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What is up, fellow thermonuclear A
efforts high and damn the valley coming at

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you with another trademark hardware not smell
bag. Like I said, I'm trying

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to do two of these a week. This one will be discord specific unless

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I get random questions on YouTube or
via Twitter, which I got one random

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Twitter. Not random, but I
had a Twitter question that did not come

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via Twitter solicitation very quickly though,
before we can and ball into it.

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especially during the dog days of summer. Your subscriptions and views and likes and

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comments are very appreciated. Who let's
dive right into this mailbag. I have

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so many good questions. I'm hoping
I don't wind up going too long,

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because then I will split this into
a two part episode and just release one

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of them over the weekend to ensure
that every subject is given enough time.

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But there are a couple of questions
that I could see myself rambling and rambling

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about, and why not start off
with them? De moost Cool had a

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few good questions for this mailbag.
Ask can when will Carter Junior do another

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level up with Palo Bangko on the
team as the floor general. Statistically,

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Wcj's fourth year is almost identical to
sabonus Is third year. Does he indeed

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step on his footsteps? They're both
undersized mobile bigs. Anyway, I've never

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thought of Wendel Carter Jr. As
Under's eyes. I will say demost that

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I did not realize how similar his
numbers were to h Sabonus is in his

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fourth season. I looked those up
and they're like, they're eerily similar.

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It's absurd. The thing I will
say is, I don't think he's gonna

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follow in saonus Is footsteps, just
because when you go back and watch how

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he's accumulating some of these numbers,
there feels like there's I don't know what

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the word is, but one WCJ
is not the passer that Sabonus is because

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he's not asked to be. He's
also not going to enjoy the same type

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of post up volume that was twelve
percent of w CJ's plays last year and

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the average, by the way,
one point two one points per possession in

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the post. And so he's a
good passer. I think what I'm very

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interested is I view him as having
some more like outside in Juice, where

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Sabonus is gonna op rate methodically in
those situations, even if even if you

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see him bring the ball up the
court, WCJ just seems to operate faster

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there. And so that's not to
say that he would be better, but

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I'm more interested in him as like
this explosive decision maker or even just I

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like him more. I think he
can fit more alongside someone like Ben Carro

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and Jail and Suggs and anyone else
like a Mark el Folster needs the ball

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or wants the ball in their hands
on the magic you look at w Wcj's

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screening, an off ball movement that
look to get a lot better last year.

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I trust long term Wendell Carter Junior's
jump shots. He shot thirty eight

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point five percent on catching shoot threes
after the All Star break. Maybe some

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noise in there when you look at
some of the games that he played.

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What I'm most interested in seeing is
how he deals with what will presumably be

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less attention because also look at him
when he catches the ball on the roll,

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like defenses were showing two or three
bodies to him, towards him more

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than you would expect. That can't
happen if you have Ben Caro and Suggs

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is playing well and Franz Wagner's on
the court, and so that extra space,

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I think we'll allow him to put
more pressure on the rim. Since

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he was a little bit below average
there when you're looking at his volume,

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some of that had to do by
designer, by choice just looking at some

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of his ballad options, little flip
shots and touch a little bit further away

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from the basket. But I'm anxious
to see if they run ban Carro WCJ

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pick and rolls, which they absolutely
should, or even if they're not,

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if it's faults Weindel Carter Junior pick
and rolls or sugs Wendel Carter Junior pick

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and rolls the magic Well, I
don't think that they're just like chock full

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of good shooters. Now the roster
is currently constructed with ban Carro in the

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fold. They brought Mobamba back,
Gary Harris comes back, Terrence Ross is

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still there for now, they have
enough like surrounding shooters Franz Wagner of course,

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to where WCJ is gonna have easier
paths to get to the rim.

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And so I don't know if WCJ
will be as central to what Orlando's doing

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offensively, if you want to see
him have the ball in his hands,

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but I don't think he needs to
be that type of player to have an

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impact. Look, let's call it
what it is. There's a chance that

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Wendel Carter Junior is still an All
Star. He is, He's young enough

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to where he can continue to improve. He just wrapped up his age twenty

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two season. He was largely written
off because of Chicago, and his pass

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has mattered. They weren't like super
complicated passes, but teammates shot almost fifty

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four percent on their looks when they
took a shot after a pass coming from

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him. And also there's more like
I want to say laterality, which probably

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isn't a word to Wendel Carter Junior's
offensive game. If you put the ball

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in his hands, he I think
it was a game against the Doubs last

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year he hit like this two or
three dribble escape, dribble three, and

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it was just glorious to watch.
And so he's been a player I've been

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thinking about a lot of what is
his ceiling? It feels undefined. Do

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I think he's ever going to be
an All NBA center? I'd probably bet

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against it. But if he told
me how Wendell Carter Junior was in the

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All Star discussion this season, I'm
not going to be shocked. There's more

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mobility from him on defense than there
is alongside We're not alongside, but from

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Doma Sabonis as well. And I
also liked the fact that Sabonis can make

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can devastate as a playmaker from a
standstill, and even just like if you're

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gonna put the ball in his hands
and tell him to try and get his

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way towards the basket, there's just
more like jet fuel or pop to what

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Wendel Carter Jr. Is doing.
He might be best if he's catching the

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ball on the move, but like
he can get going downhill off a standstill

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like and really get going. And
so I view him as more complimentary than

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Sabonis, which is not to say
better, but I think easier to fit

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in inside this ecosystem where the Magic
are gonna want to feed plenty of other

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players, and quite frankly, when
you look at Sugs and ben Caro and

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even Fall specifically, they're gonna need
to feed a bunch of other players.

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And so I just think this is
all to say. I think Sabonis and

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Carter Junior, despite the statistical similarities, are just much different players by the

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avenues through which they got there,
and so that's not a problem. I

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don't think that Wendel Carter Juire needs
to be the number one or number two

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option on the offensive end. This
is someone who I think could just within

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the ple flow of the offense.
I don't want to say not having plays

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drawn up for him, but not
having to toss the ball to him in

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the post or or you know,
like from the high elbows or just like

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a like beyond the arc and have
him run these handoffs. I don't think

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he honestly needs that. He can
get to fifteen plus points like he did

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last season, maybe even flirt with
twenty entirely within the flow of the offense.

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And I'm just again very intrigued to
see what he might do with either

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you know, is it going to
take more threes? Three point five attempts

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per game is fine, but you
want to see that number go up,

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or se just have even higher quality
twos to take because of the extra space

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that should be around him. And
his passing might improve from there too,

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because like I said, he did
a really good job diming up cutters and

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even finding some shooters beyond the arc. And he will swing the ball very

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quickly as well. And so he's
the type of player where you scale his

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game to a better version of the
magic and you have to envision Wendell Carter

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Junior actually being better, and so
you want to see the three point clip

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come up. I think getting the
extra rim pressure will hopefully bring up his

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free throvevolume. That's tough to do
sometimes when the ball is not perpetually in

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your hands. Like I said,
though, when he gets going and is

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going downhill hard teams should be able
to foil him. Needs to bring the

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free throw clip up sub seventy percent
last year for the season. Not great

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good, a certainly good enough rebounder
to play a center position. So the

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question here can Wendel Carter Junior level
up? Absolutely? And this is someone

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that I would watch as Look,
if you want to pick sugs, I

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would not pick rookies as part of
this exercise if you wanted to say that

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Wagner is going to do it.
But if you're looking at a breakout Kennedy

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on the Orlando Magic relative that would
happen last season, it's Wendell Carter Junior.

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Feels like, no, he might
not have the most runway to improve,

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but it might just be set up
best for him to improve based off

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what we just saw last season.
And so I'm not ruling out in All

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Star trajectory for Wendel Carter Junior at
this point, and frankly, you shouldn't

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either. I know players can sort
of be considered what they are entering year

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five, but like, that's not
always the case. If you told me

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that Wendel Carter Junior was just worked
his way into the discussion for most improved

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Player, I'd be a little bit
surprised, and less the context of his

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00:09:03,000 --> 00:09:07,639
game changed the ton He probably deserved
that buzz this past season that he didn't

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really generate when you look at who
all the other candidates and the ultimate winner

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was. But I wouldn't write him
off of that discussion. You tell me,

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there are just so many possibilities left
for Wendell Carter Junior, And yes,

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I'll bet against all NBA because you
need to be a top three center

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or I guess the way they fuck
with positions now, you could be like

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a top six center technically and get
it as a forward anyway. I don't

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know if he gets there, but
this is someone who's really good. And

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that's why I think when there's been
a lot of questions about would you rather

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have the Magic or the Pistons next
season specifically, it's why I'm leaning towards

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the Magic because they have a Wendell
Carter Junior in addition to and Franz Wagner,

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but in addition to like having the
Bank Hero and Sugs and how that

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applies to the Pistons having Kay Cunning
him and Jay Nivey among others. Obviously

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great question, but the Magic look
they were already worth watching. I just

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think that they're still room for Wendell
Carter Junior to grow, even if,

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like I said, there's less centrality
to the way that he's used on offense.

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The Bronx with Hallow Ground ass and
I thought way too much about this

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00:10:03,720 --> 00:10:07,799
scenario and it's cropped up before.
But the Bronx with Alan Ground asked.

