Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Do podcast. I your Holst Korey Evans.
Thank you for listening. This week's show is jam packed. It is
titled Free Agency Overview. To preface, I won't be discussing players who return
to their former NFL team on a new contract. Instead, I'm only going
to discuss new landing spots or trades that I founded me most impactful from this
past week of the free agent frenzy. Any new transactions will be discussed at
later time I'm sure throughout the entire offseason, but for the sake of context,
I'm recording this on Saturday, March eighteenth, So anything that occurs between
now when you're listening obviously I was not aware of so it was not included
on this week's show. But for the most part, I have a ton
to cover, so I'll get right to it. Few housekeeping notes beforehand is
don't forget about my March promotion. I'm giving away two free thirty minute roster
calls over Google Meets. The first will be for any new five star run
reviews left during this month of March, and then one will also be old,
meaning prior to March. So two free both random be announced at the
beginning of April. If you don't want to wait and get him my calendar
for a thirty minute or one hour. Also call ahead of time. Just
send me a DM on social media an email to Dynasty podicemail dot com.
You can get that scheduled accordingly. I do that for Google Meets and or
individual roster grade podcast episodes. My pricing sheets and menus available on all social
media platforms view reference. And then finally shout out to Zach for joining Patreona's
past week. Great time to joint if I'm become a member of my online
community. I'm beginning as of this Tuesday releasing my boy position pre draft rookie
rankings in episode and Excel spreadsheet form. Of course, in tiers, you
cannot beat it for one dollar per show at a minimum four to five dollars
per month. You can of course pledge more as well as unlimited message access
to me on the Patreon platform or mobile app. Go ahead and click the
link in my episode show notes that says join Patreon or search for me Corey
Evans the Dynasty Due podcast on their website or app. You'll find me there.
Accordingly, here we go first player is Derek Carr, signing with the
New Orleans Saints four years, one hundred and fifty million, one hundred million
of which is guaranteed, so a Car got paid. The Saints are pretty
much an ideal LANG Spot four card rebound if they're down twenty twenty two with
a Las Vegas Raiders, where you're through it for three thousand, five hundred
and twenty two yards, passing twenty four touchdowns and fourteen interceptions, only completing
sixty point eight percent of his passes seven yards per pass attempt. Those based
on Car's career norms were an outlier in a negative direction. You have Chris
Olavia, Michael Thomas, Rashid Shahid. Those are all solido receivers that even
could be added to, while Jamal Johnson Adam Troutman represent upside his pass kecking
tight ends. Running back is a bit uncertain, with Alvin Kamara almost surely
facing suspension of some variety, but Jamal Williams is a huge backfield edition.
More to come on him later in this episode. Cark turns thirty two this
month, so he's a bit younger than advertised despite being in the league since
twenty fourteen based on the transition from Las Vegas to New Orleans. I think
he's a high end quarterback two in super flex formats, and probably a good
quarterback too in general for a one quarterback league, but there is weekly quarterback
one upside with the supporting cast as well as pure passing volume with names like
Olavia and Thomas to utilize DJ Moore to the Chicago Bears. This was a
blockbuster trade. It seemingly came out of nowhere. The details were. He
was traded from Carolina to Chicago's part of a huge package one on one overall
for pick one on nine, DJ Moore Carolina's twenty three second, which is
pick sixty one overall, twenty four first and twenty five seconds. Talk about
spending a premium exactly what Carolina did to secure pick one on one in this
year's draft. Justin Fields now has an alpha block receiver one to throw two
in the form of DJM who is annually underutilized with the Panthers by most accounts.
Even so, Moore has been steady across his five year NFL career to
dates, with three a thousand plus yard receivings seasons on his resume. While
averaging no less than twelve point four yards protetch in any campaign. Touchdowns have
been the loan obstacle, cementing DJAM from being a perennial wide receiver one candidates
in fantasy football. He scored seven times last year in twenty twenty two,
representing a career high, but otherwise has found the end zone at clips of
two, four, four, four, and four and seasons prior, so
seven was the ceiling in terms of scoring touchdowns as a professional. I've view
changed the scenery from Caroline to Chicago as an upgrade from an efficiency point of
view, I think Fields is surely better than anything DJM has had to work
with in Carolina, even if it comes with a slight hit to target share.
