
You know, That's that's where you
want to get to, especially if you

1073
01:16:41.359 --> 01:16:44.640
got the kind of power like Ornellis
has. All right, so we're on

1074
01:16:44.760 --> 01:16:48.520
round eight. I think, yes, sir, ooh, all right,

1075
01:16:48.880 --> 01:16:51.319
I got I have a lot of
guys that I want to talk about.

1076
01:16:51.359 --> 01:16:55.960
I might get I might get kind
of weird here though, I'm gonna get

1077
01:16:55.960 --> 01:17:01.319
a little weird. Love it.
This was completely unfamiliar until I started watching.

1078
01:17:01.359 --> 01:17:05.279
And this is another first year player
draft guy who got my attention.

1079
01:17:05.560 --> 01:17:11.399
In the Pirates system. They have
a guy who they drafted in the well.

1080
01:17:11.439 --> 01:17:14.319
He'll be twenty one when the season
starts. They drafted him in the

1081
01:17:14.319 --> 01:17:18.079
thirteenth round this last draft out of
San Jose State. And that's Charles McAdoo.

1082
01:17:18.560 --> 01:17:26.760
They played Nate love it really nice, nice cool. I'm interested here

1083
01:17:26.800 --> 01:17:30.279
what you got to say. He's
listed at six two two ten. He's

1084
01:17:30.319 --> 01:17:32.760
a strong dude, without a doubt. Solid. Now, I don't know.

1085
01:17:32.840 --> 01:17:36.079
I didn't I didn't spend time watching
defense. He played left field and

1086
01:17:36.159 --> 01:17:40.640
second base in a ball out of
college. I don't know what you want

1087
01:17:40.680 --> 01:17:44.039
to make of that. And this
is another just very small sample size,

1088
01:17:44.079 --> 01:17:48.039
only one hundred and fourteen played appearances
in Bradenton, and even a smaller sample

1089
01:17:48.399 --> 01:17:53.399
of video to watch, only thirteen
games worth of archives. But the looks,

1090
01:17:53.399 --> 01:17:57.359
paired with some of the backdoor savant
stuff, has me really intrigued.

1091
01:17:57.840 --> 01:18:00.520
According to that stuff, he had
one hundred and seven max EV which was

1092
01:18:00.560 --> 01:18:04.560
a home run to center field that
was on video. EV was averaged eighty

1093
01:18:04.560 --> 01:18:10.520
eight. He had an insane thirty
two percent line drive rate, ten percent

1094
01:18:10.560 --> 01:18:14.279
barrel rate. Wasn't hitting the ball
on the ground at an alarming rate thirty

1095
01:18:14.279 --> 01:18:18.239
seven percent. I'd love to know
his ninetieth percentile evs. With all this,

1096
01:18:19.079 --> 01:18:24.039
and he had just games where he
was just stacking hard hit balls.

1097
01:18:24.239 --> 01:18:29.000
One hundred plus evs Like I said, he's very strong looking with fast hands.

1098
01:18:30.079 --> 01:18:32.159
He watched fifteen percent of the time, struck out nineteen percent of the

1099
01:18:32.159 --> 01:18:35.600
time, had a twenty two point
seven percent home run the fly ball rate

1100
01:18:35.640 --> 01:18:40.640
in that league. He had five
home runs in five weeks. I mean

1101
01:18:40.680 --> 01:18:43.439
that sort of rate down there,
I mean that's he played a whole season.

1102
01:18:43.439 --> 01:18:46.319
That's that's a home run title in
the Florida State League. There three

1103
01:18:46.399 --> 01:18:51.199
four or five slash over that small
sample. Don't see there wasn't any like

1104
01:18:51.239 --> 01:18:57.439
glaring differences in production and his right
he left, he splits. I saw

1105
01:18:57.479 --> 01:19:00.880
the ability to hit the ball hard
the other way spite it. I don't

1106
01:19:00.880 --> 01:19:02.399
know, Maybe you could speak more
on this map, but I don't know

1107
01:19:02.439 --> 01:19:06.520
if he's really a guy that I
call having the greatest technique at the plate

1108
01:19:06.680 --> 01:19:12.399
or the greatest mechanics. Strikes me
as a guy who's better at hitting it

1109
01:19:12.399 --> 01:19:15.640
out in front. But you know, don't he hits the ball the other

1110
01:19:15.680 --> 01:19:17.760
way? The percentages or what was
he at thirty one and a half percent,

1111
01:19:17.840 --> 01:19:23.159
but a lot of those weren't I
think the greatest, most well struck

1112
01:19:24.159 --> 01:19:30.199
apple hits. I saw him destroy
off speed and velocity, very still looking

1113
01:19:30.239 --> 01:19:32.640
guy at the plate though, he
picks the toe up slightly, sets it

1114
01:19:32.680 --> 01:19:36.239
down real quick, and puts in
one hundred mile prior charges. I wouldn't

1115
01:19:36.239 --> 01:19:41.520
be surprised if if a swing guy
like maybe yourself said, he didn't transfer

1116
01:19:41.600 --> 01:19:45.600
from his lower half all that well. Swing seems a little bit like heavy

1117
01:19:45.000 --> 01:19:49.119
upper body, but he's really strong. I don't know about the defense.

