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Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty
Do Podcast. I'm your host, Corey

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Evans. Thank you for checking out
this week's episode. It is titled twenty

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twenty four Breakout Candidates. The term
breakout is subjective to me. It means

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making that tier jump in value,
rising in market stock, or just pure

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perceived trade value. I don't have
five obvious names. Some are polarizing,

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others you could see coming, and
I think they're going to break out in

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fantasy football this upcoming season. Before
I get to that, I wanted to

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want them. If interested, hit me

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dynastyupodgemail dot com will get you on
my calendar. So here we go.

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Five Breakout candidates for twenty twenty four. No specific order. Kicking it off

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with Kendre Miller, running back of
the New Orleans Saints. He's twenty two

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in June. Still twenty one puts
him on the map as one of the

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younger running backs in the NFL at
alone on par with some rookie running backs

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from this year's current crop. Hendrey
Miller has an ideal build for the RB

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position at six feet to twenty A
third rounder last year out of TCU,

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production wasn't stellar. Forty one for
one fifty six and one score for a

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suboptimal three point eight yards per clip
added ten receptions for a buck seventeen no

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touchdowns as a receiver that was on
eleven targets in only eight games played,

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so a very small sample size the
data to work with dealt with various ailments.

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More to come on that lack of
durability soon. All that being said,

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that sounds negative. However, Kendre
did manage to post two standout performances

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in twenty twenty three. It was
Week five at New England twelve rushes thirty

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seven yards for reception fifty three yards, and Week eighteen was a true breakout

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game thirteen for seventy three and a
touchdown on the ground and one reception for

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six yards. What we need to
see is more consistency and then it can

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become a breakout candidate. In twenty
twenty four, we saw the emergence in

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those two weeks. Specifically last season, you have in terms of baffield competition,

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Alba Kamara the RB one under contract
until twenty twenty six. Jamal Williams,

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who where he was in Detroit the
year before to where he was year

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one in New Orleans was night and
day in terms of production and efficiency,

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is also under contract to twenty twenty
six, a possible out in dead cap

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of two point three four million in
twenty twenty five. I would not be

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shocked if Kamara remains the leader of
a committee in New Orleans and Kendre Miller

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has the eventual leg up barring health
cooperating, of course, over Jamal or

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it's more of a split than when
we saw last season. It's worth noting

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that Kendre had a dynamic college resume
with a two twenty four thirteen ninety nine

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seventeen rushing log in twenty twenty two
with TCU with twenty nine receptions across three

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years in school. Showcase sceing the
potential for three down upside durability, as

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I alluded to, is the one
question mark or asterisk surrounding Miller the uncertainty

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MCL sprain in the college football playoffs
back in December of twenty twenty two.

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He had a knee sprain in August
to twenty twenty three, a hamstring strain

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in August to twenty twenty three,
and then an ankle sprain in November of

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twenty twenty three. So you're seeing
a lot of different either soft tissue or

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knee slash ankle issues that have plagued
Kendre late in his college career or early

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on in his NFL tenure. From
a pure film perspective, Miller offers she

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out of a cannon acceleration and plus
field vision, which is why I was

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a fan of him pre draft in
twenty twenty three, and now as a

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sophomore, as a somewhat by low
candidate, if you will, in an

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ideal scenario, I think Miller can
complement Kamara in twenty twenty four opportunity to

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take over leadback duties and as soon
as this upcoming season, at some point

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or in twenty twenty five, when
Kamera can become expendable to the Saints from

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a cap situation. If ken Dre
Miller remains healthy. In twenty twenty four,

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I see a breakout on the horizon, if only for a possible improvement

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when it comes to fantasy environment or
offensive situation infrastructure. With the hiring of

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OC Clint Kubiak, who is known
to utilize the running back not only as

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a rusher but receiver for personnel usage
on the RB three RB four borderline,

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for me a path to standalone value
in twenty twenty four. In terms of

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pure market value. Right now,
Kendrey Miller is probably worth a twenty four

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mid to eight second, if not
early third, and a one quarterback or

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super f format Quentin Johnston. There's
already some mental or just verbal fatigue when

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it comes to QJ. I think
it's wise to pump the brakes on him

