Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Do podcast. I'm your host, Corey
Evans. Thank you for listening to this week's episode. It is titled Players
with Volatile Dynasty Stock. I have five names that right now in the open
market for trades, startup drafts, or even existing leagues for Dinson purposes are
Boom, Er, Bust, and Value. There are peaks and valleys when
you look at their outcomes for twenty twenty four and beyond, hence the volatile
category or buckets. Before we get to that, shout out to Walt love
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rookie rankings and they are all available at position as well as the top fifty
as a last week on the platform. All right, So players with violatile
Dynasty stock up first. I have Tank Dell, who will be twenty five
in October. That's older than we'd like to see for a sophomore wide out.
He's recovering from a fractured leg sustained in week thirteen of twenty twenty three.
There's been positive reports about his turnaround or time frame to return. He's
running at full speed since mid March and is on track to participate in spring
practice session, so well on his way to be back suit up week one,
assuming there are no setback. Tank was drafted in a third round out
of Houston last year. Preceded a post rookie production of forty seven for seven
to nine and seven good for fifteen point win as per catch across seventy five
targets as the PPR wide receiver thirty nine. A few of his spike weeks
included stand up performances of seven seventy two in a touchdown versus Indianapolis, five
for about forty five and a score at Jacksonville, six for one, fourteen
to two versus Tampa Bay, and then eight for one p forty nine and
one verst. Arizona. He even had a touchdown streak of four consecutive games
at one point. You think that would bode well for second years of pro
especially with CJ. Stroud emerging as one of the best pure pocket passers in
the entire NFL. And that does forecast positively because the rapport that Stroud and
Tank Dell had in twenty twenty three was undeniable. The issue is Houston traded
for Joe Mixon and Stefan Diggs this offseason, additionally re signing Dalton Schultz.
Consider those weapons, in addition to the presence of breakout star from last season
Nico Collins, and Tank Dell's previous perceived wash everyone ceiling in fantasy no longer
appears within reach or reasonable. It's not out of the question, but a
lot would have to go his direction in terms of efficiency to reach those levels.
Size also remains an ongoing concern for Dell's durability. The fractured leg is
somewhat of a fluke, but even at his time during Houston, he played
larger than his size, but it was always in the back of our minds,
at least mine prospect evaluation wise, that he is five ten one sixty
five, and you couple that with the increased target competition, it's becoming increasingly
difficult to value Tank is anything more than a wide out three with wide on
two upside N three twenty twenty four. At least for fantasy purposes. It
could be a rotation of sorts where Nico Collins goes off the next week at
Stefon Diggs, and then it's Dell. They could each shine in their own
light when that time comes. However, could be unpredictable and lead to frustration
for all three of Digs, Nico and Tank. On the flip side,
we should not be surprised if Dell remains a bet on big plays and the
efficiency like we saw in the limited sample size last year, alongside Stroud and
Houston's O C. Bobby Slowick. In order to be optimistic and keep that
sort of pace on par with last season, we need to hope that the
Texans do not add another wide receiver on Day one or Day two of this
year's draft. In terms of tank Dell's value right now, I'd say late
first, early second in superflex and a mid first in one quarterback leagues.
If Stefon Diggs was not traded to Houston, I do not think that this
conversation would be had about Tank Dell. But because of the current infrastructure and
environment, he is now a violatal asset in the DONATA stock markets. Jehan
Dotson is up max. He turned twenty four in March, former sixteenth overall
pick in twenty twenty two out of Penn State, a lot of Petrie behind
him. In twenty twenty two, thirty five, five, twenty three,
and seven for fourteen point on us per ketch on sixty one targets and only
twelve games played as a PPR wide out fifty one, A bit disappointing expecting
a sophomore leap. At twenty twenty three, he went forty nine, five,
eighteen and four for ten point six yards per ketch, so that regressed
significantly from his rookie season on eighty three targets more volume. In seventeen eighth
played as the PPR wide receiver fifty six, so he actually decreased in value
annually, yet played more games, had more catches, less yardage, fewer
touchdowns on the increased target share, so that was a puzzling performance out of
Dotson. He is suddenly on the hot seat in fantasy football, specifically in
Dynasy League's. Entering his third professional NFL campaign to date, he has yet
to return better than why Sheep four or if you're ten team league watch for
five value on a per year basis, and is therefore on the cusp of
bust territory. If Washington selects a quarterback at pick one point two, which
seems likely at this point, and the combination of new head coach Dan Quinn
o c Cliff Kingsbury worked out, then there's a chance Johann can emerge in
twenty twenty four. However, Dodson's donaee value is trending in the wrong direction
after his sophomore season, despite the versatility serves when it comes to lining up
outside and the slot at five to eleven pin eighty two. Diving a bit
deeper into last season, he underwhelmed with a catch rate of fifth nine percent,
yet managed to be on the field for eighty two point two percent of
Washington's offet the snaps that's encouraging, making him a near full time player.
