Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Dude Podcast. I'm your host, Korey
Evans. Thank you so much for listening to this week's content. It's episode
three hundred and seventy five titled Top ten NFL Comps for twenty twenty three Rookies.
I had a blast constructing this behind the scenes, putting the film starting
throughout most of the offseason, but specifically for these ten players. The comparisons
are identifiable from both a stylistic as well as body frame standpoint, So I'm
excited to deliver these ten comps for you see. If you agree, disagree
either way, it's a very fun exercise and I think a very enjoyable experience.
Before I get to that, shout out to both Rob and Zeke for
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Dynasty Pod at gmail dot com. Let's get right to it. Top ten
NFL comps for twenty twenty three rookies. Are all these full proof, accurate,
guaranteed to pan out, of course, not that is the exact opposite
of prospect evaluation. No prospects have the same linear result from the college football
landscape to the pro level in the NFL. But still this process is good
to identify traits, and traits are what are transferable from lower levels competition to
the big league's aka the NFL. So the first one is CJ. Strout
to Joe Burrow. Strout is six three two fourteen Burrow six four to fifteen,
So right off the bat you see very close in body frame. But
it's not just that. It's the accuracy, the poison, the pocket and
decision making skills that standouts as the most common characteristics between Stroud and Burrow on
tape. Special when it comes to ball placement at all three levels of the
field. So short and immediate and deep. CJ was a terrific fit for
Ohio States over the course of his entire couge career forty four touchdowns to six
interceptions in twenty twenty one, filed up with a forty one to six ratio
in twenty twenty two, but most important in my mind, completing sixty nine
point three percent of his passes in school as a two year starter. Once
he took over for Justin Fields in twenty twenty one Burrow. Sure he has
the egge as a rusher with the set of speed and the ability to evade
pocket pressure. Stroud rarely relied on his legs to move the ball, with
an a rushing logs of one forty eight one thirty two for negative twenty,
but then forty seven from one o eight last season. Yet he owns the
athleticism to become a more dynamic weapon as a pro and offers mobility two escape
pressure when needed. You'll see that time and time again. And he put
all of these tools on full display in Ohio States playoff run against Georgia,
perhaps the best we've ever seen out of Stroud and what put him on the
map right next to Bryce Young as potentially quarterback one or quarterback two in the
twenty twenty three class. Now, one possible concern for Stroud, and I
don't think it's being brought up enough, is that his supporting cast elevated his
ceiling at the college level. So you had Chris Olave, Garrett Wilson,
Jackson Smithing, Jigba, Marvin Harrison's junior Ameca Egbuca. The list goes on
and on. You don't think about it all that often because you see stroud
stats and think, yes, he's a talented and sure he is. But
at the same time, Stroud is not going to have that level of elite
receiver play to throw at. Assuming he goes one oh one to Carolina or
one o two to Houston or even a top four to five pick will estimate
that is one concern that I do have is that Stroud benefited from his supporting
cast. It's not a major red flag, but it is worth bringing up.
You could say the same about Burrow, Justin Jefferson, Jamark Chase.