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being label to bust this early on
in his career. He'll be twenty three

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in September six four, two fifteen, So your prototypical wide out one build

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if it all pans out as a
pro. In the NFL twenty first overall

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pick last year from TCU thirty eight
four to thirty one and two for eleven

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point three yards perception. It was
sixty seven targets and seventeen games played as

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the PPR wide out seventy four was
disappointing. Absolutely, it was why he

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has the bust label linked to his
name. He only exceeded thirty yards in

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four contests. That's a low ceiling, but also a lack of evolvement for

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being fair and unbiased. I usually
like to zig when other zag when it

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comes to dynasty value, and that's
primarily the case right now for qj's overall

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dynasty trend in value. It's going
in the wrong direction or negative. The

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hate has simply gone too far.
Are his drops route running, overall raw

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ability to be a complete receiver and
under the hood metrics like creating separation uninspiring?

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Yes, of course sure. However, small sample size of only sixty

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seven targets. The same reason why
you're not writing off Pandre Miller should be

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the same reason why you're giving Quentin
Johnson the benefit of the doubt to emerge

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as a sophomore. Both Keenan Allen
and Mike Williams out of the picture in

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LA, which leaves QJ Joshua Palmer
as former veteran options for Justin Herbert to

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target. Then you have the new
editions of second round sensation, Lab mccacky,

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seventh rounder Brennan Rice, the free
agent acquisition of DJ Shark. So

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there's plenty of depth, which I
can agree is a downside for Johnston's outlook.

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What I'm most encouraged by is charger
GM. Joe Hortzes said he believes

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QJ is quote really going to launch
end quote as a starter in twenty twenty

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four. That hyperbole, of course, but the word that I'm taking away

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from that conversation is starter. If
Johnson is a starter opposite Joshua Palmer and

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even Lam mccacky in the slot or
out wide as a hybrid weapon, that's

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what you want to hear. Reps
volume, target share, snap percentage is

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what QJ needs to take a leap
forward. It should not be all difficult

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to improve on the thirty eight four
point thirty one to two log as a

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rookie. As a reminder, Johnston
was a polarizing yet at the same time

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fascinating receiver prospect who went sixty ten, sixty nine, and six in twenty

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twenty two. At TCU and tested
well forty and a Halvings vertical eleven foot

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two inch broad showcase in athleticism,
we cove it or have seen after the

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catch for a six four two fifteen
talent at the position, not to mention

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QJ average nineteen yards per reception in
school across one hundred and fifteen total receptions.

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The talent is there, it's refining
the skill set and developing more in

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year two. The downside, as
I mentioned, is the potential lack of

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target share consistency from Gerson Herbert.
That's not a direct reflection of Herbert's talent

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or what he potentially wants to do
individually. It's now the new offense of

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Jim Harbaugh and Greg Roehman being run
oriented, where target share could once again

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be difficult to come by for any
chargers wide out in twenty twenty four,

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even without the presence of Keenan Allen
and Mike Williams. What would I spend

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to Acchoir Johnston right now? A
second seems fair, But I'm telling you

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there's so much negativity surrounding his stock
that you could swoop in for potentially a

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twenty four third if it's early or
even a twenty five to third and another

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future third. If you have to
give up two thirds to take the risk

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on what was a first round talent
in ADP this time last year, I'm

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all for it, especially when QJ
could be a breakout candidate, but it's

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not being considered by most people in
redraft, let alone dynasty when he could

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easily bounce back in twenty twenty four. How about Chase Brown running back on

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the Bengals twenty four five ten,
two eleven ideal size or frame fifth rounder

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out of Illinois in twenty twenty three, he chipped in a forty four for

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one seventy nine rushing line, four
point winnards per clip, and fourteen one

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fifty six and one as a receiver
that was on fifteen targets in only twelve

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games played as a rookie last year. He displayed big play a Week thirteen

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at Jacksonville nine rush to sixty one
yards. Week fourteen, first Indianapolis eight

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totes twenty five yards but three receptions
eighty yards and a touchdown. I still

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remember that play right now. It
was a screen or underneath route and basically

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Chase Brown took it to the house
as a mismatch in the open field.