The lingering question or dilemma making John Dotson violatil for the sake of this episode
is if the Commander's new coaching regime, dan Quinn and Kingsbury are going to
view Dotson the same way as a borderline full time player in two receiver sets
with Terry McLaurin, or if alternative options will be sought after in this year's
draft. For now, Terry McLaurin projects as the wide receiver one or first
read for next season, while Dotson is nothing more than a flex in the
fantasy landscape. In terms of what it would take to acquire and or cash
out for Hon Dotson, I would say a mid to eight second in both
super flex and one quarterback leads to this point seems like fair game. If
you're investing in Dotson, it's more on what he was as a product at
a Penn State as opposed to what he's done as working in sophomore in Washington.
I think the talent exists is legitimate, but the usage and role have
not been necessarily aligned with what made him so good at Penn State. How
about Marvin Ms Junior. He turned twenty two in March, A second round
pick last year o tot Oklahoma with four point three eight speed at five to
eleven point eighty two. He served a very minimal rookie role with Denver in
twenty twenty three, receiving log of twenty two for three seventy seven and one.
That's seventeen point one yards per catch showcase in his big playability, only
thirty three targets as the PPR wide receiver eighty nine underwhelming to say the least.
Mims actually made more of an impact on special teams nineteen for three to
twelve and pup returns and fifteen four to three ninety seven and one on kickoff
returns. The issue is most leagues, fantasy wise, don't utilize or tally
special teams yardage, touchdowns, or return points unless it's for the unit,
not the player itself. Jerry Judy was traded Cleveland this offseason, which on
paper creates a path for an expanded role to give Mims in twenty twenty four.
Then again, Sean Payton is unpredictable. Denver signed Josh Reynolds the free
agents to pair outside with Corland Sudden in two receiver sets, and you still
have Tim Patrick Slay to return as a receiving threat as well. The development
and fantasy footballutblook for Mims is quite simple, and I think it relies on
a few factors. One being the future at quarterback for Denver. They have
the chance to select the rookie at the twelfth overall pick. Perhaps trade up
Jared Stidham is not the answer. The onfield usage. Hopefully it's more than
just being a deep threat or lidlifter like Mims was last season, and we
see a higher snap radge of sophomore he did not surpass sixty nine percent during
any contest last year's rookie. And then third, finally, it's the tar
competition. Based on the construction or composition of the Broncos offense. We know
locked in commodities or pieces are indeed Colton Sudden, Javonte Williams, There's going
to be sprinkles of Reynolds, probably Tim Patrick tight end as Dults is going
to be healthy. A lot of variables in play, and I would not
be surprised if Denver adds to that core. So Marvin Mims based on draft
capital, is on pars a lot of wide receivers being smaller and fast in
the twenty twenty four key class. The issue is we don't know the rookie
lane spots. We know that Mims is now a fixture in Denver that lacked
utilization in twenty twenty three. I actually think that Marvin Mimms is a solid
BI low candidate before the NFL Draft this year because he doesn't fit the mold
of a franchise wide receiver one in real life. So if Denver allocates a
Day one or Day two pick too wide receiver, it's not going to bury
Marvin Mims. On a depth chart, his role should not change. He
is a complimentary piece. He's not going to be the alpha based on volume.
