Welcome to mid Rats with Sal from Commander Salamander and Eagle One from Eagle Speak
at Seer Shore your home for a discussion of national security issues in all things
maritime. And welcome Lord everybody. This is Sal along with my evergenial co
host Eagle one. Thank you very much for joining us today for another edition
of mid Rats and hey lucky you. This is one of our world famous,
ever popular, all desirable Melee format. We don't have any guests today,
is just the two of us and you. That means that we have
our list of things want to talk about, but we always like to open
up the open up the conversation more than even usual to our listeners who make
the extra effort to join us live. So we do have the chat room
up and running this week. We see Paul as always standing at parade rest
ready to greet everybody there. Paul is If you always know that Paul,
that something's not right in the world. If Paul isn't there chat room,
or the Moon's are a line or something like that. So it's great to
see Paul there, bright, shiny and early. If you have some questions
or topics you would like to address to either one of us during the course's
show, that is a great way to do it. Also, if you
follow follow me on on x or Twitter, whatever you want to call it,
if you want to send me a DM or at me or anything like
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Live, that means you were staring at the show page with the chat room
at the bottom, and at the upper right hand corner you have the studio
line. So if you want to call in on the studio line, and
I know, like yesterday our good friend Jerry, he was listening to us
live as he was driving from one part of the Free State of Florida to
the other, you can call the guests phone and numbers area code three four
seven, three zero eight eight three nine seven three four seven three zero eight
eight three nine seven. But besides that, welcome co host. How you
doing. I'm doing well, Thank you, sal How are you? I'm
doing all right. I'm doing my best not to monologue, so you know,
everything's about self help and self improvement. But I think I'll pick off
where we ended up about forty five seconds ago. For the listeners during the
during the pre show, we have this really complicated and intricate method of finding
out what we're going to talk about during this show. Not really, but
we like to go through with what we think has broken above the ambient noise
at least for us to talk about. And one thing that was on both
of our lists that I think it's going to cover quite a few topics and
it is top of the news. We could all give an is little golf
clap to the Hoopies. They finally sunk their first ship. It took a
while, and I'm a simple man with simple thoughts, and because I grew
up in a coastal area with a pirate history, when I saw a drifting
ship with I don't know what ten thousands or hundreds of thousands of tons of
nitrate fertilizers worth nowadays. She was down by the stern. She had one
anchor floating around. I think salamacagu Gliano on his It's Up with Shipping podcasts
can really give people some details on it. She bounced around, scraped some
cables here and there, but she did finally sink. And one thing that
the pop two things actually popped into line one what are the salvage rights of
anybody who wanted to go up there? Why was no salvage attempt ever done?
Why wasn't there even a tug available and an area like the Red Sea?
And is that something or a capability that when the Huthi started popping things
off at people, Uh, the Imperial we with our what is it prosperity
guardian, one of our allies who didn't quite have the desire our capability to
you know, put a wullship worship on the line, could have sent salvage
and recovery teams to help out should a merchant ship get hit. So those
are the big three three things I was thinking about, was salvage, possible
recovery, and why was she just allowed to go there? And now she's
between her fuel oil and that fertilizer. For those that haven't been scuba diving
or snarkling in the Red Sea, it's one of the most beautiful places in
the world underwater. Now they're going to have that author coast. Yeah,
it's just one more exciting thing that the Hooties have managed to do. And
I think your question about salage, I mean, anybody can try and salva
the ship that's been abandoned by its crew. But the question is who wants
to go after a ship that's dead in the water and containing fertilizer, which,
as I'm you know, which can be pretty dangerous if mixed with other
things. And I guess nobody did so. And again into this also these
issues of we've always we've talked about this before. The flags are convenience.
It's a Belize flagship, British registered, Lebanese operated, So who really owns
this thing? Who has any interest in getting a crook a tug out there
to ocean going tug out there to try and retrieve it? Could it be
retrieved? Where could you take it? It's leaking oil, you know,
not too many places want that kind of vessel dragged into their fork. Yeah,
so you know, it's it's just one of the situations that I guess
everybody decided just to leave it alone. And an emergency ship, unlike a
warship, it doesn't have that many water type compartments that can help stop it
from sinking. But she wasn't sinking fast. She was floating around for I
think a week and a half. I know, give me a give me
plus her mind is a week here, maybe a little bit more. But
but you're right, who if everybody owns something, nobody owns anything. And
I don't care whether you're the Port of Los Angeles or Portsudea. If you
have a bunch of guys with you know, eighteen warrants and forty two nations
saying hey, I've got this half suck merchant ship. I want to bring
up your channel. Can you give me some peer peer space? You know
that's not going to happen. And the good news is it's leaking oil and
it's full of fertilizers. So yeah, I mean, who wouldn't want that?
I mean years ago, but back in the early fifties or late forties,
that shift loaded with the fertilizer blew up in the Port of Houston.
It kind of scarred the industry for quite a while about the safety of some
of these things, as they say, in that wonderful part of the world.
But are you my friend's special special price not the same thing? Very
good ammonium by to dight, very good? Yeah, that would not go
well in the soup, I don't think. But that I really wonder,
you know, if that of all the international agreements of all the meetings that
people come to and all the national teeth and rending of clothes that people talk
about. Things that you can argue whether humans have much of effect, and
I'm talking about global climate change. There are things you can see, you
can measure, And this has been one of my hobby horses for a long
time is we can measure, we can control, and we do know it's
human sourced, it's pollution. We can whether you're talking about the nightmarish plastic
issues that we have in the Pacific and in parts of the Caribbean, or
whether you have talking about boats full of toxic non natural fertilizer, though you
know that much guanta wouldn't be too great for the environment either. And assume
that that that ship is probably that will Bumble don't have plans to do things.
Even if that plan is, can't enough of the Red Sea get into
the induce So she's got to sink letter sink and waters deep waters off Somdia
that have good stimulation that can move the barbage around as opposed to a relatively
closed water like the Red Sea. Uh, maybe it'll sink to the bottom
and just some fertilizer, some flyer, it will solidify in water. However,
I don't think that's really what you're going to see here. For instance,
you know, when I'm when I'm finding my food plots, my fertilizers,
it melts, which is what it's supposed to do. So odds are
that's what's going to happen in anything nearby. Well, uh, we'll take
here. I guess we're waiting for the next ship to get hit. However,
I don't know, have you noticed the last week. I just haven't.