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00:10:07,039 --> 00:10:11,240
With the rumors about the Celtics possibly
shopping Jalon Brown, would you would do

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00:10:11,279 --> 00:10:13,919
a Brown for brandon Ingram trade.
I feel like the Ingram Zion CJ combo

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00:10:15,000 --> 00:10:16,360
is kind of clunky. They all
kind of need the ball a lot.

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00:10:16,440 --> 00:10:20,840
I like the idea of Zion Brown
CJ. Brown could help bolster the defense

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00:10:20,879 --> 00:10:24,240
next to Zion and CJ, and
scaling back his uses from what the Celtics

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needed would make him a better player. Ingram isn't the defender that Brown is,

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but I think he offers more self
creation and playmaking. What are your

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00:10:30,480 --> 00:10:35,279
thoughts so to start with I,
aside from the deal itself, I agree

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with everything you said about the difference
between these players, Brandon Ingram. If

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00:10:39,320 --> 00:10:41,240
you need to jump start a pick
and roll, jump starting offensive set,

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00:10:41,840 --> 00:10:46,120
get someone's, rely on someone's maybe
in between touch, you want him on

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your team. He's just a better
creator right now. And then Jalen Brown

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00:10:50,919 --> 00:10:52,919
is. I don't want to say
he's a complimentary player, but he's not

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just three indeed does more than that. I think it's easier to plug him

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into all these other situations and he
will work on more teams than Brandon Ingram

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00:11:01,799 --> 00:11:05,519
might. What I will say is
I don't view Zion, CJ and Ingram

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00:11:05,559 --> 00:11:11,039
as clunky, because you want to
have as many primary playmakers on your team

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as possible, so long that what
they do can spill over two off the

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ball, and for Zion, CJ
and Brandon Ingram it does. CJ is

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00:11:20,480 --> 00:11:22,879
a very good shooter off the ball, and I think he showed some on

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sat chemistry with the Pelicans. Zion
coming back changes a lot of that.

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But Zion, despite not being this
high volume jump shooter, he is devastating

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00:11:30,919 --> 00:11:33,039
off the ball, get the ball
to him in transition, or if he's

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setting screens and going down hill,
or you're just throwing him lobs. He

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works off the ball and then brandon
Ingram. Yeah, his off ball touches

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improved as well. He's not this
high volume catching three point shooter, but

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he's become a rock solid one,
and so I think he scales two more

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00:11:46,240 --> 00:11:48,960
situations than people will currently credit him
for. It might be harder to fit

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00:11:50,039 --> 00:11:54,000
him in, but I think that
you want to load up your roster with

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guys who can make plays on the
ball, especially if they're if they can

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exist off the ball. What's interesting
about is the Pelicans still probably use Jellen

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00:12:01,559 --> 00:12:05,799
Brown defensive juice, and I think
Brown gives you more pure rim pressure Ingram

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00:12:05,840 --> 00:12:11,159
likes to Bali on his drives more
than Brown does. The trade off there

192
00:12:11,200 --> 00:12:13,080
is that Brown can get tunnel vision, but he was an excellent finisher around

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the rim, and he will burst
through the soul of defenses when he gets

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00:12:18,159 --> 00:12:22,080
going downhill. I also think that
you look at his turnover to assist ratio

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Brown's, and you also look at
some of the passes he throws. Some

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00:12:24,919 --> 00:12:26,720
of the turnovers that he actually commits. I understand why some people might be

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low on him and think that he's
never going to make the Tatum like jump

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00:12:30,600 --> 00:12:35,240
as a playmaker, let alone becoming
someone like you know, like a like

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00:12:35,279 --> 00:12:37,919
a Lebron that like that was never
on the table. I almost feel like

200
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he's an underrated passer too, and
that we've exacerbated the issues with this handle

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00:12:43,120 --> 00:12:48,159
just because we saw it happen in
the playoffs. And yeah, that that

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matters, because if it's the extra
attention he's getting, or if he's capitalizing

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predominantly on the attention that Jason Tatum
is drawing, that has to change the

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complexion of how we view this game. But it feels like there's more on

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ball creativity there. You saw him
like kind of stop and turn and fade

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and pop around the basket. When
he gets going and he can hit those

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shots, you don't want to slow
things down and have him run a pick

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and roll. And so if your
boss and I get the appeal of having

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Brandon Ingram, So these are two
very valuable players. What I think is

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also interesting it deserves to be mentioned
Ingram is about a year younger and has

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another year left on his deal,
so he's more expensive. But where Brown

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is going to is slated to become
a free agent in twenty twenty four.

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He does not have a player option. He just says two more guaranteed years

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left. Brandon Ingram isn't slated for
freeing until two and twenty five. It's

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also because Brandon Ingram's final year salary
is thirty six million dollars. This will

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tie into I think our last question
the mail bag, by the way,

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but it's more likely that he will
extend off of that number because one hundred

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and twenty percent rays off of that
would be forty three million or whatever it

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is. And so that's closer to
what would be his absolute max at the

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time unless the salary cap there's no
smoothing, and that thing just fucking jumps,

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and so you don't have to necessarily
risk him getting into free agency,

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where with Brown it's fay to complete
just extending him off that number he's making.

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Look, so you're talking having that
extra year of Ingram and the fact

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that he got a max his final
year salary that you would extend off of

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his thirty six million dollars. Brown's
final year salary, which was submax and

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it's going to expire a year earlier
he would be extending off of thirty point

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seven. That's a huge difference when
you're looking at someone again who hasn't even

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been given his first MAX yet.
Now you sort of sprinkle in the fact

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that there have been trade talk surrounding
Brown with Kevin Durant, maybe he becomes

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a little bit more disenchanted with Boston, or like the question poses, do

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these players sort of film needs for
either team where the Celtics get that other

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creator that they want while New Orleans
shores up its defense and then gets I

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think you can call Jaylon Brown a
better shooter, not a better off the

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dribble shooter, but a better shooter
or a more reliable floor space or however

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you want to want to frame it. My gut says, because of the

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defensive value that Jolen Brown brings that
the Celtics won't view Ingram's extra year of

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his salary, especially when it's more
than Brown's, and maybe just the extra

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control as enough of an upgrade over
Brown. And that's more like you're talking

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about Brown being involved in a conversation
for Kevin Durant, who's one of the

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greatest shot creators and makers alive of
all time. Brandon Ingram is not that,

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and so while he could be the
second engine of your offense, I

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do still think that if you pull
the bunch of executives, they would still

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prefer Brown because of the defense,
because there's a little bit more plug in

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playing this on offense, and they're
going to appreciate Brown's rim pressure and maybe

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even overlook some of the passing issues
he has. And I know people said

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the words that are coming out as
his offensive game is a mechanical, robotic

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however you want it from rigid,
and there is a certain rigidity to the

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way that he plays, but there's
also more valuability too, and so you

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might take that. You know we're
talking about. By the way, Jalen

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00:15:54,440 --> 00:15:56,840
Brown is not like he's eighty.
He just wrapped up his age twenty five

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season, so he can still get
better. And so that's what my gut

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says, Well, I personally do
this trade. I don't know if I

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would necessarily do it for either side, because I think the Pelicans best path

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to being uber successful is to stack
the deck with on ball creators who don't

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overlap too much with each other.
We don't know what's going on with Zion's

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health. CJ. McCollum isn't exactly
super young at this point, and Ingram

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earlier in his career had some injury
issues. We saw CJ deal towards the

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tail end of his time in Portland
with some injury issues as well. You

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just want to hedge against those bets, and so you don't need the secondary

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or even like a second primary shock
creator. Let's call it as much as

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Boston does right now, since it's
still is it Brown? Is it brogged

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in as it Marcus Smart? They're
still asking that question. So there's Tatum

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and then there's still sort of a
fuzziness on the number two pecking order.

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But if you're New Orleans, still
trying to pronounce it not the way that

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people hate it, by the way, so hopefully everyone appreciates the effort to

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try to remember if you're New Orleans, I still think you need Ingram and

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that you'd rather take the ceiling on
his on ball creativity than have to acquire

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Brown where even if it's just straight
up and there, I do believe that

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the money, like in their current
salaries would work. Straight up we're talking

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about twenty eight seven versus thirty one. Yeah, so you can just trade

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them straight up. There's a chance
that Boston would demand something else. And

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also just now you risk Brown getting
to free agency one year sooner, and

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could he leave. And like I
said, the Zion element matters a lot

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to me, where maybe Brown is
just the better catch and shoot guy if

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you want Zion really operating on Ballaton, but you also want Zion to be

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your screener at points or to just
get rolling towards the basket, even it

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was from a stand still without a
screen Ingram's going to do a better job

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of finding him there. And I
just if there was a real fit issue

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between New Orleans and or CJ.
McCollum and Ingram and Zion, if if

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I was actually concerned about what that
looked like, maybe I can that are

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this Also, I think the Pelicans
they showed a lot of defensive improvement after

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their three and sixteen start, whatever
it was under Willie Green, especially he

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got them to get back in transition. Some of their rotations were just more

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on point, where they were less
like these wandering children lost in a supermarket

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or wherever you want to frame it, looking him at half court, and

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now with Herb Jones, Trey Murphy, even Dyson Daniels coming in, it

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feels like they might be able to
and Larry NaN's junior two, let's not

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forget about him, it feels like
they might be able to upgrade their defense

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this season, especially if Zion improves
there in any way whatsoever. So I

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00:18:33,039 --> 00:18:36,559
don't think I would do this for
either side, but it is a fascinating

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discussion. If you flip flop these
two players, which team gets better or

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do they both somehow get worse?
And I honestly don't know the answer to

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that question, because you are giving
up. You know, there's a defensive

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down grade just as much as there
might be a shot creation down grade going

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from Ingram to Jaylen Brown for New
Orleans, there's that shot creation downgrade,

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but there's that defensive downgrade still as
much as Ingram has improved for Boston if

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they went from Round to Ingram.
And I also finally, like there's been

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we haven't even heard that the Pelicans
would be willing to give up brandon Ingram

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and Kevin Durant trade if push comes
to shove, and Katie said, I

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want to go to New Orleans and
that was that was that. I do

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think that the Pelicans would they would
try to construct the deal without Ingram and

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I think that they could do that
when you look at all the picks they

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00:19:18,359 --> 00:19:21,799
have an addition to the youngsters.
I do think they would if Kadi said

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I want to be in New Orleans. But that means said, we haven't

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even heard that. He's not been
deemed the level of untouchable as Scottie Barnes

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most because the Pelicans have existed on
the fringes of the Kevin Durant discussions.

