Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Dude Podcast. I'm your Hills Korey Evans.
Thank you for listening to this week's show. It's episode three and seventy
four title most value at Stake for players during the NFL Draft, So I'm
pivoting away from rookies prospects and instead focusing and highlighting on five names who legitimately
could make or break their outlooks for twenty twenty three, let alone protectorally their
career action in the NFL based on what their teams do in the draft itself.
So where do we go from here with these five names? Do we
buy, hold, sell? That's I'm gonna break down on this week's content.
Before I get to that, shout out to Sue ZC for dropping a
five star written review on Apple Podcast. It was titled loved the straightforward info
and it read found Corey recently. His info is helping me feel more confident
in my first Dynasty startup draft. Thanks thank you for that review, It
is much appreciated. A few more show notes to discuss before I get into
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notes download the mobile app to find me on that platform pre draft rankings quarterback,
running back, wide receiver, tight end in both episode and Excel spreadsheet
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overall will be published as well. That's only be alable over on Patreon all
right. Most value at stake for players during the NFL Draft five names Kicking
it off with Rashad White, who is twenty four years old. Bucks head
coach Todd Bowles recently stated that he wants White to be a three down back.
The exact quote was, we talked about him becoming a more complete back,
taking care of the football, and then with the new offense, I
look for him to continue to accelerate and get better in all phases to become
a three down back end quote That was from a local Tampa Bay A source
and Beat reporter in an article. If true, and the Buccaneers don't allocate
early draft capital to the running back position, White will be on the running
Back one map or at worst RB two radar. After Lendon four net was
released, it is at this point in time Rashad White's backfield to himself for
the most part, with Tom Brady once again retiring from football, and either
Kyle Trask or Baker Mayfield set to replace him at quarterback. It sounds like
Tampa Bay plans to become a run first football team under new offensive coordinator Dave
Canalis, former OCF Seattle in the past. To assess White's outlook as a
sophomore, let's reflect back and rewind to his rookie campaign in twenty twenty two,
where he posted a one twenty nine one one rushing log for three point
seven yards per carry. The rushing output was underwhelming, to say the least
sub four yards per carry is a red flag for any young, up and
coming talents running back. Granted, the Buccaneers offensive line was a mess last
season, Yet the hope for White is that he added a fifty two,
ninety and two receiving log on fifty eight targets as a third pick from Arizona
State. That receiving usage is borderline elite for a rookie, let alone a
running back in the NFL, where there's so many rbbc's that true workhorses don't
exist outside of five to ten names, if even that larger of a number.
Given today's NFL blueprint of how running backs are devalued, White has the
size at six feet two hundred and fourteen pounds and a third profile. Don't
forget four point four at forty yard dash, thirty eightings vertical, and ten
foot five in broad jump. Those are all very parallel or comparable to David
Johnson when he was a rookie in what seems like forever ago. Those measurements
should allow White to excel in a feature role if he establishes that sort of
workload in twenty twenty three. The main concern is whether or not Tampa Bay
makes a splash in the draft itself, perhaps as soon as pick one nineteen
in the first round in the form of b John Robinson if he's available.
The Buccaneers have holes on offense defense across the board, so I doubt that
running back is of top priority concern to them. Otherwise, you think that
could have been a path forward in free agency, even though they didn't have
a ton of a space. All in all, the over shod White is
sitting in a position to skyrocket and value redraft and dynasty combined. The uncertainty
is that during the NFL Draft that could really take a step backwards. If
a Day one or Day two draft pick is allocated to the running that position,
creating an RBBC or pushing her shod white for that RB one stat as
a top the team's DUP chart. Isaiah Pacheco is twenty four years old.
