WEBVTT

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Well whiskey coming thing, my pay
money, why don't? From power Line

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blog dot com and produced by Ricochet
dot Com. This is the three Whiskey

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Happy Hour with your bartenders Steve Hayward, John You and power Lines International Woman

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of Mystery Lucretia. Have you gotta
giving? Let that whiskey flow where you're

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being in love down he Low.
It's the three Whiskey Happy Hour Gala New

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Year's Eve edition, our end of
year wrap up on events and look ahead

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of the year coming up. And
I even get to host my own show

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again. You know, my two
co hosts are like, you know,

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ruthless about beating me aside to run
the run the show we will sooner or

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later during this episode, Steve do
almost surely starting now. Perhaps this is

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the episode devoted not exclusively but with
the spirit of whiskey and whimsicality. Because

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what we're going to do is do
a quick review of what each of us

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think was the most significant story of
twenty twenty three, and then I'll look

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ahead to twenty twenty four, with
each of us doing three to five depending

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on time. Potential surprises, not
predictions, necessarily, but possible surprises coming

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our way. In twenty twenty four. But before we get onto that,

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first of all, Happy New Year's
gang. What are we drinking to ring

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out the year and ring in the
new I want to go first. I

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want to go first. So at
the Lucretia household, nobody gets ties or

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bubble bath or any of those sort
of pajamas, those kind of socks,

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those traditional things. You know,
if you need those things, you buy

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them. So it's always a little
bit of a challenge, and we don't

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do a whole bunch of things.
My son got a trip to Texas,

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a helicopter ride where he gets to
shoot hogs from a helicopter with a fifty

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cow. So that's kind of a
cool time. That's what we get in

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our household when we need it's why
is that a gift? And so he

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was very clever and got I brought
only the two whiskeys, because there's also

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a brandy and a couple of other
things. These whiskies are tenth Mountain,

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this one's an American single malt whiskey, and this one's a rye. But

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the reason for that, and he's
very clever, is that I spent a

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considerable amount of time at Tenth Mountain
up in Upstate New York at Fort Drum.

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I wouldn't say that I was the
one deployed, except that the soldiers

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were always deployed in the wintertime to
Panama, to Panama, and it was

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back in upstate New York. It
was forty to fifty below zero. The

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only reason my house was warm is
there was an inch of ice on the

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inside of the windows, so it
kind of insulated it anyway. So I

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actually did my time at Tenth Mountains. So I have my Tenth Mountain rye

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and my Tenth Mountain single malt,
and of course my Scotch, which is

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a fifteen year old Glen Fintage.
So you really are doing the three whiskeys

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three whiskeys tonight? Can you guys
beat that? No? Well I can't,

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John, what are you doing?
What do you I'm actually on the

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same wavelength as Lucretia as always,
so I have twelve but twelve year Glen

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Fittach twelve years. She beat me
by three. Yeah, but I thought

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i'd be traditional today too. Yeah, I've been. I have not had

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time to get out to shop for
whiskey, so I just have a you

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know, a triple pore of my
lafoy Kyle. Right, okay, John,

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wait wait before he goes on,
how many whiskeys are bottles do you

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have in your house? Uh?
I wanted to take a picture and then

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send it in for you could,
Yes, so I could do that.

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So I'd say to ten, maybe
ten or eleven? Right now? Yeah,

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I talk about twenty five or thirty
and Steve has one, well maybe

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three, but one three? What
are you talking about? Yeah, Okay,

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I'm bad at this and I won't. I won't, and you can't.

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You can't use your home renovations as
an excuse like you do for everything

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else. All right, enough of
this Before we get to our wrap up

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of the year and surprises for next
year, there are a couple of news

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items. One is just when you
think, Lucretia, we're done with our

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lugubrious discussions of lookism the last couple
of weeks, lo and behold controversy in

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the last forty eight hours about the
conservative dads. What's the hell I'm going

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to get this exactly right? The
Conservative Dads. Real Women of America calendar

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for twenty twenty four, and it's
you know, slightly cheese kiky photos for

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example, of Riley Gains in the
bikini, which makes perfect sense. She's

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a swimmers, she's a swimmers physique, and a lot of actually Saint Hilaire

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in a bubble bath, and who
I don't know who that is, right,

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I mean, they follow her on
Twitter. She's the one, by

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the way, who has been documenting
the and I we saw this when we

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were in the airport a couple of
weeks ago. You might have seen it

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also, John the shall we call
it the expedited travel arrangements being made for

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illegal aliens in airports all across the
country, but especially to soon in Phoenix.

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Well, one of the other I
mean, I don't know a lot

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of the ladies on this calendar.
One of them is Dane lash who I

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don't know, but I know who
she is. She is posed on the

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calendar with a couple of a semi
automatic weapons. She's been a spokespersonally in

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array I think, or at least
certain you know, gun causes, and

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I don't know. It's a lot
tamer than what I've posted at the end

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of my weekend pictures on power Wide. So there's this big fuss among conservatives

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that this is what Lucasia means it's
too it's too sexist, or it's it

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seems really it's a little bit like
I shouldn't make fun of Clotting Gay's ugly

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looks because there are more substantive things
to say about her. Well, you

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can have pictures of Riley gain looking
hot in a bikini, because there's more

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substantive things that matter about conservatives and
not these days there isn't. By the

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way, it does sound like,
I mean a lot of Twitter commentaries seem

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to be swallowing the feminist line that's
objectifying women, which I say, and

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what they these are not These are
not fake photos, are they? No,

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they're real photo. I mean,
so they chose to take their photos

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in these clothing, in these poses, right, so, and they're hardly

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I mean, you know, it's
just Riley Gaines twice in the bikini and

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Ashley Saint Clair wants in a bubble
bath, hardly revealing another one. She's

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wearing a black evening gown or something, and they're promoting what is it,

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you know, the anti butt light. I forget what the beard are trying.

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Anyway, So there's where we are, so we would it would be

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okay, if they were men dressed
this way, I don't know that's it's

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the fact that their women dress this
way makes it controversial. Well, someone

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mentioned on Twitter that gosh, you
know who didn't have a dad who had

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the snap On Tools calendar in their
garage back of years ago, And that's

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true. Snap On Tools used to
have these total you know babes wearing very

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tiny bikinis. They actually looked it
up. They discontinued that calendar way back

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in nineteen ninety four under realize pressure, right, and what was There was

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also the TV show, the Tim
Allen Comedy that had the full time card.

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Yeah, tool Time. I remember
that was like the most popular sitcom

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in America for years. Right,
Yeah, that's right. And no,

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what this is? I mean,
you know, I'm used to the liberals

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whining about this, but when our
team starts doing it, there's been an

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argument back and forth. But when
you know, voices on our team getting

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all anyway, I get I get
pressed. You know, of course that

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there's going to be massive demand for
a power line you know, three whiskey

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happy hour calendar now, in which
the readers will demand that all twelve photos

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be of Lucretia yes, well,
and then wait, you've got old photos

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of yourself from back in your Jane
Fond of workout days in the eighties.

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You've got to diagnose. What I
said was because John. I was teasing

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John. We were having our typical
little debate back and forth about Ukraine,

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and he came back and said Reagan
would have supported Ukraine blah blah blah,

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And I said, haha, the
eighties called they want their foreign policy back.

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Not the first time that Lucretia has
quoted Obama to me as a kind

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of desperate I've become. But John, quite rightly and cleverly wrote back that

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you know, of course, of
course he wants the eighties foreign policy.

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The eighties had the best helped me, John, Fashion, movies, fashion,

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and music. Yeah, it's all
bent downhill. So I wrote back,

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and I said that that I had
done one little modeling stint in the

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nineteen eighties and the pictures. You
could ask mister Lucretia, he will tell

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you that I am a dead ringer
in the pictures for Pat Benatar. It's

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mostly the hair style and on the
clothing. But I don't know that I

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actually facially look like her. But
but the get up is total, Pat

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Benatar, I don't know where those
pictures are. I know that, you

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know, sometime between the eighties and
now, they've been seen by at least

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somebody like mister Lucretia. But I
think that they're buried in a box at

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the bottom of the shed in the
back, which would take me like four

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years to dig out. So we're
not going to have an option anytime soon

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for the proofs from that model.
Yeah, but we're going to be bugging

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you every week, and listeners,
if you want to see this calendar produced,

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you should be relentless in the comment
threads to mande Lucretia's you know,

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go through those boxes and find it
and we'll produce it and put it up,

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or better yet, pay for an
intern to work through Lucretia's papers.

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I love, Yes, I think
my silo creaciable chip in Steve let me

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you need to let me share my
screen, and you're, oh, sorry,

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yeah, you can share this with
the listeners Afterwards. My argument was,

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if conservatives are really going to complain
so much about these women in these

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calendars, that maybe what we ought
to do is have a side by side

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just a twelve month calendar, but
half of the picture at the top is

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a conservative woman. Half of the
picture will be a liberal woman. Steve

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had a very clever response to that, which was something along the lines that

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I thought that was the view.
But I say we do. Barbara mccolski,

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geez, and I know you actually
you actually assembled your calendar for that.

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I could do it the way.
People have always said that the conservative

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women are way more attractive than liberal
women. I mean, think about even

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who's in Congress now, with the
exception of AOC, I'm told by younger

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people that they find her attractive despite
the fact that she has a horse face.

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She's really attractive the rest of them. I mean, you know,

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you could compare even someone who's who's
older but still quite attractive with the senator's

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name is Southern, Marsha Blackburn.
Marsha Blackburn. Yeah, yeah, exactly,

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she's attractive. There's quite a few
attractive women. She dresses well.

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And yeah, you as well,
as always, you tend to underestimate Hillary

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Clinton. You know some of the
pictures, some of the pictures from back

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when was president Bill Clinton was president. She's not horrible. When she went

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from stopped being an ugly hippie for
a while when she was in the White

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House and somebody did her hair,
and so when she was and she wasn't

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you a lumpy and dumpy? But
no, she's well when she you know,

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there was the famous pink sweater press
conference when she was under fire and

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that wasn't and she looked terrific and
that was not an accident. I think

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that was on purpose because they always
was that when she wasn't making cookies.

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All right, enough of that,
enough of that for now, speaking of

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another I'm sorry, I'm just gonna
say it. I think Nikki Hayley is

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an attractive woman, but boy,
did she ever blow it this week.

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And now I'm out of defensive for
her, because you know, she had

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several weeks ago said well maybe we
need to censor social media or no ban

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on anonymity. That was it needed
ban a nonymous participation on social media,

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and that was dumb. And then
this week she got the civil war question

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and totally flubbed it, I mean
flubbed it in the worst possible way.

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And her attempts to clean up on
Aisle six I've been even worse. It

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was a plant. Well, I
mean, no, of all the laming

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question. Well, look, listeners, if you missed this, she's said,

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I forget what she said, but
it was totally dumb. Then she

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tried so well, yeah, of
course, as she was she was asked

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what was the cause of the Civil
War? Yeah, she clearly had no

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Claremont graduates as her advisors. They
would have been all over in US.

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But she said it was that.
She said it was about the balance between

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liberty and government power. That was
her second answer. But that was the

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bad answer. That was that was
the clean up answer. Yeah, I

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forget what you said the first time, but it was just dreadful and so

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first of all. But then the
this was a plant, This was a

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hostile question meant to embarrass me.
Well, you know, I would welcome

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a plant like that, because the
same is by the way, he rambled

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a bit, but he got the
right answer. The right answer ought to

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be, especially if a democratic plant, the answer should be we had a

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civil war because the Democratic Party refused
to accept the results of a free election

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after spending a generation trashing the principles
of the American founding and denying the Declaration

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of Independence. Kind of like today, that would be the right answer.

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You know, turn it around and
make it a liability for the left.

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You know, we saw the same
problem happen when Governor de Santa as well

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Florida issued the education standards here four
or five months ago or six months ago,

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and there was some language you could
cherry pick. You read the whole

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thing, it was fabulous, but
you could cherry picked the language that said,

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well, slavery was complicated, blah
blah. And you know ricks wait,

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no, not Rick Scott. It
was the Scott running for president of

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South Carolina. A bunch of Republicans
piled on to Tim Scott. They piled

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on Republicans and by the way,
right now, listeners, Lucretia is sharing

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a headline from the Washington Post saying
conservatives really are better looking. Research says,

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you know, we got it from
social science for that. Anyway,

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she totally blew it, showing once
again that maybe she's not right for primetime.

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And I don't know, do you
want to I hesitate to ask Lucretia

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if you want to add okay,
totally mendicated. Okay, the only actually

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no, no, no, on
a slightly different topic than I'll leave it.