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We don't even know how involved they
are. It's just us, these talking

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00:19:34,759 --> 00:19:38,640
heads discussing it really and there's been
some chatter like behind the scenes, we'll

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hear it from people. So yes, you know that there's a tangential involvement,

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but it's not front and center.
And then also the Celtics, are

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you trading Jalen Brown if you're not
getting Kevin duran we haven't is he eminently

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00:19:51,599 --> 00:19:53,839
available? And if look, that
might be another podcast like what could you

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00:19:53,880 --> 00:19:57,240
get in a jail and Brown trade
that's independent of KD And are there any

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00:19:57,240 --> 00:20:02,640
worthwhile deals? I think this would
be worth at least thinking about for both

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00:20:02,680 --> 00:20:06,000
sides. I have a feeling Pelicans
fans would immediately say that it's not that's

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just my guest, that's thought an
insult. Maybe it's not. I'm a

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00:20:07,319 --> 00:20:11,400
feeling A bunch of healthic stands would
say, Hey, no way, it's

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an interesting thought exercise. I ultimately
wouldn't do it for either side. What

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00:20:14,279 --> 00:20:15,039
do you think, though, let
me know, let me know what the

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00:20:15,079 --> 00:20:19,240
comments about this question, which I
clearly thought and talked way too long about.

321
00:20:19,960 --> 00:20:25,519
Demost Quoll again asked, how do
you see Haliburton's scoring average this season?

322
00:20:25,559 --> 00:20:27,839
If we accept that he's a past
first point guard, isn't too difficult

323
00:20:27,839 --> 00:20:30,480
for him to reach the twenty points
per game mark? Chris Paul only did

324
00:20:30,519 --> 00:20:34,480
it for two seasons out of seventeen, despite being efficient and clutch. Yeah,

325
00:20:34,519 --> 00:20:37,799
you're sort of spot on here.
I don't want to pigeonhole Tyrese Haliburton

326
00:20:37,880 --> 00:20:42,039
to the Chris Paul two point zero
comps that he continues to get. But

327
00:20:42,279 --> 00:20:45,000
look at the I don't even want
to call it an opportunity. Look at

328
00:20:45,000 --> 00:20:51,319
the burden he was carrying when he
first went to Indian shout out reett Bauer

329
00:20:51,440 --> 00:20:53,880
did discuss this in our discord when
this question came in. But tyres Haliburton

330
00:20:53,960 --> 00:21:00,279
average seventeen point five points and thirty
six point one minutes per game after going

331
00:21:00,279 --> 00:21:03,599
to Indiana, that was at twelve
point four field goal attempts slash five point

332
00:21:03,640 --> 00:21:10,000
three three point attempts per thirty six
minutes. That's like he's not going to

333
00:21:10,039 --> 00:21:12,240
get I would think a higher volume
opportunity than that. Christo Wartey didn't play

334
00:21:12,279 --> 00:21:15,720
the final month of the season.
Benedick Mathren's now in the fold. If

335
00:21:15,759 --> 00:21:18,759
Turner's there, I think you're probably
gonna try and feature him a little bit

336
00:21:18,799 --> 00:21:22,839
more, just in advance of his
free agency, or to see what you

337
00:21:22,920 --> 00:21:25,839
might have if you give him a
little bit more self creation. And so

338
00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:29,000
my bet would be, given how
responsible he's going to be for setting up

339
00:21:29,000 --> 00:21:33,599
other guys, but also some players
specifically Duarte and Mathren, who are going

340
00:21:33,599 --> 00:21:37,799
to infringe upon his volume, I
would bet against it next season. That

341
00:21:37,880 --> 00:21:41,519
being said, his path to getting
there is actually shooting more. Twelve point

342
00:21:41,559 --> 00:21:45,799
four attempts per thirty six minutes is
not like, especially on that roster that

343
00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:49,599
he was working with at the time. And Kenny jack up his three point

344
00:21:49,680 --> 00:21:52,720
volume. I won't rule it out, and like the most cool said Chris

345
00:21:52,759 --> 00:21:56,640
Paul, did get there for a
couple of seasons, and it wouldn't like

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00:21:56,799 --> 00:22:00,240
if I set the over under on
his scoring where it was at Indie last

347
00:22:00,279 --> 00:22:03,039
year at seventeen point five. Honestly, don't know what I would pick.

348
00:22:03,079 --> 00:22:07,839
I might take the over but still
go under twenty points. It's just it

349
00:22:07,880 --> 00:22:11,640
doesn't feel wired into his game Haliburton
to be that aggressive looking for his own

350
00:22:11,680 --> 00:22:15,079
shot. And I think what will
be critical is either that changes or do

351
00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:18,720
they get him taking more threes,
either if it's as a catch and shoot

352
00:22:18,720 --> 00:22:22,920
guy or he's just more confident in
is off the dribble looks. Do I

353
00:22:22,920 --> 00:22:25,599
think he'll ever get there for his
career. I'm just gonna say yes because

354
00:22:25,640 --> 00:22:30,319
I am drunk on Tyrese Haliburton everything
and the fact that he was just viewed

355
00:22:30,400 --> 00:22:34,279
is just like this, like eminently
like really good player who wouldn't dominate in

356
00:22:34,319 --> 00:22:37,240
anyone facet. I just don't.
I don't buy it. The passing,

357
00:22:37,319 --> 00:22:41,440
the live dribble passing is just there
and it's fantastic, and he is more

358
00:22:41,480 --> 00:22:44,880
of an off the dribble threat pretty
much at every level, certainly at the

359
00:22:44,920 --> 00:22:48,279
bottom level and at the top level
threes, threes and around the basket.

360
00:22:48,039 --> 00:22:52,160
Then people give him credit for this
is someone who has in a very clearly

361
00:22:52,200 --> 00:22:55,880
to me an all NBA ceiling,
and so I will say he gets there

362
00:22:56,160 --> 00:22:59,759
at least once in his career.
Let's revisit this in ten years and see

363
00:23:00,039 --> 00:23:04,279
I'm at Christopher asked with the Durant
Irving Mitchell trades apparently at a standstill because

364
00:23:04,279 --> 00:23:07,759
of the haul Utah got for Gobert, do you think the NBA should come

365
00:23:07,799 --> 00:23:11,519
up with a set cost for certain
caliber level players like Pat Beverley would be

366
00:23:11,559 --> 00:23:14,759
worth X amount of players and X
amount of picks, while Durant costs and

367
00:23:14,880 --> 00:23:18,519
picks and players would be more since
he's a higher caliber player. I hope

368
00:23:18,559 --> 00:23:21,319
this makes sense. It's in my
head, but then I started typing it.

369
00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:25,480
Thank you for this, crushing Christopher
and Glad and Discord. Edit.

370
00:23:25,519 --> 00:23:29,640
There is kind of already a rubric
in place because the MBA you need to

371
00:23:29,680 --> 00:23:32,920
match salary, not dollar for dollar, but be within the realm depending on

372
00:23:32,960 --> 00:23:37,680
where you are relative to the luxury
attacks or salary cap. I would lean

373
00:23:37,759 --> 00:23:41,279
know that I don't think they should
or really can come up with a way

374
00:23:41,359 --> 00:23:45,319
to provide a uniform cost for players, just because I believe that the value

375
00:23:45,319 --> 00:23:48,559
of players is too subjective, and
just look at the difference in criteria,

376
00:23:48,880 --> 00:23:52,160
not just age. In this case
where it's like Kevin Durant is going to

377
00:23:52,200 --> 00:23:56,000
go into his age thirty, age
thirty four season, whatever it is,

378
00:23:56,000 --> 00:23:57,960
but brandon him was about Brandon Ingram
is about to go in to his age

379
00:23:59,000 --> 00:24:02,400
twenty five season. That's a big
difference. Contract length. Kevin Durant has

380
00:24:02,440 --> 00:24:04,799
four years left on his deal versus
are you trading for someone who has one

381
00:24:04,880 --> 00:24:11,359
year left on his deal? And
then there's also just the overall skill is

382
00:24:11,359 --> 00:24:14,039
how do you delineate between stars?
Like yeah, okay, there's one end

383
00:24:14,079 --> 00:24:18,240
of the spectrum of Beverly versus Durant, but like what about Ingram versus Brown?

