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What is kracklak in Hardwin Knox listeners, I am Damn Valley coming at you

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without my fantabulous pillows. To Adam
Cromwell, I am, however, super

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pleased and excited to be joined by
longtime friend and colleague Brian to Porek.

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He is a senior quality editor at
Bleacher Report, where I also worked.

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He also is the co host of
the NBA Podcast. Follow them on Twitter

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at the NBA Pod, Him and
more do a great job. Throw them

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some ratings, reviews and subscriptions wherever
you're getting your pods. And he also

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writes about the NBA and the salary
cap and the Sixers over at Forbes Sports.

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Follow him on Twitter at b to
Porek. That's at BT O p

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O r e K. We are
here to do our deep dives into the

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first round of twenty two NBA Playoffs. I'm trying something different. I'm splitting

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this up into three series of piece
per podcast because we went over two hours,

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so I'm going to give you about
two one hour long podcast. They'll

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be a little bit longer than that
to digest. We're releasing the first one

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on Thursday. We'll release the other
one on Friday. We will also have

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something on the final two series,
which will be determined on Friday, either

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late Friday night or up Saturday morning. We didn't go in any particular order

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here based on the schedule because I
didn't know I was going to split it

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into two podcasts. But I think
this is the best way. I have

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timestamps check those out in the pod
descriptions, but I just think that this

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makes it more consumable. Let me
know if you would prefer in the future

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me to release them all at once, but I thought this was a good

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thing to try. That's enough rambling, but I do want to get to

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our usual housekeeping notes. If this
is the first time that you're listening to

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us, consider throwing us that permit
subscription. We do work really hard to

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be only modestly insufferable when it comes
to national NBA coverage. We have a

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lot of fun over here, though. Join our discord. That link is

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in the podcast description as well,
will get priority when it comes to mail

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bag questions as well as conversations.
We're hoping the discord continues to pop whilst

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the postseason goes on. Also follow
us on Twitter at Hardwood Knox. Follow

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us on Instagram at Hardwood Underscore Knox. We're on TikTok at Hardwood Knox.

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Go subscribe to our YouTube channel also
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come up. We are so close
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help us get over the hump.
I know that's a lot, but I'm

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working really hard to put out a
ton of content for everybody who listens to

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this pod, hoping to expand our
reach and expand this great community that we've

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built. The final thing I'll say
is I have been posting original content on

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TikTok nig, just some videos for
you to peruse on topics, So there

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is a point in following us there. Even if you already follow us here,

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you can also help us out a
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Retweet our promos, tell friends,
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mouth goes a long way. Anyone
who you know as a basketball fan.

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I am exhausted from this, but
my caffeine pride is using. We're gonna

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get to the MAVs Versus Jazz,
the Bucks and the Bulls, and the

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Grizzlies Timberwolve series in this podcast.
The other three series will be in the

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other one. If you're already the
sneak fish might want to check your feet

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and see if that one's already dropped. But let's go playoff deep jobs with

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Bryan to poor right the hell?
Now, let's start with Chicago and Milwaukee.

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That feels I think like the most
fatal complete first round series that we

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have. Yeah, Vega Siddes would
agree with that, because the Bucks are

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just so enormously heavily favored, and
it's hard to see a pathway for the

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Bulls to win this one, especially
with Lonzo has been declared out for the

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rest of the season. And you
know, I do want to push back

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against the whole like Bulls or Fraud's
narrative that seems to be popping up,

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because they were really good for the
first half of the season and then you

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know, Lonzo and Caruso got hurt
and their defense just got long the Smithens

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and they just haven't been able to
find their footing since. Yeah, and

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yeah, that's not First of all, did anyone have them winning forty six

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games during the regular season. I
think consensus, at least naturally was that

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the Damars Rosen trade was a mistake, Like they were gonna be not even

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paper Tigers, and I'd be curious
to see where they were if Alonzo Ball

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and Alex Caruso never get injured that
at the same time, And I don't

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mean to sound like an asshole by
saying this, I don't know what the

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pathway to them winning this series is. And you're not only missing Lonzo Ball,

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but Alex Caruso closed to the regular
season dealing with some back stuff.

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You showed moments from what I saw
during the regular season where it looked like

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you were capable of defending Janniss at
the kumpo, But it's just like,

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how do you do that over the
course of a season, and now when

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your personnel is sort of dwindling.
Having Patrick Williams might help. I'm just

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that might be my biggest question.
Actually, it's like what is the pathway

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to Chicago winning this series? I
think my bigger, like if we we're

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going to go more granular question is
like, what do they do or do

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they try anything with the Booch minutes
just because this doesn't seem like a great

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matchup for him unless the Bucks are
going to play Chris Middleton a shit ton

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and we know that, like there's
you don't you don't want to get to

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a point where you're relying on Tristan
Thompson too much. Is Derek Jones junior

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at the five going to be an
option? And so I just feel like

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they start to run out of bodies
That makes sense for this matchup pretty quickly.

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Yeah, I mean, I think
we see this a lot where you

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know, personnel and specific matchups are
what dictate playoff series. And we'll get

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to a couple others later where I
think that's really going to be a factor

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and who we're picking to win the
overall series, Like one team might be

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more talented, but they might just
be a horrible matchup for another team.

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Now, the Bucks, of course, are more talented than the Bulls and

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are a horrible matchup. So I'm
with you. It's just really hard,

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you know, unless ya honest God
Forbid gets hurt in Game one, It's

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hard to see a pathway for the
Bulls to win this series because they just

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don't have an answer for him,
or at least not a readily apparent one.

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And if you're doubling him, he's
too good of a passer. He'll

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pick you apart. And the Bucks
have too many shooters. Yeah, but

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I don't think they can stop him
getting to the rim. I don't think

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they have the personnel to even build
that well. And I think, you

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know, it seems like a lot
of both fans are down on Vooch in

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general. I think after this series
there, you know, the Voote for

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Rudy Gobert trade ideas that have been
bubbling up are going to be screaming loud.

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Rough season for him. I still
think he's just like a really smart

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decision maker overall, and as someone
who's like a vessel through which the ball

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can get somewhere else. But you
also needed him to be higher end on

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offense. And someone pointed this out
in our discord. But like, when

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you look at his efficiency, it
was way more line this season relative to

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his career than whatever he did last
season was. And he he look,

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he finished the regular season shooting the
ball fairly well over thirty eight percent from

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three. But I'm with you on
all those points. And the other thing

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is, I'm so by the way, I'm so not used to looking at

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season long numbers anymore because I try
and break down things in segments so that

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I'm not like missing the smaller picture, but we have to look at the

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entire picture of the season. It's
not like the Bulls are gonna outshoot the

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Bucks on most night, dead last
in three point at tempt rate, and

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that's just look, demarta Osen has
been fantastic, but like that's if you

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get behind or if you just need
to build big leads, that's sort of

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a way that you can do that. And their offense really isn't run that

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way. And then sort of looming
over all this is just like he's playing,

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but like what does zach Lavine's need
going to like like like that's just

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like this team is just so banged
up, and he was I think you

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could see him in some of the
games towards the talent end of the year

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year where it felt like it was
impacting him. He was still just really

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good. But we're getting to a
point where I just I'm running out of

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I can't even just tabbom ways in
which the aside from the catastrophic which I

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refused to get into, just how
does the team win this series? And

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so I tend to focus on the
front court rotation, but you're gonna need

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you know, made like is this
h I guess the thing their pathway would

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be. As I stumble through this
winning the reserve minutes where we have the

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staggering between Yannis, Chris and Drew
because Milwaukee's not exactly like a billboard for

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depth at this point either, and
so like, what is ever going on

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with George Hill. I feel like
he's had at least one trillion issues this

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season that there's never like a concrete
prognosis for what he's having. I do

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think it's good, really good for
them that brook Lopez came back before the

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year ended, but just just like
you know, I'm worried about their front

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court. And then it's if you
don't want to go to Yanna at the

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five because he played a bunch during
the regular season, just a buya portus

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and even brook Lopez like those aren't
unwinnable matchups, then for Chicago, I

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like, or rather I hate this
series a lot less for them if we

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just barely see or we only see
Yannis at the five and sort of these

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small measured reserved doses. Yeah,
I mean, I think the Bulls have

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a couple problems in this series.
The Bucks personnel just matches up well defensively

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against them, so you can put
Drew Holiday on Zach Lavine, who you

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mentioned is just not one hundred percent
right now, and I think now Zach's

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gonna get his but maybe not as
efficiently or as dynamically as he usually does.

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You can switch between Drew Chris and
Jannis on mar De Rozen at times,

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so you can throw different looks at
him throughout the course of a game

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and throughout the course of the series. And if those two guys aren't going

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like, you're gonna need Booch to
score twenty five to thirty, which is

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just not going to happen most nights. And you know Lopez sure, they're

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gonna probably continue playing the drop with
him. So maybe Vouch just gets really

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hot from three one night, but
can you do it four times and seven

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games? I don't know. And
then you're right, like the depth for

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the Bucks is not robust. They're
not going ten deep. But you know,

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the Bucks, unlike a couple other
teams that are going into the playoffs,

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having already been playing their guys thirty
seven, thirty eight, thirty nine

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minutes a night, like you know, Jannis Drew Chris all played between thirty

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two and thirty three at night,
and they're the only guys who played above

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thirty, so you know, I
know it's a joke. Is even after

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but finally figured out that you can
play your stars more minutes in the playoffs

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last year, Like maybe let's hope
he remembers that lesson because it resulted in

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a title. But you know,
they might not even have to in this

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series, like they might be able
to continue managing their minutes and saving them

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for the second round, which you
know, they get the winner of Boston

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Brooklyn and they're they're gonna be their
guys, their stars to play heavy minutes

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in that series, and look,
I don't want to be this guy.

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But there's also just the notion of
demartrozen since twenty and sixteen seventeen has about

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a fifty seven true shooting during the
regular season that drops to fifty three in

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the playoffs. Like he's had his
issues where that type of style doesn't work.

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I don't know if it's different with
this Bulls team because you have if

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Zach Lavine is fully healthy and you
have ioed to to move and do things

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running off the ball, and if
Kobe White is healthy, like there are

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a ton of outlets there, but
I'm just wondering if the Bulls will be

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able to mandate pace or style as
much. And then I'm sure or I

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know this is personnel driven and like
how they got unlucky with injuries, but

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the Bulls are so bad in defense
on live balls, they're twenty seventh and

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points about per possession after a defensive
rebound. The Bucks have the fastest offense

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in the NBA by average possession time. This just feels like a very combustible

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cocktail that is not going to explode
in favor of the Bulls. Yeah yeah,

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I mean I would be pleasantly surprised
if they even get it to five.

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Like I didn't even get to your
X factor yet and you're already giving

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them the gentleman sweet. I mean, I woun't even know if I like

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it. It might just be an
outright sweet like the Bulls have just been.

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They ran out of gas this year, and injuries are a large reason

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why. But even if they were
fully healthy, I would not take them

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in this series. Like that's just
how bad of a matchup Milwaukee is for

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them. But you raised a fair
point earlier. If they were fully healthy,

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they probably finished as a two seat
and they don't have to worry about

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this. Yeah, I guess the
pathway or not stop saying pathway, but

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the fact that the Buck's defense has
just been sort of spotty over the second

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half of the season, and maybe
that tilts the Bulls in their favor.