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Digjohn, is you know the whisper
campaign that supposedly h Donald Trump Junior

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is has is trying to convince his
father to completely denounce any effort to make

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Nikki Haley his running mate, because
he will absolutely destroy any prospects he has

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of winning if he does. So. Have you heard that? Guys heard

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that? Heard she said it.
He said it in public. I saw

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the cliff. Yeah, he saw
Don Jr. He was on a podcast

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and he said, there's no way
she's going to be vice presidential candidate.

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I think that's correct. I mean
yeah, I think well we'll talk about

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that as the primary season unfolds.
I think so it's relevant news right now.

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That's the only reason I brought it
up. There's nothing more to say

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about it. He his dad in
no uncertain terms, you will lose more

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than half of your support if you
bring that, that silly twit on the

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ticket. Yeah, but I think
that was a true proposition even before her

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fumble this week. But right,
well, let's move on. She just

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turns out to be a light intellectual
lightweight unfortunately, and DeSantis, you know,

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got the right answer. Yeah,
right, meets pretty easy. Yeah,

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well, all right, let's then
to move on to the main event.

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For this year ending episode, which
is what is for each of us

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the most significant and important story we
think of the year, and then the

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part two of this will be our
surprises for twenty twenty four. I'll go

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first, and by the way,
you can name a couple of runners up

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if you've got like two or three
nominees, because I do. I am

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grumpy the colleges have ruined college sports. I think that's a more significant cultural

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story than a lot of people make. I also thought initially that the big

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story of the year was the collapse
of the Santas campaign and the revival of

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Trump, and I think it is
a very big story. Who a year

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ago, the Santas was in the
lead in the polls and Trump was down.

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And then I think the turning point
was the Trump town hall on CNN,

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which ended up costing a head of
CNN his job because Trump did so

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well on it. That was Trump
was back, baby, and he was

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really impressive. And all the other
things we've talked about, you know,

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the indictments and all the rest.
He's back. And I think I could

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talk a while but won't about the
mistake the Santis of the Santa's campaign.

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But Dan more I thought about it, the more I realized the biggest story

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of the year was the triple play
of the Harvard unc case, of the

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October seven events in Israel, and
the aftermath exposing the hypocrisy and moral bankruptcy

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of American universities. And here I
think, I do want a brief historical

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analogy, because I know Illinois lucretia, and you know I lived for that

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sort of thing. But I got
to thinking about nineteen fifty four for a

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minute. Two things happened in nineteen
fifty four, won the Brown versus Board

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of Education decision, which we know
set off several decades of pitched battle.

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Right you had the massive resistance and
so forth. The second thing that happened

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in nineteen fifty four that I think
legal people don't remember that was the Army

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McCarthy hearings. And that was the
moment that was contrived and staged and never

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reported accurately in history books. But
nonetheless, that was when Joseph Welch turned

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on McCarthy with the famous dramatic moment, have you no decency at last?

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Sir? And that was thought to
be the moment that broke McCarthy and broke

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the spell of McCarthyism, and I
think there's some broader truth of the popular

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narrative. But now fast forward to
now you had the Supreme Court decision,

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pretty clear, pretty strong. We
liked it. Then you had the end

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of the end of the year,
the hearings with the three presidents of the

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Ivy the universities. That was a
disgrace. And I think those hearings,

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and I promise the creache I'm almost
done. Those hearings rank with the McCarthy

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hearings, the Watergate hearings all over
North in nineteen eighty seven, which totally

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upended the narrative of Irankantra. And
I think this one up ended the narrative

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and public perception of universities. It
doesn't mean that we're going to win.

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It only means that we have,
in sports terms, the possession arrow and

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we may have them on the run
if we can follow up and keep going.

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But I think this year was a
turning point and that whole conjurary of

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problems that we bundle under wokeery.
And I'll stop there and say that's my

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big story of the year. Well, John and I had a really interesting

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discussion after as opposed to what you
were just talking about, Steve, John

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was an uninteresting discussion. Oh,
I had a really interesting discussion right after

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the Harvard decision about whether or not
this was going to have a wide spre

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and you were part of it too, Steve. I'm just teasing a widespread

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effect beyond just the sort of simple
question of counting admissions by race, whether

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a they would double down on that, figure out a way to do that.

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We know they tried that very hard. We know that at your university,

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my university, and university's a across
the country. Uh, every every

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administrator under the sun has tried to
figure out how they can continue their DEI

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policies under some other name. At
universe my university, it became no more

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use of the word diversity. Now
we have to use the word inclusion instead.

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Right, But which is you know, a scam and just a way

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to get around it. So we
talked and then we talked about the you

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know, the possibility of it spreading. John gave us a nice discussion of

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how this might affect the corporate world, even though the the decision obviously didn't

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have a direct legal impact on the
corporate world. We all were kind of,

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you know, skeptical about whether whether
it was a turning point, whether

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you know, the decision would just
be ignored by academia and so forth.

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I am not quite as convinced as
you are, Steve, that that we

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have them on the run. However, we actually I disagree with you in

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two ways. I think the opposite
of the way you framed it in some

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ways. Let me see if I
can explain that. On the one hand,

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the respect that the average American has
has for higher education has been you

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know, waning by leaves and bounds
even before the Harvard decision, and you

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know, we've seen that across the
board. The whole student loan debacle didn't

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help all these things. Right.
On the other hand, you would have

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expected that maybe some college administrators,
university administrators, big shots would look at

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this and say, maybe we need
to do something. But of course what's

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happening is that that all of the
the elite university administrators are doubling down.

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Charles Freed, of all the more
ones in the world, well buys that

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guy came out, and I mean
so they even Larry Summers, he was

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absolutely terrible, who was actually speaking
out against cluddie and gay and the fact

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that she's still in Harvard the few
black black scholars who were sort of,

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you know, completely undermined and discriminated
against by her. And so anyway,

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my point to end all that and
give jo on the floor is that I

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do agree with you. However,
however, I don't think it has anything

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to do with some sort of hearings
in McCarthy. I don't think that's it.

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I think I'm just have somebody say
we don't think that donors should be

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able to have an influence on university
policy. These same people have been raking

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in billions and billions over the years. Uh. And of course you know

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the idea that Congress is actually looking
into this and wondering whether they ought to

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be funneling billions and billions of federal
dollars we might actually see money make a

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difference, is what I is my
point. John, So we're still talking

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about Steve. Well, I mean, you don't have to, John,

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I'm even talks to you for your
review want but well, you know,

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I think part of the an important
contributing factor to Steve's point about maybe Wokism

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has hit its waterloo this year is
the Gaza war I think that's the biggest

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story because the Gaza War is what
triggered this anti semitism. This did trigger

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ani Semitism. It made it acceptable
to publicly display anti semitism on the left,

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and it was that hearing at which
Claudie and Gay immolated herself, right,

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So I think I think to me
that's the big story. And the

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reason why is because in part not
just because of what's happening in the Middle

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East, but it showed I think
reasonable people who haven't been paying attention that

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wokeism and cultural Marxism has a strong
anti Semitic element to it, and that

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I don't think people realize that.
I mean, I think we we knew

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that, but I don't think most
people know that because they don't. They

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don't know anying about cultural Marxism or
Marxism. So were you surprised? Were

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you surprised or either one of you
surprised at the level of vitriol at the

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you know the is it? I
guess? Let me put it this way,

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the call the pro Palestinian idiots that
are protesting and so on, their

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facts are completely wrong. They know
nothing, they know less than nothing.

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It's not that they don't know anything. But it's just that everything they know

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is wrong. Right. I'm not
the slightest bit surprised. I don't think

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John is either the I'm surprised that
it's I'm surprised that it's in public,

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Like I think, like the people
when you read what they write, you

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know, the theorists and so on. Uh, you know, there is

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a strong anti Semitic element to what
they say. But you know, I

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didn't think it would burst out in
public with you know, the whatever they

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are, the wide general the z
generation out protesting as we've seen in public

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and then being defended by college presidents, right, people with the fanciest degrees.

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And I don't I'm not surprised that
they have these policies which have as

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their effect strong negative impacts on Jews
in this country. BI didn't think that

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they would have trouble condemning anti semitism
in a congressional hearing. So that's the

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I think that's because there's such a
bubble the students and these administrators. They

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didn't realize that they were saying things
which are abhorrent to the majority of reasonable

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people in the country. Well,
but I mean, but even inside that

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bubble John. The shocking thing to
me was people who should know better,

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like Larry Summers, like Gardine Irwin
Chammerinsky, who said, nothing's prepared me

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for the anti semitism I've seen on
campus since October seven. He was not

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paying attention. I've said this before
here, I've written about it. Right.

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That was just ridiculous. But enough
of all that, Lucretia, do

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you have your story of the year
that you think is loose largest to I'm

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going to because that was my story
of the year and you stole it.

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But that's the way it goes.
I've got another story of the year.

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You said, have my second third
place? Yeah, I actually, even

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knowing the fecklessness and abject corruption of
the Biden administration, I am still shocked

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and surprised about the disaster at the
border. I'll be honest with you.

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Two one hundred and thirty thousand apprehended
at the border in the month of December.

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How many got aways? We have
no idea. We have no idea,

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and the it is hard. It
is hard for me even to contemplate

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even knowing all of the explanations that
are given for the corruption of the Biden

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administration. In their handling of this. It is still impossible for me to

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wrap my head around the idea that
they are still allowing this to occur.

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And then that corrupt, senile,
pos pedophile president of ours has the unmitigated

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gall to call January the Month of
Human trafficking Awareness? Does he have I

359
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mean, you guys don't see it, but I see it all the time.

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Do you have any idea the human
suffering that occurs because that border is

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open, and because it's a welcome
matt to everybody, and because the cartels

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can and do kidnap. Actually it's
worse than that. They get families to

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give their children, to give their
women to the cartels in exchange for money,

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and then they're sex trafficked. And
they're sex trafficked all over the country.

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They're sex trafficked here in Arizona.
And how can you stop that?

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You close the damn border. You
close it. It can be closed.

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It can be closed without a wall. It would be better with a wall,

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but they could, you know what, shoot people who try to cross,

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shoot on site like they do in
other countries, would be the most

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humanitarian thing this country had ever done. That's my belief. And so the

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surprise to me is not that the
Biden has the border open, but how

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incredibly awful the situation has become.
And then you have Mophead and other idiots

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in the Biden administration. The border's
more secure than it's ever been and they

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lie unable. It's that to me
is a surprise. Well, i'll tell

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you. I'll tell you what that
wasn't the surprises. But last week,

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and it's one thing for Fox News
to cover this, They've had reporters down

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there fairly often showing things. But
last week I noticed, and I flipped

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around the channels because I got curious
about this, But all three networks,

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ABC, SE, CBSNBC, they
had segments on the evening news more than

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one night in a row, fairly
high up in the order of the broadcast

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from the border in Texas, showing
some of the pictures we've seen on Twitter.

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I thought, that's interesting. Didn't
go as far as I would,

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They didn't ask certain questions. But
the point is the fact that they're covering

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it at all I thought was unexpected. I thought, what's this about.

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They are taking the polls showing this
is deeply unpopular. Biden's handling on the

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00:29:25.640 --> 00:29:29.519
border I think it's like a twenty
percent approval, which he doesn't even have

387
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a third of the Democratic Party.
Who are those idiots that make up the

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00:29:32.119 --> 00:29:34.359
Twilve Yeah, exactly, Well,
I think you can always find tho.

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Okay, the pointoffs, but one
additional thing, and I'd like both of

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00:29:40.720 --> 00:29:45.279
you to comment. The mini surprise
out of that surprise was a the Republican

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governors and border states who decided to
export their immigrants. There are legal immigrants

392
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to sanctuary democratic sanctuary cities. And
how successful, how they didn't give in

393
00:30:00.559 --> 00:30:03.039
when they were you know, we're
going to sue you, we're going to

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arrest you, we're gonna blah blah
blah. They didn't give in. And

395
00:30:06.039 --> 00:30:10.559
look at what it's doing. It
may be more than wokeness, more than

396
00:30:10.720 --> 00:30:15.000
October seventh, more than anti Semitism. It may be the thing that destroys

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00:30:15.039 --> 00:30:18.440
the left coalition. Yeah, yeah, there's some evidence for that, right

398
00:30:18.720 --> 00:30:22.960
Yeah, John, you want to
weigh in on this particular point or should

399
00:30:22.960 --> 00:30:25.200
we move on? Oh? No, so I the people. I don't

400
00:30:25.200 --> 00:30:27.640
know if I mentioned the podcast,
but I actually spent the last few days

401
00:30:27.880 --> 00:30:36.200
of Christmas in Lucreatia Country. So
I was in Arizona, and I actually

402
00:30:36.559 --> 00:30:41.680
saw a lot of stories on TV
and actual old fashioned newspapers made out of

403
00:30:41.759 --> 00:30:45.359
paper about the border crisis. I
mean, it was I think here in

404
00:30:45.480 --> 00:30:48.200
California, I mean we see some
of it, but we don't really You're

405
00:30:48.279 --> 00:30:52.599
right with Christia, we don't really
see what it's like on the front line

406
00:30:52.680 --> 00:30:56.480
and just how everybody is thinking and
talking about it. And you see the

407
00:30:56.599 --> 00:31:02.200
effects of it everywhere in a way
you don't just you know, in northern

408
00:31:02.279 --> 00:31:06.279
California, maybe in southern California do
so. I agree that though I think

409
00:31:06.319 --> 00:31:11.920
it's become a bipartisan issue right now, it's not a conservative versus liberal issue.