384
00:24:18,279 --> 00:24:19,799
Should those two cost the same on
the trade market? That might be

385
00:24:19,880 --> 00:24:23,200
an example of two players that that
should come pretty close to that. And

386
00:24:23,240 --> 00:24:30,000
there's also just like player archetype where
certain teams don't need to give up as

387
00:24:30,119 --> 00:24:34,160
much for their last piece or even
a star that they're acquiring, but maybe

388
00:24:34,319 --> 00:24:37,559
there's a team that desperately needs a
five versus that definitely needs a wing or

389
00:24:37,599 --> 00:24:41,880
depends on how they want to play. Minnesota was very clearly for a while

390
00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:44,640
in the market for a big and
that's why they gave up so much for

391
00:24:44,720 --> 00:24:47,960
Gobert. Whether they should have given
up that much, that's a different story,

392
00:24:48,839 --> 00:24:52,680
but that is the market is.
It's just it's supply and demand there.

393
00:24:52,880 --> 00:24:56,720
And there's also the context under which
the players leave, if it's the

394
00:24:56,759 --> 00:25:00,200
team deciding to trade a player if
a player asks. I do think that

395
00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:04,400
with what Christopher is suggesting, would
help teams that are kind of bent over

396
00:25:04,440 --> 00:25:07,319
a barrel if players get closer to
the end of their contract, the final

397
00:25:07,400 --> 00:25:11,160
year, two years left, whatever
it'd be like if Donovan Mitchell requested out

398
00:25:12,079 --> 00:25:15,640
after this season with two years before
free agcy, or even after next season

399
00:25:15,720 --> 00:25:19,400
was one year left on free agency. And so I get that aspect of

400
00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:22,200
it, but I also think,
like the way that star trades have working

401
00:25:22,240 --> 00:25:26,200
out worked out for the most part
lately, we haven't seen like any team

402
00:25:26,200 --> 00:25:30,240
just get absolutely fucked in the return. It was widely considered that the Pelicans

403
00:25:30,240 --> 00:25:33,240
did well for Drew Holiday, that
they did well for Anthony Davis. It's

404
00:25:33,319 --> 00:25:37,839
why have you been considered that the
Jazz did well for Ferrudy Gobert as well

405
00:25:37,960 --> 00:25:40,759
well, even the Spurs with Tamarta
Rosie. Look what Chicago gave up,

406
00:25:40,839 --> 00:25:45,599
Orlando for the Nikola Vuchevic with what
Chicago gave up and so, and the

407
00:25:45,599 --> 00:25:48,119
Spurs with the Jante Murray and so. I don't think that the only thing

408
00:25:48,160 --> 00:25:53,759
this would succeed in doing is repressing
to me the star market for teams that

409
00:25:53,799 --> 00:25:57,079
have already spent all their assets for
some of them. For a squad like

410
00:25:57,119 --> 00:26:00,680
the Lakers are now like the Timberwolves, it might make it easier for them

411
00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:04,000
to acquire a certain star if they
wanted to open up anything. The only

412
00:26:04,000 --> 00:26:08,440
thing I could really see the lead
doing is capping or uncapping the number of

413
00:26:08,480 --> 00:26:11,359
first rounders that get sent out in
any deal where it's no, you can't

414
00:26:11,359 --> 00:26:15,559
trade more than in addition to Stepian
rule like three that that's the max,

415
00:26:17,079 --> 00:26:19,839
uh and then that that's like you
know, it might save some teams from

416
00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:22,480
themselves, but then it hurts teams
where the star does ask for out or

417
00:26:22,519 --> 00:26:26,480
wants to leave, or because you
uncap and say fuck the Stepian rule,

418
00:26:26,880 --> 00:26:30,119
or if it's a singular trade where
yeah, you have to abide by it

419
00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:36,680
if you already have a pick that
is like like conveyable out in the distance.

420
00:26:36,759 --> 00:26:38,680
Let's use the like the Hornets as
an example. But if you own

421
00:26:38,720 --> 00:26:42,119
all your first round picks like the
Suns, can you trade them in succession

422
00:26:42,119 --> 00:26:45,480
now any years out that you want? So there, if they made tweaks,

423
00:26:45,480 --> 00:26:48,599
maybe it's along the lines of that, But I don't think that we

424
00:26:48,640 --> 00:26:53,160
could ever see a set value for
Stars versus would other like any other players.

425
00:26:53,200 --> 00:26:56,039
And again, you still get into
complications there even if you tried,

426
00:26:56,200 --> 00:27:00,640
because how do you view like,
yeah, Patrick Beverly's a different player from

427
00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:03,759
Durant, but he's also making like
a larger salary than if you were decided

428
00:27:03,799 --> 00:27:07,400
to move like a Kenrick Williams.
At this point, I think you could

429
00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:11,160
argue that ken Rick Williams has more
value than of Beverly, and so the

430
00:27:11,240 --> 00:27:14,079
money that these players are making also
matters, since you have to match it

431
00:27:14,400 --> 00:27:18,519
as the team that's acquiring them.
Nuggets Fan, ev how many games in

432
00:27:18,519 --> 00:27:23,119
the next season will Bones Highland become
a household name. I'm just a little

433
00:27:23,119 --> 00:27:27,720
bit insulted that Nuggets Fan doesn't consider
Bones Island a household name. He's not.

434
00:27:27,799 --> 00:27:32,200
I'm just kidding. He's he's a
Hardwood Knox hold name. I don't

435
00:27:32,200 --> 00:27:34,279
really know what the fuck that means, but Nuggets fans know him. People

436
00:27:34,319 --> 00:27:37,319
listen to this podcast know about him. I would say, go look at

437
00:27:37,359 --> 00:27:41,720
Denver's first back to back of the
season, and then that's when he'll become

438
00:27:41,720 --> 00:27:45,079
the household name because he will be
starting. Jamal Murray's not going to play

439
00:27:45,079 --> 00:27:48,640
both ends of back to backs,
I imagine when the season starts, at

440
00:27:48,720 --> 00:27:52,440
least not at the beginning, maybe
not all all year since he's coming back

441
00:27:52,480 --> 00:27:55,519
from that ACL injury. And I
guess the Nuggets could go a different route

442
00:27:55,559 --> 00:28:00,000
to try and preserve their bench.
Matt Moore, who does a fantastic job

443
00:28:00,119 --> 00:28:03,839
covering the entire league with the Nuggets
as well. Him and Adam Madez do

444
00:28:03,920 --> 00:28:07,640
the Lockdow Nuggets podcast. On a
recent episode, they were discussing how Michael

445
00:28:07,640 --> 00:28:11,079
Malone doesn't really like to tinker with
the bench rotation if it's working, and

446
00:28:11,119 --> 00:28:15,079
so let's just say the bench rotation
is working because bones Hihland is the sixth

447
00:28:15,079 --> 00:28:18,039
Man of the Year candidate, which
I'll get into that in a second.

448
00:28:18,160 --> 00:28:21,759
So where you all of a sudden
gonna start Bruce Brown instead, or you

449
00:28:21,839 --> 00:28:23,559
like the does is Smith just step
in and then you give him a quick

450
00:28:23,559 --> 00:28:26,680
cook? I don't know, but
because of what's gonna happen with Jamal Murray

451
00:28:26,680 --> 00:28:30,880
and even can you count on Michael
Porter Jr. I imagine bones Highland he

452
00:28:30,880 --> 00:28:33,799
It wouldn't shock me if he's one
of those I don't think a second year

453
00:28:33,799 --> 00:28:38,279
player will win it. But if
he's tangentially mentioned in most improved player discussions,

454
00:28:38,519 --> 00:28:41,279
if he's mentioned in sixth Man of
the Year discussions, a lot of

455
00:28:41,279 --> 00:28:44,680
people are wondering, well, how
is he going to have the numbers to

456
00:28:44,720 --> 00:28:48,720
prop up sixth Man of the Year
Again, you're looking at someone who is

457
00:28:48,759 --> 00:28:52,559
going to play a lot, like
if Murray's maybe on a minute scrap or

458
00:28:52,720 --> 00:28:56,359
not playing certain games, or what's
going on with Michael Porter Junior? Does

459
00:28:56,359 --> 00:28:59,799
he need rest? It feels like
there's always going to be a vacuum in

460
00:28:59,799 --> 00:29:02,359
the offense, sort of in a
good way where someone needs to step up

461
00:29:02,400 --> 00:29:06,200
and score a bunch. And look, this dude just averaged ten point one

462
00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:08,720
points per game in nineteen minutes.
That is the equivalent of nineteen points per

463
00:29:08,720 --> 00:29:12,279
thirty six minutes. I have no
doubt in my mind that he can juice

464
00:29:12,359 --> 00:29:15,960
up that actual rate, and it
was juiced up. I'm trying to use

465
00:29:15,960 --> 00:29:18,200
the whole season as sort of the
summation, but it was juiced up.

466
00:29:18,440 --> 00:29:22,279
When you're looking at the end of
the year for him, that this could

467
00:29:22,319 --> 00:29:26,319
be someone who averages like seventeen points
in like twenty minutes per I mean he

468
00:29:26,359 --> 00:29:32,119
was at basically through the final I
don't know how many games through like March

469
00:29:32,200 --> 00:29:34,799
ten, through the end of the
season, so sixteen games he was at

470
00:29:34,839 --> 00:29:40,799
fourteen point six points in twenty three
point six minutes, and so like it

471
00:29:40,839 --> 00:29:44,200
wouldn't shock me. That's with him
shooting thirty nine point two percent on threes.