He flourished as a rookie with Kansas City as a seventh round draft pick out
of Rutgers one seventy eight thirty and five on the ground good for four point
nine yards per carry and then a thirteen for one thirty receiving line with fourteen
targets. Proteco is more of a grinder early down specialists, not necessarily a
great receiver, but still exceptional debut season for him. Proteco runs with intensity
each and every carry as if he's being shot out of a cannon at five
to ten two sixteen with rare four point three seven wheels. Given the size
of speed ratio fall security that was his main issue in twenty twenty two,
with three fumbles, two of them were lost. Andy Bree will not tolerate
that, but it isn't necessarily a demise or setback for Isaiah's usage. Jack
McKinnon is still a free agent, while Clyde Everard Hlaire is still a cut
or trade candidate after starting in twenty twenty two campaign off on a high note
until he was esexually phased out prior to the Chiefs bye week, and then
he was injured during most of the second half of last year. I was
incorrected about Piccheco's role last season, and he exceeded most, if not all,
expectations. That being said, selling high to cash out at a premium
still makes sense to me. Over assuming he will remain Kansas City's primary running
back for the foreseeable future. There's too much turnover that we've seen now under
Andy Reid in this offense, Cream Hunt Clyde as, Hilaire McKinnon, Ronald
Jones, th This goes on and on. Prochecco is the next man up,
and he's been thriving for the most part. Very small stampless size,
however, so we can't put too much weight into that conversation. Most draft
outlets this time last year had Piccheco slotted in is a Day three pick or
priority to UDFA, that assessment was accurate. Right the Chief select him in
the seventh round, he almost went undrafted. What most people didn't see coming
was Isaiah becoming a focal point of the Chiefs crowded running back room. While
making a solid fantasy impact, he was pretty much on the RB two map
weekend week out when he became the starter. If he enters twenty twenty three
as the Chiefs leading RBBC member, then he does have a path to RB
two value once again. Otherwise, a flex with upside appears a bit more
realistic to project considering how a consistent once again that Andy Reid relies on running
backs. It's a turnover almost every single season outside of cream hunts work a
year and Clyde Edwards showing promise year in year out, but no consistency compared
to him being a first round pick in real life. Also forgets that Pacheco
wasn't necessarily a great college prospect. He never exceeded seven hundred twenty nine yards
rushing in a single collegiate season. Not to say that he can't become a
better pro than college talent. It's just a reminder that seventh round draft capital
in tandem with subpar college outputs doesn't mean that Piccheco's a lock to overcome those
obstacles or flaws in his profile. There's also a full offseason for NFL teams
to dissect more tape on him, his tendencies, what he likes to do,
if he goes left right from a handoff, or dances too much.
Pacheco has a lot of volatility baked into his cost, and the Chiefs would
not surprise anyone if a Day two pick was allocated to running back like Tampa
Bay. A lot of uncertainty Serranti Pacheco, So if you have him,
it's either a firm hold way to see or try to sell high you really
know him between at this stage of the offseason. Joe Mixon, He's twenty
seven in July. He has been at the center of cut speculation as a
possible casualty in addition to being involved with all the field disputes. Not to
mention, he averaged three point nine yards per carry on two hundred and ten
rushes last season. I don't think his lack of efficiency is being discussed enough
from twenty twenty two, but I'll bring it up first. Let's talk off
the field. Mixon was wanted on aggravated menacing charges in February that were eventually
dismissed by a judge. He was then linked to an alleged shooting in his
neighborhood during March, yet was never listened to suspect strange scenarios there. The
aggravated menacing charges have actually since been refiled as of this week, new evidence
was found by the Cincinnati Police Department. So Mixon's off the field dilemmas and
disputes are not resolved and that clouds his status, sort of like Alvin Kamara
for twenty twenty three alone. That's non football related. Then you have the
financial perspective. Cincinnati could save seven point two million by moving on from Mixing
with five and a half million of dead money. So from a money standpoint,
the Bengals don't have much incentive to keep a possible suspended running back in
Mixing on the team if they can secure another franchise caliber running back via the
draft this year. Bengals executive vice president Katie Blackburn's interview regarding Mixing status and
future with the team was not encouraging either. If you have not listened to
that interview, I encourage you to do so. We colbably just google it
or go on Twitter and find it. She was very dismissive and vague.