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Who is your Who's your X factor
for the Bulls in this series? Probably

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Booch, just because I think he
is the one guy who if he is

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playing well on both ends of the
floor, if he can contain Jannis and

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you know not just give him a
full layup line every time he drives in

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transition, if he is knocking down
his threes. You know, we shot

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thirty one point four percent from three
on the season, which is much lower

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than he has in recent years.
You know, like DeRozan and Lavine,

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you know, they're going to have
to be the main focal points of the

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Polls offense and what Milwaukee's going to
try to shut down defensively. So I

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said it earlier like they might need
Booch to be the highest scoring player on

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this team to have a chance in
the series. And I am skeptical that

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that is going to happen. I
think that's a good pick, and I

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was going to pick the same person, So I'm just gonna stick up that's

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terrible podcasting. But if I had
to nominate someone else, I would say

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it's Patrick Williams just because I think
he sees the most time on Jannie out

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of everybody. Individuals would be like, yeah, man, he's given up

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a lot of size. To be
honest, who else are you thrown at

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him? DeVante Green? They don't, that's they just don't have a good

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answer. That's part of the problem
with this series, Like they don't have

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super tall rotation players. Currently,
Tristan Thompson is thinking that it's Tristan Thompson

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time, right, Tony Bradley.
Are we gonna see it Tony Bradley Revenge

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Series? I don't know, there's
they just I mean, no team in

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the NBA has a good answer for
Yannis, to be clear, Like this

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is not just an isolated Bulls problem
here. There are very few teams that

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can even remotely slow him down.
But you know, unfortunately, we also

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know that Jannie does not know how
to take games or possessions off. And

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I say unfortunately unfortunately for the Bulls, fortunately for any fans in general.

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But like this is this just projected
as Jannis just destroying them over and over

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again and them having absolutely no way
to stuff. I don't want to veer

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too far into the hypothetical and nonsensical. Would you have felt better about the

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Bulls chances in this series had they
made the Jeremy Grand or Harrison Range trade

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in the deadline? No, I
mean again, if Lonzo was fully healthy,

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sure, then I still don't think
I would pick them against Milwaukee,

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though, And I you know,
I wonder how much that did factor into

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their thinking at the deadline, like
they might have seen, Okay, you

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know, Milwaukee looks vulnerable right now, but if they get Lopez back,

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like we, we still don't have
a great answer against Janas here. And

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you know, at the time,
I'm sure they were hoping to get a

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Lonzo back and healthy at some point, because I don't think it was clear,

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you know, at the trade deadline
that he would not play again this

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season, but he probably did have
to hedge against that possibility. So I'm

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you know, I'm frankly glad for
their sake that they didn't make dead trade,

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that they still have that in their
chamber either this summer at next year's

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trade deadline, and now we can
see you know how Patrick Williams fits with

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this group too. I'm totally with
you. I think there's almost the stuff

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we're saying. I feel like nowadates
their decision to not do something size make

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at the deadline. Who's your next
factor for the Bocks in this series A

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good question and wondering who he's gonna
injure, who's gonna nime and knock out

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for the rest of the series.
I mean, I don't even like,

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is it a cop out to say
that I don't even know that they need

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the next factor because I just think
their top three guys have such an advantage

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in this series. Like an X
factor to me is someone who can swing

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a series one way or another,
would swing a game one right or another.

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It's like, I don't know that
they need that. I mean,

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maybe Wesley Matthews just so that they
can, you know, spare Drew and

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Chris from having to shoulder so much
defensive responsibility on Zach and DeMar So if

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if West can you know, spot
those guys and like Drew can spend some

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time on Alex Carusoe or do soon
move or something like that. Maybe,

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But like I no, I again, the series feels so lapsided. It's

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like, solve the Jannas problem first, and then at that point I will

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00:17:15,440 --> 00:17:21,039
consider, Okay, maybe the Bucks
need to plan b I'm was just gonna

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00:17:21,039 --> 00:17:25,640
go with Brook Lopez for this because
I feel like I still haven't seen enough

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00:17:25,680 --> 00:17:29,599
of him. He plays in ten
games over the regular season, whatever it

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was, and if he's gonna be
able to give you like he ends up

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00:17:32,680 --> 00:17:34,960
averaging like in the mid twenties.
If he's able to give you that,

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I think that without an issue,
like without getting injured or he's like,

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does Boos give him any problems?
I can't imagine it. I'm just saying,

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if you're able to do that,
it gives you so much more optionality

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in the front court because it can
technically diminish your dependence on Bobby Portis,

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who's been a fairly streaky shooter of
late. And we know that the Bulls,

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I don't know that they're the team
that's gonna like hunt down these mismatches

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and go after guys. And I
think Bobby Porters has been better when he's

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00:18:00,880 --> 00:18:04,920
in space this season and even towards
the tail end of last year. But

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if it limits the time you have
to play Bobby Portis or in limits the

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00:18:10,400 --> 00:18:11,880
amount of time that you have to
go to Jhanness at the five because maybe

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you don't want to. I think
the Bulls will give you. I look,

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if Tristan Thompson's at the five,
you shouldn't be afraid of sending you

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Honest the five. It's just a
different type of matchup than if you're throwing

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00:18:21,559 --> 00:18:26,839
him against like convention more conventional Biggs
or stronger, more explosive Biggs. But

264
00:18:26,279 --> 00:18:30,720
brook Lopez can almost set the tone
for that set of rotation all series.

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00:18:30,759 --> 00:18:34,359
I did think about in the similar
vein of Wesley Matthews, of Pat Connaughton,

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of just like respite or reprieve?
Can he give Middleton and Drew Holiday

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00:18:41,440 --> 00:18:45,160
and even jannest from some of the
Bulls tougher assignments. But I'm also just

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like I don't want to, like
is a half hobbled zach Lavine and then

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00:18:48,359 --> 00:18:52,799
DeMar Derosen who operates like at this
methodical pace? Is that really gonna overwhelm

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00:18:52,920 --> 00:18:56,119
Drew and Chris Middleton. So I
settled on brook Lopez, But yeah,

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they were tough for me as well. What's your actual predict for this series.

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I think you already keep your hand
there. I think I'm going on

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full sweep. I don't even know
if it's going to be a gentleman sweep.

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I think it's just Bucks and four. I'm going Bulls in five because

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Milwaukee's defense has been just all over
the place for so much of this season,

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and maybe they're just like, look, if there's a team the East

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that's just going to flip a switch, it's not the Nets, it's the

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Bucks. Like that's the team that
can flip the switch. So I feel

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00:19:23,559 --> 00:19:27,359
like this is the cowards pick Bucks
in five. But I am a coward,

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So maybe I'm just trying to disrespect
my podcast co host, who is

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a Bulls fan and he's at least
realistic and knows that the season ran off

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the rails in early January. But
you know, I think, regardless of

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how this series ends, this,
you know, the first half of the

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season, it was validation for Bulls
fans that, you know, the overreaction

285
00:19:51,200 --> 00:19:53,559
to DeMar De Roses contract in particular, and like the whole sign and trade

286
00:19:53,599 --> 00:19:57,720
in general turned out to be just
that it ended up being a very good

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00:19:57,759 --> 00:20:03,559
move. You know, Patrick Williams
is only going to get better with more

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00:20:03,599 --> 00:20:07,160
experience, and you know, we'll
see what happens with Lavine this summer,

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00:20:07,240 --> 00:20:11,279
but he's given no indication that he's
seriously considering moving on. So I think

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the Bulls are going to be right
back in this mix next year, and

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hopefully they can stay a little healthier. Let's do Grizzlies Timberwolves, which I'm

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00:20:18,160 --> 00:20:22,640
infinitely interested to watch, is sort
of two teams on the come up that

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00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:26,839
I guess that the Timberwolves basically met
expectations to see. They probably seeded them

294
00:20:26,839 --> 00:20:32,359
a little bit, but the Grizzlies
obliterated them. I even said on the

295
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last podcast with I forget what's recording
with it, I'm never picking a Grizzlies

296
00:20:36,640 --> 00:20:41,559
over Under again because I'm just gonna
be fucking wrong. I'm the inverse whatever

297
00:20:41,559 --> 00:20:45,079
that team is actually doing. I'm
putting it here because I actually don't know

298
00:20:45,240 --> 00:20:48,720
that it's going to be as competitive
as some people are painting it out to

299
00:20:48,799 --> 00:20:53,920
be. And I'm just curious as
your initial thoughts on the Timberwolves Grizzlies matchup

300
00:20:55,039 --> 00:20:59,279
or Patrick Beverly's Revenge Tour Part two
after beating the Clippers. Yeah, it's

301
00:20:59,400 --> 00:21:02,920
it's hard to get a read on
this series because these teams just feel like

302
00:21:03,720 --> 00:21:07,960
they're going to present a bunch of
matchup problems for one another, and you

303
00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:12,640
know, as seeing how they adjust
mid series is going to be really interesting,

304
00:21:12,839 --> 00:21:18,359
Like, you know, do they
have to start KATV to just you

305
00:21:18,400 --> 00:21:22,559
know, continue shutting down John Moriann
or trying to do their best to shut

306
00:21:22,559 --> 00:21:26,119
down John Moran, or do they
keep going with you know, Van do

307
00:21:26,359 --> 00:21:33,440
and McDaniels and then Edwards, Towns
Russell. Memphis at least has some defensive

308
00:21:33,440 --> 00:21:38,200
personnel, particularly Dylan Brooks, who
you figure is probably going to go on

309
00:21:38,319 --> 00:21:44,839
Anthony Edwards at first, But like, how does Jock contain Daniel Russell if

310
00:21:44,839 --> 00:21:48,839
that's the matchup? Where does Desmond
Vane go? How you know, are

311
00:21:48,839 --> 00:21:52,799
they going to try to stretch out
Steven Adams with Karl Anthony Towns, which

312
00:21:52,799 --> 00:21:56,559
is Jaren Jackson Jr. Go on
Towns to see have the size to contend

313
00:21:56,559 --> 00:22:02,279
with Towns in the post like they're
there has There's a lot of mismatched potential

314
00:22:02,319 --> 00:22:06,359
here on both sides, which should
make a really entertaining series, I hope.

315
00:22:07,319 --> 00:22:11,000
Yeah. I think the main concern
and my biggest question for this series.

316
00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:18,039
I'm very interested to see how Memphis's
offense translates to the postseason, and

317
00:22:18,079 --> 00:22:22,559
maybe the Timberwolves aren't the perfect opponent
to test this out, but just a

318
00:22:22,559 --> 00:22:26,279
team that relies on getting out in
transition, hitting the offensive glass, and

319
00:22:26,279 --> 00:22:30,559
then having John Moran basically with these
moments sprinkled in from Jaren Jackson junior on

320
00:22:30,599 --> 00:22:36,039
the ball Desmond made and all that, it doesn't feel postseason proof. I'm

321
00:22:36,039 --> 00:22:37,240
wondering if this is like the team
to test it out against. I know

322
00:22:37,359 --> 00:22:41,200
Minnesota's defense has been it's been up
and down like kind of all year,

323
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and they're not the best in the
half court, and so maybe that's the

324
00:22:44,920 --> 00:22:48,920
team to sort of go up against
in this situation. But I'm just very

325
00:22:48,960 --> 00:22:52,680
curious when you look at like Memphis
is so deep, and I do think

326
00:22:52,039 --> 00:22:56,519
one of the things that we underrate
leading into the postseason is depth. And

327
00:22:56,559 --> 00:23:03,079
we kind of just inadvertently touched upon
why when you look at when you look

328
00:23:03,119 --> 00:23:07,160
at like what's going on with the
bulls and the box and certain instances,

329
00:23:07,200 --> 00:23:11,400
Minnesota has done a great job getting
back in transition after they make mistakes,

330
00:23:11,720 --> 00:23:15,160
but when they're missing shots, like
that's Memphis's opportunity to get out and run,

331
00:23:15,200 --> 00:23:18,920
and I would expect them to seize
every chance they get to do that.