472
00:29:44,440 --> 00:29:49,680
I got news for you. This
dude is capslock italics bold text shooter.

473
00:29:51,759 --> 00:29:56,480
The functional range that his pressure put
like that, the functional pressure that

474
00:29:56,519 --> 00:30:00,440
his range puts on defenses, I
just it's absurd and defies logic. He

475
00:30:00,480 --> 00:30:06,319
will uncork mega deep threes downstand still
triples from the corner, and then just

476
00:30:06,480 --> 00:30:10,799
rame hellfire from the perimeter off the
dribble. I was very impressed with his

477
00:30:11,279 --> 00:30:15,720
live dribble passing last year and even
Adamataz and I kind of discussed that leading

478
00:30:15,720 --> 00:30:18,759
into the Nugget season, and you
look at his season long shooting numbers and

479
00:30:18,759 --> 00:30:23,440
they somehow don't even accurately portray just
how devastating he was. He had thirty

480
00:30:23,480 --> 00:30:27,400
six point seven percent of his spot
up triples and thirty six point nine percent

481
00:30:27,759 --> 00:30:33,799
of his pull up pull up trays. That is a fraction of the season.

482
00:30:33,839 --> 00:30:37,400
When you look at post All Star
break, forty seven point two percent

483
00:30:37,759 --> 00:30:41,599
on pull up three pointers post All
Star break. That is just absolutely ridiculous.

484
00:30:41,599 --> 00:30:44,200
And so I would call him and
I think Matt Moore, I think

485
00:30:44,240 --> 00:30:45,960
I've read something from him where he
called him this, he's a pretty good

486
00:30:45,960 --> 00:30:49,359
sixth Man of the Year bet at
this moment, I would say, because

487
00:30:49,559 --> 00:30:53,359
voters love volume scores and a lot
of the times they're going to come from

488
00:30:53,519 --> 00:30:57,200
teams that received a lot of attention. You know, look at Jordan Clarkson,

489
00:30:57,240 --> 00:31:00,720
Tyler Hero as examples. So he
would be a good bet to me.

490
00:31:00,799 --> 00:31:06,039
And I think he has another sort
of dimension to reach as a passer,

491
00:31:06,640 --> 00:31:08,359
And it just wouldn't it would not
shock me if this is someone who,

492
00:31:08,480 --> 00:31:11,279
look, there will be room for
him to play between twenty to twenty

493
00:31:11,279 --> 00:31:14,960
five plus minutes per game throughout the
season, Like, there might be nights

494
00:31:15,000 --> 00:31:17,920
where he needs to eclipse thirty depending
on what's happening with Murray or Michael Porter

495
00:31:18,039 --> 00:31:21,440
Jr. Or just what the Nuggets
offense needs and so like, if he

496
00:31:21,519 --> 00:31:23,880
ends up at like twenty six minutes
per game or even just twenty five,

497
00:31:25,079 --> 00:31:26,359
if it's between twenty three and twenty
six, yeah, he's got a chance

498
00:31:26,359 --> 00:31:30,480
to win six Man of the Year, even to someone who won't necessarily be

499
00:31:30,519 --> 00:31:33,759
part of all of Denver's closing units. So I think this is someone who's

500
00:31:33,799 --> 00:31:38,319
just sort of like a sleeping giant
in terms of building blocks. There's a

501
00:31:38,440 --> 00:31:44,960
very real, if not likely chance
at this point that Bones Highland is the

502
00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:47,920
biggest X factor on this team when
you're looking at none of the big three.

503
00:31:47,960 --> 00:31:51,200
And also, I think you can
make the case that he's more important

504
00:31:51,240 --> 00:31:53,440
to the Nuggets of future at this
point than a Michael Porter Junior, depending

505
00:31:53,480 --> 00:31:57,200
on how you feel about mpg's reliability. Yeah, if MPJ hits on the

506
00:31:57,200 --> 00:32:01,440
player that he was and Jamal Murray
gets injured again, okay, sure,

507
00:32:01,480 --> 00:32:05,200
But then bones Island all of a
sudden becomes his X factor of there's an

508
00:32:05,200 --> 00:32:07,559
embarrassment of riches when it comes to
talent on this team, or if Bones

509
00:32:07,559 --> 00:32:10,480
Thailand is that dude, If we're
talking about Bones Thailand in the same vein

510
00:32:10,480 --> 00:32:14,839
as Tyrese Maxie coming off of year
two, all of a sudden, the

511
00:32:14,880 --> 00:32:17,440
Nuggets is best. Trade offers get
a lot more enticing, even though they

512
00:32:17,440 --> 00:32:22,200
don't have a ton of pick equity
to offer, so Bones Island. I

513
00:32:22,240 --> 00:32:23,079
do think he'll be a house whole
name on the end of this season,

514
00:32:23,119 --> 00:32:27,960
and having to start some games,
I imagine will probably help him get there.

515
00:32:28,039 --> 00:32:30,720
Just the Nuggets being good as well, if they're even gonna be relatively

516
00:32:30,720 --> 00:32:32,880
healthy. We're talking about a team
that I've already said they might be my

517
00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:37,440
title favorite right now. I'll expect
him to finish no worse than like second

518
00:32:37,480 --> 00:32:40,160
or third in the West at this
point, assuming relatively good health. Their

519
00:32:40,240 --> 00:32:43,519
team to watch. He is one
of the bones, is one of my

520
00:32:43,519 --> 00:32:46,160
favorite prospects, and I'm very anxious
to see what he does this season.

521
00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:51,799
Demos Cole has a third and final
question for us. Is Draymond Green inching

522
00:32:51,839 --> 00:32:53,839
to team up with Lebron What if
gsw opts to trade him now instead of

523
00:32:53,880 --> 00:32:58,400
losing him next summer because they don't
want to play him. I followed this

524
00:32:58,480 --> 00:33:00,960
up with my own question that Demos
saying that I missed something in the news

525
00:33:00,960 --> 00:33:04,400
cycle where Draymond was pushing to get
out of Golden State, and he was

526
00:33:04,480 --> 00:33:07,039
just mentioning that the clutch sports element
and if Draymond wants a MAX and the

527
00:33:07,079 --> 00:33:10,880
Warriors don't want to give it to
him, Draymond has that player option for

528
00:33:10,920 --> 00:33:14,960
the twenty three twenty four season,
and I don't expect him to get an

529
00:33:14,960 --> 00:33:19,720
extension. I don't view this as
a possibility. I mean, the Lakers

530
00:33:19,759 --> 00:33:22,240
could technically have cap space next year
if Lebron doesn't sign an extension, but

531
00:33:22,279 --> 00:33:24,559
if he's not, if Lebron's not
taking a pay cut, and you have

532
00:33:24,599 --> 00:33:28,559
Anthony Davis on your books, you're
not going to be able to offer Draymond

533
00:33:28,559 --> 00:33:30,720
Green the max. Draymond Green would
be an interesting target because I don't think

534
00:33:30,759 --> 00:33:36,440
he's a MAX player. He's going
into his age thirty two season, and

535
00:33:36,519 --> 00:33:38,240
so like you're talking about something that
would then be going in their age thirty

536
00:33:38,240 --> 00:33:42,839
three season. If we're in the
twenty to twenty seven million dollar range,

537
00:33:42,960 --> 00:33:45,359
it might become more workable for the
Lakers and for other teams. Do I

538
00:33:45,440 --> 00:33:52,160
think he's a flight risk of the
big four? Well, not the big

539
00:33:52,160 --> 00:33:55,160
four, let's call it the like
the five main Warriors were watching moving forward

540
00:33:55,240 --> 00:34:00,359
that you know that are not there, that are that are not trying to

541
00:34:00,440 --> 00:34:02,119
think aminga James Wiseman, Moses Moody. Yeah, those guys matter. But

542
00:34:02,400 --> 00:34:06,559
between Wiggins, Curry, Klay Thompson, Draymond Green, and Jordan Pool,

543
00:34:06,799 --> 00:34:09,719
I do view Green as just the
biggest flight risk. He's not to say

544
00:34:09,719 --> 00:34:13,199
he's more of an independent thinker than
all of them, but he might be

545
00:34:13,239 --> 00:34:16,519
the one that gets valued the least
by the franchise, or you know,

546
00:34:16,559 --> 00:34:21,360
maybe Klay Thompson gets valued the least. But he's willing to accept a pay

547
00:34:21,400 --> 00:34:23,719
cut just because he dealt with injuries. He seems he's talked about wanting to

548
00:34:23,719 --> 00:34:27,960
retire a Warrior a little bit more. If the Warriors then got up and

549
00:34:27,960 --> 00:34:30,360
decided to trade Draymond Green this season, I don't know what you get from

550
00:34:30,400 --> 00:34:35,679
him just because he's on that expiring
contract. So you need to ensure that

551
00:34:35,760 --> 00:34:38,159
he's going to come back because you're
not acquiring him as a rental because the

552
00:34:38,199 --> 00:34:42,800
Warriors aren't treating him as bad money
unless you're trying to get off bad money.

553
00:34:42,800 --> 00:34:45,000
But the Warriors aren't going to take
that either. They need to.