Since Chase Claypool and Darnell Mooney will both keep prominent roles on to mention
cole comments, it's also worth noting that Claypool and Mooney are both UFAs.
I'm shut the three ages of twenty twenty four, meaning dj Moore was not
only a centerpiece of this trade, but a long term investment. From the
standpoint of Ryan Pole's GM of the Chicago Bears treat DJ Moore as a locked
in wide receiver two with a wide receiver one ceiling as he enters now his
age twenty six. On paper, the fields to more connection should really excel.
It makes a lot of sense in terms of crossing patterns underneath comeback routes.
That is where DJ Moore shines and his affter to catch skills are clear
and evidence. The issue comes down to once again target shit. Really see
it his same sort of volume as he didn't Caroline in Chicago. That is
the one variable in play that is not a lock at this point in time.
Robert Woods Houston, Texans, two years, fifteen point three million dollars.
Woods was a staple for Buffalo and the La Rams from twenty thirteen to
twenty twenty one before seeing his role of fade with Tennessee in twenty twenty two.
A fifty three five twenty seven two log ninety one targets averaging only nine
point nine years pertetch. Ending the little ten years pertetch should really raise an
eyebrow that they were not targeted all that often downfield. The Texans are in
line and draft a franchise caliber quarterback at pick one h two and could add
an impact rob receiver at pick one point one two twelve overall. If not,
Ben Woods figures to compete with Brandon Cook's, Nico Collins John Macchi for
volume. He turns thirty one in April, so he's old, but not
necessarily very old for the sake of wide receiver. So we could have some
gas left in the tank as a boardomine flex option. Put it this way,
if Houston drafts one of Bryce Young, c J. Stroud, Anthony
Rickardson, or Will Levis, then suddenly we're gonna want exposure to any receiver
that's receiving passes from said quarterback. So Woods is probably the cheapest option among
Cooks, Nico Collins, and John Metschi at that price point or cost evaluation,
Woods makes a lot of sense to stash in hopes that the quarterback situation
approves vasting in a matter of a month or two. Here Jimmy Garoppolo Las
Vegas Raiders three years for a seventy two point seventy five million dollar contract.
Jimmy Garopolo now were units with Josh McDaniels at their time together in New England
for oh so long. He has a career forty and seventeen records a starting
quarterback in the NFL that's proven success, but comes at the same time with
their ability woe as concerns that date back to him even being drafted in the
second round all the way back in twenty fourteen. Jimmy Garoppolo turns thirty two
in November, so the Raiders signing him doesn't altogether rule them out of taking
the long term answer at quarterback at pick one oh seven this year, such
as it Will Levis, who they linked to for quite some time. Here,
I expect Garoppolo to offer a slightly higher ceiling for your parison's sake,
thank there, car based on the Raider supporting cast, which places him somewhere
in a low end quarterback going conversation to high end quarterback two mix in ten
or twelfteen formats. You don't set your line up well Jimmy Garoppol and think
he's going to win me a week with three hundred plus yards passing multiple touchdowns.
No more of a safe floor, questionable ceiling type of quarterback asset.
But all things considered, assuming McDaniels runs a similar scheme, garoppolo stock is
trending upboards compared to him being with the forty nine is where it was all
about efficiency. That could be different with Las Vegas could be more of a
volume bet on production. Al Lazard new York Jets a lucrative four year,
forty four million hour deal twenty two million, which is guaranteed. Lazard capitalized
on a career season with Green Bay in twenty twenty two a sixty seven eighty
eight six receiving line with one hun your targets to land one of the most
expensive ridging deals of the offseason to dates among wide receivers. At this point,
Aaron Rodgers has not been traded to New York Jets, so it can't
be assumed that Lazard chose the Jets because he knows Rodgers will also be following
soon. That trade has to become official between Green Bay and New York,
but it does make sense that Rodgers want a certain pieces to follow him if
a trade were to take place. Regardless, Lazard is a really good blocker,
so a snap rate's always going to be high, and he has good
size and for a former undrafted player, this is a terrific paid for Al
Lazard, who has proven that he should have been most likely a mid round
draft pick at worst, so he's now exceeded expectations, remains fantasy relevant wide
receiver three flex territory. If Rodgers follow suit, then we can reevaluate that
point in time. JA Kobe Meyers to the Las Vegas Raiders three years,
thirty three million, twenty one million guaranteed he has a billion line up in
the slot out wide thanks to a six two two hundred body frame. Versatile
talent, myershire once again hover around the wide receiver two or three boarding line
at full PPR, knock him down a bit in standard or half PPR formats,
and now projects become one of Garoppolo's favorite across the middle of the field,
complementary weapons to Demante Adams. It's possible that Meyers sets career high in
targets that's currently at one twenty six twenty twenty one, now that Darren Wallers
has been traded, more to come on him soon. Also reunited with Jetphre
Daniels from New England, the rapport should be there with both Garoppolo and McDaniels.