332
00:23:18,359 --> 00:23:22,160
I'm still just the overarching style is
something that is my biggest question,

333
00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:25,799
Like it's one of the biggest questions
of the playoffs for me, not even

334
00:23:25,799 --> 00:23:30,799
my biggest question of this series.
Yeah, I mean, I'm fascinated because

335
00:23:32,000 --> 00:23:36,240
you know, you mentioned like Memphis
loves to get out and run. Both

336
00:23:36,279 --> 00:23:41,960
of these teams actually rank really high
in terms of an opponent turnovers, so

337
00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:45,759
you know, I think Minnesota was
third in steals per game and let the

338
00:23:45,839 --> 00:23:52,279
league and opponent turnovers. Memphis the
first in skills per game and third and

339
00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:56,960
opponent turnovers. So both teams like
to get out and run, So you

340
00:23:57,000 --> 00:24:02,680
know, I guess it's like,
you know, with certain matchups as to

341
00:24:02,759 --> 00:24:07,119
which team can impose their style upon
the other. Both of these teams kind

342
00:24:07,160 --> 00:24:10,960
of like to play the same style, so it might not be, you

343
00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:14,599
know, who could impose their style
up on the other, it's just who

344
00:24:14,599 --> 00:24:18,960
can play their style better than the
opponent, Who can be more careful with

345
00:24:18,960 --> 00:24:22,440
the ball, who can, as
you mentioned, who can attack the glass

346
00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:29,759
to the extent that you know they
typically do. Memphis led the league in

347
00:24:29,839 --> 00:24:33,640
offensive rebounds. Minnesota is pretty good
on the offensive glass, not as great

348
00:24:33,920 --> 00:24:40,440
on the defensive, so that seems
like an area of potential concern for them,

349
00:24:40,599 --> 00:24:42,720
especially, you know, given the
size that Memphis has in their front

350
00:24:42,720 --> 00:24:47,200
court. Do you think? And
I guess, And if you have another

351
00:24:47,240 --> 00:24:48,480
I didn't ask you if you had
any big questions about the last series,

352
00:24:48,480 --> 00:24:51,920
So if you have a big,
big defining question, please throw it out

353
00:24:51,960 --> 00:24:55,119
there. But I was gonna you
mention this about Towns. We saw in

354
00:24:56,000 --> 00:24:57,960
We saw in the matchups that I
saw between these teams there was a lot

355
00:24:57,960 --> 00:25:03,559
of Jaren Jackson Junior on Coom Anthony
Towns. Do you think that persuades the

356
00:25:03,559 --> 00:25:07,720
Grizzlies to tilt towards more triple J
at the five, especially in this setting?

357
00:25:07,960 --> 00:25:11,759
Or do you think I love Jade
McDaniels, I love Jared Vanderbilt,

358
00:25:11,799 --> 00:25:15,720
but did those actually give you a
way to work having two bigs like one

359
00:25:15,720 --> 00:25:18,920
of them being Steven Adams, who
has not been a liability this year.

360
00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:22,039
I was wrong on the Steven Adams
trade. Grizzlies fans have been on me

361
00:25:22,079 --> 00:25:26,039
about it all year. I'm not
saying that he's liability. It's just stylistically,

362
00:25:26,079 --> 00:25:29,359
if Towns is not the version of
Towns we saw on the playing game

363
00:25:29,400 --> 00:25:33,720
against the Clippers, he is absolutely
obliterating everybody in his path and the versatility

364
00:25:33,759 --> 00:25:37,680
he gives you from the outside in. I do think it would at least

365
00:25:37,680 --> 00:25:42,440
be tempting to lean more heavily than
you have this season on Triple J at

366
00:25:42,440 --> 00:25:47,039
the five lineups. I'm just curious
to your thoughts on there. Yeah,

367
00:25:47,119 --> 00:25:49,720
I mean, I wouldn't be surprised
if we see that throughout the course of

368
00:25:49,759 --> 00:25:53,200
the game. I'm guessing they stick
with the two bigs to start, and

369
00:25:53,359 --> 00:26:00,200
start Jaren Jackson on Towns and then
hide Steven Adams on Vando, who is

370
00:26:00,240 --> 00:26:04,480
just not a three point threat at
all. You know, probably have him

371
00:26:04,720 --> 00:26:10,799
like Sag halfway between the three point
line and Van Doos hanging out there,

372
00:26:10,839 --> 00:26:12,559
which I don't even know if he
is. I think you could probably just

373
00:26:12,599 --> 00:26:17,039
completely ignore him if he is,
because he's such a non threat from that

374
00:26:17,200 --> 00:26:21,119
area, and then just have Steven
Adams camping out post to the basket,

375
00:26:21,160 --> 00:26:26,119
because I do think, you know, I don't know if Jaren Jackson has

376
00:26:26,200 --> 00:26:30,720
the size to contend with Towns if
he's posting up right, I mean,

377
00:26:30,799 --> 00:26:33,559
he is far more versatile defensively,
and if he's out on the perimeter,

378
00:26:34,200 --> 00:26:37,640
that's exactly where you want Jaren Jackson
to be guarding him. And you know,

379
00:26:37,720 --> 00:26:42,440
we saw the Clippers had a lot
of success with smaller guys on Towns,

380
00:26:42,480 --> 00:26:48,160
Like they really frustrated him with like
their NonStop bevy of six eight to

381
00:26:48,240 --> 00:26:55,000
sixty nine wings. So you know, the Grizzlies don't have a ton of

382
00:26:55,039 --> 00:26:57,559
options on that front. But like
maybe we do see a little bit of

383
00:26:59,240 --> 00:27:03,759
I don't know, Kyle Anderson guarding
Towns at times, just throwing him different

384
00:27:03,799 --> 00:27:07,880
looks Like I would be surprised if
we see a lot of Steven Adams on

385
00:27:07,960 --> 00:27:11,519
him, because that feels like that's
one where you're just going to try to

386
00:27:11,599 --> 00:27:15,839
draw him out, you know,
space Towns to the permimeter and draw Adams

387
00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:21,200
out away from the basket. Yeah. I could see even like Brandon Clark

388
00:27:21,319 --> 00:27:25,160
or maybe a like Well depends on
it depends on whether they're going to play

389
00:27:25,200 --> 00:27:26,440
him, but I could see them
like trying as I or Williams on town

390
00:27:26,599 --> 00:27:33,119
Yeah they wanted to as well.
Yeah, No, I was gonna like

391
00:27:33,160 --> 00:27:37,640
they they have they have options,
and I think one thing that's been really

392
00:27:37,680 --> 00:27:41,400
great and one reason that Taylor Jenkins
that finds himself in the coach of the

393
00:27:41,440 --> 00:27:47,160
Year conversation is that they have a
bit afraid to experiment this season. So

394
00:27:47,519 --> 00:27:49,519
like, I think, no,
this isn't going to be a major coaching

395
00:27:49,559 --> 00:27:53,559
mismatch on either side. I think
both guys have been pretty creative with their

396
00:27:53,880 --> 00:28:00,480
usage and their personnel distribution this year. So like, I think this is

397
00:28:00,519 --> 00:28:03,839
going to be one of the more
entertaining first round series. Yeah, and

398
00:28:03,119 --> 00:28:07,079
as we're going through it, I'm
almost less sure of my what I thought

399
00:28:07,160 --> 00:28:11,519
would be just inevitability from the Grizzlies
that, Yeah, because you really dig

400
00:28:11,519 --> 00:28:15,079
into the details of Minnesota's offense fourth
and half court offense since the trade deadline,

401
00:28:15,359 --> 00:28:19,319
Anthy Edwards has like a step back
three arsenal now and he's so strong

402
00:28:19,359 --> 00:28:23,559
once he gets going downhill. D'Angel
Russell is people mentioned this already, but

403
00:28:23,599 --> 00:28:27,200
he is quietly had like a great
season. I know you look at his

404
00:28:27,279 --> 00:28:30,680
numbers and it doesn't feel that way, but he just feels like a player

405
00:28:30,720 --> 00:28:36,279
who has leveled up his IQ and
his ability to scale his skill set into

406
00:28:36,279 --> 00:28:40,880
all these different types of lineups,
and that could in theory, like the

407
00:28:40,920 --> 00:28:45,759
way that Memphis defends, it's not
really built on individuality in any way that

408
00:28:45,759 --> 00:28:48,279
they have Dylan Brooks, So it's
just Dylan Brooks. You go chase one

409
00:28:48,319 --> 00:28:52,200
of those guys around at any given
point. But then it's how do you

410
00:28:52,400 --> 00:28:55,119
divvy up those assignments? Like who
is it Desmond Bane then is going to

411
00:28:55,160 --> 00:28:56,839
get the other one? Who are
we seeing? Like who are the two

412
00:28:56,839 --> 00:29:02,119
most important defenders one of the Grizzlies
in this series? On the primiter because

413
00:29:02,160 --> 00:29:04,200
I know Janet Jackson Jr. In
the Defensive Player of the Year discussion,

414
00:29:04,200 --> 00:29:08,799
he made my all on All Defense
first team. Who's the second most important

415
00:29:08,799 --> 00:29:15,640
defender for Memphis this series? I
mean just in terms of how often or

416
00:29:15,720 --> 00:29:18,720
like in terms of minutes distribution,
It's probably going to be Desmond Vane.

417
00:29:18,839 --> 00:29:23,319
But I think you know, de
Anthony Melton's probably going to get some time

418
00:29:23,559 --> 00:29:29,799
on probably more Russell than Edwards.
I mean, you know the problem for

419
00:29:30,400 --> 00:29:36,079
really both of those guys is that
like Edwards is what six four, but

420
00:29:36,160 --> 00:29:41,480
he is big and strong? Yeah
yeah, and like Russell is you know,

421
00:29:41,720 --> 00:29:45,799
not nearly as he's six four as
well, but he's not nearly as

422
00:29:45,839 --> 00:29:52,400
big, So I think Melton has
a much better chance against against Russell than

423
00:29:52,480 --> 00:29:55,759
he does Edwards. And we saw, you know, a couple of years

424
00:29:55,759 --> 00:30:00,039
ago in that Net Sixers first round
series, like Ben Simmons just completely erased

425
00:30:00,119 --> 00:30:07,079
D'Angel Russell from existence. So I
think there is some concern about that.

426
00:30:07,400 --> 00:30:11,160
But I don't know that the Grizzlies
have someone who can like maybe Zaire Williams

427
00:30:11,319 --> 00:30:17,039
on Russell at times, like it's
it's just going to be so interesting to

428
00:30:17,079 --> 00:30:21,599
see how they deploy their personnel and
who matches up with who because they have

429
00:30:21,720 --> 00:30:25,400
so many options, and like,
yeah, I mean I think if if

430
00:30:25,480 --> 00:30:30,960
when they start off, I'm gonna
guess I'll be Brooks on Edwards probably being

431
00:30:32,079 --> 00:30:37,440
on Russell and then on Beverly just
because you're not super afraid of Patrick Beverley

432
00:30:37,559 --> 00:30:42,559
offensively, and then that maybe is
a way for Jah to preserve more of

433
00:30:42,559 --> 00:30:48,279
his energy for offense. But then
yeah, once you start, you know,

434
00:30:48,640 --> 00:30:53,079
bringing in some of these bench guys, like everything goes out the window.

435
00:30:53,119 --> 00:30:56,559
Who knows You're going to see a
lot of cross matching. I think

436
00:30:56,279 --> 00:31:03,359
I'm curious. I feel like the
Grizzlies might see an opportunity to use in

437
00:31:03,440 --> 00:31:07,240
certain spots or won't be afraid to
put Desmond Bain or John Morant on D'Angelo

438
00:31:07,319 --> 00:31:11,880
Russell, just because he doesn't play
it like hyper speed. Yet they have

439
00:31:12,000 --> 00:31:15,720
the requisite personnel to where if you
want to attack those guys off screens.