Really ever, doesn't fit that scheme or profile for the sake of today's
NFL. He didn't really at Oklahoma either. He's going to be more of
a mid to deep field weapon where a lot of damage would be done with
the speed and at the catchability. In terms of draft capital, I'd say
to buy or sell a mid to eight second and pretty much any format makes
sense. If you could swoop in for a third, I would capitalize and
bet on the pedigree, the speed, and hopefully Sean Payton coming to his
senses with it being one of his first ever offensive picks with the Never franchise
and actually manufacturing creating touches for him, whether it's Jared Stidham or a new
quarterback this upcoming season. His time for a quick break, and I have
a few more names to analyze who are vital assets right now in Dynashall.
Before I get to that, don't forget about my one on one roster calls
over on Google Meet. They are thirty bucks, thirty minutes or one hour
fifty hours. We can talk about your team top to bottom off recommendations if
I were in your shoes. If interested, to hit me up on social
media or send me an email to dynastypodgemail dot com. My calendar fills up
quick, so we're right before the NFL Draft. Once the draft it self
hits, my calendar is going to get much busier, so now's a good
time to get on it before the window or availability same week starts to book
up even quicker. If it's discussing one or two leagues, Usually thirty minutes
to fice. If it's two or more leagues, then I recommend a one
hour roster call time for the quick break, and I'll be right back.
Bryce Young came to mind as a vital asset twenty three in July. First
overall pick out of Alabama last season led to a downright awful rookie campaign in
Carolina. Two thousand eight and seventy seven yards passing eleven touchdowns, ten picks,
fifty nine point at complice percentage, five point five guards as attempt was
horrible, thirty nine rushes for two hundred fifty three scrollless yards as a quarterback
twenty three in fans football. Quite honestly, just inside the top twenty four
made him a quarterback two. I'm surprised, just based on how poor and
inefficient the stats were, that Bryce was even in that range. Carolina has
had a busy offseason to hopefully right the ship for Young, bringing in Dave
Canalis as head coach, Brad Izickoc along with training for Deontay Johnson as a
safety blanket a pair with Adam Fielm Jonathan ingot wide receiver. Even with his
historically bad rookie campaign, I believe that Young has all the talent in the
world to make a second in your leap if he can recapture his confidence,
consistency, and decision making that made him a heismanc Trophy winner at the college
level back in twenty twenty one. The talent does not disappear overnights, especially
against that level of competition even in school. He has best viewed right now
in fantasy as a quarterback to a quarterback three in super Fox leagues, bens
commodity or backup at one quarterback leagues until he proves us otherwise or demonstrates a
higher statistical ceiling is possible or achievable within this revamped Panther's offense. Now,
remember that as frustrating or incapable Young performed or looked last season, he's not
far removed from excelling at Alabama, hence the Heisman campaign, with ratios of
forty seven to seven and thirty two to five over his final two years in
school, while completing sixty five twinty eight percent of his passes career wise on
nineteen forty nine pass attempts. So the college resume made him the first overall
pick. Should we really dismiss him due to size and one bad year when
in reality, Bryce Young and the entire Carolina offense was set up to fail
in twenty twenty three, I am giving him the benefit of doubt. If
we have the same conversation at their sophomore season, then sure, he's probably
going to be a bust because quarterbacks tend to either progress quickly develop or not
pan out. All that being said, I would not feel comfortable with Young
as my quarterback won the super Flex League quite yet it's possible eventually. In
short way I look at is if you're loaded at running back, wide receiver,
and tight end, then Bryce Young is a quarterback two and super flex
isn't all that terrifying given the room for growth. In the perfect world,
Bryce is your quarterback three and depth behind two proven or consistent options. He's
your Bobby filling or injury replacement. For real life context, consider that the
presence of now head coach Dave Canalis and his history of turning around the careers
of quarterbacks, it needs to be emphasized and viewed as a parallel similarity to
really turn around Young's career. Prime examples being Geno Smith in Seattle and the
most recently Baker Mayfield Tampa Bay, where both quarterbacks literally were thought to be
phased out of the NFL or backups and it suddenly earned starting jobs and Baker
Mayfield got paid because of Canalis once again this offseason. In terms of draft
capital, sure Young is viatle I understand that there is risk inherently evolve and
trading for him or keeping him. Holding him, I'd say late first,
early second in super flex, think Bo Nix or Michael Pennick junior. In
terms of value for quarterbacks to quarterbacks, Comparing Young last year to this year's
reclass, I'd even say despite all the hype of JJ McCarthy, McCarthy versus
Byce Young is a fair debate value as well, not knowing or JJ slides
or slots into this year's draft. So Bryce Young I think is more of
a buy than selling dynasty. The hate has gone too far. His pedigree
and record of success at the college level does not disappear of the span of
one season. Remain patient acquire him while there's still a dip in value.