1118
01:19:49.119 --> 01:19:53.520
Stolen bases haven't been a real big
thing for him as an amateur. He

1119
01:19:53.680 --> 01:19:57.439
was five out of seven in a
ball whatever. But an intriguing looking guy

1120
01:19:57.479 --> 01:20:00.960
to me at the dish enough to
it would probably be my Pirates official B

1121
01:20:01.119 --> 01:20:05.399
side selection this year. That's a
great pick. Would have been my Pirates

1122
01:20:05.439 --> 01:20:10.159
B side as well. I wasn't
going to pick him in this draft,

1123
01:20:10.199 --> 01:20:14.960
but he just he's like in my
just missed Yeah. I got turned onto

1124
01:20:15.079 --> 01:20:18.479
him first from a college coach buddy
of mine who had seen him in college

1125
01:20:18.520 --> 01:20:21.760
and was super impressed. Was like, this is a guy, you know,

1126
01:20:23.000 --> 01:20:26.439
mid major guy, so maybe a
little bit under the radar, but

1127
01:20:26.880 --> 01:20:30.920
has the physicality like you noted,
he's athletic and very strong. He does

1128
01:20:31.000 --> 01:20:35.199
have a goofy ass swing and he
kind of steps in the bucket so his

1129
01:20:35.479 --> 01:20:43.359
legs are a little bit open at
swing. He has some I think mechanical

1130
01:20:43.399 --> 01:20:47.239
similarities to Marcelo Zuna actually, like
a little bit of a bucket step and

1131
01:20:47.319 --> 01:20:53.199
a little bit of kind of a
funky arm path. And Ozuna famously he

1132
01:20:53.279 --> 01:20:59.479
hits the ball really hard but has
sidespin, so he's underperformed his stat cast

1133
01:20:59.560 --> 01:21:04.319
expected waited on base I think every
year that that's been tracked, and largely

1134
01:21:04.359 --> 01:21:09.239
I think that's because of kind of
his swing. He puts a little more

1135
01:21:09.239 --> 01:21:12.079
of that side spin on the ball
even when he pulls it. And Ozuna

1136
01:21:12.159 --> 01:21:15.880
is a real fringe case, but
he's someone that popped into my head as

1137
01:21:16.279 --> 01:21:20.000
sort of a swing comp for Macadoo. I'm a big fan though. I

1138
01:21:20.000 --> 01:21:25.159
think that, like you said,
he hits a lot of line drives that

1139
01:21:25.239 --> 01:21:29.640
turn into homers. I think there's
the potential to be a pretty complete hitter

1140
01:21:29.760 --> 01:21:32.520
here, you know, not seeing
the strikeout rate tick up at all going

1141
01:21:32.560 --> 01:21:36.319
from a mid major conference to a
ball especially in the Florida State League,

1142
01:21:36.399 --> 01:21:40.880
like that's impressive that it is a
hard place to hit. He did come

1143
01:21:40.920 --> 01:21:45.760
out of the gates absolutely scorching,
like he couldn't miss, and so some

1144
01:21:45.840 --> 01:21:49.119
of the whole season line. I
think was propped up by that a little

1145
01:21:49.119 --> 01:21:54.279
bit. And it'll be interesting to
see as things go up, because I

1146
01:21:54.319 --> 01:21:58.119
think there is going to be some
pressure on the bat to hit some more

1147
01:21:58.239 --> 01:22:00.640
homers. He's not going to bring
a ton of value on the basis,

1148
01:22:00.680 --> 01:22:04.079
I don't think, and he's probably
not a second baseman a couple of scouting

1149
01:22:04.119 --> 01:22:08.880
reports that I did see, so
I think the pressure is gonna end up

1150
01:22:08.880 --> 01:22:12.520
being on the bat a little bit. But fully co signed, he's for

1151
01:22:12.600 --> 01:22:15.560
sure the pirates b side for me
too. I'm gonna have to do find

1152
01:22:15.560 --> 01:22:18.319
somebody else since you already get in
on it. But yeah, that's a

1153
01:22:18.319 --> 01:22:21.199
good one. Nice that was.
I like that. I like that you

1154
01:22:21.199 --> 01:22:25.920
were familiar. Thanks for that prospect
besides magic there. In my opinion,

1155
01:22:26.720 --> 01:22:30.159
I'm glad you're not share. I
was, this is funny, Like I

1156
01:22:30.359 --> 01:22:33.039
as I was going through guys,
you know, I really wanted to talk

1157
01:22:33.039 --> 01:22:38.039
with Nate about him, and we
agreed that we weren't going to share ahead

1158
01:22:38.039 --> 01:22:40.920
of this, and so I didn't
share any of my like finds that I

1159
01:22:41.000 --> 01:22:45.479
had, and I ended up sharing
with another friend of ours Beck. I

1160
01:22:45.760 --> 01:22:47.279
shared Macadoo with him. I was
like, you need to look at this

1161
01:22:47.279 --> 01:22:51.359
guy close as you're ranking, Like, I think he's under ranked for first

1162
01:22:51.439 --> 01:22:56.880
year player drafts, and I think
he's he's a legit guy. And what's

1163
01:22:56.920 --> 01:23:00.800
kind of fun about those those college
guys that are like early day three or

1164
01:23:00.840 --> 01:23:04.159
whatever, Like they can be some
fun b side hunting grounds because a lot

1165
01:23:04.159 --> 01:23:06.439
of the times it's like, all
right, go play, prove it.

1166
01:23:06.560 --> 01:23:11.760
Let's go, and they can move
quick and if they prove it, there

1167
01:23:11.760 --> 01:23:15.279
you go, and no one was
really picking them in their first year player

1168
01:23:15.319 --> 01:23:18.520
drafts. So nice. I like
it. Yeah, dude, strong man.