410
00:31:11.200 --> 00:31:17.240
I also don't think it's a racial
issue, because I saw people quoted

411
00:31:17.319 --> 00:31:22.599
in the papers and appearing on TV
who appeared to be Hispanic who were complaining

412
00:31:22.680 --> 00:31:27.599
and upset about the way that the
border has failed. So I'm coming around

413
00:31:27.640 --> 00:31:30.720
to Lucretia's view that this is,
you know, this is I think the

414
00:31:30.880 --> 00:31:37.119
primary that and inflation to me,
become the primary domestic policy vulnerabilities of this

415
00:31:37.200 --> 00:31:41.200
administration. I would not have thought
that two years ago. Yeah, yeah,

416
00:31:41.240 --> 00:31:45.920
I do. Well. One quick
comment on that, John being having

417
00:31:45.359 --> 00:31:51.279
very very many friends of Hispanic heritage, many friends actually who are dual citizens.

418
00:31:51.359 --> 00:31:53.599
Because I live right on the border. My best friend is a dual

419
00:31:53.680 --> 00:32:01.839
citizen, a Mexican and American citizen, and her husband died recently, but

420
00:32:02.079 --> 00:32:07.000
before that he had his visa.
He was only a Mexican citizen and had

421
00:32:07.039 --> 00:32:13.039
his visa taken away because he was
married to an American citizen and his two

422
00:32:13.119 --> 00:32:15.960
daughters who are American citizens, so
they considered him a flight risk if he

423
00:32:16.039 --> 00:32:20.960
got back into the country. So
he was actually prevented for the last ten

424
00:32:21.039 --> 00:32:25.799
years of his life from entering legally
entering the United States. He lived in

425
00:32:25.880 --> 00:32:30.880
a house two blocks from the wall. Okay, just so you understand this,

426
00:32:31.000 --> 00:32:37.680
but that's one story, one anecdote
out of literally hundreds of thousands similar

427
00:32:37.119 --> 00:32:44.279
anecdotes. But what I will tell
you is people who have followed the legal

428
00:32:44.440 --> 00:32:50.960
pathway to either residency or citizenship are
not happy about the fact that, you

429
00:32:51.039 --> 00:32:55.680
know, literally hundreds of thousands of
illegal immigrants are crossing that border. They're

430
00:32:55.680 --> 00:33:00.720
getting they're getting cell phones, they're
getting credit cards, are getting hotel rooms,

431
00:33:00.759 --> 00:33:04.599
are getting airline flights, are getting
bus tickets, you know, on

432
00:33:04.720 --> 00:33:07.759
and on and on. And they
had to do it the hard way.

433
00:33:07.920 --> 00:33:10.400
And so it's not a racial issue, but any stretch of the imagination,

434
00:33:10.640 --> 00:33:15.000
it'd say, I want I came
here because I wanted to be an American,

435
00:33:15.599 --> 00:33:17.279
and I did what I needed to
do, and I followed the law,

436
00:33:17.440 --> 00:33:25.759
and it was often expensive and long
and bureaucratic and arduous, but I

437
00:33:25.880 --> 00:33:29.119
did it, and I think everybody
should have to do it the way I

438
00:33:29.240 --> 00:33:37.079
did. It's very very common.
All right, everybody, take a sip

439
00:33:37.119 --> 00:33:40.640
of whiskey and poor new glass,
and let's get on to are look ahead

440
00:33:40.680 --> 00:33:44.240
to twenty twenty four, and I
mean we can do if you want,

441
00:33:44.279 --> 00:33:46.759
some predictions on the election and Hunter
Biden and Jackie, if you want to,

442
00:33:47.160 --> 00:33:51.519
I think more interesting to try and
do what are some possible surprises,

443
00:33:51.720 --> 00:33:55.480
things that we don't expect, but
you know there's a probability it could happen,

444
00:33:55.559 --> 00:33:59.319
and you can see the logic of
it. I mean, I think,

445
00:33:59.359 --> 00:34:01.359
for example, a prediction, I
think Benjamin Netanyah, who is gone

446
00:34:01.440 --> 00:34:04.920
by the end of the year next
year, just because he's going to be

447
00:34:04.960 --> 00:34:07.239
the scapegoat for October seven. You
can see the logic of that. Maybe

448
00:34:07.280 --> 00:34:12.159
they'll be wrong, We'll see.
But I've got several what I think would

449
00:34:12.159 --> 00:34:15.599
be genuine surprises if they happen,
and I will will around Robin here,

450
00:34:15.599 --> 00:34:17.639
will each take a turn. My
first one is there's going to be a

451
00:34:17.719 --> 00:34:22.639
recession by summer or fall. And
the reason I say that is all the

452
00:34:22.719 --> 00:34:25.400
certified smart folks are saying right now, Oh, we're going to have a

453
00:34:25.480 --> 00:34:30.719
soft landing. We've avoid recession.
The Federal Reserver geniuses. They've managed the

454
00:34:30.760 --> 00:34:34.079
interest rate cycle just right, smooth
sailing. We're gonna have economic growth,

455
00:34:34.159 --> 00:34:37.800
it might even increase. And when
I hear everybody saying this in financial world,

456
00:34:38.719 --> 00:34:42.760
just like Greenspan said back in around
two thousand and five that everything was

457
00:34:42.800 --> 00:34:45.159
fine in the housing market, that's
w I think it's probably wrong and there's

458
00:34:45.159 --> 00:34:49.440
probably going to be a recession.
I can give you some macroeconomic indicators to

459
00:34:49.440 --> 00:34:52.199
support that, but I won't because
that'll really make Lucretia's eyes glaze over.

460
00:34:52.719 --> 00:34:57.199
She's already yawning. But that's what
I think. I'm predicting a recession for

461
00:34:57.320 --> 00:34:59.119
middle of the year. So I
don't know if any of you want to

462
00:34:59.159 --> 00:35:01.320
bite on that, or we can
just go on to you with your first

463
00:35:01.440 --> 00:35:07.679
surprise, So I don't think there's
going to be a recession. Let me

464
00:35:07.960 --> 00:35:13.960
just okay, coming because I think
that you know, there's this great book.

465
00:35:14.760 --> 00:35:17.320
Gosh, who's it by. I
think it's by this guy Ed Tufti,

466
00:35:17.400 --> 00:35:22.400
who's a professor Yale and went on
to greater fame teaching people how to

467
00:35:22.679 --> 00:35:30.280
make a PowerPoint displaced. But he
wrote he wrote by the Way. But

468
00:35:30.519 --> 00:35:36.320
before that, he wrote this interesting
book that showed that the Federal Reserve generally

469
00:35:36.440 --> 00:35:42.360
tries to cut interest rates and goosey
economy during presidential election years. So I'm

470
00:35:42.400 --> 00:35:45.440
going to predict there won't be a
recession because I think the Fed is gonna

471
00:35:45.760 --> 00:35:49.920
you know, this guy Powell is
gonna cave because he's just in case of

472
00:35:50.679 --> 00:35:53.199
right and wins AND's get reappointed,
so he's going to goosey economy cut interest

473
00:35:53.280 --> 00:35:57.800
rates this year too. Everyone's saying
he's going to anyway, but I think

474
00:35:57.840 --> 00:36:00.559
he's determined that they're not be a
recession during a presidential election year. So

475
00:36:00.639 --> 00:36:06.400
I'm against Steve. I have I
have faith in the office seeking desires of

476
00:36:06.679 --> 00:36:09.400
our bureaucrats. Can I just make
a comment about Ed Tufty Did you take

477
00:36:09.400 --> 00:36:13.079
a classroom in when you were young. I know I did take the class,

478
00:36:13.079 --> 00:36:15.000
but I was forced to read the
book. Well, I took it

479
00:36:15.079 --> 00:36:20.320
in I read it in Macroecon.
Yeah. Well, I mean he's famous

480
00:36:20.360 --> 00:36:22.639
for at least two things. One
is, yeah, the cognitive style of

481
00:36:22.719 --> 00:36:28.679
PowerPoint, which has this great poster
that is, nobody has PowerPoint like Stalin's

482
00:36:28.719 --> 00:36:36.840
PowerPoint. He has the best bullet
points. But he also in that's my

483
00:36:36.920 --> 00:36:39.599
PowerPoint. No, he was against
the But then also he's the guy whose

484
00:36:39.679 --> 00:36:43.840
book and I forget the title of
it, it was on the wait,

485
00:36:43.960 --> 00:36:47.320
the Physical Display of Quantitative Information.
Yes, you know that's but that's what

486
00:36:47.440 --> 00:36:51.800
it's about. Yeah, he's got
what he's actually was made in the nineteenth

487
00:36:51.840 --> 00:36:54.199
century, but he claims it's the
greatest data chart ever. I'll try and

488
00:36:54.280 --> 00:36:57.960
find it and post it in the
show notes for this episode. And it

489
00:36:58.119 --> 00:37:04.320
was you didn't don't remember it was
Napoleon's march to Moscow in eighteen twelve,

490
00:37:04.639 --> 00:37:07.840
you know, when he tried to
invade Moscow in the winter. And I'll

491
00:37:07.920 --> 00:37:10.159
just describe it this way because there's
a lot of stuff prammed into this visual.

492
00:37:10.559 --> 00:37:14.199
But he has this big, thick
band that gets thinner as you go

493
00:37:14.280 --> 00:37:16.159
to Moscow, and then the band
gets thinner and thinner going back to France

494
00:37:16.199 --> 00:37:20.800
in the winter, and that the
thickness of the band represents the number of

495
00:37:20.840 --> 00:37:22.639
troops he had. So he leaves
with something like four hundred thousand troops.

496
00:37:23.079 --> 00:37:28.159
He returns to Paris after the winter
with something like twenty thousand troops, and

497
00:37:28.599 --> 00:37:30.679
he's got a little markers along the
way, and he says, that's the

498
00:37:30.760 --> 00:37:34.960
greatest data visualization ever done. Let's
just mention that as a commercial comment.

499
00:37:35.079 --> 00:37:37.320
But okay, Lucretia, Oh wait, but John, I didn't you have

500
00:37:37.440 --> 00:37:42.800
your surprise so you said we shouldn't
talk about like the various Trump trials want

501
00:37:42.920 --> 00:37:49.400
too easy or the primary, So
can't I mean, but I actually just

502
00:37:49.599 --> 00:37:53.800
predict much more stability and less insanity
this year. So I don't think Ukraine's

503
00:37:53.840 --> 00:37:57.039
going to lose. I don't think
they're going to reach a piece deal.

504
00:37:57.039 --> 00:37:59.159
I think the war is going to
go on for a whole nother year.

505
00:38:00.119 --> 00:38:02.760
China is going to do anything to
Taiwan. I think Israel's going to close

506
00:38:02.800 --> 00:38:07.320
out Hamas and Gaza, although they'll
end up with a lot of casualties.

507
00:38:07.920 --> 00:38:12.159
But I just I just see the
trends continuing. I think the stock market's

508
00:38:12.199 --> 00:38:14.599
not going to go way up or
way down, but we will. We

509
00:38:14.639 --> 00:38:20.320
won't have a recession. Some I
generally don't think about the low probability things

510
00:38:20.360 --> 00:38:22.119
that might happen. I think Biden, and it's going to be Biden versus

511
00:38:22.199 --> 00:38:25.880
Trump. I think, yeah,
I think Trump's gonna probably win if you

512
00:38:27.000 --> 00:38:30.760
just go on the past numbers,
which probably would have surprised me a year

513
00:38:30.760 --> 00:38:35.400
ago. A year ago, I
wouldn't say I think Trump's going to win.

514
00:38:35.719 --> 00:38:37.800
I think DeSantis is not gonna win. He's going to pull out.