That's why I think they're fairly compared and have similar NFL ceilings. Zach Charbonet
is six foot two fourteen and to me he reminds me of the si speed
profile and physicality of Ryan Matthews, who was six ft two eighteen meeting to
Marco Murray six foot two thirteen. So Matthews and Murray are both older comparisons,
but each egg traits that are in common with Charbonnay, most notably a
slashing rushing style with surprising agility and elusiveness for a power running back. Skill
set and frame don't forget Charbonnay at six foot two fourteen thirty seven inch vertical
ten foot two inch broad jump, and he's dangerous when downhill moving momentum is
built up. It's evident with his four point five three forty similar to Matthews
and Murray, Charbonnay brings a three down skill set to the field, which
was on full display at UCLA over the past two years, with rushing outputs
of two to two eleven thirty seven thirteen for five point six yards per carry
in twenty twenty one, and then one nine thirteen fifty nine fourteen for seven
yards per carry in twenty twenty two, with seventy five career receptions on his
resume. You don't see six foot two, fourteen pound running backs do this
at the college level all that frequently. Other similarities include patients with blocking,
good vision, and a yard after contact specialist as a bruiser against defenders,
and in that sense, he even gives off some Austin Eckler vibe. So
I am a huge Zach Charbonnay fan. If you're ever on Patreon, you're
well aware of my belief in him, and hopefully a Day two pick in
the NFL. All in all, I'm hoping to get plenty of shares of
Charbonney this offseason. Taja Spears is five ten to a one, and he
reminds me of the shiftiness of Lashawn McCoy at five tight and the contact balance
of someone like Cream Hunt at five ten to sixteen. So sure Hunt has
will say fifteen sixteen pounds on him, but Lashaw McCoy comparison is almost exact
at five for McCoy and five ten to a one for Spears. Now,
Spears is a huming joystick with the football in his hands and one of the
best pure playmakers in the entire twenty twenty three class. Whether his game translates
from Tulane to the NFL is up for debates. However, nobody will dispute
his stop on a dime ability or yard after contact expertise as a running back
who takes unique angles to slide through the fenders. If you fire up film
on Tajy Spears, you know what I'm talking about. He is very rare,
a unicorn of swords, the way he's able to can tort and move
his body in open space, and when you fire up tape of Spears,
It's easy to liken his shake in bake style in the open field to vintage
or prime with Sean McCoy. That literal ankle breaking jukes, that ability is
second to none in this class. Delivered a two twenty nine fifteen eighty one
nineteen rushing line in twenty twenty two six point nine yards per clip. Talk
about efficients forty eight career receptions forecast featureback upside at the next level, and
he had thirty five rushes of ten or more yards last season. He's an
explosive play machine. Firmly in the day two mix, I'd be surprised he's
live to Day three. Spears has done nothing but improve his draft stock the
entire pre draft process. How about Roshan Johnson six foot two nineteen to AJ
Dillon six ft two forty seven. Yes, Dylan has a bit more weight
to him, and he tested better from an athletic standpoints. Johnson not as
athletic, but their blend of power and tackle breaking ability are similar. Roshan
ran a four point five eight forty, which is a slight disappointment, but
still not bad speed straight line for someone that large. Even so, his
game is centered around build up speed and his actual game speed seems faster with
pads on. Regardless, he wins with physicality and is a very patient rusher.
After playing tooking fiddle to b Sean Robinson at Texas, Johnson is in
a position to become a better pro than college athletes. He went ninety three
five four five last season six yards per clip with fifty six career catches.
He's a depth and pass protection and that will keep him on a field,
which is huge factor wise for any rookie running back. Worth noting that Roshan
is a former high school quarterback, so it remains someone of work in progress
at running back in terms of understanding every scheme, alignment, defensive coverage,
following blocking, things of that nature. Like AJ Dillon, Johnson is light
on his feet and a reliable chains mover. I expect him to form an
immediate RBBC in the NFL due to his consistency as a rusher and dependability only
one career fumble at Texas. Roshan Johnson is becoming a very popular name and
draft circle, so as ADP and rookie drafts will certainly rise, especially if
he has or earns early to midday to draft capital that reminds me also a
lot of aj Dillon, someone who from Boston College was viewed as a polarizing
or violatile prospect, yet push came to shove. NFL teams and scouts fell
in love with the upside of the talents. Roshan Johnson is in that same
train or line of thoughts. Eric Gray five nine two oh seven offers the
rushing and receiving game upside of someone like twenty Pollard six foot two ten,
so very close in stature. Gray did not run a forty yard dash at
the Combine, but his thirty seven and a half inch vertical stood out among
running backs. It was fourth at the running back position in Indianapolis. He
reminds me of Pollard from a plain style perspective, most as versatile chess pieces.
On offense, Gray compiled a two thirteen sixty six eleven rushing log in
twenty twenty two six point four yards per rush and is an excellent receiver with
ninety nine career catches on his resume. Evaded forty four tackles in twenty twenty
two alone, second best in the nation behind only be Jean Robinson. Gray
is one of my favorite sleeper running backs in this year's crop, someone who
could eventually become a starter in the NFL makes you a suddenness and changed direction
skills pollard for round pick in twenty nineteen. That's the same range grades being
graded in, as well as the possibility of third round capital in the cards
as an outcome and Eric grade now familiar is a running back out of Oklahoma.