1169
01:23:18.920 --> 01:23:23.439
Strong guys love it. He is
he is, and I think again,

1170
01:23:23.520 --> 01:23:27.359
if if a good hitting coach works
with them on it, Like there's

1171
01:23:27.479 --> 01:23:30.119
enough of the building blocks there that
are really good, and I think there's

1172
01:23:30.159 --> 01:23:32.680
even more to be unlocked. So
like you were saying, you know,

1173
01:23:32.760 --> 01:23:36.560
some good average evs and some good
top end, but there's more to be

1174
01:23:36.600 --> 01:23:40.239
had there. Like, he's a
guy who I think there might be a

1175
01:23:40.279 --> 01:23:43.760
little bit to be unlocked or at
least get to it more consistently with a

1176
01:23:43.960 --> 01:23:45.560
yeah, a little bit, a
little bit of a swing change. So

1177
01:23:45.640 --> 01:23:48.920
yeah, great pick. Charles mcadeo
big fan. Okay, I'm gonna go.

1178
01:23:49.000 --> 01:23:54.800
I'm gonna go with a an FYPD
guy. Nate took a couple of

1179
01:23:54.840 --> 01:23:58.920
my under the radar ones that I
really liked, So I got to get

1180
01:23:58.960 --> 01:24:01.560
down on this guy and plant my
flag a little bit. This guy is

1181
01:24:01.600 --> 01:24:08.239
one that has gotten a little bit
of run I think he got. I

1182
01:24:08.239 --> 01:24:13.319
think Chris klagg our buddy who runs
the Dynasty, dugout he's a CJ.

1183
01:24:13.760 --> 01:24:18.079
Cafus, CJ Caphus. With my
eighth pick here, it was an acc

1184
01:24:18.199 --> 01:24:21.479
guy Miami played it played at Miami. Pretty good. Little ride up on

1185
01:24:21.560 --> 01:24:29.520
him on Baseball America's like preseason or
pre draft right up. He went in

1186
01:24:29.600 --> 01:24:33.920
the third round this year to the
Guardians pick ninety three overall, got a

1187
01:24:33.920 --> 01:24:39.000
little bit of an underslot bonus.
I think maybe maybe I was right around

1188
01:24:39.000 --> 01:24:42.920
slot seven hundred. K. I'm
just on this guy. I think he's

1189
01:24:43.560 --> 01:24:46.880
the less six foot one ninety so
you know he's not going to stand out

1190
01:24:46.960 --> 01:24:51.159
in the batter's box and coming off
the bus or anything. We haven't found

1191
01:24:51.159 --> 01:24:57.880
Fabio with CJ. Caphus, but
what I think we have found is a

1192
01:24:57.920 --> 01:25:02.439
guy that can really rake my looks
at him he's a left handed hitter,

1193
01:25:03.000 --> 01:25:09.800
plays first base. I think he
played first base mostly in college, along

1194
01:25:09.800 --> 01:25:16.520
with some outfield. And he's fast, though, like actual athletically fast,

1195
01:25:16.600 --> 01:25:21.520
like kind of in the Bellinger camp
of like he could play left field.

1196
01:25:21.640 --> 01:25:26.479
I think pretty comfortably. Maybe not
quite as athletically gifted as Bellinger is,

1197
01:25:26.720 --> 01:25:30.279
but he is not slow. I
think I got him at like three nine

1198
01:25:30.479 --> 01:25:33.520
five down the line on a ground
ball, which is like that is really

1199
01:25:33.520 --> 01:25:39.840
good even for a lefty. That's
a plus run time. He swiped a

1200
01:25:39.840 --> 01:25:43.680
few bags in college, you know, five to seven this year in a

1201
01:25:43.800 --> 01:25:47.079
ball. But again it's thirteen games
or seventeen games, but he swiped a

1202
01:25:47.119 --> 01:25:50.119
few in college. I wonder if
they give him the green light more because

1203
01:25:50.399 --> 01:25:56.800
just I do think there's some athleticism
there. He hit a couple of absolute

1204
01:25:57.039 --> 01:26:00.239
tanks on video, and I love
that, you know, like so that

1205
01:26:00.359 --> 01:26:02.920
you kind of search out the good
and the bad when you're reviewing guys.

1206
01:26:02.960 --> 01:26:08.439
And he hit one. I wish
I remember which game this was, but

1207
01:26:09.119 --> 01:26:15.520
he just turns on this inside fastball
and annihilates it over like this was in

1208
01:26:15.560 --> 01:26:18.319
the Carolina League. So I don't
have any access to the stat cast on

1209
01:26:18.399 --> 01:26:24.359
it, but it was tanked and
you see this little guy just lightning fast

1210
01:26:24.359 --> 01:26:28.720
hands and that ball gets deposited.
It looked like you know, Basalo or

1211
01:26:28.760 --> 01:26:32.279
somebody hit it. Yeah, that's
how how it was, even like someone

1212
01:26:32.439 --> 01:26:35.760
you know much more naive than you. There are times when you see a

1213
01:26:35.840 --> 01:26:40.239
swing, even on video from like
center field or whatever, and you're like,

1214
01:26:40.680 --> 01:26:45.199
oh, that that's different. That
is different. Who is this guy?