515
00:38:37.840 --> 00:38:40.599
I don't understand how that happened.
That's something I thought we were going to

516
00:38:40.639 --> 00:38:45.920
talk about. It's just what happened. Well, the Desanta's inspired by Claremont

517
00:38:46.039 --> 00:38:50.599
ideas. There's the photo of Steve
meeting. Actually that was the high point

518
00:38:50.719 --> 00:39:00.760
after he met with Hayward. It's
been an unmitigated dives. What I mean,

519
00:39:01.079 --> 00:39:05.199
no one's ever going to let the
Claremont is to me with another presidential

520
00:39:05.320 --> 00:39:07.840
nominee. Again. Okay, quiet
down now, John, you're not any

521
00:39:07.920 --> 00:39:15.280
help. Here's why I surprised if
a year ago we had done this format,

522
00:39:15.400 --> 00:39:19.639
would any of us have predicted even
a one percent chance that the end

523
00:39:19.679 --> 00:39:23.960
of twenty twenty three, our favorite
Democratic Senator would be John Fetterman. And

524
00:39:24.079 --> 00:39:28.039
yet that is what has happened.
That's how weird the world can be.

525
00:39:28.280 --> 00:39:30.280
That's why I sort of like this
exercise, right. Yeah, And you

526
00:39:30.320 --> 00:39:35.159
know, who would have thought that
Kevin McCarthy would only be in office for

527
00:39:35.280 --> 00:39:40.239
what lesson a year? Well,
that's true. Lucretia was. Lucretia was

528
00:39:40.280 --> 00:39:47.760
all over that quit. Yeah.
So I mean maybe my my my low

529
00:39:49.000 --> 00:39:54.320
probability prediction is that all of the
university presidents who testified before Congress and that

530
00:39:54.400 --> 00:39:58.679
hearing will be relieved of office by
the end of the year, even if

531
00:39:58.719 --> 00:40:01.760
they're not saying so. So I
would expect Claudiing Gay Gosh, she looks

532
00:40:01.840 --> 00:40:06.239
like she's going down. But I
think also the president of MIT will have

533
00:40:06.400 --> 00:40:08.400
to leave in the end too.
I think I do think we have had

534
00:40:08.440 --> 00:40:14.079
a turning point in woke inc And
even if the even if they're not,

535
00:40:14.199 --> 00:40:17.320
I think I think Clauding Gay would
have been gone by now except the Penn

536
00:40:17.400 --> 00:40:21.880
president resigned and so they couldn't force
her out right away. So I think

537
00:40:21.920 --> 00:40:24.960
they're going to have a decent interval, and the same for the MIT president

538
00:40:25.039 --> 00:40:29.960
too, because I think they're also
coming under enormous They're going to come under

539
00:40:30.039 --> 00:40:36.320
enormous competitive pressure from all these universities
and conservative states like in Florida and Texas

540
00:40:36.400 --> 00:40:38.519
that are starting at North Carolina that
are starting up, and they're going to

541
00:40:38.559 --> 00:40:44.840
start pulling good faculty and students away
from the IVY leagues are from Stanford or

542
00:40:45.039 --> 00:40:47.360
Berkeley or you know, UCLA or
all the other places that are you know,

543
00:40:47.480 --> 00:40:52.400
have wocism so deeply entwined in the
DNA. Now, yeah, all

544
00:40:52.480 --> 00:40:57.159
right, that two low probabilities that
all three I mean presidents will resign.

545
00:40:57.559 --> 00:40:59.920
Yeah, no, not a bit. I mean that. Yeah, that's

546
00:41:00.079 --> 00:41:06.920
fine. There's no good listeners.
Steve reach out to me last week and

547
00:41:07.639 --> 00:41:12.960
and recommend that I apply for one
of those IVY leagues. You should.

548
00:41:14.079 --> 00:41:20.360
No, I can't even imagine a
worst fate. But anyway, well,

549
00:41:20.440 --> 00:41:23.440
I'm just I'll say that there's no
clear dividing line betweens a prediction and a

550
00:41:23.519 --> 00:41:28.559
surprise. I'm not saying black Swan
events are the very low probability but high

551
00:41:28.599 --> 00:41:31.119
consequence things. But oh, I
got another one. The Philadelphia Eagles and

552
00:41:31.159 --> 00:41:35.400
the Philadelphia Phillies will make it to
the super Bowl in the World Series,

553
00:41:35.719 --> 00:41:43.199
just like they did last year.
Okay, Lucretia, do you have a

554
00:41:43.280 --> 00:41:46.960
surprise for us so almost being president
of Harvard? That would Yeah, that

555
00:41:47.039 --> 00:41:52.000
would be a surprise, wouldn't it. I'm not big on predictions. I

556
00:41:52.159 --> 00:41:54.320
actually wanted to bring up something that
just happened today and ask you guys what

557
00:41:54.440 --> 00:41:59.519
you thought about it. The big
headline coming out of Trump today was Trump

558
00:42:00.159 --> 00:42:05.119
announces that he does not believe that
either Joe Biden or Kamala Harris will be

559
00:42:05.559 --> 00:42:09.119
the Democratic nominees, and that he
will at him. Yeah, here's why.

560
00:42:09.320 --> 00:42:13.679
I mean, I don't think it
would be a huge surprise if I

561
00:42:13.679 --> 00:42:15.920
don't think. First of all,
let me do it this way. Biden's

562
00:42:15.920 --> 00:42:19.039
going to be the nominee. He's
gonna be the candidate, barring some extraordinary

563
00:42:19.079 --> 00:42:22.800
event like a stroke or following down. Tell me why that's the case.

564
00:42:22.920 --> 00:42:29.159
Explain to me has made that decision. Why I'm about damn sense, Yes,

565
00:42:29.239 --> 00:42:31.800
it does. I'll tell you why. But him, it would not

566
00:42:31.880 --> 00:42:36.800
be a surprise if he steps down
even I'll tell you why, Lucretia,

567
00:42:36.960 --> 00:42:44.599
It's because, uh, no,
doctor Jill Biden has a seance every night

568
00:42:44.679 --> 00:42:49.400
with Edith Wilson and descides that she
wants to be Edith Wilson of the second

569
00:42:49.519 --> 00:42:52.400
term. No, I believe that. Literally. I think that Delma is

570
00:42:52.440 --> 00:42:57.760
a board. I know that.
But uh oh, but you saw the

571
00:42:57.960 --> 00:43:00.840
we talked about this, didn't we
The video they put out for Christmas with

572
00:43:00.880 --> 00:43:04.599
all those sort of transgender dancers dancing. Oh yeah, night Mayor from a

573
00:43:04.719 --> 00:43:07.280
Kubrick movie or something like. I
thought, why did they do that?

574
00:43:07.880 --> 00:43:12.119
Surely they must have some Maybe they
didn't pick it it was from doctor Jill,

575
00:43:12.239 --> 00:43:15.519
But I thought they did that because
they want to pocus in the eye.

576
00:43:15.679 --> 00:43:19.719
They actually wanted to be offensive.
And that shows a certain confidence on

577
00:43:19.800 --> 00:43:22.039
the part of doctor Jill if she
did sign off on that or propelled it

578
00:43:22.119 --> 00:43:24.360
forward, and how out of touch
she is with things. So no,

579
00:43:24.519 --> 00:43:29.639
I literally mean that she thinks she's
Edith Wilson and she's a president for this

580
00:43:29.719 --> 00:43:31.199
one hundred years ago, and that's
why they're going to go through with it.

581
00:43:31.599 --> 00:43:36.880
And there are other reasons, but
I think it's having been a staffer

582
00:43:36.960 --> 00:43:40.039
on the Judiciary Committee when he was
there, and then I think this book

583
00:43:40.119 --> 00:43:44.480
about him called what it takes about
the nineteen eighty eight race, which is

584
00:43:44.519 --> 00:43:49.440
an amazing book, as an amazing
profile of fighter young Biden. And and

585
00:43:49.960 --> 00:43:55.360
he is just overweaning. The only
deciding character, the only clear characteristic he

586
00:43:55.559 --> 00:44:00.239
has is ambition. Now that's common
amongst a lot of politicians, probably a

587
00:44:00.360 --> 00:44:04.960
lot of people in the Senate.
But I think as people get older and

588
00:44:05.159 --> 00:44:09.000
they start to enter early dementia stages, you know, all the things you

589
00:44:09.079 --> 00:44:14.199
know, like their person I reduce
is down. I think too the core

590
00:44:14.519 --> 00:44:19.599
characteristics I have, and this core
characteristic is just ambition. Ye, well,

591
00:44:19.880 --> 00:44:24.039
it would explain how he lies so
with such facility. I mean,

592
00:44:24.119 --> 00:44:30.880
he can't speak half the time,
but he can make these incredible lies and

593
00:44:30.079 --> 00:44:34.639
just keep right on going. And
every single one of them can be tied

594
00:44:35.039 --> 00:44:38.920
to exactly what you just said,
John, I cure cancer, right,

595
00:44:40.199 --> 00:44:44.000
Yeah, Because you know the thing
is, I mean he has he's allowed

596
00:44:44.079 --> 00:44:46.039
all these very left wing things to
Kurrnder's presidency. But you know, you

597
00:44:46.159 --> 00:44:51.280
read that book, look at his
career. He's actually not a very ideological

598
00:44:51.360 --> 00:44:54.079
or principle guy. Like he's not
defined by He's not like Ted Kennedy,

599
00:44:54.119 --> 00:44:59.599
for example, defined by a certain
set of principles, how much I disagree

600
00:44:59.639 --> 00:45:01.840
with him, John bushed he just
wanted to be in you know, he

601
00:45:01.960 --> 00:45:07.000
just wanted to win office. Yeah, Steve and I did an entire,

602
00:45:07.920 --> 00:45:13.039
an entire podcast before we were clever
enough to invite you on as a permanent

603
00:45:13.119 --> 00:45:17.280
co host. We did an entire
podcast on Joe Biden's time on the Senate

604
00:45:17.360 --> 00:45:24.159
Judiciary Committee, and Steve dug up
some really great quotes, speeches, but

605
00:45:24.360 --> 00:45:30.000
from Biden when he was pro natural
law and when he was anti natural law,

606
00:45:30.199 --> 00:45:34.920
and when he was pro you know, and in the space of four

607
00:45:35.039 --> 00:45:40.239
years, right right, it was
actually quite quite telling. I don't think

608
00:45:40.320 --> 00:45:44.920
any of that really even matters.
Now. He's whoever his handlers are,

609
00:45:45.119 --> 00:45:49.840
whether it's doctor Jill, and she's
obviously, if you believe Steve, as

610
00:45:49.880 --> 00:45:53.400
ambitious as he is. But I
don't know that she's got any direct ideological

611
00:45:54.079 --> 00:46:00.039
leanings either. She's smart enough,
but certainly there are people behind the Bidens

612
00:46:00.079 --> 00:46:05.079
who are pulling some strings, and
they are very ideological. And that's why

613
00:46:05.159 --> 00:46:10.039
Biden has become a left wing nut
job of you know, pushing transgenderism and

614
00:46:10.079 --> 00:46:14.679
all this other stuff. As Steve
put it, in our face down our

615
00:46:14.719 --> 00:46:20.880
throats on purpose, designed to offend
us at every turn. Yeah. Look,

616
00:46:20.920 --> 00:46:23.199
I mean the point John, is
that, I mean, all politicians

617
00:46:23.239 --> 00:46:27.840
are ambitious, as you say,
but most of them have some ideological objective.

618
00:46:27.960 --> 00:46:30.559
You know, Kennedy wanted national health
insurance and other things, and once

619
00:46:30.639 --> 00:46:35.880
a while they have morals or character. Yeah, well this, but even

620
00:46:35.920 --> 00:46:38.719
the case of Clinton and Obama,
they both had a large political ambition,

621
00:46:38.760 --> 00:46:42.760
which was to overturn the Reagan years. They had to be careful about doing

622
00:46:42.800 --> 00:46:45.480
that because they couldn't do it directly. Biden only wants to be president.

623
00:46:45.599 --> 00:46:49.199
He's pine for his wife, and
he inc and let go of Now I've

624
00:46:49.239 --> 00:46:52.480
said this before. He's like Gollum
in the Ring. This is his precious

625
00:46:52.519 --> 00:46:54.599
and he's not going to let go
of it, you know, without being

626
00:46:54.719 --> 00:46:58.480
thrown into the volcano, which you
know, I mean it could happen,

627
00:46:58.559 --> 00:47:04.840
but me but wait, Lucretia didn't
make her prediction yet. Well, well,

628
00:47:04.920 --> 00:47:08.039
not good at predictions. I think
everything you said was wrong, John,

629
00:47:13.320 --> 00:47:16.079
And I actually I'm gonna be a
little bit sorry, a little bit

630
00:47:16.159 --> 00:47:21.159
modeling here. I got up this
morning and you know, I'm on vacation,

631
00:47:21.719 --> 00:47:24.519
and not only am I on vacation, but the university shut down.