It's time for a quick break. I'll be back with five more NFL
comps to break down for the upcoming twenty twenty three rookie class. Let's discuss
Quentin Johnston at six three two oweight. He is a wide range of outcomes
for the NFL. The upside in my mind of Mike Williams at six four
two eighteen meets the downside of Kevin White at six three two fifteen, or
even Lakwan Treadwell at six two two twenty one. There's a reason behind Johnston
being one of this year's most confusing or difficult to assess receiver prospects. He
offers ideal wide receiver one size with borderline elite traits, yet comes with uncertainty
as a route runner, unfinished and in the hands department with drops left and
rights. He's also a consistent and contested catch situations, which is normally a
plus or a pro for receiver of his size. Instead, Quentin wins with
separation, a large at radius, and big playability as a catch and run
threat. He had twenty four Smith tackles after the catch in twenty twenty two,
good for fifth in the nation in terms of body positioning and verticality.
Mike Williams is the simplest comp to make for Johnston. The reality is is
he's being graded at being Quentin Johnston all over the place by scouts, NFL
franchises, mock draft experts, which gives him bus potential in the range of
someone like Kevin White or Laquon Treadwell, who or also bets on being size
speed freaks as relatively unfinished or raw products out of the college scene. I
can't wait to see where Johnston ends up being drafted, since there's no predraft
consensus on his value or pro outlook, and it will omit that I'm not
as high in my predraft rankings on Johnston among wide receivers or as peers consolidated
at other positions. Draft capital will be huge for him, but there's clear
boom or bus potential. Jordan Addison is five eleven one seventy three, and
I compare him through Christian Kirk at five eleven, two hundred and one pounds.
Addison is an exceptional route runner, classic case of his cow production and
game film being superior to athletic test team, which was subparer to say the
least rare situation where he excelled in two major college football programs with Pittsburgh and
USC. Twenty twenty one Pittsburgh a one hundred fifteen ninety three seventeen line ridiculous
numbers there twenty twenty two at USC fifty nine eight seventy five eight took a
step back despite receiving passes from prize prospect to Kayleb Williams. Addison reminds me
of Christian Kirk in a few areas release off the line of scrimmage, being
smooth as butter with fundamentals footwork, and offering versatility to line up inside or
outside. Another comparison I've seen routinely is keenan Allen, which I see the
parallel in terms of route running and finesse, but the size difference is way
too big to label it a apples and apples comparison. Kirk makes a lot
more sense to me breaking down game film doesn't have elites beat that being Addison
four point four nine forty disappointing for sure, but he wins with separation,
which is arguably more important to have wide receivers and burst out of breaks is
crucial to beating man or zone coverage. Flipside. A lack of strength based
on that five eleven one seventy reframe for a press coverage is a red flag
and Addison skill set that goes back to that smaller body frame, the fact
that he doesn't have the manpower to overcome larger cornerbacks or safeties, even linebackers
cross the middle of the field. I don't think that Jordan Addison profiles as
an NFL wide receiver one, but he could be a legitimate wide receiver two.
I'm a Christian Kirker, even someone like Tyler Lockett. Those are fair
comparisons. But expecting Addison to become the centerpiece of an NFL passing attack with
a five eleven one seven frame isn't realistic? Is it possible? Of course,
anything's possible, But at the same time, He doesn't win with strength.
It is more of an approach of possession traits fundamentally sound, quick release
of the line of scrimmage, terrific route running, good footwork, timing with
his quarterbacks, things like that. At Perry six three nine eight compare him
to George Pickens six three one ninety five. Perry had a four point four
seven forty, which is an enticing size speed combination, and went eighty one
ten ninety six eleven four weight forest in twenty twenty two. Perry tracks the
ball well in the air and is able to make downfield adjustments with ease.
There's some boom bust to his game due to inconsistent hands at the college level,
but a large catch radius and physical approach at wide receiver provides enough intrigue
for him to become a starter in the NFL have that level of upside Pickens.