1215
01:26:45.520 --> 01:26:47.880
You know? Yeah? And that
was that was this guy for me,

1216
01:26:47.960 --> 01:26:53.199
Like he I hadn't heard anything about
him. I was kind of going

1217
01:26:53.239 --> 01:26:58.119
through some statistical performers, especially some
guys that were maybe a little under the

1218
01:26:58.199 --> 01:27:01.600
radar. But the line that he
put out in the Carolina League again,

1219
01:27:01.800 --> 01:27:06.319
seventeen games, so anything can happen
over you know, eighty play appearances or

1220
01:27:06.359 --> 01:27:11.439
whatever it was. But he hit
four homers, stole five bags, caught

1221
01:27:11.479 --> 01:27:15.479
twice, nineteen point five percent walk
rate, fifteen point six percent k rate,

1222
01:27:15.800 --> 01:27:21.439
two seventy babbit, Like the guy
underperformed what you would sort of expect

1223
01:27:21.439 --> 01:27:26.720
his babbeb to be and put up
a one seventy one WRC plus. Like,

1224
01:27:27.199 --> 01:27:30.640
yeah, he's a three year college
guy who was a pretty decent performer,

1225
01:27:30.680 --> 01:27:33.560
you know, not that he wasn't
the top prospect coming out of Miami

1226
01:27:33.680 --> 01:27:39.600
or anything, but I think is
one of the guys that is most criminally

1227
01:27:39.720 --> 01:27:44.520
underrated in the in the FYPDS,
Like he's someone that after like the top

1228
01:27:44.560 --> 01:27:47.479
after like so there's a clear kind
of first tier, a next tier of

1229
01:27:47.520 --> 01:27:53.039
like the the young high school guys
that are pretty good and some of the

1230
01:27:53.079 --> 01:27:58.520
better college performers. I'm putting Kphus
in that third tier, like he's blow

1231
01:27:58.600 --> 01:28:01.960
the you know Emerson and that,
but he's in the tier kind of right

1232
01:28:02.000 --> 01:28:06.600
after that for me, and I'm
fascinated to see how he does. Like

1233
01:28:06.840 --> 01:28:12.479
I don't think in one of my
dynasty leagues, we have a namesake pick,

1234
01:28:12.680 --> 01:28:17.079
so you own your first round or
whatever pick you want from the team

1235
01:28:17.239 --> 01:28:20.039
that you are, and the guy
that has the Cleveland team, there's no

1236
01:28:20.159 --> 01:28:25.439
chance that he is taking Cafus and
so he's going to be available, and

1237
01:28:26.279 --> 01:28:31.119
I might be my first pick in
our upcoming FYPDA just because I think there's

1238
01:28:31.680 --> 01:28:35.039
he was the guy that I watched
and was the most excited about, but

1239
01:28:35.119 --> 01:28:39.640
I waited till eight to take him
because he's zero percent. Nobody's talking about

1240
01:28:39.720 --> 01:28:42.800
him. I thought he'd fall.
That's awesome. Would you so? Would

1241
01:28:42.840 --> 01:28:45.600
you take you more interested in him
than Werner? Would you say? I

1242
01:28:45.640 --> 01:28:48.439
think so. Warner's in that same
kind of class For me, I think

1243
01:28:48.479 --> 01:28:54.000
Warner might have more power, but
I do think there might be a little

1244
01:28:54.000 --> 01:28:57.560
bit of swing and miss with Werner
as he climbs the ladder. And I

1245
01:28:57.600 --> 01:29:00.720
think Cafus just like the short lever, the like he you know, he's

1246
01:29:00.720 --> 01:29:03.479
a lefty, so it's not quite
the same, but he's got a little

1247
01:29:03.479 --> 01:29:08.920
bit of fragmant to him to me, like short levers short swing. He

1248
01:29:09.039 --> 01:29:13.680
pulls the ball in the air and
has a really good idea of the strike

1249
01:29:13.760 --> 01:29:18.239
zone. Like so he kind of
to me feels that like little bit undersize.

1250
01:29:18.439 --> 01:29:23.520
Little he's not. I'm betting his
evs aren't going to be super impressive,

1251
01:29:23.720 --> 01:29:26.920
But the rest of the the build, to me, it's like,

1252
01:29:27.039 --> 01:29:30.640
this is a real this is a
major league quality hitter. Like that's cowet

1253
01:29:30.960 --> 01:29:32.720
right nice. I like it,
all right? So last round, right,

1254
01:29:33.159 --> 01:29:35.840
in the last round, all right, last round nine, I might

1255
01:29:35.840 --> 01:29:41.359
as well might as well throw a
little bit of a hail Mary maybe uh

1256
01:29:41.479 --> 01:29:45.880
maybe some wish casting like day like
they say or all right, So last

1257
01:29:45.960 --> 01:29:48.119
round, I'll pull a little bit
of a No Mary, if you will,

1258
01:29:48.439 --> 01:29:56.359
but I'm gonna go with Roseman.
Verdugo middle infielder Padres system is zero

1259
01:29:56.399 --> 01:30:01.840
percent fan trax listed at six foot
one. I think I'll take the under

1260
01:30:01.920 --> 01:30:05.000
on that, to be honest,
someone I just saw recently some tweet like

1261
01:30:05.039 --> 01:30:09.760
five to eleven doesn't exist anymore.
Like I don't think he's six feet tall,

1262
01:30:10.039 --> 01:30:12.840
but he's still gonna be. I
think he's still gonna be just eighteen

1263
01:30:12.920 --> 01:30:16.760
years old when this season starts,
when twenty twenty four starts, twenty twenty

1264
01:30:16.800 --> 01:30:21.159
one international free agent out of Mexico. Now, surface level stuff, there's