632
00:47:24.559 --> 00:47:29.480
So it's one thing to be on
vacation, and everybody expects you to answer

633
00:47:29.559 --> 00:47:31.559
emails and take phone calls and go
to meetings and so on when you're on

634
00:47:31.679 --> 00:47:35.519
vacation, But when the university shut
down, you can actually be on vacation.

635
00:47:36.039 --> 00:47:40.119
And so I'm just leisurely over my
coffee, reading the news, reading,

636
00:47:40.480 --> 00:47:45.440
you know, across across the spectrum, and I'm just getting more and

637
00:47:45.639 --> 00:47:50.760
more and more depressed by the situation, the situation at the border, the

638
00:47:50.880 --> 00:47:57.440
situation, you know, Biden saying
that January is the month of Human Trafficking

639
00:47:57.519 --> 00:48:06.039
awareness, and again too much personal
experience with what's really happening there watching you

640
00:48:06.119 --> 00:48:12.599
know, just how he's the Supreme
courted rule that he can't forgive student loans,

641
00:48:12.679 --> 00:48:16.440
and he's figured out a way,
probably all illegally, but using executive

642
00:48:16.519 --> 00:48:21.280
power to forgive at least one hundred
and thirty two billion dollars worth of student

643
00:48:21.360 --> 00:48:25.719
loans so far since that decision,
and made it so that nobody else is

644
00:48:25.840 --> 00:48:29.639
paying their student loans even if they
haven't had him forgiven, you know,

645
00:48:29.840 --> 00:48:34.400
just on and on and on,
and so I'm hoping John that some of

646
00:48:34.519 --> 00:48:42.440
your more optimistic predictions are right.
I don't consider you're Ukrainian prediction optimistic,

647
00:48:42.559 --> 00:48:45.239
and I don't want to talk about
Ukraine now, but I just think it's

648
00:48:45.400 --> 00:48:51.639
that's going to be a really ugly
situation. But I'm hoping that the entire

649
00:48:51.760 --> 00:48:55.039
American populace wakes up to what our
corrupt elites are trying to do to this

650
00:48:55.239 --> 00:49:01.480
country and says enough is enough in
twenty twenty four and gets rid of every

651
00:49:01.599 --> 00:49:06.199
single one of them across the board. It's not a prediction, it's a

652
00:49:06.400 --> 00:49:09.760
hope. Well, that's the the
the central question of the election cycle,

653
00:49:09.800 --> 00:49:14.320
I think, So I'm going to
agree with you on that. But then

654
00:49:14.440 --> 00:49:16.239
I'm going to go to this round
two and I'm going to give you my

655
00:49:16.400 --> 00:49:21.880
second unexpected or surprising event that I
think it could happen. Oh, this

656
00:49:21.960 --> 00:49:23.199
is going to bait you, Lucretia
big time. And John, you may

657
00:49:23.280 --> 00:49:28.719
be totally bored with it, but
my surprise would be at some point in

658
00:49:28.800 --> 00:49:32.599
the next few months, there may
be a major scandal or schism coming out

659
00:49:32.639 --> 00:49:38.440
of the Vatican. And here's how
boring. Yeah, you would say that,

660
00:49:38.519 --> 00:49:42.519
here's the brief background of this.
Just last week, there were these

661
00:49:42.599 --> 00:49:45.800
news stories that, oh, hope
Francis, who's you know, sympathetic to

662
00:49:45.920 --> 00:49:51.039
Marxist liberation theology or Marxism with salsa
as I was called it years ago when

663
00:49:51.079 --> 00:49:52.280
it was a thing. He said, Oh, well, you know we're

664
00:49:52.320 --> 00:49:58.159
open to blessing same sex unions,
which flies the fad. Well now,

665
00:49:58.760 --> 00:50:01.440
ah, yes, let me qualify
that, lucretia, because that was the

666
00:50:01.519 --> 00:50:06.360
news stories which didn't get the story
right. If you read it carefully,

667
00:50:06.639 --> 00:50:08.840
maybe you want to characterize it better
than I can. He wasn't saying I'll

668
00:50:08.960 --> 00:50:14.239
just tell you that, Okay,
I am not a fan of Pope Francis.

669
00:50:14.599 --> 00:50:21.079
He says idiotic things that are so
easily manipulated and twisted by a media

670
00:50:21.199 --> 00:50:25.800
that wants him to be a progressive
Marxist blah blah blah. So I blame

671
00:50:25.960 --> 00:50:32.440
him. But what he said was
that he would bless the persons who were

672
00:50:32.559 --> 00:50:39.119
involved in same sex relationships. And
of course, from a purely Christian point

673
00:50:39.159 --> 00:50:45.840
of view, every person deserves the
blessings of the pope because every person is

674
00:50:45.880 --> 00:50:52.480
a sinner. Right, What if
he had said I bless transsexual practice,

675
00:50:52.639 --> 00:50:57.199
I bless sex unions or any of
those things. Then, of course that

676
00:50:57.239 --> 00:51:00.480
would have been heresy to the nth
degree. I didn't say that, correct,

677
00:51:00.599 --> 00:51:04.320
No, And and you know,
people I know who defend him say

678
00:51:04.400 --> 00:51:07.400
exactly what you just said, and
they're right, And I'm not defend him.

679
00:51:07.719 --> 00:51:09.440
Well okay, but but here here
I think you may agree with me.

680
00:51:09.480 --> 00:51:12.440
I mean, I go back to
a few weeks ago, and he

681
00:51:12.519 --> 00:51:16.199
also talked about how we we want
to have I forget the exact language,

682
00:51:16.199 --> 00:51:21.840
but it was like equal representation of
women and church councils. Here's the point,

683
00:51:21.960 --> 00:51:23.679
here's what But I think this is
why I think there's going to be

684
00:51:23.960 --> 00:51:29.679
some kind of scandal or schism.
You know, he's been having a big

685
00:51:29.760 --> 00:51:32.800
feud with some conservative bishops and has
dismissed a few of them. But also

686
00:51:32.960 --> 00:51:37.000
my point is Lucretia and here I
think you agree with me. He has

687
00:51:37.119 --> 00:51:43.960
a habit, bad habit, I'll
say, for the of stating making any

688
00:51:44.000 --> 00:51:49.760
statements using the progressive vocabulary. And
I don't know if he knows he's doing

689
00:51:49.840 --> 00:51:52.800
that, if he realizes that,
because that's not going to modify the left

690
00:51:52.880 --> 00:51:57.639
that wants the Catholic Church to give
in completely to the agenda of the cultural

691
00:51:57.719 --> 00:52:01.079
left. Right. In every particular
case, he could have said much more

692
00:52:01.159 --> 00:52:04.280
precisely. I mean, on the
on the bit of, you know,

693
00:52:04.360 --> 00:52:07.880
wanting to get more women involved,
he could have said something like, we

694
00:52:07.920 --> 00:52:13.400
would like to elevate the voices of
women of vocation. That's a distinctly Christian

695
00:52:13.519 --> 00:52:17.760
language that that is abrasive to cultural
leftism. He didn't used the language of

696
00:52:17.840 --> 00:52:24.639
inclusivity and diversity and representation, right. Uh, and that's what. Oh,

697
00:52:24.719 --> 00:52:30.760
there you've got a picture of him
wearing a rainbow cross that and anyway,

698
00:52:30.880 --> 00:52:34.119
Well, if it's real, it's
everywhere across the internet. But I

699
00:52:34.199 --> 00:52:37.679
don't, honestly don't know if it's
real. I was wondering if maybe John,

700
00:52:37.760 --> 00:52:40.440
who stays out of these things,
might know. Well, that's going

701
00:52:40.480 --> 00:52:43.480
to lead you to my third surprise, but I'm going to hold that for

702
00:52:43.559 --> 00:52:45.679
the moment. It's about something else. But yeah, so I don't know.

703
00:52:45.880 --> 00:52:51.000
I I think that there's there's a
behind the scenes and it's been bubbling

704
00:52:51.039 --> 00:52:55.559
for a while. There's a lot
of schism, I'll put it that way,

705
00:52:55.639 --> 00:53:00.320
which may become maybe not scandal.
The Vatican itself has a lot of

706
00:53:00.920 --> 00:53:05.639
corrupt and cord Yeah, so that
I mean That's not my expertise and never

707
00:53:05.760 --> 00:53:10.920
will be. I'm too much of
a you know, late late life converted

708
00:53:12.000 --> 00:53:15.400
Catholic to follow much of that sort
of stuff. But the last two popes

709
00:53:15.440 --> 00:53:17.639
would have never used that. I
could see both of the last two popes

710
00:53:17.679 --> 00:53:22.199
sing exactly the same thing, but
not using a progressive vocabularies. Yes,

711
00:53:22.760 --> 00:53:27.719
right, you know, Mother Earth, Come on, If God is not

712
00:53:27.880 --> 00:53:34.960
capable of undoing the effects of anthropological
what's it called, climate change? If

713
00:53:35.159 --> 00:53:37.400
God can't handle that, there is
no God. Well do you remember the

714
00:53:37.519 --> 00:53:40.800
pope? Well, do you know? Roll the tape back forty years and

715
00:53:40.840 --> 00:53:45.400
you will remember Harry jaff Is saying
to us in class attacking the Bishop's circular

716
00:53:45.400 --> 00:53:49.559
about nuclear weapons because the first sentence
that is something like the existence of nuclear

717
00:53:49.599 --> 00:53:53.880
weapons calls into question the sovereignty of
God. And Jaffa would say in class

718
00:53:53.960 --> 00:53:59.480
that Jewish Professor Wright, since when
did Catholics stop believing in the omnipotence of

719
00:53:59.559 --> 00:54:04.480
God? What's vulnerable? Boom right, and we see the same thought.

720
00:54:04.599 --> 00:54:07.039
This is a sequel to all that, it seems to me. Okay,

721
00:54:07.000 --> 00:54:08.880
John, do you have an in
surprise? I was just going to say

722
00:54:08.880 --> 00:54:13.400
that when you said schism. I
got interested, but then I grew bored

723
00:54:13.480 --> 00:54:16.960
because you're just talking about a division
in the Vatican bureaucracy as far as I

724
00:54:17.039 --> 00:54:21.159
can tell, by the way,
wouldn't I mean, it's a huge rights

725
00:54:21.159 --> 00:54:24.840
in little country with its own giant
bureaucracy. I would assume everything Hope Francis

726
00:54:24.920 --> 00:54:30.599
said has been drafted and debated and
you know, worked on before he gives

727
00:54:30.679 --> 00:54:35.760
it, so that if he's saying
all these progressive things, that reflects someone

728
00:54:36.000 --> 00:54:39.519
something of the bureaucracy of the Vatican. Yeah, well yeah, but not

729
00:54:39.719 --> 00:54:45.400
just him. It's not just him. But that's where the possible public schism

730
00:54:45.559 --> 00:54:49.320
or scandal would come will be the
people who will say he has surrounded himself

731
00:54:49.360 --> 00:54:52.440
by very bad people something like that. That's how this went. And what

732
00:54:52.599 --> 00:54:54.239
Steve glussed over, just so you
know, John, is that he has

733
00:54:54.320 --> 00:55:04.400
in fact been extremely u what's the
word disciplinary against bishops, especially in the

734
00:55:04.519 --> 00:55:08.360
United States, with conservative views,
I mean conservative from a Catholic, not

735
00:55:08.440 --> 00:55:16.360
conservative necessarily entirely politically, but conservative
Catholics. He has excommunicated these deprived bishops

736
00:55:16.400 --> 00:55:25.559
of their diocese as dioceses trying to
suppress the Latin Mass, which you know

737
00:55:25.960 --> 00:55:30.760
exists in a few places. But
okay, he wanted to change the words

738
00:55:30.800 --> 00:55:35.360
of the Lord's prayer. Yeah yeah, he's just uh well, I mean,

739
00:55:35.480 --> 00:55:39.239
but when that's brought to me,
honestly as a Catholic, my answer

740
00:55:39.360 --> 00:55:45.679
back is the Catholic Church is a
human institution inspired by God, but it's

741
00:55:45.760 --> 00:55:47.199
made up of humans. I mean, do we have to go back to

742
00:55:47.280 --> 00:55:52.559
the Borges to remind ourselves that popes
have not always been the finest examples of

743
00:55:52.639 --> 00:55:58.679
holy persons anyway? Or federals fifty
one if memory angels right? Okay,

744
00:55:58.880 --> 00:56:04.960
yeah, But the problem with Catholicism, I think sometimes is this notion that

745
00:56:05.119 --> 00:56:13.800
the pope's papal infallibility is entirely misunderstood
over you know, uh, it's a

746
00:56:14.000 --> 00:56:22.800
very limited concept. But anyway,
that's enough for that. Go ahead and