Maybe it's because that's reported it, because it's just not news anymore.
But besides the German Navy shooting at everything that moves, including the us UA
V, it appears that the the hoo Thies have slowed down a bit at
least on their volume of strikes. Maybe that's indicative to the fact that their
their supply might be a little limited. A little limited, Yeah, that
could be. Or every time, you know, if maybe with any luck,
every time they pop up, somebody's shooting at them or dropping bombs on
them or whatever we're doing from the with the aircraft from the carrier we have
down there. I forgot to mention the other thing about this ship was it
was chargered by the Saudis, So you know, it gets more complicated.
You know, it's not just a a none of these things. Was shipping
are ever easy? Which is why I fell Carcleanos is so such a great
asset to people who were following him on on X and and he's and his
and his YouTube channel so good, good stuff. Yeah, I'm I'm really
happy for him that it's taken off as well it has had. I remember
the first time we had him on here as a guest, you and I
were both like, man, he's good. So it's uh. And he
really has filled a niche that in that unsexy but important uh sector of the
maritime arena that was not being served. Uh, you know, g captain
and John Conrad you know, does a lot of the heavy lifting in that
area, but it's mostly written. Uh. And I know he's done a
couple of John Conrad has done a couple of spaces on X which have been
informative and good, partially because he let me talk on one of them.
But if you had said five or six years ago, hey, you're going
to have a professor who knows stuff about the merchant marine and shipping issues he's
going to go up on YouTube and that's what he's going to talk about,
and he's going to have well north of one hundred thousand subscribers to his channel.
People have tilted their head at you, but he does. And a
lot of it it's because of his personality and his knowledge and his presentation.
But a lot of it is the fact that he's just giving out good,
reliable information that you cannot find anywhere else. I think there's a lesson there
because there are some other underserved areas. I think you just need to find
that Area's Salamar Cogliou to fill in that information space has really become valuable,
and I know that a couple of significant decision makers have have tapped into the
service that that sal has been able to provide in that area to everybody's benefit.
It's really a great thing to say. Yeah, I think that.
You know it, those of us who have applied in the UH, in
the waters of the shipping and as a maritime as a maritime attorney, I
did occasionally do that. You know, it is a much more complex and
fascinating world than than many people realize. But it is challenged by the fact
that we have allowed all these flags of convenience and things, so nobody,
you know, sometimes nobody is really responsible for whatever is uh is happening.
So it's just one of those and this is one of those instances. I
mean, the Saudis don't don't want to send a dug out because they're one
of the who just the Hooies are fighting everybody. So I would I would
guess it's this. It's gonna sink, it's gonna sit there. You know,
maybe this stuff is soluble. I think Paul is trying to tell me
that it's soluble, but he was talking about a medium nitrate. We'll have
to look up a moonium phosphate and we'll see how that works out. If
it's soluble, it just dissipates in the water becomes whatever its elements are.
That'd be great, but we'll have to we'll have to find out. Now
the oil, that's a whole different thing, and it's just gonna plute for
a while. Yeah. Well, one thing about bunker fuel is right on
the edge of livy memory. We uh, we filled the Atlantic floor full
of merchant ships with bunker fuel, and during World War Two that we sunk.
Well, we as humans mostly the Germans. And I remember his little
kid. You we still find him now and then we go to the beach.
But when I was a little kid back in the early seventies, still
find those oily balls all over the place on on the beach after certain storms
and certain directions don't seem as much now. So yeah, there's uh.
I think the uh, the ability for the oceans to absorb one more one
more ship at the bottom is probably going to be okay unless it gets if
it's shallow enough, and gets localized and get on those absolutely beautiful reefs that
at if they are off the coast of California, they would be a national
treasure. Yeah. Well it's you know, all of us who have ever
tried the beaches of Galvels to know that tar balls are are an issue,
and their issue on the on the California coast too, actually so, and
it's an atternal someone's just a natural sea beach. And I don't I don't
know about the Red Sea. It looks like from the pictures I've seen that
the water is remarkably clear. I know people have been scuba diving in the
northern part of the of the Red Sea. Really have enjoyed their trips.
I just I've never heard of that, I know anybody who's gone diving down
there in the in the Barbara Mandel straight. So no, not in a
long time. They don't quite have the how can we say this polightly,
they don't have beach culture there. Uh. So it's uh, it's not
not a big day, but I I know especially Uh you know after after
desert storm, you could pull into port in Saudi Arabia and you could it
was an amazing time. Uh. You're obviously an American and you could walk
around town. You could do anything you wanted to do. You could hire
somebody and you could go scuba diving if you were qualified, or snorkeling if
not. In the area. You know, like what is it on the
Red Sea coast near uh right west of Mecca, whatever that place is called.
Anyway, it's it's beautiful there. But that's that's for them to worry
about. Uh. You know. One thing we also talked about in the
in the pre show that it might be fun to talk about, mostly because
we can we can think and laugh the laugh at the Germans at the same
time. But there was news that broke last week about one of the German
frigates that has participated. They just went warning red weapons free. In addition
to shooting, it appeared from what I read in the report, a couple
of attack drones. They also took a shot at one of our predators or
reapers that we was up at thirty thousand feet or so. I guess that
that's something that the US Navy has a little more experience in than the Germans.
But you can't fault them if you're that was not one of their newest
frigates with their best radar system. And I guess you have to be a
little bit humble when you know we had the Vincent's down an airliner thinking it
was a ship. But anti air warfare it's not it's not easy, which
you know, goes back to what we talked about our previous show. You've
got to, you know, tip the hat to the US Surface Force the
schoolhouse they've been given everybody else, and I'm sure they're going to be sharing
the lessons with our allies about how to conduct anti air warfare against slow moving
drones, anti ship cruise missiles, and the new kid on the block,
the anti ship ballistic missiles is just impressive. I think one of the things
that's going to come out of this is you really need something capable to the
latest builds of aegists to really do it right. I don't think that German
it was quite at that level to be able to give the skipper the confidence
he needed. And you know, you can't blame him if it looks bad.