1265
01:30:21.199 --> 01:30:26.319
not anything real wowing. It's probably
kind of ugly, but throw all those

1266
01:30:26.319 --> 01:30:28.760
out. I don't care. To
me and my video. This is a

1267
01:30:28.760 --> 01:30:31.359
good looking eighteen year old at the
plate in a ball. He logged the

1268
01:30:31.359 --> 01:30:34.560
whole season there, He had four
hundred and seventy two played appearances, and

1269
01:30:35.039 --> 01:30:41.279
there was kind of two Verdugos to
me free his hot streak and post his

1270
01:30:41.359 --> 01:30:45.039
hot streak. But from June fourth
to August fifth, so a couple months,

1271
01:30:45.119 --> 01:30:47.800
one hundred and ninety one played appearances, he did slash two eighty seven,

1272
01:30:47.840 --> 01:30:53.399
three seventy four thirty seven, hit
three home runs. Only one of

1273
01:30:53.399 --> 01:30:58.159
his home runs is on video,
but he crushed a ball to center field,

1274
01:30:58.760 --> 01:31:01.960
dead center. Nice looking swing on. I think it was an off

1275
01:31:01.960 --> 01:31:06.279
speed pitch too. During this streak, during these few months, you know,

1276
01:31:06.640 --> 01:31:11.039
he looks super solid to me.
I like the technique. He's putting

1277
01:31:11.039 --> 01:31:13.760
the good part of the bat on
the ball at a high clip. Then

1278
01:31:13.800 --> 01:31:15.840
the rest of the season it's just
we won't lie. It's just kind of

1279
01:31:15.920 --> 01:31:19.479
ugly. I mean, a lot
of balls on the handle, a lot

1280
01:31:19.479 --> 01:31:23.399
of stuff off the end of the
bat. But you know, he's eighteen

1281
01:31:23.479 --> 01:31:29.439
years old. He was just signed
in twenty one. So maybe some wishful

1282
01:31:29.640 --> 01:31:32.279
thinking that that hot streak is what
he's going to turn into. But I

1283
01:31:32.279 --> 01:31:36.840
think he's a strong kid. Bat
speed. I don't think he struck out

1284
01:31:36.880 --> 01:31:40.840
well. He struck out twenty six
percent. I mean, that's see some

1285
01:31:40.920 --> 01:31:45.760
teenagers come up like this much worse
than that. He took some walks.

1286
01:31:45.279 --> 01:31:49.960
He had a three to zh four
babbit on a bad average. We'll see

1287
01:31:50.039 --> 01:31:54.000
kind of see how splits go.
But just a guy, you know,

1288
01:31:54.399 --> 01:31:58.319
we take some blind swings on DSL
guys and what have you. Here's one

1289
01:31:58.359 --> 01:32:01.960
that feels a little less blind to
me, but at zero percent ninth round,

1290
01:32:02.439 --> 01:32:08.000
perhaps the potential for a big percentage
point boost here at the end of

1291
01:32:08.000 --> 01:32:12.119
my draft. All right, I
did watch a little bit of Rosman in

1292
01:32:12.159 --> 01:32:16.640
my colleague stylings, and I this
is one I disagree with you on.

1293
01:32:16.800 --> 01:32:20.880
I don't think he's got it.
I think that the k's are going to

1294
01:32:20.920 --> 01:32:27.239
be a bit too much, and
especially I didn't think he really impacted the

1295
01:32:27.239 --> 01:32:30.399
ball. And again, you know, he's eighteen and was a pretty young

1296
01:32:30.439 --> 01:32:32.800
eighteen throughout this whole year, and
I think he'll turn nineteen right around the

1297
01:32:32.840 --> 01:32:36.439
start of next year. Okay,
what did you I know some of those

1298
01:32:36.520 --> 01:32:41.760
Kale leagues we do get some sad
news of swings. Did you get any

1299
01:32:41.760 --> 01:32:45.359
of those? I don't recall any
on him, And mostly I wasn't watching

1300
01:32:45.479 --> 01:32:48.279
him. I think I was watching
some of the other guys, but I've

1301
01:32:48.439 --> 01:32:51.479
seen his name pop up a couple
of times. But yeah, I think

1302
01:32:51.520 --> 01:32:55.439
that this is one. You know, I like the swing from a zero

1303
01:32:55.520 --> 01:32:58.840
percenter and those some of those A
ball guys are going to go nuts next

1304
01:32:58.880 --> 01:33:02.359
year, like they go up to
hi a like I think that whole Nuts

1305
01:33:02.560 --> 01:33:06.399
Modesta Nuts team is just going to
be They're all going to be an Everett.

1306
01:33:06.399 --> 01:33:10.399
They're all going to hit, and
people are gonna go nuts over those

1307
01:33:10.439 --> 01:33:15.399
teams, over those young guys at
the bandbox. It is Everett, which

1308
01:33:15.399 --> 01:33:19.000
I played at, by the way, but I don't I don't see it

1309
01:33:19.000 --> 01:33:23.119
for this guy. So you know, we have to disagree on some guys,

1310
01:33:23.319 --> 01:33:26.680
fair enough, no problem. I
can't wait till he rakes next year.