747
00:56:22.840 --> 00:56:29.360
give us your next surprise or unexpected
possibility if you have one. So how

748
00:56:29.400 --> 00:56:37.519
about that this year will be the
rise of conservativism and politics and society throughout

749
00:56:37.599 --> 00:56:42.000
the world, So not just the
United States, but look at all these

750
00:56:42.079 --> 00:56:45.679
elections that are going on all over
the world. And so I think that's

751
00:56:45.679 --> 00:56:49.280
why I think you're wrong. Then
who's going to get kicked out. I

752
00:56:49.360 --> 00:56:52.639
think who will end up staying.
I think you're going to see Maloney's going

753
00:56:52.679 --> 00:56:57.159
to be I think that in uh
these all these I think you'll see the

754
00:56:57.280 --> 00:57:02.599
German Chancellor have to leave, you
know, the the Greens and the ky

755
00:57:02.800 --> 00:57:07.360
basically the socialists are going to have
to go. The only place I think,

756
00:57:07.440 --> 00:57:12.559
I think, you know, count
that's the one. I think that

757
00:57:12.719 --> 00:57:17.239
might be the exception will be England
because they've had so well, you know

758
00:57:17.360 --> 00:57:21.760
that the Tories have so mismanaged things, you know, they you know,

759
00:57:22.199 --> 00:57:24.000
it sounded like they were, you
know, they were just getting us ready

760
00:57:24.000 --> 00:57:28.400
for the McCarthy show, right with
all their different prime ministers and all the

761
00:57:28.440 --> 00:57:31.159
screwed up policies. That I think
that's going to be the outlier. But

762
00:57:31.280 --> 00:57:36.119
yeah, I think you're going to
see the return of conservative governments in South

763
00:57:36.159 --> 00:57:38.519
America. I think, you know, Trump was just the precursor. And

764
00:57:38.559 --> 00:57:42.639
then you've had the election of Georgia
Maloney and you've had the election of that

765
00:57:43.559 --> 00:57:49.079
what's his name, wil Dirt in
the Netherlands said wil Dirt, yea wilds

766
00:57:49.440 --> 00:57:52.440
in the Netherlands. So I think
that's I think we're going to see.

767
00:57:52.599 --> 00:57:54.559
Actually, it's not just we tend
to focus so much in the United States.

768
00:57:54.639 --> 00:57:57.840
We don't realize that, of course
we have a lot in common with

769
00:57:57.920 --> 00:58:01.119
these other countries, and you're seeing
the raw the is the sort of rejection

770
00:58:01.280 --> 00:58:06.920
of this kind of cosmopolitanism that Obama
represented and now that Biden is continuing.

771
00:58:07.559 --> 00:58:10.960
So that's another I don't know if
that's enough, low probability enough for you

772
00:58:12.239 --> 00:58:14.960
either. Well, I don't know. I'm I'm predicting a sweep across the

773
00:58:15.039 --> 00:58:21.960
world as I refer the German Chancellor
as Sergeant Schultz open Zeros. Right,

774
00:58:22.639 --> 00:58:25.159
I bet you're what the next French
presidential election is. But the latest polls

775
00:58:25.159 --> 00:58:30.840
show Marine Lapan, who has all
she has more baggage than than than Sam

776
00:58:30.920 --> 00:58:36.760
Brenton on a rampage and an airport
luggage lounge. And she's leading, She's

777
00:58:36.840 --> 00:58:39.239
leading Macron in the polls. I
know she's leading Magron now right, right,

778
00:58:39.480 --> 00:58:43.880
And so yeah, that's very telling. We'll see about something. What

779
00:58:44.000 --> 00:58:49.519
about the god awful, despicable situation
with our neighbors to the north. Oh

780
00:58:49.679 --> 00:58:52.519
well, oh yeah, I think
he's going to win this too, because

781
00:58:52.559 --> 00:58:55.800
he's way behind us, way behind. So that's like Steve's expert on this

782
00:58:55.920 --> 00:59:00.920
time, but doesn't it feel like
nineteen seventy nine, nineteen eighty again a

783
00:59:00.000 --> 00:59:05.000
bit? And the question also was
a time when things turned in this very

784
00:59:05.519 --> 00:59:08.320
conservative direction in many countries at once. Well, the question is the one

785
00:59:08.639 --> 00:59:15.920
Lucretia raises, which is we reach
a critical mass of people who just don't

786
00:59:15.920 --> 00:59:19.360
get it and are so corrupt that
they're gonna you know, I hold out

787
00:59:19.400 --> 00:59:22.760
hope on all that, but I
am going to go on to my surprise

788
00:59:22.880 --> 00:59:28.400
potential surprise number three, not a
big one, but it is at some

789
00:59:28.599 --> 00:59:31.400
point in the next next year,
and I think related to the election cycle,

790
00:59:32.000 --> 00:59:37.440
we're going to get a moment or
two where a deep fake video is

791
00:59:37.519 --> 00:59:40.360
going to make big news and royal
the whole political scene. I mean,

792
00:59:40.400 --> 00:59:44.119
these things are getting so good and
it's going to be and the problem is

793
00:59:44.159 --> 00:59:46.000
it'll be likely about Trump. But
the thing about Trump is how do you

794
00:59:46.079 --> 00:59:51.480
tell some mate up thing Trump said
what he really says, right, or

795
00:59:51.559 --> 00:59:53.239
Biden for that matter, because he
talks total nonsense. But I think the

796
00:59:53.320 --> 00:59:58.119
technology is getting so good now.
I do think the major news networks probably

797
00:59:58.199 --> 01:00:00.079
have people who try and check things
out to f verify them. But the

798
01:00:00.159 --> 01:00:04.559
world of social media, things can
take wing and it becomes a news story,

799
01:00:04.639 --> 01:00:07.840
whether it's legitimate or not, and
it will take several days or even

800
01:00:07.880 --> 01:00:10.599
it just takes twenty four hours.
He stop for a second, Steve,

801
01:00:10.920 --> 01:00:14.679
Well, you understand what I'm saying. Yes, well, I'll stop.

802
01:00:14.719 --> 01:00:16.239
Here's the yeah. No, no, no, it's not I want to

803
01:00:16.280 --> 01:00:22.719
add. I don't want to stop
you from speaking. But we have we

804
01:00:22.840 --> 01:00:28.159
have a virtual learning environment for our
cyber program. And inside this world,

805
01:00:28.719 --> 01:00:32.599
this virtual world that we've created,
we have media companies. And in those

806
01:00:32.719 --> 01:00:39.679
media companies, we use AI that
polls constantly, pulls from social media,

807
01:00:39.880 --> 01:00:50.199
from legitimate news sources, and creates
news broadcasts in Chinese, in Portuguese,

808
01:00:50.400 --> 01:00:54.920
in Spanish. And I would defy
you. I would defy you today if

809
01:00:54.960 --> 01:01:00.599
I could set one a real one
next to a AI gen write a news

810
01:01:00.679 --> 01:01:04.519
story for you to pick out which
one was real. And that's done by

811
01:01:04.719 --> 01:01:10.400
our students, right, that's done
by our students. Okay, So here's

812
01:01:10.480 --> 01:01:15.320
the problem is why you can present
me of it with a tape of somebody

813
01:01:15.440 --> 01:01:22.480
saying something that you can find scandalous, not you personally, and expect me

814
01:01:22.599 --> 01:01:25.119
to be you know, shocked and
dismayed by it, and then I'm ninety

815
01:01:25.159 --> 01:01:31.239
percent likely to think it's it's a
fake because it's so easy. Kids can

816
01:01:31.320 --> 01:01:36.119
do it, right. But that's
why, I mean, isn't somebody clever

817
01:01:36.320 --> 01:01:38.320
going to drop one of these things
in an opportunity? But they are dropped

818
01:01:38.360 --> 01:01:43.000
all the time, I mean,
honestly, But okay, I mean,

819
01:01:43.239 --> 01:01:45.000
I don't know. I just I
just think there's a chance that that's going

820
01:01:45.039 --> 01:01:51.119
to be a new moment when I
don't know, we'll see. But they

821
01:01:51.159 --> 01:01:59.360
are renaming cybercom the Army Cyber Command
to be information Warfare. Yeah, yeah,

822
01:01:59.840 --> 01:02:05.519
just think that through. That's the
new name information warfare, John,

823
01:02:05.679 --> 01:02:08.360
how about I predict on the technology
state. So on the technology front,

824
01:02:08.400 --> 01:02:16.480
I'll predict that some city will start
to allow totally driverless cars and it will

825
01:02:16.559 --> 01:02:22.039
be a great success and there'll be
more demands for it that The failure of

826
01:02:22.119 --> 01:02:27.079
it in San Francisco was actually an
aberration, and of course was part of

827
01:02:27.880 --> 01:02:34.119
progressives not understanding the idea of risk, and so they want a complete one

828
01:02:35.119 --> 01:02:38.679
safety for everything. And so yes, there was a terrible accident between a

829
01:02:38.800 --> 01:02:45.079
car and a pedestrian. Although I
believe it was caused initially by someone driving

830
01:02:45.119 --> 01:02:50.760
a car who hit the woman first
and then and then she collided with the

831
01:02:50.920 --> 01:02:53.920
driverless car. But the driver's car
didn't stop, it kept going with her

832
01:02:54.039 --> 01:02:59.039
under it. That was the terrible
accident. Well, people liberals just don't

833
01:02:59.119 --> 01:03:01.199
understand. You have to heir that
to what it would be like with no

834
01:03:01.400 --> 01:03:05.400
driver less car, right, you
have to. And so I think that

835
01:03:05.559 --> 01:03:09.719
the track record of safety of driverless
cars is just you know, ward is

836
01:03:09.719 --> 01:03:15.800
a magnitude better than human drivers.
Yeah, and so ELS had not become

837
01:03:15.039 --> 01:03:19.920
a pariah to the left, Oh, we probably wouldn't be seeing it quite

838
01:03:19.960 --> 01:03:22.880
to the extent you're talking about.
And I do have a little little anecdote

839
01:03:23.000 --> 01:03:28.039
you might appreciate. I told these
guys not on the podcast last week,

840
01:03:28.079 --> 01:03:32.599
but either before or after that,
the recall that's been imposed upon Tesla,

841
01:03:32.639 --> 01:03:37.000
it's not really a recall, it's
a software update. And what that software

842
01:03:37.079 --> 01:03:42.079
update is, so if when you're
driving not a self driving car, but

843
01:03:42.199 --> 01:03:45.039
an autopiloted car, which is something
different, that's what I have. I

844
01:03:45.079 --> 01:03:51.039
don't have a self driving Tesla.
There's no cruise control per se. It's

845
01:03:51.880 --> 01:03:57.199
it's autopilot and what happens is when
you turn it on, it not only

846
01:03:57.320 --> 01:04:01.760
takes over the speed modulating this be
keeping you. It keeps you inside the

847
01:04:01.880 --> 01:04:05.800
lanes. You no longer steer,
you know, I mean, it takes

848
01:04:05.960 --> 01:04:11.079
over that. Now you're responsible.
It'll slow down, if there's a car

849
01:04:11.119 --> 01:04:13.960
in front of you, it'll really
slow down quickly, put you through the

850
01:04:14.000 --> 01:04:17.280
womindshield if something runs in front of
you, does all of those things,

851
01:04:17.760 --> 01:04:23.119
but you're supposed to maintain control of
the vehicle at all times. And if

852
01:04:23.199 --> 01:04:30.280
you are sitting there and you're not
necessarily keeping your hands on the wheel and

853
01:04:30.639 --> 01:04:33.760
giving it some kind of pressure,
it will start screaming at you. And

854
01:04:33.800 --> 01:04:38.280
if you don't do something, it
will kick you out and you will not

855
01:04:38.480 --> 01:04:41.559
be able to use auto steer for
the rest of the trip. Okay,

856
01:04:41.719 --> 01:04:45.559
that's been it, and I've hated
it since day one because it's so paternalistic.

857
01:04:45.840 --> 01:04:50.039
Or if you are driving in auto
steer and you want to get around

858
01:04:50.119 --> 01:04:53.480
somebody because you're being a nice person, you don't want to, you know,

859
01:04:54.000 --> 01:04:56.599
box them in, and if you
go over a certain speed, it

860
01:04:56.599 --> 01:04:59.960
will also kick you out of auto
steer, so then you don't have cups

861
01:05:00.079 --> 01:05:02.320
control it. All for the rest
of your trip. What the software update

862
01:05:02.440 --> 01:05:05.760
did was, among other things,
say that if you do something like that,

863
01:05:05.840 --> 01:05:09.000
you don't keep your hands on the
wheel, or you drive too fast

864
01:05:09.000 --> 01:05:13.920
an auto steer, you are kicked
out for fifteen days. Wow. Okay,

865
01:05:14.559 --> 01:05:17.639
but yesterday I was driving, I
was driving on this open highway.