554
00:34:45,239 --> 00:34:49,320
They need to continue to parlay green
salary spot long term into another one,

555
00:34:49,320 --> 00:34:52,159
since they're not projected to have cap
space. I don't think you're looking at

556
00:34:52,239 --> 00:34:53,760
I'm not saying the Warriors should even
go to this rob like I don't think

557
00:34:53,800 --> 00:34:58,880
Phoenix is giving you eight and and
stuff for Draymond Green when we get to

558
00:34:58,960 --> 00:35:04,119
January. I think you're probably looking
at more like Jeremy Grant and Picks from

559
00:35:04,119 --> 00:35:09,159
Portland if you decided to go there
would in Atlanta, like consider Collins and

560
00:35:09,280 --> 00:35:13,079
Hunter. I don't think so.
I mean, Draymond Green murraying Capella will

561
00:35:13,079 --> 00:35:15,679
be a hell of a defensive trio, but they would also probably suck on

562
00:35:15,760 --> 00:35:20,119
offense. The one that kind of
stands out to me is what if we

563
00:35:20,119 --> 00:35:25,679
know Kevin Durant's gonna meet with Nets
Governor Joseph Si and Kyrie's there and seems

564
00:35:25,679 --> 00:35:28,800
to be happy there. What if
the Nets just decide, Hey, we're

565
00:35:28,800 --> 00:35:31,360
gonna run this back Ben Simmons,
Draymond Green gets kind of interesting there.

566
00:35:31,400 --> 00:35:35,559
I don't think it's anything that either
team would seek out. But you can

567
00:35:35,559 --> 00:35:38,800
trust Draymond more at this point to
be available than Ben Simmons. Maybe you

568
00:35:38,840 --> 00:35:45,039
actually like his past relationship with KD
where they've had conversations together since then there's

569
00:35:45,119 --> 00:35:47,239
you're rolling the dice there. But
like that would be something that could be

570
00:35:47,280 --> 00:35:52,920
potentially interesting. But other teams I
could see, like a Charlotte just being

571
00:35:52,639 --> 00:35:57,840
stupid, drunk and mortgaging their future
to have Draymond Green come in. They

572
00:35:57,920 --> 00:36:00,199
want to have a defensive anchor in
the middle. They're willing to pay him

573
00:36:00,239 --> 00:36:02,079
more than anyone if they if they
already have him on the books and on

574
00:36:02,519 --> 00:36:06,360
his bird rights, so that would
be stuff to look at. I don't

575
00:36:06,360 --> 00:36:09,239
think you're getting a whole lot for
Draymond Green if you look to trade him

576
00:36:09,320 --> 00:36:12,760
right now, and he's way more
valuable to the Warriors. Think it's easily

577
00:36:12,920 --> 00:36:16,920
to say this as a player that
you have right now and keep moving forward,

578
00:36:17,719 --> 00:36:21,199
then he is as a trade asset. And I would also say I

579
00:36:21,239 --> 00:36:22,800
don't think he will expect to get
the MAX, and I don't think there

580
00:36:22,800 --> 00:36:27,519
will be a team on the market
next season that gives him the max we

581
00:36:27,519 --> 00:36:30,599
could talk about. Look, Charlotte, depending on what happens with Miles Bridges,

582
00:36:30,639 --> 00:36:32,760
they could have a bunch of money
to spend. I don't think Cleveland's

583
00:36:32,800 --> 00:36:37,960
I don't think maybe they would would
Cleveland another team that's projected as cap space.

584
00:36:37,320 --> 00:36:42,480
No. Could Detroit give him like
a huge offer that might be semi

585
00:36:42,559 --> 00:36:46,159
interesting? Does him and Jalen during
work at all? They might be okay

586
00:36:46,159 --> 00:36:50,199
with that. They're trying to play
Bagley and During together out imagine at certain

587
00:36:50,199 --> 00:36:52,760
points, or at least Bagley and
beef stew However, you want to structure

588
00:36:52,760 --> 00:36:58,320
that from court. So maybe the
Rockets. No, they could have a

589
00:36:58,320 --> 00:37:04,679
ton of Indiana, I would say
no. Okay, c might have some

590
00:37:04,800 --> 00:37:07,519
cap space. I'd probably say no, though that would be interesting. Orlando

591
00:37:07,599 --> 00:37:12,559
could have cap space. That's a
no for them going after them. Sacramento

592
00:37:12,719 --> 00:37:15,519
can get there, depending on,
like they can get twenty plus million next

593
00:37:15,559 --> 00:37:16,639
year. I have them at depending
on what they do with their own free

594
00:37:16,639 --> 00:37:21,880
agents. I that'd be that'd be
intriguing, but I would still vote no.

595
00:37:22,920 --> 00:37:24,360
The Spurs will have a ton of
cap space, but I don't see

596
00:37:24,400 --> 00:37:29,000
them going after Draymond and Utah right
now. Projects to have a bunch of

597
00:37:29,039 --> 00:37:30,119
cap space, but they don't seem
like a team that will go after Draymond.

598
00:37:30,159 --> 00:37:32,239
So I just don't see the threat
that would even give him the max

599
00:37:32,320 --> 00:37:36,320
to leverage against Golden State. Really, I only see this going off the

600
00:37:36,400 --> 00:37:39,400
rails. If he wants does he
want money comparable to what he's getting now,

601
00:37:39,679 --> 00:37:44,519
which twenty seven million under the new
tax new tax cap, If you're

602
00:37:44,559 --> 00:37:47,440
going in the one fifty plus million
dollar range, yeah, fine. But

603
00:37:47,480 --> 00:37:50,840
if the Warriors aren't even willing to
go that high, and they prefer to

604
00:37:50,880 --> 00:37:54,199
keep Wiggins and Pool and then worry
about Klay Thompson's next deal, there also

605
00:37:54,320 --> 00:37:58,239
might be a chance that if you
let the season play out, which I

606
00:37:58,239 --> 00:38:00,039
think is smart for both sides,
because I don't think Draymond Green, if

607
00:38:00,039 --> 00:38:02,480
he wants a long term security,
sure, but I don't think he's going

608
00:38:02,519 --> 00:38:06,840
to get a number that's bigger than
the twenty seven point six he would be

609
00:38:06,840 --> 00:38:09,880
owed in twenty three twenty four right
now in an extension, and so building

610
00:38:09,920 --> 00:38:13,519
off that number, I feel like
he would be right around that area.

611
00:38:13,559 --> 00:38:15,840
So if he wants to build up
his value, playing it out makes sense.

612
00:38:15,239 --> 00:38:17,679
Also, he can wind up picking
up that option. Maybe he has

613
00:38:17,679 --> 00:38:20,960
a down year and needs to build
up his value again, or thinks that

614
00:38:21,000 --> 00:38:23,880
the capped landscape in twenty four,
when Clay Thompson also comes off the books

615
00:38:23,920 --> 00:38:28,960
for the Warriors, maybe that would
matter more. I think he ends up

616
00:38:29,000 --> 00:38:30,480
staying with the Warriors. I definitely
don't think they end up trading him.

617
00:38:30,480 --> 00:38:32,960
I do not think that he ends
up getting a MAX though, or anywhere

618
00:38:34,000 --> 00:38:38,199
near it. Quite frankly, regardless
of ware, he ends up jt Alexander,

619
00:38:38,519 --> 00:38:43,079
do you anyone else in the chat
have any harmless, unoffensive mild takes

620
00:38:43,079 --> 00:38:45,320
for the new season. We had
a couple of listeners respond to this,

621
00:38:45,360 --> 00:38:49,360
so I'll get to those after mine. This was a question I kind of

622
00:38:49,360 --> 00:38:52,320
wanted to pose on Twitter and see
like what type of responses we got read

623
00:38:52,360 --> 00:38:57,119
them off. But I don't think
that anyone. I'm not anyone. I

624
00:38:57,119 --> 00:39:00,360
don't think enough people would have understood
the context of it, because we're looking

625
00:39:00,400 --> 00:39:04,920
for like, not spicy takes,
maybe medium spice, mild takes like the

626
00:39:04,960 --> 00:39:08,599
mild sauce from Taco Bell And as
a bassist, jt Alexander said, mineus

627
00:39:08,599 --> 00:39:13,039
Porzingia is going to be an All
Star again, I was initially like jaw

628
00:39:13,119 --> 00:39:17,519
dropped at that suggestion. That felt
super spicy. But porzingis played well in

629
00:39:17,519 --> 00:39:21,760
Washington after the trade. If he
stays healthy, sure, why not?

630
00:39:21,840 --> 00:39:23,719
I could see it happening. Also, it's it's the East and so like

631
00:39:23,760 --> 00:39:29,159
the Big Man votes, if you're
looking at pure centers, it gets a

632
00:39:29,159 --> 00:39:30,960
little bit questionable. App you know, you have bam and and beads,

633
00:39:30,960 --> 00:39:34,920
so maybe it's maybe it's possible.
But now like Evan Mowgli and Jared Allen

634
00:39:34,920 --> 00:39:37,360
are in that fold, it's still
that feels more than mild JT. That's

635
00:39:37,360 --> 00:39:40,400
all I'm gonna say. I tried
to frame mind off of that, and

636
00:39:40,440 --> 00:39:45,800
so I have. The two I
have is Whendell Carter Junior becomes an All

637
00:39:45,840 --> 00:39:46,880
Star. That might be too spicy. The other one I hap is the

638
00:39:46,880 --> 00:39:51,119
Pelicans will be better than the Mavericks
next season after Dallas lash John bruns In.