His sixty seven eight h four to six Live for twenty twenty two seems
like a pretty fair estimation for Myers in his age twenty seven season come twenty
twenty three, I wouldn't necessarily bump him up in value. I'd say it's
more of a neutral lateral move, especially for a wide out like him who
was struggled to find the end zone for most of his NFL career. He's
more of a PPR asset possession type receiver than anything else. So fairly low
ceiling, but a stable week to week floor. Darren Waller, New York
Giants a trade that took place and sent shockwaves throughout fantas football, Twitter,
and other forms of media speaking of Waller, he was traded from the Raiders
in exchange would pick one hundred in the twenty twenty three NFL Draft, which
coincidentally was to pick the Giants acquired from Kansas City for Kadarius Tony. The
Las Vegas Local Beat previously did indicate that Waller was not happy with the Raiders
and wanted to be dealt. There's even speculation online that McDaniels forced a trade
because he was not invited to Waller's wedding. That seems a bit silly or
far affetched, but you never know. Obviously, there was smoke from all
the fire after all, and Waller is now a New York Giants. We
haven't seen vintage Waller for two consecutive years to this point. He went ninety
eleven, forty five and three and then one oh seven eleven ninety six nine
from twenty nineteen to twenty twenty before posting keech shobles to fifty five to twenty
eight. Over the past two campaigns, injuries have been the main issue or
problem, so hopefully he's able to rebound with the Giants as a focal point
on offense, receiving passes from Daniel Jones are passing. His career high in
targets of one forty five could be achievable. On the flip side, Waller's
presence crushes the short term outlook of Daniel Bellinger was a promising young talent as
a rookie in twenty twenty two. Consider Waller a potential top five tight end
for next season with age thirty one September. The main concern about his long
term outlook, But from a short term perspective, twenty twenty three, and
we'll even say twenty twenty four, Waller went from being a fringe Titan one
with the Raiders due to all their weapons on offense to now in my mind,
approaching that top three to five territory and redraft and dynasty assuming you can't
or won't spend a premium on a young talent at that position. Instead,
it is time for a quick break and I'll be back with more free agent
transactions to review. From a fantasy football perspective, Rashott Penny is the next
man up to the Philadelphia Eagles. A one year deal for one point three
five million makes sense. He's a lottery ticket with equal room for profit and
loss based on his extensive injury history. It's being drafted twenty seventh overall in
twenty eighteen, Pennies appeared in fourteen, ten, three ten and five games
played. That's a lack of consistency and availability, no doubt about it.
The best we've seen from him in Seattle was in twenty twenty one with a
one nineteen seven forty nine six rushing line good for six point three yarsper clip
and could be a glimpse of his usage with the Eagles as a logical candidate
to replace Miles Sanders on early downs. This is a best case scenario in
my mind or Kenneth Gainwell we've talked about on last week's show, as she
remained the eagles main change of pace running back or passing down weapon with upside.
Boston Scott could be the mix as well, he was resigned with the
Eagles, and of course Philadelphia could draft the running back in the first round
or allocate mid round draft capital two one as well. But for now,
we'll assume that Penny is in line to take over the most volume and this
backfield rotation. Their ability, though, is the biggest question mark with his
outlook. With that in mind, Penny is actually still recovering from his broken
fibula last year, so he's no sure thing to return to old form or
be as effective regardless as a smart edition on a half of Philadelphia as a
cheaper alternative to retaining Miles Sanders, who was far more expensive, and I'll
talk about him in a matter of minutes. Smile. J P. Ryan
to Denver Broncos. It's a two year, seven a half million dollars contract,
three million guaranteed. It's not promising for the Outica Javonte Williams after inconsistent
reports circulated about his knee help in the NFL combine, this adds more fuel
to the fire that he's not going to be ready for twenty twenty three,
or it's a high end insurance option. P Ryan has been a reliable change
of pace counterparts to Joe Mixon with the Bengals, with the past three seasons
with the opperacarry averages pretty year four point eight, four point five and four
point one. Where p Ryan is overlooked underappreciated is is receiving and pass blocking
ability delivered a thirty eight to eighty seven four log alone in twenty twenty two,
So mat J's presence does damp in the outicle. Tyler Baity, who
I discussed on last week's show, still a nice deep sleeper for me.