866
01:05:18.159 --> 01:05:21.880
I had my auto steer on.
Somebody I think it was you guys,

867
01:05:23.000 --> 01:05:26.800
probably sent me a text message and
it wouldn't come across my screen. So

868
01:05:26.840 --> 01:05:29.639
I picked up my phone and I
put it in front of me to look

869
01:05:29.719 --> 01:05:31.800
at the and of course my car's
driving for me, hands on the wheel,

870
01:05:32.880 --> 01:05:38.719
and the car starts screaming at me, please pay attention to your driving.

871
01:05:38.880 --> 01:05:42.880
Put your phone down. I can
imagine you wouldn't like that. Surprise,

872
01:05:42.920 --> 01:05:45.519
surprise, How didn't know? How
didn't know you were looking at the

873
01:05:45.599 --> 01:05:48.760
phone camera on me? Oh?
So the camera. There's a camera on

874
01:05:48.840 --> 01:05:53.039
the inside of the tesla watching your
movements, and if you do things it

875
01:05:53.119 --> 01:05:57.000
doesn't like it. That's the new
I mean, the camera's always not having

876
01:05:57.159 --> 01:06:00.960
that. Man, what if you
just put like the little a little sticker

877
01:06:00.039 --> 01:06:02.119
on top of the case, like
we talked about at the beginning. I

878
01:06:02.159 --> 01:06:06.440
thought of it. I probably will. Yeah. Man, anyway, John,

879
01:06:06.480 --> 01:06:09.800
do you have another surprise for us? Like, no, that was

880
01:06:09.880 --> 01:06:13.960
my surprise about the test. The
self driving car will be accepted by some

881
01:06:14.199 --> 01:06:16.639
city in the United States and it
will be a great benefit, and then

882
01:06:16.800 --> 01:06:20.760
everyone else will realize that once again, we screwed it up in San Francisco.

883
01:06:21.119 --> 01:06:24.880
Yeah, Lucretia, do you have
another surprise or are you? Are

884
01:06:24.880 --> 01:06:27.719
you out of surprises for us?
I'm out of surprises. I know you

885
01:06:27.840 --> 01:06:32.320
guys didn't find my paternalistic tesla's story
interesting. I really want to about this.

886
01:06:33.199 --> 01:06:38.159
Well, here's another another prediction I'll
make is I think we're going to

887
01:06:38.199 --> 01:06:41.920
the Conservatives will lose the housebo going
to win the Senate. But that's yeah,

888
01:06:41.960 --> 01:06:44.760
it's actually I think probability, right, Yeah, A lot of people

889
01:06:44.840 --> 01:06:46.719
think that, right, Yeah,
just based on the way things are going.

890
01:06:47.639 --> 01:06:50.360
Yeah, all right, I will
I will give you. I've got

891
01:06:50.360 --> 01:06:54.599
a whole bunch more, but I'll
just give you the next one. I

892
01:06:54.679 --> 01:06:58.280
think I think I telegraphed to you. I think they're a surprise evand of

893
01:06:58.360 --> 01:07:01.800
you know, low probability, but
possible is China will deliver and ultimatum to

894
01:07:01.920 --> 01:07:05.639
Taiwan sometime this year, and the
reasons they'll do it. Look, but

895
01:07:05.760 --> 01:07:08.920
by the way, it will be
an ambiguous one. It will be,

896
01:07:09.119 --> 01:07:13.360
you know, Taiwan, we want
you to commit to reunification with the country

897
01:07:13.639 --> 01:07:18.039
within some timeframe. It'll be designed
to exploit Biden's weakness. I think that's

898
01:07:18.079 --> 01:07:21.280
one of the reasons for doing it
now. And I forget when the Taiwan

899
01:07:21.360 --> 01:07:26.440
election is scheduled for it soon.
I think, right, it will be

900
01:07:26.679 --> 01:07:30.119
it will be baked type yeah,
and it will be putting Taiwan on the

901
01:07:30.159 --> 01:07:32.719
spot because I know there is a
faction there. I think that wants to

902
01:07:32.800 --> 01:07:38.000
declare independence, which would be essentially
a declaration of war and inviting a Chinese

903
01:07:38.039 --> 01:07:42.159
invasion. And look, I mean
I don't know. Maybe it would pass

904
01:07:42.480 --> 01:07:45.440
washover like a small wave and calm
down, but I wouldn't be all surprised

905
01:07:45.480 --> 01:07:49.800
to see China try that. You're
skeptical, John, You think they won't,

906
01:07:50.599 --> 01:07:57.239
Yeah, because if you're China,
everything's moving in your direction. Yeah,

907
01:07:57.440 --> 01:08:00.239
Like you don't need to you don't
need to do anything right. You

908
01:08:00.840 --> 01:08:04.840
know Biden's gonna hand over Taiwan.
You gotta do is just keep doing what

909
01:08:04.920 --> 01:08:09.960
you know just harassing Taiwan. You
don't have to really do anything major and

910
01:08:10.840 --> 01:08:14.360
right the balance of forces. Sadly, I think in that region is moving

911
01:08:14.440 --> 01:08:18.800
in China's direction because we've been so
weak. Now despite that, all the

912
01:08:18.880 --> 01:08:24.880
other countries in that region want to
do something collectively to stop China and its

913
01:08:24.960 --> 01:08:29.760
aggressive nature, but we are not
providing the leadership or resources necessary. So

914
01:08:30.119 --> 01:08:31.800
I think, if you're, you
know, the president of China, why

915
01:08:31.920 --> 01:08:35.399
not just let the let the bet
ride a few more years, and you

916
01:08:35.479 --> 01:08:40.039
might then Taiwan just might fall right
into your lapt It makes perfect sense.

917
01:08:40.079 --> 01:08:43.159
That's why I say it would be
a surprise that would not surprise me.

918
01:08:43.399 --> 01:08:47.319
But all right, let me give
you another one. Uh well, I've

919
01:08:47.359 --> 01:08:51.159
got another one. I've got another
one, which is that I've got two

920
01:08:51.239 --> 01:08:56.920
cultural ones. Okay. Mcribb actually
hasn't been canceled and will return again,

921
01:08:58.000 --> 01:09:01.359
although it was not present in the
Phoenix airport today, there's a McDonald's in

922
01:09:01.439 --> 01:09:04.279
the Phoenix airport and I went there
to see if they had the McRib It

923
01:09:04.359 --> 01:09:09.399
wasn't there, But I believe that
mc will return again. And I'll make

924
01:09:09.439 --> 01:09:16.600
another cultural prediction that Taylor Swift and
it's Kelsey. Travis Kelsey will not get

925
01:09:16.680 --> 01:09:20.439
married. They will break up this
year, leading to sharp rating declines for

926
01:09:20.520 --> 01:09:26.479
the NFL's all those swifties stopped watching
football games, lucrecious. They go,

927
01:09:27.000 --> 01:09:30.439
Yeah, I am waiting for the
moment when in the playoffs, because the

928
01:09:30.600 --> 01:09:33.079
Chiefs are this great team but have
been playing very erratically. So get to

929
01:09:33.159 --> 01:09:35.720
the first playoff They're gonna have to
play on the road for the first time

930
01:09:35.840 --> 01:09:42.119
in the years. And Travis Kelcey
drops a key pass late in the game,

931
01:09:43.039 --> 01:09:47.079
and Kansas City and and and Taylor
Swift will be banned from ever playing

932
01:09:47.119 --> 01:09:50.840
a concert again in the state of
Missouri. That's what that's my expectation,

933
01:09:53.000 --> 01:09:55.760
you know. Yeah, you keep
wondering on the swift boat. Swift Boat

934
01:09:55.840 --> 01:09:59.600
veterans are going to dust off their
playbook. I know they keep saying swifties,

935
01:09:59.640 --> 01:10:01.279
and I thinking, why are we
talking about the two thousand and four

936
01:10:01.319 --> 01:10:12.000
elections, right exactly? Yeah,
to celebrate Kwanza, oh mostly, Oh

937
01:10:12.079 --> 01:10:16.000
yeah, you saw that the Biden's
statement weshing is all happy Kwanza, right

938
01:10:16.319 --> 01:10:19.560
yeah, Well, and Kamala has
been celebrating it since she was two.

939
01:10:20.319 --> 01:10:24.920
Yeah, I've got I've gotten before
as I'm ready. Yeah, exactly.

940
01:10:25.039 --> 01:10:28.199
Yeah, well then you don't want
me to do my last uh yeah,

941
01:10:28.239 --> 01:10:32.800
let's hear your last prediction in the
last last surprise. All right, Well

942
01:10:33.039 --> 01:10:35.880
this is this is a very high
risk one tree to make with you two

943
01:10:36.640 --> 01:10:41.199
because it involves Ukraine. I'm looking
out right now at the world in front

944
01:10:41.199 --> 01:10:43.439
of us. It looks to me
like, you know, Biden may get

945
01:10:43.479 --> 01:10:45.880
the aid out of Congress, but
it's going to be tough. And I

946
01:10:45.960 --> 01:10:49.199
think the writing on the wall is
we're not. The blank check is over.

947
01:10:49.640 --> 01:10:51.960
And the one thing I noticed is
is you know all the people that

948
01:10:53.039 --> 01:10:57.560
had Ukrainian flags in their Twitter bios
that sort of waned, all the people

949
01:10:57.640 --> 01:11:00.600
doing the gosh, I'm all for
you. That's all fading the public opinion

950
01:11:00.680 --> 01:11:05.239
show declining public interest in podcast last
week when I talked about all this,

951
01:11:05.600 --> 01:11:09.199
yeah, well all right, but
I thought I heard it. I thought

952
01:11:09.239 --> 01:11:11.760
I heard you say these All right, let me get to the let me

953
01:11:11.840 --> 01:11:16.199
get to the point, which is
the surprise will be Ukraine reaches a peace

954
01:11:16.279 --> 01:11:21.520
deal with Russia that will involve seating
the territory of Russia occupies and that'll be

955
01:11:21.560 --> 01:11:26.359
the best deal they get. And
I think, well, I'll stop there.

956
01:11:26.439 --> 01:11:30.119
That's what I think. You're just
premature. It's just not this year.

957
01:11:30.359 --> 01:11:32.079
Not this year. Okay, well
could be this year, because I

958
01:11:32.119 --> 01:11:35.520
think, okay, that's what I
think. Actually, I'm plaid. If

959
01:11:35.560 --> 01:11:38.840
you guys are gonna let this pass, they'll warn you down a little bit.

960
01:11:39.199 --> 01:11:41.399
No, No, I just think
you're wrong. I think that's like

961
01:11:41.479 --> 01:11:45.399
the likely outcome in the long term, but just not this year. Ukraine's

962
01:11:45.399 --> 01:11:49.520
going to give it another year.
I actually think that again this I don't

963
01:11:49.520 --> 01:11:54.720
think this is a low probably prediction. I think Biden will because he wants

964
01:11:54.760 --> 01:11:57.760
to get re elected, he will
make a deal on the border and we

965
01:11:58.039 --> 01:12:02.920
you know, you will see that
more funding for Israel Ukraine that they made

966
01:12:03.000 --> 01:12:06.239
with Mexico. Yeah. And then
but then you know, there's going to

967
01:12:06.279 --> 01:12:10.239
be a big deal on the border
with a lot of funding for border security.

968
01:12:10.319 --> 01:12:14.239
Even though and then Biden doesn't mind
getting attacked from the progressive left.

969
01:12:14.319 --> 01:12:16.319
I think if he wants to get
reelected, right, it'll be like Clinton's

970
01:12:16.359 --> 01:12:20.199
Sister Soldier Movement moment. So,
but also I think that's like a high

971
01:12:20.279 --> 01:12:26.079
probability event. Actually, So that's
why I think Ukraine's not going to settle

972
01:12:26.159 --> 01:12:29.119
this year because they are going to
get a huge infusion of money from US

973
01:12:29.399 --> 01:12:31.880
one more time, one more year
at least, could be. We'll see,

974
01:12:33.119 --> 01:12:35.880
but for now, we should move, We should draw to a conclusion.

975
01:12:36.920 --> 01:12:41.399
He wants to hear our new year's
resolutions. Well, yeah, what's

976
01:12:41.399 --> 01:12:47.159
your new year's resolution? I get
get get okay, lucrecious guy. She's

977
01:12:47.199 --> 01:12:53.680
going to find her pictures from her
hot modeling days. No, but that's

978
01:12:53.680 --> 01:12:59.159
Steve's new Year's resolution. You know, I'm located very close to a military

979
01:12:59.279 --> 01:13:01.840
base, and it's a training base
for the most part, which means that

980
01:13:01.920 --> 01:13:05.520
it's a lot of soldiers who are
here on a temporary basis. Well,

981
01:13:05.600 --> 01:13:10.840
most of them go home and I
go to the airport and I go and

982
01:13:11.000 --> 01:13:15.119
I wish them all a great block
leave and do all those nice things.