639
00:39:51,400 --> 00:39:53,239
I tell you we haven't gotten to
report cards or wind totals yet,

640
00:39:53,239 --> 00:39:57,000
but I have a feeling MAVs and
Grizzlies fancy gonna come from me? Once

641
00:39:57,039 --> 00:40:00,599
again. I admitted my make copas
when I was wrong about them past season.

642
00:40:00,920 --> 00:40:04,039
But there's a pattern with me underestimating
the Grizzlies, and then now if

643
00:40:04,039 --> 00:40:07,239
there becomes a pattern of me underestimating
the MAVs, I almost don't want to

644
00:40:07,280 --> 00:40:09,239
spute. I don't even want to
spill out this tape, but I'm going

645
00:40:09,239 --> 00:40:12,760
there the Pelicans will be better than
the MAVs. That's how hot I am

646
00:40:12,800 --> 00:40:15,320
on the Pells. Demos Quoll says
Terry Eason enters the Rookie of the Year

647
00:40:15,400 --> 00:40:19,519
combo, Scottie Barnes is an All
Star. I think those are in theme

648
00:40:19,599 --> 00:40:22,760
with this. I initially thought maybe
thy Tie Washington would be the just the

649
00:40:22,840 --> 00:40:29,159
rookie that gets there, but I
understand that ty Ties Washington's summer leagues up

650
00:40:29,159 --> 00:40:31,880
for a few moments was on their
rough friend and then four as the MAVs

651
00:40:32,039 --> 00:40:37,440
won't get past the second round,
that's like, yeah, I'm sure that's

652
00:40:37,440 --> 00:40:39,880
inte with it. And Boston won't
make the finals. Boston won't make the

653
00:40:39,960 --> 00:40:45,000
finals. I feels like not spicy
enough because the Bucks and the Sixers and

654
00:40:45,039 --> 00:40:46,719
the heat still exists, and so
you need to believe that, like Boston

655
00:40:46,800 --> 00:40:52,519
is entirely in its own tier.
What takes do you guys have mild unoffensive,

656
00:40:52,599 --> 00:40:54,840
reasonable ones that maybe a lot of
people wouldn't share, so they're against

657
00:40:54,840 --> 00:41:00,079
consensus, but they're not stupid.
Let us know at me on Twitter.

658
00:41:00,559 --> 00:41:04,679
Maybe I'll run a similar thought exercise
about this on Twitter. I just don't

659
00:41:04,679 --> 00:41:07,159
know how to frame it properly so
that people will get it. It's a

660
00:41:07,159 --> 00:41:10,320
bit prem and this question actually comes
from Thor it's a bit premature. With

661
00:41:10,360 --> 00:41:14,239
a new TV deal three years away, are we likely to see Caps moving

662
00:41:14,320 --> 00:41:15,480
or another large jump like we had
a few years ago? With that in

663
00:41:15,480 --> 00:41:20,679
mind, are we likely to see
history repeat with large contracts given resulting in

664
00:41:20,719 --> 00:41:23,880
overvalued contracts our players on board with
Caps moving? Will expiring deals be more

665
00:41:23,920 --> 00:41:28,360
or less valued as teams try to
get caps based to lower multiple stars as

666
00:41:28,400 --> 00:41:32,159
the Kyrie Katy situation made teams more
leery. So I do think as an

667
00:41:32,199 --> 00:41:37,440
overarching answer would be twofold. I
definitely think we can get Caps moving because

668
00:41:37,440 --> 00:41:38,760
I even think some teams are going
to want to prevent what happened with Golden

669
00:41:38,760 --> 00:41:43,280
State in twenty and sixteen. That
is the expectation right now around the league

670
00:41:43,480 --> 00:41:47,719
is my expectation as well. I
will be more than mildly to take to

671
00:41:47,719 --> 00:41:52,320
borrow the phrasing from the previous question, I'll be more than mildly surprised if

672
00:41:52,320 --> 00:41:53,880
we don't get caps moving. The
other thing is, I do think there

673
00:41:53,920 --> 00:41:58,320
is an effect even with this moving, where we're still seeing these larger than

674
00:41:58,360 --> 00:42:01,000
normal incremental jumps where might be a
million of season or whatever. I do

675
00:42:01,039 --> 00:42:06,840
believe that free agency is going to
get sort of a like a reinvention,

676
00:42:07,039 --> 00:42:12,159
or we're gonna return to at least
a fraction of time where we'll see a

677
00:42:12,159 --> 00:42:15,519
lot more higher profile player movement or
teams preparing for it, because those cap

678
00:42:15,559 --> 00:42:21,079
jumps are still going to be larger
than normal. And also these players and

679
00:42:21,320 --> 00:42:23,480
Jalen Brown is the perfect example,
So I'm just going to use him his

680
00:42:23,679 --> 00:42:27,880
number, his extension number right now. To extend off of that doesn't make

681
00:42:27,920 --> 00:42:30,000
sense with the cap rising because he's
under the max. He's not gonna get

682
00:42:30,000 --> 00:42:34,239
anywhere near as max if he was
to accept one hundred and twenty percent race.

683
00:42:34,440 --> 00:42:37,440
So they're going to be players like
him that will either angle to hit

684
00:42:37,440 --> 00:42:40,199
free agency in general, or maybe
they'll even sign shorter term deals that they

685
00:42:40,239 --> 00:42:45,320
hit free agency right after. As
this cap is supposed to get its biggest

686
00:42:45,320 --> 00:42:47,159
spike, So I do believe we'll
see more of that, might just see

687
00:42:47,159 --> 00:42:50,679
players, like I said, sign
more short term deals, and I do

688
00:42:50,719 --> 00:42:53,159
think in turn, we'll see more
teams preparing for a free agency, which

689
00:42:53,159 --> 00:42:59,960
would make expiring contracts more valuable.
Depending on Arietta point, where so many

690
00:43:00,159 --> 00:43:04,159
contracts are short term that maybe it
doesn't matter as much. With that said,

691
00:43:04,480 --> 00:43:09,000
I think if we're expecting the cap
the first caps moving to begin before

692
00:43:09,039 --> 00:43:13,199
expecting the first infusion to come in
twenty and twenty six, yeah, if

693
00:43:13,199 --> 00:43:15,800
there are contracts that week beyond that
and you're looking to prepare for twenty twenty

694
00:43:15,840 --> 00:43:21,320
six, I absolutely think that expirings
will become more valuable and it will probably

695
00:43:21,360 --> 00:43:22,880
last maybe a year or two into
it, like twenty seven twenty eight,

696
00:43:22,960 --> 00:43:28,000
depending on how long the smoothing the
smoothing last. I don't know, and

697
00:43:28,039 --> 00:43:31,360
I don't when we're looking at contracts
in terms of bad contracts, I think

698
00:43:31,400 --> 00:43:35,480
teams probably learned their lesson from the
summer twenty and sixteen, and because we're

699
00:43:35,480 --> 00:43:38,239
not going to see a guardanguin jump
like that, you're not going to get

700
00:43:38,280 --> 00:43:43,679
the Timothy Mozgov like deal. Would
I would argue that most of the questionable

701
00:43:43,719 --> 00:43:46,320
deals. Most you know, people
who don't like the jail and Brunson contract.

702
00:43:46,360 --> 00:43:50,000
Maybe he didn't like the Mitchell Robinson
contract all that much. I'm not

703
00:43:50,039 --> 00:43:52,400
trying to just name mixed players here. Deal is not a good example there.

704
00:43:52,559 --> 00:43:57,360
Maybe you don't like the Marvin Bagley
contract. These deals just look better

705
00:43:57,400 --> 00:44:00,639
because they've become a smaller percentage of
the cap. Blue Dort That was overblown

706
00:44:00,679 --> 00:44:02,199
to begin with, especially because the
fifty years a team option. But now

707
00:44:02,239 --> 00:44:06,519
with sudden he's seventeen million dollars a
year. That's a lot different when you're

708
00:44:06,519 --> 00:44:09,159
talking about a yeah, okay,
he's seventeen million dollars now around there,

709
00:44:09,760 --> 00:44:14,440
But when you get that against the
salary cap that's one fifty one, sixty

710
00:44:14,480 --> 00:44:16,400
million or more, that just doesn't
matter as much. And so because there's

711
00:44:16,440 --> 00:44:20,719
going to be smoothing, so the
jumps will still be pretty significant, but

712
00:44:20,760 --> 00:44:24,199
they won't be as massive as twenty
sixteen, I think teams will be inoculated

713
00:44:24,239 --> 00:44:28,840
against having those types of situations.
And also, just if there are going

714
00:44:28,880 --> 00:44:30,840
to be more stars prepping to hit
free agency, you're probably going to be

715
00:44:30,880 --> 00:44:35,840
a little bit more judicious and how
you're spending anyway. You're not going to

716
00:44:35,880 --> 00:44:38,760
throw the money to poach these non
stars. You're going to try and wait

717
00:44:38,800 --> 00:44:43,119
and go after the bigger fish.
And maybe there are a couple overpays here

718
00:44:43,199 --> 00:44:45,719
or there because of that spike,
and maybe a market like a Charlotte or

719
00:44:45,920 --> 00:44:52,039
if a team really wants to finishing
piece is more desperate to reel in someone,

720
00:44:52,199 --> 00:44:53,239
or maybe we see it with like
a veteran on the back end of

721
00:44:53,280 --> 00:44:55,480
his prime, where it's just like, oh, we have all the sexual

722
00:44:55,559 --> 00:45:00,519
cap space, let's go overpay Draymond
Green if he decides to free agency again

723
00:45:00,559 --> 00:45:04,599
in twenty six, or if we
see that happen with like Chris Middleton as

724
00:45:04,599 --> 00:45:07,920
an example. Neither players are slayed
to be a free agent twenty six.