We can't forget sick a round pick in twenty twenty two, so Perry
isn't necessarily expected to be drafted that high. Yet brings the same measurables and
athletic ability to the field, so that comparison isn't all that lofty considering Pickens
hasn't solidified himself as a legitimate starter at the pro level yet, but the
size is so close again Perry six eight Picking six three ninety five, and
both of their athleticism are off the charts given the height weight combination. Jonathan
Ingo six two two twenty two. Yes, it's lofty, but dk Metcalf
six three two twenty eight massive catch radius and glofer hands When it comes to
Mingo, his highlight reels are full of one hand in grabs and acrobatic receptions
with amazing body control and body positioning. He's a route technician with some of
the best natural ball skills among any receivers in twenty twenty three rookies. Of
course, he can be used in the slot or out wide, which makes
him a defensive mismatch. If I had to guess, NFL teams are going
to view Mingo as a big slot receiver to maximize his physical toughness and crisp
route running. He posted a fifty one eight sixty one five log last year,
averaging sixteen point nine yards per catch that was at oh miss dk Metcalf.
Sure, it is a stretch for Mingo to ever reached that potential,
but I can't help but compare the two since I see so much in common,
even small nuances such as stiff arms after crossing routes to body control and
tight window coverage. Metcalf is a superstar now, but we can't forget he
was a very polarizing prospect back in twenty nineteen, slid at the second round
even though his measurables and athletic ability were at the charts. Mingo is someone
that was ignored for most of the pre draft process, but then suddenly rose
a bit and perceived value in stock after the combine at six two two twenty.
It's hard to find a receiver that can do the things that Mingo's capable
of, especially when you look at his athletic ability as a factor into that
equation as well. And then, last, but not least, Michael Mayer
six four two forty nine to Mark Andrews six five two fifty six. Mayor
spent three seasons with Notre Dame, amounted to a lead output of forty two
four fifty into seventy one eight forty and seven and sixty seven eight O nine
and nine. That is unheard of production for a tight end at the college
level. Mayor is a pro ready tight end who is able and willing to
block inline or lineup in the slot out wide as a dynamic weapon pass catchers.
That's how familiar it should for those who are familiar with how Andrews is
utilized with Baltimore. Mayor and Andrews should the same body control positioning at the
catch points along with the set of speed. Mayor four point seven and forty
getting knocked for that yet Andrews. If you think Andrews has decent speed,
he ran at four point six seven forty the combine that's basically the same straight
line speed. Mayor should become a Day one starter and post a high snap
rate. Thinks was blocking prowess, which keeps him on the field. That's
what we need for any tight end, rookie or veteran alike. There's a
ton of buzz being made about Dalton King, k Luke Musgrave, Dona Washington,
Sam Laporta, all deservedly so in my mind, though Michael Mayor is
the best tight end in this year class. It's close. There's arguments be
made for the other names already brought up, but Mayor's a complete product and
excelled in a pro style offense, but notre dame for three straight seasons of
dominant college outputs that will do it. Hope you'll enjoyed my top ten NFL
comps for twenty twenty three rookies. I'll give you a quick recap. It's
a ton of information that we already dissected and analyzed. CJ. Strout to
Joe Burrow, Zach Charbonnet. It's the size, speed, profile, physicality
of Ryan Matthews meets to Marco Murray, TAJ Spears, the shiftiness of a
Shan McCoy and contact balance of Cream Hunt Roshan Johnson to AJ Dillon, Eric
Gray, the rushing and passing game upside of Tony Pollard Quentin Johnston, the
ceiling of Mike Williams, but the floor or bus potential of Kevin White meets
Laclon Treadwell, Jordan Addison to Christian Kirk or even someone like Tyler Lockett's at
Perry to George Pickens, Jonathan Mingo, DK metcalf and Michael Mayer to Mark
Andrews. Any questions, you know where to go. That's Patreon can support
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full steam ahead come May for startup drafts, rokie drafts, everything in between.
Thank you again for listening. Hope you enjoyed this week's show. If
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