983
01:13:15.279 --> 01:13:17.800
But there were like fifty who didn't, who couldn't afford because I have to

984
01:13:17.840 --> 01:13:21.840
pay for it themselves or for whatever
reason, to go home for block leaves.

985
01:13:21.880 --> 01:13:27.520
So they were stuck on this military
base for two weeks, you know,

986
01:13:27.720 --> 01:13:30.079
with nothing to do but stay in
their barracks all day. So I've

987
01:13:30.079 --> 01:13:34.920
been doing I've been doing activities,
and one of the activities that I did

988
01:13:35.720 --> 01:13:41.840
was it's called the Bisbee one thousand, the Great stair Climb. I didn't

989
01:13:41.920 --> 01:13:45.720
do the whole thing. I didn't
do the whole thing. I did probably

990
01:13:45.840 --> 01:13:48.720
a four hundred stars. We didn't
have time to do the whole thing.

991
01:13:49.199 --> 01:13:56.359
The way the schedule worked. I
couldn't walk for two days afterwards. So

992
01:13:56.560 --> 01:14:00.720
my resolution is to figure out why
my body's so old and broken I can't

993
01:14:00.720 --> 01:14:03.600
walk up four hundred stairs at the
same pace as a twenty one year old

994
01:14:03.960 --> 01:14:08.520
soldier. So that's what I'm going
to do for the for the new year,

995
01:14:08.600 --> 01:14:14.119
and I'm going to keep that resolution. Steve, God Steve, what's

996
01:14:14.159 --> 01:14:19.920
yours? Oh well, I get
better get a more diverse and inclusive arrangement

997
01:14:20.000 --> 01:14:24.520
of whiskey for the next year of
our podcast. God one would hope.

998
01:14:24.920 --> 01:14:27.279
Yeah, you know, I'm really
I'm really bad. I don't really do.

999
01:14:27.520 --> 01:14:30.840
I don't even really start thinking about
it till about thirty minutes before that

1000
01:14:30.359 --> 01:14:35.399
silver apple whatever it is now drops. But I resolve this year to be

1001
01:14:35.560 --> 01:14:43.439
more open minded to Lucretia's crazy ideas. That would be a surprise of the

1002
01:14:43.520 --> 01:14:49.800
year. I actually I had to
tell a listener John that got mad at

1003
01:14:49.880 --> 01:14:54.279
me for not arguing back with you. I guess last week maybe wait wait

1004
01:14:54.279 --> 01:14:57.079
wait waits time? Did you not
argue back? When did this happen?

1005
01:14:57.159 --> 01:15:00.720
You knew? Guys had to actually
pretty much a long back and forth where

1006
01:15:00.760 --> 01:15:02.439
I didn't say anything, and I
wouldn't have believed it, but I actually

1007
01:15:02.520 --> 01:15:06.800
listened to it today when I was
on the on the treadmill, but I

1008
01:15:06.920 --> 01:15:10.520
was long back and forth, I
say anything, and when we were done,

1009
01:15:10.560 --> 01:15:13.359
I didn't add any commentary and I
just said, Well, part of

1010
01:15:13.439 --> 01:15:15.640
it is because John never listens to
anything I say anyway, just like Steve.

1011
01:15:15.720 --> 01:15:18.760
So what's the point. That's what
I do? Listen? I do

1012
01:15:18.960 --> 01:15:25.319
listen. I was a little nicer
than that about it, but it's true.

1013
01:15:25.479 --> 01:15:29.800
It's true sometimes you just you cherry
pick what you listen to. John.

1014
01:15:30.239 --> 01:15:38.079
Well, I'm a lawyer. Okay, all right, is it time

1015
01:15:38.119 --> 01:15:41.760
for Babylon Bee? No time for
Kamela first? Okay, So the best

1016
01:15:41.840 --> 01:15:44.800
thing about Kamala so I have a
quote from her, not from this week,

1017
01:15:44.800 --> 01:15:47.800
because the best thing she did this
week to make fun of unfortunately,

1018
01:15:48.319 --> 01:15:54.600
but I assume Steve can put this
picture up if he wishes to, is

1019
01:15:54.680 --> 01:16:00.960
a hit the Harris family Christmas phone, which she sent around. I don't

1020
01:16:00.960 --> 01:16:05.439
know if you saw this, And
apparently she sent something similar at Thanksgiving time

1021
01:16:05.479 --> 01:16:10.560
but no one noticed. And this
apparently what she did is she sent a

1022
01:16:10.720 --> 01:16:16.760
picture of her cooking with her husband
with a massive gas stove of the kind

1023
01:16:16.880 --> 01:16:21.920
that her administration wants to ban.
Right, that's great, and I'm sure

1024
01:16:23.319 --> 01:16:27.079
of the very kind that Steve is
not allowed to install in his massive new

1025
01:16:27.159 --> 01:16:32.760
kitchen. Oh, I got a
permit like literally December thirty, first before

1026
01:16:32.880 --> 01:16:36.680
the new law went into effected Mike
County stopping gas stove. So would you

1027
01:16:36.800 --> 01:16:45.279
actually have such a law. Yes, I could tell you my funny stories

1028
01:16:45.319 --> 01:16:48.800
about dealing with the college girls who
run the planning department. That's my contract.

1029
01:16:48.920 --> 01:16:51.680
Come up, I can't believe you
even need to get a permit in

1030
01:16:51.800 --> 01:16:56.079
this country to install a gas stove. Well, the real thing was to

1031
01:16:56.119 --> 01:16:59.640
get in under the wire to not
be required by the state law requiring solar

1032
01:16:59.680 --> 01:17:02.119
panel on my renovation. So,
oh my god, I didn't want that.

1033
01:17:02.199 --> 01:17:04.920
I look, I live in an
area where it's foggy in the summer

1034
01:17:05.159 --> 01:17:11.560
and trees and it would be stupid
anyway, So I recommend this, This

1035
01:17:11.760 --> 01:17:16.159
is a great Kamalism. And also
I think has I think Kamala is wearing

1036
01:17:16.199 --> 01:17:20.680
an apron in the photo, which
means, of course it is totally fake.

1037
01:17:24.239 --> 01:17:30.279
And then she says, we are
making Christmas beef Wellington. That's very

1038
01:17:30.319 --> 01:17:33.039
good. I don't yeah, which
I don't. Yeah, that's the food

1039
01:17:33.079 --> 01:17:36.439
of the oppressor. I just don't
know you that either. But then the

1040
01:17:36.520 --> 01:17:40.079
quote, I have a quote,
an oldie but a goodie, which I

1041
01:17:40.159 --> 01:17:45.640
never used earlier this year, which
was Kamala Harris's comments during Women's Histories Month,

1042
01:17:45.359 --> 01:17:48.600
Women's History Month. I have to
say, I didn't even know which

1043
01:17:48.680 --> 01:17:53.920
month that was. Actually, do
either of you know which month is Women's

1044
01:17:54.000 --> 01:17:58.279
History Month? No, it comes
after Black History Month goes from February to

1045
01:17:58.359 --> 01:18:00.920
June. I want to say it's
May, because I told you I had

1046
01:18:00.960 --> 01:18:09.159
to neither of you know, speeches
March. So she gave a speech to

1047
01:18:09.399 --> 01:18:15.399
commemorate Women's History Month. So she
said, so during Women's History Month,

1048
01:18:15.479 --> 01:18:18.319
we celebrate and we honor the women
who made history throughout history, who saw

1049
01:18:18.399 --> 01:18:26.840
what could be unburdened by what had
been. Damn. So we haven't read

1050
01:18:26.880 --> 01:18:30.800
that one on for But that's a
classic one. I mean that's so,

1051
01:18:30.439 --> 01:18:33.680
someone said, John, do you
remember when I had to give a speech

1052
01:18:33.800 --> 01:18:42.720
to onom on Women's history Women's Equality
Day, which is a day they celebrate

1053
01:18:42.880 --> 01:18:46.560
the passage of the Nineteenth Amendment.
I had to give a speech. Did

1054
01:18:46.680 --> 01:18:50.159
you say you thought it was wrong? Yeah? I think said we repealed

1055
01:18:50.479 --> 01:18:54.279
yes, right right, And so
I had to give this speech, and

1056
01:18:54.359 --> 01:18:56.960
I had to be true to myself. But you know, I couldn't very

1057
01:18:57.000 --> 01:19:00.319
well go in and say that.
So I gave an entire speech each on

1058
01:19:00.439 --> 01:19:05.399
the Nineteenth Amendment without ever actually praising
either the Nineteenth Amendment or women's suffrage.

1059
01:19:05.479 --> 01:19:10.920
But I did praise Abraham Lincoln,
Frederick Douglas, and Martin Luther King,

1060
01:19:11.079 --> 01:19:15.439
and I got a standing ovation because
wow, there you go. So there

1061
01:19:15.479 --> 01:19:17.319
you go. It was a great
esoteric performance. I'll just say that.

1062
01:19:17.560 --> 01:19:24.920
Yeah. Is that like where there's
some kind of interior message, hidden message

1063
01:19:24.960 --> 01:19:29.920
and shage that only you guys who
were graduates at Claremont Graduate School? Can

1064
01:19:30.319 --> 01:19:32.359
you figured it out? To John? Trust me, it wasn't that homoestic.

1065
01:19:32.640 --> 01:19:41.800
It wasn't that hidden if you got
for us. So we didn't really

1066
01:19:41.880 --> 01:19:45.600
talk about the protesters to keep you
know, gluing themselves to the street and

1067
01:19:45.760 --> 01:19:48.640
so forth. But I like this
one. You know, these fine citizens

1068
01:19:48.720 --> 01:19:51.760
may really have a point, and
I'd like to learn more about their cause.

1069
01:19:53.079 --> 01:20:01.199
Thanks driver blocked by protesters for three
hours. That's pretty good. Nations,

1070
01:20:01.680 --> 01:20:08.479
White liberals wish each other Happy Kwanza. Ah right, yeah, uh

1071
01:20:09.079 --> 01:20:13.680
hold on, it's on the next
page. My personal favorite, even though

1072
01:20:13.720 --> 01:20:23.199
this is becoming old news c Span
acquired by porn hub. Well that's funny

1073
01:20:23.199 --> 01:20:28.920
when you think about it for a
minute. This is for you, Econo

1074
01:20:28.920 --> 01:20:31.680
of miss out there. Ron Paul
asks Santa Claus to end the FED for

1075
01:20:31.760 --> 01:20:34.640
the forty seventh straight year. Yeah, I saw that one. That one,

1076
01:20:34.880 --> 01:20:38.399
right, that's all. That's good, all right, all right,

1077
01:20:38.479 --> 01:20:42.079
John, send us out. We're
running along as usual. Okay, always

1078
01:20:42.199 --> 01:20:46.439
drink your whiskey, meat and let's
go Brandon and Steve God save the queen

1079
01:20:46.560 --> 01:20:49.399
man. And a happy new Year, everybody. Yeah, Happy new Year,

1080
01:20:49.439 --> 01:20:59.079
everybody. Sure this is my New
Year's resolution. When my mother in

1081
01:20:59.199 --> 01:21:02.880
law agains yell and shout to the
window, I would like to drove her

1082
01:21:03.000 --> 01:21:09.479
out, but I resolved not to
do it. Here is why I'm afraid

1083
01:21:09.520 --> 01:21:18.720
of hitting someone passing by. This
is my New Year's resolution. While I'm

1084
01:21:18.800 --> 01:21:24.840
at the movies watching a love scene
and the lady's hat is blocking half the

1085
01:21:24.920 --> 01:21:30.560
screen, I resolved not to shout. Take off that hat. I removed

1086
01:21:30.560 --> 01:21:40.640
it gently with a baseball battle.
This is my New Year's resolution. When

1087
01:21:40.720 --> 01:21:45.399
I take a lovely lady I'm to
eat and she orders heavyro instead of meat,

1088
01:21:46.560 --> 01:21:51.039
I resolved to let the lady have
her film, and of course I'll

1089
01:21:51.079 --> 01:21:58.560
also let her pay the bill.
This is my New Year's resolution answer Frederick

1090
01:21:58.640 --> 01:22:03.319
Gast a cab. When I'm setting
with my wife, he on a bus

1091
01:22:04.359 --> 01:22:12.479
and a dear old lady stands in
front of us. Ricochet join the conversation. H