440
00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:18,599
I think Desmond Baine's gotten better there, and so was John Morant. Ever

441
00:31:18,640 --> 00:31:22,640
since his first injury came back.
He's been better there as well, where

442
00:31:22,680 --> 00:31:25,960
it's more workable. Whereas if you
put them on Anthony Edwards then yeah,

443
00:31:25,960 --> 00:31:29,000
that would be the issue, and
so I would agree with your sentiments there

444
00:31:29,039 --> 00:31:32,440
as well. This is on the
flip side of this series. Can you

445
00:31:32,559 --> 00:31:37,599
guess who spent the most time defending
John Morant in the entire league this year?

446
00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:44,480
Oh? Well, I would venture
I would hope for the tipper wolf

447
00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:47,359
sake, it was Patrick Beverley.
It was I kind of gave it away

448
00:31:47,440 --> 00:31:52,359
there. I found it interesting just
because I Perfelly missed so much time this

449
00:31:52,440 --> 00:31:56,240
year, but yet he played in
all four games against This is an imperfect

450
00:31:56,279 --> 00:32:00,480
stat I am, at least using
the team performance. He Grizzlies averaged one

451
00:32:00,559 --> 00:32:07,440
point zero three points per possession when
Patrick Beverley was tracked as the primary defender

452
00:32:07,440 --> 00:32:12,720
on John Morant. The only thing
I can say here is there is there's

453
00:32:12,759 --> 00:32:17,039
the legend of Patrick Beverley, there's
the hatred of Patrick Beverley, and then

454
00:32:17,039 --> 00:32:21,400
there's the truth, like somewhere in
the middle. Yeah, I just I'm

455
00:32:21,440 --> 00:32:24,680
praying for John Morant's needs to be
okay, because this is just someone who

456
00:32:24,759 --> 00:32:29,119
is all over the place. I'm
not even trying to like Parken back to

457
00:32:29,160 --> 00:32:31,680
the Russell Westbrook trying to call a
time out saying in twenty thirteen and Patrick

458
00:32:31,720 --> 00:32:36,119
Beverley goes after him. He just
plays such a physical style of defense.

459
00:32:36,200 --> 00:32:39,640
We've seen Morant I have just dealt
with a nice brain that he's not unless

460
00:32:39,640 --> 00:32:44,839
I'm misremembering the injury there, that's
not actually like a factor I'm thinking about

461
00:32:44,880 --> 00:32:49,039
leading into this series. But that
is probably to me, the most important

462
00:32:49,640 --> 00:32:53,240
individual matchup, just because if Patrick
Beverley does make life difficult on Morant to

463
00:32:53,279 --> 00:32:59,000
where he's not hitting his shots or
getting to his usual spots or just not

464
00:32:59,079 --> 00:33:05,240
getting the ball or referring entirely,
that really compromises the state of Memphis's offense.

465
00:33:05,279 --> 00:33:07,440
Because I know they've been really good
without him. But there's a difference

466
00:33:07,480 --> 00:33:12,640
between like Taias Jones game manager,
never turning the ball over, and then

467
00:33:12,720 --> 00:33:15,920
John Morant, someone who can create
something out of nothing from anywhere on the

468
00:33:15,920 --> 00:33:21,440
floor. Yeah, totally. I
mean that that opens the door to an

469
00:33:21,480 --> 00:33:25,359
upset if Beverly. You know,
I'm not gonna say he's gonna break even

470
00:33:25,519 --> 00:33:29,119
with Jock, and I think John
is still going to get his But if

471
00:33:29,119 --> 00:33:32,200
he can keep him to a relatively
inefficient night, if he can prevent him

472
00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:37,920
from exploding to the basket that the
way he usually does, you know it's

473
00:33:37,920 --> 00:33:40,519
going to reduce the strain on Towns. Is the last line of defense too,

474
00:33:42,039 --> 00:33:45,759
especially if he's I'm guessing when Adams
is in, he can guard Adams.

475
00:33:45,880 --> 00:33:50,319
He can put Vando on JJJ.
But you know, if they're doing

476
00:33:50,359 --> 00:33:54,039
these JJJ at the five lineups,
Towns is going to have to drift out

477
00:33:54,079 --> 00:33:58,799
to the perimeter to guard him.
And then if John's on the other side

478
00:33:58,799 --> 00:34:00,480
of the court and his exploded the
basket, there's not gonna be enough found

479
00:34:00,480 --> 00:34:06,039
to recovery. So there will be
a lot of responsibility on Patrick Beverley.

480
00:34:06,119 --> 00:34:09,760
But if we know Patrick Beverley.
He's certainly going to I don't know if

481
00:34:09,760 --> 00:34:14,199
he's going to like meet the challenge, but he's going to be up for

482
00:34:14,239 --> 00:34:19,239
the challenge. My final question on
this is who is more important to the

483
00:34:19,280 --> 00:34:25,760
Timberwolves in this specific series, Jared
Vanderbilt or Jane McDaniels. Oh man,

484
00:34:25,840 --> 00:34:36,360
that's toff. I mean Vando.
I'm assuming we'll continue starting, but I

485
00:34:36,400 --> 00:34:42,880
mean again, like the depth of
Memphis has been one of the biggest selling

486
00:34:42,920 --> 00:34:45,039
points this season, as you just
mentioned, especially when Joe was out,

487
00:34:45,159 --> 00:34:50,639
Like they just didn't miss a beat
here, whereas it like the Timberwolves have.

488
00:34:51,440 --> 00:34:53,320
You know, they can go eight
or nine deep, but like you

489
00:34:53,360 --> 00:35:02,440
don't feel super great about it.
So if vand I mean he's not going

490
00:35:02,480 --> 00:35:07,559
to stretch the floor at all,
but if he's such a non factor offensively

491
00:35:07,719 --> 00:35:13,760
that they can hide Steven Adams on
him and get away with it, I

492
00:35:13,800 --> 00:35:17,000
think that's going to be an issue
for the Timberwolves starting group. So I

493
00:35:17,360 --> 00:35:22,360
for that reason, I lean Vando, But I mean McDaniels is going to

494
00:35:22,440 --> 00:35:28,840
be a big piece off the bench, Like if they can't hold their own

495
00:35:29,079 --> 00:35:34,320
in the you know bench plus starters
minutes or like once they once they get

496
00:35:34,360 --> 00:35:37,440
some of the starters off the floor, that's when Memphis can really start to

497
00:35:37,440 --> 00:35:42,840
expand the lead. Like if you
know, if the Timberwolves and Grizzly starters

498
00:35:43,960 --> 00:35:49,119
played relatively even, Memphis is depth, I think is one area where you

499
00:35:49,119 --> 00:35:52,880
know that's late first, early second, late third, early fourth quarter,

500
00:35:52,960 --> 00:35:57,280
that's when they can start to break
some games open. I'm with Jared Vanderbill

501
00:35:57,320 --> 00:36:00,199
as well, who's my X factor
for this series? If only because as

502
00:36:00,199 --> 00:36:02,679
you mentioned that the Demolves have struggled
on the defensive glass. We know what

503
00:36:02,719 --> 00:36:07,320
Memphis does on the offensive glass.
And if you're going to tip the scales

504
00:36:07,400 --> 00:36:10,639
or at least even out those scales
in your favor, they need Vanderbilt more

505
00:36:10,679 --> 00:36:15,440
than they do Jade McDaniels. And
I think the Grizzlies will play Steve Adams

506
00:36:15,440 --> 00:36:19,000
and Jaren Jackson Junior enough to where
it makes sense to have Vanderbilt on the

507
00:36:19,000 --> 00:36:22,639
court when if they go to a
one big lineup or just a Jaren Jackson

508
00:36:22,679 --> 00:36:25,760
Junior and any other big lineup.
Yeah, you could think about maybe trying

509
00:36:25,760 --> 00:36:31,239
to get away with Jade McDaniels more. But I think if the Grizzlies had

510
00:36:31,280 --> 00:36:35,199
like a point of attack wing like
a Paul George. And we saw Jane

511
00:36:35,239 --> 00:36:37,679
McDaniels get time on him in the
playing game, then yeah, Jade McDaniels

512
00:36:37,719 --> 00:36:42,280
is more important there, but he
would be. He's actually my biggest X

513
00:36:42,320 --> 00:36:45,719
factor on the Wolves. I did. I flirted with Malik Beasley a little

514
00:36:45,719 --> 00:36:50,039
bit. And it's not that I
couldn't talk myself into him mattering as much

515
00:36:50,039 --> 00:36:52,719
in this series. It's more so
just like and like, it's not you

516
00:36:52,760 --> 00:36:55,039
know, yeah, if he wants
to break up some of the Memphis bench

517
00:36:55,079 --> 00:36:59,119
heavy units, but rotations shortens,
so I'm not sure how much of like

518
00:36:59,480 --> 00:37:02,000
that responsibility is going to fall on
him or how much of the heavier bench

519
00:37:02,039 --> 00:37:06,039
units we're going to see from Memphis
in the playoffs. And so I couldn't,

520
00:37:06,360 --> 00:37:08,280
like I kept just coming back to
like De'angel Russell and Anthy Edwards are

521
00:37:08,280 --> 00:37:12,960
going to dictate all the terms on
the perimeter for Minnesota. Who was your

522
00:37:13,000 --> 00:37:15,519
ex factor for this team? I
mean, Beverly is the obvious one for

523
00:37:15,599 --> 00:37:20,719
the defense against Job, but honestly
it might be De'angelo Russell. You brought

524
00:37:20,760 --> 00:37:24,400
him up earlier, like he's quietly
had a very good steady season for them,

525
00:37:24,440 --> 00:37:29,000
and you know when Towns was struggling
to be extant that he did against

526
00:37:29,039 --> 00:37:32,760
the Clippers, like here he is
with twenty nine points to help build him

527
00:37:32,760 --> 00:37:37,840
out along with Anthony Edwards. So
you know, assuming that Brooks is on

528
00:37:37,000 --> 00:37:44,599
Edwards and if Brooks can help limit
edwards effectiveness, we'll see how Towns fares

529
00:37:44,639 --> 00:37:47,440
against the double bigs or against you
know, whichever guy he has ended up

530
00:37:47,480 --> 00:37:52,239
guarding him for most of this series. If de Angelo Russell can win his

531
00:37:52,360 --> 00:37:58,519
individual matchup, I think that opens
the door for a Minnesota upset. Who's

532
00:37:58,559 --> 00:38:04,239
your ex factor for Memphis? Can
I pick like ending their entire bench?