1311
01:33:27.560 --> 01:33:30.600
You'll shove it right back in my
face, I hope. But like

1312
01:33:31.039 --> 01:33:34.560
I said, I was taking a
big swing. I'm going with another good

1313
01:33:34.560 --> 01:33:40.119
story for my last one. Again. He's a little on the higher own

1314
01:33:40.319 --> 01:33:43.560
side, but it's because he's like
I think he's almost twenty seven, so

1315
01:33:43.680 --> 01:33:46.039
you know he's he's old. He's
in Triple A. We're going with Blaine

1316
01:33:46.199 --> 01:33:51.119
Krim. You know, he's a
first base only guy for Texas. But

1317
01:33:51.239 --> 01:33:56.560
I love the story. He is
a senior sign out of a D two

1318
01:33:56.720 --> 01:34:01.640
school in Mississippi and he's just done
nothing but hit. Like, there's nothing

1319
01:34:02.399 --> 01:34:06.560
to really dislike in the profile other
than like he had a cup of coffee

1320
01:34:06.560 --> 01:34:11.880
thirteen games at Triple A last year
as a twenty five year old, and

1321
01:34:12.199 --> 01:34:15.880
he stopped walking and struck out as
much as he has in his whole career.

1322
01:34:15.039 --> 01:34:18.039
And it wasn't it wasn't very good. Like he didn't hit me homers

1323
01:34:18.079 --> 01:34:21.760
or anything. So other than that, like little cup of coffee in triple

1324
01:34:21.800 --> 01:34:26.640
A last year, the guy has
hit every stop. Nobody was on him.

1325
01:34:26.680 --> 01:34:30.159
What was he a nineteenth round pick
in twenty nineteen, lost the twenty

1326
01:34:30.199 --> 01:34:34.319
twenty season, and then just hit
the ground running in high A in twenty

1327
01:34:34.359 --> 01:34:39.239
twenty one with a one forty four
WRC plus. He's actually your kind of

1328
01:34:39.239 --> 01:34:42.479
guy. He's a little in the
aggressive side for me. He's he has

1329
01:34:42.880 --> 01:34:45.159
learned to walk this year. I
think that's why he really popped for me.

1330
01:34:45.399 --> 01:34:49.640
I'm comping him to ty France,
Like he looks like ty France to

1331
01:34:49.640 --> 01:34:53.399
me, you know, not big. He's six foot two hundred, you

1332
01:34:53.399 --> 01:34:56.319
know, kind of like he's well
built, but has that same kind of

1333
01:34:56.359 --> 01:35:00.359
swing where he's not going to punch
out a lot. Eighteen percent this year

1334
01:35:00.680 --> 01:35:03.199
and walked twelve percent of the time. Like that is very good. Even

1335
01:35:03.199 --> 01:35:08.439
in the PCL. That is really
good. Popped twenty two homers and some

1336
01:35:08.520 --> 01:35:13.800
of these were absolute monster shots,
Like he has real power. It's average

1337
01:35:13.800 --> 01:35:16.680
two above I think again, you
know, twenty two homers and five hundred

1338
01:35:16.680 --> 01:35:21.159
and eighty played appearances like that's that's
especially in the PCL, Like maybe you

1339
01:35:21.279 --> 01:35:26.039
round down a little bit, but
that's it's real. His max EV was

1340
01:35:26.039 --> 01:35:29.880
one thirteen, his average was ninety
one. He just gets to it a

1341
01:35:29.920 --> 01:35:32.159
lot of the time. Like those
are good numbers even in the BIGS.

1342
01:35:32.359 --> 01:35:35.560
His first base only, so he's
going to have to hit for him ever

1343
01:35:35.640 --> 01:35:39.560
to play. And you know,
I don't think he's gonna get a lot

1344
01:35:39.560 --> 01:35:43.439
of shots with Texas. You know, Nathaniel Lowe is there, and his

1345
01:35:43.479 --> 01:35:47.000
teammate, Justin Foscue was even better
than he was both in the contact,

1346
01:35:47.079 --> 01:35:50.319
power and speed department, so FOSCU. But he's like a top one hundred

1347
01:35:50.359 --> 01:35:54.039
guy for a lot of people.
So this is an under the redar guy.

1348
01:35:54.079 --> 01:35:56.960
It's probably not going to get a
shot with Texas. But he's someone

1349
01:35:57.119 --> 01:36:00.199
that I think gets popped in the
Rule five probably this year. I think

1350
01:36:00.199 --> 01:36:02.079
he's Rule five eligible. Someone's going
to take a shot at him. He's

1351
01:36:02.079 --> 01:36:06.760
not unathletic, he doesn't steal bases. Most ever, is four at Double

1352
01:36:06.800 --> 01:36:12.680
A last year. He stole just
one last most recent season at Round Rock.

1353
01:36:12.800 --> 01:36:15.960
But I just think he's good.
Like you watch him swing. He

1354
01:36:16.039 --> 01:36:20.319
takes huge hacks, but he doesn't
miss a lot. His big swings result

1355
01:36:20.359 --> 01:36:25.119
in foul balls rather than whiffs.
It seems he does have kind of a

1356
01:36:25.159 --> 01:36:29.439
swing is gear maybe a little bit
more for contact than it needs to be,

1357
01:36:29.560 --> 01:36:32.600
Like he does kind of stay flat
and on plane a little more rather

1358
01:36:32.680 --> 01:36:38.840
than kind of the scoop or the
kind of vertical attack angle of the barrel

1359
01:36:38.880 --> 01:36:42.000
that is going to result in lots
of fly balls. But he does that

1360
01:36:42.119 --> 01:36:45.079
and it means he cays less and
is he's going to run some seasons where

1361
01:36:45.119 --> 01:36:49.960
he runs a really high line drive
rate. Last year he had a couple

1362
01:36:49.960 --> 01:36:55.039
of stops where his line drive rate
was above I guess in twenty twenty one

1363
01:36:55.239 --> 01:36:58.520
at Double A he had a line
drive rate above thirty one percent. His

1364
01:36:58.560 --> 01:37:01.640
line drive rate across all stops is
like above twenty five percent. That is

1365
01:37:01.760 --> 01:37:08.600
very high. That's unusual. And
he puts balls in the air. You

1366
01:37:08.640 --> 01:37:13.920
know, he definitely is I think
trying to do that again. His swing

1367
01:37:13.960 --> 01:37:18.000
finishes maybe a little bit flatter and
because he is so good with burial manipulation.