It is bad. Yeah, it's it's uh, you know, everybody
makes mistakes, and I guess they didn't really do any harm due to our
our equipment, and they actually downed a couple of or several of the Hoothy
things, So that's good. I mean, this whole th you know,
the Hoothies are now claiming, you know, we've we've got this latest thing,
the unmanned guided undersea weapon. I think we're all going to a torpedo.
Yeah, copedo with a snorkel from the looks of it. Yeah,
So you know they're there. They've learned some lessons from from the from the
Ukrainians, and they also you know, they're one of their leaders went on
I don't know he was quoted in the Hindu Times or something saying that they're
going to have some surprises for the West coming up, and you know,
you never know. But one of the one of the things that did happen
though, is if these are that that sunken ship which dragged anchor across some
of the international cables that carry uh Internet and telephone lines and all that other
stuff and caused a disruption, and I know you just had a peace on
that in your substack area. Talk a little bit about that, because that's
pretty major area of concern, it is, and I think it's one of
those things that if you are a sub fourth rate power at sea, like
the Huthi, and I don't mean to insult them, I mean they're they
They took the best the Saudi's and the Immordis could throw out them and they're
still standing. We've we've spanked them a few times and they're still standing,
like, you know, give me your best. I've got plenty of cots
to chew on, so let go at it. The Mearanians will keep supplying
them. But a lot of these cables were laid for commercial reasons. They're
not worried about security, worried about costs per an autophile to lay your cable,
and they're just laying there on the floor. They're not defended, and
you can't defending, you know, lift circles defendant like that, and you
don't need anything fancy or even that complicated. When you know pipelines differnt the
cables, but they're both on the bottom. It looks like quote whoever unquote
it took out the the Russian gas pipelines and the Baltic did it with a
small team on a small boat relatively speaking. But if you have a rough
idea where those cables are. And not to humble brag here, but I'm
upgrading the electronics on my fishing boat and the side scan and forward scan radar
not radar sonar that you can put on a fishing boat. Now I can
look at the leaves on a tree and the bottom it's I can watch fish
swim. It's amazing the technology you can get just commercial off the shelf.
If you can localize them. You don't need a fancy diver. All you
need is a long enough line in a grappling hook and a sea anchor to
control your drift and you just drift and snag and pull. Now people can
be watching you do that, which you know, Hello to our friends in
the Broad Area Maritime Surveillance vam's community. What is it the up nineteen the
Navy version of the Global Hawk that can stay and watch people for days on
it. That's a great mission for that. You know, you can watch
people who are engaged in that and then you can have some visitors come say
hello to them. But in that part of the world also you have all
these small ships by the hundreds that all look the same. Some of them
smuggle, some of them fish, some of them are just merchants going from
point A to point B. All you got to do is use one of
those and a few people who know what they're doing. Be hard to find
that needle in the haystack that are digging up those cables. So you pull
those cables up. Is it going to affect the military situation? No,
But if you get the right cable or group of cables, the economic impact
is huge. You're talking financial data coming from Asia to Europe especially. You're
looking at data, you're looking at voice communications, and if you take those
out, there is a fair bit of flex and redundancy in the system.
They have to go find secondary ways to get their ones and zeros and point
A to point B. Which is other cables are via satellite. But that's
all supply and demand situation, so that when you have more of a demand
for a finite number of products, you're going to have the owners of those
products ask a higher price. So that's going to inject inflation, and especially
in the financial arena, a lot of these profits and the ability for these
people to have functioning businesses is basically incredibly narrow margins that are so carefully scoped
about their infrastructure. You start tearing up that infrastructure. It's no different and
a little less hostile looking than if you had some guy with a truck full
of explosives pull up to a power plant outside of Manchester and knocking out a
power plant. You can do it a lot more low key by just ripping
up some cables. So are they going to go after cables more? Did
add that capability? If I was them, I would If my higher direction
and guidance is make the West feel our pains, so to speak, that's
what I would look at. Because it's not too expensive to find and train
people to try to get a grappling hook drug over some cables. Then all
you need to have is a large enough wench to pull it up shallow enough
that you can cut it. Yeah, some of these cables are buried,
you know, and they're so a little harder to get to. The concern
I always saw for these undersea cable things was the connector points where they come
ashore, and you know, those those are would be pretty vulnerable to some
kind of attack. I think that was a concern for right after nine to
eleven, and it is a you know, it's one of those things that
you have to worry about. But you know, I don't know, I
can't remember. I think I read somewhere that that cable comes ashore somewhere in
Yemen or in or maybe Saudi Arabia, and you know, I think that's
a vulnerability where that would be probably easier to go after than we would like
to think. The you know, the under undersea cables are are fairly large,
but as you know, they're not the only things down there. You
can had a heavy anchor dragging along them could probably you know, especially if
the funny about the bottom looks like and probably dig its way down and yank
those things. So, I mean, I don't know if we know exactly
what caused that outage, but It is a very It is one of those
great concerns, as you said, for economic if you want to screw up
the economics for a while, well, let's interrupt the flow of traffic through
the Red Sea, and we're going to impact Saudi's uh ability to get oil
to the to Europe. We're going to impact Europe getting you know the stuff
the Amazon packages through that, through that, through the Suez Canal. We're
going to hurt the Egyptians. Well you know all ball because of whatever.
So it is, uh, it is an issue. Yeah. So well
we got that, we got well else we get other things there of the
new players have got the other new players. The Italians have been out there.
They shot down some some hoofy things with the with their seventy six millimeter
gun. We have Italic also malaria getting getting her workout. Because you talk
about a gun that has been involved and improved of in an iterative manner.
Uh. Those if people really want to geek out, I would go look
at what the modern not just the radar interface and weapons control for the old
seventy six millimeters auto malaria, but some of their they had just a whole
slew of different warheads the Italian Navy. I think the Italians spend one point
four percent of their GDP maybe one point five on defense. They're one of
those people I would love that if they, if and when they reach two
percent, if they could just invest that in their navy, because they just
build some really capable warships and they could just hey, you know, it's
been a few thousand years, why don't you just take head for just be
nice to the Greeks. I mean, yeah, the seventy six millimeter gun,
for those who want to compute it, to compare it to some of
the US or they're about the same as the old US maybe three inch three
inch guns, except they're much more automatic. And but I'm many times more
capable than the ones that I remember being on the on the US Navy ships,
especially on the auxiliaries a long long time ago. Yeah, I mean
even when I was a midshipman, some of our our our auxiliaries, I
believe some of our anthids as well, still had those dual three inches that
you would see on World War two ships that were they were still out there.