One question about Mixing and in her voice you didn't hear much enthusiasm about him
returning to the team. It could be a cloud of smoke. They might
want the dust to settle from the off the field issues. Hard to determine
that much context the Bengals. If they do bring in a top running back
prospect from this year's crop, it could spell the end of Mixing time with
the team, despite a strong six year run organization since being a second round
pick in twenty seventeen out of Oklahoma. Even after Sama J. P Ryan
left the Bengals to sign of the Broncos, Tocinnati has not shifted attention to
restructure Mixon's contract, meaning he might have to take a paycut, hometown discount,
or be open to testing the free agent markets. You have Chris Evans
and Travion Williams representing other running back depth options at this time, neither our
long term answers, So in or out of Tocinnati, Joe Mixon figures to
offer RB one numbers. We can probably agree on that even if we see
a slight dip in efficiency you every year from here on out, But for
how much longer in dynasty will be twenty seven in July that Cliff comes quick.
He's the ultimate risk award player to roster or invest in prior to and
during the NFL Draft. And who's to say by the time you're listening that
the Bengals don't outright release Mixon after his aggravated medacine charges were once again refiled.
So Joe Mixon, if you have him in dynasty, is a really
difficult player to assess. I think he's a hold or a bilow. There's
not much incentive to sell him right now because most saggy players will realize he's
possibly get taking time Bomb and Donnashy value with his stock trending in the wrong
direction, in other words, to be selling for pennies in a dollar.
So Mixin's a fascinating case to watch this offseason in terms of stock up,
stock down, or neutral. We'll see all it pans out. Time for
a quick break. I'll be back with two more names a breakdown who have
the most value at stake during the NFL Draft for the twenty twenty three outlook.
How about trailing Burks he just turned twenty three in March. He offers
Tennessee a wide receiver one body for him at six two two twenty five with
four point five five speed. That is a coveted body frame size of speed
ratio al La Julio Jones A. J. Brown. Burks has to put
it all together, and I think he can underwhelmed the Titans. In twenty
twenty two, as a rookie, he was the eighteenth overall pick. Don't
forget that Blockbuster Trader took place. Tennessee shipped away J. Brown to Philadelphia,
found the air Parents and Brown potentially and trailing Burk's time. I'll tell
if that pans out, he begustred. A thirty three four forty four one
receiving effort in eleven games. Played turf toe limited Burks early on before he
eventually showed glimpses of what made him a coveted prospect out of Arkansas, who
received comparisons ranging from Deebo Samuel Too, AJ Brown based on the versatility and
after the catchplaymagain skills that Burkes is able to bring on the gridiron, trailing
is a top the Titans bid receiver depth chart for the time being. After
Robert Woods was released. I'm actually signed with Houston, and then we also
have Nick Westbrook and Kyle Phillips representing some depth receiver options, with also chig
o'conquo being a hybrid wide receiver tight end. Basically, that leaves selecting a
rookie wide at pick one point one, one eleven overall a realistic possibility in
this year's draft for Tennessee. If the Titans add an impact talent with the
first round pick, it's going to deflate the helium of a breakout software campaign
for Burkes on a run first football team still directed and led by Derrick Henry.
Then again, quarterback could be a priority, but Ryan Tanhill's future uncertain
with the team, not to mention, Malik willis looking far from ready after
being a third round selection in twenty twenty two. If I was Tennessee,
wide receiver is not a priority compared to solving the quarterback connundrum for the franchise,
you could have addressed receiver via Fregancy, yet that was not the case.
If Trailing escapes the NFL Draft as Tennessee's unquestioned wide receiver one, then
he should be viewed as a strong wide receiver two in dynasty moving forward.