533
00:38:04,599 --> 00:38:10,000
Is that? Is that allowed?
Probably Melton? I mean, he's just

534
00:38:10,039 --> 00:38:15,639
been so effing good and it makes
me mad that they have so many capable

535
00:38:15,679 --> 00:38:19,679
bill handlers. But again, if
he's you know, if he if he

536
00:38:19,760 --> 00:38:25,679
winds up getting some of the Russell
defensive minutes and you can help like actually

537
00:38:25,679 --> 00:38:30,519
win that matchup, and then it's
still going to be you know, a

538
00:38:30,559 --> 00:38:34,079
guy who can run the offense whenever
Jah's off the floor and never turn the

539
00:38:34,119 --> 00:38:37,119
ball over, which is going to
be important against a Timberwolves team that likes

540
00:38:37,159 --> 00:38:43,559
to force a bunch of turnovers.
If he's knocking down outside shots whenever you

541
00:38:43,559 --> 00:38:47,440
know someone's passing it to him.
Yeah, I think that's that's probably my

542
00:38:47,559 --> 00:38:52,920
call there. What about you,
I'm with Desmond Vain because I think there

543
00:38:52,920 --> 00:38:55,119
are two instances. For me,
you're playing with Jah, you're in the

544
00:38:55,199 --> 00:38:59,559
you're in the Grizzlies best lineup if
they take the ball out of his hands,

545
00:38:59,679 --> 00:39:01,480
or if he just doesn't have it
going, like someone else aside from

546
00:39:01,559 --> 00:39:06,400
Jaren Jackson Junior is gonna need to
make plays with the ball. I think

547
00:39:06,400 --> 00:39:09,239
he's probably best equipped or the one
that's most likely going to fall to in

548
00:39:09,239 --> 00:39:13,360
this series. And then the other
thing is like if we see that the

549
00:39:13,400 --> 00:39:16,039
Grizzlies want to get away with some
of their bench heavier rotations, especially when

550
00:39:16,039 --> 00:39:20,559
you look at their perimeter personnel,
just having him next to Thias Jones,

551
00:39:21,119 --> 00:39:24,639
he's mission critical in my opinion of
keeping then those lineups to float where Oh

552
00:39:24,760 --> 00:39:29,679
Jaws not on the court and Jaren
Jackson Junior is But like, if you

553
00:39:29,719 --> 00:39:34,440
have Thias Jones, it's just different
from having John Morant there. And perhaps

554
00:39:34,480 --> 00:39:37,679
Dylan Brooks fancies himself everything that I'm
talking about, right, I just think

555
00:39:37,679 --> 00:39:42,480
that Desmond Maine is more equipped to
do it, and just given the year,

556
00:39:42,480 --> 00:39:44,599
if he had like yay Peter Dodd
a little bit in the middle of

557
00:39:44,639 --> 00:39:47,159
the year and then like came on
strong after that again, but I feel

558
00:39:47,199 --> 00:39:50,639
like he's just going to be so
important to this. The state of this

559
00:39:50,719 --> 00:39:54,000
team's half court offense, both with
and without Jaw on the floor. Yeah,

560
00:39:54,039 --> 00:40:00,320
I mean they were low volume,
middling efficiency point shooting team, and

561
00:40:00,400 --> 00:40:06,039
you know, he was the one, very lone exception to that was shooting

562
00:40:06,320 --> 00:40:08,960
forty three point six percent almost seven
three point at times per game. So

563
00:40:09,480 --> 00:40:14,119
if shots aren't falling for him,
they yeah, the Grizzlies could find themselves

564
00:40:14,199 --> 00:40:19,400
in a bit of a math problem. What is your prediction for Grizzlies.

565
00:40:19,840 --> 00:40:22,559
I talked to myself in this being
a closer series than I thought. Yeah,

566
00:40:22,679 --> 00:40:25,440
yeah, I meant and I were
talking about this a couple of weeks

567
00:40:25,440 --> 00:40:30,360
ago when it started to seem like
these two teams might be one another,

568
00:40:30,480 --> 00:40:34,079
and we're like, man, this
series is actually quld be really really fun.

569
00:40:35,519 --> 00:40:40,039
I lean Grizzlies in six, but
I don't feel particularly strong about it,

570
00:40:40,119 --> 00:40:44,280
Like I don't think it's going to
be a sweep either way. But

571
00:40:44,960 --> 00:40:46,800
I could see Grizzlies in five,
I could see six, I could see

572
00:40:46,840 --> 00:40:51,639
seven, or I could see a
Typer Bowls upset. So I think a

573
00:40:51,639 --> 00:40:55,599
lot depends on you know, John
miss a ton of time late in the

574
00:40:55,639 --> 00:40:59,719
year. He did come back to
those final regular season games, but as

575
00:40:59,719 --> 00:41:02,519
you met, can he stay healthy? Is he fully one hundred percent at

576
00:41:02,519 --> 00:41:07,440
this point? Especially dealing with the
past like Beverly And then yeah, like,

577
00:41:07,559 --> 00:41:13,199
how do each of these teams handle
the individual matchup problems that the other

578
00:41:13,239 --> 00:41:17,880
poses. There's a lot of variants
in this series. I think I'm going

579
00:41:17,920 --> 00:41:21,599
Grizzlies and six as well, But
I'm at I'm where you're at right now.

580
00:41:21,639 --> 00:41:25,079
I went into this discussion and in
my notes of the Google doc Grizzlies

581
00:41:25,119 --> 00:41:28,320
in five, Like, I just
thought people over reading the Timberwolves. I

582
00:41:28,320 --> 00:41:30,800
don't know if I'm reading too much
into what they showed against the Clippers after

583
00:41:30,800 --> 00:41:34,840
Towns found out if you start to
dig into the individual matchups, and it's

584
00:41:34,880 --> 00:41:39,400
just my huge question of how does
Memphis's offense translate to the postseason still looms.

585
00:41:39,440 --> 00:41:44,400
I'm picking them anyway. Maybe that's
an insult to Karl Anthony Towns.

586
00:41:44,440 --> 00:41:47,760
I just I hate one game referendums
in the NBA because there are so many

587
00:41:47,840 --> 00:41:52,719
games. But like, he did
not do himself any favors in that the

588
00:41:52,719 --> 00:41:55,639
Clippers playing game. But you also
have to assume that he's going his default

589
00:41:55,719 --> 00:42:00,039
is going to be closer to his
world beating performances for most of this season

590
00:42:00,079 --> 00:42:04,360
and anything drastic there. And so
like if Karnathy Towns is having a huge

591
00:42:04,360 --> 00:42:07,239
series, yeah, you have Jared
Jackson, and you're like, I don't

592
00:42:07,239 --> 00:42:09,599
necessarily know what Memphis. His answer
is to that, like you when you

593
00:42:09,599 --> 00:42:14,119
go to the top of the roster
Minnesota, between Anthie Edwards and Angel rush

594
00:42:14,119 --> 00:42:19,199
On and Clonothy town just has a
lot more overall offensive talent. So one

595
00:42:19,239 --> 00:42:22,639
of my most intriguing series that I
thought initially that the Grizzlies were just going

596
00:42:22,719 --> 00:42:30,039
to roll through. Let's do Utah
Dallas, which the caveat here is Luca

597
00:42:30,119 --> 00:42:36,519
Donch has that high ankle's brain or
straight left calf, excuse me, and

598
00:42:36,840 --> 00:42:40,480
the MAVs have not as of this
recording, announced money he's gonna be back,

599
00:42:40,559 --> 00:42:44,760
or a timetable for his return.
He's basically been listed as day to

600
00:42:44,840 --> 00:42:49,320
day which seems you know, part
and parcel of this type of injury instre

601
00:42:49,440 --> 00:42:52,320
closed. Jeff Stotts had talked about
like players have returned in as little as

602
00:42:52,360 --> 00:42:54,840
three days, and then the Mavericks
dealt with I can't remember who he said

603
00:42:54,840 --> 00:42:59,480
on the roster had this similar injury
this season, but they missed like twelve

604
00:42:59,559 --> 00:43:02,440
or fourteen days or whatever it was. As long as it's not extensive,

605
00:43:02,679 --> 00:43:07,000
like I would, I'd be shocked
if Luca isn't playing in game one.

606
00:43:07,159 --> 00:43:09,800
I'd be really shocked if he wasn't
playing by by game two. And so

607
00:43:09,840 --> 00:43:13,719
with the specter of his injury looming
over the series, like, what are

608
00:43:13,800 --> 00:43:17,840
just your overarching thoughts here? Yeah, I mean that is the big question.

609
00:43:17,960 --> 00:43:22,599
And I like perhaps the Vegas for
having a line out right now on

610
00:43:22,679 --> 00:43:27,639
this series, because I'd be terrified
to make a prediction or bet on this

611
00:43:27,920 --> 00:43:30,639
not knowing if or when Luca's going
to come back. It's like it is

612
00:43:30,679 --> 00:43:37,039
simple enough to say if he misses
the whole series, or if he misses

613
00:43:37,079 --> 00:43:40,760
even a couple of games of this
series, that swings it heavily in Utah's

614
00:43:40,840 --> 00:43:45,920
favor. But if he's you know, there in game one and you know

615
00:43:45,000 --> 00:43:50,039
the good thing about his game is
that he's not overly reliant. He's not

616
00:43:50,119 --> 00:43:53,639
John Marette, not overly reliant on
his athleticism or his explosiveness, Like he's

617
00:43:53,679 --> 00:43:58,760
gonna kind of lumper his way in
the basket anyway. So if he can

618
00:43:58,840 --> 00:44:02,480
continue to do that, that makes
this, you know, I think much

619
00:44:02,480 --> 00:44:07,199
more of a toss up than what
the current lines would suggest to Utah is

620
00:44:07,280 --> 00:44:10,960
a decent favorite in the series,
but I think that is factoring in the

621
00:44:12,000 --> 00:44:16,599
possibility of Luca missing somewhere all of
it. Yeah, I mean his ankle,

622
00:44:16,639 --> 00:44:19,840
are keep wanting an ankle? Where's
their own? With me? His

623
00:44:19,880 --> 00:44:22,360
cashtrain is clearly the biggest question in
the series. My actual I'm going to

624
00:44:22,480 --> 00:44:25,239
just assume that the Mavericks are at
full strength at some point. My biggest

625
00:44:25,320 --> 00:44:30,239
question is is this team, even
though they have Luca, maybe not built

626
00:44:30,679 --> 00:44:35,480
to exploit the Jazz's defense as much
as other teams would be. And that's

627
00:44:35,719 --> 00:44:37,280
I'm not taking a pot shot against
Golbert. It's just that where the Jazz

628
00:44:37,280 --> 00:44:42,199
have struggled the two areas we're looking
at, it's just athleticism and so Rudy

629
00:44:42,239 --> 00:44:45,360
Gobert is so much responsibility because guys
can't because guys in the primer can't stay

630
00:44:45,400 --> 00:44:49,280
in front of their other guys,
or if you want to bring him higher,

631
00:44:49,320 --> 00:44:52,599
he's fully capable of doing that.
They also just don't have like the

632
00:44:52,679 --> 00:44:57,119
players behind him as help rim protectors
that allow them to do that. The

633
00:44:57,119 --> 00:45:00,079
other thing though, is that they
can be beaten in transition, like off

634
00:45:00,159 --> 00:45:04,159
of Missus like they can be and
especially off of Turner, but off of

635
00:45:04,159 --> 00:45:07,000
Missus they can be beaten in transition. I would argue because it's not Rudy

636
00:45:07,079 --> 00:45:10,599
Gobert's primary like if you want him
to be under the glass at all,

637
00:45:10,679 --> 00:45:14,079
or if he's gonna be so close
to the basket, it's gonna be harder

638
00:45:14,119 --> 00:45:16,480
for him to get back than all
the other guys. The Mavericks, even

639
00:45:16,519 --> 00:45:19,880
post trade deadline, like, this
is not a team that's not going to

640
00:45:19,920 --> 00:45:22,599
get out in transition, and so
I'm just wondering if that gives them more

641
00:45:22,639 --> 00:45:27,760
time to sort of set up Utah, to set up their defense. And

642
00:45:28,079 --> 00:45:30,639
whereas if this were a Clippers team
that could play smaller, or if it

643
00:45:30,679 --> 00:45:34,559
were just if it were if it
was a Minnesota team, if it was

644
00:45:34,559 --> 00:45:37,480
the Warriors, they're just all these
other teams that I think might be better

645
00:45:37,519 --> 00:45:44,840
equipped to exacerbate our biggest concerns about
the Jazz. And I'm almost I don't

646
00:45:44,880 --> 00:45:46,760
know if that tip, like,
if that should make the Jazz favorites in

647
00:45:46,760 --> 00:45:50,480
this series. Even if Luke is
playing, we know that he's going to

648
00:45:50,559 --> 00:45:53,440
get into the half court and he
will just pick them apart at points.