Yeah, it was. It was interesting if there were some decisions made
during Vietnam War about about warnings about aircraft potential aircraft attacks against some of those
amphibs and auxiliary ships, and a lot of the people said, well,
what are we going to do about it? We got three inch, got
a three inch fifty. It's not going to do a lot of a lot
of good. So I don't think anybody lost any sleep thinking that that was
going to you know, if it happens, it happens kind of thing.
We're going to man that thing twenty four to seven and blow these things out
of the sky. Yeah, it's a very it's one of those things.
Well, we can try. But many years ago I read an account of
during the unpleasantness between Israel and our neighbors back in nineteen seventy three, when
we almost came to blows against the Soviets and the Mediterranean, that a couple
of staff officers asked a real I don't they ask a questions. I made
a couple of observations. There were two things. It's like, we really
don't have any anti ship weapons out here to speak of. The Soviets have
a whole bunch of them, and I'm not sure that we have the ability
to shoot down any of the whistles that might shoots. What do we do
because they, you know, a lot of the systems that they had were
still you know, based on what they might have faced twenty five years earlier.
They just didn't keep up with the ties with That gave a nice impetus
to advance our missile development a little bit better, because we had a few
missile firing ships, but most of them were one armed bandits that can for
those that remember the what was it, the California class, they called it
a cruiser, had two one armed bandits on it. Yeah, the Mark
thirteen launcher that the author hazard Perry Frigates used to have, you just you
know, you would hope that they would just send you one at a time
in a polite manner. The things a modern ag ship could do was what
people in their minds said we needed back in nineteen seventy three. It took
a while for us to get there, but we eventually got there. Yeah.
Well, you know, pretty soon we're going to have these laser beams
and we'll be able to attach them to sharks. No, that's a different
thing. We'll be able to zap things out of the sky with those.
You know, it's going to happen. We don't know when, but it
takes you know, things take time. I haven't look at the USS Bois
is finally going to the going of the yard after what nine years and and
and uh it'll it'll eventually come out too, I think in another five years
or something. I know that I know they don't do submarine work. And
you know, we've we've talked about the quote problem appreciation unquote problem about shipyards,
but the if are compared to the advantage in a lot of scenarios and
hope and our screenforce, it's amazing how undercap lives it's been. And this
has been known for a long time. The Boys one example. And I
know they don't do nuclear submarines, so it's not going to help that.
But I also we didn't talk about this in the pre show, but I'm
sure it came into your scan the talking to Hyundai Heavy Industries with the second
nab about maybe what they could be interested in doing for shipyards here in the
US. That just really kind of said, Hey, as long as this
attitude not substitutive, if we've got to call the Koreans in to at least
on the surface side of the house, help us with our shipyards. Then
that's what we got to do. But the Koreans really look interested in getting
in the game. Well, I wouldn't blame them. I mean, we've
got the Australians involved in the the austral yards, you know, nominally us
we've got the who owns who owns the yard that are our good friend up
in Wisconsin has got and that's been a gas Italians. I mean, why
not? Why not get the Koreans? So you know they're building great ships.
If you go to the Hyundai Heavy Industry site and go to their worship
section, there's some impressing ships they've got going there. So they do.
And I was and you know this, you know this generation better than I
do because you're you're closer to him. But old no, no, no,
no, no, no, experienced and wise. When I read that,
I put this in a d M to somebody. First thing that came
to mind that the thought of my father's generation, who were of draft age.
My dad did not fight in Korea. He was he was in college.
Sometime I'll tell everybody his story of the power of a Navy flight surgeon
versus the US Air Force. Anyway, but I grew up with his friends
who did. And uh, a lot of them who served in Korea also
served in Vietnam. And so when I was growing up, the USIA would
would would talk what they did, talk about about Vietnam and occasional about Korea.
But you can anybody has access to old national geographics. You know,
look at Korea in the nineteen fifties. South Korea was in you know,
pre war Korea, before it was divided. You know, the North was
a rich part of Korea and the South was the poor, rural, backwards
part of Korea. It was poor rule, ravaged by war. You know,
infrastructure just you know, talk about somebody something broken, a nation broken
down to parade rest that was her and over I believe about thirty thousand Americans
died during the Korean conflict, a lot more wounded, of course, and
we're still having you know, plenty of forces over there. If you look
at what they fought for, if you told them when the armor Siste decided
in fifty three, I believe what that you know here they be in twenty
twenty three that we would be looking for the South Koreans to bring us modern
and effective shipyards. They might be a little surprised, little shocked, but
they've got to be a little bit proud too. Is there's a great test
case North Korea versus South Korea, and they should be really proud that that
that that that war that they fought for the South Koreans especially, it worked.
It worked. Yeah, that's a it's a great story. My dad
did fight in that war. He was flying Air Force A twenty six's I
think, Uh, of course, well they were the they were the attack
version with the machine guns and those you know by twenty six whatever whatever they
were. He was flying those. He has lots of pictures that he had
a lot of pictures that I've got the slides of around here. And Korea
was torn up. I went there a few times for various Navy things that
I got to do. And you know, they're very proud country and they
deserve to be proud. I mean, if you've ever been to Soul,
Korea, it is it is amazing that it was once a completely destroyed city.
Uh. You know, they've got all these great industries, uh the
uh and they've and they've their technology is is first rate. It's it's a
it is not a it is not a third you know, third world country
is not a second world country. It's it is a first world country.