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The negativity surrounding Chase Brown, if
there is any as opposed to being optimistic

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about a year to outlook, would
be able to He spent five years in

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school, so a late breakout age
talent or advanced age running back prospect.

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It was one year with Western Michigan
and then four with Illinois. The best

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campaign came in twenty twenty two with
absurd production three twenty eight sixteen forty three

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ten on the ground in twenty seven
to two forty and three. As a

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receiver, I am in on Chase
Brown at cost which shouldn't cost you much

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more than a third and twenty four
draft capital, or probably a second and

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twenty five if you willing to sacrifice
that one round gap by sending out picks

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a year away. With Joe Mixon
out of the picture, Zach Moss is

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the presumed Darby one in Tocinnati,
but I forced committee at the very least,

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Moss can be the odden favorite for
volume, while Brown should push for

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a prominent role as a committee member. Chase Brown has an enticing athletic profile

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as well. Four point four to
three forty forty inch vertical ten foot seven

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inch broad again at five ten,
two eleven. He not only passes the

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analytics test, but when you watch
film with him, there's explosion burst,

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there's a hop in a step as
he gains steam upfield that running backs either

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have or don't, and Chase Brown
does. He, like Kendre Miller,

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is on the RB three RB four
borderline forming in twelve team league, So

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potentially even a Fox candidate in a
ten team structure entering a sophomore season,

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if people are forgetting or sleeping on
the potential Chase Brown in your league in

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favor of the shiny new toys of
the twenty twenty four rookie running backs that

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you can select in the late second
if not early the third of rookie drafts,

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then pivot acquire Chase Brown, who's
primed for a virtually locked in role

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without the president of Joe Mixon,
It's Moss, it's Brown, and not

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much else. I think Brown is
one of the best kept seek it's among

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running backs to breakout in twenty twenty
four. Time for a quick break.

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I'll be back with two more breakout
candidates before I do. The best spot

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00:11:07,759 --> 00:11:11,559
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You can of course pledge more to
join. There's a link in my social

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00:11:30,159 --> 00:11:33,600
Patreon dot com Patreon mobile app.
Go find me on. There's Corey Avams

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00:11:33,639 --> 00:11:39,080
a Dynasty dude. I just dropped
released my top seventy five rookie rankings post

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00:11:39,159 --> 00:11:43,360
draft superflex all tiered form as well
as episode audio form, only on Patreon,

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00:11:43,399 --> 00:11:46,879
so be sure to check that out. Be right back after a quick

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intermission discussing two more breakout candidates.
Next up is Jalen Tolbert for God and

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Man already in Dallas. He's twenty
five, so a little bit older than

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you might have guessed. Six'
one nine five third round selection in twenty

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twenty two out of South Alabama,
twenty two to sixty eight and two twelve

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point two yards perception with thirty six
targets last season. The encouraging sign despite

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the less than optimal production was four
hundred and seventy seven snaps. He only

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had eighty nine snaps as a rookie. Dallas has relatively thin wide receiver depth

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behind Ceedee Lamb, Brandon Cooks,
Tolbert himself. You have six round rookie

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Ryan Flournoy, and not much else
of note after the departure of Michael Gallup

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to the Raiders, a lot of
old veterans or just pure camp bodies that

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probably will make the team. So
it's a situation where Tolbert could earn the

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wide receiver three job out of camp
and be a force or target for Dak

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Prescott come week one of the twenty
twenty four campaign. It's hard to remember

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now entering his third season, but
Jalen closed out his college tenyure at South

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Alabama with back to back standout seasons
of sixty four, ten, eighty five

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and eight and twenty twenty and eighty
two, fourteen, seventy four and eight

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and twenty twenty one while averaging seventeen
point six yards perception on one ndred and

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seventy eight career catches. So that
profile, if you throw it into the

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mix of wide outs in the twenty
twenty two, twenty three, or twenty

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four classes would stand out as someone
we'd really be interested in as a prospect.