Is it a violatile investment, of course, but that is pretty much the
name of the game when it comes to quarterbacks super flex. Outside the top
ten and twelve names, and then finally that's been at least perhaps most prevalent
with the term folatal it's trailing Burkes. He's in twenty four in March,
former eighteenth overall pick, the twenty twenty two out of Arkansas, and what
was deemed a direct replacement for AJ Brown when he was traded to the Eagles.
So far and out the case, Burkes twenty twenty two is a rookie
thirty three four to forty four and one thirteen half yards per catch on fifty
four targets. Levinggan's played PPR receiver seventy eight disappointing twenty twenty three, sixteen
catches for two twenty one no touchdowns for thirteen point eight yards per catch on
thirty targets, and once again Levinggants played as a PPR wide receiver one twenty
three Wow. So far, if you have Burgs roster, the diastet has
been an absolutely slow, terrible start in the NFL. Burks is, without
a doubt, entering a make or break situation at the Tennessee completely restructured its
franchise during the offseason, with head coach Brian Callahan as a former roll scenes
to Nattie sign a free agent's Tony Pollard Calvin Ridley in an effort to build
around Will Levis, help him thrive, take pressure off of him trying to
do too much. In a best case scenario, Treylon Burks figures to occupy
the role of Tyler Boyd in Callahan's offense, which is basically a slot weapon,
whereas Calvin Brilly Deanger Hopkins should form a similar duo to that of Jamar
Chasty Higgins from the Bengals if at the scheme across two seasons. Their ability
has been the main drawback to rostering trailing Burks as a pro If health cooperates,
he could provide some sneaky value in a hyper efficient or effective mediocre volume
slot mismatch type of fit, where he previously did find success at the college
level with Arkansas. And somewhat concerning though, that both Brian Callahan and oc
Nickoles have yet to highlight Burks as an offensive weapon in offseason press conferences,
which could be an indication that Tennessee's new coach regime are not sold on his
role in twenty twenty four, or that he has to prove earn that consisted
value, it's not going to be given to him. Yes, Trayler Burks,
you're the eighteenth overall pick in twenty twenty two, but guess what,
Callahan and Nickoles were not there at that point in time, so Kyle Phillips
could be in the mix, Nick Westbrook of Kinney, it's not going to
be given to him. Does the big slot role sound enticing in fantasy because
Burks can be a complete mismatch against linebackers have lined up in certain packages,
of course, but with Targe sharing serious doubt, trailer cannot be treated as
anything more than a flex with equal upside and downside lean up to next season,
it's hard to even invest a mid to eight second in Burkes at this
point. I'd say a third is fair value. No one's going to want
to sell that low if they spent a first on him a few years ago.
Even so, he's as violatile as wide receivers come in Dynasty at this
point in time. That will do. It'll go enjoy my players with violetildynty
Stock episode A quick recap talked about Tink Dell, Johan Dotson, Marvin Mims,
Junior, Bryce Young and Treylon Burks any questions, you know where to
go. That's Patreon. Thank you all for listening. If you enjoyed any
part of this episode, please drop a five star of you and Apple Podcast
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on next week program. Thank you all again for listening. Until next time,
This is the Dynastay checking out. Hope you all have a great rest
of the week. See you