And many many, many respects, and they deserve the pride. And and
if Hyundai with they're building ships merchant ships there, you know, they have
great they have great stuff, and they're they're they're always you know, they're
living on the edge too, because they never know what that lunatic or the
lunatic society north of them is going to do. So they they take it
all very seriously and they're they're they're their troops are some of the finest in
the world, or they were at least, uh, I know during Vietnam
and and I think we did some participate in the Desert storm and and some
of the other things. So good, good people and very strongly committed to
the to the freedoms that they've they have as compared to especially as compared to
their northern brethren, and I think also Korean Americans and are just like Chinese
Americans, you know, one war, draw want to win, won a
loss, I mean, but they've also been just tremendous uh immigrants and the
families they've raised here, I know, you know, we're we've both grown
up and served with them. It's uh, yeah, it's good. I
mean. One of the tragic things about South Korea though, is uh if
you look at their demographics, they're there nation is going to disappear by the
end of the century if if they don't decide some generation uh soon doesn't decide
to have any kids. They have some of the lowest birth rates in the
world. So they've built this huge economy and vibrants isiety just in time for
them as the people to pretty much disappear. Their demographics are worse than the
mainland China, which is real common in East Asia. But they're they're very
resilient societies. They've they've survived worse. They'll figure it out. They're smart
people. Yeah, they they'll they'll sort of know. Japanese are facing the
same issue that Chinese got the same issue, and you know they their other
other populous countries that don't seem to be having that problem. Uh. But
speaking of the of that far east, the Philippines seem to be upgunning.
They're looking at they're looking at buying more yeah, and from from from Hondai
heavy industry. As a matter of fact, some warships uh they've been doing
joint ops with the US, both air and sea, which is of course
irritating the heck out of the Chinese, which I would like to I love
being a bird under their saddle, So extra bonus, extra bonus. Yeah,
so that's that's good. But the Arks now Yorks now have it.
North Koreans now a new anti ship cruise missile that they're they're playing with.
So one more irritating facts about the North Koreans. They can do some things,
Yeah, there are. When you basically have slave state, which they
have, you can you can do a lot as long as you keep the
mass of your people very much uh suppressed. They're not even a communist nation
anymore. There's some dystopian feudal reboot. Yeah, what a mess that's going
to be. If I've read a couple of things where the South Koreans like,
we don't want unification. We don't, we don't want to have to
try to fix that. We saw what happened to the Germans. We're not
We're not up for it. They may not get a choice, but uh,
history will figure that out one way or another. Yeah, yep,
speaking of his, are we allowed if we use the word Shodenfreud. Can
we have fun at the at the misery of our our a German brethren,
because really, what are they any Anybody who's served on a senior staff knows
exactly how this happened. But what I'm talking about it's something that I feel
sorry for the players. I'm not happy that the Russians got an easy win,
but I'm laughing because I know exactly how stuff like this could happen.
I'm talking about that came out and when I when it first came out,
I agreed that, you know, there's a non zero chance that this could
just be Russia being Russia and making crap up like they do. But it
came out today Chancellor Schultz said, yeah, no, actually this is this
really happened. The inspector of the Luftwaffe, which is their equivalent to the
US Air Force chiefest Staff, I either senior general for their air force.
He was on a WebEx, which is kind of a old, busted and
scratchety version of for those that have used it know what I'm talking about.
Compared to like Zoom are even Microsoft teams, WebEx is a much more quantier
version of that. They evidently they did a non secure meeting with him.
It was another general officer, I think it was a two star, three
lieutenant colonels a major and a captain, and they talked about everything from the
readiness of their air force to whether their Taurus is going to be delivered,
how it's going to be delivered. They talked about the presence of NATO nationals
in Ukraine, and the Russians found a way And this is a warning to
everybody, and it makes you wonder, wow, I wonder what else they
have. The Russians found a way to tap into it and they got a
recording and the Russians joyfully played it on one of their programs, And it's
just a reminder to everybody, but especially if you're The Russian penetration of the
German military and the German government is well documented. It's just this is worm
ridden with Russian access. But that's true with everybody. If you are on
a senior staff doing interesting things and you're overseas and you really really really have
to have a meeting, but you can't find a secure means just having a
meeting anyway and saying, well, what are the odds that they're going to
tap into our WebEx probably is not a real smart idea. And everybody who's
had classic classified discussions on VIAT non secure means probably there's probably recorded of you
somewhere in Beijing or Moscow or both. It's just reading for an opportune time
for them to bring it out. It's a funny story, but it also
is an eye opener. I think about, you know, technology, and
how addicted do we've come to being able to have conversations along those lines.
The President United States has appeared on TikTok now, and after all of us
know that TikTok is a Chinese information gathering system. I am stunned that and
obviously probably not discussing classified information. But you know, opening that door is
an extremely problematic and I cannot believe he did that. Yeah, I agree
in the fact that this has been in the news for a long time.
Help me help up. I'm going to pop off in a second. Might
anybody they'd like to ask h I'll just put them here before before I run
off for a second. I don't even know if the ship is manned right
now, if they just have a skeleton crew or what. Yeah, I
think the TikTok thing as well is and Representative Gallagher. It's has pretty much
put all the cards on the table there. We know it's a Chinese Communist
party controlled Oregon, and I don't care if it was President of Biden or
for what happened is it sounds gone off to another room to talk to a
caller to see if he wants him to say anything. So that's that's where
it is. The Other thing we need to talk about, I think as
we go along, are the the Chinese crane. Chinese infiltrating various things,
the Chinese cranes that we're now going to spend a bunch of of big as
of dollars to make sure that we can replace them with US cranes and stuff,
because those things are also technologically apparently capable of doing all kinds of harm
for the Western way of life. And let's see. Oh yeah, there's
a new guide that just came out on the Navy. It's one of the
Congressional Research Service things in the Navy four Structure and Shipbuilding plans that just came
out March first. You can get it by going to the Congressional Research Service
website and looking for their register releases him back, so I'll give you that.
I'll give you that website here in a second. You go on,
can you hear me? Okay? Did anybody else hear me in the chat
room? I seem to have lost everything was connected? Is everything connected?
Does sound like I'm not here? You can you hear me? Break one?
Two? Three? Can you hear me? Now? Okay? They
can hear me, but you can't evidently, huh hello. Okay, Well
I'll go ahead of monologue both of us because I can't hear. So I'm
gonna do my own reboot here. If I can get I can get him
back on. Okay, Well, as he's recycling circuit breakers. I think
we I think we picked on the Germans enough today, and I know we
kind of jump on each other with TikTok Uh. The call that came in
he wanted to ask a question that really wasn't germane to uh to the subjects
on mid Rats. So the thing about TikTok in case y'all miss it when
we were talking past each other is the reason this we're not acting on it.