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The issue is it's been lackless of
production with minimal volume in years one

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to two as a professional with the
Cowboys. Another factor working in Tolbert's favor

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00:13:20,080 --> 00:13:24,799
is a speed four point four nine
forty with his size at sixty one ninety

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five makes him a mismatch out of
the slot or a perimeter target like Michael

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Galboi was for Dak Prescott towards a
sideline comeback routes or even in the red

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zone. Is Tolbert going to surpass
Brandon Cook's possibly Ceedee Lamb. Definitely not,

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but at cost I've seen him dropped
or a free agent in some dynasty

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leagues. Could be at most a
third, best case, fourth or fifth.

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I don't think Tolbert is of high
demand in any format right now,

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so before the hype builds in training
camp in the preseason, now is the

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best time to acquire him and attempt
to find a diamond the rough in terms

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of a potent'll breakout candidate wide receiver, and last, but not least,

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it's a veteran tight end who I
think could finally emerge as a tight end

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one in fantasy, at least consistently. It's noahfanse in Seattle twenty seven this

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November six, four two forty nine, twentieth overall pick by Denver all the

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way back in twenty nineteen out of
Iowa, so you know that Iowa's tight

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end university fits that mold. Three
campaigns with Denver two at Seattle to date

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with annual production of forty five,
sixty two and three, sixty two,

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six, seventy three and three,
sixty eight, six seventy and four,

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fifty four, eighty six and four, and then last year thirty two four

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to fourteen no touchdown. So that
was a bit sour in terms of immediate

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reflection on value target totals of that
span of sixty six, ninety three,

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ninety sixty three and forty three.
No offense needs to exceed one hundred targets.

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If he does again, we're talking
about a title one candidate that nobody's

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really thinking about considering at a paper
thin landscape outside of eight to ten names.

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Signed a two year, twenty one
million dollar new contract this offseason with

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eleven P four nine million guaranteed no
more Will Disley. It's a bear tight

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end room outside in Seattle with fourth
round er AJ Barner and Farah Brown.

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For the most part, he's more
of a blocker than natural pass capture.

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What I like most for Fant is
the presence of new oc Ryan Grubb,

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who was known for his passing scheme
from Washington with Michael Pennix, Junior,

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romadoons Ay, Jalen Polk, J
McMillan. You're probably thinkings are not tight

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ends, sure, but then again, Noah Fance is more of a glorified

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pass catcher than traditional inline weapon.
He's been used as both a blocker and

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out wide or into slot pass caucture, and I think there's room for growth

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or ability to maximize a skill sets, which Grub could do. Obviously,

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it's great news for DK Metcalf,
JSN Tyler Lockett's. The marketing efficiency that

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I see is Noah fan He is
someone being slept on or under utilized,

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which could take a complete change of
the direction or course. In twenty twenty

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four as a feels str seams stretcher
or underneath outlet for Gino Smith. Sam

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Howe, whoever is a quarterback for
Seattle this upcoming season. Sure fan is

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more of a tight end two to
begin this year than tight end one,

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but the upside exists. I don't
see a top five to ten range of

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outcomes, but sneaking into the top
twelve to become a tight end one or

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spike weeks within the calendar year is
certainly possible. So if you're a week

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at tight end, Noah fense is
one of my favorite targets to acquire right

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now, especially in tight end premium
or even two tight end leagues where you

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really could put up goose eggs or
very little production unless you have consistent outlets

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in the passing attack, and that
is no offense. We know his role

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is guaranteed, assuming health cooperates.
Thank you for listening. Hope you all

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enjoyed my twenty twenty four Breakout Candidates
episode? Do you agree disagree? Who

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should throw into the mix? I
don't want to put too many popular names.

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By that, I mean players that
are in near consensus top fifty seventy

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five, one hundred and ADP or
expected value. These are, for the

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most part, players outside of that
value spectrum. Quentin Johnson might be the

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exception to that rule, but there's
just so much hate towards him that I

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thought he fit the criteria enough so
quick recap of my breakout candidates Candre Miller,

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Quentin Johnston, Chase Brown, Jalen
Tolbert and Noah Fans. Thank you

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all for listening. Don't hesitate to
reach out. Take advantage of the twenty

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percent off roster call promotion. My
calendar does fill up quick. I will,

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of course make time which have to
be flexible, and work with each

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other to lock down a date that
works for each of us until next time.

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This is the Dynasty're checking out.
Hope you all get great rest of

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the week. Talk to you next
week. See you