649
00:45:53,719 --> 00:45:58,360
There's just like if they're set,
like there's just so much of a difference

650
00:45:58,400 --> 00:46:01,039
there for them. Yeah, I
just looked it up. The Jazz.

651
00:46:01,519 --> 00:46:08,159
Sorry, the Mavericks were twenty nine
in frequency of transition opportunities throughout the regular

652
00:46:08,199 --> 00:46:12,239
season. They were, they climbed
all the way to twenty six. They

653
00:46:12,280 --> 00:46:15,079
after the trade inline though, oh
wow, But yeah, they were tied

654
00:46:15,119 --> 00:46:19,519
with Houston for a dead last.
So it's a good shout there. And

655
00:46:19,559 --> 00:46:21,880
you're right, I mean, I
think, you know, what we've seen

656
00:46:22,239 --> 00:46:28,639
foil the Jazz in recent postseasons probably
won't be as much of a factor in

657
00:46:28,679 --> 00:46:31,960
this series as it would be,
you know, presuming that the Suns move

658
00:46:32,039 --> 00:46:38,159
on in a potential second round series
for them, where I would have great

659
00:46:38,199 --> 00:46:43,840
concern over their ability to corral Chris
Paul, Devin Booker Mchael Bridges, so

660
00:46:44,000 --> 00:46:49,639
on and so forth. You know, the Mavericks do have that guard trio

661
00:46:49,880 --> 00:46:53,480
of Don Hitch, Jalen Brentson and
Spencer Didn't Winnie now. But again,

662
00:46:53,519 --> 00:46:59,880
like Dinwitty is also not an explosive
athlete who's going to you know, roast

663
00:47:00,039 --> 00:47:04,320
you off the dribble and like be
past Gobert by the time he has a

664
00:47:04,440 --> 00:47:08,880
chance to rotate back over like I
would think he would have time to get

665
00:47:08,920 --> 00:47:13,000
back into position by the time Spencer
didn when he got into the basket.

666
00:47:13,000 --> 00:47:20,960
Brunson is probably the big concern there. I do wonder if the Jazz have

667
00:47:21,559 --> 00:47:27,760
the personnel to contain Luca, and
I think that's probably the biggest concern on

668
00:47:28,280 --> 00:47:32,000
their part. You know, Royce
O'Neill is six four to twenty six,

669
00:47:32,079 --> 00:47:36,159
so he's going to be giving up
a couple inches on Luca and Lloyd Nose.

670
00:47:36,280 --> 00:47:40,159
Luca is not afraid to shoot those
step back threes at a moment's notice.

671
00:47:40,719 --> 00:47:46,400
You know, Mitchell and Conley are
both six one. Boyan mcdonovich is

672
00:47:46,440 --> 00:47:52,440
not anyone's idea of a wing stopper. So you know, Rudy Gay has

673
00:47:52,480 --> 00:47:55,000
been in an out of the rotation
like maybe it's a Daniel House series,

674
00:47:55,119 --> 00:48:00,440
Like that might be other than Royce
O'Neill Daniel House. It might be Utah's

675
00:48:00,440 --> 00:48:07,199
best option against Luca, which is
kind of scary. Yeah, I mean,

676
00:48:07,280 --> 00:48:09,639
I wouldn't disagree with you because if
you had to ask me who spends

677
00:48:09,719 --> 00:48:14,599
the second largest share of possessions guarding
Luca at this point on the Jazz,

678
00:48:15,159 --> 00:48:17,840
I'm gonna pick Daniel House. It
can't be Conley or Mitchell. You don't

679
00:48:17,880 --> 00:48:22,960
want it to be Boya Madonovich.
It definitely can't be Jordan Clarkson. So

680
00:48:22,079 --> 00:48:24,840
yeah, I think like this this
is a Daniel House series, and so

681
00:48:24,920 --> 00:48:29,800
far as they can be a Daniel
House series, because this is Daniel House

682
00:48:29,800 --> 00:48:32,079
series. And to be fair,
like he did give utahsom like s fifty

683
00:48:32,159 --> 00:48:37,400
minutes they picked them up. But
that's just like if we're talking, it's

684
00:48:37,480 --> 00:48:40,960
just we're back to the discussion of
should they have stood basically pat at the

685
00:48:40,960 --> 00:48:45,119
deadline or done more than just aim
for tax savings, And the answer is

686
00:48:45,199 --> 00:48:51,679
yeah, they should have done more
than that. I'm I'm like simultaneously shocked.

687
00:48:51,679 --> 00:48:52,760
I looked up before we were doing
this, how many possessions of the

688
00:48:52,800 --> 00:48:57,119
Mavericks have rolled out their three guards
together and it was two hundred and twenty

689
00:48:57,119 --> 00:49:00,320
six possessions, which was higher than
I expected, but like still too low

690
00:49:00,639 --> 00:49:04,320
for me. And I'm just like, if you went to that look,

691
00:49:04,599 --> 00:49:07,800
if you're Dallas, and yeah,
there's the issue of rounding out the rest

692
00:49:07,840 --> 00:49:10,199
of the lineup. You're probably going
with Phinney Smith is definitely in every single

693
00:49:10,199 --> 00:49:13,880
one of those looks, and then
I'm assuming you'll just go Kleeba or Powell

694
00:49:13,960 --> 00:49:16,039
to have and an actual big I
don't know if you're you're not brazen enough

695
00:49:16,079 --> 00:49:21,079
to go with Dorian Finny Smith and
Reggie Bullock, like the Jazz are gonna

696
00:49:21,079 --> 00:49:24,840
everybody Gobert on the court for ninety
eight percent of this series? How does

697
00:49:24,960 --> 00:49:30,199
if you went to that though,
Like the individual matchups start to get even

698
00:49:30,199 --> 00:49:35,480
more difficult for you job because it's
O'Neil on Luca. I guess you put

699
00:49:35,599 --> 00:49:39,840
House on Brunson or would it be
Dinwitty, like he's on one of those

700
00:49:39,880 --> 00:49:44,079
two, and then it's like,
okay, who is Maybe you put him

701
00:49:44,079 --> 00:49:47,440
on Brunson because Brunson's so much quicker
than then Witty, And then it's oh,

702
00:49:47,480 --> 00:49:52,079
okay, like Donovan Mitchell or Conley
or Boyan Bodonovitch has to chase arounds,

703
00:49:52,079 --> 00:49:55,119
but like Bens or Dinwoody, I
don't know. Maybe Conley's capable of

704
00:49:55,119 --> 00:50:00,760
handling the Dinwoody assignment, and so
perhaps I'm overstating this significance of if the

705
00:50:00,760 --> 00:50:04,119
Mavericks decided to go to this three
guard look. But I think that's one

706
00:50:04,199 --> 00:50:07,159
way that they could make Utah really
uncomfortable in this series, given that they

707
00:50:07,159 --> 00:50:12,920
don't have the typical small ball lineups
that could do the same like other teams

708
00:50:12,920 --> 00:50:14,639
doing. Again, I want to
make it clear, I don't think Rudy

709
00:50:14,679 --> 00:50:17,679
Gobert is the issue in a small
ball lineups. It's pretty much everything else

710
00:50:17,719 --> 00:50:21,800
about the Jazz that is the issue. Yeah, right, correct, And

711
00:50:22,159 --> 00:50:24,440
I agree with you if that would
not Like you know, there's always like

712
00:50:24,599 --> 00:50:30,039
one big, big series adjustment,
especially for a team that's like down two,

713
00:50:30,079 --> 00:50:32,920
one h three. Oh. I
think that is the obvious one for

714
00:50:34,199 --> 00:50:37,639
Dallas to try to make. That's
it. I mean, if Reggie Bullock

715
00:50:37,719 --> 00:50:42,159
is knocking down his shots, I
know he's been somewhat inconsistent this year,

716
00:50:42,599 --> 00:50:45,519
like he is going to get the
starting nod at the start of the series

717
00:50:45,639 --> 00:50:50,199
next to Brunson and you know knock
on Wood next to Luca as well,

718
00:50:50,239 --> 00:50:54,199
assuming health. But yeah, I
mean I think the more ball handlers you

719
00:50:54,280 --> 00:51:00,480
have on the floor, especially against
the Jazz team that really struggles to contain

720
00:51:00,559 --> 00:51:04,800
the dribble, the better off you're
going to be. How do you feel

721
00:51:04,840 --> 00:51:10,199
about this series from a Donovan Mitchell
perspective, I mean, you go back

722
00:51:10,239 --> 00:51:17,400
to it feels similar to Memphis Minnesota
where it's like both teams just don't really

723
00:51:17,440 --> 00:51:23,519
have a ton of great answers against
and either of their other stars. So

724
00:51:23,599 --> 00:51:29,079
like, you know, go back
to if we're assuming Brunson, Bullock,

725
00:51:29,199 --> 00:51:35,000
don Finny Smith, Powell are starting, like I'm assuming Finney Smith gets the

726
00:51:36,280 --> 00:51:43,480
Mitchell assignment because there just isn't another
great option in that's starting five. I

727
00:51:43,519 --> 00:51:45,679
think I have to agree with you
there when you play Finny Smith and Bullock

728
00:51:45,800 --> 00:51:49,960
together, Bullock could do it,
like he defends a lot of smaller guards,

729
00:51:50,400 --> 00:51:54,039
But Dorian Finney Smith is the type
of defender where I didn't mention him

730
00:51:54,039 --> 00:51:57,159
as a honorable mentions when we did
her all defense, and I should have,

731
00:51:57,239 --> 00:51:59,679
Like he's the guy that's just like
whoever the best player on the other

732
00:51:59,679 --> 00:52:04,079
team is short of them being maybe
a center just Dory Finny Smith go guard

733
00:52:04,119 --> 00:52:07,400
them right right right. And part
of it's out of necessity too, because

734
00:52:07,400 --> 00:52:12,760
they just don't really have with all
due respect to your boy Frankie Smokes,

735
00:52:12,800 --> 00:52:20,679
they like they don't have the personnel
to they don't have that like lockdown wing

736
00:52:20,800 --> 00:52:24,280
defender on this roster other than him, or like a lockdown guard defender.

737
00:52:24,360 --> 00:52:28,599
You know, they all have a
Patrick Beverley or Marcus Smart on this team.