It's pure politics. We know what TikTok is, we know what it's
being used for and we know, especially when it comes to shaping perceptions by
those that use it that are mostly young, that it's destructive. But the
reason why nothing's being done about it is because it has become so popular.
It's the same thing as if somebody in your family is addicted to a drug
and if you try to take them to detoks or if they're an alcoholic or
whatever, they're going to get mad at you. It's the same thing.
But it's not good for them, it's not good for the family. TikTok
is not good for the country. And it's beneficial though if you want to
access a lot of people. And I do not think that history is going
to smile on the remaining in action on our part to do something about TikTok.
And are politicians whoever they are, who are willingly using this for domestic
political gain. I think it's it's not illegal and it's not inethical, but
at least in my structure, it is immoral. There's not much as we
can do about that, but it's it's it's sad to see uh egal one.
Can you hear me out? Yeah, I can hear you. I
have my mute normal mute motion but yeah, d to reboot Skype for some
reason. So okay, we'll blame the collar. How about that? There
you go. I just gave my monologu going on because I when I came
back from from talking to our caller there you and I talked over each other
on TikTok, so I did my little monologue on the ascence part of it.
One thing, you know, we're talking about history and stuff like that.
Another thing I noticed, for those that are tracking there what's going on
in the Red Sea is the Russians a few days ago had one of their
Uduloi Pacific fleet. Uduloi ones come out of Cutter is now in the Arabian
Sea. From what I've read in a couple of sources, it's there for
counter piracy reasons. I don't know whether it's getting involved in the Red Sea
or not. An interesting note about it, though, is it's not your
dad's Ouduloi. The youngest Uduloi, the left Utuloid two, I believe,
is thirty three years old or so. But this is the Marshall Shapa.
I can't out Russian very well, Shota shinakoft which I apology to my Russian
speakers, but It's a thirty nine year old ship that three or four years
ago it had a fire, so it was converted into a frigate, so
normal Utuloi. You know, it has those two four packs on either side
of those SSN fourteen anti submarine warfare rockets. Those are gone. They've been
replaced with. They also pulled off one of the two hundred millimeters guns that
the Uduloi ones had had one hundred and thirty milimeter extra pepper guns, so
it just has one hundred milimeter now. They've replaced it instead with bls sels
for caliber cruise missiles, and it also carries some other anti ship cruise missiles.
Call it frigate began to some other modernanizations. But it's thirty nine years
old. And you know, we looked at the Rapushta that the Ukraine and
sunk recently, the one who sunk thirty three years old, the Subba Bruser
a whole one now called Mosca, she was over forty years old. It's
like this is the swan song of the big run Navy because if you look
what the buildings are right now, as we talked before in the show,
it is a small corvette frigate based and asked coastal to regional navy. But
they will will out their old ships as long as they do. It is
nice to see the UTUOI getting underway because still there were the Soviet designers.
They had a a good eye for drawing attractive ships. She is a beautiful
ship. Yeah. I think you can can make a mistake though that if
you assume the Russians are I mean, yeah, they recognize that they're never
going to be able to compete on the high seeds with the US and European
navies. But except in the submarine force, they're still building subs, and
some of the subs and some of the weapons they're putting on those subs are
pretty uh impressive. So you know, it's not really a time to relax
about them, but it is time to really start working on ASW stuff again.
Yeah, there ASW is, it's no joke. And like ASW is
kind of like electronic warfare. There's so much we don't rightfully know out in
open source, not just about capabilities of the subservice unit, but the ability
to try to smoke, track and attack it. But the the Soviets are
not slowing down on their modernization of their their units. They don't have as
many, but there's nobody else out there besides our friends that build a quality
boat like they do. Yeah, and it's it's you know, you're you're
talking about their electronic warfare that you know, they're they're they're they like the
Chinese have been watching what we do. They you know, they're they're designing
system to interfere with our systems two, which makes perfect sense. We'll do
the same thing. So you're you know that the the you develop a system,
they develop a counter. You develop the counter to the counter, or
you move the next level. I mean, it's kind of like when the
days when when the people were intercepting radio signals and and uh the Hollywood Star
and started dealing with the ability to to ship you know, uh frequency change
kind of automatic frequency change. Well that's you know, that's kind of where
we are with this stage of some of the technology. So if you're gonna
if you're gonna uh interfere with GPS, that's going to have an effect.
And so now they've got to have a counter to their interference with GPS,
and you know how that goes. We're we're we're all over the map on
this stuff. But you know, it's an interesting, interesting question, and
I think the the experience in Ukraine now going on it's third year, I
think highlights your point perfectly. UH. And it even you know, ties
in the technology which you mentioned lasers earlier. The Kida lasers is power and
the Ponts you know when she experimented with with with her laser last decade,
what we have now, it's even greater. And the more kilowatts you can
have, which warships especially can generate as that technology continues to grow. We
look at our layered defenses. Uh. You know, we we talked last
week with Brian McGrath that you know, we're using our five inch guns,
our s s sims, our phalanxes, our standard missile two three and six.
You know, there's no one tool that's going to answer all your problems.
But we get the point that we have a large enough killowatt laser on
board our ships as another tool, UH, that that is going to be
a renaissance in ways that until you get a counter to it. Because there's
always a game accounter, as we've seen in UH Ukraine for instance, one
of the big UH game changers to use that word, kind of pejoratively in
this regard. Uh, everybody said, you know these very accurate weapons where
you can just for you fire one as opposed to one hundred, and it
did work, Like the ex calibers for the GPS guided rockets coming from Hei
Mars had a huge impact, huge impact. Well, for every action,
there's going to be a reaction, and we haven't heard as much about the
recently, probably because there's a lumited supply, but also probably and again I
have no knowledge of this, and frankly I don't want to because I don't
have the clearance anymore. Odds are the Russians, which have a very good
electronic warfare tradition. They have found ways to counter those, to blunt those.
You can look at some of the then you had the UAVs and the
small little UAVs that they've used to substitute for their lack of air power to
go after armor and to go after bunkers and things like that. You look
at some of the recent A lot of them were made into somebody's backyard.