1368
01:37:18.119 --> 01:37:21.279
I feel like maybe he sells out
for that even a little more and

1369
01:37:21.319 --> 01:37:26.359
he could be a thirty home run
bat instead of like a fifteen to twenty

1370
01:37:26.399 --> 01:37:29.760
homer bat. But to me,
this just feels like a solid all around

1371
01:37:29.840 --> 01:37:33.800
offensive profile. You know, one
fourteen WRC plus in the PCL. Like,

1372
01:37:34.039 --> 01:37:38.119
sure, discount some of it because
it's the PCL, but this is

1373
01:37:38.159 --> 01:37:42.439
the guy that can hit. And
you know, if he finds himself on

1374
01:37:42.479 --> 01:37:45.560
a roster for a team that isn't
great, like maybe he looks like Ryan

1375
01:37:45.640 --> 01:37:49.640
Noda did this year where he gets
roll five picked and then has a full

1376
01:37:49.720 --> 01:37:56.880
run and has a good a good
NOA. Was like a legit guy in

1377
01:37:57.079 --> 01:38:00.680
a couple of my points leagues.
And I think that we might see the

1378
01:38:00.680 --> 01:38:03.520
same thing from from Blaine Kram And
it's just a cool story too, you

1379
01:38:03.560 --> 01:38:09.560
know, like love a senior sign
mid major. Nobody cares, Nobody even

1380
01:38:09.920 --> 01:38:12.800
thought this guy was going to be
anything. He's just done nothing but hit

1381
01:38:12.840 --> 01:38:15.279
his way up to the major leagues
or to the doorstep anyway. That's what

1382
01:38:15.760 --> 01:38:23.760
that's what we love around here.
We love those guys. Blane, fantastic,

1383
01:38:24.840 --> 01:38:29.720
Matt. We did it our first
ever B side hit or draft two

1384
01:38:29.720 --> 01:38:33.479
hours flew by. Yeah, it's
gonna be fun to track this and see

1385
01:38:33.479 --> 01:38:39.000
how these folks do. There's definitely
there's definitely a lot more guys that I

1386
01:38:39.039 --> 01:38:43.279
want to talk about too, but
we'll say that for for future episodes,

1387
01:38:43.600 --> 01:38:47.119
future discussions. Yeah, definitely.
I have a long list of other guys

1388
01:38:47.159 --> 01:38:50.680
that I was like, there,
man, like a couple of these guys

1389
01:38:50.680 --> 01:38:54.720
too. I can't wait to talk
about when we do B sides and ye

1390
01:38:55.359 --> 01:38:58.960
yeah, some some really good ones. A couple of other fypds that I

1391
01:38:59.000 --> 01:39:03.199
feel like are under the radar a
little here. Yeah, Matthew, that

1392
01:39:03.279 --> 01:39:06.359
was a good one. Nice,
I like tell you like that. I

1393
01:39:06.359 --> 01:39:13.600
can't wait to talk about pictures next. I got some pictures. Is fun

1394
01:39:14.000 --> 01:39:15.840
for those of you that that don't
know, I was a hitter and so

1395
01:39:16.079 --> 01:39:18.800
like all these this picture evaluations,
so much of it, I was like,

1396
01:39:19.119 --> 01:39:24.239
I could hit that guy, which
of course is not true. Was

1397
01:39:24.279 --> 01:39:29.119
never true, but it's definitely not
true. Now I have a little meanier

1398
01:39:29.239 --> 01:39:31.119
when I talk about pictures. I
wanted to ask you to put you on

1399
01:39:31.159 --> 01:39:33.640
the spot a little bit here.
You know, you don't have to answer

1400
01:39:33.720 --> 01:39:38.119
this if you don't want to,
but uh, you take it. You

1401
01:39:38.159 --> 01:39:42.960
take anybody yard or do anything against
anybody with the with a bigger name,

1402
01:39:43.239 --> 01:39:47.840
maybe a big leaguer or anything.
This is your Bundy moment. Leiguers.

1403
01:39:48.640 --> 01:39:55.039
I don't think any I don't think
I took any of like the notable big

1404
01:39:55.119 --> 01:40:00.399
leaguers deep. But I I Trevor
Bauer never got me out. I like

1405
01:40:00.479 --> 01:40:03.439
he one for one and two walks
and a couple of steals against him.

1406
01:40:04.279 --> 01:40:10.600
Gott Trevor Bauer. That's fantastic.
Yeah, yeah, I had a good

1407
01:40:10.640 --> 01:40:14.479
series that that series against U C
l A. That team was so good.