738
00:52:28,599 --> 00:52:34,320
Like it is all right, Finney
Smith or bust Thank you for actualizing

739
00:52:34,360 --> 00:52:37,199
what I was thinking that this is
a Frankie Smoke series. Definitely kind of

740
00:52:37,280 --> 00:52:43,239
series. If there if there ever
was one anything we missed or any other

741
00:52:43,280 --> 00:52:46,559
bigger questions that you have before I
ask you about your ex factors. I

742
00:52:47,159 --> 00:52:53,320
mean, this is just an overall
general question about Utah, but given all

743
00:52:53,400 --> 00:52:59,039
that has happened with them throughout the
season, throughout the last couple of years,

744
00:52:59,159 --> 00:53:01,760
I do wonder either the weight of
expectations are going to be hanging over

745
00:53:01,800 --> 00:53:06,599
them, and maybe that is the
X factor if we're we're going into the

746
00:53:06,639 --> 00:53:12,599
more intangible. But I'm also curious, like you know, Quinn Styder just

747
00:53:12,639 --> 00:53:16,280
gave a nineteen minute soliloquy the other
day about you know, this this concert

748
00:53:16,320 --> 00:53:22,639
about Donovan Mitchell not passing to Rudy
Gobert or them not utilizing Rudy Gobert offensively,

749
00:53:22,800 --> 00:53:28,760
but they lunch together. It's fine
sometimes, But you know, I

750
00:53:28,880 --> 00:53:32,400
like, if they lose this first
round series, especially if Luca has hobbled,

751
00:53:34,039 --> 00:53:37,480
you have to figure big changes are
coming to Utah this summer. So

752
00:53:38,159 --> 00:53:42,760
I'm curious, especially because like,
if they're gonna pick between the two,

753
00:53:43,280 --> 00:53:46,639
they're probably keeping Donovan and trading Rudy. So like, does Rudy go into

754
00:53:46,639 --> 00:53:51,880
this series knowing it might be his
last stand in Utah, and does he

755
00:53:51,960 --> 00:53:58,000
look to assert himself more offensively than
he has recently, Because you know,

756
00:53:58,559 --> 00:54:04,039
Powell and Cleber with six ten,
but Gobet's gonna have a high advantage over

757
00:54:04,079 --> 00:54:07,719
both of them. So if they
can find him, like, if they

758
00:54:07,719 --> 00:54:12,760
can utilize him more. You know, I'm not saying they should be running

759
00:54:12,760 --> 00:54:16,480
like twenty post ups Rudy Gobert or
anything like that, but if he establishes

760
00:54:16,679 --> 00:54:21,320
really deep post position and all he
has to do is turn around and like

761
00:54:21,480 --> 00:54:25,559
reach over these guys, can they
actually take advantage of that. I was

762
00:54:25,559 --> 00:54:30,199
actually gonna ask that was my like
kind of my last question here is is

763
00:54:30,199 --> 00:54:34,920
this a Rudy Gobert series? Because
I think on offense they don't really have

764
00:54:34,960 --> 00:54:39,440
anyone that could stop what he's gonna
do on screen and dives. This data

765
00:54:39,480 --> 00:54:43,440
is skewed because the MAVs chain overhauled
at Roster in the middle of the season.

766
00:54:43,800 --> 00:54:45,840
Rudy Bear's in seventy nine point four
true shooting against the MAVs. You

767
00:54:45,880 --> 00:54:50,400
know where most of those shots are
coming from. Doesn't get any easier if

768
00:54:50,400 --> 00:54:52,599
it's gonna be a you know what, Dwight Powell has some balance to him,

769
00:54:52,599 --> 00:54:57,519
and Max and Kleiba's all over the
place. It's just having to task

770
00:54:57,599 --> 00:55:01,159
them with guarding Rudy Gobert in pick
and rolls Like no, like, that's

771
00:55:01,159 --> 00:55:04,840
not I don't know how much I
would trust that. On the flip side,

772
00:55:04,840 --> 00:55:07,559
though, if you wanted to make
the Jazz further uncomfortable. And one

773
00:55:07,599 --> 00:55:13,159
of these is realistic, Maxiliba as
you're big, just as someone who does

774
00:55:13,239 --> 00:55:15,639
have a little bit of a pump
and drive game, and ken'space the floor,

775
00:55:15,000 --> 00:55:20,079
But also is this a and I'm
I'm This is tongue in cheek a

776
00:55:20,079 --> 00:55:22,679
little bit because I know he hasn't
played a ton, but is this a

777
00:55:22,760 --> 00:55:27,400
Davias Burton's series because of the motion
shooting he provides you where if you just

778
00:55:27,440 --> 00:55:30,679
test that out, maybe it's look
go with you. Maybe you have it

779
00:55:31,159 --> 00:55:37,199
when it's Dinwitty, Bullock and Doran
Phinney Smith around the court, just three

780
00:55:37,239 --> 00:55:40,320
guys so you can at least trust
defensively. And I know I'm being generous

781
00:55:40,320 --> 00:55:45,519
there with Spencer Dinwitty, I want
to make that clear, like having him

782
00:55:45,559 --> 00:55:50,039
fly around just because I know he
hasn't been a lights out shooter this year

783
00:55:50,480 --> 00:55:52,480
and he can get torced himself defensively. But there's a chance that Rudy Gobert

784
00:55:52,480 --> 00:55:55,480
is gonna do that to you anyway
on offense. Do you just try that?

785
00:55:55,519 --> 00:56:00,360
Because it makes even if it doesn't
make Rudy Gobert uncomfortable, it's the

786
00:56:00,400 --> 00:56:06,960
scope of his responsibility untenable because of
the complexion of the rest of the Jazz

787
00:56:07,239 --> 00:56:09,719
roster. And it's just it's just
a question. And if you're not going

788
00:56:09,760 --> 00:56:15,239
to have Luca for even one game, you have to try it out.

789
00:56:15,320 --> 00:56:17,159
That's where I'm at, Like it's
like, especially if you're not gonna have

790
00:56:17,239 --> 00:56:20,920
Luca, but even if you do, you might need to just try it

791
00:56:20,920 --> 00:56:24,159
out. To be clear, I
wasn't laughing because of the idea. I

792
00:56:24,199 --> 00:56:30,239
was already envisioning the Twitter slander that
would come out if at Davis Berton's unit

793
00:56:30,840 --> 00:56:36,440
against Scope Bear is you know what
swings a game like there would be no

794
00:56:36,519 --> 00:56:38,239
coming back from that. The Jazz
would just have to They shouldn't even show

795
00:56:38,320 --> 00:56:42,280
up for the rest of the series
after that, Like it's that would just

796
00:56:42,440 --> 00:56:45,480
be the thing that completely broke them. But yeah, you might as well,

797
00:56:45,840 --> 00:56:50,440
Like, I mean, we've seen
the formula to beat the Jazz in

798
00:56:50,519 --> 00:56:53,199
the playoffs, and that's let them
get out to a two game league.

799
00:56:57,599 --> 00:57:02,119
And you know, if if they
I think if like I know, people

800
00:57:02,159 --> 00:57:06,480
who have been following this team all
year have pointed out, you know,

801
00:57:06,480 --> 00:57:10,800
they've blow double digit leads a lot. They just seem somewhat mentally fragile,

802
00:57:10,840 --> 00:57:15,480
probably again because of the weight of
expectations and knowing what lies ahead if they

803
00:57:15,519 --> 00:57:19,920
crumble in the first round here,
So if you can do something that gets

804
00:57:19,920 --> 00:57:24,280
into their head and you know,
throw out an unconventional lineup that has some

805
00:57:24,440 --> 00:57:28,440
success and then they start thinking,
oh no, here we go again,

806
00:57:29,400 --> 00:57:32,239
like that, winning the mental battle
here is going to be a large part

807
00:57:32,239 --> 00:57:36,920
of who wins the series. I
think, who is your X factor for

808
00:57:37,480 --> 00:57:45,639
death is it? I mean Finney
Smith. I don't know if he counts

809
00:57:45,679 --> 00:57:51,519
as the next factor, but him, if he has any success against Donovan

810
00:57:51,559 --> 00:57:53,920
Mitchell. I think that's gonna be
a huge key to this series because we've

811
00:57:53,960 --> 00:58:00,880
seen Mitchell in the playoffs. He
goes just absolutely supernova. Now I want

812
00:58:00,920 --> 00:58:05,559
to say, damas Purt's just because
you're trying him up. I like that

813
00:58:05,639 --> 00:58:08,599
the idea to you at least wasn't
so egregious. No, I just it

814
00:58:08,639 --> 00:58:14,880
was really like just already imagining the
amount the volume of slander because people are

815
00:58:14,880 --> 00:58:17,559
ready to bury this team like that, would that would do it? I

816
00:58:17,639 --> 00:58:21,400
just look, if people are going
to insult the opinion. I just wanted

817
00:58:21,480 --> 00:58:23,599
to be clear that it was not
a Rudy Gobert thing so much as of

818
00:58:23,760 --> 00:58:29,039
let's fuck with the rest of the
Jazz's roster thing, right right? And

819
00:58:28,760 --> 00:58:35,239
I think I think it's worth a
try, Like so, yeah, Finnie

820
00:58:35,239 --> 00:58:39,679
Smith's for defense and then probably did
witty offensively because he's just been such a

821
00:58:39,719 --> 00:58:45,960
revelation for this team, especially relative
to what he showed in Washington earlier this

822
00:58:45,039 --> 00:58:47,920
year. And as you mentioned,
you know, if they if they do

823
00:58:49,039 --> 00:58:52,679
try out these three guard lineups or
if Luca this is a game, he

824
00:58:52,800 --> 00:58:57,679
probably gets promoted in the starting lineup
in Luca's place. So I think he's

825
00:58:57,679 --> 00:59:00,719
gonna have a big role in the
series. I am gonna go with Reggie

826
00:59:00,719 --> 00:59:05,559
Bullock basically for the reasons that you
just mentioned, because if it's not gonna

827
00:59:05,599 --> 00:59:08,480
be Dorian Finny Smith and Donovan Mitchell, it's probably gonna be Reggie Bullock.

828
00:59:08,679 --> 00:59:13,400
But you're also going to see him
go up against Mike Conley as well,

829
00:59:13,920 --> 00:59:16,119
So maybe or maybe he's gonna get
time against playing on Bodonovitch, who Look,

830
00:59:16,559 --> 00:59:20,800
I know there are people want to
troll Bodonovitch, but sometimes we don't

831
00:59:20,840 --> 00:59:23,880
need to overcomplicate the fact that when
he was healthy, seventeen plus points per

832
00:59:23,880 --> 00:59:28,599
game on sixty plus true shooting,
Like, we don't need to overcomplicate that

833
00:59:28,599 --> 00:59:31,360
that's really valuable as a secondary weapon. And so we know what we're gonna

834
00:59:31,400 --> 00:59:35,719
get from Dorrian Phinney Smith, who, by the way, I spent the

835
00:59:35,800 --> 00:59:38,840
second most time of anyone in the
league defending Donovan Mitchell this show. There

836
00:59:38,880 --> 00:59:46,599
you go, would you be I
bet you you could guess the first Is

837
00:59:46,639 --> 00:59:52,800
it also Patrick Beverley, No,
it's hurt don't oh nice? Okay,

838
00:59:52,039 --> 00:59:57,440
so we just we know what didn't
Tornan Finny Smith is gonna have to do.

839
00:59:57,519 --> 01:00:00,000
And so I land there with Bullock
where it's if he's hitting his threes

840
01:00:00,280 --> 01:00:02,440
like he did for I don't wanta
say the better part of the season,

841
01:00:02,480 --> 01:00:06,880
but definitely was better over the second
half in the first half, and you're

842
01:00:06,880 --> 01:00:09,119
able to get those minutes defensively from
him, where it's no, he's not

843
01:00:09,199 --> 01:00:13,960
gonna win those matchups maybe ever,
but to make like difficult on them,

844
01:00:14,039 --> 01:00:16,519
especially on Mike Conley, who has
quietly, if he's finding tom at him

845
01:00:16,519 --> 01:00:22,039
like, has quietly been borderline brilliant
through stretches this season. Who's your ex

846
01:00:22,079 --> 01:00:29,079
factor for the Jazz? Is it
also Davis Berton's. I think it's the

847
01:00:29,079 --> 01:00:31,119
guy would probably be regarding him.
I think it's mcdonovitch. You just brought

848
01:00:31,199 --> 01:00:35,280
him up, but I mean he
you know, when we talk about the

849
01:00:35,400 --> 01:00:40,320
Jazz perimeter week links defensively, you
might as well just be sub tweeting mcdonovitch

850
01:00:40,480 --> 01:00:45,800
over these last couple playoff series.
So I don't think he's gonna be on

851
01:00:46,000 --> 01:00:51,920
Luca, but maybe he's on Dorian
Finney Smith. Again, it's like,

852
01:00:52,920 --> 01:00:55,280
if they've run these three guard lineups, is there a place for him on

853
01:00:55,320 --> 01:00:59,679
the floor? Do they play him
off the floor? So? Can he

854
01:01:00,079 --> 01:01:04,599
justify staying on the floor with his
offense? Can he provide enough offense to

855
01:01:05,280 --> 01:01:07,719
you know, make quinnside or keep
him out there even if he doesn't have

856
01:01:07,760 --> 01:01:13,960
a clear obvious matchup defensively? And
then if and when he does, can

857
01:01:14,000 --> 01:01:16,960
he hold his own? Can he
prevent these corner threes from Dorian Phinney Smith

858
01:01:17,000 --> 01:01:20,920
then able him to stay out on
the court to do guard Donovan Mitchell.