But if they work, they weren't jammers. Did the Russians are now put
on their vehicles From what I've been able to hear those are having an effect,
so you've got to find work around to that. So you have this
Darwinian battlefield that's being accelerated. A lot of these changes would have already taken
place, but their need would either not have been realized or funded until twenty
twenty eight, twenty thirty, twenty thirty two. But you're now seeing it
at that improvement cycle. That action reaction taking place in four to six month
intervals really fascinating to see where you know, we've had to go back to
cluster munitions that you use the best traditional artillery methods that you can, but
you got that dip them. How do you pronounce that I'm not an army
The little cluster warhead one hundred and two piles over here. You launched that
puppy and that hopefully will get the job done with all the problems that come
with it. So it's it plays into that that battle of the technology is
great, but two things can be true at one time. You have the
iterative battlefield where you have measure countermeasure, but also mass matters. How many
artillery tubes you have, how many armored vehicles you have, how much infantry
that you have the whole body. It really is. It's reinforcing a lot
of the traditional universals, but also you see some of these interesting technologies developing
that in a few other iterations at sea, like you mentioned the lasers is
going to be incredible. The semi autonomous when you go from these first persians
view UAVs to semi autonomous, when you have the sensor heads and the coating,
we find enough that they can be fire and forget as opposed to I
have to fly it right into the target. That's going to be interesting to
watch evolve, but it will evolve, and I believe in a very accelerated
manner if this war continues to go on, as they're running out of people.
So if you run out of people, if you want to keep fighting,
you've got to try to lean on technology. Yeah, you know,
I think we're just hitting in the getting into a lot of this stuff that
it's going to be important. But you know, again, the I think
one of the arguments against lasers used to be well, are just going to
cover their their vessel with or their aircraft with mirrors and the stuff's going to
bounce right off. I don't know, I just you know, I know
that, like we're we're doing stuff now with the with the x Q fifty
eight Valkyrie that the Marine Corps is playing with. You know, they're they're
looking at using this is has a sensor, you know, have an extra
sensors on this thing. That means your aircraft can go the the manned aircraft
can go quiet and use the center reads from the I guess the the unmanned
aircraft, and they're also going to use them. You know. Again,
we've got all these ideas of you know, we're gonna have missile trucks.
Well, these things can also be you know, weapons platforms under the control
of F thirty five or something. So you know, these things are exciting,
they're great, but you always have to keep in mind that if you
know, the minute you say you've got this, somebody somewhere else is going,
ah, well, let's see you now if I can make a jamming
mechanism. And we do this too, I mean we we when we look
at you UAVs and stuff, we have already fielded the Marines and the Army
all kinds of devices to stop those things from overflying. Are our compounds and
stuff. The one exception was where you got these guys killed in Syria or
Jordan, where ever exactly they were, was it it? As I think
you said that the the the bad guy drone followed in the good guy drone
and that you know that is a problem. You've got to be able to
sort out who's doing what when. I'm glad you brought that up because I
believe earlier on in the show in the chat room, Paul, you know,
had had mentioned as Paul or Lee, one of the two, had
mentioned about all these attacks that we have seen on our basis in Iraq and
Syria. Yes, American public, we still have bases in Iraq and Syria,
a lot of which are full of reservist and National guardsmen. But that's
a pet peeve I can talk about some other day. We've been successful in
the fact that we've had a lot of injuries. We have lost three soldiers,
but considering the amount of incoming fire we've taken, and we don't know
why we've been as successful, and frankly, we shouldn't know why in an
unclassified, open source level, because you don't want to tell your enemy while
you'll be able to succeed. But if people are looking for confidence and good
news. One thing the US is good about is though we may not advertise
it, it might be hard to find, we don't suppress information on our
casualties. We know who's being killed and who's being injured, and those numbers
from the Red Sea, Iraq and Syria and in the Mediterranean, where we've
had a couple of interesting things too, it's been it's been pretty impressive.
So we've we've we're doing some some things right. And I know from a
couple of people, I'm sure you've you've heard it as well. We are
trying to soak up as many lessons as we can from from both events,
because it's when everybody focuses back on what is the big game, which is
in the Western I don't know how good the p RC is of soaking in
the lessons that they can soak in as well, but usually in free societies
we had a faster decision loop. It's if it's properly led and funded to
be able to respond to things. So hopefully we're going to be a little
bit ahead of them in that regard. Going again to that technology versus mass
uh, there are potential adversary and the Western Pacific has a billion people more
than we do. They've got the mass, they've got a larger navy than
we do. So are smart guys thinking about ways to better use what we
have and to take those lessons we're learning and finding a way in a relatively
quick manner to get that in the hands of soldier, sailors, airmen,
and marines. That's what's going to make the difference for us. Yeah,
here's the risk though. Amazing interrupted here because you know, February twenty first
is a report that a Japan based chief pety officer charged with espionage. Oh,
he has a fire control chief signed to the USS Higgins d G seventy
six, and he's going to foreign court martially's apparently selling secret information to a
foreign power, to foreign citizen. So you know, it does You got
to remember that, you know, everybody, all all nations have spies.
Some people are gonna gonna, for whatever reason, decide that they need to
give this information to somebody, and you never know what the you know why
they decided that, whether it was for for love or money. Because we
you know, we were always warned about honey honey pots and all that,
all that good stuff, and you know it's just it's just so irksome to
have the technology we have and then have some guy and of course he's just
accused right now, but uh, some guy who apparently allegedly has transferred information
that was classified to this foreign national and you know why, love money,
But that I was not a good thing. I was trying to be optimistic
for a chase. There you go, bring me back to reality. But
here's here's the thing. Yeah, I just it makes you want to Yeah,
I have some I have something optimistic for you. Okay, this is
this is this is this. We're going to go to a low This.