1408
01:40:14.520 --> 01:40:16.079
Though, did you get did you
get the other one? That dude

1409
01:40:16.159 --> 01:40:19.479
Cole? Did you get him?
Yeah? I one for three, but

1410
01:40:19.560 --> 01:40:23.800
he punched me out twice. He
was he was really good. Did you

1411
01:40:23.880 --> 01:40:27.239
hit You hit three thirty three against
Garrett Cole? That's amazing. Yeah,

1412
01:40:28.079 --> 01:40:31.000
yeah, trying to think. There
was a guy named John Stilson who I

1413
01:40:31.079 --> 01:40:34.239
thought was gonna make the bigs as
a as a reliever. He hit over

1414
01:40:34.760 --> 01:40:41.680
one hundred pretty routinely. He was
at Texas Tech. I think, but

1415
01:40:41.760 --> 01:40:45.319
I hit an oppo homer off of
him. That I was That was probably

1416
01:40:45.399 --> 01:40:48.279
the coolest homer. I hit nice, nice, I love it. A

1417
01:40:48.279 --> 01:40:54.359
couple of the Arkansas guys I was
pretty good against. I hit Drew Smiley

1418
01:40:54.399 --> 01:40:59.239
pretty well. I hit Dallas Kykeel
pretty well, Dallas Kykeele. I think

1419
01:40:59.239 --> 01:41:01.920
that was in I guess this is
our series. That wasn't a regional against

1420
01:41:02.000 --> 01:41:04.920
him, But yeah, I was
two for four against him, but the

1421
01:41:04.960 --> 01:41:11.279
two outs were both One was a
basis loaded laser to right center and their

1422
01:41:11.319 --> 01:41:15.680
right fielder made an incredible catch.
I was so pissed. But yeah,

1423
01:41:15.319 --> 01:41:19.920
pretty good against those guys. That's
awesome, Matt. All right, well,

1424
01:41:20.000 --> 01:41:23.880
so yeah, let's wrap this up. We've been talking for a few

1425
01:41:23.920 --> 01:41:26.439
hours. I don't know if this
will turn into one or two episodes or

1426
01:41:26.439 --> 01:41:28.840
what, but we'll figure that part
out. This is a lot of fun

1427
01:41:29.279 --> 01:41:31.720
and I'm looking forward to future discussions, Matt. You bet, Nate.

1428
01:41:31.760 --> 01:41:35.159
This was a real pleasure, a
ton of fun, both doing the research

1429
01:41:35.199 --> 01:41:39.279
and then finally talking about these guys
like I gotta I gotta tell you,

1430
01:41:39.359 --> 01:41:42.840
I would do this for another two
hours just going down this list here.

1431
01:41:42.960 --> 01:41:45.439
There's there's so many more fun names
to talk about, you know, pick

1432
01:41:45.479 --> 01:41:50.119
them apart. But we'll save it
and we'll uh yeah, yeah, do

1433
01:41:50.159 --> 01:41:55.279
you wanna do you wanna share share
Hitters? Now? At this juncture?

1434
01:41:55.359 --> 01:41:58.920
Do you want to just keep keep
saving it? Oh, we've got our

1435
01:41:58.960 --> 01:42:00.920
B sides to go through. I
know we talked a little bit about a

1436
01:42:00.920 --> 01:42:03.359
couple of the guys, but yeah, okay, fair enough, we got

1437
01:42:03.359 --> 01:42:06.319
some B sides still, Okay,
fair enough. That sounds good to me.

1438
01:42:06.680 --> 01:42:11.920
All right, Well, get your
pitching specs on. I'm gonna I'm

1439
01:42:11.920 --> 01:42:15.199
gonna get you in the picture draft. Well, I know you're you're you're

1440
01:42:15.199 --> 01:42:17.159
feeling confident. That's why I went
with first pick on that one. I've

1441
01:42:17.199 --> 01:42:20.239
got a couple that I feel pretty
good about. And then it kind of

1442
01:42:20.319 --> 01:42:25.920
drops off pretty precipitously. So well, it's it's funny because like even if

1443
01:42:25.960 --> 01:42:29.479
you last year was the first year
that I picked out like thirty arms,

1444
01:42:29.840 --> 01:42:33.359
and like, you know, a
success there is very different than the success

1445
01:42:33.600 --> 01:42:36.199
with Hitters. You know, a
lot of a lot of these guys were

1446
01:42:36.279 --> 01:42:41.720
worse than the year prior. A
lot of them barely pitched because of injury.

1447
01:42:42.319 --> 01:42:45.319
And then like the few that I
would say were a success, like

1448
01:42:45.159 --> 01:42:50.520
Aguar and Montero, maybe Michael Dominguez
to some extent you're talking about. They

1449
01:42:50.560 --> 01:42:56.199
went from like zero one percent to
like three or four. You know,

1450
01:42:56.520 --> 01:43:00.960
a hitter takes off, they're gonna
get up, you know, twenty thirty

1451
01:43:00.960 --> 01:43:02.720
percent or whatever. All right,
well, the rest of you, thank

1452
01:43:02.720 --> 01:43:06.960
you for joining us. This was
episode I think we will be nine of

1453
01:43:08.039 --> 01:43:12.479
the Prospect B Side Podcast, this
time with a friend and this time so

1454
01:43:12.600 --> 01:43:15.520
much better. So be well and
we'll talk to you next an hour.

1455
01:43:16.000 --> 01:43:24.880
Riding to his head, he hopped
down first with the lumpbonies face, and

1456
01:43:25.000 --> 01:43:34.680
on the very next pitch he up
in stole second face with gretest be he

1457
01:43:34.960 --> 01:43:42.239
wasn't born. He had a dirty
Yes uniform