That being said, if Javonta Williams is in fact going to his time in
twenty twenty three, then Sean Payton is more than likely going to use running
back rotation and p Ryan will be part of it. The question is is
someone like Tyler Baity next in line or is Denver planning on using draft capital
to solve their running back depth issues. David Montgomery to the Detroit Lions three
years, eighteen million, eleven million guaranteed, It's a nice chunk of change
for the running back free agent markets, especially guaranteed money. Montgomery was one
of the first major free agent running back dominos to fall among larger recognizable names,
and that eleven million guarantee does speak volumes into how Detroit and tends to
utilize him. It's bad news for DeAndre Swift unless he's traded, as it
means allions are destined for another RBBC where efficiency will be king. I can't
imagine that would Swift Montgomery as backfield mates that either will see over two hundred
and fifty plus rushing attempts thirty or forty receptions. It's going to be very
similar to last season with Jamal Williams, where it's going to be hard to
trust both from a fantasy lens and elite to violatility week over week. Montgomery
remains in the RB two mix as an overlooked talent who has suppressed eight hundred
and one yards rushing in all four NFL seasons to dates with excellent receiving chops
one hundred fifty five career receptions. DeAndre Swift is a topic for another day,
but I will say that his value now has never been a lower in
dynasty. I'm looking to pounce where possible late first two seconds another player that's
top fifty, top seventy five star badp Based on most reports, it sounds
like if he's not traded when he's eligib become a free agent, Swift will
leave testover market, and that is when hopefully another team utilizes his full skill
set. Swift is ubert talented, perhaps one of the best versa running backs
all around talents in the NFL today. The issue is injuries their ability.
Detroit simply does not utilize him as a feature back, perhaps because they know
that he can't hold up. From a Dosy point of view, this worry
or concern that Swift is done at such a young age, I think is
downright false and I'm looking to acquire shares and every league possible if anyone is
of the belief that Swift is simply a bust. Hayden Hurst through Carolina Panthers
three years, twenty one point seventy five million, thirteen million guaranteed. It's
a lot for a tight end in today's landscape. Hurst has bounced around the
NFL. It's being drafted by Baltimore in twenty eighteen, he spent time after
Baltimore Atlanta and then most recently since the Naty in twenty twenty two, where
he posted a fifty two four or fourteen two receiving line with sixty eight targets.
The Panthers are a strong on paper landing spot with plenty of vacated targets
with no more Dj Moore in the equation, and presumably a franchise quarterbacks that
they join the team in a matter of a month or two year at picked
one on one. Overall, Hayden Hurst could be a nice tighten one streamer
or consistent tighten two option in tightan premium formats or two tight end leagues.
I'm not saying as a very high ceiling, but when you have a team
that lacks a lot of pass catchers aback Carolina, it doesn't hurt to have
a veteran presence like Hayden and Hurst, you know, as solid hands.
It can also demonstrate the willingness to block, run or pass up. Next
is Juju Smith Schuster, New England Patriots. Three years, twenty five and
a half million, sixteen million guaranteed. Some of those financials have varied on
different websites. But that's the most recent report and data I found, so
we'll stick to its. Usually bettering himself at twenty twenty two by signing a
one year deal with the Chiefs. That plan worked out at three you not
only want a Super Bowl, but produced a seventy eight nine thirty three three
line on one hundred and one targets. For the sake of his role,
Smith Schuster is basically a director replacement for je Kobe Meyers as an underneath and
across the middle field possession receiver for now Mac Jones the targets. Juju still
won't turn twenty seven to to November. Age has always been in the side
very young prospect at USC, so there's wide receiver to helium baked into his
value moing forward and assuming the Patriots don't make a big splash like training for
DeAndre Hopkins something along those lines, or drafting receiver early, he should be
the Patriot bid receiver one where we can expect a healthy target share and volume
to hover around one hundred and fifth hundred and sixty target mark, assuming health
cooperates. It's been an issue for Juju in season's past, but in terms
of all possible landing spots New England with Myers leaving makes a lot of sense,
so it's an ideal fit at this point of the offseason. Jamal Williams
New Orleans Saints three years, twelve million, eight point one five million guaranteed.