725
00:45:07,960 --> 00:45:10,559
There's slay to be free agents before
then, but they might be interesting exercises

726
00:45:10,800 --> 00:45:15,440
as well, even maybe a Kyrie
a Lebron But we have the Brownie element

727
00:45:15,480 --> 00:45:20,559
there. But just like other like
a Jaylon Brown again or Brandon Ingram thinking

728
00:45:20,559 --> 00:45:22,800
about his next contract, is he
gonna want to hit the open market or

729
00:45:22,800 --> 00:45:27,679
extend? Players might time shorter term
deals to re explore free agency, And

730
00:45:27,800 --> 00:45:31,360
the final element of this has a
Kyrie Katy situation made teams more leary.

731
00:45:31,400 --> 00:45:35,519
I don't think so. I just
feel like free agency has never been a

732
00:45:35,599 --> 00:45:40,159
particularly realistic path three builder team.
It's very much only worked for a handful

733
00:45:40,599 --> 00:45:46,000
of franchises. That being said,
like if it was more common opportunity and

734
00:45:46,000 --> 00:45:49,960
this is how the NETS situation blows
up, yeah you might be more leery.

735
00:45:50,000 --> 00:45:52,480
But I don't think the Kyrie Katy
situation has scared teams from wanting to

736
00:45:52,719 --> 00:45:57,639
sign guys. And in free agency
there you can argue the collateral damage is

737
00:45:57,639 --> 00:46:00,280
typically lower than if you were to
fire them via trade. And then the

738
00:46:00,280 --> 00:46:05,960
next case it was like very specific
to where there was almost just no collateral

739
00:46:06,039 --> 00:46:09,199
damage. They had all these you
know, they had all like yeah,

740
00:46:09,239 --> 00:46:13,920
it would have cost them de'angelo Russell
that summer, but like they still a

741
00:46:14,000 --> 00:46:15,880
carousel vert there. They still have
Jared Allen, they were well set up

742
00:46:15,880 --> 00:46:19,119
beyond that, had all their picks. But if you were trading for these

743
00:46:19,119 --> 00:46:22,239
stars, it's definitely going to cost
you more in pick equity. Whereas when

744
00:46:22,239 --> 00:46:23,440
you sign them out right in free
agency, do you need to use a

745
00:46:23,440 --> 00:46:27,400
pick to salary dump someone? Maybe
if you structure your books right, you

746
00:46:27,480 --> 00:46:31,039
do not, and then you're obviously
not dealing away even in those scenarios as

747
00:46:31,119 --> 00:46:35,079
much pick equity in straight up trades. And so I do think that we're

748
00:46:35,119 --> 00:46:38,480
due for a free agency renaissance,
not immediately, but probably once we get

749
00:46:38,559 --> 00:46:42,559
like between twenty six through maybe twenty
eight or something. I don't know how

750
00:46:42,559 --> 00:46:44,599
long the Caps movie is gonna last, and we have to see what the

751
00:46:44,599 --> 00:46:47,119
actual number is. But once we
start seeing a cap jump like ten million

752
00:46:47,159 --> 00:46:50,840
dollars a year or whatever, minds
up being, I do think there's going

753
00:46:50,880 --> 00:46:54,639
to be in anticipation of that player
signing shorter term deals, not signing extensions

754
00:46:54,679 --> 00:46:58,719
at all, maybe even getting into
free agency before then, again using Brown

755
00:46:58,880 --> 00:47:02,400
as an example. Final question,
ben Bender fan, is cam thom Is

756
00:47:02,400 --> 00:47:05,880
going to get the time he deserves
and prove he's a star? Will it

757
00:47:05,880 --> 00:47:09,480
be another year? I don't know. I mean, right now, I

758
00:47:09,519 --> 00:47:12,760
have no idea what the Nets are
going to look like. If they keep

759
00:47:12,840 --> 00:47:15,800
Kyrie and Kady, it's going to
be at least another year. The better

760
00:47:15,880 --> 00:47:19,440
question might be does he have that
star potential? I do think Brooklyn needs

761
00:47:19,440 --> 00:47:22,920
his three point efficiency and volume to
climb. That being said, he has

762
00:47:22,960 --> 00:47:27,840
the look and feel of someone who
will inevitably down triples at an above average

763
00:47:27,880 --> 00:47:32,480
rate. He diets on a steady
stream of off the dribble opportunities, and

764
00:47:32,920 --> 00:47:37,599
yeah, his shot prile shot profile
wants for rim pressure, and he does

765
00:47:37,639 --> 00:47:42,119
indeed bail out too early on his
drives. But it's really hard to quibble

766
00:47:42,159 --> 00:47:45,599
too much with a shot selection when
he was connecting on fifty four point eight

767
00:47:45,599 --> 00:47:47,960
percent of his attempts between ten and
sixteen feet last year, and then north

768
00:47:49,000 --> 00:47:52,199
of forty three percent on his long
twos, where you're gonna need to see

769
00:47:52,199 --> 00:47:54,199
the jump. Is I definitely still
think as a passer when you're looking at

770
00:47:54,199 --> 00:47:58,119
his drives, and then if you
want him to run pick and rolls,

771
00:47:58,360 --> 00:48:01,400
he wasn't bad relative to rookies.
Is a score a point eight eight points

772
00:48:01,400 --> 00:48:07,039
per possession that was in the fiftieth
percentile not exceptional efficiency. You're gonna want

773
00:48:07,079 --> 00:48:09,840
that number to come up. Maybe
him turn the ball over in those situations

774
00:48:09,880 --> 00:48:13,920
a little bit less, So you're
gonna need him to become more a more

775
00:48:14,000 --> 00:48:16,320
dynamic pick and roll threat as that
passer and even as the score and then

776
00:48:16,360 --> 00:48:20,519
bump up his three point volume.
The defensive concerns for sure, but we

777
00:48:21,000 --> 00:48:22,400
have I don't want to call him
one way stars, but you can be

778
00:48:22,400 --> 00:48:27,800
an offensive superstar and still qualify for
stardom. I think he is a viable

779
00:48:28,320 --> 00:48:30,599
prospect. I wouldn't predict that this
is someone who's going to make All Star

780
00:48:30,639 --> 00:48:34,360
teams. But if you said that, this is someone who winds up being

781
00:48:35,320 --> 00:48:37,519
maybe a perennial sixth Man of the
Year candidate, or you want to loop

782
00:48:37,559 --> 00:48:39,679
him into oh, this is someone
we think that's going to get on the

783
00:48:39,719 --> 00:48:45,159
Tyler Hero trajectory. Hero was a
better shooter and passer and still is than

784
00:48:45,239 --> 00:48:50,159
Thomas, but that off the dribble
creation and how comfortable he looks subsisting on

785
00:48:50,199 --> 00:48:52,599
it is important. A lot of
it's going to be though. What type

786
00:48:52,599 --> 00:48:54,920
of agency does he have over the
offense. He did have quite a bit

787
00:48:54,920 --> 00:49:00,239
of license last year, but that
was with there were some injuries, players

788
00:49:00,239 --> 00:49:01,320
in an out of lineup. Then, of course the Kyrie Irving situation.

789
00:49:01,400 --> 00:49:06,320
If you have both the Rant and
Kyrie Irving there in addition to Ben Simmons,

790
00:49:06,320 --> 00:49:08,440
no, that opportunity won't be there. Even with Ben Simmons still there,

791
00:49:08,440 --> 00:49:10,159
you're gonna want to put the ball
in his hands a time. That's

792
00:49:10,159 --> 00:49:15,320
why you need Cam Thomas to sort
of, you know, nail down his

793
00:49:15,440 --> 00:49:17,119
three certainly his set threes if you're
not expecting him to hit these off the

794
00:49:17,199 --> 00:49:21,159
dribble looks that he does inside the
arc, scaling it beyond the arc.

795
00:49:21,239 --> 00:49:24,360
Okay, fine, but he needs
to be a viable set shooter that will

796
00:49:24,360 --> 00:49:28,920
do it for us. I hope
you enjoyed this mail bag. Please remember

797
00:49:29,000 --> 00:49:30,880
to subscribe to us. Hit the
subscribe button on YouTube like comment to help

798
00:49:30,880 --> 00:49:34,880
the algorithm love us back if this
is your first time listening to us to

799
00:49:34,920 --> 00:49:38,320
be a podcast, permanent subscriptions,
word of mouth as well, tell friends,

800
00:49:38,320 --> 00:49:42,159
family members, acquaintances, random people
on the internet who you know might

801
00:49:42,199 --> 00:49:45,400
happen to know or see that like
basketball, we have pleasantly sub mediocre coverage

802
00:49:45,440 --> 00:49:49,119
here to the entire league. Until
next time, and as always, I

803
00:49:49,239 --> 00:49:52,519
leave you with the shout out to
the one, the only, the indelible,

804
00:49:52,679 --> 00:49:57,400
the actual prospect who remained on the
superstar track and he deserves the time

805
00:49:57,440 --> 00:50:00,079
to prove it and the reps to
prove it. Fran in the Lakina