This is Appendix D to the Navy ship Building Latest Navy ship Building thing from
the Congressional Research Service. All right, summary of some acquisition lesson learned for
Navy ship building at the outset. Get the operational requirements for the program right,
properly identify the programs operational requirements at the outset managements by not trying to
do too much in terms of the program's operational requirements. You know, well,
uh got it. Let them use mature technologies, use land based protect
typing and testing to bring new technologies to a high state of maturity before incorporating
them into ship designs, and limit the number of major new technologies to be
incorporated into a new ship design. Implos cost composed costs, discipline, up
front use realistic price estimates, employee competition were possible, use contract there's a
prop amount of risk involved. Minimize design construction concurrency by developing design to high
level completion before starting construction and resisting changes and requirements. Properly supervised construction work.
Provides stability for industry in part by using every possible multi year procurement programs.
Maintain a capable government acquisition workforce that understands what it is buying. As
well as the above points. I'm a good lord. That was stuff they've
taken. They've taken from your blog, my blog, and our program and
put in here. I mean that is we get somewhere gets would you tell
me that? So glad to see that they've decided to take the bold face
items of building and building a navy from roughly fifteen hundred to two thousand,
five hundred years and have decided after twenty, after two decades, and changed
that. You know what, maybe five hundred years of experienced actually was onto
something I agree better late than never. But good God, ALMIGHTI this is
a shame that here we are right now only having to hear that stuff.
Look, I'm pleased that you know, somebody said, hey, dummies,
guess what this is how you do things and do it right? Well,
And I'll just add though it goes to the fact that I'll put on plug
in. I just just realized that we have we've run over amazing But that's
okay. I love our technical Navy, I love our engineers and everything,
but how we ill train I'll teach an ill nurse our history. It's detrimental.
Like one thing I've done the last two Fridays, I'm gonna do two
more. I reached into my archives on my full full bowl of Friday because
five Admiral Cooper, who I like fives Admiral Cooper. He's a great professional.
I think we're all blessed to have him, Amen and et cetera.
But he's done as a service when he made that comment about what's happening in
the Red Sea. The first combat of our davies is World War Two.
I've out popped a circuit breaker, and what I've done is given the topping
my hat to young junior officer one butter bar one, i e. Your
generation of junior officers and the between sixty eight and seventy two, the US
Navy off of Vietnam did did some incredible combat operation, receiving three hundred rounds
of one hundred and twenty two and one hundred and fifty two millimeter shore batteries,
cruise missiles, fighter aircraft, dropping bombs on your deck, fast patrol
boats coming in. And a lot of people don't remember that because people want
to forget about Vietnam, especially anything to happen at sea for some reason.
Are people just well, yeah, the Navy was like an apocalypse. Now
it's like a little more than that. No, it wasn't all aircraft carriers.
So I've brought that back as the fact that, No, we have
a very good history and a lot of people have demonstrated a lot of things
that are still applicable for today. Whether it's proper program management, are things
that you need to be able to fight an opponent who shoots back into the
latoral and I know that we've taken a pot shot here and there in the
Arabian Gulf over the year. Whether it's an EXO set our mind, but
no in in living memory, the guys at the exchange, they might have
been one of the guys on one of those destroyers or cruisers who came up
within mooning range of the North Korean coast and went gun to gun with their
shore batteries. We have a tremendous history in our navy. That amazing that
so many people just it's not even in the back of their mind. Well
yeah, well, and yet the history involves getting hitting mines, which we
seem to always put in the back of the area. I mean, they've
hit mines off for during desert storm, we hit mines off Korea. We
hit mines we in our own minds apparently off off Vietnam. When the Warrington
ran into a mine, the Higby got Higby got bombed, and you know,
fortunately the crew had gone to lunch from the after after gun mountain thing
dropped into that mouth, so nobody was killed, but it did do some
damage to that mount you know. I mean, it's just it just uh,
I can't believe memories are that short. And given the fact that we
were flying so many sorties aircraft sorties off the carriers and had three and sometimes
more carriers. They're doing things. I mean with that, those were combat
operations. We lost a lot of people. I don't I'm I don't know
where I'm I don't. I don't know where Admiral Cooper got his history.
But if he's talking about surface stuff we were using, that, we were
using at some point. We're even using the UH, the DASH helicopter to
drone anti summary helicopters, the DASH units to UH to spot gunfire for some
of the ships. So you know, nothing is new, and uh,
it's a little disappointed to hear that the people who served Vietnam or or in
country Vietnam were not really in combat. I guess, so, yeah,
that was really I don't know about you, but if I was having three
hundred rounds popping off around me, I might take a little personal should I
tell you did it happened? But we'll be the first time that folks have
forgotten. Oh you know, when I was over there, we had ships
come alongside who had you know, they they'd been had a round go through
there, not the superstructure, but at least of their their masks and stuff,
you know, and do some damage. And yeah, I mean it
wasn't uh and and and also the ships that went charging into Hannoi or Haiphong
Harbor. I mean there was a there's a great story there about how the
cruiser I think maybe's the Oklahoma City and destroyers went charging in there to do
some damage. I don't I know there's a book on it, and I'll
have to dig that out because that's a good reference to uh to talk about
how how we you know they they went head to head with the and it
wasn't that the North Medias had a big navy, but they did have torpedo
boats and stuff like that. So yeah, and they had lots of uh
coastal batteries and stuff like that. Yeah, like, uh, the this
might have been what's one of the occasions if anybody want to hear a skipper
up with the one MC years ago, I found the audio of the Captain
Lindsay mccanney the Newport News, UH when they and the McCormick went in against
shore batteries on the seventeenth of December of nineteen sixty seven, and his is
after action wash up. Somebody recorded on the one MC, and so I
turned it into a YouTube video. But if anybody what goes over to my
substackle on Friday. They can they can listen to that there. It's it's
funny, it's you know, most one MC calls are kind of want wah
wah wah wah wah, and it sounds like that, except it's a hell
of a combat experience. So I always wonder, you know, how many
skippers out there could get up and give a give a recap like he did.
It was really impressive. Yeah, Operation Sea Dragon. Well, hey,
on that note, I guess we should call it to day. Uh.
Dinners are cooking downstairs. We do have guests for the next two weeks,
but I only got through half of my questions, so I guess we'll
have to do a free for all again at some point. All right,
anytime it gives us a chance to demonstrate our full ignorance. Well, we
appreciate everybody. Join us for another edition of mid Rats, and until next
time, we hope everybody has a great Navy day. Cheers. Mike wants
to marry me and a friend because all your being to blame, hold me,
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