If not, Burkes could fall into the wide receiver two borderline three territory with
violatility tied or contingent on the ever evolving Titans quarterback situation. I do think
that Tennessee adds wide receivers via the draft this year. Whether it's a Day
one, pick, Day two, Day three remains to be seen. But
Trailing Burks is sitting in the driver's seat to become an alpha in the NFL
and fantasy alike. He has all the tools you could ever want. And
in terms of Trailing Burks the talent as a twenty twenty two prospect compared to
twenty twenty three for me, he'd probably be wide receiver two behind JSN.
He's that talented. And the best part is we've seen what a Titans one
in the offense could look like with a J. Brown for so many seasons.
If that is what Burks is viewed at for the franchise, then its
wheels up for him break out as soon as this upcoming season. And last,
but not least, it is Tyler Algier turned twenty three this month.
While I was wrong on Isaiah Pacheco at cost last offseason, Algier was one
of my better calls from the twenty twenty two Rogie class among running backs as
a late second early third round ADP target as a fifth round pick in real
life, he flashed with the two ten ten thirty five three rushing line four
point nine yards per carry, along with a sixteen one thirty nine one receiving
long on seventeen targets. Meanwhile, Cordelle Patterson thirteen games played, struggled with
their ability and was slowly phased outs down the stretch of last year in favor
of Algar On early downs, when you watched them side by side, it
was clear that Algier had more burst, better vision, and altogether the superior
running back between the two. Tyler's success between the tackles should not come as
a shock if we reflect back on his b by U resume. He dominated
in twenty twenty one with a two seventy six sixteen o six twenty three rushing
line while averaging yupper carry totals at the college level of five point four,
seven point zero, seven point five and five point eight during his four year
ten year despite owning less than ideal speed straight line four point six fort yard
dash. To show that straight line speed is a part of the puzzle,
yet not the end, I'll be all four running backs. The dilemma as
if Atlanta intends to perceive with Algear as a feature running back, or instead
allocates a Day two draft pick or later to add competition or in eventual Cordial
Patterson replacement to form at RBBC with Algier. That makes the most sense to
me. You stole Outgier in the fifth round last season, so financially he's
going to be cheap to retain, at least until his rookie contract expires.
The running backs were replaced, most likely is CP at some point in time,
so a Day two, Day three pick might not be all that bad
for our year's outlook. He's not going to be a three hundred touch back
in my mind. Instead, we could assume around that two hundred plus rushing
range with upside to perhaps double his reception total from last season as a ceiling
against sixteen catches as a rookie. His value range of outcomes is legitimately all
over the map right now, possibly as high as a set it and forget
at RB two to as low as volume dependent flex. We do know Arthur
Smith is a run first football mind. We saw it in Tennessee with Derrick
Henry and now in Atlanta with a combination of multiple running backs named Algier,
CP Huntley among others last season. I remain optimistic about Algier's outlook as a
sophomore. The crushing blow to his stock would be an early Day two or
Day three pick to running back or multiple tailbacks brought in to compete with Algier.
But if it's his backfield or a seventy five twenty five sixty forty split
our BBC wise in favor of him, then he does have serious breakout potential
and as soon as twenty twenty three that will do it. This week show
up, you'll enjoyed. My most value at State for players during the NFL
Draft breakdown, those names once again were Rashad White, Isamh pic Checo,
Joe Mixon, Trailing Burkes, and Tyler Algier. What you do with them
or for them acquiring via trade is up to you, but there is certainly
a lot riding or pending on what their actual NFL teams do in the draft
to the term in their outlooking dynasty moving forward. My current advice would be
to buy or hold or shod White, sell his ampicchecko or hold him,
attempt to buy really low on Joe Mixon, or ignoring completely until the off
field situation is resolved, or at least there's an idea of what kind of
suspension he would be facing. If that's the path forward, invest in trailing
Burkes, invest in the talent. Situation will eventually prevail, and then the
major wild card is Algier with equal upside or downside based on what Atlanta does
in the draft. Thank you again for listening. Don't forget. If you
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