859
01:01:21,239 --> 01:01:24,199
But it's like a I don't know
what, type of like a game of

860
01:01:24,360 --> 01:01:29,800
Connect four, almost like you're trying
to block the other team from trying to

861
01:01:29,920 --> 01:01:34,880
use their best options, and I
guess best or worst options in this case

862
01:01:35,039 --> 01:01:38,920
with mcdonovitch defensively, So yeah,
I think I'm going to him. I'm

863
01:01:38,920 --> 01:01:43,639
worried this is too high profile,
but I think it's Mike Conley for me

864
01:01:43,800 --> 01:01:47,599
for the Jazz, just because he's
clearly important to what you do on offense,

865
01:01:47,639 --> 01:01:52,039
Like he is your connective tissue on
offense more than Donovan Mitchell as a

866
01:01:52,079 --> 01:01:54,960
playmaker. And if Donovan Mitchell has
a bad game, like it's gonna be

867
01:01:55,000 --> 01:01:58,760
him or Bondnovitch needs to pick up
the slacker and then they have joined Clarkson

868
01:01:58,760 --> 01:02:05,840
obviously, I'm just we're talking about
Dallas now has more dangerous secondary weapons within

869
01:02:05,880 --> 01:02:09,639
their own offense with having like there's
a trickle down effect to having Spencer Dinwitty.

870
01:02:09,679 --> 01:02:13,480
It makes life a little bit easier
on Luca. But like now you

871
01:02:13,519 --> 01:02:15,400
also don't need to me in a
postseason series where jell And Brunton is technically

872
01:02:15,440 --> 01:02:19,239
your number two because he's just a
little bit undersized, and if he's your

873
01:02:19,320 --> 01:02:22,480
number three instead of your number two, you're just deeper. And Mike Conley

874
01:02:22,519 --> 01:02:28,519
is just gonna have to defend basically
all those dudes. And I would assume

875
01:02:28,559 --> 01:02:31,639
most likely Dinwitty in just certain lineups
or just see a bunch of time on

876
01:02:31,679 --> 01:02:36,679
bruns In. And so he becomes
important to the Jazz perimeter defense because you

877
01:02:36,719 --> 01:02:38,840
already mentioned it with Bayamodanovit you're gonna
look to stash him on some of the

878
01:02:38,920 --> 01:02:43,039
Jazz is more stationary players, and
look, maybe that's why you just roll

879
01:02:43,079 --> 01:02:45,039
out Davis Berton's next to Maxie Clearberd
d White, pal Like, are you

880
01:02:45,079 --> 01:02:50,559
gonna try and get yourself in a
situation where by Bardonovitch has to move a

881
01:02:50,599 --> 01:02:52,800
bunch? You know, we can
talk about the lore of that time.

882
01:02:53,400 --> 01:02:57,159
While he was with the Pacers,
he played okay defense on Lebron James.

883
01:02:57,199 --> 01:03:01,639
But does a half decade ago just
I'm not It's the Jazz are still elite

884
01:03:01,639 --> 01:03:06,360
defensive team. Rudy Gobert's on the
court, but they need like, aside

885
01:03:06,360 --> 01:03:08,519
from Royce O'Neill, who he would
be another good choice as an X factor

886
01:03:08,559 --> 01:03:12,639
because they just need him to do
everything. It's you need to guard Luca

887
01:03:12,800 --> 01:03:15,800
for every single minute that lucas on
the court. But I just think it's

888
01:03:15,800 --> 01:03:21,280
Mike Conley because he might be you
know, I know we named Daniel House,

889
01:03:21,320 --> 01:03:23,840
but like he might be U taught
second most important perimeter defender at this

890
01:03:23,880 --> 01:03:29,519
point and in this series specifically,
Yeah, yeah, I mean there are

891
01:03:29,559 --> 01:03:32,519
gonna be a lot of it's like, you know what you're getting out of

892
01:03:32,559 --> 01:03:37,119
your stars at this point. I
think the complimentary guys might be what swing

893
01:03:37,199 --> 01:03:43,679
this either way? Again, assuming
health for Luca, Let's do Boston Brooklyn

894
01:03:43,840 --> 01:03:46,920
just to go back to the East
for a second. Are we gonna make

895
01:03:46,920 --> 01:03:50,920
picks for you? Just don't want
to make fix for Oh my god?

896
01:03:51,000 --> 01:03:54,960
Yes? Fixed? All right?
Who is your big rings? I thought

897
01:03:54,960 --> 01:03:59,480
you were just like, let let's
avoid the scorn of Jazz Twitter if we

898
01:03:59,599 --> 01:04:02,360
pick against them. But I mean, it's so much of this depends on

899
01:04:02,440 --> 01:04:08,199
Luca's health. Like it's almost impossible
to say, you know, not knowing

900
01:04:08,199 --> 01:04:13,119
how much he's gonna miss if any
of this series, if he's fully healthy,

901
01:04:13,239 --> 01:04:15,480
I leaned Dallas, or if he
plays all seven games, I leaned

902
01:04:15,559 --> 01:04:21,039
Dallas, but I will hedge and
say Dallas in seven, you know,

903
01:04:21,079 --> 01:04:27,800
assuming that he misses one game or
just isn't like fully recovered from that isn't

904
01:04:27,800 --> 01:04:30,519
one hundred percent. But I don't
know, man, this this Jazz team,

905
01:04:30,760 --> 01:04:34,719
just the vibes are not good and
they have not been good all season.

906
01:04:34,960 --> 01:04:41,000
And I know Dallas is not the
team like the Clippers last year,

907
01:04:41,039 --> 01:04:43,440
Like you're not going to see a
five out lineup, and I'll say,

908
01:04:43,480 --> 01:04:45,280
hey, maybe they do. Pretends
the five that could be really fun,

909
01:04:46,559 --> 01:04:50,920
but I just don't have any faith
in this Jazz team. Honestly, I've

910
01:04:51,039 --> 01:04:55,639
note everything you said. The Mass
are plus eight point five points per one

911
01:04:55,679 --> 01:05:00,159
hundred possessions when Jalen Brunson and Spencer
did when he played without Luca. There

912
01:05:00,199 --> 01:05:01,920
you go. I don't think that
holds over the course of a series without

913
01:05:02,000 --> 01:05:05,280
Luca, but those are important minutes. If you want to, you know,

914
01:05:05,400 --> 01:05:08,880
play Luca fewer than forty two minutes
a game, that might be a

915
01:05:08,920 --> 01:05:14,239
little bit important. I'm gonna go
Jazz in seven here because I'm skeptical as

916
01:05:14,239 --> 01:05:18,159
to how much Luca plays or what
he looks like upon returning. I don't

917
01:05:18,159 --> 01:05:23,719
feel comfortable with that pick as a
fan of Chaos. I'm gonna pick Mavericks

918
01:05:23,719 --> 01:05:28,480
in five because as a fan,
as just as someone who for Chaos,

919
01:05:28,599 --> 01:05:32,400
that would be using in like five
games. You just know that Utah is

920
01:05:32,400 --> 01:05:36,079
gonna be blown to Smith Reens Twinn
Snyder is gonna have both feet out the

921
01:05:36,119 --> 01:05:42,159
door after this series. But I
do think that the Jazz are They're the

922
01:05:42,199 --> 01:05:45,719
more dangerous offensive team to me,
just the mass have Luca and that's like

923
01:05:45,760 --> 01:05:48,639
playoff proof. But like we,
I think the discourse around Donovan Mitchell's game

924
01:05:48,719 --> 01:05:53,920
is veered or at times is ver
too far away from reality. He's proven

925
01:05:53,960 --> 01:05:56,159
that he can be hyper valuable in
the playoffs, and so you have that

926
01:05:56,199 --> 01:06:00,599
go to guy there. And there
are more even if there aren't more secondary

927
01:06:00,639 --> 01:06:02,920
weapons in number necessarily, I mean
there are Jordan Carson, Boyamardonovitch, Mike

928
01:06:02,920 --> 01:06:08,880
Conley. There are more secondary weapons
in number, and like just establishment,

929
01:06:09,119 --> 01:06:12,719
when you look at Boyamardanovitch and Mike
Conley, I would feel a little bit

930
01:06:12,719 --> 01:06:15,119
better about the jazz, but it
wasn't for as you mentioned, the vibes,

931
01:06:15,400 --> 01:06:18,119
and maybe we need to do a
vibes check here, and I'm underwaiting

932
01:06:18,119 --> 01:06:21,079
it. I'm just gonna make Utah
in seven. And it has everything to

933
01:06:21,079 --> 01:06:25,360
do with the Luca. Dontri deffree. If you tell me that Luca plays,

934
01:06:25,840 --> 01:06:29,880
if Luca is the Luca he's been
for basically since early November, or

935
01:06:29,960 --> 01:06:32,159
more specifically the last half of the
season, which by the way, he

936
01:06:32,239 --> 01:06:36,119
shot forty eight point one percent on
step back threes over his final thirty six

937
01:06:36,159 --> 01:06:43,079
games. That's sources tell me that's
pretty pretty good. Yeah, if you

938
01:06:43,119 --> 01:06:46,960
tell me Luca is Luca, I
might actually just lean Dallas in seven because

939
01:06:47,000 --> 01:06:50,760
of how good they've been defensively almost
all year, and like Spencer did what

940
01:06:50,880 --> 01:06:54,320
he's been you already mentioned it playing
out of his mind. But my official

941
01:06:54,360 --> 01:06:56,960
pick is going to be Jazz and
seven. I'm prepared to be wrong.

942
01:06:57,079 --> 01:07:00,719
No, yeah, I mean again, it's like it's impossible to predict without

943
01:07:00,800 --> 01:07:04,480
knowing the Saturn. Like if if
Luca misses three games, I also picked

944
01:07:04,519 --> 01:07:10,800
the Jazz, but I'm hoping Slash, assuming that he will be like miss

945
01:07:10,840 --> 01:07:15,199
one game at most. That will
do it for part one of what will

946
01:07:15,199 --> 01:07:17,119
be a three part deep dive into
the first round of the NBA Playoffs.

947
01:07:17,320 --> 01:07:20,320
Hope you enjoyed it. If you
haven't subscribed to us yet, please please

948
01:07:20,360 --> 01:07:25,599
pretty please consider doing so. Also, ratings and reviews help us out a

949
01:07:25,599 --> 01:07:29,280
ton. Whether it's on Spotify or
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950
01:07:29,360 --> 01:07:31,400
use those platforms. If you have
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951
01:07:31,400 --> 01:07:34,159
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952
01:07:34,159 --> 01:07:39,840
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953
01:07:40,599 --> 01:07:45,760
We will be back to talk with
Brian to talk about Warriors Nuggets Celtics

954
01:07:45,840 --> 01:07:48,599
nets and Raptors sixers in the very
next podcast I'm not already be live,

955
01:07:48,679 --> 01:07:51,599
or if I'm you're listening to this
until that time, you get the shout

956
01:07:51,599 --> 01:07:56,880
out to the one, the only, the playoff down Frank Nilkan