It became obvious that Jamal was not going to return to Detroits after career
year once the Lines put pen to paper with Dave Montgomery. If Alvin Kamara
missus times us suspension as expected, Williams could really flirt with argument value despite
and age twenty eighth season. We saw him be writing that conversation last year
with Detroit when he was sensational compiling a two sixty two ten sixty six,
seventeen Russian efforts seventeen Russian touchdowns four point one yards per clip. He's also
under raided his receiver with one hundred and sixty crew receptions between Green Bay and
Detroit's. Williams is a clear reggression candidate, especially when it comes to touchdowns
that really elevated his stock and perceived value a year ago. But based on
his career norms, it's fair to estimate one hundred fifty plus rushes thirty plus
catches with far more room for growth those categories depending on how much time Camara
actually misses in twenty twenty three, but the assumed suspension coming in due time.
Miles Sanders to the Carolina Panthers four years, twenty five point four million,
thirteen million guaranteed, so more money than David Montgomery that we just discussed
a few minutes ago. For was assumed to be an RB one He's still
in the prime of his career twenty six. In May, he enjoyed a
breakout twenty twenty two campaigning in Philadelphia with a two fifty nine twenty sixty nine
eleven rushing line four point nine arts per tote. Sanders now reunites with running
back coach Do Staley with the Panthers, where he should become the clear RB
one head of Chew A. Hubbard. If Miles is able to expand his
passing game UCS, we could be looking at a top tier RB one.
Annual catch shuts to dates of fifty, twenty eight, twenty six, and
twenty as you could tell that trend is going in the wrong direction. It
is decreasing. If utilized like his rookie season fifty catches, Sanders could be
a top five running back in twenty twenty three with no questions asked. As
opposed to being a bet on efficiency, which is what he was with Eagles
behind a tremendous offensive line. Instead in Carolina, Sanders is a bet on
volume. So from a Donasty lens, this is going to be a situation
where he could be overworked and deteriorate in terms of skill set and effectiveness in
a matter of two or three years. But for the short term, if
you need an RB one on RB two and you have a win now window,
Sanders is an excellent running back to target, particularly if the passing game
usage. He's a spike and as soon as next season and last, but
not least, Deonta Foreman Chicago Bears a one year, three million dollar deal,
he becomes a logical early down replacement option to Dave Montgomery or now compliment
to Cleil Herbert's foreman terms twenty seven in April, He's fresh off a career
year with the Panthers where he ran for a two nine fourteen five line four
and a half yards per clip. Does not offer much as a receiver,
with only twenty three career receptions to his name in five vel seasons. He
could be the way viable flats option if the Bears don't add more running back
depth. So we now have Cleil Herbert's Yah the Foreman, and the Bears
also brought in Travis Homer, who should become the new third down weapon as
another free agent edition. Ryan Holes mentioned that Homer should be used on kickoff
and pup returns as well, so more of a hybrid weapon, whereas the
one two punched could very well become Herbert Foreman unless the make a huge splash
in the draft that will do it. Hope you enjoyed my free agency overview.
Any follow up questions, you know where to go. That's Patreon.
You get one bonus show per week, unlimited DM access. Quickly link in
my show notes, head to patreon dot com or download the Patreon mobile app
to become a member. Very quick, easy process. It's an idea week
to join or get access to my first installment of pre draftficky rankings, those
being a quarterback and then ahead on the horizon running back, wide receiver,
tight end, and a top fifty overall. Trust me, if you're a
fan of my work delivery of the content, then you'll be even more pleased
with the Patreon bonus material. It's available each and every week on the platform.
Lastly, if you want to get in my calendar for a thirty minute
or one hour roster call, We're Google Meet to review your team, set
up strategy, free rookie draft, or talk about upcoming prospects. Send me
an email Dynasty Pod gmail dot com or hit me up DM on social media
at Dynasty Pod on both Twitter and Instagram, or the Dynasty Dude on Facebook.
Thank you all again for listening. Until next time. This is the
Dynasty checking out. See you. Rodos follows away almost almost al